REGRESSION ANALYSIS FOR RAINFALL INTENSITY FOR 5 YEAR RETURN PERIOD

General Equation = I = A*(Tc+d)b where:

I = rainfall intensity
C or d = 4.000 Tc = time of concentration
n = 9.000 a = logarithm of intercept
b = -0.654 A = regression analysis and logarithm of "a"
a = 3.008 b = slope
A = 1018.432 E = least squares error
E = 9.498 n = number of rainfall data
C = adjustment factor for best curve fit

Rainfall Station: (SAMPLE) Tugegarao, Cagayan Synoptic Station

Rainfall Intensity-Frequency Analysis
io t d y x
log io x2 xy ic v v2 t+d
mm/hr min min log(t+d)
156.3 10 4.0000 2.19396 1.14613 1.31361 2.51456 181.20551 24.90551 620.28 14.00
118.8 20 4.0000 2.07482 1.38021 1.90498 2.86368 127.36250 8.56250 73.32 24.00
100.5 30 4.0000 2.00217 1.53148 2.34543 3.06628 101.41147 0.91147 0.83 34.00
73.4 60 4.0000 1.86570 1.80618 3.26229 3.36978 67.04808 -6.35192 40.35 64.00
50.0 120 4.0000 1.69897 2.09342 4.38241 3.55666 43.49927 -6.50073 42.26 124.00
39.0 180 4.0000 1.59106 2.26482 5.12940 3.60347 33.60161 -5.39839 29.14 184.00
23.3 360 4.0000 1.36736 2.56110 6.55924 3.50194 21.50506 -1.79494 3.22 364.00
13.0 720 4.0000 1.11394 2.85974 8.17810 3.18559 13.71456 0.71456 0.51 724.00
7.3 1440 4.0000 0.86332 3.15957 9.98286 2.72773 8.73059 1.43059 2.05 1444.00
SUM 14.77129 18.80264 43.05833 28.38968 811.95958

1000.0
CHART TITLE
Observed Values Adjusted Values Power (Observed Values) Power (Adjusted Values)

100.0
y = 797.24x-0.614
R² = 0.971

10.0

y = 1018.4x-0.654
R² = 0.9863

1.0
1 10 100 1000 10000

The above Equation which can be solved for the constants A, c, and n by the method of least square or by graphical fitting assumes values of d for
every value of t until the curve forms a straight line in a logarithmic paper or until the average departure of the observed values from the
computed values is not greater than 4, or E.

DESIGN HYETOGRAPH
Parameters:
 Catchment Area (From HEC-HMS) = 35.9 sq.km
Area Reduction Factor fa = 0.797796

For Port Area Synoptic Station:

Regression analysis and logarithm of "a" A = 1018.432
Adjustment factor for best curve fit C = 4.000
Slope b = -0.654

Design Hyetograph for 5 - Year Return Period

Cumulative Design Hyetograph
Duration Rainfall Hourly Rain
Rain for T Hourly Rainfall with climate
(T) Intensity, R Incremental
hours change
Position Point Reduced by
(rounded to Hour adaptation
(a) (a') (b) (b)x(a)= (c) (d) Rainfall fa
2 decimal (10%)
hr min mm/hr mm mm/hr
places) mm/hr mm/hr
1 60 67.0481 67.05 67.05 67.05 13 1 3.08 2.46 2.70
2 120 43.4993 43.50 87.00 19.95 12 2 3.26 2.60 2.86
3 180 33.6016 33.60 100.80 13.81 14 3 3.48 2.78 3.05
4 240 27.9368 27.94 111.75 10.94 11 4 3.74 2.98 3.28
5 300 24.1944 24.19 120.97 9.22 15 5 4.05 3.23 3.55
6 360 21.5051 21.51 129.03 8.06 10 6 4.43 3.54 3.89
7 420 19.4622 19.46 136.24 7.21 16 7 4.93 3.93 4.33
8 480 17.8481 17.85 142.78 6.55 9 8 5.60 4.46 4.91
9 540 16.5345 16.53 148.81 6.03 17 9 6.55 5.22 5.75
10 600 15.4407 15.44 154.41 5.60 8 10 8.06 6.43 7.07
11 660 14.5131 14.51 159.64 5.24 18 11 10.94 8.73 9.60
12 720 13.7146 13.71 164.57 4.93 7 12 19.95 15.92 17.51
13 780 13.0185 13.02 169.24 4.67 19 13 67.05 53.49 58.84
14 840 12.4054 12.41 173.68 4.43 6 14 13.81 11.01 12.12
15 900 11.8604 11.86 177.91 4.23 20 15 9.22 7.36 8.10
16 960 11.3722 11.37 181.95 4.05 5 16 7.21 5.75 6.32
17 1020 10.9317 10.93 185.84 3.88 21 17 6.03 4.81 5.29
18 1080 10.5320 10.53 189.58 3.74 4 18 5.24 4.18 4.60
19 1140 10.1673 10.17 193.18 3.60 22 19 4.67 3.72 4.10
20 1200 9.8330 9.83 196.66 3.48 3 20 4.23 3.38 3.71
21 1260 9.5251 9.53 200.03 3.37 23 21 3.88 3.10 3.41
22 1320 9.2404 9.24 203.29 3.26 2 22 3.60 2.87 3.16
23 1380 8.9764 8.98 206.46 3.17 24 23 3.37 2.69 2.95
24 1440 8.7306 8.73 209.53 3.08 1 24 3.17 2.53 2.78

DESIGN HYETOGRAPH
70.00

58.84
60.00

50.00

Hourly 40.00
Rainfall
30.00

20.00 17.51
12.12
9.60 8.10
10.00 5.75 7.07 6.32
3.89 4.33 4.91 5.29 4.60 4.10 3.71
2.70 2.86 3.05 3.28 3.55 3.41 3.16 2.95 2.78

0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Duration (hr)