REGRESSION ANALYSIS FOR RAINFALL INTENSITY FOR 100 YEAR RETURN PERIOD

General Equation = I = A*(Tc+d)b where:

I = rainfall intensity
C or d = 4.000 Tc = time of concentration
n = 9.000 a = logarithm of intercept
b = -0.649 A = regression analysis and logarithm of "a"
a = 3.224 b = slope
A = 1674.112 E = least squares error
E = 17.370 n = number of rainfall data
C = adjustment factor for best curve fit

Rainfall Station: (SAMPLE) Tugegarao, Cagayan Synoptic Station

Rainfall Intensity-Frequency Analysis
io t d y x
log io x2 xy ic v v2 t+d
mm/hr min min log(t+d)
260.5 10 4.0000 2.41581 1.14613 1.31361 2.76882 301.84708 41.34708 1709.58 14.00
191.7 20 4.0000 2.28262 1.38021 1.90498 3.15050 212.73268 21.03268 442.37 24.00
164.4 30 4.0000 2.21590 1.53148 2.34543 3.39361 169.68378 5.28378 27.92 34.00
126.9 60 4.0000 2.10346 1.80618 3.26229 3.79923 112.54362 -14.35638 206.11 64.00
86.6 120 4.0000 1.93752 2.09342 4.38241 4.05604 73.25897 -13.34103 177.98 124.00
68.2 180 4.0000 1.83378 2.26482 5.12940 4.15319 56.70231 -11.49769 132.20 184.00
39.5 360 4.0000 1.59660 2.56110 6.55924 4.08905 36.41424 -3.08576 9.52 364.00
21.7 720 4.0000 1.33646 2.85974 8.17810 3.82193 23.30311 1.60311 2.57 724.00
12.2 1440 4.0000 1.08636 3.15957 9.98286 3.43243 14.88618 2.68618 7.22 1444.00
SUM 16.80851 18.80264 43.05833 32.66479 2715.46656

1000.0
CHART TITLE
Observed Values Adjusted Values Power (Observed Values) Power (Adjusted Values)

y = 1311.4x-0.609
100.0 R² = 0.9692

10.0
y = 1674.1x-0.649
R² = 0.983

1.0
1 10 100 1000 10000

The above Equation which can be solved for the constants A, c, and n by the method of least square or by graphical fitting assumes values of d for
every value of t until the curve forms a straight line in a logarithmic paper or until the average departure of the observed values from the
computed values is not greater than 4, or E.

DESIGN HYETOGRAPH
Parameters:
 Catchment Area (From HEC-HMS) = 99.03 sq.km
Area Reduction Factor fa = 0.733882

For Port Area Synoptic Station:

Regression analysis and logarithm of "a" A = 1674.112
Adjustment factor for best curve fit C = 4.000
Slope b = -0.649

Design Hyetograph for 100 - Year Return Period

Cumulative Design Hyetograph
Duration Rainfall Hourly Rain
Rain for T Hourly Rainfall with climate
(T) Intensity, R Incremental
hours change
Position Point Reduced by
(rounded to Hour adaptation
(a) (a') (b) (b)x(a)= (c) (d) Rainfall fa
2 decimal (10%)
hr min mm/hr mm mm/hr
places) mm/hr mm/hr
1 60 112.5436 112.54 112.54 112.54 13 1 5.32 3.91 4.30
2 120 73.2590 73.26 146.52 33.97 12 2 5.64 4.14 4.55
3 180 56.7023 56.70 170.11 23.59 14 3 6.01 4.41 4.85
4 240 47.2100 47.21 188.84 18.73 11 4 6.45 4.74 5.21
5 300 40.9310 40.93 204.65 15.81 15 5 6.99 5.13 5.64
6 360 36.4142 36.41 218.49 13.83 10 6 7.65 5.61 6.17
7 420 32.9804 32.98 230.86 12.38 16 7 8.50 6.24 6.86
8 480 30.2652 30.27 242.12 11.26 9 8 9.63 7.07 7.78
9 540 28.0542 28.05 252.49 10.37 17 9 11.26 8.26 9.09
10 600 26.2121 26.21 262.12 9.63 8 10 13.83 10.15 11.17
11 660 24.6492 24.65 271.14 9.02 18 11 18.73 13.75 15.12
12 720 23.3031 23.30 279.64 8.50 7 12 33.97 24.93 27.43
13 780 22.1293 22.13 287.68 8.04 19 13 112.54 82.59 90.85
14 840 21.0950 21.09 295.33 7.65 6 14 23.59 17.31 19.04
15 900 20.1752 20.18 302.63 7.30 20 15 15.81 11.61 12.77
16 960 19.3509 19.35 309.61 6.99 5 16 12.38 9.08 9.99
17 1020 18.6071 18.61 316.32 6.71 21 17 10.37 7.61 8.37
18 1080 17.9319 17.93 322.77 6.45 4 18 9.02 6.62 7.28
19 1140 17.3156 17.32 329.00 6.22 22 19 8.04 5.90 6.49
20 1200 16.7505 16.75 335.01 6.01 3 20 7.30 5.36 5.89
21 1260 16.2299 16.23 340.83 5.82 23 21 6.71 4.92 5.41
22 1320 15.7486 15.75 346.47 5.64 2 22 6.22 4.57 5.02
23 1380 15.3020 15.30 351.95 5.48 24 23 5.82 4.27 4.70
24 1440 14.8862 14.89 357.27 5.32 1 24 5.48 4.02 4.42

DESIGN HYETOGRAPH
100.00
90.85
90.00

80.00

70.00

Hourly 60.00
Rainfall 50.00

40.00
27.43
30.00
19.04
20.00 15.12
11.17 12.77
7.78 9.09 9.99 8.37
5.21 5.64 6.17 6.86 7.28 6.49 5.89 5.41 5.02
10.00 4.30 4.55 4.85 4.70 4.42

0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Duration (hr)