Tarea 2

Andrés Concha
Josefina Muro
Grupo 12
 Pa

al
en e xy(X y)dyaX ,
= 2
3)
x(x)
3 2dyax
((kxy
x

=
2(X y3)3 ,
&

4(X(3 x)3)
3 3-X -

↑
=

3
k d
XX
&
-
O
= (27x -
27x + 9x -

X")
9/4x 9/4x2 3/4x3 xy22n
⑬oX(3 -x)"ax
+
-
-
=

k
f(x) =T (xyz)ax

↳ 3 - y

27x - 27x + ax -
xax =
(x2y2
Co
= (27/2x
*
-

27/x + 9/4x
*
-
x55) ! =
(3 y) -

y
2

-(9y2 by + y")
=
-

k/3(27/2 ·

9 -

27/3 -

27 + 9/4 . 82 -

243/5)
fx(x) f (y) .

,
=
f(x ,
y)

k/3(121 ,
5 - 243 + 282 , 25 -
48 , 6)
(9/4x x(22) (9/8y2 Y"()Ffxy(X
*
9/4x2 3/4x 3/y Y)
4 05k
2
+
19k +
-

0. 25
. -
= = =
-

,
,

C) x+
0 , P((X -

y( < 0 , 5) : Como fx (x) fy (y) + f(x X)

=
axmitwy ,
=
,

a · 1 -
a -
b
X e Y son dependientes .

0, 5 m b

0 5 3
Xz = 3 X 0 5 Yz ) 3 y
,
xX1 - 3 0 5 X = =
y + 0,5 = -

3 =
X X
- -
- -
= +
y =
. ,

3-4 3 5
, 2x 9X 1 75 24 2, 5 9yz

a
1 25
= = =
2 ,5 1 , 25
2x9X
=
= =
,
, 2

, aya

Lis 2 Li

/xayax = ↳
2-
t
si
13-x)"
-X(x5 a 22/
3 1
x
3
=
(7X -
27x + 9x x" -
-
(X" + 2 5x + ,
0. 75x2+ 0
.
125x)dX
22/2
8
5 1
x + 0, = 26 , 875X -
27 , 75x2 + 7, 5X- 2x"dx
O si
-
2 (26 ,
875x2
2
-
27
,

75x +
7 ,
5x" -

2x O
-
12 -(20 996 ,
-

18 066
,
+ 4 , 577 -
1
,
22)
22( 6 287)
1
0.
524
Z =

,
,
175x -
0,5
b X ,

3
41dyax
zt
+ (x x)avax,

((xy2dyax ()xy dyax +

0 . 50 750
.
2

-- ~

~xx2dvdx = X=
75 0.
5
1,
sits x
-

2 ,75 75
,
1

5)ax =
225x)
2
X X) X- 0 , 4
22(X 5x" 75x
*
A
2, 0, 0
3
-
1 , 5x + 0 ,
75x2 - 0 225xdx
,
= -
+ -
.
2

* =
22/13 ,
28 -
3, 52 + 2 , 34 -
0. 19) -
(6 25 ,
. 183 - 7 81 103 + 0 03
,
.

,
-
0,
02))
=
22)0 91 ,
-
8 44
,
.
10
0,
0759
=

3 zt 3
-
X

- 127x
3

! rXY
↳↑ x)dx x(3 -

xy2ayax = aX = -
27x2 + ax -
xdx
1753
3
O ,
1 75 ,75
1

=E (27x2 27x - +

ax4Xe
1 + 2 = b =
22/)222 ,
5 -
243 + 182 , 25 -
48,
6) -
(42 ,
34 -
48 , 23 + 22 , 1 -

3
,
28))
0 075
,
+ 0 1
.
=
0
. 1754
=
(2)22 ,
15 -

10
,
93)
0
11
=

. P((X -

y((0 5) ,
= 1 -
a -

b
= 1 -
0 524 -

0. 175
,

= 0,
301n

x) = LaT
E(X -

&
- X
3 3

46 y
2

=
X
3
-

Xx"ax
&

· x)
2) (27x27x
2

=
4f
X(3
-

-
x(3 -
x)4
dx =
+ ax"-x) -
(82x-108x +
54x-22xx
4 3 4

=
/(27x" -

27x" ax-x) -(8x-208x

+
1216
+ 5X" -12
20
+

X))
* =
&(81 -
182 , 25 + 245 8
,
-
40 , 5 - 91 ,
13 + 243 -
273 , 38 + 145, 8 -
30, 38)

=
3) -
2
,
04)

0 . 51 9E(X y) 0,
511
=
=
-
=

9) E(X) +E(Y)

-Se
=(9 , by + y")
2

fy(y) & -
=

-2)ax E(y) =
% = ((9y2
I by + -

yi)dy

= xx +
3
x 12 aX -2 gy3-by" + y
3

9/12X 9/24x" 3/2x5 X472 2(9/4y" 455 19) /

-
-
= + = -
+

E(X) =
1
, 04n
=
5(182 ,
25 -

291 , 6 + 121
,
5)9E(y) =
1 , 518
e) COV : E(xy) -

E(X) E(X) .

Var(X) =
E(Xz) -
E2(X)

E(xy) =
b)33xy(xyz)dyax E(x2)
=
↑"x2(9/4x -
9/4x2 + 3/4x -

x2)ax

223dyax =
((a/4x -
a/
yx" + 3/ 4x -

xym2)ax
X 3
3
-

(ax" -a
= O X =

=
/x23
O
-
x)"ax =
(45 5625,
-

109 35
,
+ 91 125 ,
-

26 , 0357)

= 82x-208x + 54x" -
22x + Xa = 1
,
31

=
4(81x -
108X"
16
+
54x5
20
-
12x3
24
t X
7)
28 Var(X) = 1 , 31 -1 08
,
=
0 23
,

=
5)182 ,
25 -

546 75 ,
+ 656 1
,
-

364 5
,
+ 78 12
,
(Var(y) =
E(y2) -

ER (Y)

=
1,
31 E(y2) =
(3 ,
& 2(9y2 6y3 + y")dy -

E(X) =
1 04 ,
E(y) =
1 , 518 =
1 ay" -
by + ydy

: COV =
1
,
31 -

1 04
,
·

1 , 518 =
-(9/545 -

y3 + y7, 7)"
O

=
=

0 . 268 =
%(437 ,
4 -
729 + 312 , 429)

=
2 604
,

Var (y) =
2 604
,
-

2 304
,
= 0,3

Corr(X y) ,
=
Cov(X Y) ,

Var(X) Var(y) .

=
-

0 . 268

0 . 23 .

0 ,3

=
=
1 02
,
 j fxixay
f) P(y)1X = 1)

1
fxix
f
=

=
4xy
=
·
(9 -
ya
ax + ex2 -
xdy

9/4x2 + 3/4x xy22

319x3) (3(a atx xxx)

9(4x -
-

= -
+ 3x2 -

I
& xyz 1

↑X(9 -
9X + 3x2 -

X3) =
CE-2AXXX -

27 -

27x + ax2 x -

2
y
= =
1- 1
9 -
ax + 3x2 -
X3 27 -

27x + 92
X x3 -

X =
1
1
=
1 -

27 -
27 + 9
- -
1

=
1 -

0
8751
=

g) E(G(B) A =
1)

xx G(B) dy

(9
2

xig)
Y
-
.

(6 + 4y + yz) ay
-
ax + 3x2 -

* 1
9
y 2(6 +
-
9X + 3x2
4y
-
+

X3/3
y2) y

f3-xgy
aY
I

-
6y3 4 y534
+
5

9 9x + 3x2
x3/31
-
-

(bk-x
=

9 -
9x + 3x2 -
X
*
X =
1

( 6123
(25) (2 )
= + (2)" +

3 -

1/3

14 4 1 2 13
29
= - =
, , ,
 a)
E(X1) = 800
,
Var(X1) =
16

E(X2) =
1000, Var(X2) =
25

E(X3) =
600
,
var(Xa) = 18

X : no de autos que llegan por cada carretera a la autopista

Cor(X1 X2) ,
=
80 COV(X2 Xs) ,
= 90
,
COV (Xa Xs)
,
=
100
,

P(x > 2500) =

4(x1 + Xz + X3 >2500)
P(W > 2500

Nm((212)(80) (111)
W
.

Nm(800 (262 + 252 +

182)))
> We + 2000 + 6000 ; 80 + 9080 + 20090 + 200 +

WoNm (M = 2400
,
82 = 1745)

=
P(W > 2500
=
1 P(W2500)
-

p(z72 3938)
4(742500 I
=
1 - -

2400 =
1 -

1745

= 1 -
0 9916
,

0
00841
=
,
 P(X2)Xz + Xx)

9 P(Xz -

X1 -

Xx)0) = P(w) d

( + 11-2)/2800) ;
-L
WrNm

28))2)
WrNm(-800 + 100 -

600
;
( 167+
-

80 -
90 -

80 + 252 -
200 -

20 + 200 -

W-Nm (M =
-
400
,
02 = 1025)

> P(W > 0)

P(Wt 40) P(22 , 493
=

>
=

b) P(X1 + Xz + X342600X1 +
Xz +
Xz)2000)W =
X1 + Xz + X3

P(W < 2600 W < 2000)

=
P(2000 W72600)
P(W > 2000

=
P(2600 w) -
P(2000 Wh
P(W > 2000)

W -Nm (M =
2400
,
02 = 1745)

P(2600-2400 (2) P(200240

> -

P(2000 (2) 2400

-

1745

=
P(4 797z) P( 9 57z)
-
-

,
,

1 -

p( 9 57z)-

=
P(4 797z) , -
P( -
9 ,
5(z)
1 -
P(-9 57z) , 1 -

P( -
9 57z)
,

=
P(4 79-z) ,
-
1 -

(1 -

P) -
a ,
5(z)) Dado que P(4 797z) ,
= 1 y
1 -

p( 9 57z) -

, 1 -

P) -
a , 5)z) P) -

9 ,
5(z)0 .

2
= P(4 797z) , -
1
+
1 -

P( -
9 , 577) 1 -
1
+ 111
1 P( 9 -

,
5(z) 1 -

p(9 5)z) ,
1 -

p) -

a , 57z) 1 -

0 1 -
0
2) G =
1500X1 + 2000Xz + 3000 X3

GuNm((2500
2000 3000)
/2800) : /259]o

GrNm(5000000 ; (25)
(8240002670000 137000

GrNm (M = 5000000 ; 8 =
8 482
,
.

109)

< P(GL5200000 =
1 -

P(G < 5200000

p(G 500000075200000-5000 S
1
-
= -

8 482 -

109
,

=
1 -

P(z(2 ,
172)
=
1 -
0, 985
0
. 0151
=

d) Cantidad de días dónde el total del peaje supere los 5 , 2 millones.

Xv Bin (n =
365
,
p = 0, 015)
:
< P(x7/200) = (45)(0 015) (0 9857305-1 , ,

E(X) =
xp =
5, 475nV(x) =
mp(1 p) - =
5 , 3929

COMO Up = 5, 47575
y (1-p) =
359 , 575 ,
X se aproxima a una normal .

P(z783 76)
P(x7-2007
p(X
· = -

2p)200
-

up =
,
-
np(1 P) -

np(1 P) -

= 1 -

p(z(83 76) ,
= 1 -

1 =
04
 e) La suma de todo es 1
.

1 1 = 0 05 + 0. 04 + 0 . 03 + 0 02
,
+ 0 15 + 0. 1 + 0 . 12 + 0 05 + 0 13 + 0. 16 + a + a
, . . .

1 =
0 . 85 + 2a

0 .15 =
2a

a =
0 075
,

P(a = 1
,
c =
2uc = yuc
3uc = =
5) + b(a =
2
,
c = 30 c =
4 uc =
5) + p(a = 3
,
c = 4UC =
s)

p(a
= = 1 ( =
2) + p(a =
1
,
( =
3) + p(a =
1
,
c =
4) + p(a = 1
,
c =
5) + p(a =
2
,
( =
3) + p(a 2) =

+ p(a =
2
,
( =
4) + p(a = 2
,
c = 5) + p(a = 3
,
c =
4) + p(a = 3
,
c =
5)

= 0 05 + 0, 04 + 0. 03 + 0. 02 + 0.1 + 0 . 12 + 0 . 05 + 0 . 075 + 0
.
075
.

0.
569
=

9) alc 2 3 4 5 c -
a = Z

2 123 4 E(z) = Xip(Xi) = 10 05

0
,
+

1
2004
0 1
+
300340
0, 12 0, 05 0 13
+ 0 .

, 15 + -

.
+ 2 .
+ 3 . -

1 .

2 O 22 3 + 0 .
0 075 + 2 .
0, 075
,

y
-
101 2
=
0 885
.
4
 a) P(X < y)

X ~ Florencia ~
Exp(x1) X1 =
22 =
0. 5

Y ~
Ignacia ~
Exp(X2) Xz =
1/2 5,
= 0 4
,

Xax
05 . Oaxay e carrera de exponencias en

I
Xa
X1 + X2

=
0, 5

05 + 0. 4
.

0,
5569
=

: P(X (y) = 0
, 5564
b) P(x(3) .

P(y > 3) X1 = 0, 5Xz =

0. 4

4 (Min(x y)x3) , ~Exp(Xx + xx)

P(min(X y) ,
> 3)

=
P(X > 3ryn3)
=
P(X(3) P(y(3) .

X13 *

,)[
=

et3xn
-
3
=

3 0, 4)
-(
-
3 0, 5
. - .

0
0674
=

b2)
E(fx(X) + fy(Y) -

fmin(x x)(X X))

,
,
=
E(U)

E(fx(x)) =

1xm
Elfy(y)) =
-

Elfmincx x)(X Y() ,

,
=
2 +2+

1
E(U) =
25 + 84
,
-

0 . 5 + 0. 4

=
2 + 2, 5 -
1 21
,

3,
3891
=

bs) W =
mínimo (fminc xs(X Y))
,
,
OlW) = 3W -
0, 2

E(O(w)) =
3E(W) -

0,2

=
3 .

1 , 11 -
0 2
,

3
133n
=

,
 c)P(x + y (4) *** e
E
0(x +
y > 4
,

f(x , y)
X ~ Florencia ~Exp(X1) O
,
C .
O .
C

Y Exp (X2)
Ignacia
~
~

aax - 0 5X
.

du
= - 0, 5X

0, 4dY
-
0 4y
,

02e
= -

- 0 , 5X - 0
, 4X
=
dyax
-
0, 1X -
1, 6
4

=
= 0, 2))
0
eduax
0 4 -0.5X
,

M = -
0 1x -
1, 6

5)"
,

6 amax
1,

[02x
-

2
= -

0
. au = -0 , 1 X
O

ax-1 "eax)
" 0 5X

5( ! [a2x
-
-
1, a .

=
=
0
. .

1 =
-
0, 5x

-05) aue
=

al = -

0, 5

=
-

5)(em) (()
0
.
-

5((e e ) (e 1)
2
=
0. +
= -

et) 1)
2
=
5(e -
-
1(e -

=
0 5318
.
a)

Pa : Probabilidad que fué aceptable

, Pc : Probabilidad que fué complicada
,
P : Probabilidad que fué dificil

Pa =
P(X(1 5) ,
=
1 xe *

ax = F(1 5) ,
= 2 -
e
*
= 1 -
e
a 25
=
0.
52764

Pc =
(1 5(X(3),
=
P(3)X) -

P(1 57x) ,

= F(3) -

F(1 5) ,

1éa
-
= -
0 5276
.

=
0 7769 -
0 5276
, ,

=
0
,
2493

P =
P(X)3) =
1 -

p(X(3)
=
1 -
0 7769 = 0. 2231
.

Ahora definimos un vector z =

(A , C ,
D)

> zv M (n =
8 ; Pa = 0, 5276 ; Pc = 0 2493 ;
,
P =
0
,
2231)

( P(A =
2
,
((3 , D - 2) =
810 52762 ,
.
0
,
249340 2251 .
+ 8! 0, 52762 .
0, 24935 .
0, 22324
2! 4! 2! 2: 5 ! 1!

+ 8 !. 0 52762 .
0 , 24933 -

0, 22318
,

2 6! 0 !

0
034
=

&
e) 1/6 1 > tx7

f =

O .
C OC .

>U =
T2 -
T -
6
0 = Ta -
T -
6 -
U
5

se usa formula del cuadrado de binomio

-(1)(+ 4.
b1b2
9 -
Hac =

=
1 = 1 + 24 + 40

= 1 25 + 40

Se
↑ Utiliza solo el valor positivo

E ast
cuando o u 20

2
,
+ 52 + 220 d -
1 fulu) =

2 al 25 + 44
C .
OC
. ,