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Global-ConsumerOutlook-SummaryPresentation - Share by WorldLine Technology
Global-ConsumerOutlook-SummaryPresentation - Share by WorldLine Technology
Global-ConsumerOutlook-SummaryPresentation - Share by WorldLine Technology
Consumer Outlook
Navigating the 2024 pressure points to growth
© 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved. © 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Heading into 2024,
39%
37%
34% 34%
29%
28%
26%
25%
77%
Increased costs of living
74%
78%
77% 41%
Economic slowdown
32%
Job insecurity / loss
42%
41% 32%
39% 31%
30%
63%
31% 26%
Mid 2022 Jan 2023 Mid 2023 Jan 2024
Mid 2022 Jan 2023 Mid 2023 Jan 2024
Mid 2022 Jan 2023 Mid 2023 Jan 2024
90%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Illustrative data/visual/concept Europe South & SE East Asia N America Sub-Saharan Russia & Middle Easte Latin America
Asia Africa Central Asia & N Africa
Steady and
polarized .
Source: NIQ 2024 Consumer Outlook vs. 2023 Mid-Year Outlook vs. January 2023 Consumer Outlook vs. 2022 Mid-Year Outlook, Global
Consumer price inflation Red = inflation above wage growth Green = wage growth above inflation
2.5 4.6 2.8 1.9 3.5 4.8 3.6 2.7 2.6 3 2.4 4.5 6.3 2.6 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.6
4.0
3.6 3.6 3.7
3.3
2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1
2.8
2.3
2.0 2.1
1.7
1.4 1.5
1.3 1.3
1.0
0.4
Source: Trading Economics, Note: Total 2024 calculated as average of Q1, Q2 & Q3 forecast
Unit Price %
Increase
$131
$124
$111
$100 $105
Cost of goods are
31% higher
vs. 4 years ago
+5.0% +6.1% +11.1% +5.9%
Source: NielsenIQ, Total US xAOC, Annual Unit Price % Change 52 weeks to December 30, 2023
8.7
Global inflation
6.9 forecasts indicate
prices will ease
5.8 beyond 2024
5.1
4.7 4.6
4.1 4.2
3.9 3.8
3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5
3.2 3.2 3.2
2.7 2.7
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
13.6 13.4
Annual Inflation Rate
13.2 13.2 13.2
11.8
10.5
9.8
8.9
7.8 7.4
6.6 6.1
+9.9%
Food Non-Food
+11.7% +7.8%
% Chg. FMCG +9 -1
Non-Food +8 0
EQ Vol. -2 -1 -3 -2 -3 -2 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0
Source: NIQ Global Inflation Tracker, Eq Vol % Price Change – Monthly – Based on a closed group of consistent categories across countries – US Dollars
Ambient / Shelf-
stable Food 10% -4% Health & Beauty 10% +1%
Fresh / Perishable
Food 9% -1% Home Care 7% -7%
Source: NIQ Global Price Tracker – Annual 52 weeks ending, November ’23, sales reflected in USD
Frozen Food
+10% Confect. & Snacks Paper Products
+12% +9%
Rising prices
are still Food
Health & Beauty
+9%
Perishables Beverages Ambient Food Home Care
several key
departments Alcohol
Pet Food +16%
+7%
Checkout
> +11% Higher than average +9-11% Average <+9% Below Average
Source: NIQ Global Price Tracker – Annual 52 weeks ending, November ‘23
US: Total FMCG Average Unit Price % Change US: Total FMCG Dollar Growth
11.9
11.0
10.7
10.2
December 2023 8.4 Volume declines
still a concern
8.8
7.6
+2.0%
6.2 6.1 3.1
5.2 2.1 2.2
4.4
3.7 0.0
3.1
2.4 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q4 '23
Unit %
Chg
-0.2 +6.9 -3.5 -2.3 -2.7 -2.5
Dec Jan '23 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul '23 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
'22 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23 '23
Without the right data and subsequent action,
2024 could be a race to zero-dollar growth
Source: NielsenIQ, Total US xAOC, monthly periods ending December 30, 2023 in the US and beyond
© 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved. 15
Wallet shifts favor spending more on life essentials
Survival instincts reign supreme, but in some cases, fewer consumers intend to cut back on discretionary categories than in 2023 (e.g., Clothing / Apparel)
Dairy 26%
40% 31%
Clothing / Apparel
35%
Transportation 29%
costs 35%
Home
36%
Improvement / Savings / 27%
34% décor Investments 28%
challenge in
Switch stores 65%
2024
Switch size 49%
Offer larger economy sizes with lower price per usage/serving 36%
Produce slightly lower quality products, but keep price the same 8%
Source: NIQ Global Strategic Planner, Super-category level analysis across 20 markets, Latest year ended Oct. 2023 vs. year-ago
With pressures felt from multiple angles, consumers are pivoting around emerging
challenges to get by. These maneuvers create green shoots of opportunity that
companies can harness to weather the storms ahead.
Europe 13.6%
+12.7%
Global Private Label
West Europe 13.0% value growth
Source: NIQ Retail measurement services, Latest year ended Q3 2023 vs. year-ago, via Quarter By Numbers, Private label report
2.9
1.8 1.8
1.6
1.8x
more likely to grow overall sales
than those with stagnant or
declining innovation sales
Home Care Personal Care Total Average Confect / Snacks Beverages
(x Alcohol)
SOCIETY Source: NIQ, Retail Measurement Services – NIQ Product Insight, powered by Label Insight; Total US xAOC; Total Food & Beverage vs Better For segment; $ %
Change vs year ago; 4-week trended through week ending September 9, 2023
Global T&D market results – 2023 vs. previous "After two years of decline,
we expect the global T&D
market to finally turn
positive again in 2024, albeit
at a small scale"
Ines Haaga
GfK’s insights expert for Consumer
Technology and Durables.
Source: GfK Market Intelligence Sales Tracking, International Coverage (excl. North America), Sales revenue growth in USD; Jan - Oct 2023 vs Jan - Oct 2022 & Jan - Oct 2019
UAE 34.1%
Global 9.0%
Romania 29.4%
Europe 12.4%
Saudi Arabia 28.8%
-6.5% Sweden
Asia Pacific & China -1.8%
-6.1% Singapore
N America 14.1%
-2.3% China
Source: NIQ Retail Measurement Services, Total FMCG / CPG, annual period ended Q3 2023 vs. Year-ago - Ecommerce 15 markets considered, via Quarter By Numbers, Channel report
Note: China excludes TikTok
© 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved. © 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Bringing it all together…
There’s one universal truth to success in today’s market:
Data needs to lead the way
Sources: 1) NIQ Global Inflation Tracker, Latest month and year ended Nov. 2023 vs. year-ago, sales reflected in USD, 2) NIQ Global Strategic Planner,
© 2024 Nielsen Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved. Super-category level analysis across 20 markets, Latest year ended Oct. 2023 vs. year-ago, 3) NIQ 2024© Consumer
2024 NielsenOutlook
Consumer LLC. All Rights Reserved. 31
Bringing it all together…
There’s one universal truth to success in today’s market:
Data needs to lead the way
Reach consumers where they are Consumers move fluidly across channels to fulfil their
needs, meaning growth will come from a balance of both
It's the wrong time to miss the right place online and in-store strategies.
Be proactive & precise with wellness Companies need to harness the power of the right
messaging and product attribution to convert on
Uncover holistic, lifestyle-driven, attribute- consumers’ interest in their health & longevity.
focused growth Win with discerning wellness consumers of today.