Matchpredictor 2

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Home Away

Midfield 20 Excellent (low)


Inadequade (very high) 30
R defence Poor (very high) 12 Disastrous (high) 3 Average result
C defence Weak (low) 14 Poor (low) 10 1.85 6.26 0
L defence Weak (very low) 13 Inadequade (high) 19 1
R attack Inadequade (very low)17 Oustanding (low) 38 2
C attack Magnificent (very low)45 Oustanding (high) 39 >1 goal 1.3 3
L attack Solid (very high) 28 Weak (low) 14 1 3.1 4
hatstats 189 213 x 3.5 5
2 93.5 6+
Tactic Attack in Middle 2 Normal 1 >1 goal 17.8 home
Ability Brilliant 11 Excellent 8

Result Chances for


Conf. Factor 100 100 100

SP eff. % 30 30 90

80

70

60

50

Special Events Ignore 1.00 40

30

20
Head spec. 1 1 10

Other SE % 20 20 0

1 x 2 0 1 2 3 4 5
Home Away
Exact score % Chances
0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ away Possession: 39.58 60.42
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.2 12.9 Chances 2.28 7.72
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 25.4 29.3 Pressing 2.28 7.72
0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 5.6 21.7 30.0 CA 2.28 7.72
0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.8 5.5 8.9 18.2 Final 2.28 7.72
0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.7 1.5 7.2
0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.0 Distribution
0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 Wing att. 0.41 0.50
0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 8.8 17.7 69.6 Central att. 0.49 0.40
Set pieces 0.10 0.10
Chances for home team
Accuracy
Right 0.45 0.96
Center 0.99 0.96
Left 1.00 0.63
Set Pieces 0.30 0.30
total 0.810 0.811

CA
Probability: 0 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Convertions: 0 0

Pressing
Probability: 0 0
reduced: 0 0

SE
Headers: 0 0
Other SE: 0 0
Total: 0 0

Chance distribution
Home Away Prob.
-1.00 12.00 0
0.00 11.00 0
0.00 10.00 0.07
1.00 9.00 0.22
2.00 8.00 0.29
3.00 7.00 0.23
4.00 6.00 0.12
5.00 5.00 0.04
6.00 4.00 0.01
7.00 3.00 0
Matchpredictor for hattrick.org v. 1.30
Made by GM-Sule (17897)

Password for unlocking: 17897

Latest version can be downloaded at:


http://www.esnips.com/web/matchp

Version changes

V. 1.30
- Added other SE's, and incorporated them in the 1x2 result
- Added comments to the main sheet
- Added the 'exact score' box
- Changed the overall look of the sheet
- Removed calculations from 7-10 goals, which were innecessary
- Fixed minor bugs

V. 1.21
- Added 'about' sheet
- Corrected pressing bug in the average result, which occured
when both teams were playing pressing.

V. 1.20
- Added more CA-matches to the study, no changes were made
to the formula
- Changed the formula for accuracy, so it fitted to the study on
global made by LA-GetAssista.

V. 1.10
- Added colors to the boxes on the main page, and changed the
layout slightly
- Added the graphical representation of 1x2 and chances for
home team
- Changed the formulas for CA and pressing slightly

V. 1.0
- Increased the number of chances being calculated from 2 to 10
and introduced the binormial distribution of the chances.
- Added dropdown menus with skill levels instead of numbers.
- Added the effect of CA and pressing to the 1x2 result
- Corrected some minor errors.

<V. 1.0
Preliminary versions only available to SFTM members.
Disastrous (very low) 1 Disastrous 1 Normal
Disastrous (low) 2 Wretched 2 Attack in Middle
Disastrous (high) 3 Poor 3 Attack over Wings
Disastrous (very high) 4 Weak 4 Pressing
Wretched (very low) 5 Inadequade 5 Counter Attack
Wretched (low) 6 Passable 6
Wretched (high) 7 Solid 7
Wretched (very high) 8 Excellent 8
Poor (very low) 9 Formidable 9
Poor (low) 10 Outstanding 10
Poor (high) 11 Brilliant 11
Poor (very high) 12 Magnificent 12
Weak (very low) 13 World Class 13
Weak (low) 14 Supernatural 14
Weak (high) 15 Titanic 15
Weak (very high) 16 Extra-Terrestrial 16
Inadequade (very low) 17 Mythical 17
Inadequade (low) 18 Magical 18
Inadequade (high) 19 Utopian 19
Inadequade (very high) 20 Divine 20
Passable (very low) 21
Passable (low) 22
Passable (high) 23
Passable (very high) 24
Solid (very low) 25
Solid (low) 26
Solid (high) 27
Solid (very high) 28
Excellent (very low) 29
Excellent (low) 30
Excellent (high) 31
Excellent (very high) 32
Formidable (very low) 33
Formidable (low) 34
Formidable (high) 35
Formidable (very high) 36
Oustanding (very low) 37
Oustanding (low) 38
Oustanding (high) 39
Oustanding (very high) 40
Brilliant (very low) 41
Brilliant (low) 42
Brilliant (high) 43
Brilliant (very high) 44
Magnificent (very low) 45
Magnificent (low) 46
Magnificent (high) 47
Magnificent (very high) 48
World Class (very low) 49
World Class (low) 50
World Class (high) 51
World Class (very high) 52
Supernatural (very low) 53
Supernatural (low) 54
Supernatural (high) 55
Supernatural (very high) 56
Titanic (very low) 57
Titanic (low) 58
Titanic (high) 59
Titanic (very high) 60
Extra-Terrestrial (very low) 61
Extra-Terrestrial (low) 62
Extra-Terrestrial (high) 63
Extra-Terrestrial (very high) 64
Mythical (very low) 65
Mythical (low) 66
Mythical (high) 67
Mythical (very high) 68
Magical (very low) 69
Magical (low) 70
Magical (high) 71
Magical (very high) 72
Utopian (very low) 73
Utopian (low) 74
Utopian (high) 75
Utopian (very high) 76
Divine (very low) 77
Divine (low) 78
Divine (high) 79
Divine (very high) 80
Ignore
Calculate
Hjemmehold Udehold

Chances: 6 4 (mellem 0 og 10)


Accuracy %:
Distribution of chances: 0.48 0.48
Wing: 0.50 0.50 \
Center: 0.40 0.40 | Result:
Set pieces: 0.10 0.10 | 2.89 1.93
Total: 1.00 1.00 |
|
Accuracy: | 1 61.33
Right: 0.50 0.50 x 20.84
Center: 0.50 0.50 (between 0 and 1) 2 17.83
Left: 0.50 0.50
|
SP eff.: 0.3 0.3 |
|
Ca prob. % 0 0 |
|
Press. prob. % 0 /

Head-spec. 0 0 (0-5) 0.01 0.01


Goals
Home Away
0 0.01977 0.07312
Accuracy %: 1 0.10950 0.26997
2 0.25269 0.37380
3 0.31100 0.23003
4 0.21531 0.05308
5 0.07950 0.00000
6 0.01223 0.00000
7 0.00000 0.00000
8 0.00000 0.00000
9 0.00000 0.00000
10 0.00000 0.00000
Possession 10
0 0
20 0.16 9.5
25 0.37 9
30 0.77 8.5
35 1.42
40 2.38 8
45 3.6 7.5
50 5 7
55 6.4
60 7.62 6.5
65 8.58 6
70 9.23 5.5
75 9.63
80 9.84 5
90 9.98 4.5
100 10 4
3.5
3
60 2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
50 60 70 80 90 100
data formula
0.18 0.13 0.02
0.2 0 0.03
0.21 0.2 0.03 1
0.22 0 0.04
0.23 0 0.04 0.9
0.25 0 0.05
0.27 0 0.07 0.8
0.29 0.1 0.09
0.29 0.14 0.09 0.7
0.3 0.25 0.1
0.33 0.11 0.15 0.6
0.33 0 0.15
0.33 0.09 0.15 0.5
0.36 0.31 0.2
0.38 0.24 0.22 0.4
0.38 0 0.22
0.38 0.09 0.24 0.3
0.4 0.2 0.27
0.4 0.23 0.27 0.2
0.4 0 0.27
0.41 0.4 0.3 0.1
0.42 0.19 0.31
0.43 0.14 0.34
0.43 0.57 0.34
0
0.44 0.4 0.38 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.
0.45 0.33 0.41
0.46 0.58 0.42
0.47 0.67 0.44
0.47 0 0.45
0.5 0.41 0.53
0.5 0.61 0.53
0.5 0.5 0.53
0.5 0.54 0.53
0.5 0.42 0.53
0.5 0.67 0.53
0.53 0.67 0.61
0.54 0.71 0.63
0.55 0.67 0.64
0.56 0.7 0.67
0.56 0.89 0.69
0.57 0.56 0.71
0.58 0.7 0.73
0.6 0.75 0.77
0.6 0.64 0.77
0.63 0.82 0.82
0.67 1 0.88
0.67 0.78 0.88
0.67 0.8 0.88
0.69 0.8 0.91
0.7 0.91 0.92
0.71 1 0.93
0.75 1 0.96
0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8
Chances CA Tactic percent CA pressing formula
6 1 6 0.17 1 0.73
9 3 6 0.33 2 1.04
8 2 7 0.25 3 1.28 1.28
7 1 7 0.14 4 1.46 1.49
10 2 7 0.2 5 1.6 1.68
4 0 8 0 6 1.82 1.85
7 1 8 0.14 7 2 2.09 2.01
7 1 8 0.14 8 2.24 2.15 2.16
8 3 8 0.38 9 1.67 2.3
8 2 8 0.25 10 2.5 2.44
7 2 8 0.29 11 2.67 2.1 2.57
9 2 8 0.22 12 2.67 2.38 2.69
8 2 8 0.25 13 2.61 2.8 2.81
8 2 9 0.25 14 2.62 3 2.93
6 0 9 0 15 3.1 3.04
9 1 9 0.11 16 3.25 3.15
10 3 9 0.3 17 3.26
7 1 9 0.14 18 3.36
8 1 9 0.13 19 3.46
7 1 10 0.14 20 3.56
7 2 10 0.29
8 2 10 0.25
8 3 10 0.38
6 2 10 0.33
8 1 10 0.13
6 2 10 0.33 3.75
10 2 10 0.2 3.5
9 2 10 0.22
9 3 10 0.33 3.25
9 1 10 0.11 3
8 2 10 0.25
9 1 10 0.11
2.75
8 3 10 0.38 2.5
8 2 10 0.25
8 3 10 0.38
2.25
10 3 11 0.3 2
7 2 11 0.29
1.75
7 2 11 0.29
7 2 11 0.29 1.5
8 2 11 0.25 1.25
7 3 11 0.43
8 3 11 0.38 1
7 2 11 0.29 0.75
10 1 11 0.1
9 2 11 0.22 0.5
8 1 11 0.13 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5
7 2 11 0.29
7 2 11 0.29
9 2 11 0.22
9 3 11 0.33
8 2 12 0.25
7 3 12 0.43
8 2 12 0.25
8 2 12 0.25
10 1 12 0.1
8 3 12 0.38
9 3 12 0.33
10 1 12 0.1
9 3 12 0.33
9 3 12 0.33
9 3 13 0.33
7 2 13 0.29
8 2 13 0.25
7 2 13 0.29
8 2 13 0.25
8 1 13 0.13
8 3 13 0.38
8 3 13 0.38
8 1 13 0.13
9 2 13 0.22
8 2 13 0.25
9 2 14 0.22
8 1 14 0.13
7 2 14 0.29
7 3 14 0.43
8 3 14 0.38
9 2 14 0.22
10 2 14 0.2
8 2 14 0.25
9 2 14 0.22
9 3 14 0.33
8 3 15 0.38
9 3 15 0.33
9 3 15 0.33
10 3 15 0.3
10 3 15 0.3
10 3 15 0.3
10 3 15 0.3
10 3 15 0.3
9 3 15 0.33
8 3 15 0.38
7 2 15 0.29
10 3 15 0.3
7 1 15 0.14
8 3 15 0.38
8 3 15 0.38
9 2 15 0.22
8 3 16 0.38
8 2 16 0.25
7 3 16 0.43
9 2 16 0.22
8 3 16 0.38
CA
pressing
formula

10 12.5 15 17.5 20
Away
Home 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.01 0.13 0 0.17 0 0.23 0.01
1 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.13 0.07 0.2 0.07 0.25 0.06
2 0.15 0.01 0.14 0.06 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.12 0.29 0.06
3 0.2 0 0.2 0.07 0.19 0.1 0.2 0.18 0.13 0.18 0.09
4 0.27 0 0.25 0.07 0.27 0.11 0.29 0.17 0.15 0.08 0
5 0.35 0 0.26 0.01 0.24 0.06 0.38 0.23 0.14 0 home
6 0.24 0.04 0.19 0 0.43 0.14 0 0.5 home away
7 0.33 0 0.4 0 home away 0 0
home away home away home away

0.3
0.28
0.25
0 1 2 3 4 0.23
0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0 0
1 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07
0.2
2 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.18
3 0.19 0.2 0.18 0.19 0.15
4 0.25 0.25 0.28 0.23 0.15 0.15
0.13
0.1
0.08
0.05
0.03
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2

0.25

0 1 2 3 4 0.23
0 0.08 0.14 0.2 0.25 0.2
0.18
0.15
0.13
0.1
0.08
0.05
0.03
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
0.15
0.13
0.1
0.08
0.05
0.03
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
5 6 7
0.25 0 0.36 0 0
0.32 0 0.36 0 0.5
0.27 0 0.6 0 0
0.09 0 0 home away
1 0 0
away home away

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4


1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

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