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Corporate Fraud Culture: Re-Examining The Corporate Governance and Performance Relation
Corporate Fraud Culture: Re-Examining The Corporate Governance and Performance Relation
Abstract
doi: 10.1111/acfi.12156
1. Introduction
The authors would like to thank the following colleagues for their helpful comments and
feedback Robert Faff, Colin Ferguson, Emma Schultz, Tom Smith and Garry Twite;
and participants at the American Accounting Association Forensic Accounting meeting,
Denver, Colorado March 2015. In addition, we are grateful for funding and data from
the Australian Research Council, UNSW School of Business University of New South
Wales, Barclays Global Investors, Centre for Research in Finance, KPMG and the
Department of Accounting (University of Melbourne). All errors are our own.
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598 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
1
Also referred to as accounting fraud: Young and Peng (2013). The Australian regulator
does not maintain a public database such as the AAERs as is familiar to many
researchers.
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 599
argue that considerable managerial discretion may not only manifest itself as
misappropriation – managers may simply choose to do nothing (shirk) if that is
in their interests. If faced with a threat of fraud, it may be less costly personally
and to the firm to tolerate some loss by fraud given the cost of a proactive
campaign to prevent it. If fraud occurs, managers may be reluctant to report
misappropriation-type fraud perpetrated by nonmanagerial agents (e.g.
employees) or take action, because of the damage to their reputation as
managers (Karpoff et al., 2008) and the firm’s reputation when it comes to
major valuation impacts such as cost of capital (Graham et al., 2008).
If good corporate governance is effective in aligning the interests of a firm’s
agents and principals, then governance mechanisms are required – and will add
value – in firms that are experiencing a material divergence in principal–agent
interests. That is, corporate governance measures may reduce the extent of
fraud and improve the welfare of shareholders only in firms where agents of the
firm are prone to fraudulent behaviour. In well-managed firms, abiding by
strict governance standards may in fact be a costly endeavour that reduces its
efficiency by forcing a deviation from their optimal governance structure.
Studies have identified various triggers that encourage the occurrence of
corporate fraud, such as external pressures on management to perform,
opportunities for executives to deceive stakeholders and the absence of effective
oversight (Goodwin and Seow, 2002; Graycar and Smith, 2002; Birchfield,
2004; and Davidson et al., 2005). A corollary of the corporate fraud and
governance relation is that firms that have a high risk of corporate fraud react
differently to improvements in governance than firms that are at low risk of
fraud. That is, there is heterogeneity in the corporate governance and
performance relation across firms. The tendency of agents to commit fraud
determines the most effective and optimal governance structure for the firm,
among other factors. Indeed, there is ample research suggesting that corporate
governance is an endogenously determined characteristic of the firm (Hermalin
and Weisbach, 2003; Brown et al., 2011; and Coles et al., 2012). The dynamic
generalised method of moments (GMM) panel models can be applied to the
corporate governance and firm performance relation (Pathan and Skully, 2010;
Schultz et al., 2010; Pham et al., 2011; and Wintoki et al., 2012) to account for
the various forms of endogeneity that may be present2 .
Pragmatically, the researcher is only able to link observable fraud events with
observable firm characteristics, which is a major obstacle when analysing firms’
propensity for corporate fraud. However, it is very likely that a firm’s
propensity for corporate fraud is related to unobservable firm characteristics,
such as firm culture and management style. In this paper, we use the Heckman
(1979) correction for sample selection bias to account for the propensity of
corporate fraud based upon private (unobservable) information (Li and
2
Simultaneity, dynamic endogeneity and unobserved heterogeneity (see Wintoki et al.,
2012).
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600 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
Prabhala, 2007). We offer the search for the unobservable as the major
innovation of this paper; that is, this study incorporates the dynamic GMM
panel model with private corporate fraud information. The dynamic GMM
panel model is applied as it is robust to the endogenous nature of corporate
governance and will produce unbiased coefficient estimates.
In sum, the primary research questions are as follows:
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 601
governance and firm performance relation on the presence of fraud. Finally, the
corporate governance and firm performance relation is re-examined whilst
accounting for the likelihood of fraud based upon private (unobservable)
information. The findings show that corporate governance does not exhibit a
causal influence on financial performance and private fraud information – a
proxy for a firm’s culture or propensity for fraud – has no statistical impact on
firm performance.
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602 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
3. Empirical tests
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 603
P ¼ L:Pa þ Gb þ Xg þ E ð1Þ
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604 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
where
L is a one-period lag operator;
D is the time-differencing operator;
P is a N 9 1 vector of the firm performance measure across N observations;
a is a 1 9 1 scalar of the coefficient for the lag of the firm outcome measure,
L, P, across N observations;
G is a N 9 H matrix of the H corporate governance variables across N
observation;
b is a H 9 1 vector of coefficients for the H corporate governance variables;
X is a N 9 Q matrix of the Q firm control variables across N observations;
g is a Q 9 1 vector of coefficients for the Q firm control variables; and
E is a N 9 1 vector of error terms across N observations.
We identify valid instruments, including the lags of the endogenous and
predetermined variables. First, for the differenced equation in (1), for
potentially endogenous variables, such as G, lags of 2 and higher are valid
instruments, and for predetermined exogenous variables, such as X and L, P,
the lags of 1 and higher are available as instruments (Roodman, 2009; and
Arrelano and Bond, 1991).
Second, the lags of the differenced corporate governance, firm outcome and
control variables are employed as instruments for the level equation in (1). For
endogenous variables, the lags of 1 and higher of the differences are available as
valid instruments, and the current and lags of differences in the predetermined
variables are employed as instruments (Blundell and Bond, 1998; and
Roodman, 2009). The lag specification of the internal instruments is consistent
with Wintoki et al. (2012) and Schultz et al. (2010).
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 605
variable bias in estimation. As the sample firms are categorised as either fraud or
nonfraud, a probit regression determines the likelihood of fraud conditional on
observable firm characteristics. The conditional estimate of private fraud
information (otherwise known as the inverse mills ratio) is then included in the
estimation of the corporate governance and firm outcome relation for fraud
firms. This tests the corporate governance and firm performance/default relation
whilst controlling for the effects of the propensity for fraud. The dynamic system
GMM models are re-estimated with the conditional estimate of private fraud
information included as a predetermined regressor.
4. Data
Consistent with Ferguson et al. (2011), Schultz et al. (2010) and Hutchinson
et al. (2008), we measure the composition of board of directors, ownership
structure, and director and executive remuneration. Our sample period includes
the 2003 introduction of the ASX Principles of Good Corporate Governance and
Best Practice Recommendations. This initiative may have generated greater
time-series variation in the corporate governance measures of our sample.
3
In unreported results, we used the proportion of nonexecutive directors as an
alternative measure of board independence and the results remained consistent.
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606 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
The degree of a firm’s inside ownership has been claimed to alleviate agency
conflicts (Berle and Means, 1932; and Jensen and Meckling, 1976), although
high levels of inside ownership can lead to entrenchment, resulting in declines in
firm performance (Morck et al., 1988). Nonetheless, the degree of the firm’s
inside ownership is included as the results of the analysis may lend support to
either of the two theoretical arguments. Insider ownership (%INSIDE) is a
proxy for the level of executive and director ownership (Schultz et al., 2010).
Concentrated ownership can provide a shareholder with the incentive to
collect information and monitor management (Shleifer and Vishny, 1986).
Large outside shareholdings (%OUTSIDE) are defined as the sum of the
percentage held in the twenty largest shareholders by those who do not fall in
the category of ‘insiders’.
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 607
instances serve as valid indicators of fraud for this study, and both self-reported
and regulator-detected fraud are deemed equivalent.
During 2002–2008, the KPMG Fraud Survey was a joint study commis-
sioned biennially by KPMG Forensic, the University of Queensland and the
University of Melbourne. Data extracted from the 2002, 2004, 2006 and 2008
KPMG fraud survey comprise the sample. These data have been used in prior
research (Coram et al., 2008; and Chapple et al., 2009).
The 2000 to 2007 ASIC Annual Report publications and various media
releases were also used to identify the incidences of detected corporate fraud
within Australia. Similarly, the information retrieved from the ASIC Annual
Reports and media releases are matched with the firms in our sample. ASIC
media releases have been the source of data used in prior studies (Sharma,
2004; and Chapple and Tan, 2012).
There are several firm- and industry-specific factors that are known to have a
significant influence on both corporate performance and governance standards,
consistent with recent studies of the performance and corporate governance
relation (Schultz et al., 2010; Pham et al., 2011; and Yarram and Dollery,
2015). Table 1 contains the definitions of the corporate governance, firm
performance and control variables used in this study.
The corporate governance and control variables (excluding the measure for
systematic risk4 ) are included as regressors in the first stage (probit-link model
of FRAUD) of the Heckman procedure. Prior research demonstrates a link
between a firm’s strength in corporate governance and its likelihood to
experience incidences of fraud (Sharma, 2004; Chapple et al., 2009; and
Chapple and Tan, 2012), supporting the inclusion of the corporate governance
measures as determinants of FRAUD. As the purpose of the Heckman
procedure is to estimate the private (unobservable) fraud characteristics of a
firm using the inverse Mills ratio, the probit-link model includes all observable
firm characteristics that may influence FRAUD. As these firm characteristics
are linked to performance, control variables are likely to also influence FRAUD
as it has been found that there exists a relation between firm performance and
fraud occurrences (Bowen et al., 2008; and Malone et al., 2010).
Financial companies (SIC codes 6000 to 6999) are excluded from the
analysis. To minimise the impact of potential outliers, all variables are trimmed
at the 1st and 99th percentile. Observations missing any of the aforementioned
variables in any year are excluded. Hence, there are 974 annual firm-year
4
Due to the exclusion restrictions of the Heckman model.
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608 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
Table 1
Variables and definitions
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 609
Table 1 (continued)
observations, spanning the period of 2000 to 2007. There are 222 firms
spanning up to 8 years of observations in this unbalanced panel data set. Based
on the KPMG Fraud data, ASIC Annual Reports and media releases, 42 firms
in the data set are categorised as fraud firms. The subsample of fraud firms
consists of 212 firm-year observations. Table 2 outlines the descriptive statistics
of the corporate governance and firm performance variables for the full sample
and the subset of fraud and nonfraud firms.
The first panel contains the descriptive statistics for the full sample of firms –
fraud and nonfraud firms. On average, company executives receive a large
proportion (32 percent) of their compensation as variable or performance based,
in contrast to nonexecutive directors who receive only 7 percent in variable pay.
As recommended by the ASX guidelines, few firms (only 3 percent) have the CEO
serving concurrently as the chairperson, and the majority of the directors are
nonexecutive (the ratio of nonexecutive to executive directors is 4:1, on average).
An average low level of insider ownership (1.82 percent) is expected in our top
200 samples. Similarly, we expect and find a high level of institutional ownership
in the top 200 firms (large outside shareholders, on average, hold 61.45 percent).
The statistics of the nonfraud firms comprising 78 percent of the sample (Panel 2
of Table 2) do not differ significantly from those of the full sample.
Panel 3 reports the descriptive statistics of the fraud sample compared with
the nonfraud sample. In unreported statistics, fraud firms in our sample are
substantially larger than nonfraud firms: the average fraud firm has a book
value of $AUD1.80 million (market capitalisation of $AUD4.7 million), where
as the averagen on fraud firm in the sample has a book value of $AUD0.58
million (market capitalisation of $AUD1.9 million)5 . Overall, fraud firms are
substantially different from nonfraud firms, although these findings (e.g. board
size) are most likely attributed to the large differences in firm size.
Total executive pay in fraud firms (over $AUD287,720) is higher than in
nonfraud firms, on average. Fraud firms tend to have a higher proportion of
nonexecutive directors than nonfraud firms with a POWER.RATIO of 4.54.
5
This difference is statistically significant at the 1 percent level.
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610 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
Table 2
Descriptive statistics of firm performance and corporate governance measures
The notation is as defined in Table 1. The fraud sample statistics include the results of the 2-
sample t-test (unequal variances) of differences with the sample of nonfraud sample. The null
hypothesis is that the difference is equal to 0. *, ** and *** denote significance at the 10, 5 and
1 percent level, respectively.
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 611
5. Results
5.2 Results: the dynamic system GMM model for fraud firms
Dynamic system GMM model (1) is estimated using moment conditions (2)
for the subsample of fraud firms only. Lags 1 of the predetermined variables
Table 3
The Durbin–Wu–Hausman test for endogeneity of regressors
Q TR ROA PR
** and *** denote significance – and the rejection of H0 – at the 5 and 1 percent level,
respectively. The test is based on the levels of firm performance on the corporate governance
and control variables. The instruments are the lags of the differenced firm performance,
corporate governance and control variables. Lags 1 of the differenced corporate governance
variables, lags 0 and 1 of the differenced control variables and lags 1 and 2 of the differenced
firm performance measures are employed as instruments. The test is performed on the
corporate governance and control variables. The test statistic follows a chi-squared
distribution with p degrees of freedom, where p is the number of regressors tested for
endogeneity. The null hypothesis states that all regressors are exogenous. Year dummies are
included to account for contemporaneous correlations in the errors across firms. Industry
dummies are included to account for industry-specific characteristics, with industries defined
by SIC categories. Year and industry dummies are treated as exogenous variables.
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612 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
The first stage of the Heckman correction for private information involves
the estimation of the probit-link regression of the fraud firm indicator variable,
FRAUD, on the corporate governance measures and various firm character-
istics. Due to the exclusion restrictions of implementing the Heckman
correction procedure, the firm characteristics employed in the probit-link
model are a subset, Z, of the firm control variables, X, and the corporate
governance measures, G. Z consists of all the corporate governance and firm
control variables outlined in Table 1 except for BETA7 . Table 5 contains the
results of the first-stage regression of the Heckman procedure.
Note that the likelihood ratio (LR) statistic is statistically significant at the 5
percent level, indicative that the probit model is jointly significant in explaining
variation in FRAUD. Although we observed a tangible difference in average
firm size in Table 2 across fraud and nonfraud firms, FIRM.SIZE is not
statistically significant once controlling for other firm-level characteristics. In
6
Results of the first-stage regression are unreported. Contact the corresponding author
for details.
7
A priori, one would expect that the systematic risk of a firm is orthogonal to its
propensity for fraud. It is reasonable to assume that corporate fraud remains unpriced
by financial markets and hence is an unsystematic risk.
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Table 4
The performance and corporate governance relation dynamic system GMM model
Regressor Q TR ROA PR
© 2015 AFAANZ
NON.EXE.VAR.PAY 1.79E-06 (1.52E-05) 1.41E-06 (5.94E-06) 3.42E-05 (1.03E-05) 7.23E-07 (1.83E-06)
DUALITY 0.6644 (3.3080) 0.9506 (0.9333) 13.9433 (12.2530) 0.1536 (0.2058)
POWER.RATIO 0.0035 (0.0926) 0.0528 (0.0321) 0.2665 (0.3870) 0.0059 (0.0105)
BOARD.SIZE 0.0789 (0.1769) 0.026 (0.0530) 0.3503 (0.6474) 0.0064 (0.0106)
%INSIDE 0.0322 (0.0867) 0.0147 (0.0393) 0.6326 (0.4924) 0.0067 (0.0057)
%OUTSIDE 0.0018 (0.0185) 0.0055 (0.0067) 0.1959 (0.1349) 0.0015 (0.0015)
FIRM.SIZE 0.55 (0.6806) 0.1129 (0.3981) 3.8152 (2.4042) 0.0652 (0.0356)
CAPEX 0.0029 (0.0104) 0.0005 (0.0056) 0.0904 (0.0883) 0.0001 (0.0008)
LEVERAGE 1.4162 (0.9704) 1.0061 (0.8531) 14.2951 (10.2703) 0.1386 (0.1132)
RandD 0.1051 (0.2617) 0.0264 (0.1379) 2.7156 (2.2647) 0.0155 (0.0172)
CONCENTRATION 1.0672 (2.8724) 0.2161 (1.3625) 3.8025 (10.1478) 0.1183 (0.1412)
BETA 0.0102 (0.2504) 0.1072 (0.0791) 0.3893 (1.1553) 0.004 (0.0142)
SPECIFIC 0.0329 0.2331 0.0123 0.1806 0.9227 1.3421 0.0162 0.0166
Observations 151 151 151 151
No. of instruments 35 35 35 35
No. of groups 37 37 37 37
J-statistics 15.03 17.54 21.72 15.15
Arellano-Bond AR(1) 2.48** 2.90*** 2.95** 1.62
Arellano-Bond AR(2) 0.26 0.09 0.53 0.46
The notation is as defined in Table 1. *, ** and *** denote significance at the 10, 5 and 1 percent level, respectively. RandD.REPORT-
ING.DUMMY is unreported for the sake of brevity. INDUSTRY.DUMMY, YEAR.DUMMY, SEPT.DUMMY and DEC.DUMMY are
excluded as regressors and instruments. L. is a lag operator. The parameter estimates are produced using the two-step GMM procedure, with the
inverse of the variance–covariance matrix of the moment conditions as the weighting matrix. The HAC robust two-step standard errors,
incorporating the Windmeijer (2005) small-sample correction, are included in parentheses. The lag 2 of the levels of corporate governance
D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
variables and lags 1 of the controls are used as instruments and are collapsed to preserve sample depth. The J-statistic follows a chi-squared
distribution with (l-r) degrees of freedom, where l is the number of moment conditions and r is the parameters to be estimated, with H0: the
moment conditions are correctly specified. The Arellano-Bond test statistic follows an asymptotic normal distribution, with H0: no
autocorrelation of order v in the differenced errors. The sample size is 151 as lags of the endogenous and predetermined variables of the 212 fraud
613
firm-year observations were used as instruments, resulting in some observations being dropped.
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614 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
Table 5
Determinants of corporate fraud probit-link model
The notation is as defined in Table 1.*, ** and *** denote significance at the 10, 5 and 1 percent
level, respectively. Industry dummies are included (though unreported) to account for industry-
specific characteristics, with industries defined by SIC categories. Estimates for
RandD.REPORTING, SEPT.DUMMY and DEC.DUMMY are unreported for the sake of
brevity. The cross-sectional firm averages of these values are calculated and applied to the
specification. The likelihood ratio (LR) statistic tests the null hypothesis that the model
coefficients are jointly insignificant. Robust standard errors are reported in parenthesis. The
sample size of 223 represents the total number of firms in the full sample.
unreported results, firm size and executive fixed and variable pay are highly
correlated (0.70 and 0.60, respectively). When executive fixed and variable pay
are omitted from the probit model, the coefficient of firm size is statistically
significant at the 1 percent level. Formal tests suggest that multicollinearity is
not present in the model.
5.3.2 Results: stage 2 – the dynamic system GMM model and private fraud
information
The inverse Mills ratio (MILLS) is calculated using the estimates of the first-
stage probit-link model and acts as a proxy for unobservable factors
influencing the firm’s culture of fraud. The dynamic system GMM is re-
estimated for the corporate governance and firm outcome relation with MILLS
included as an exogenous regressor. Using the subsample of fraud firms, this
specification uncovers the marginal impact of the corporate governance
mechanisms on firm outcomes when controlling for the firm’s propensity for
fraud. Moreover, this model directly tests the hypothesis that the firm’s
likelihood of fraud influences firm performance. Lags 1 of the predetermined
variables and lags 2 of the endogenous variables are instruments in the
differenced equation. Lags 0 of the difference predetermined variables and lags
1 of the difference endogenous variables are instruments in the level equation.
The results of the dynamic system GMM specification are contained in
Table 6.
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Table 6
The performance, corporate governance and fraud relation dynamic system GMM model
Regressor Q TR ROA PR
© 2015 AFAANZ
NON.EXE.FIX.PAY 4.23E-06* (2.45E-06) 0.0003 (0.0002) 2.55E-05 (3.41E-05) 4.69E-07 (3.96E-07)
NON.EXE.VAR.PAY 7.25E-06 6.92E-06 0.0003 (0.0005) 2.46E-05 (9.18E05) 6.79E-07 (8.29E-07)
DUALITY 2.0809 (2.3108) 124.3622 (124.7092) 4.7574 (13.5864) 0.0047 (0.1599)
POWER.RATIO 0.0135 (0.0836) 3.5458 (4.7583) 0.1235 (1.0639) 0.0004 (0.0111)
BOARD.SIZE 0.1053 (0.0902) 3.4993 (7.2463) 1.0404 (1.4046) 0.007 (0.0160)
%INSIDE 0.0065 (0.0391) 0.7179 (1.6253) 0.3902 (0.4629) 0.0030 (0.0041)
%OUTSIDE 0.0130 (0.0114) 0.0804 (0.6954) 0.0818 (0.2315) 0.0003 (0.0025)
FIRM.SIZE 0.0073 (0.2248) 38.4563** (17.9968) 10.2457** (3.9775) 0.0708 (0.0542)
CAPEX 0.0001 (0.0006) 0.1070 (0.0987) 0.0132 (0.0219) 0.0001 (0.0003)
LEVERAGE 1.213852 (0.9653) 165.8688** (68.2112) 54.6792*** (16.592) 0.6548*** (0.1982)
RandD 0.0247* (0.0133) 0.4126 (0.8645) 0.3980* (0.2469) 0.0055 (0.0036)
CONCENTRATION 0.0942 (0.8252) 6.9390 (90.2448) 14.5074 (13.7126) 0.1035 (0.1595)
BETA 0.0626 (0.0824) 10.0269 (7.7212) 0.5252 (1.373) 0.0020 (0.0165)
SPECIFIC 0.0845 (0.0714) 5.1140 (7.8033) 0.6745 (1.3815) 0.0128 (0.0152)
Observations 662 662 662 662
No. of instruments 54 54 54 54
No. of groups 188 188 188 188
J-statistics 10.15 14.32 17.10 15.68
Arellano-Bond AR(1) 1.80** 3.66*** 1.92** 2.21**
Arellano-Bond AR(2) 0.95 0.34 0.25 0.00
The notation is as defined in Table 1. *, ** and *** denote significance at the 10, 5 and 1 percent level, respectively. RandD.REPORT-
ING.DUMMY, INDUSTRY.DUMMY, YEAR.DUMMY, SEPT.DUMMY and DEC.DUMMY are unreported for the sake of brevity. L. is a lag
operator. The parameter estimates are produced using the two-step GMM procedure, with the inverse of the variance–covariance matrix of the
moment conditions as the weighting matrix. The HAC robust two-step standard errors, incorporating the Windmeijer (2005) small-sample
D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
correction, are included in parentheses. The lag 2 of the levels of corporate governance variables and lags 1 of the controls are used as instruments
and are collapsed to preserve sample depth. The J-statistic follows a chi-squared distribution with (l-r) degrees of freedom, where l is the number of
moment conditions and r is the parameters to be estimated, with H0: the moment conditions are correctly specified. The Arellano-Bond test statistic
follows an asymptotic normal distribution, with H0: no autocorrelation of order v in the differenced errors. The sample size is 662 as lags of the
endogenous and predetermined variables of the 974 firm-year observations were used as instruments, resulting in some observations being dropped.
615
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616 D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620
6. Robustness
8
Results of the first-stage regression are unreported. Contact the corresponding author
for details
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D. T. Tan et al./Accounting and Finance 57 (2017) 597–620 617
relation for fraud firms only; second, the firm’s likelihood of fraud – including
information typically unobservable to the researcher – is incorporated into the
dynamic system GMM model.
Confirming the results of Wintoki et al. (2012) and Schultz et al. (2010), a
firm’s internal corporate governance structure has no statistically significant
impact on performance once endogeneity has been accounted for. Our findings
reaffirm this result for a sample of firms that have experienced instances of
corporate fraud. That is, corporate governance mechanisms are endogenously
determined (optimised) characteristics of the firm and are not determinants of
firm performance.
The first-stage of the Heckman procedure finds that the firm characteristics
considered in this study are jointly significant in predicting fraud and nonfraud
firms. However, individual coefficient estimates are insignificant, suggesting a
high degree of correlation among regressors. Indeed, we find this to be the case
for firm size and the level of executive compensation.
Using the full sample of fraud and nonfraud firms, the second stage of the
Heckman procedure added the inverse Mills ratio as an exogenous regressor in
the dynamic system GMM model of performance and governance. Leverage,
firm size, and research and development have a statistically significant influence
on selected performance measures. There is also weak evidence of nonexecutive
fixed pay having an impact on Tobin’s Q. That is, the average fixed component
of remuneration for nonexecutive directors has a positive effect on a firm’s
Tobin’s Q. The results of the GMM estimates for the full sample differ from
those of the subsample of fraud firms. This is likely due to the smaller sample
size, the adjustments to the data set due to the smaller sample size and/or the
power of the tests given the relatively high instrument count in the fraud-only
subsample of firms. Finally, the coefficient estimate for the inverse Mills ratio is
statistically insignificant, which suggests that private fraud information – or
firm fraud culture – has no impact on firm performance.
These findings are consistent with the growing literature on the equilibrium
view of corporate governance and the firm – that is, firms choose their
governance structure based on public and private firm information or are a
result of other firm characteristics/shocks (see Hermalin and Weisbach, 2003;
Schultz et al., 2010; and Wintoki et al., 2012). As such, exogenous adjustments
in its corporate governance mechanisms are inconsequential to firm outcomes,
regardless of the firm culture and propensity of corporate fraud occurrences.
Exogenous adjustments or ‘strengthening’ of the corporate governance
mechanisms employed in this study are not expected to improve firm
performance – with or without the presence of a culture of fraud.
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