Data Kelompok 6

BAB IV
PENGUMPULAN DAN PENGOLAHAN DATA
A. Pengumpulan Data
1. Lampiran Mata Dadu
Tabel 4.1
Pelemparan mata dadu
Mata daduJumlah
1 9
2 5
3 8
4 6
5 6
6 8
Total 42
Sumber : Pengumpulan data
2. Pelemparan Uang Koin
Tabel 4.2
Teori pelemparan uang koin
Variasi Jumlah
AAAA 2
AAAG 5
AAGA 5
AGAA 3
GAAA 2
AAGG 2
AGGA 4
AGAG 3
GAGA 2
GAAG 3
GGAA 3
AGGG 2
GAGG 1
GGAG 2
GGGA 1
GGGG 2
Total 42
3. Percobaan pengambilan kelereng
Tabel 4.3
Pengambilan Kelereng
Kelereng Tanda Tanpa tandJumlah
Mera 4 9 13
Kuning 6 6 12
Hijau 10 7 17
Total 20 22 42
4. Pengamatan Halte Busway berdasarkan Kaidah Bayes

a. Pengamatan di Halte Busway A
Tabel 4.4
Pengamatan di Halte Busway A
Time in out
12.00-12.05 27 17
12.05-12.10 24 11
12.10-12.15 22 8
12.15-12.20 26 18
12.20-12.25 7 3
12.25-12.30 11 29
12.30-12.35 10 0
12.35-12.40 16 19
12.40-12.45 15 7
12.45-12.50 16 21
12.50-12.55 22 9
12.55-13.00 11 0
13.00-13.05 20 35
13.05-13.10 14 12
13.10-13.15 26 21
13.15-13.20 14 2
13.20-13.25 15 15
13.25-13.30 13 32
13.30-13.35 22 48
13.35-13.40 13 15
13.40-13.45 6 5
13.45-13.50 21 15
13.50-13.55 10 19
13.55-14.00 16 20
Jumlah 397 381
b. Pengamatan di Halte Busway B
Tabel 4.5
Pengamatan di Halte Busway B
Time in out
13.00-13.05 8 10
13.05-13.10 7 11
13.10-13.15 8 2
13.15-13.20 5 11
13.20-13.25 4 10
13.25-13.30 11 16
13.30-13.35 6 5
13.35-13.40 3 10
13.40-13.45 4 2
13.45-13.50 10 20
13.50-13.55 6 3
13.55-14.00 10 8
14.00-14.05 2 4
14.05-14.10 2 2
14.10-14.15 2 6
14.15-14.20 1 5
14.20-14.25 4 2
14.25-14.30 3 10
14.30-14.35 6 5
14.35-14.40 3 7
14.40-14.45 6 4
14.45-14.50 7 3
14.50-14.55 10 4
14.55-15.00 13 7
Jumlah 141 167
c. Pengamatan di Halte Busway C
Tabel 4.6
Pengamatan di Halte Busway C
Time in out
18.10-18.15 1 1
18.15-18.20 3 4
18.20-18.25 5 2
18.25-18.30 7 3
18.30-18.35 3 3
18.35-18.40 2 1
18.40-18.45 4 2
18.45-18.50 1 0
18.50-18.55 2 3
18.55-19.00 2 1
19.00-19.05 7 11
19.05-19.10 4 0
19.10-19.15 0 2
19.15-19.20 3 0
19.20-19.25 2 0
19.25-19.30 1 2
19.30-19.35 1 0
19.35-19.40 1 0
19.40-19.45 0 0
19.45-19.50 3 0
19.50-19.55 2 1
19.55-20.00 0 0
20.00-20.05 2 0
20.05-20.10 8 11
Jumlah 64 47
B. Pengolahan Data
1. Pelemparan mata dadu
a. Berdasarkan teori
Tabel 4.7
Teori pelemparan mata dadu
Mata daduJumlah Peluang
1 1 1/6
2 1 1/6
3 1 1/6
4 1 1/6
5 1 1/6
6 1 1/6
Total 6 1
Sumber : Pengumpulan Data
1). P(A) = P(1)+P(2)+P(3)

= 1/6+1/6+1/6
= 1/2
= 0.5
2).P(B) = P(2)+P(3)+P(6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6
= 1/2
0.5
3).P(C) = P(1)+P(3)+P(5)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6
= 1/2
= 0.5
4). P (𝐴∩𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

= P(2)
= 1/6 0.17
5). P (𝐴∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

= P(1) P(2)
= 1/6+1/6 0.33
6). P (𝐵∩𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)
= P(0)
= 0
7). P (𝐴∪𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

= P(1,2,3,4,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 5/6
= 0.83
8). P (𝐴∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,5)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 4/6
= 0.67
9). P (𝐵∪𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,4,5,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 6/6
= 1
10).P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,4,5,6)
= 1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6+1/6
= 6/6
= 1
11). P (𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(2)
= 1/6 0.17
P (𝐴∪𝐶) = P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐶)

= (0,5)+(0,5)-(0,33)
= 0.67
P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐵)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐶)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶)

= (0,5)+(0,5)+(0,5)-(0,17)-(0,33)-(0,17)
= 0.83
b. Berdasarkan Praktek
Tabel 4.8
Praktek pelemparan mata dadu
Mata daduJumlah Peluang
1 9 9/42
2 5 5/42
3 8 8/42
4 6 6/42
5 6 6/42
6 8 8/42
Total 42
Sumber : Pengumpulan Data
1). P(A) = P(1)+P(2)+P(3)

= 9/42+5/42+8/42
= 22/42
= 0.52
2).P(B) = P(2)+P(3)+P(6)
= 5/42+8/42+8/42
= 22/42
0.52
3).P(C) = P(1)+P(3)+P(5)
= 9/42+8/42+6/42
= 22/42
= 0.52
4). P (𝐴∩𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

= P(2)
= 5/42 0.12
5). P (𝐴∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

= P(1) P(3)
= 9/42+8/42 0.40
6). P (𝐵∩𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(0)
= 0
7). P (𝐴∪𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

= P(1,2,3,4,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(6)
= 9/42+5/42+8/42+42/42+8/42
= 33/42
= 0.79
8). P (𝐴∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,5)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(5)
= 9/42+5/42+8/42+6/42
= 28/42
= 0.67
9). P (𝐵∪𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,4,5,6)
= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)+P(6)
= 9/42+5/42+8/42+6/42+6/42+8/42
= 42/42
= 1
10).P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(1,2,3,4,5,6)
= 9/42+5/42+8/42+6/42+6/42+8/42
= 42/42
= 1
11). P (𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

= P(1)+P(2)+P(3)
= 22/42 0.52
P (𝐴∪𝐶) = P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐶)

= (0,52)+(0,52)-(0,40)
= 0.54
P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐵)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐶)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶)

= (0,52)+(0,52)+(0,52)-(0,12)-(0,40)-(0,54)
= 0.5
a. Berdasarkan Teori
Tabel 4.9
Teori Pelemparan Koin
Variansi Jumlah Peluang
AAAA 1 0,06
AAAG 1 0,06
AAGA 1 0,06
AGAA 1 0,06
GAAA 1 0,06
AAGG 1 0,06
AGGA 1 0,06
AGAG 1 0,06
GAGA 1 0,06
GAAG 1 0,06
GGAA 1 0,06
AGGG 1 0,06
GAGG 1 0,06
GGAG 1 0,06
GGGA 1 0,06
GGGG 1 0,06
Total 16 1
Sumber : Pengolahan Data
Tentukan!
1). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
2). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
3). P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
4). P(D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
P(GAGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
5). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
6). P(B') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+

P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
7). P(C') = P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+

P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5
8). P(D') = P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(AGGG)+

P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.5

P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(A ∩ B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
P(A ∩ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19
P(D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
P(A ∩ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19
12). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

P(B ∩ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25
13). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

P(D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
P(B ∩ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
P(B ∩ D) = 0.25

P(C ∩ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(GGAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(B') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+
P(A ∩ B') = P(AGAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19

P(C') = P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+
P(A ∩ C') = P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(D') = P(AGGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A ∩ D') = P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(B ∩ C') = P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(B ∩ D') = P(AAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19
P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(C ∩ D') = P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19
P(A' ∩ B') = P(GAAA)+P(GGGA)+P(GGAG)+P(GGAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.25

P(A' ∩ C') = P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GAGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A' ∩ D') = P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)
= 1/16+1/16
= 0.13

P(B' ∩ C') = P(GGGG)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16
= 0.13
P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(B' ∩ D') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(C' ∩ D') = P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.19

P(A∩B∩C∩D) = P(AAAA)
= 0.06

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A'∩B'∩C'∩D') = P(GGGG)
= 0.06

P(A ꓴ B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+
P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75
P(A ꓴ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+
P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(A ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+
P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(B ꓴ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+
P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(B ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+
P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(C ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+
P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(A ꓴ B') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+
P(GGAG)+P(GAAA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(A ꓴ B') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16
= 0.69

P(B ꓴ C') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+
P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(B ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AGAG)+
P(GGGG)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(C ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+
P(GAGG)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(A' ꓴ B') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+
P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGAA)+
P(AGGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16
= 0.69

P(A' ꓴ C') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+
P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AAGG)+
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A' ꓴ D') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+
P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AGAG)+
P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(B' ꓴ C') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+
P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+
P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.81

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(B' ꓴ D') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+
P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(GAGG)+
P(AAGG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16
= 0.69
P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(C' ꓴ D') = P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+
P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)+
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16
= 0.75

P(AꓴBꓴCꓴD) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
= P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+
P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GAAA)+P(GGGA)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.88

P(AAGG) + P(GGAG)
P(A'ꓴB'ꓴC'ꓴD') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+
P(GGGA)+P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+
P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
= 1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16+1/16
= 0.94
49). P(A|B) = P(B ∩ A) = 0.25 = 0.5
P(B) 0.5
50). P(A|C) = P(C ∩ A) = 0.19 = 0.38

P(C) 0.5
51). P(A|D) = P(D ∩ A) = 0.19 = 0.38

P(D) 0.5
52). P(B|C) = P(C ∩ B) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(C) 0.5
53). P(B|D) = P(D ∩ B) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(D) 0.5
54). P(C|D) = P(D ∩ C) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(D) 0.5
55). P(A|B') = P(B'∩A) = 0.19 = 0.38

P(B') 0.5
56). P(A|C') = P(C'∩A) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(C') 0.5
57). P(A|D') = P(D'∩A) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(D') 0.5
58). P(B|C') = P(C'∩B) = 0.25 = 0.5

P(C') 0.5
59). P(B|D') = P(D'∩B) = 0.19 = 0.38

P(D') 0.5
60). P(C|D') = P(D'∩C) = 0.19 = 0.38

P(D') 0.5
61). P(A'|B') = P(B'∩A') = 0.25 = 0.5

P(B') 0.5
62). P(A'|C') = P(C'∩A') = 0.19 = 0.38
P(C') 0.5
63). P(A'|D') = P(D'∩A') = 0.13 = 0.26

P(D') 0.5
64). P(B'|C') = P(C'∩B') = 0.13 = 0.26

P(C') 0.5
65). P(B'|D') = P(D'∩B') = 0.19 = 0.38

P(D') 0.5
66). P(C'|D') = P(D'∩C') = 0.19 = 0.38

P(D') 0.5
AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+
GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+
GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+
AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(AGGG)+
AAAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAGG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAGG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGGA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AGAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGAA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AAGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGGG)+P(AGGG)+P(AGAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAAA)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(GAGG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
AGGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+
AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+
AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
16+1/16+1/6+1/16+1/16+1/16+
Tabel 4.9
Teori pelemparan uang koin
Variasi Jumlah peluang
AAAA 2 0.05
AAAG 5 0.12
AAGA 5 0.12
AGAA 3 0.07
GAAA 2 0.05
AAGG 2 0.05
AGGA 4 0.10
AGAG 3 0.07
GAGA 2 0.05
GAAG 3 0.07
GGAA 3 0.07
AGGG 2 0.05
GAGG 1 0.02
GGAG 2 0.05
GGGA 1 0.02
GGGG 2 0.05
Total 42 1
Sumber : pengolahan data
Tentukan!
1). P(A) P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.54
2). P(B) P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

= 2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.46
3). P(C) P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

= 2/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+3/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.54
4). P(D) P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
= 2/48+1/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+3/48
= 0.73
5). P(A') P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.33
6). P(B') P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+

= 3/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.9
7). P(C') P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+

= 3/48+2/48+1/48+2/48+2/48+5/48+4/48+2/48
= 1.19
8). P(D') P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(AGGG)+

P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 5/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.38

P(A ∩ B) =P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)
2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48
0.29

P(A ∩ C) =P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)
= 2/48+6/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.25

P(A ∩ D) =P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)
2/48+1/48+3/48+2/48
0.17
12). P(B) =
P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG+
P(B ∩ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAG)
= 2/48+6/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.27
13. P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+

P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
P(D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
P(B ꓵ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)
= 2/48+1/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.15
14. P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+

P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
P(C ꓵ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(GGAA)
= 2/48+3/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.19
15. P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+

P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
P(B') = P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
P(A ꓵ B') = P(AGAA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
= 2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.10

P(C') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
P(A ꓵ C') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
= 1/48+1/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.13

P(D') = P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+
P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
P(A ꓵ D') = P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
= 6/48+1/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.77

P(B ꓵ C') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)
= 1/48+1/48+2/48+1/48
= 0.10

P(B ꓵ D') = P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
= 6/48+1/48+2/48+1/48
= 0.21
P(C ꓵ D') = P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAG)
= 6/48+1/48+2/48+3/48
= 0.25
21. P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+

P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
P(A' ꓵ B') = P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+3/48+3/48+3/48
= 0.79

P(A' ꓵ C') = P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+1/48+3/48+3/48
= 0.19

P(A' ꓵ D') = P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+1/48+3/48+3/48
= 0.19
24.P(B') = P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
P(B' ꓵ C') = P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48
= 0.21
P(B' ꓵ D') = P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 1/48+2/48+3/48+3/48
= 0.19
26. P(C') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+

P(C' ꓵ D') = P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGG)
= 1/48+2/48+1/48+3/48
= 0.15

P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
P(A ꓵ B ꓵ C ꓵ D) = P(AAAA)
= 0.05

P(A' ꓵ B' ꓵ C' ꓵ D') = P(GGGG)
= 0.05

P(A ꓴ B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+
= P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.71

P(A ꓴ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(GAAA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
= 2/48+5/48+2/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.63

P(A ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.71

P(B ꓴ C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+
= P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+
= 3/48+1/48+3/48+3/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.69

P(B ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(GGAA)+P(GGGA)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+
= 3/48+1/48+3/48+4/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.69

P(C ꓴ D) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+
= P(AAGA)+PAGGA)+P(GAGA)+P(GGGA)
= 2/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+
= 3/48+2/48+5/48+4/48+2/48+1/48
= 0.73

P(A ꓴ B') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(GGAA)+PP(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+3/48+2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.71

P(A ꓴ C') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(GAGA)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+2/48+1/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.67

P(A ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.71

P(B ꓴ C') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+
= 3/48+1/48+4/48+2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.65

P(B ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48+
= 3/48+1/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.65

P(C ꓴ D') = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+
= P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GGAG)+
= P(AAGG)+P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGG)
= 2/48+5/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+3/48+
= 3/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+1/48+2/48
= 0.63

P(A' ꓴ B') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+
= P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
= P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+3/48+4/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.58

P(A' ꓴ C') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+
= P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(AGGG)
= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+5/48+2/48+4/48+2/48
= 0.60
P(A' ꓴ D') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+
= P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)
= 2/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+1/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+5/48+2/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.58
P(B' ꓴ C') = P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
= P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
= P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(GGAG)
= 3/48+4/48+3/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+5/48+2/48+2/48+2/48
= 0.65
P(B' ꓴ D') = P(AGAA)+P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(GGAA)+
= P(AGGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
= P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(GAAG)+P(GAGG)
= 3/48+4/48+3/48+3/48+2/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+5/48+2/48+3/48+1/48
= 0.65
46. P(C') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+

P(C' ꓴ D') = P(AAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AGGA)+P(GAGA)+
= P(AGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGGA)+P(GGGG)+
= P(AAAG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAG)
= 5/48+2/48+4/48+2/48+2/48+1/48+
= 1/48+2/48+5/48+3/48+3/48+2/48
= 0.67

P(AꓴB)n(CꓴD) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(AAGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GAAA)+
= P(GGGA)
= 2/48+5/48+5/48+3/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
= 3/48+2/48+2/48+1/48+2/48+2/48+1/48
= 0.77
P(A'ꓴB'ꓴC'ꓴD') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+
= P(AGGA)+P(GGGA)+P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+
= P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)+
= P(AGGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AAAG)
= 3/48+2/48+3/48+3/48+3/48+4/48+1/48+2/48+
= 1/48+2/48+2/48+5/48+4/48+3/48+5/48
= 0.90
49). P(A|B) = P(B ∩ A) = 0.22 = 0.56

P(B) 0.39
50). P(A|C) = P(C ∩ A) = 0.19 = 0.34

P(C) 0.56
51). P(A|D) = P(D ∩ A) = 0.11 = 0.26
P(D) 0.42
52). P(B|C) = P(C ∩ B) = 0.28 = 0.5

P(C) 0.56
53). P(B|D) = P(D ∩ B) = 0.28 = 0.67

P(D) 0.42
54). P(C|D) = P(D ∩ C) = 0.19 = 0.45

P(D) 0.42
55). P(A|B') = P(B'∩A) = 0.14 = 0.28

P(B') 0.5
56). P(A|C') = P(C'∩A) = 0.14 = 0.39

P(C') 0.36
57). P(A|D') = P(D'∩A) = 0.25 = 0.60

P(D') 0.42
58). P(B|C') = P(C'∩B) = 0.08 = 0.22

P(C') 0.36
59). P(B|D') = P(D'∩B) = 0.06 = 0.14

P(D') 0.42
60). P(C|D') = P(D'∩C) = 0.11 = 0.26

P(D') 0.42
61). P(A'|B') = P(B'∩A') = 0.14 = 0.28

P(B') 0.5
62). P(A'|C') = P(C'∩A') = 0.14 = 0.39

P(C') 0.36
63). P(A'|D') = P(D'∩A') = 0.03 = 0.07

P(D') 0.42
64). P(B'|C') = P(C'∩B') = 0.08 = 0.22
P(C') 0.36
65). P(B'|D') = P(D'∩B') = 0.17 = 0.40

P(D') 0.42
66). P(C'|D') = P(D'∩C') = 0.06 = 0.14

P(D') 0.42
GA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+
GA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+
AA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
AA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
AG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+
AA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+
GG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+
AG)+P(GAAG)+P(AGGG)+
AA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+
AA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGGA)+
AA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG+
ulang
AAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+
GGA)+P(AGAG)+P(AGGG)+
AGG)+P(GGAG)+P(GAAA)+
+3/48+3/48+2/48+4/48+
GGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+
GGA)+P(GGAG)+P(AGGG)+
AGA)+P(AAGG)+P(AAGA)+
+3/48+3/48+4/48+1/48+2/48+
3. Percobaan Pengambilan Kelereng
Tabel 4.
Teori Pengambilan Kelereng
Kelereng Tanda Tanpa Tanda Jumlah
Merah (M) 3 2 5
Kuning (K) 2 4 6
Hijau (H) 2 2 4
Total 7 8 15
Sumber: Pengolahan Data
Tentulan!
1. P (KM|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝑀)) =(3/5)/ 1.29
/(𝑃(𝑇)) (7/15)
2. P (KK|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝐾)) = (2/6)/ 0.71

/(𝑃(𝑇)) (7/15)
3. P (KH|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝐻)) =(2/4)/ 1.07

/(𝑃(𝑇)) (7/15)
4. P (KM|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝑀 = (2/5)/ 0.75

))/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (8/15)
5. P (KK|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝐾) = (4/6)/ 1.25

)/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (8/15)
6. P (KH|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝐻) = (2/4)/ 0.94

)/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (8/15)
b. Berdasarkan Praktek
Tabel 4.
Teori Pengambilan Kelereng
Kelereng Tanda Tanpa Tanda Jumlah
Merah (M) 4 9 13
Kuning (K) 6 6 12
Hijau (H) 10 7 17
Total 20 22 42
Sumber: Pengolahan Data
Tentulan!
1. P (KM|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝑀)) = (4/13)/ = 0.65
/(𝑃(𝑇)) (20/42)
2. P (KK|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝐾)) = (6/12)/ = 1.05

/(𝑃(𝑇)) (20/42)
3. P (KH|T) = (𝑃(𝑇∩𝐾𝐻)) = (10/17)/ = 1.24

/(𝑃(𝑇)) (20/42)
4. P (KM|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝑀 = (9/13)/ = 1.32

))/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (22/42)
5. P (KK|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝐾) = (6/12)/ = 0.95

)/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (20/42)
6. P (KH|TT) = (𝑃(𝑇𝑇∩𝐾𝐻) = (7/17)/ = 0.79

)/(𝑃(𝑇𝑇)) (22/42)
4. Pengamatan Halte Busway berdasarkan kaidah Bayes
a. Pengamatan di Halte Busway A (Pinang ranti )
Tabel 4.4
Pengamatan di Halte Busway A
Time in out
12.00-12.05 27 17
12.05-12.10 24 11
12.10-12.15 22 8
12.15-12.20 26 18
12.20-12.25 7 3
12.25-12.30 11 29
12.30-12.35 10 0
12.35-12.40 16 19
12.40-12.45 15 7
12.45-12.50 16 21
12.50-12.55 22 9
12.55-12.60 11 0
12.60-13.05 20 35
13.05-13.10 14 12
13.10-13.15 26 21
13.15-13.20 14 2
13.20-13.25 15 15
13.25-13.30 13 32
13.30-13.35 22 48
13.35-13.40 13 15
13.40-13.45 6 5
13.45-13.50 21 15
13.50-13.55 10 19
13.55-14.00 16 20
Jumlah 397 381
b. Pengamatan di Halte Busway B (Taman Mini Makasar )
Tabel 4.5
Pengamatan di Halte Busway B
Time in out
13.00-13.05 8 10
13.05-13.10 7 11
13.10-13.15 8 2
13.15-13.20 5 11
13.20-13.25 4 10
13.25-13.30 11 16
13.30-13.35 6 5
13.35-13.40 3 10
13.40-13.45 4 2
13.45-13.50 10 20
13.50-13.55 6 3
13.55-14.00 10 8
14.00-14.05 2 4
14.05-14.10 2 2
14.10-14.15 2 6
14.15-14.20 1 5
14.20-14.25 4 2
14.25-14.30 3 10
14.30-14.35 6 5
14.35-14.40 3 7
14.40-14.45 6 4
14.45-14.50 7 3
14.50-14.55 10 4
14.55-15.00 13 7
Jumlah 141 167
c. Pengamatan di Halte Busway C (Universitas Indonesia)
Tabel 4.6
Pengamatan di Halte Busway C
Time in out
18.10-18.15 1 1
18.15-18.20 3 4
18.20-18.25 5 2
18.25-18.30 7 3
18.30-18.35 3 3
18.35-18.40 2 1
18.40-18.45 4 2
18.45-18.50 1 0
18.50-18.55 2 3
18.55-19.00 2 1
19.00-19.05 7 11
19.05-19.10 4 0
19.10-19.15 0 2
19.15-19.20 3 0
19.20-19.25 2 0
19.25-19.30 1 2
19.30-19.35 1 0
19.35-19.40 1 0
19.40-19.45 0 0
19.45-19.50 3 0
19.50-19.55 2 1
19.55-20.00 0 0
20.00-20.05 2 0
20.05-20.10 8 11
Jumlah 64 47
Tabel 4.16
Peluang dan Pengamatan di Halte Busway
Pelayanan Peluang HK Keterangan Jumlah
X Y
HKA 1/3 397 381 778
HKB 1/3 141 167 308
HKC 1/3 64 47 111
Total 1 602 595 1197
Sumber : Pengolahan Data
Tentukan!
1). P(HKA) = 1/3 = 0.33
2). P(HKB) = 1/3 = 0.33
3). P(HKC) = 1/3 = 0.33
4). P(X|HKA) = P(XHKA) = 0.33

P(HKA) 0.33
= 1.00
5). P(X|HKB) = P(XHKB) = 0.12

P(HKB) 0.33
= 0.36
6). P(X|HKC) = P(XHKC) = 0.05

P(HKC) 0.33
= 0.15
7). P(Y|HKA) = P(YHKA) = 0.32

P(HKA) 0.33
= 0.97
8). P(Y|HKB) = P(YHKB) = 0.14

P(HKB) 0.33
= 0.45
9). P(Y|HKC) = P(YHKC) = 0.04

P(HKC) 0.33
= 0.12
10). P(X) = {P(HKA)xP(X|HKA)}+{P(HKB)xP(X|HKB}+

{P(HKC)xP(X|HKC)}
= 0.002
11). P(Y) = {P(HKA)xP(Y|HKA)}+{P(HKB)xP(Y|HKB}+

{P(HKC)xP(Y|HKC)}
= 0.002
12). P(HKA|X) = P(HKAX) = P(X|HKA)xP(HKA)

P(X) P(X)
= 168.4
13). P(HKB|X) = P(HKBX) = P(X|HKB)xP(HKB)

P(X) P(X)
= 61.2
14). P(HKC|X) = P(HKCX) = P(X|HKC)xP(HKC)

P(X) P(X)
= 25.5
15). P(HKA|Y) = P(HKAY) = P(Y|HKA)xP(HKA)

P(Y) P(Y)
= 168.4
16). P(HKB|Y) = P(HKBY) = P(Y|HKB)xP(HKB)

P(Y) P(Y)
= 78.9
17). P(HKC|Y) = P(HKCY) = P(Y|HKC)xP(HKC)

P(Y) P(Y)
= 21.0
Lampiran 1
Pelemparan dadu
Lampiran 2
Percobaan Koin
Lampiran 3
Percobaan Kelerang
Lampiran 4
Pengamatan Halte busway A
Lampiran 5
Pengamatan Halte Busway B
Lampiran 6
Pengamatan Halet Busway C

Data Kelompok 6

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BAB IV

PENGUMPULAN DAN PENGOLAHAN DATA

2. Pelemparan Uang Koin

4. Pengamatan Halte Busway berdasarkan Kaidah Bayes

b. Pengamatan di Halte Busway B

c. Pengamatan di Halte Busway C

1). P(A) = P(1)+P(2)+P(3)

4). P (𝐴∩𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

5). P (𝐴∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

7). P (𝐴∪𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

8). P (𝐴∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

9). P (𝐵∪𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

10).P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

11). P (𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

P (𝐴∪𝐶) = P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐶)

P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐵)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐶)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶)

1). P(A) = P(1)+P(2)+P(3)

4). P (𝐴∩𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

5). P (𝐴∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

6). P (𝐵∩𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

7). P (𝐴∪𝐵) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6)

8). P (𝐴∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) C(1,3,5)

9). P (𝐵∪𝐶) = B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

10).P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

11). P (𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶) = A(1,2,3) B(2,4,6) C(1,3,5)

P (𝐴∪𝐶) = P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐶)

P (𝐴∪𝐵∪𝐶) = P(A)+P(B)+P(C)-P (𝐴∩𝐵)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐶)−𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵∩𝐶)

2). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

3). P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

5). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

6). P(B') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+

7). P(C') = P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+

8). P(D') = P(AAAG)+P(AAGG)+P(AGAG)+P(GAAG)+P(AGGG)+

9). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

10). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

12). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

13). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

14). P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

15). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

16). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

17). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

18). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

19). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

22). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

23). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

24). P(B') = P(AGAG)+P(GGGG)+P(GGAA)+P(AGAA)+P(GGGA)+

26). P(C') = P(AGGG)+P(GGGG)+P(GAGG)+P(GAGA)+P(AAGG)+

27). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

28). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

29). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

31). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

32). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

33). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

34). P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

35). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

36). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

37). P(A) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(AGAA)+P(AAGG)+

38). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

39). P(B) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AAGA)+P(GAAA)+P(AAGG)+

40). P(C) = P(AAAA)+P(AAAG)+P(AGAA)+P(GAAA)+P(AGAG)+

41). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

42). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+

43). P(A') = P(GAAA)+P(GAGA)+P(GAAG)+P(GGAA)+P(GAGG)+