Tut 2 Prep

QUESTION 4
A bag containing 4 balls with 2 blue, 1 green and 1 red colours respectively. Two balls are
drawn at random, with replacement, from the bag (i.e., every time a ball is drawn it is put back
before another is drawn). Let the variable X denote the colour on the first ball drawn and Y the
colour on the second ball.
4.1 Derive the joint probability density function of the two variables.
4.2 Derive the marginal probability density function of X.
4.3 Derive the marginal probability density function of Y.
4.4 Are X and Y statistically independent? Explain.
4.5 Find out the probability that the second ball is blue, if the first ball is red.
4.6 Find out the probability that the first ball is green, if the second ball is red.

4.1-4.3
X
f(Y)
Blue Green Red
Blue 4/16 2/16 2/16
Y Green 2/16 1/16 1/16
Red 2/16 1/16 1/16
f(X)

QUESTION 5
The following table shows the joint probability of X and Y, where X represents whether the
woman works out home, while Y stands for whether the woman has children or not.
X
Works outside Does not work
home outside home
Has children 0.4 0.1
Y
Does not have children 0.2 0.3
5.1 Derive the marginal probability density function of X.
5.2 Derive the marginal probability density function of Y.
5.3 Are X and Y statistically independent? Explain.
5.4 Find out the probability that the woman does not have children, if she works outside
home.
5.5 Find out the probability that the woman does not work outside home, if she has children.

5.1-5.2
X
Works outside Does not work f(Y)
home outside home
Has children 0.4 0.1
Y
Does not have children 0.2 0.3
f(X)
QUESTION 2
Assuming𝜇 = 100, 𝜎 2 = 25. Find out the probability that the value of a randomly chosen
observation (X) would lie within the following range:
2.1 𝑃𝑟(100 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 105)
2.3 𝑃𝑟(95 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 105)
2.4 𝑃𝑟(−∞ ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 105)
2.6 𝑃𝑟(90 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 110)
2.7 𝑃𝑟(105 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 110)

CDF of a discrete variable – tossing a dice

Event A B C D E F
Outcome X=1 X=2 X=3 X=4 X=5 X=6
Probability 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.34 0.16

𝐹(−∞) = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ −∞)

𝐹(+∞) = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ +∞)

𝐹(2) = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2)

𝐹(4) = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 4)

𝑃(𝑋 > 4) = 1 − 𝐹(4)