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PART FOUR
WORLD FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT

CHAPTER EIGHT
GLOBAL FOREIGN-EXCHANGE MARKETS

OBJECTIVES

• Learn the fundamentals of foreign exchange


• Identify the major characteristics of the foreign-exchange market and how
governments control the flow of currencies across national borders
• Describe how the foreign-exchange market works
• Examine the different institutions that deal in foreign exchange
• Understand why companies deal in foreign exchange

CHAPTER OVERVIEW

The foreign-exchange market consists of all those players who buy and sell foreign-
exchange instruments for business, speculative, or personal purposes. Primarily, foreign
exchange is used to settle international trade, licensing, and investment transactions.
Chapter Eight explains in detail basic concepts (such as rates, instruments, and
convertibility) and explores the major characteristics of the foreign-exchange markets.
The chapter includes a discussion of the foreign-exchange trading process that focuses on
both the over-the-counter and the exchange-traded markets, i.e., banks, securities
exchanges, electronic brokerages, and the respective roles they play.

CHAPTER OUTLINE

OPENING CASE: Going Down to the Wire in the Money-Transfer Market


This case describes Western Union’s international money transfer services and the
increasing competition the company is facing from banks. Western Union has been
particularly successful in attracting business from Mexican emigrants in the United States
who send part of their paycheck home to support their families. Western Union charges
relatively high fees and uses its own exchange rates that are usually significantly lower
than the market rate. Banks have been introducing their own money transfer services,
many with lower fees and better exchange rates than Western Union. Due to many
Mexicans’ distrust of banks, however, Western Union continues to enjoy large profit
margins and a large market share in the money transfer business.

Questions

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8-1 The United Arab Emirates, of which Dubai is a member, is one of the Gulf
Cooperation Council members. How does it compare with other GCC countries in
terms of total population and non-immigrant population as a percentage of total
population? How important do you think migration and therefore capital
remittances are for each of the countries in the GCC?

While 30 percent of the Saudi Arabian population is expatriate, in Bahrain it is 26


percent. Expatriates account for 80 percent of the population in the United Arab
Emirates, while they constitute 27 percent in Qatar, 63 percent in Kuwait, and 62
percent in Oman. The large-scale recruitment of an expatriate work force is justified
by the need for executing huge development projects in the fast-growing GCC
countries. Another factor was the willingness of expatriate workers to undertake
hazardous jobs with lower wages that Gulf citizens refuse to do. (LO: 2, Learning
Outcome: To identify the major characteristics of the foreign-exchange market and
how governments control the flow of currencies across national borders, AACSB:
Dynamics of the Global Economy)

8-2 Should the U.S. government regulate the exchange rate that financial
institutions charge Mexican migrant workers for sending money back to
Mexico? Why or why not?

Many people use the word “remittance” when they refer to sending money from the
United States to other countries. Federal law defines “remittance transfers” to
include most electronic money transfers from consumers in the United States through
“remittance transfer providers” to recipients abroad, including friends, family
members, or businesses. Remittance transfers are commonly known as “international
wires,” “international money transfers,” or “remittances.”

Certain federal protections apply if you send money abroad. Under federal law, many
money transmitters, banks, and credit unions and possibly other types of financial
services companies qualify as “remittance transfer providers.” They must generally
provide consumers certain information before they make remittance transfers. This
includes information about:
• The exchange rate

• Fees and taxes they collect from you

• Fees charged by the company’s agents abroad and certain other institutions
involved in the transfer process

• The amount of money expected to be delivered, not including foreign taxes or


certain fees charged to the recipient

• If appropriate, a statement that additional foreign taxes and fees may be deducted
from the remittance transfer

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You also must receive information about when the money will be available,
instructions on your right to cancel transfers, what to do in case of an error, and how
to submit a complaint.

Regarding the right to cancel: After paying, you will typically have 30 minutes (and
sometimes more) to cancel the transaction at no charge, unless the transfer has
already been picked up or deposited into the recipient’s account.

With these current regulations in place, an argument could be made that no


additional regulations be required. (LO: 2, Learning Outcome: To identify the
major characteristics of the foreign-exchange market and how governments
control the flow of currencies across national borders, AACSB: Dynamics of the
Global Economy)

TEACHING TIPS: Carefully review the PowerPoint slides for Chapter Eight and
select those you find most useful for enhancing your lecture and class discussion. For
additional visual summaries of key chapter points, also review the figures, tables,
and maps in the text. Students can check currency prices by visiting the Web site
http://finance.yahoo.com.

I. INTRODUCTION
A. What is Foreign Exchange?
Foreign exchange is money denominated in the currency of another nation or
group of nations, i.e., it is a financial instrument issued by countries other than
one’s own. An exchange rate is the price of one currency expressed in terms of
another, i.e., the number of units of one currency needed to buy a unit of
another.
B. Players on the Foreign-Exchange Market
The foreign-exchange market is made up of several players. The Bank of
International Settlements (BIS), a Swiss-based central banking institution,
divides the market into three major players: reporting dealers, other financial
institutions, and non-financial institutions. Reporting dealers are also known as
money center banks and include large banks such as Deutsche Bank and HSBC.
Other financial institutions include commercial banks other than money center
banks (local and regional banks), hedge funds, pension funds, money market
funds, currency funds, mutual funds, and specialized foreign-exchange trading
companies. Non-financial customers include governments and companies.
C. Some Aspects of the Foreign-Exchange Market
The foreign-exchange market is comprised of two major segments. The over-
the-counter market (OTC) includes commercial banks, investment banks, and
other financial institutions—this is where most foreign-exchange activity occurs.
The exchange-traded market includes certain securities exchanges (e.g., the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange and NASDAQ OMX) where particular types of
foreign-exchange instruments (such as futures and options) are traded.
1. Some Traditional Foreign-Exchange Instruments. Several types of
foreign exchange instruments are available for trading. In addition, several

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types of transactions may occur. Spot transactions involve the exchange of
currency “on the spot,” or technically, transactions that are settled within
two business days after the date of agreement to trade. The spot rate is the
exchange rate quoted for transactions that require the immediate delivery of
foreign currency, i.e., within two business days. Outright forward
transactions involve the exchange of currencies beyond two days following
the date of agreement at a set rate known as the forward rate. In an FX swap
(a simultaneous spot and forward transaction), one currency is swapped for
another on one date and then swapped back on a future date. In fact, the
same currency is bought and sold simultaneously, but delivery occurs at two
different times.
a. Currency swaps deal with interest-bearing financial instruments (such
as bonds) and involve the exchange of principal and interest payments.
An option is a foreign-exchange instrument that guarantees the
purchaser the right (but does not impose an obligation) to buy or sell a
certain amount of foreign currency at a set exchange rate within a
specified amount of time. A futures contract is a foreign-exchange
instrument that specifies an exchange rate, an amount, and a maturity
date in advance of the exchange of the currencies, i.e., it is an
agreement to buy or sell a particular currency at a particular price on a
particular future date.
2. Size, Composition, and Location of the Foreign-Exchange
Market. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) estimated in 2010
that $4 trillion in foreign exchange was traded each day. This was a 20%
increase over the 2007 survey. One reason for the increase in trading
activity is likely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an
alternative asset and the larger emphasis on hedge funds (a fund, usually
used by wealthy individuals and institutions, which is allowed to use
aggressive trading strategies unavailable to mutual funds).
a. Using the U.S. Dollar on the Foreign-Exchange Market. The
U.S. dollar remains the most important currency in the foreign-
exchange market [See Table 8.1], comprising one side (buy or sell) of
84.9 percent of all foreign currency transactions worldwide in 2010.
This is because the dollar:
• is an investment currency in many capital markets
• is held as a reserve currency by many central banks
• is a transaction currency in many international commodity
markets
• serves as an invoice currency in many contracts
• is often used as an intervention currency when foreign
monetary authorities wish to influence their own exchange
rates
b. Frequently Traded Currency Pairs. Nonetheless, the largest
foreign-exchange market is in the United Kingdom, which is
strategically situated between Asia and the Americas, followed by the
United States, Japan, and Singapore. Four of the most commonly

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traded currency pairs involve the U.S. dollar, with the top two pairs
being the euro/dollar (EUR/USD) and the dollar/yen (USD/JPY).

DOES GEOGRAPHY MATTER?


Foreign-Exchange Trades and Time Zones

Even though the U.S. dollar is the most widely traded currency in the world, some trading
centers outside the U.S. are very important in the global currency trade. London, for
example, is a major trading center because it is close to the major capital markets in
Europe and is in a time zone that straddles the other major markets in Asia and the U.S.
Despite the fact that the currency market is a 24-hour market, the heaviest volumes of
trade are concentrated in the hours when Asia and Europe are open or when Europe and
the U.S. are open. Also, prices tend to be better when markets are active and liquid. [See
Map 8.1 and Fig 8.3]

II. MAJOR FOREIGN-EXCHANGE MARKETS


A. The Spot Market
The spot market consists of players who conduct those foreign-exchange
transactions that occur “on the spot,” or technically, within two business days
following the date of agreement to trade. Foreign-exchange traders always quote
a bid (buy) and offer (sell) rate. The bid is the rate at which traders buy foreign
exchange; the offer is the rate at which traders sell foreign exchange. The
spread is the difference between the bid and offer rates, i.e., it is the profit
margin of the trade.
1. Direct and Indirect Quotes. Exchanges can be quoted in American
terms, i.e., a direct quote that gives the value in dollars of a unit of foreign
currency, or European terms, i.e., an indirect quote that gives the value in
foreign currency of one U.S. dollar. The base currency, or the denominator,
is the quoted, underlying, or fixed currency; the terms currency is the
numerator. Most large newspapers quote exchange rates daily, listing both
spot and forward rates. The spot rates listed are usually the selling rates for
interbank transactions (transactions between banks) of $1 million or more.
B. The Forward Market
The forward market consists of those players who conduct foreign-exchange
transactions that occur at a set rate beyond two business days following the date
of agreement to trade. The forward rate is the rate quoted today for the future
delivery of a foreign currency. A forward contract is entered into whereby the
customer agrees to buy (or sell) over the counter a specified amount of a specific
currency at a specified price on a specific date in the future.
1. Forward Discounts and Premiums. The difference between the spot
and forward rates is either the forward discount (the forward rate, i.e., the
future delivery price, is lower than the spot rate) or the forward premium
(the forward rate is higher than the spot rate). Spot and forward rates can be
seen in Table 8.2.
C. Options

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An option is a foreign-exchange instrument that guarantees the right, but does
not impose an obligation, to buy or sell a foreign currency within a certain time
period or on a specific date at a specific exchange rate (called the strike price).
Options can be purchased over the counter from a commercial or investment
bank or on an exchange. The writer of the option will charge a fee, known as the
premium. An option is more flexible, but also more expensive, than a forward
contract.
D. Futures
A foreign currency future resembles a forward contract because it specifies an
exchange rate sometime in advance of the actual exchange of the currency.
However, a future is traded on an exchange, not OTC. While a forward contract
is tailored to the amount and time frame the customer needs, futures contracts
have preset amounts and maturity dates. The futures contract is less valuable to a
firm than a forward contract, but it may be useful for small transactions or
speculation.

III. THE FOREIGN-EXCHANGE TRADING PROCESS


When a firm needs foreign exchange, it typically goes to its commercial bank. If the
bank is large enough, it may have its own foreign-exchange traders. A smaller bank,
dealing either on its own account or for a client, can trade foreign exchange directly
with another bank or through a foreign exchange broker, who matches the best bid
and offer quotes of interbank traders. The foreign-exchange process can be seen in
Figure 8.6.
A. Banks and Exchanges
At one time, only big money center banks could deal directly in foreign
exchange. Now, with the advent of electronic trading, smaller regional banks
can hook up to Reuters or Bloomberg and deal directly in the interbank market.
In spite of these developments, the greatest volume of foreign-exchange activity
still takes place with the big money center banks.
1. Top Foreign-Exchange Dealers. Top banks in the interbank market are
so ranked because of their abilities to:
• trade in specific market locations
• engage in major currencies
• engage in cross-trades
• deal in specific currencies
• handle derivatives (forwards, options, futures, and swaps)
• conduct key market research
A large firm may use more than one bank to conduct its foreign-exchange
dealings, given their particular strategic capabilities. In addition to the OTC
market, there are a number of exchanges where particular types of foreign-
exchange instruments (such as futures and options) are traded.
a. CME Group. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) offers
futures and options contracts in numerous foreign currencies. CME
uses two electronic trading platforms to trade different commodities,
including currency: CME Globex and CME Clearport.

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b. NASDAQ OMX. In 2008, The Philadelphia Stock Exchange
merged with NASDAQ OMX. They formed the third largest
options market in the U.S. and a new hybrid of trading both
traditional floor trading and online trading.
c. NYSE Liffe. The London International Futures and Options
Exchange (LIFFE) still trades the U.S. dollar/euro and euro/U.S.
dollar options contract, even though it was purchased by Euronext,
which merged with the NYSE.

IV. HOW COMPANIES USE FOREIGN EXCHANGE


Companies enter the foreign-exchange market to facilitate their regular business
transactions and/or to speculate.
A. Business Purposes (I): Cash Flow Aspects of Imports and Exports
When a company must move money to pay for purchases or receives money for
sales, it has an option on the documents it can use, the currency of
denomination, and the degree of protection it can ask for.
1. Commercial Bills of Exchange. In order for these transactions to take
place, a number of documents are needed, including a draft and a letter of
credit. A draft or commercial bill of exchange is an instrument in which
one party directs another to make a payment. If the exporter demands
payment to be made immediately, the draft is called a sight draft. If the
payment is to be made later, it is called a time draft.
2. Letters of Credit. With a bill of exchange, it is always possible the
importer will not be able to make the payment to the exporter. A letter of
credit (L/C) obligates the buyer’s bank to honor the draft. There are still
risks with an L/C. It must adhere to all the conditions in the document in
order to be valid. A letter of credit may also be confirmed by another bank
and is called a confirmed letter of credit.
B. Business Purposes (II): Other Financial Flows
Companies also deal in foreign exchange for other transactions, such as the
receipt or payment of dividends or the receipt or payment of loans and interest.
1. Speculation. Sometimes companies deal in foreign exchange for profit.
Speculation involves buying (or selling) a currency based on the
expectation it will gain (or lose) in strength against other currencies.
Although speculation offers the chance to profit, it also contains an element
of risk. Profit-seekers may engage in arbitrage, i.e., they may purchase
foreign currency on one market for immediate resale on another market (in
a different country) in order to profit from a price discrepancy. Interest
arbitrage involves investing in debt instruments (such as bonds) in
different countries in order to maximize profits by capturing interest-rate
and exchange-rate differentials.

POINT—COUNTERPOINT: Is it OK to Speculate on Currency?

POINT: Currency speculation is not illegal, nor is it necessarily bad. Speculators are
merely trying to make a profit by trading based on market trends. Currency speculation

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allows investors to diversify their portfolios from traditional stocks and bonds, which are
themselves forms of speculative investment.

COUNTERPOINT: There are plenty of opportunities for a trader, whether in foreign


exchange or securities, to make money illegally or contrary to company policy. Nicholas
Leeson, a 28-year-old trader for British bank Barings PLC was chief dealer for the bank
in Singapore. Leeson had no checks and balances on his trading and made big bets on
stock index futures assuming that the Tokyo stock market would rise. After the January
17, 1995 earthquake in Kobe, Japanese stocks plunged and Leeson had to come up with
cash to cover the margin call. With lax internal controls, Leeson was able to make
numerous questionable and illegal transactions to illicitly generate the cash needed to
cover his positions. These actions resulted in huge losses in excess of $1 billion for
Barings, putting the company into bankruptcy. Since the collapse of Barings, measures
have been put into place in banks to prohibit such consequences, yet the occurrence of
and potential for negative outcomes from rogue trading continue to exist. Another recent
example, Jerome Kerviel of the French bank Societe Generale shows the ongoing risk for
banks to lose significant amounts of money.

LOOKING TO THE FUTURE:


Where Are Foreign-Exchange Markets Headed?

The speed at which transactions are processed and information is transmitted globally
will continue to lead to greater efficiencies and more opportunities in foreign-exchange
markets. Companies’ costs of trading foreign exchange should come down and they
should gain faster access to more currencies. Government exchange restrictions should
diminish as currency markets are liberalized. As the euro continues to solidify its
position in Europe, it will reduce exchange-rate volatility and should lead to the euro
taking some of the pressure off the dollar so that it is no longer the only major vehicle
currency in the world. The growth of Internet trades in currency will take away some of
the market share of dealers and allow more entrants in the foreign-exchange market.
Internet trade will also increase currency price transparency and increase the ease of
trading.

CLOSING CASE: Do Yuan to Buy Some Renminbi?

The yuan is the official currency of China. It has been historically fixed and controlled
by the Chinese government, but that may be changing. As China becomes a greater
global exporter and economic powerhouse, critics are claiming that the currency is being
undervalued and manipulated in an attempt to protect domestic markets. There are
additional levels of complexity impacting China as the nation must deal not only with
economic competition, but also internal political and social pressures. As China
continues to loosen capital controls, there is great fear that the government may lose
control of inflation and interest rates, thereby causing a great deal of labor and social
unrest, while negatively impacting China’s competitive advantages. There are currently

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93
platforms in place to increase the circulation of the yuan, but those platforms are
currently limited and severely restricted.

Questions

8-3 Why is it important for the yuan to become a major world currency?

China is now a leader in international world trade, a major exporter, and currently
holds the largest foreign exchange reserve in the world. The nation has one of the
highest GDPs in the world, and is increasing its economic power. The sheer size,
volume, and magnitude of China’s economic activity may also be arguments for the
yuan to become a major world currency. (LO: 1, Learning Outcome: To learn the
fundamentals of foreign exchange, AASCB: Analytical Skills)

8-4 What needs to take place for the yuan to be listed right along with the U.S. dollar and
the euro as global currencies?

The Chinese government will need to further loosen controls and restrictions to
promote the free trade and exchange of the currency in international markets. There
will also be a need for further development of trading platforms and banking
initiatives to promote the circulation and exchange of the currency. (LO: 2, Learning
Outcome: To identify the major characteristics of the foreign-exchange market and
how governments control the flow of currencies across national borders, AACSB:
Dynamics of the Global Economy)

8-5 Why is the Chinese government so hesitant to open up the yuan to market forces to
determine its value inside and outside of China?

The major concerns of the Chinese government revolve around the impact of market
forces upon inflation and interest rates within the country. Consequences of
inflation and higher interest rates may create labor and social unrest, as well as
political complications and a loss of economic competitiveness. (LO: 2, Learning
Outcome: To identify the major characteristics of the foreign-exchange market and
how governments control the flow of currencies across national borders, AACSB:
Dynamics of the Global Economy)

8-6 What roles do foreign banks like HSBC and electronic platforms like Thomson
Reuters and ICAP play in helping the yuan move closer to becoming a global
currency?

These entities have the ability to create platforms and markets to stimulate and
expedite currency trading. Consequently, these entities can increase the circulation
of the yuan. Further, these actors will be instrumental in allowing the yuan to be
exchanged in a floating exchange system against the world’s other leading

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94
currencies. (LO: 4, Learning Outcome: To examine the different institutions that
deal in foreign exchange, AACSB: Analytical Skills)

8-7 By the end of 2013, the Bank for International Settlements will have issued its next
triennial survey on foreign exchange. Look up the report on the bis.org Web site.
What are the major differences in that survey from what is reported in the 2010
survey in the chapter?

Trading in foreign-exchange markets averaged $5.3 trillion per day in April 2013.
This is up from $4.0 trillion in April 2010 and $3.3 trillion in April 2007. (LO: 3,
Learning Outcome: To describe how the foreign-exchange market works, AACSB:
Reflective Thinking)

ADDITIONAL EXERCISES: The Foreign-Exchange Market

Exercise 8.1. Many students will have had experience with foreign currency
conversion. Ask them to describe the differences they have encountered in rates
quoted at the airport, in hotels and banks, and on the street. Then ask students to
describe their experiences using credit cards and ATM cards in particular foreign
countries. How were the transactions reported on their statements? Were they
charged processing fees? (LO: 3, Learning Outcome: To describe how the foreign-
exchange market works, AACSB: Reflective Thinking)

Exercise 8.2. Take copies of the most recent editions of The Wall Street Journal
and the Financial Times to class. Explain to students where to find foreign-exchange
rates, forward rates, cross rates, commodity prices, etc. Select the home countries of
various students in your class. Use the forward rates to engage the students in a
discussion as to which currencies appear to be stronger. Explore the possible
underlying reasons for a given currency’s strength or weakness. (LO: 1, Learning
Outcome: To learn the fundamentals of foreign exchange, AACSB: Analytical
Skills)

Exercise 8.3. More than 150 currencies exist today. Some countries share a
common currency (e.g., those that participate in the euro), while certain countries
peg their currencies to others (e.g., Chile’s currency is pegged to the U.S. dollar).
Many nations, however, maintain their own independent currencies. Ask students to
debate the potential for additional regional currencies such as the euro. If they
support the concept, should those currencies necessarily be tied to regional economic
blocs? (LO: 2, Learning Outcome: To identify the major characteristics of the
foreign-exchange market and how governments control the flow of currencies across
national borders, AACSB: Communication Abilities)

Exercise 8.4. Have the students assume the role of CFO of a mid-sized U.S.
company that exports to Europe. The company has received a contract to supply
components to a European manufacturer with an agreed-upon sales price of €4

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95
million due in 90 days. Should the CFO do anything to hedge against possible
fluctuations in the dollar/euro exchange rate? If so, what? If not, why not? (LO: 5,
Learning Outcome: To understand why companies deal in foreign exchange,
AACSB: Analytical Skills)

Exercise 8.5. Go to a trading Web site like www.forex-markets.com or an


information site like finance.yahoo.com/currency and demonstrate the charting,
conversion calculators, and other research and information tools available for foreign
exchange. (LO: 1, Learning Outcome: To learn the fundamentals of foreign
exchange, AACSB: Use of Information Technology)

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96
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