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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
Chapter 6
International Finance and Trade
CHAPTER PREVIEW
Today it is not possible for a developed country to operate in isolation from other countries.
Financial capital flows freely from country to country depending on interest rates, inflation,
and political stability. Individuals want to be able to purchase goods and services at the
lowest prices for a given quality wherever in the world where the goods and services are
available. This chapter begins with a discussion of international transactions from the
perspective of currency exchange rate relationships between countries. We then turn our
attention to the management of foreign exchange exposure by businesses. This is followed
by a discussion of how international trade is financed both by exporters and importers. We
also discuss how international trade is encouraged and stimulated. Our final focus is on the
characteristics of and the difficulty in achieving a balance in international payments.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
• Explain how the international monetary system evolved and how it operates today.
• Describe the efforts undertaken to achieve economic unification of Europe.
• Describe how currency or foreign exchange markets are organized and operate.
• Explain how currency exchange rates are quoted.
• Describe the factors that affect currency exchange rates.
• Describe how the world banking systems facilitate financing of sales by exporters and
purchases by importers.
• Identify recent developments in the U.S. balance of payments.
CHAPTER OUTLINE
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
VII. SUMMARY
LECTURE NOTES
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
develop illustrations of how various nations specialize in the activities best suited for
their productive capabilities. Products such as automobiles are manufactured
primarily in highly industrialized countries whereas inexpensive plastic toys are
generally manufactured in labor intensive countries. Other products also should lend
themselves to illustrate the discussion. It can then be emphasized that this vast
interchange of the world’s products can only be accomplished with the assistance of an
intricate and smoothly operating system of international finance.
The Bretton Woods system was formulated in mid-1944 and was an international
monetary system in which the U.S. dollars was valued in gold and other exchange
rates were pegged to the dollar. An international monetary system based on flexible
exchange rates is a system in which currency exchange rates are determined by supply
and demand. Today, a large number of countries allow their currencies to float against
other currencies.
Efforts to unify the countries of Europe began after World War II. While initial
progress was slow there now are 28 members of the European Union (EU) with 18 of
the countries joining to form the Economic and Monetary Union of the European
Union or European Monetary Union (EMU). These developments have resulted in a
major change in the international monetary system.
6-3
Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
euro as their common currencies. Greece adopted the euro as its currency in 2001.
Then Slovenia joined in 2007, Cyprus and Malta in 2008, Slovakia in 2009, Estonia in
2011, and Latvia in 2014. The current 18 members of the EMU are a sub-set of the
28 current members of the EU.
The euro is the official currency of the countries in the European Monetary Union.
The euro includes “gates” and “windows” for the front of the bills. Designs of
“bridges” are included on the reverse of bills.
Changes in exchange ratios are caused by supply and demand. The U.S. institutions
that maintain accounts in foreign banks or have foreign branches attempt to maintain
their balances in some appropriate proportion. If the claims on those foreign
balances exceed the supply of funds moving into those accounts, the owners of the
balances will simply raise the price to customers. This has the effect of both
reducing the demand and increasing the supply. Demand decreases because foreign
purchases become more expensive and are reduced proportionately. Supply
increases as sellers in those foreign markets find their sales benefiting from the
higher value of the dollar. The actions of a single financial institution in managing
its foreign balances will not alter overall exchange rates, but in the aggregate, if
demand exceeds supply or supply exceeds demand the exchange rates will change.
The opportunity to take advantage of a disparity in exchange rates exists if
quotations differ among the markets. Selling in one market and simultaneously buying
in another market would produce a profit with no risk. This is the nature of arbitrage
and where the professionals enter the picture. If they detect even small disparities,
they take action that quickly eliminates the disparity.
Quoted exchange rates differ depending on the form of exchange requested. A
banker’s sight draft costs slightly less than a cable order since the sight draft will take
days or even weeks before it is deposited and reduces the balance on which it is
drawn. A cable order, on the other hand, reduces the balance immediately. A banker’s
time draft, payable at a future date, will cost less than either the sight draft or cable
order since the reduction in the account will not occur for some time.
Student interest in international finance may be developed by having them find the
exchange rates between the dollar and various types of foreign currency at
www.money.cnn.com and www.reuters.com, or from other financial publications.
Samples of various documents used in foreign trade may be obtained from local
banks. As an interesting class exercise, have the students take the position of the chief
financial officer of a multinational corporation. They can then try to determine how to
protect their company’s position against loss in the face of changing exchange rates.
(Use Table 6.1 and 6.2, Figures 6.1 and 6.2, and Discussion Questions 9 through
12 here.)
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
Firms that have foreign sales must be concerned with the stability of the governments
and changing values of currency in the countries in which they do business. While the
concept of acceptable ethical behavior differs across cultures and countries, to offer
“side” payments or bribes to government officials and officers to do business in a
foreign country is morally wrong. Such actions also may be illegal under the Foreign
Corrupt Practices Act.
Aside from the relationship of supply and demand, changes in exchange rates may
stem from certain circumstances that affect the monetary systems of the various
nations. Changes in political leadership, rumors of war, threats of devaluation, and
many other factors have an influence on exchange rates. Because of these
uncertainties, business activities involving international trade require astute business
management. This is especially true of multinational businesses that have personnel
responsible for dealing with these matters on a continuing basis.
Risk reduction is an important strategic goal for multinational firms. In some
cases, management may seize upon opportunities for speculation when conditions
seem appropriate. Moving balances from one country to another is the most obvious
maneuver to avoid losses that may occur as a result of anticipated changes in
exchange rates. Further, a number of sophisticated financial devices such as hedging,
futures contracts, and others can be used by managers of international balances.
Financing an international transaction may fall upon either the importer or the
exporter. In some situations, the credit worthiness of the parties to the transaction may
affect the form of financial settlement. The text describes the various instruments that
may be used by either exporter or importer. Of special interest is the use of these
instruments and of certain financial institutions to limit the possibility of loss due to
the failure of one of the parties to the transaction to perform according to contract
terms. The special role of the financial institutions in this process should be
emphasized.
(Use Figures 6.3 through 6.6, and Discussion Questions 13 through 18 here.)
To encourage and stimulate foreign trade, the Export-Import Bank was authorized
in 1934 and became an independent agency of the government in 1945. The bank
obtains its funds from the U.S. Treasury. Its principal activity is lending to foreign
firms and governments to make purchases of our equipment, goods, and related
services. The Export-Import Bank also aids substantially in the economic development
of foreign countries. Emergency credits are provided to assist countries in maintaining
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
of goods and services. A more narrow view considers only the import and export of
goods and is termed the merchandise trade balance. It is clear that imports have
continued to exceed exports, at an increasing rate, in recent years.
The way in which this imbalance between exports and imports is brought into
balance in the total picture can be understood by studying Table 6.3. Deficits or
surpluses in the current account must be offset by changes in capital flows. That is, the
two must be equal except for statistical discrepancies due to measurement errors. The
capital account balance includes changes in foreign government and private investment
in the U.S. in such forms as bank deposits, government and corporate securities, loans,
and direct investment in land and buildings. Similar U.S. government and private
investments or holdings in foreign countries are netted against this amount. The final
adjusting factor would be a change in U.S. official reserve assets.
(Use Table 6.3, and Discussion Questions 22 through 24 here.)
An international monetary system is designed to foster world trade, manage the flow of
financial capital, and determine currency exchange rates.
2. What is meant by the statement that the international monetary system has operated
mostly under a “gold standard”? What are the major criticisms associated with being
on a gold standard?
A gold standard exists when currencies of countries are convertible into gold at fixed
exchange rates. A gold standard has been in use for long periods in the past.
Major criticisms of being on a gold standard are: (1) as the volume of world trade
increases, the supply of new gold will fail to keep pace, and (2) there is a lack of an
international organization to monitor and report on whether countries are deviating from
the standard when it is in their own best interests.
3. Describe the Bretton Woods system for setting currency exchange rates. What are special
drawing rights (SDRs) and how are they used to foster world trade?
The Bretton Woods system was formulated in mid-1944 and was an international
monetary system in which the U.S. dollars was valued in gold and other exchange rates
were pegged to the dollar.
6-7
Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
Today, a large number of countries allow their currencies to float against other
currencies.
6. What is the European Union (EU)? How did it develop? Who are the current members of
the EU?
The European Union (EU) is an organization established to promote trade and economic
development among European countries. Its history can be traced back to 1957 when a
treaty was agreed to that established the European Economic Community. This
organization became the European Community in 1978 and the Economic Union in
1944.
By 1995, there were 15 members of the European Union. Ten more members were
added in 2004. Two new members were added in 2007 and one in 2013. A listing of all
28 current members is provided in the text.
7. What is meant by the term eurozone members? Which countries are eurozone members?
The twelve members that originally joined the EMU are: Austria, Belgium, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain.
The other three members of the 15-member EU existing in 1995, Denmark, Sweden,
and the United Kingdom, did not accept the euro as their common currencies. Slovenia,
Cyprus, Malta, Slovakia, Estonia, and Latvia bring the Eurozone membership total to 18
members.
The euro is the official currency of the eighteen countries in the European Monetary
Union referred to as Eurozone members. The euro includes “gates” and “windows” for
the front of the bills. Designs of “bridges” are included on the reverse of bills. The
paper currency uses multicolored ink, 3D holographic images, and watermarks, to
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
9. What types of financial crises have some countries in the EU faced in recent years?
The 2007-08 financial crisis impacted many European Union countries as it did the U.S.
However, the economies of many EU countries did not recover from the 2008-09
recession as the U.S. did, and high levels of unemployment remain. Because tax
receipts have lagged government expenditures, the national debt of many EU countries
has increased dramatically in recent years. Some EU countries (e.g., Greece) have been
forced into austerity government expenditure plans at a time when unemployment rates
remain high with the result being social unrest.
Foreign exchange markets of the world consist of a group of telephone, cable, and
electronic systems connecting the major financial centers. As such, these markets cannot
be visualized in terms of a specific geographical location. In a very narrow sense,
however, a local depository can be considered the relevant foreign exchange market for
the individual or business in terms of day-to-day business activity.
11. Explain the role of supply and demand as it relates to the establishment of exchange rates
between countries.
Exchange rates reflect the forces of supply and demand. In a “free” market in which
governmental controls are absent, exchange rates tend to move upward in response to an
increase in net demand and vice versa. Demand exists whenever it becomes necessary
for an individual or an institution of this country to make a payment to a foreigner.
Supply exists when a foreigner must make a payment to this country.
12. Describe the activities and economic role of the arbitrageur in international finance.
Arbitrage may be defined as the simultaneous, or nearly simultaneous, purchasing of
commodities, securities, or bills of exchange in one market and selling them in another
where the price is higher. In international exchange, variations in quotations between
countries at any time are quickly brought into alignment through the arbitrage activities
of international financiers who buy currency in the market in which the price is low and
sell it in the market in which it is high.
13. What is meant by the statement that foreign exchange quotations may be given in terms of
sight drafts, cable orders, and time drafts?
The cable order costs more than a banker’s sight draft because it reduces the balance of
the bank’s foreign deposit almost immediately. Banker’s time drafts cost less than both
of these because they involve a reduction in the balance of the foreign branch or
correspondent only after a specified period of time.
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
14. Describe the various ways by which an exporter may finance an international shipment of
goods. How may commercial banks assist the exporter in the collection of drafts?
Should an exporter have confidence in the foreign customer and be in a position to carry
sales to these customers on open book accounts, there is no reason why the arrangement
should not operate very much as it operates in domestic trade. There will, of course, be
the added complication involved when payment is made in a different currency. Goods
may be shipped by using a sight draft, requiring immediate payment, or a time draft,
which requires acceptance on the part of the importer and payment at a specified future
time. A draft is generally accompanied by an order bill of lading and papers such as
insurance receipts. The bill of lading gives title to the goods, and only its holder may
claim the merchandise from the transportation company.
A New York exporter who is dealing with a foreign importer with whom there has
been little relationship in the past may ship goods on the basis of a documentary draft
that has been deposited for collection with the local bank. That bank, following the
specific instructions set out regarding the manner of collection, then forwards the draft
together with the accompanying documents to its correspondent bank in the foreign
country involved. The correspondent bank is instructed to hold the documents until
payment is made if a sight draft is used, or until acceptance is obtained if a time draft is
used. Remittance is made to the exporter when collection is made on the sight draft.
15. How do importers protect themselves against improper delivery of goods when they are
required to make payment as they place an order?
When the importer is required to make payment with the order but wishes some protection
against the failure of the exporter to make shipment in accordance with the provisions of
the order, the payment may be sent to a representative bank in the country of the exporter.
The bank is instructed not to release payment until certain documents are presented to the
bank to confirm shipment of the goods according to the terms of the transaction.
16. Describe the process by which an importing firm may substitute the credit of its bank for
its own credit in financing international transactions.
The importing firm substitutes the credit of its bank for its own through the use of a
commercial letter of credit. The commercial letter of credit may be described as a
written statement on the part of the bank to an individual or firm guaranteeing
acceptance and payment of a draft up to a specified sum if it is presented to the bank in
accordance with the terms of the commercial letter of credit. Figure 6.5 provides an
illustration of a commercial letter of credit.
17. How may a bank protect itself after having issued a commercial letter of credit on behalf
of a customer?
After having issued a commercial letter of credit, the bank, for added protection, may
prefer to establish an agency arrangement between the firm and the bank whereby the
bank retains title to the merchandise. A trust receipt is utilized to retain title to the
goods. Under the trust receipt, as the merchandise is sold, the proceeds from the sale are
turned over to the bank until the acceptance has been paid.
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
18. Describe the costs involved in connection with financing exports through bankers’
acceptances.
Two charges are involved in an export transaction based on the bankers’ acceptance.
First, the exporter typically permits her or his bank, or a correspondent bank, to hold the
acceptance until it is to be presented to the importer’s bank for payment. The exporter’s
bank or correspondent bank discounts the acceptance and deposits to the exporter’s
account the face of the acceptance less the discount. The exporter, therefore, pays a fee
to his or her bank for the privilege of receiving immediate payment from the transaction.
Second, a commission charge is paid to the importer’s accepting bank.
19. Describe the ultimate sources of funds for export financing with bankers’ acceptances.
How are acceptances acquired for investment by these sources?
The ultimate sources of funds for export financing with bankers’ acceptances are
primarily foreign central banks and both foreign and domestic commercial banks. Non-
financial corporations also play a small role as a source of funds. There are relatively
few firms that deal in bankers’ acceptances. These dealers arrange nearly simultaneous
exchanges of purchases and sales.
20. Explain the role played by the Export-Import Bank in international trade. Do you
consider this bank to be in competition with private lending institutions?
The purpose of the Export-Import Bank is to aid in financing and to facilitate exports
and imports between the United States and other countries. The bank serves only to
supplement regular financial facilities and is not regarded as being in competition with
private lending institutions.
21. Commercial letters of credit, traveler’s letters of credit, and traveler’s checks all play an
important role in international finance. Distinguish among these three types of
instruments.
6-11
Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
22. Briefly indicate the problems facing the United States in its attempt to maintain
international financial equilibrium.
After World War II, the United States engaged in a massive program of international
aid. This, coupled with large military expenditures, more than offset a favorable U.S.
balance of trade (which existed until 1970). Competition in international markets in
terms of goods and services is intense, and since 1977 the balance of trade position of
the U.S. has become increasingly more negative (i.e., imports exceeding exports). The
heavy reliance on imported oil has been another major factor in the ongoing unfavorable
balance of trade position.
23. The U.S. international balance-of-payments position is measured in terms of the current
account balance. Describe the current account balance and indicate its major
components.
The current account balance for 2011 is shown in Table 6.3. It gives U.S. international
transactions in terms of receipts and expenditures and, thus, shows the flow of income into
and out of the U.S. over a year. The current account balance is comprised of: (a) the
merchandise trade balance (merchandise exports minus merchandise imports); (b) the net
position of various other goods and services, which include military transactions,
investment income, and other service transactions; and (c) other adjustments in the form
of remittances, pensions, and other transfers, plus U.S. government grants (excluding
military).
The balance on goods generally became increasingly negative as we moved from the
1980s through 2011. See the presentation under the “Balance-of-Payments” heading in
the chapter.
24. Discuss the meaning of the capital account balance and identify its major components.
The capital account balance, except for statistical discrepancies, must exactly offset
deficits or surpluses in the current account. That is, changes in investments must be
recorded to offset differences between the flow of income into and out of the country.
The capital account balance includes: (a) changes in foreign government and private
investment in the U.S.; (b) changes in U.S. government and private investments or
holdings in foreign countries; and (c) changes in U.S. official reserve assets. The capital
account involves changes in terms of bank deposits, the holding of government and
corporate securities, investment in plant and equipment, loans, and other liabilities
involving international transfers and transactions. U.S. official reserve assets include
gold, Special Drawing Rights, the reserve position in the International Monetary Fund,
and foreign currency holdings.
1. You are the owner of a business that has offices and production facilities in several
foreign countries. Your product is sold in all of these countries, and you maintain bank
6-12
Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
accounts in the cities in which you have offices. At present you have short-term notes
outstanding at most of the banks with which you maintain deposits. This borrowing is to
support seasonal production activity. One of the countries in which you have offices is
now strongly rumored to be on the point of a devaluation, or lowering, of their currency
relative to that of the rest of the world. What actions might this rumor cause you to
take?
You could try to hedge against your financial claims in that country losing value by
moving some of the funds in your bank account to another country. In anticipation of
moving the funds, you could try to accelerate the collection of your receivables. You
might also slow down your payments on liabilities with the expectation of moving funds
back into the country after devaluation, receiving more local funds in so doing. Other
devices, such as dealing in futures contracts, may also be available to you.
In one sense there is never a precise count that establishes a balance since it is
impossible to record all transactions that enter into the schedule. Hence, an item referred
to as statistical discrepancy solves that problem nicely. Aside from the practical matter
of counting, however, the schedule must always be in balance in a theoretical sense. For
example, while we can have deficits in our current account because our export of goods
and services are less than our imports, this difference must be made up in one or both of
the other parts of the schedule. It can be made up by a reduction in our gold reserves or
other reserve assets, or we can increase the amount that we owe abroad.
4. As an importer of merchandise, you depend upon the sale of the merchandise for funds to
make payment. Although customary terms of sale are 90 days for this type of merchandise,
you are not well known to foreign suppliers because of your recent entry into business.
6-13
Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
Furthermore, your suppliers require almost immediate payment to meet their own
expenses of operations. How might the banking systems of the exporter and importer
accommodate your situation?
This problem offers an excellent opportunity to describe the important role of banks in
international commerce. Before placing your order for merchandise you would obtain
from or through your local bank a commercial letter of credit. This letter of credit would
spell out the conditions under which the bank would accept a time draft drawn on it by
the exporter. Your order for merchandise along with the letter of credit would then be
forwarded to the exporter.
The exporter can, with confidence, ship the merchandise and submit to his or her
bank the time draft to be forwarded to the bank that issued the letter of credit. The
exporter’s bank “discounts” the draft, that is, deposits to the exporter’s account the
amount of the sale less an interest charge for the 90 days that this draft will be
outstanding, (As specified in the problem, terms of sale are customarily 90 days for this
type of merchandise.) The exporter’s bank will now forward the draft to the bank that
has issued the letter of credit. That bank, after satisfying itself that the merchandise has
been shipped according to terms of sale, will “accept” the draft which now becomes a
bankers’ acceptance.
The banker’s acceptance may then be returned to the exporter’s bank or it may be
sold upon instructions from the exporter’s bank in the open market. If it is held by the
exporter’s bank for the 90 days, that bank has financed the transaction. If the draft is
sold in the open market, the funds are returned to the exporter’s bank and it is the third-
party’s financial interest that has financed the transaction. Sales in the open market are
ordinarily made in the country of the bank issuing the letter of credit since the draft will
usually sell at a lower interest rate. As the importer, you simply sign a promissory note
in favor of the bank that has issued the letter of credit in the amount to which that bank
has committed itself, and you receive the documents necessary to claim the merchandise
at the transportation terminal. Your sale of the merchandise provides the funds to meet
the obligation to the bank under the terms of the promissory note. Your bank then
forwards payment to the exporter’s bank when the 90-day banker’s acceptance matures
and is presented for payment.
5. As a speculator in the financial markets, you notice that for the last few minutes Swiss
Francs are being quoted in New York at a price of $0.5849 and in Frankfurt at $0.5851.
a. Assuming that you have access to international trading facilities, what action might
you take?
Purchase Swiss Francs in New York at $0.5849 and simultaneously sell Francs in
Frankfurt at $0.05851 in order to “lock in” a profit of $0.0002 per Franc. Such an
arbitrage activity involving one million Francs would produce a profit of $200,000.
b. What would be the effect of your actions and those of other speculators on these
exchange rates?
6-14
Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
The arbitrage actions in Part (a) would cause the Franc prices in New York and in
Frankfurt to converge to a “same” new price.
6. You manage the cash for a large multinational industrial enterprise. As a result of credit
sales on 90-day payment terms you have a large claim against a customer in Madrid. You
have heard rumors of the possible devaluation of the Spanish peseta. What actions, if any,
can you take to protect your firm against the consequences of a prospective devaluation?
You could hedge against the devaluation of the Spanish peseta by entering into a futures
contract (discussed in the Appendix to Chapter 11) for the delivery of an amount of
pesetas equal to the value of the credit sales at the existing exchange rate today.
7. Assume, as the loan officer of a commercial bank, one of your customers has asked for a
“commercial letter of credit” to enable his firm to import a supply of well-known French
wines. This customer has a long record of commercial success yet has large outstanding
debts to other creditors. In what way might you accommodate the customer and at the
same time establish protection for your bank?
The initial step in the process is for your customer (an importer) to substitute your
bank’s credit for its own through the use of a letter of credit issued by your bank. You
would not issue the letter of credit unless you are satisfied that your customer is in a
satisfactory financial condition. The letter of credit is sent to an exporter who draws a
draft on your bank for the price of the goods that are being sent to the importer. The
draft, shipping documents, etc., are forwarded to you. Once your bank is satisfied that
the terms of the letter of credit have been met, your bank accepts the draft which now
becomes a bankers’ acceptance. The shipping documents are transferred to your
customer who then acquires the goods that have been shipped by the exporter. For your
protection, the importer is required to deposit the proceeds from the sale of the goods in
its account at your bank until the amount of the bankers’ acceptance has been met. This
requirement provides some protection for your bank since funds are recovered as sales
are made.
8. For the entire year, the nation’s balance of trade with other nations has been in a
substantial deficit position, yet, as always, the overall balance of payments will be in
“balance.” Describe the various factors that accomplish this overall balance, in spite of
the deficit in the balance of trade.
Since the balance of payments must, by definition, always be in balance, any deficit in
the balance of trade must be offset by a surplus in the capital account balance. The
principal factor in the capital account is the net increase in investments in the U.S. by
foreign government and private investors.
9. Assume you are the international vice president of a small U.S.-based manufacturing
corporation. You are trying to expand your business in several developing countries.
You are also aware that some business practices are considered to be “acceptable” in
6-15
Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
these countries but not necessarily in the United States. How would your react to the
following situations?
a. You met yesterday with a government official from one of the countries you would like
to make sales in. He said that he could speed up the process for acquiring the
necessary licenses for conducting business in his country if you would pay him for his
time and effort. What would you do?
We know that the concept of what is “acceptable” ethical behavior differs across
cultures and countries. In some countries it seems to be acceptable practice for
government officials and others to request “side” payments and even bribes as a
means for foreign companies being able to do business in these countries. Such
actions are morally wrong. Furthermore, with this said, the Foreign Corrupt Practices
Act prohibits U.S. firms from bribing foreign officials. Violators of this Act are
subject to fines, prison time, and lost reputation. Business-related bribes are both
illegal and unethical.
b. You are trying to make a major sale of your firm’s products to the government of a
foreign country. You have identified the key decision maker. You are considering
offering the official a monetary payment if she would recommend buying your firm’s
products. What would you do?
c. Your firm has a local office in a developing country where you are trying to increase
business opportunities. Representatives from a local crime syndicate have
approached you and have offered to provide “local security” in exchange for a
monthly payment to them. What would you do?
1. Exchange rate relationships between the U.S. dollar and the euro have been quite
volatile. When the euro began trading at the beginning of 1999, it was valued at 1.17
U.S. dollars. By late-2000, a euro was worth only $.83 and peaked at $1.60 in mid-2008.
Calculate the percentage changes in the value of a euro from its initial value to its late-
2000 value and to its high mid-2008 value.
6-16
Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
36.75%
Late-2000 to mid-2008 percentage change = (1.60 - .83)/.83 = .77/.83 = .9277 or
92.77%
2. Over a two-year period, the U.S. dollar equivalent of a euro increased from $1.3310 to
1.4116. Using the indirect quotation method, determine the currency per U.S. dollar for
each of these dates.
3. Over a two-year period, the U.S. dollar equivalent of a euro increased from $1.3310 to
1.4116. Determine the percentage change of the euro between these two dates.
4. A few years ago the U.S. dollar equivalent of a foreign currency was $1.2167. Today, the
U.S. dollar equivalent of a foreign currency is $1.3310. Using the indirect quotation
method, determine the currency per U.S. dollar for each of these dates.
5. A few years ago the U.S. dollar equivalent of a foreign currency was $1.2167. Today, the
U.S. dollar equivalent of a foreign currency is $1.3310. Determine the percentage
change of the euro between these two dates.
6. If the U.S dollar value of a British Pound is $1.95 and a euro is $1.55, calculate the
implied value of a euro in terms of a British Pound.
7. Assume a U.S. dollar is worth 10.38 Mexican Pesos and .64 euros. Calculate the implied
value of a Mexican Peso in terms of a euro.
8. Assume that five years a euro was trading at a direct method quotation of $.8767. Also
assume that recently the indirect method quotation was .8219 euros per U.S. dollar.
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
1/.8219 = $1.2167
9. Assume that last year the Australian dollar was trading at $.5527, the Mexican peso at
$.1102, and the British pound was worth $1.4233. By this year the U.S. dollar value of an
Australian dollar was $.7056, the Mexican peso at $.0867, and the British pound was
$1.8203. Calculate the percentage appreciation or depreciation of each of these three
currencies between last year and this year.
Australian dollar:
($.7056 - $.5527)/$.5527 = $.1529/$.5527 = 27.7%
Mexican peso:
($.0867 - $.1102)/$.1102 = -$.0235/$.1102 = -21.3%
British pound:
($1.8203 - $1.4233)/$1.4233 = $.3970/$1.4233 = 27.9%
10. Assume that the Danish krone (DK) has a current dollar ($US) value of $0.18
.
a. Determine the number of DK that can be purchased with one $US.
$1.00/$0.18 = 5.556 Danish krone (DK) per one $US
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
Note: The percentage increase in the U.S. dollar is not the same as the percentage
decrease in the DK because the “bases” from which the calculations are made are not
the same.
11. Assume the U.S. dollar ($US) value of the Australian dollar is $0.73 while the U.S. dollar
value of the Hong Kong dollar is $0.13
.
a. Determine the number of Australian dollars that can be purchased with one $US.
b. Determine the number of Hong Kong dollars that can be purchased with one $US.
c. In $US terms, determine how many Hong Kong dollars can be purchased with one
Australian dollar.
12. Assume one U.S. dollar ($US) can currently purchase 1.316 Swiss francs. However, it
has been predicted that one $US soon will be exchangeable for 1.450 Swiss francs.
a. Calculate the percentage change in the $US if the exchange rate change occurs.
b. Determine the dollar value of one Swiss franc at both of the above exchange rates.
1/1.316 = $0.76
1/1.450 = $0.69
c. Calculate the percentage change in the dollar value of one Swiss franc based on the
above exchange rates.
13. Assume inflation is expected to be 3 percent in the United States next year compared
with 6 percent in Australia. If the U.S. dollar value of an Australian dollar is currently
$0.500, what is the expected exchange rate one-year from now based on purchasing
power parity?
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
14. Assume inflation is expected to be 8 percent in New Zealand next year compared with 4
percent in France. If the New Zealand dollar value of a euro $0.400, what is the
expected exchange rate one-year from now based on purchasing power parity?
15. Assume the interest rate on a one-year U.S. government debt security is currently 9.5
percent compared with a 7.5 percent on a foreign country’s comparable maturity debt
security. If the U.S. dollar value of the foreign country’s currency is $1.50, what is the
expected exchange rate one year from now based on interest rate parity (IRP)?
16. Assume the interest rate in Australia on one-year government debt securities is 10
percent and the interest rate on Japanese one-year debt is 5 percent. Assume the
current Australian dollar value of the Japanese yen is $0.0200. Using interest rate
parity (IRP), estimate the expected value of the Japanese yen in terms of Australian
dollars one-year from now.
17. Challenge Problem Following are currency exchange “crossrates” between pairs of
major currencies. Currency crossrates include both direct and indirect methods for
expressing relative exchange rates.
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Chapter Six: International Finance and Trade
c. If the one-year government interest rate is 6 percent in Japan and 4 percent in the
United Kingdom, estimate the amount of Yen that will be needed to purchase one
British pound one year from now.
Indirect Method:
FR1 = SR0[(1 + Japan inflation rate)/(1 + UK inflation rate) = (185.98 Yen)(1.06/1.04)
= (185.98 Yen)(1.019) = 189.51 Yen
d. Based solely on purchasing power parity (PPP), calculate the expected one-year
inflation rate in the U.S. if the Swiss inflation rate is expected to be 3.5 percent next
year, and the one-year forward rate of a Swiss franc is $.6100.
e. Assume the U.S. dollar is expected to depreciate by 15 percent relative to the euro at
the end of one-year from now and the interest rate on one-year government securities
in the EMU is 5.5 percent. What would be the current U.S. one-year government
security interest rate based solely on the use of interest rate parity to forecast forward
currency exchange rates?
$.7452 = $.8767(1.055/x)
x = ($.7452)/(1.055/$.8767) = $.7452/1.2034 = .900
The expected one-year U.S. interest rate would be: .900 – 1.00 = -.100 = -10.0%
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Section Two Specific Suggestions by Chapter
Of course it is not reasonable to have a negative one-year interest rate. Thus, interest
rate parity can not explain the expected 15% depreciation in the U.S. dollar.
SUGGESTED QUIZ
2. Briefly describe the European Union (EU) and indicate the number of founding and
current members.
3. Explain why members of the European Monetary Union (EMU) are also called eurozone
members.
4. Explain how purchasing power parity (PPP) and interest rate parity (IRP) are used to
forecast future or forward currency exchange rates between two countries.
5. List the major components involved in U.S. international transactions as contained in the
current account and capital account balances.
6-22
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