BULUS

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3.

0 Research Methodology

This section deals with identification of variables, specification of suitable model, method and
techniques of estimation, method of data analysis and sources of data under study.

3.1 Research design

The study will also utilize annual time series data spanning from 2013-2022 to evaluate the
relationship between International trade and Economic growth in Nigeria.

3.2 Sources of Data Collection

This research will employed annual time series data on the variable under consideration to cover
a total period of 10 years (2013-2022) in the estimation of functions. These data will be sourced
from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical Bulletin annual report, and statement of
Account; and the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Unit Root Test:

The unit root test is necessary in this study so as to verify if our time series data is stationary or
non-stationary.

This is because non-stationary time series data will be unreliable in making economic
predictions. This may lead to incorrect and spurious regression results from which further
inferences becomes meaningless using the Dickey fuller (1981) tests (Gujarati et al, 2012).

Literature table
Author and Year Country and Scope Methodology Major find

S/N

Variable Estimation method

A delibera
internal c
1 D. Hartmann et 116 countries (1970- International trade, Time series, Economic well as ex
al 2020 2010) Import, Export, Complexity Index, trade and
Inequality Product space and the innovatio
Product Gini Index
2 Jude Nigeria (1981-2017) Gross Domestic Product, Johansen co-integration The vecto
Chukwunyere Net export , Trade test, Vector Error that while
Iwuoha (2020) Openness, Real correction model positive in
Exchange Rate, Foreign economic
Direct Investment trade ope
rate, inter
direct inv
negative i
economic

23 Stephen Egoro A. Nigeria(1981-2015) Gross Domestic Product, Multiple Regression Internatio


and Obah Daddy Import, Export Econometric with E- significan
Obah (2017) views, the Durbin- economic
Watson statistics it is a cata
growth.
3 Azeez B.A et al Nigeria(2000-2012) Gross Domestic Product, Ordinary Least Square Internatio
(2014) Import, Export, Trade significan
Openness Nigerian e

Adeleye J.O et al Nigeria(1988-2012) Gross Domestic Product, Unit Root Test- Total expo
(2015) Balance of Trade, Augmented Dickey- and signif
4 Import, Export, Balance Fuller Test remain in
of Payment, Error term Internatio
major role
growth of

5 S.G Edoumiekumo Nigeria (1981-2008) Real Gross Domestic Unit Root Test, There is a
and C.O. Period, export, import Augmented Dickey- between e
Opukri(2013) Fuller Test, Granger economic
causality test, Ordinary
Least Square
econometric technique.
6 Tobias 80 countries (1965- Imported capital, Ordinary Least Square Governme
Bidlingmaier 2006) Output, Labour regression, Growth geared to
(2007) regression, Panel capacities
regression knowledg
enacting a
environm
developm

7 Kehinde Nigeria (1981-2014) Real GDP,Export Augmented Dickey- There is o


Abiodun(2017) volumes, Import Fuller test, Granger relationsh
volumes, Trade Causality growth an
openness, Gross Capital
Formation, Exchange
rate.

8 Anachusi C.P Nigeria(1996-2015) Real trade, GDP per Augmented Dickey- The study
capita, Investment, Fuller test, Johansen co- negative r
Population growth. integration test, Corruptio
Ordinary Least Square trade.
method and
Heteroskedasticity.

10 Owolabi M.O et al Nigeria (1971-2012) Gross Domestic Johansen co-integration The study
(2015) Product, Import, Export, test, Ordinary Least makers sh
Exchange rate, Square, Granger promotio
Government Causality test, Unit Root discourag
expenditure, Foreign Test. that have
Direct Investment,
Inflation
11 Richard C. Nigeria (1980-2018) Ordinary Least Square, Human Development Trade pol
Osadume and Fully Modified Least Index, Export, Exchange and long r
Sunday, D. Daniels Square, Granger rate, Inflation rate. developm
(2019) Causality test.

12 Elias I.A et al Nigeria (1980-2012) Gross Domestic Product, A Priori Expectation of There is a
(2018) Export value, Import Variables Used, export tra
value Statistical Criteria, economic
Econometric Criteria. significan
trade on e

13 Abomaye . N et Nigeria (1980-2014) Gross Domestic Product, Unit Root Test, Johansen There is n
al(2017) Export, Exchange rate, co-integration test, suitable o
Trade openness Error Correction policy reg
Mechanism trade ope
exchange
economic

14 Omoke P.C (2010) Nigeria(1970-2005) Financial development, Augmented Dickey- Growth le


Trade openness, Fuller test, Phillip- be pursue
Economic growth Perron (PP) test, participat
Johansen co-integration effectively
test. trade.

15 Julius Edekin A. 42 developing International trade, Ordinary Least Square The findin
and Ibitoye countries (1990- Economic Growth and regression method has a nega
Olufemi(2012) 2014) Development, Exchange relationsh
rate growth w
positive a
relationsh
growth.

16 Saibu Muibi Nigeria(1970-2000) Export, Import, Augmented Dickey- Trade gro


Olufemi (2004) Exchange rate premium, Fuller test, Johansen co- be model
Export plus Import integration test, Granger as no inte
Causality Test. nexus exis
growth va
17 Redmond T. and 30 countries (1990- Financial development, Unit root test, Monitorin
Nasir, M.A (2020) 2016) Trade openness, Augmented Dickey- implemen
International trade. Fuller deficits in
the impac
on econom

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