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Tree Diagrams
Tree Diagrams
Tree Diagrams
You may assume that the weather each day is independent of the weather the day before.
(b) When it is wet and windy, concerts have to be postponed until the next day.
(d) On a dry day with no wind, the probability that the temperature is more than 30° C is
0.9.
(i) the probability that the temperature is more than 30° C on Monday, [2]
(ii) the probability that on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday the temperature is more
However 15% of those with positive test results do not have the illness;
(This means that these people are given an incorrect test result.)
(i) has a positive test result and has the illness, [2]
(c) In a certain town, 10 000 people, chosen at random, are given this test.
The probability that Paula thinks she knows the answer to any question is 0.6.
If Paula thinks she knows, the probability that she is correct is 0.9.
Otherwise she guesses and the probability that she is correct is 0.2.
(c) The probability that Tarek thinks he knows the answer to any question is 0.55.
(i) Draw a tree diagram for Tarek. Write all the probabilities on your diagram. [3]
(ii) Find the probability that Tarek gets the correct answer. [2]
(ii) Tarek.
Or
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