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Chapter 8 (P2) - Making Capital Investment Decisions (S202)
Chapter 8 (P2) - Making Capital Investment Decisions (S202)
Chapter 8 (P2) - Making Capital Investment Decisions (S202)
Making Capital
Investment
Decisions
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter Outline
10-2
Project Cash Flows: A First Look
Experts in Finance, Accounting, Marketing, Production,…
0 1 2 … N
CF0
NPV, IRR, PI, Payback
10-3
Relevant Cash Flows
150
With project
1000
0 1 2 … N
1400
CFIncremental = CFWith - CFWithout
“Will this cash flow occur ONLY
if we accept the project?”
Incremental CFs
All the benefits of operating railroad
10-5
Common Types of Cash Flows
Include: Not include:
Opportunity costs - costs
Sunk costs – costs that
of lost options
have accrued in the past
Side effects
Positive side effects – benefits Financing costs (interest
to other projects expense)
Negative side effects – costs
to other projects
Changes in net working
capital
Taxes
10-6
7
Typical Cash Flows of a Project
Recovery of NWC
Salvage Value
Machine OCF=NI+D
purchase,
shipment Depreciation Tax
installation
R
0 1 2 … N
Tax Credit
Training expense
You plan to add a fashion product
to your current business.
Increase in NWC
What incremental CFs
do you anticipate?
8
Review: Net working capital
How much is NWC?
Assets Liability & Equity
CF0 =
- Machine purchase, shipment & Installation
- Change in Working Capital
-Expense Outlays after tax (i.e. Training Expenses)
+ Sales of Old machine
- Tax on selling old machine
11
Estimating Cash Flows
Initial Outlay
Example 1:
Gasperini Corp. is considering replacing their old
production machine with a new one. The cost of the
new machine is $48,000; installation and delivery
cost $2,000. Working Capital requirements on the
new machine are $3,000 immediately, and training
costs amount to $4,000. The old machine can be sold
for $10,000; its book value is zero. Gasperini has a
marginal tax rate of 40%.
12
Estimating Cash Flows
Initial Outlay
Cost of Machine +48,000
Installation & Shipping 2,000
Working Capital 3,000
Training (after tax) 2,400 4,000(1-0.40)
+55,400
Less: Sale of Old Machine Tax rate x (Salvage Value-Book Value)
Salvage Value 10,000 .4(10,000 – 0)
–Taxes – 4,000
– 6,000
Initial Outlay +49,400
0 1 2 3 4 5
-49,400
13
#2: Estimate Operating CF (OCF)
From
Pro forma Income Statement
(Projected IS)
Terminal Cash
Flow CT
OCF1 OCF2 OCFi OCFN
R
0 1 2 … N
Initial Outlay CF0
14
Review: 3 methods to calculate OCF
1. Bottom Up
OCF=NI+ Depreciation
Sales (Revenue) 100 =26+20=46
-Costs -40
-Depreciations -20 2. Top Down
EBIT (I=0) 40 OCF=Sales-Costs-Taxes
=100-40-14=46
-Tax (35%) -14
Net Income 26
3. Tax shield
+ Depreciation +20 OCF=(S-C)(1-T)+D.T
=(100-40)(1-.35)+20*0.35=46
Operating Cash 46 EBIT=S-C-D
Flows (OCF)
NI=EBIT*(1-T)
=(S-C-D)*(1-T)
=(S-C)*(1-T) – D*(1-T)
=(S-C)*(1-T) – D +D*T
OCF=NI+D
=(S-C)*(1-T) +D*T
15
Depreciation
The depreciation expense used for capital
budgeting should be the depreciation schedule
required by the IRS (Internal Revenue Service)
for tax purposes
Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense,
consequently, it is only relevant because it
affects taxes
Depreciation tax shield = D*T
16
Depreciation methods
1. Straight-line (SL)
D = (Initial cost - BVn) / number of years
Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax
purposes: but we use it in class for simplification
Example 1 (continued):
The new machine Gasperini Corp is considering buying will
increase revenues by $5,000/yr and decrease costs by
$8,000/ yr. They expect to use the machine for 5 years, and
expect to sell it for $15,000 in 5 years. Assume Gasperini uses
the modified accelerated cost recovery system (MACRS) for
depreciation.
Class Examples
-49,400
23
Estimating Cash Flows
Operating (Differential) Cash Flows
OCFt = (St - Ct)(1 -T) + DtT
Example 1 (continued):
The new machine Gasperini Corp is considering buying will increase
revenues by $5,000/yr and decrease costs by $8,000/ yr. They expect to
use the machine for 5 years, and expect to sell it for $15,000 in 5 years.
Assume Gasperini uses the modified accelerated cost recovery system
(MACRS) for depreciation.
Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 Remaining
MACRS (7yrs) 100% 14.29% 24.49% 17.49% 12.49% 8.93% 22%
D 50000 7,145 12,245 8,745 6,245 4,465 11,155
S-C 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000
(S-C)*(1-T) 7,800 7,800 7,800 7,800 7,800
D*T (T=40%) 2,858 4,898 3,498 2,498 1,786
OCF 10,658 12,698 11,298 10,298 9,586
S-C=5000 – (-8000)=13,000
24
Estimating Cash Flows
Operating (Differential) Cash Flows
Example 1 (continued):
The new machine Gasperini Corp is considering buying will
increase revenues by $5,000/yr and decrease costs by $8,000/ yr.
They expect to use the machine for 5 years, and expect to sell it
for $15,000 in 5 years. Assume Gasperini uses the modified
accelerated cost recovery system (MACRS) for depreciation.
0 1 2 3 4 5
InitialCos ts BookValue
Depreciati on SL
Number .of .Year
50,000 0
Depreciation SL 7,143
7
26
#3: Terminal Cash Flow CT
Initial Outlay
Operating Cash Flows Terminal Cash Flow
If the required rate of the above project is 11%, compute its NPV?
CFo=-49,400, CF1=10,658, CF2=12,698, CF3=11,298, CF410,298, CF5=26,048
I = 11% NPV=+1,010.62 > 0 Accept
10-32
#2: Equivalent Annual Cost (EAC)
NPV=1,664.01 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000 12,000
12,000
Machine 1 14% EAC=427.91
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
#1: Calculate NPV =1,664.01
-45,000
#2: Spread NPV EAC1 = 427.91 (~AW)
10-33
Summary: Typical Cash Flows of a Project
Net sale of old Recovery of NWC
machine (S*old)
(-∆NWC)
Machine
purchase,
Net Salvage Value
shipment
(SVNew*)
installation
OCF=(S-C)*(1-T) + D*T
(CNEW)
R
0 1 2 … N
SV*=SV – T*(SV-BV)
Net Training expense
(C*Training) C*Training=CTraining*(1-T)
∆NWC= ∆A/R + ∆Inven - ∆AP …
Increase in NWC SL: D=CNEW/n (Law n)
(∆NWC)
MACRS: Dep. Schedule
10-34
10
End of Chapter
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.