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Online Course
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Preface
Acknowledgments
About the Authors
Introduction: The Five-Step Program
Appendixes
Formula Sheet
Tables
Bibliography
Websites
Glossary
PREFACE
I keep saying the sexy job in the next ten years will be statisticians.
––Hal Varian
The best thing about being a statistician is that you get to play in
everyone’s backyard.
––John Tukey
So much of the physical world has been explored. But the deluge of
data I get to investigate really lets me chart new territory. Genetic
data from people living today forms an archaeological record of what
happened to their ancestors living 10,000 years ago.
–Pardis Sabeti
My wife and family, who support me without fail. And the RCHS
faculty and my AP Stats colleagues, who have inspired me to strive
for more than I ever thought I was capable of (J.D.).
DEANNA KRAUSE MCDONALD has been teaching for 35 years and taught
Advanced Placement Statistics for 20 years at Palo Verde and
University high schools in Tucson, Arizona. She currently teaches
statistics courses for the University of Arizona Department of
Mathematics from which she has a BS and MA in Mathematics and
Teacher Education. Her youngest daughter is now a math teacher as
well and is also teaching AP Statistics.
INTRODUCTION: THE FIVE-
STEP PROGRAM
The Basics
Sometime, probably last spring, you signed up for AP Statistics. Now
you are looking through a book that promises to help you achieve
the highest grade in AP Statistics: a 5. Your in-class experiences are
all-important in helping you toward this goal but are often not
sufficient by themselves. In statistical terms, we would say that
there is strong evidence that specific preparation for the AP exam
beyond the classroom results in significantly improved performance
on the exam. If that last sentence makes sense to you, you should
probably buy this book. If it didn’t make sense, you should definitely
buy this book.
This icon alerts you to a tip that you might find useful.
This icon indicates a tip that will help you with your calculator.
Boldfaced words indicate terms included in the glossary at the
end of this book.
STEP 1
IN THIS CHAPTER
Summary: Learn what topics are tested, how the test is scored, and basic test-
taking information.
Key Ideas:
Most colleges will award credit for a score of 4 or 5. Some will
award credit for a 3.
Multiple-choice questions account for one-half of your final score.
One point is earned for each correct answer on the multiple-
choice section.
Free-response questions account for one-half of your final score.
Your composite score out of a possible 100 on the two test
sections is converted to a score on the 1-to-5 scale.
Background Information
The AP Statistics exam that you are taking was first offered by the
College Board in 1997. In that year, 7,667 students took the Stats
exam (the largest first-year exam ever). Since then, the number of
students taking the test has grown rapidly. In 2019, about 225,000
students (of whom 14.5% earned a top grade of a 5) took the AP
Statistics exam. Statistics is now one of the 10 largest AP exams.
IN THIS CHAPTER
Summary: The right preparation plan for you depends on your study habits and
the amount of time you have before the test.
Key Idea
Choose the study plan that’s right for you.
1. You are the kind of person who likes to plan for everything far
in advance.
2. You arrive at the airport two hours before your flight.
3. You like detailed planning and everything in its place.
4. You feel that you must be thoroughly prepared.
5. You hate surprises.
1. You get to the airport one hour before your flight is scheduled
to leave.
2. You are willing to plan ahead to feel comfortable in stressful
situations, but you are okay with skipping some details.
3. You feel more comfortable when you know what to expect, but
a surprise or two is okay.
4. You are always on time for appointments.
NOVEMBER
____ Read and study Chapter 7–Design of a Study: Sampling,
Surveys, and Experiments.
____ Review Chapter 5.
DECEMBER
____ Read and study Chapter 8–Probability and Random Variables.
____ Review Chapters 6 and 7.
FEBRUARY
____ Read and study Chapter 10–Inference: Estimating with
Confidence Intervals.
____ Review Chapters 7–9.
____ Look over the Diagnostic Exam.
MARCH (30 weeks have elapsed)
____ Read and study Chapter 11–Inference: Testing Hypotheses.
____ Read and study Chapter 12–Inference for Regression.
____ Review Chapters 8–10.
APRIL
____ Read and study Chapter 13–Inference for Categorical Data:
Chi-Square Tests.
____ Read and study Chapter 14–Free Response Question 6: The
Investigative Task.
____ Review Chapters 10–12.
____ Take the Diagnostic Exam.
____ Evaluate your strengths and weaknesses.
____ Study appropriate chapters to correct weaknesses.
JANUARY
____ Carefully read Chapters 1–4 of this book.
____ Read and study Chapter 5–One-Variable Data Analysis.
____ Read and Study Chapter 6–Two-Variable Data Analysis.
____ Read and Study Chapter 7–Design of a Study: Sampling,
Surveys, and Experiments.
FEBRUARY
____ Read and study Chapter 8–Probability and Random Variables.
____ Read and study Chapter 9–Binomial Distributions, Geometric
Distributions, and Sampling Distributions.
____ Review Chapters 5–7.
MARCH
____ Read and study Chapter 10–Inference: Estimating with
Confidence Intervals.
____ Read and study Chapter 11–Inference: Testing Hypotheses.
____ Review Chapters 6–9.
APRIL
____ Read and study Chapter 12–Inference for Regression.
____ Read and study Chapter 13–Inference for Categorical Data:
Chi-Square Tests.
____ Read and study Chapter 14–Free Response Question 6: The
Investigative Task.
____ Review Chapters 8–11.
____ Take Diagnostic Exam.
____ Evaluate your strengths and weaknesses.
____ Study appropriate chapters to correct weaknesses.
At this point, we are going to assume that you have been building
your statistics knowledge base for more than six months. You will,
therefore, use this book primarily as a specific guide to the AP
Statistics Exam.
Given the time constraints, now is not the time to expand your AP
Statistics curriculum. Rather, it is the time to limit and refine what
you already do know.
APRIL 1–15
____ Skim Chapters 1–4 of this book.
____ Skim Chapters 5–9.
____ Carefully go over the “Rapid Review” sections of Chapters 5–9.
APRIL 16–30
____ Skim Chapters 10–14.
____ Carefully go over the “Rapid Review” sections of Chapters 10–
14.
____ Take the Diagnostic Exam.
____ Evaluate your strengths and weaknesses.
____ Study appropriate chapters to correct weaknesses.
THE CREW OF N 25
LEFT TO RIGHT: RIISER-LARSEN, AMUNDSEN,
FEUCHT
THE CREW OF N 24
ELLSWORTH, DIETRICHSON, OMDAL
It was now ten minutes past five. The motors were quite warm and
Green nodded approvingly. His smile expressed complete satisfaction.
A last handshake from Director Knutsen and then good-by. The motor
was running at top speed as N 25 trembled and shook. The plan was
that our machine should make the first start and try if possible to start
out over the fjord with the wind in order to glide and swing at a low
altitude between the fjord boundaries. If this were not successful we
were to set our course direct against the wind, towards King’s Bay
Glacier. It was also agreed that the machines should try to keep
together during the entire flight. What the one did the other should do
afterwards. One last pull and then N 25 was free and glided gracefully
down the slide on to the frozen fjord. The trip was started. “Welcome
back to-morrow,” was the last I heard as with tremendous speed—
1,800 revolutions a minute—it set off towards the starting place in the
middle of the fjord. There we noticed all at once that the ice was
bending right over and the water surging up. In a second the machine
was across the fjord heading straight for the glacier and making 2,000
revolutions. This was one of the most anxious moments. Could the
machine bear the tremendous excess weight or must we stop and
lighten it? The pilot sat at the wheel. Had he been seated at the
breakfast table he could scarcely have looked less concerned. As the
speed still continued, and we were nearing the glacier at a mighty rate,
the pilot’s coolness seemed greater than ever. His mouth was the only
indication of his resolution and determination. We went over the ice
like a hurricane. The speed continued and continued; then suddenly
the miracle happened. With a mighty pull the machine raised itself from
the earth. We were in the air. The master stroke was accomplished. It
seemed to me after the breathless anxiety that I at last heard a light
Ah! which grew into a ringing shout of joy.