MATH2930(Problem Set #5)

Question 1
In a certain population, 10% of the people can be classified as being high risk for a heart attack.
Three people are randomly selected from this population. What is the probability that exactly
one of the three are high risk? Answer 0.243

Question 2
Suppose we have additional information for the previous question. We know that only 49% of
the population are female. Also, of the female patients, 8% are high risk for hearth attacked. A
single person is selected at random. What is the probability that it is a high-risk female?
Answer 0 .0392

Question 3
From a previous question, we know that 49% of the population are female. Of the female
patients, 8% are high risk for heart attack, while 12% of the male patients are high risk. A single
person is selected at random and found to be high risk. What is the probability that it is a male?
Answer 0.61

Question 4
A pair of fair dice is rolled. What is the probability that the second die lands on higher value than does
the first? Answer 0.4167

Question 5
Let A be the event that a randomly selected person watches the Tonight Show with Jay Leno and
B be the event that a randomly selected person watches the Late Show with David Letterman. It
is possible to time-shift a program to a more convenient hour and thus watch both programs.
Suppose the following probabilities are given:
P(A ⋂ BC ) = 0.40 , P(AC ⋂ B ) = 0.10 , P(AC ⋂ BC ) = 0.30
a. What is the probability that a randomly selected person watches both shows? 0.20
b. What is the probability that a randomly selected person watches only Jay Leno? 0.40
c. What is the probability that a randomly selected person watches only David Letterman? 0.10
d. What is the probability that a randomly selected person watches Jay Leno? 0.60
e. What is the probability that a randomly selected person watches David Letterman? 0.30
f. If we know a person watches Jay Leno, what is the probability he or she also watches David
Letterman? 0.333
g. If we know a person watches David Letterman, what is the probability he or she also watches
Jay Leno? 0.667
h. Are the events A and B independent? Justify your answer.