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Unit 3 ML
Unit 3 ML
• Both the algorithms are used for prediction in Machine learning and work with the labeled
datasets. But the difference between both is how they are used for different machine learning
problems.
The main difference between Regression and Classification algorithms are as follows:
Regression
The most extensively used modelling technique is linear regression, which assumes a linear
connection between a dependent variable (Y) and an independent variable (X). It employs a
regression line, also known as a best-fit line.
Types of Regression
Where,
Y = Dependent Variable
m = Slope
X = Independent Variable
c = Intercept
e =error term.
Linear Regression is one of the most simple Machine learning algorithm that comes
under Supervised Learning technique and used for solving regression problems.
It is used for predicting the continuous dependent variable with the help of independent
variables.
The goal of the Linear regression is to find the best fit line that can accurately predict the
output for the continuous dependent variable.
If single independent variable is used for prediction then it is called Simple Linear
Regression and if there are more than two independent variables then such regression is
called as Multiple Linear Regression.
By finding the best fit line, algorithm establish the relationship between dependent
variable and independent variable. And the relationship should be of linear nature.
The output for Linear regression should only be the continuous values such as price, age,
salary, etc. The relationship between the dependent variable and independent variable can
be shown in below image:
In above image the dependent variable is on Y-axis (salary) and independent variable is on x-
axis (experience).
Multiple linear regression should be employed when numerous independent factors influence the
outcome of a single dependent variable and when forecasting more complex interactions.
The Naïve Bayes algorithm is comprised of two words Naïve and Bayes, Which can be described
as:
Naïve: It is called Naïve because it assumes that the occurrence of a certain feature is
independent of the occurrence of other features. Such as if the fruit is identified on the
bases of color, shape, and taste, then red, spherical, and sweet fruit is recognized as an
apple. Hence each feature individually contributes to identify that it is an apple without
depending on each other.
Bayes: It is called Bayes because it depends on the principle of Bayes' Theorem.
Bayes' Theorem:
Bayes' theorem is also known as Bayes' Rule or Bayes' law, which is used to determine
the probability of a hypothesis with prior knowledge. It depends on the conditional
probability.
The formula for Bayes' theorem is given as:
Where,
P(B|A) is Likelihood probability: Probability of the evidence given that the probability of a
hypothesis is true.
Problem: If the weather is sunny, then the Player should play or not?
0 Rainy Yes
1 Sunny Yes
2 Overcast Yes
3 Overcast Yes
4 Sunny No
5 Rainy Yes
6 Sunny Yes
7 Overcast Yes
8 Rainy No
9 Sunny No
10 Sunny Yes
11 Rainy No
12 Overcast Yes
13 Overcast Yes
Weather Yes No
Overcast 5 0
Rainy 2 2
Sunny 3 2
Total 10 5
Weather No Yes
Rainy 2 2 4/14=0.29
Sunny 2 3 5/14=0.35
Applying Bayes'theorem:
P(Yes|Sunny)= P(Sunny|Yes)*P(Yes)/P(Sunny)
P(Sunny)= 0.35
P(Yes)=0.71
P(No|Sunny)= P(Sunny|No)*P(No)/P(Sunny)
P(Sunny|NO)= 2/4=0.5
P(No)= 0.29
P(Sunny)= 0.35
• Its estimations can be wrong in some cases, so you shouldn’t take its probability outputs
very seriously.
There are three types of Naive Bayes Model, which are given below:
Gaussian: The Gaussian model assumes that features follow a normal distribution. This
means if predictors take continuous values instead of discrete, then the model assumes
that these values are sampled from the Gaussian distribution.
Multinomial: The Multinomial Naïve Bayes classifier is used when the data is
multinomial distributed. It is primarily used for document classification problems, it
means a particular document belongs to which category such as Sports, Politics,
education, etc. The classifier uses the frequency of words for the predictors.
Bernoulli: The Bernoulli classifier works similar to the Multinomial classifier, but the
predictor variables are the independent Booleans variables. Such as if a particular word is
present or not in a document. This model is also famous for document classification
tasks.
K-NN algorithm stores all the available data and classifies a new data point based on the
similarity. This means when new data appears then it can be easily classified into a well
suite category by using K- NN algorithm.
K-NN algorithm can be used for Regression as well as for Classification but mostly it is
used for the Classification problems.
K-NN is a non-parametric algorithm, which means it does not make any assumption on
underlying data.
It is also called a lazy learner algorithm because it does not learn from the training set
immediately instead it stores the dataset and at the time of classification, it performs an
action on the dataset.
KNN algorithm at the training phase just stores the dataset and when it gets new data,
then it classifies that data into a category that is much similar to the new data.
Example: Suppose, we have an image of a creature that looks similar to cat and dog, but
we want to know either it is a cat or dog. So for this identification, we can use the KNN
algorithm, as it works on a similarity measure. Our KNN model will find the similar
features of the new data set to the cats and dogs images and based on the most similar
features it will put it in either cat or dog category.
The K-NN working can be explained on the basis of the below algorithm:
Step-4: Among these k neighbors, count the number of the data points in each category.
Step-5: Assign the new data points to that category for which the number of the neighbor
is maximum.
Suppose we have a new data point and we need to put it in the required category. Consider the
below image:
Firstly, we will choose the number of neighbors, so we will choose the k=5.
Next, we will calculate the Euclidean distance between the data points. The Euclidean
distance is the distance between two points, which we have already studied in geometry.
It can be calculated as:
By calculating the Euclidean distance we got the nearest neighbors, as three nearest
neighbors in category A and two nearest neighbors in category B. Consider the below
image:
As we can see the 3 nearest neighbors are from category A, hence this new data point
must belong to category A.
Below are some points to remember while selecting the value of K in the K-NN algorithm. for B
There is no particular way to determine the best value for "K", so we need to try some
values to find the best out of them. The most preferred value for K is 5.
A very low value for K such as K=1 or K=2, can be noisy and lead to the effects of
outliers in the model.
Large values for K are good, but it may find some difficulties.
It can be used for Classification as well as for Regression problems, but mainly used for
Classification problems.
Logistic regression is used to predict the categorical dependent variable with the help of
independent variables.
The output of Logistic Regression problem can be only between the 0 and 1.
Logistic regression can be used where the probabilities between two classes is required.
Such as whether it will rain today or not, either 0 or 1, true or false etc.
In logistic regression, we pass the weighted sum of inputs through an activation function
that can map values in between 0 and 1. Such activation function is known as sigmoid
function and the curve obtained is called as sigmoid curve or S-curve. Consider the
below image:
Linear Regression and Logistic Regression are the two famous Machine Learning Algorithms
which come under supervised learning technique. Since both the algorithms are of supervised in
nature hence these algorithms use labeled dataset to make the predictions. But the main
difference between them is how they are being used. The Linear Regression is used for solving
Regression problems whereas Logistic Regression is used for solving the Classification
problems. The description of both the algorithms is given below along with difference table.
Difference between Linear Regression and Logistic Regression:
Linear regression is used to predict the Logistic Regression is used to predict the
continuous dependent variable using a given categorical dependent variable using a given
set of independent variables. set of independent variables.
Linear Regression is used for solving Logistic regression is used for solving
Regression problem. Classification problems.
In Linear regression, we predict the value of In logistic Regression, we predict the values
continuous variables. of categorical variables.
In linear regression, we find the best fit line, In Logistic Regression, we find the S-curve
by which we can easily predict the output. by which we can classify the samples.
Least square estimation method is used for Maximum likelihood estimation method is
estimation of accuracy. used for estimation of accuracy.
The output for Linear Regression must be a The output of Logistic Regression must be a
continuous value, such as price, age, etc. Categorical value such as 0 or 1, Yes or No,
etc.
In linear regression, there may be collinearity In logistic regression, there should not be
between the independent variables. collinearity between the independent
variable.
sports) for the response variable, the sports analyst would use a multinomial logistic regression
model.
As the name suggests, "Random Forest is a classifier that contains a number of decision trees on
various subsets of the given dataset and takes the average to improve the predictive accuracy of
that dataset." Instead of relying on one decision tree, the random forest takes the prediction from
each tree and based on the majority votes of predictions, and it predicts the final output. The
greater number of trees in the forest leads to higher accuracy and prevents the problem of
overfitting.
The below diagram explains the working of the Random Forest algorithm:
Since the random forest combines multiple trees to predict the class of the dataset, it is possible
that some decision trees may predict the correct output, while others may not. But together, all
the trees predict the correct output. Therefore, below are two assumptions for a better Random
forest classifier:
There should be some actual values in the feature variable of the dataset so that the
classifier can predict accurate results rather than a guessed result.
The predictions from each tree must have very low correlations.
Below are some points that explain why we should use the Random Forest algorithm:
Random Forest works in two-phase first is to create the random forest by combining N decision
tree, and second is to make predictions for each tree created in the first phase.
The Working process can be explained in the below steps and diagram:
Step-1: Select random K data points from the training set.
Step-2: Build the decision trees associated with the selected data points (Subsets).
Step-3: Choose the number N for decision trees that you want to build.
Step-5: For new data points, find the predictions of each decision tree, and assign the new data
points to the category that wins the majority votes.
The working of the algorithm can be better understood by the below example:
Example: Suppose there is a dataset that contains multiple fruit images. So, this dataset is given
to the Random forest classifier. The dataset is divided into subsets and given to each decision
tree. During the training phase, each decision tree produces a prediction result, and when a new
data point occurs, then based on the majority of results, the Random Forest classifier predicts the
final decision. Consider the below image:
There are mainly four sectors where Random forest mostly used:
1. Banking: Banking sector mostly uses this algorithm for the identification of loan risk.
2. Medicine: With the help of this algorithm, disease trends and risks of the disease can be
identified.
3. Land Use: We can identify the areas of similar land use by this algorithm.
4. Marketing: Marketing trends can be identified using this algorithm.
The principle behind boosting algorithms is first we built a model on the training dataset, then a
second model is built to rectify the errors present in the first model. This procedure is continued
until and unless the errors are minimized, and the dataset is predicted correctly.
Step 1 – The Image is shown below is the actual representation of our dataset. Since the target
column is binary it is a classification problem. First of all these data points will be assigned some
weights. Initially, all the weights will be equal.
Step 2 – We start by seeing how well “Gender” classifies the samples and will see how the
variables (Age, Income) classifies the samples. We’ll create a decision stump for each of the
features and then calculate the Gini Index of each tree. The tree with the lowest Gini Index will
be our first stump. Here in our dataset let’s say Gender has the lowest gini index so it will be our
first stump.
Step 3 – We’ll now calculate the “Amount of Say” or “Importance” or “Influence” for this
classifier in classifying the datapoints using this formula:
The total error is nothing, but the summation of all the sample weights of misclassified data
points.Here in our dataset let’s assume there is 1 wrong output, so our total error will be 1/5, and
alpha(performance of the stump) will be:
Note: Total error will always be between 0 and 1. 0 Indicates perfect stump and 1 indicates
horrible stump.
From the graph above we can see that when there is no misclassification then we have no error
(Total Error = 0), so the “amount of say (alpha)” will be a large number. When the classifier
predicts half right and half wrong then the Total Error = 0.5 and the importance (amount of say)
of the classifier will be 0. If all the samples have been incorrectly classified then the error will be
very high (approx. to 1) and hence our alpha value will be a negative integer.
Step 4 – You must be wondering why is it necessary to calculate the TE and performance of a
stump? Well, the answer is very simple, we need to update the weights because if the same
weights are applied to the next model, then the output received will be the same as what was
received in the first model.
The wrong predictions will be given more weight whereas the correct predictions weights will be
decreased. Now when we build our next model after updating the weights, more preference will
be given to the points with higher weights.After finding the importance of the classifier and total
error we need to finally update the weights and for this, we use the following formula:
The amount of say (alpha) will be negative when the sample is correctly classified.
The amount of say (alpha) will be positive when the sample is miss-classified.
There are four correctly classified samples and 1 wrong, here the sample weight of that datapoint
is 1/5 and the amount of say/performance of the stump of Gender is 0.69.
Note: See the sign of alpha when I am putting the values, the alpha is negative when the data
point is correctly classified, and this decreases the sample weight from 0.2 to 0.1004. It
is positive when there is misclassification, and this will increase the sample weight from 0.2 to
0.3988
We know that the total sum of the sample weights must be equal to 1 but here if we sum up all
the new sample weights, we will get 0.8004. To bring this sum equal to 1 we will normalize
these weights by dividing all the weights by the total sum of updated weights that is 0.8004. So,
after normalizing the sample weights we get this dataset and now the sum is equal to 1.
Step 5 – Now we need to make a new dataset to see if the errors decreased or not. For this we
will remove the “sample weights” and “new sample weights” column and then based on the
“new sample weights” we will divide our data points into buckets.
Step 6 – We are almost done, now what the algorithm does is selects random numbers from 0-1.
Since incorrectly classified records have higher sample weights, the probability to select those
records is very high. Suppose the 5 random numbers our algorithm take is
0.38,0.26,0.98,0.40,0.55. Now we will see where these random numbers fall in the bucket and
according to it, we’ll make our new dataset shown below.
This comes out to be our new dataset and we see the datapoint which was wrongly classified has
been selected 3 times because it has a higher weight.
Step 9 – Now this act as our new dataset and we need to repeat all the above steps i.e.
Iterate through these steps until and unless a low training error is achieved.
Suppose with respect to our dataset we have constructed 3 decision trees (DT1, DT2, DT3) in
a sequential manner. If we send our test data now it will pass through all the decision trees and
finally, we will see which class has the majority, and based on that we will do predictions
Boosting algorithms are much more flexible than other algorithms as can optimize
different loss functions and provides several hyperparameter tuning options.
It does not require data pre-processing because it is suitable for both numeric as well
as categorical variables.
It does not require imputation of missing values in the dataset, it handles missing data
automatically.