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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan GR
Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan GR
Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan GR
Abstract
Introduction
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Policy Perspectives Volume 17 Issue 2
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
Figure 1: N e t m e t e r in g G e n e r a t io n G r o w t h (M W )
160.00
141 LESCO 46.9
140.00 IESCO 29.4
120.00 KE
^ _ 24.2
93.28 MEPCO 1...
100.00
FESCO 11.3
80.00
GEPCO 9.7
60.00 PESCO 5.3
40.00 32.41 SEPCO 1.4
20.00 10.3' HESCO 0.6
3.18-
1.71 3.1 |
QESCO 0.3
0.00
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0
With this in context, this study takes a holistic view of the factors behind
the slow prosumage growth and aims to probe the factors (if any)
responsible for the geographic uneven uptake of distributed generation
in the country. While summarizing the findings, the paper also presents
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Methodology
This study examined the distributed Solar PV growth over the past five
years (2016-2020) and identified barriers impeding DG. For analysis, the
data on installed capacity and its DISCO-wise spread was extracted from
individual licenses and compiled as presented above in Figure 1.7 Further,
for an inclusive picture of the drivers, barriers and enablers of
prosumage, the study specifically focused on three principal
stakeholders: i) Prosumers, the end users who have engaged in
distributed generation; ii) Non-Prosumers, those who have yet not
engaged; iii) the distribution companies, which are the key
intermediaries responsible for connecting end users to the grid. Table 2
shows the detailed analysis of sample size and mode of data collection
for each stakeholder category.
Distribution 06 Interviews
Companies
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
Submission of Application
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120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
lllii
40.0%
20.0%
0.0% I
FESCO GEPCO HESCO IESCO KE LESCO M EPCO PESCO SEPCO
■No ■Yes
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
Skewed Concentration
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90.0% 83.5%
(i) The scheme has so far been launched by very few commercial
banks. Factors responsible for this limited adoption include:
voluntary adoption of the scheme; limited awareness of this
scheme by the most banks; transaction cost for the scheme,
which includes designing SOPs for its implementation vis-a-vis
the human resource and time investment in refinancing the loans
advanced from SBP (since the entire process is manual); and
finally, the high investment risk, created by absence of secondary
markets for solar system resale where loan defaults.
(ii) Even those banks which have introduced the scheme have
designed their standard operating procedures (SOPs) in such a
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
way that makes the access to loans very difficult for the common
man. This includes low payback period and requirement of
additional certifications (annual revenues, credit scores etc.),
making the eligibility to acquire solar PV financing from banks
more difficult for average citizen.
ussm
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
/ / / / / / /
(V c<y Ko ->P aT
J* * £ # ^ ^
/O ^ Xr .A? ^
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Policy Perspectives Volume 17 Issue 2
Solar suppliers and vendors are growing in the country but the weak
regulatory monitoring mechanism of the suppliers and the lack of
standardization or quality tests has resulted in imports and supply of low-
quality solar PV systems. Although Alternative Energy Development
Board (AEDB) has established a quality standards protocol restricting
low-quality solar equipment imports into the country, however, it has not
been aligned with appropriate 'regulatory and accountability mechanism'
where the solar vendors could be penalized in case of providing subpar
technology or for the misleading/false claims regarding their products.
For the same reason, majority of prosumers also indicated low
satisfaction with their installed technology. The prosumers who were
unsatisfied indicated the factors due to which they were dissatisfied with
the technology such as substandard technology in the market (including
low quality modules and inverters); high cost of technology; frequent
breakdown of control panel; poor after sale service by vendors; and low
power output against stated quotations. Figure 7 illustrates the overall
satisfaction level of prosumers with net metering technology provision.
Very Unsatisfied
Unsatisfied
Satisfied
Very Satisfied
Neutral
Inertia of DISCOs
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
The DISCOs have a key role in driving the solar prosumage growth in the
country. They are the primary intermediaries in this entire process,
responsible for implementing net metering regulations within their
respective jurisdictions. However, as explored by this study, power
supplying companies have been passive in adopting these regulations or
facilitating solar net metering. Consequently, the share of installed
capacity under net metering remains miniscule. As per the findings of the
study, this inertia is likely to become more intense with the growth of
prosumage.
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One key barrier identified in this survey was 'inadequately trained SDOs'
contributing to interconnection challenges. The lack of appropriate
training and capacity building at DISCOs is a major factor behind this
barrier. Although AEDB has organized some trainings in the past for
power supplier companies, many have indicated that they still required
adequate human resource and capacity building for efficiently dealing
with net metering. In this regard, regular training programs which are
organized after defined intervals could help in resolving the capacity
building constraints to a greater extent in respective companies.
One major finding of this study was that the prosumage drive in the
country is entirely driven by the dealer models where the prosumers
install and maintain the systems at their personal expense. The FFS
models, such as third party investors, are entirely non-existent in the
case of Pakistan. These models could overcome the difficulties of
accessing finance, maintenance and preventing other risks associated
with PV systems, to a greater extent. Consequently, DG drive is mostly
concentrated among: (i) end users who own their properties/
accommodation; and (ii) resourceful sections of society. Therefore, this
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
Technical Integration
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Conclusion
Notes
1 Umar Mustafa, Tobias Marz and Gerwin Dreesmann, Roadmap for the Rollout o f Net
Metering Regulations in Pakistan (Bonn: Deutsche Gesellschaft fur Internationale
Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, 2016), http://www.aedb.org/images/
RoadmapRolloutNetMetering2016.pdf; and Naila Saleh, "Mainstreaming Residential
Prosumers in Energy Sector," Policy Perspectives 15, no. 3 (2018): 99-117,
https://doi.org/10.13169/polipers.15.3.0099. Prosumerism is an arrangement where a
person consumes as well as produces a product. In the context of this discussion,
energy prosumer is a customer who self-generates energy for meeting her/his own
energy needs, partially or wholly, and has an option of selling the excess energy to the
grid.
2 National Electric Power Regulatory Authority, Government of Pakistan, "National
Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Alternative & Renewable Energy) Distributed
Generation and Net Metering Regulations, 2015," notification S.R.O. 892(1),
September 1, 2015, https://www.nepra.org.pk/Legislation/Regulations/
NOTIFICATION%20SRO%208920/o 20-2015.PDF.
3 Ibid. Initially the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) period was three years, extended
to seven years after amendment in the act.
4 This data does not cover net metering installations under two small private utilities,
namely Bahria Town and Defense Housing Authority-XII.
5 The data has been compiled from NEPRA's official website and covers installations
made till December 2020.
6 Ibid.
7 The licenses issued for DG in Pakistan are regularly uploaded by NEPRA on its official
website.
8 AEDB, Net-Metering Reference Guide for Electricity Consumer: How to Get Your Solar
System Connected to National Grid in Pakistan (Islamabad: Alternative Energy
Development Board, 2017).
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Net Metering and Solar PV Prosumage in Pakistan: Growth and Challenges
http://www.aedb.org/images/NetmeteringGuidlinesforConsumers.pdf.
9 Fee-for-Service (FFS) is a payment model where services are unbundled and paid for
separately. In fee-for-energy model, an energy company invests in PV hardware and
is responsible for installation, maintenance, repair, and replacement of the PV system
and, in some cases, its components (controllers, batteries) at the end of their lifetime.
The end user pays a connection fee and a regular fee, usually monthly, though a fee
per kWh is also possible. This study, however, explored that FFS models such as third
part investors are entirely non-existent in Pakistan and that the prosumage drive in
Pakistan is dominated by the dealer models, wherein the prosumer bears the entire
expense of installation and operation.
10 State Bank of Pakistan, "SBP Refinancing Scheme for Renewable Energy," circular
10, July 26, 2019, https://www.sbp.org.pk/smefd/circulars/2019/C10.htm; and State
Bank of Pakistan, "SBP Financing Scheme for Renewable Energy," circular 10, annex
1, July 26, 2019, https://www.sbp.org.pk/smefd/circulars/2019/C10-Annex-I.pdf.
11 Currently Islamabad Electric Supply Company (IESCO) is the only distribution
company (DISCO) which has introduced the online portal for both applicants and solar
vendors. Lahore Electric Supply Company (LESCO) and K-Electric have given the
access of online portal only to solar vendors.
12 Compliant regions denote those areas where both technical and non-technical losses
are low.
13 International Finance Corporation, WBG, "Pakistan Off-Grid Lighting Consumer
Perceptions: Study Overview" (paper, World Bank Group, Washington, DC, 2015),
http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/865301486382674587/pdf/112020-
WP-Pakistan-Solar-Consumer-Study-Overview-26thMay2015-LQ-PUBLIC.pdf.
14 Consultative interaction of the authors with AEDB members on December 8, 2020.
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