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Livestock Disease Outbreak Investigation Guideline
Livestock Disease Outbreak Investigation Guideline
Ministry of Agriculture
Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate
November 2010
Addis Ababa
ETHIOPIA
Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
November 2010
Addis Ababa
ETHIOPIA
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
Table of contents
FOREWORD...........................................................................................................................................................IV
1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 1
2. OBJECTIVE ................................................................................................................................................... 2
3. USERS............................................................................................................................................................. 2
5. STEPS OF AN OUTBREAK INVESTIGATION ....................................................................................... 2
5.1. PREPARING FOR A FIELD WORK ............................................................................................................. 2
5.2. DEFINE AND DESCRIBE THE PROBLEM - IS IT WORTH INVESTIGATING? ........................................... 3
5.3. IDENTIFY POTENTIAL RISK FACTORS BY COMPARING GROUPS WITHIN THE HERD/FLOCK ................... 5
5.4. DESCRIBE WHICH ANIMALS/BIRDS ARE AFFECTED ................................................................................ 5
5.5. DETERMINE WHEN THE PROBLEM OCCURRED ............................................................................................ 6
5.6. DESCRIBE WHERE THE PROBLEM OCCURRED ............................................................................................ 8
5.7. GENERATE HYPOTHESES ABOUT KEY DETERMINANTS BY COMPARING GROUPS WITHIN THE
HERD/FLOCK ............................................................................................................................................ 9
5.8. DEVELOP RECOMMENDATIONS, PROVIDE A WRITTEN REPORT, AND FOLLOW UP TO DETERMINE THE
EFFECTIVENESS OF THE INTERVENTION ................................................................................................ 9
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
Foreword
This technical document entitled “Livestock Disease Outbreak
Investigation Guideline” is one of the documents in a series
of guidelines and Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs)
developed by the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) in
collaboration with the Ethiopian Sanitary and Phytosanitary
and Livestock and Meat Marketing (SPS-LMM) Program. SPS-LMM
program is financed by USAID and is implemented by the Norman
Borlaug Institute for International Agriculture, Texas A & M
University System. The main goal of the SPS-LMM program is to
increase exports of meat and livestock to benefit Ethiopian
livestock producers and exporters and to promote national
economic development.
Last but not least, I would like also to thank Drs. Nega
Tewolde and Wondwosen Asfaw for preparing this guideline and
SOP.
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
1. Introduction
Because all outbreaks and all livestock operations are
different, there is no “recipe for success” that covers all
possible situations in the field. The investigating
veterinarian must be able to adapt these techniques to each
specific situation. The approach outlined here does not have
to be followed in the order presented. Often, individual steps
are repeated many times before the information necessary to
implement a successful control process becomes apparent. The
techniques described are sufficient in many investigations.
However, situations requiring more complex analysis demand
consultation with specialists, including epidemiologists and
laboratory diagnosticians.
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
2. Objective
This guideline is aimed at
3. Users
This field guideline is intended for use by all formally
trained Federal and Regional animal health services and
livestock disease investigation laboratories both at Federal
and Regional levels. Other public livestock health personnel,
as well as private practitioners, may also use this guideline.
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
On the other hand, some herd owners are alarmed by losses well
within expected rates. For example, expectations of acceptable
risk of abortion, incidence of calf treatment, and herd
average somatic cell count vary wildly among herd owners. By
confirming the existence and severity of the problem, the
investigator decreases time and resources spent on
investigating epidemics that do not exist.
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
6.3. History
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blood,
milk,
feces,
urine,
nasal and ocular swabs,
biopsies or tissue samples from slaughter animals or
cadavers,
other fluid samples,
feed,
water, and
soil samples.
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
Probably the most common question and often the most difficult
to address is “How many samples are necessary?” Often,
complete herd/flock sampling and testing is too costly. There
is no single correct number of samples suitable for every
situation. The required number of animals/birds for sampling
is based on
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
date of purchase,
source,
type and composition, and amount.
Feed tags, which include analysis and instructions for
use, or the supplier contact numbers should be collected
for all commercially prepared feeds or supplements.
Is there any feed left from the time just before the
herd/flock problem was noticed?
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
risk factor are the relative risk ratio and the odds ratio.
The relative risk is the ratio of the risk (or cumulative
incidence or attack rate) of disease in the animals/birds
exposed to the factor of interest to the risk (or cumulative
incidence or attack rate) of disease in those that were not
exposed. If the relative risk is <1, then the exposure is
associated with a decreased risk of disease. If the relative
risk is equal to 1, then there is no association between
exposure and disease status. If the relative risk is >1, then
the exposure is associated with an increased risk of disease.
The odds ratio can be used to measure the association between
exposure and disease for any study type. However, the odds
ratio is the method of choice for expressing the magnitude of
effect in case-control comparisons where the history of
exposure to a specific risk factor is compared between case
and control animals/birds. The interpretation of the odds
ratio is similar to that of relative risk. Statistical
association alone does not prove the identified risk factor is
a cause of the outbreak. For a risk factor to be considered a
potential cause of disease or suboptimal productivity, the
risk factor must always precede the outcome. Other potential
supporting evidence for a causal association includes
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
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Animal and Plant Health Regulatory Directorate Livestock Diseases Outbreak Investigation Guideline
References
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