Notes 08

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Chapter 8

Measuring the
Economy’s
Performance

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Introduction

For a number of years, measured U.S. business


investment spending on capital goods has declined
relative to total national expenditures on goods and
services.
Some economists argue that perhaps U.S. capital
investment is not correctly measured.
How are capital investment and other aggregate
economic quantities measured in the United States?

8-2
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Learning Objectives

• Describe the circular flow of income and


output
• Define gross domestic product (GDP)
• Understand the limitations of using GDP as
a measure of national welfare

8-3
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Learning Objectives (cont'd)

• Explain the expenditure approach to


tabulating GDP
• Explain the income approach to computing
GDP
• Distinguish between nominal GDP and real
GDP

8-4
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Chapter Outline

• The Simple Circular Flow


• National Income Accounting
• Two Main Methods of Measuring GDP
• Other Components of National Income
Accounting
• Distinguishing Between Nominal and Real
Values
• Comparing GDP Throughout the World

8-5
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Did You Know That...

• During the past half-century, manufactured


goods’ share of total U.S. output of goods
and services has declined by more than
one-half?
• The value of manufactured goods as a
percentage of gross domestic product (GDP)
has fallen from 28% in 1955 to >12%
today.
• The government conducts what has become
known as national income accounting.
8-6
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The Simple Circular Flow

The concept of the circular flow of income


involves two principles:
1. In every economic exchange, the seller receives
exactly the same amount that the buyer
spends.
2. Goods and services flow in one direction and
money payments flow in the other.

8-7
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The Simple Circular Flow


(cont'd)
• Profits explained
– Question
• Why is profit a cost of production?

– Answer
• Profits are the return entrepreneurs receive for the risk
they incur when organizing productive activities.

8-8
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The Simple Circular Flow


(cont'd)
• Final Goods and Services
– Goods and services that are at their final stage of
production and will not be transformed into yet other
goods or services

8-9
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Figure 8-1 The Circular Flow of
Income and Product

8-10
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The Simple Circular Flow


(cont'd)
• Product Markets
– Transactions in which households buy goods

8-11
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The Simple Circular Flow


(cont'd)
• Factor Markets
– Transactions in which businesses buy resources

8-12
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The Simple Circular Flow
(cont'd)
• Total Income
– Wages, rent, interest, profits

8-13
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The Simple Circular Flow


(cont'd)
• Question
– Why must total income be
identical to the dollar value
of total output?

• Answer
– Every transaction
simultaneously involves an
expenditure and a receipt.

8-14
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National Income Accounting

• National Income Accounting


– A measurement system used to estimate
national income and its components

• Total Income
– The yearly amount earned by the nation’s
resources (factors of production)

8-15
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National Income Accounting
(cont'd)
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
– The total market value of all final goods and
services produced by factors of production
located within a nation’s borders

8-16
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National Income Accounting


(cont'd)
• Observations
– GDP measures the dollar value of final output.
– GDP measures the dollar value of final goods and
services produced per year by factors of
production located within a nation’s borders.

8-17
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National Income Accounting


(cont'd)
• Stress on final output
– What is a final good?
• Wheat?
• Steel?
• Oil?
• Bread?
• Automobile?
• Gasoline?

8-18
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National Income Accounting
(cont'd)
• Intermediate Goods
– Goods used up entirely in the production of final
goods

• Value Added
– The dollar value of an industry’s sales minus the
value of intermediate goods (for example, raw
materials and parts) used in production

8-19
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Table 8-1 Sales Value and Value Added


at Each Stage of Donut Production

8-20
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National Income Accounting


(cont'd)
Numerous transactions occur that have
nothing to do with final goods and services
being produced:
• Financial transactions
• Transfer Payments
• Secondhand Goods

8-21
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National Income Accounting
(cont'd)
• Exclusion of financial transactions
– Securities
• Stocks and bonds

– Government transfer payments


• Social Security
• Unemployment compensation

– Private transfer payments


• Individual gifts
• Corporate gifts

8-22
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National Income Accounting


(cont'd)
• Transfer of secondhand goods excluded
– Why not count the sale of a used computer,
guitar, or snowboard as part of GDP?

• Other excluded transactions


– Household production
– Legal and illegal underground transactions

8-23
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National Income Accounting


(cont'd)
• GDP’s limitations
– Excludes non-market production
– It is not necessarily a good measure of the well-
being of a nation.

8-24
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National Income Accounting
(cont'd)
• GDP is a measure of the value of production
in terms of market prices, and an indicator
of economic activity.
• GDP is not a measure of a nation’s overall
welfare.

8-25
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International Example: Greece Pays a


Price for Broadening Its GDP Definition

• Greece’s government recently announced


that its official tabulation of GDP would
include production in black market
industries.
• Consequently, GDP rose by about 25% for
every year since 2000, which reduces the
amount of EU payments Greece is eligible
for by almost $600 million annually.
• Why is it harder now to compare Greek GDP
to the levels of other nations?
8-26
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP
• Expenditure Approach
– Computing GDP by adding up the dollar value at
current market prices of all final goods and
services

8-27
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Two Main Methods of Measuring
GDP (cont'd)

Expenditure Approach
8-28
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
• Income Approach
– Measuring GDP by adding up all components of
national income, including wages, interest, rent,
and profits

8-29
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)

Income Approach

8-30
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Two Main Methods of Measuring
GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach
– Consumption Expenditure (C)
• Durable Consumer Goods
– Life span of more than three years

• Nondurable Consumer Goods


– Goods that are used up in three years

• Services
– Mental or physical help

8-31
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach
– Gross Private Domestic Investment (I)
• The creation of capital goods, such as factories and
machines, that can yield production and hence
consumption in the future
– Also included: changes in business inventories and repairs
made to machines, buildings

8-32
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach
– Gross Private Domestic Investment (I)
• Producer Durables or Capital Goods
– Life span of more than three years
• Fixed Investment
– Purchases by business of newly produced producer
durables or capital goods
• Inventory Investment
– Changes in stocks of finished goods and goods in process,
as well as changes in raw materials

8-33
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Two Main Methods of Measuring
GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach
– Government Expenditures (G)
• State, local, and federal
• Valued at cost

8-34
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Expenditure Approach
– Net Exports (Foreign Expenditures)

Net exports (X) = Total exports – Total imports

8-35
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Presenting the Expenditure Approach
– Where
• C = consumption expenditures
•I = investment expenditures
• G = government expenditures
• X = net exports

GDP = C + I + G + X

8-36
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Figure 8-2 GDP and Its
Components

8-37
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)

Presenting the Expenditure Approach


• Depreciation and net domestic product
– Deducting for depreciation (capital consumption
allowance)
• Reduction in the value of capital goods over a
one-year period due to physical wear and tear,
and also to obsolescence

NDP = GDP – Depreciation

8-38
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
• NDP = GDP – Depreciation
• GDP = C + I + G + X
• NDP = C + I + G + X – Depreciation
• Net Investment = I – Depreciation
– Domestic investment minus an estimate of the
wear and tear on the existing capital stock
• NDP = C + Net I + G + X

8-39
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Two Main Methods of Measuring
GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Income Approach

8-40
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont’d)
Deriving GDP by the Income Approach
• Gross Domestic Income (GDI)
– The sum of all income (wages, interest, rent,
and profits) paid to the four factors of
production.

8-41
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Income Approach
• Gross Domestic Income (GDI)
– Wages: salaries and labor income
– Rent: farms, houses, stores
– Interest: savings accounts
– Profits: sole proprietorships, partnerships,
corporations

8-42
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Two Main Methods of Measuring
GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Income Approach
• Gross domestic product equals gross
domestic income plus indirect business
taxes and depreciation
• These last items are called nonincome
expense items

8-43
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Two Main Methods of Measuring


GDP (cont'd)
Deriving GDP by the Income Approach
• Indirect business taxes
– All business taxes except the tax on corporate
profits
– Include sales and business property taxes

8-44
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Figure 8-3 Gross Domestic Product and Gross


Domestic Income, 2009 (in billions of 2009
dollars per year)

Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce and author’s estimates.


8-45
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Figure 8-3 Gross Domestic Product and Gross
Domestic Income, 2009 (in billions of 2009
dollars per year)

Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce and author’s estimates.


8-46
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Other Components of National


Income Accounting
• National Income (NI)
– The total of all factor payments to resource
owners

• Personal Income (PI)


– The amount of income that households actually
receive before they pay personal income taxes

8-47
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Other Components of National


Income Accounting (cont'd)
• Disposable Personal Income (DPI)
– Personal income after personal income taxes
have been paid

8-48
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Table 8-2 Going from GDP to
Disposable Income, 2009

8-49
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Distinguishing Between Nominal


and Real Values
• Nominal Values
– Measurements in terms of the actual market
prices at which goods are sold; expressed in
current dollars, also called money values
• Real Values
– Measurements after adjustments have been
made for changes in the average of prices
between years; expressed in constant dollars

8-50
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Distinguishing Between Nominal


and Real Values (cont'd)
• Constant Dollars
– Dollars expressed in terms of real purchasing
power
– This price-corrected GDP is the real GDP.

8-51
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Example: Correcting GDP for
Price Index Changes
• Correcting GDP for price index changes
– Nominal (current) dollars GDP
– Real (constant) dollars GDP

Nominal GDP
Real GDP = x 100
Price index*
*Price index: measured by the GDP deflator

8-52
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Table 8-3 Correcting GDP for Price


Index Changes

8-53
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Distinguishing Between Nominal


and Real Values (cont'd)
• Per capita GDP
– Adjusting for population growth

Real GDP
Per capita real GDP =
Population

8-54
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Figure 8-4 Nominal and Real GDP

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce


8-55
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Comparing GDP Throughout the


World
• Foreign Exchange Rate
– The price of one currency in terms of another

8-56
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Comparing GDP Throughout the


World (cont'd)
• Foreign exchange rate
• $1.50 = 1 euro, or $1 = .67 euros
• French income per capita = 24,120 euros
• French per capita income in terms of dollars equals
24,120 euros x $1.50 = $36,180

8-57
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Comparing GDP Throughout the
World (cont'd)
• Purchasing Power Parity
– Adjustments in exchange rate conversions that
takes into account differences in the true cost of
living across countries

8-58
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Table 8-4 Comparing GDP


Internationally

8-59
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International Example: Purchasing Power


Parity Comparisons of World Incomes

• The International Monetary Fund accepted the


purchasing power parity approach a few years ago.
• It started presenting the statistics on each country’s
GDP relative to others and based on the purchasing
power parity relative to the dollar.
• Why is China’s per capita GDP higher based on
purchasing power parity?

8-60
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Issues and Applications: Is U.S.
Fixed Investment Understated?

• Some economists argue that limiting business fix


investment only to tangible items is inappropriate.
• These economists contend that several other types
of business expenditures are forms of intangible
that should also be included as forms of business
fixed investment.
• Figure 8-5 illustrates how altering the present
definition of business fixed investment by adding
intangible forms of investment would change
business fixed investment’s share of GDP since
1950.
8-61
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Issues and Applications: Is U.S. Fixed


Investment Understated? (cont’d)

• If intangibles were included today, business


fixed investment’s share of GDP would more
than double, from just over 8% to more
than 17%.
• What would happen to the level of GDP if
intangible forms of investment were
included within the current official definition
of business fixed investment?

8-62
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Figure 8-5 U.S. Business Fixed Investment as a


Percentage of GDP Since 1950, Excluding and Including
Intangible Forms of Investment

Source: Carol Corrado, Dan Sickel, and Charles Hulten, “Intangible Capital and Economic Growth,”
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
2006; author’s estimates.
8-63
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Summary Discussion of Learning
Objectives
• The circular flow of income and output
– In every economic transaction, receipts exactly
equal expenditures
– Goods and services flow in one direction and
money payments flow in the other

• Gross domestic product (GDP)


– The total market value of a nation’s final output
of goods and services produced in a year using
factors of production located within its borders

8-64
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Summary Discussion of Learning


Objectives (cont'd)
• The limitations of using GDP as a measure
of national welfare
– Excludes non-market transactions
– Does not measure national well-being

• The expenditure approach to tabulating GDP


– GDP = C + I + G + X

8-65
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Summary Discussion of Learning


Objectives (cont'd)
• The income approach to computing GDP
– The sum of wages, rent, interest, profits

• Distinguishing between nominal GDP and


real GDP
– Nominal GDP is the value of newly produced final
output measured in current market prices.
– Real GDP adjusts nominal GDP into constant
dollars by correcting for price level changes.

8-66
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