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ISI Presentation
ISI Presentation
ISI Presentation
Esther Duflo
with Abhijit Banerjee, Clement Imbert, Santosh Matthew and Rohini Pande
Motivation
I Public Programs in developing countries are often not
implemented as they should
I Corruption is a part of the problem (though not the only one)
I In particular, leakage of funds is frequent.
I MNREGA is a case in point:
I Comparison of survey estimates (NSS) to MNREGA official
data suggest leakage of about 40%-60% in 2007-2998 down to
20% in 2011 (Imbert and Papp). Similar effort for Bihar shows
leakage of about 20% (Dutta, Murgai, et al, 2012)
I Niehaus and Sukthankar (2013) search for 1499 individuals in
the state of Orissa, who were reported as MGNREGS workers
by nrega.nic.in. They find only 821 both exist and report
having worked and of these 821, most received less than the
reported amount payments.
Introduction
Context, intervention and evaluation Introduction
Results
Motivation
Motivation
Overview of results
Fund
Transfer
CPSMS
District
Access
4
2
Block
1 5
Panchayat
Panchayat
Savings
Account
Introduction The intervention
Context, intervention and evaluation Evaluation
Results Challenging context
Fund
Transfer
2
1
Panchayat
CPSMS
Savings
Panchayat
Access
Account
Introduction The intervention
Context, intervention and evaluation Evaluation
Results Challenging context
What to expect?
I Cutting the district people out reduces overall tax burden on
graft: there could be an income effect (less graft) and a
substitution effect (more graft)
I Immediate availability of data should unambiguously reduce
graft (it remains possible to cheat but colluding with villagers
become key).
I Who will be hurt the most ? It depends on bargaining power
of the block vs local people.
I Will MNREGA work availability increase or decrease? No clear
prediction.
I No uncertainty on the availability of funds (in principle).
I Technical challenges with the data entry: more work
I More effort to extract bribes: has an income and a substitution
effect: ambiguous.
Introduction The intervention
Context, intervention and evaluation Evaluation
Results Challenging context
Sample
12 Districts
69T 126C Blocks
1002T 2029C Panchayat
Introduction The intervention
Context, intervention and evaluation Evaluation
Results Challenging context
Data sources
Data sources II
Timeline
Timeline
Timeline
Treatment Control
July ’12 Sept ’12 Jan ’13 Apr ’13 Apr ’13
Computer 2.02 2.79 2.48 2.12 1.75
Internet 0.82 0.96 0.98 0.9 0.86
Generator 0.55 0.88 0.96 0.75 0.67
DEO 1.71 2.53 2.2 1.81 1.38
Scanner 0.8 NA 0.81 0.88 0.71
Printer 0.84 NA 0.77 0.91 0.83
Sample 49 68 66 69 113
Source: Monitor Reports
Introduction The intervention
Context, intervention and evaluation Evaluation
Results Challenging context
Timeline
Timeline
Timeline
Timeline
Impact (CPSMSdata)
Expenditures
Introduction Employment
Context, intervention and evaluation Payments
Results Other Evidence of reduction in Leakage
Did households pay part of the costs?
Participation
Weeks worked
Expenditures
Introduction Employment
Context, intervention and evaluation Payments
Results Other Evidence of reduction in Leakage
Did households pay part of the costs?
Weeks Worked
Days Worked
Payments received
Summary so far
Assets%owned%by%the%Mukhiya%
TV% Two%wheeler% CD/DVD%player% Gas%stove% Bicycle%
% (1)% (2)% (3)% (4)% (5)% (6)% (7)% (8)% (9)% (10)%
%
Treatment% 0.0339% 0.0329% L0.0173% L0.0549% L0.0767% L0.0976% L0.0546% L0.0584% 0.109% 0.0966%
%% (0.0695)% (0.0696)% (0.0953)% (0.0909)% (0.0677)% (0.0693)% (0.0809)% (0.0803)% (0.0949)% (0.0945)%
Observations% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354%
District%FE% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes%
HH%Controls% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes%
ControlMean% 0.648% 0.648% 1.009% 1.009% 0.455% 0.455% 0.725% 0.725% 0.721% 0.721%
Effect%as%%% 4.763% 4.549% L2.723% L6.193% L21.66% L26.05% L9.103% L9.920% 13.22% 10.99%
Chair/Bed% Mobile%Phone% Four%Wheeler% Fridge% Asset index
% (11)% (12)% (13)% (14)% (15)% (16)% (17)% (18)% (19)
Treatment% 0.404% 0.122% 0.0126% L0.0189% L0.0510% L0.0242% L0.0465% L0.0431% !.0347'
%% (0.951)% (0.952)% (0.517)% (0.539)% (0.169)% (0.165)% (0.0488)% (0.0489)% (.0567)'
Observations% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354'
District%FE% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes'
Controls% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% Yes
ControlMean% 10.49% 10.49% 3.163% 3.163% 0.730% 0.730% 0.262% 0.262% 0
Effect%as%%% 2.654% L0.682% L0.784% L2.574% L6.781% L4.371% L19.86% L18.38% %
%
Note:%The%unit%of%observation%is%a%Panchayat.%The%dependent%variable%is%the%number%of%assets%owned%by%the%
Mukhiya%household.%The%data%was%collected%by%a%representative%survey%of%350%Mukhiya%from%12%sample%districts%
households%in%MayLJuly%2013.%Treatment%is%a%dummy%which%is%equal%to%one%for%the%blocks%selected%for%the%
intervention.%%
Expenditures
Introduction Employment
Context, intervention and evaluation Payments
Results Other Evidence of reduction in Leakage
Did households pay part of the costs?
Cattles of Mukhyas
Assets%owned%by%the%Mukhiya%
Cows% Buffaloes% Goats% Chickens% Cattle&Index&
% (1)% (2)% (3)% (4)% (5)% (6)% (7)% (8)% (9)&
%
Treatment% E0.0891% E0.105% E0.0117% 0.00803% E0.224**% E0.199**% E0.0937*% E0.0867*% ..0946*&
%% (0.218)% (0.215)% (0.113)% (0.114)% (0.0976)% (0.0930)% (0.0557)% (0.0520)% (.0519)&
Observations% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354% 354&
District%FE% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes% Yes&
Controls% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% No% Yes% Yes&
ControlMean% 1.515% 1.515% 0.438% 0.438% 0.279% 0.279% 0.129% 0.129% 0%
Effect%as%%% E8.613% E10.50% E3.379% 0.905% E78.50% E73.55% E71.18% E68.77% %
Note:%The%unit%of%observation%is%a%Panchayat.%The%dependent%variable%is%the%number%of%animals%owned%by%the%
Mukhiya%household.%The%data%was%collected%by%a%representative%survey%of%350%Mukhiya%from%12%sample%districts%
households%in%MayEJuly%2013.%Treatment%is%a%dummy%which%is%equal%to%one%for%the%blocks%selected%for%the%
intervention.%
Expenditures
Introduction Employment
Context, intervention and evaluation Payments
Results Other Evidence of reduction in Leakage
Did households pay part of the costs?
No change in Consumption
Log$Monthly$Consumption$
All$ Frequent$ Recurrent$ Rare$
$ (1)$ (2)$ (3)$ (4)$
$
Treatment$ @0.00367$ @0.00796$ @0.0282$ 0.00284$
$$ (0.0215)$ (0.0170)$ (0.0268)$ (0.0393)$
Observations$ 9,041$ 9,040$ 9,026$ 9,024$
District$FE$ Yes$ Yes$ Yes$ Yes$
HH$Controls$ Yes$ Yes$ Yes$ Yes$
Expenditures
Introduction Employment
Context, intervention and evaluation Payments
Results Other Evidence of reduction in Leakage
Did households pay part of the costs?