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Thống Kê Chương 6, Pt Hồi Quy
Thống Kê Chương 6, Pt Hồi Quy
1 110 12100 80
2 120 14400 75 Regression Statistics
3 125 15625 78 Multiple R
4 128 16384 80 R Square
5 130 16900 75 Adjusted R
6 134 17956 72 Standard E
7 135 18225 70 Observatio
8 140 19600 72
9 145 21025 75 ANOVA
10 150 22500 76
Regression
CT : B2^2 Residual
Total
pt hồi quy Z= bo +b1Q+b2Q^2
hoặc Z^= bo+b1X1 +b2X2 Coefficients
b0 Intercept
b1 X Variable
b2 X Variable
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Y
60 80
10
5 0 5 0 5 0 5
10 11 11 7012 12 13 13 1
Y
60 X Variable 1
df SS MS F Significance F 10000 1500
2 39.37381 19.68691 2.196982 0.181753 X
7 62.72619 8.960884
9 102.1
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
230.3833 107.6353 2.140407 0.069593 -24.13373 484.9004 -24.13373 484.9004
-2.250414 1.655515 -1.359344 0.216203 -6.165084 1.664256 -6.165084 1.664256
0.008087 0.006335 1.276501 0.242494 -0.006894 0.023068 -0.006894 0.023068
Predicted Y Residuals
80.69338 -0.693379
76.78989 -1.789889
75.44469 2.555313
74.83166 5.168341
74.50385 0.496153
74.04232 -2.042315
73.96737 -3.967369
73.83525 -1.835252
74.1075 0.892502
74.78411 1.215894
X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
80 X Variable 2 Line Fit Plot
70 Y
90
Predicted Y
60 80 Y
5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5
10 11 11 7012 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 Predicted Y
Y
60 X Variable 1
10000 15000 20000 25000
X Variable 2
Sản Phẩm số sản phẩm sx (Q) X Q^2 X^2 giá thành 1 sản phẩm
1 110 12100 80
2 120 14400 75
3 125 15625 78
4 128 16384 80
5 130 16900 75
6 134 17956 72
7 135 18225 70
8 140 19600 72
9 145 21025 75
10 150 22500 76
Trong đó:
b0: hệ số chặn
b1,b2 : hệ số góc RESIDUAL OUTPUT
ObservationPredicted Y
1 80.69338
2 76.78989
3 75.44469
4 74.83166
5 74.50385
6 74.04232
7 73.96737
8 73.83525
9 74.1075
10 74.78411
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.62099892946 Hệ số tương quan
R Square 0.385639670391 Hệ số xác định
Adjusted R Square 0.210108147646 Hệ số điều chỉnh
Standard Error 2.993473607058 Lỗi chuẩn
Observations 10 Quan sát
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 2 39.3738103469157 19.68691 2.196982
Residual 7 62.7261896530844 8.960884
Total 9 102.1
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Y
60
Significance F 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 155
0.18175278594 X Variable 1
82
80
78
76
74 Y
72 Predicted Y
70
68
66
64
10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 24000
X Variable 1 Line Fit Plot
80
70 Y
Predicted Y
Y
60
5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 5
Y 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15
Predicted Y
X Variable 1
82
80
78
76
74 Y
72 Predicted Y
70
68
66
64
10000 15000 20000 25000
Y
Predicted Y