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Discuss The Crisis of Europe in The 17th
Discuss The Crisis of Europe in The 17th
BA(H)History, 2 Year nd
Rollno – 21816108
Urbanization and economic growth came much earlier to Italy than the other parts of Europe.
During 16th century, many of the Itlaian city states tried to regain their earlier prosperity rather
than strive for positive advancement. But the main change came mainly between 1600 and 1670
(Carlo M. Gipolla ). In these seven blavck decades the industrial structure of Italy
collapsed.
In those years, the overall population of Italy shows a downward trend. The factore responsible
for this were famines, plagues, epidemics and wars which ravaged the urban population. They
had long term repercussions on the fortunes of these cities and severely restricted economic
opportunities and caused de-urbanization. Hollen Lees and Hohenberg argued that inter-regional
changes and de-urbanization led to the shrinking of the town population and a growth of rural
demography. The demographic decline in Italy had some serious repurcussions on the urban
econmy. The merchant bankers transferred capital from Italy to the safer regions.
On the decline of Venice, Braudel presents a revisionist view on the decline of Venice.
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According to him, by the end of 16 century and the after the crisis of first decades of 17
century, the wealthy venetian patricians did a complete turn around, abandonning trade and
concentrating on farming instead. The focus shifted on cultivation. For Braudel, the flight away
from more risky trade to agriculture should not be seen as the sign of decline because Venice
remained the busiest port. But, this view is not tenable for rest of Europe.
The French rulers invaded Italian states and destrioyed their economies, and this was followed
by the ivasion of Spain which led to heavy lossess. Thsese conflicts contributed to the political
decline of the northern states of Italy.
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A seies of natural calamities during the 17 cdntury also had a devastating impact on population,
trade and industry. Milan’s population declined almoast half due to the plague of 1630-31 while
in many towns the losses varied from 30 to 60 percent.
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Northern plain of Italy was known for its intensive agriculture during the 16 century. However,
the collapse of industries and the contracting urban population, reduced demand for many
agrarian products. Declining prices, heavy taxation and the spread of plague had a negative
bearing on the economy of the northern region.
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In southern plain of Italy, the 16 century boom in agriculture had created a class of commercial
grain farmers who thrived on loans and borrowings. They took advantage of the inflationary
situation but once the prices began to fall, their position worsened and their debts mounted.
The Crisis Debate
The political, economic, and social upheavals of the mid-seventeenth century are called a
‘General Crisis’, and debated under that rubric, in most countries. The date and intensity of this
crisis verieas from one region to another and differs with each historian.
One current has argued that the crisis was economic in origin. A second has focused on politics,
particularly the mid-century revolts and rebellions. A third current has adopted a sceptical stance
towards the very concept of a general crisis. We will discuss these currents one by one.
Economic Theories
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Scholars present several explanations for the economic decline during the 17 century. The
economic strand of the debate, in turn, falls into three broad classes: Marxist theories, theories
stemming from price historians, and theories that locate the cause of the crisis in long-term
ecological or demographic movements.
The Marxist scholars see the crisis as the last phase of transition from the feudal to the
capitalistic economy. E.Hobsbawm opened the debate in 1954 along these lines. To Hobsbawn,
the crisis revealed Europe’s failure to overcome the obstacles created by the feudal structure to
reach the stage of capitalism. He emphasizes that the crisis of production was general in Europe
but its solution could be found only in the English bourgeois revolution of the 1640s. To him,
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bourgeois revolution was the most decisive product of the 17 century crisis.
Following Hobsbawn, B.Porshnev saw two separate stages of class struggle. The mid-century
revolts were a ‘lower form of class struggle’ between peasants and feudal nobility, which the
nobility won by developing the central state. A ‘higher’ class struggle for control of that new
entity then followed, between bourgeoisie and feudal aristocracy.
All Marxist theories shared two basic elements: the revolts were class conflicts, and the crisis
was one of production, part of the transition from feudalism to capitalism, but there was
disagreement.
Another group of economic historians, less theoretically motivated than the Marxists,
concentrated on the evidence of price trends, diagnosing the seventeenth century as a period of
instability following the sixteenth-century ‘price revolution’. P.Chaunu focused on the evidence
of Spanish-American trade, whose final two Kondratieff cycles (the violent fluctuations of 1600–
20, and the general decline of 1620–50) he identified with the general crisis, possibly as its
cause. R.Romano broadened the focus to the whole European economy, and to agriculture rather
than trade as that economy’s largest sector. While underlying structural factors such as the
reimposition of serfdom play a role in Romano’s theory, a Keynesian demand slump is viewed as
the trigger, associated with the monetary upheavals of northern and central Europe in 1619–22.
Finally, a third group of economic theories of the crisis focused on ecological and demographic
trends. J.A.Eddy argued that the ‘Maunder minimum’, the period of low sunspot activity in the
seventeenth century, caused lower temperatures and higher precipitation, poorer and later
harvests, and a panEuropean (even world-wide) subsistence crisis. E.Le Roy Ladurie argued that
the cycles of expansion and contraction in the European economy were caused by an inescapable
Malthusian dynamic. When populations hit their production ceilings, they limited their numbers
by the ‘positive checks’ of famine, pestilence and war and the ‘preventive checks’ of late
marriage and low fertility. According to Le Roy Ladurie, Europe reached such a Malthusian
ceiling in the seventeenth century, resulting in a protracted crisis of subsistence.
Political Theories
The political theories of the crisis have as a rule been less sophisticated and less general than
those put forward by economic historians. Some valuable insights were gained, notably by the
first attempt at a political explanation, by H.R. Trevor-Roper, who argued in 1959 (against
Hobsbawm) that the mid-century revolts were not a class struggle, but political conflict between
a court faction (which benefited from the growing strength of the Renaissance state) and a
country faction (which suffered the consequences). According to him, the Renaissance
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monarchies continued to expand in the 16 century till their cost and extravagance, their growing
bureaucracies, wars and governmental inefficiency caused an intolerable burden to the societies
that they dominated. He attributes all the rebellions to one and the same crisis that developed
through the tension between the court and the country but the solutions to these crisis were
different in different places.
J.H.Elliot criticized Trevor-Roper and said that the essential difficulties of Spain were not a
dislike by the society of an overloaded court but was more in the nature of a struggle between the
periphery provinces and the royal authority at the centre. Neils Steensgaard also rejects Trevor-
Roper’s court-country concept as having no European validity and considers the crisis the
outcome of dynamic absolutism, which with its taxation policy, ignored customary laws and
posed a threat to the traditional social balance.
Several historians like R.Mousnier argued that the crisis resulted from conflict between nobility
and crown over taxes, as in France during the Fronde, while Josef Polisenský argued that it was
an international crisis confronting absolutism and parliamentarism, as in Central Europe during
the Thirty Years’ War. He suggests that the Thirty Years War was an integral part of the crisis and
reflected an aggravation and culmination of the internal contradiction in the structure of the
society.
Rejection of the notion of crisis
There are other other historians who reject the entire notion of crisis. P.Clark, J.H.Elliott,
I.Schöffer, and J.Topolski separately pointed out spates of popular revolt and political rebellion
at periods other than the 1640s: e.g., in the 1560s and 1590s.
The opponents of the theory of general crisis argue that the social or political disorders remained
specific to local conditions and these did not coalesce into brader movements. The rebels, ecept
England, didn’t challenge the legitimacy of the rulers and the main demand was the restoration
of customary norms. The local elite used these revolts for their own gains and secured
concessions from their respective rulers.
J.Topolski argued that the seventeenth century saw not a general economic crisis, but
‘consolidation’ and the beginning of regional differentiation. Others contended that the evidence
is flawed, and too regionally various to support the notion of any simultaneous or widespread
economic breakdown.
Writers like Perez Zagorin do not agree with the analysis of Hobsbawn. He argues that there is
complete absense of evidence in Hobsbawn’s argument and that he cannot demonstrate the
actuality of the ‘general crisis’ in accordance with his description of the crisis. Similarly, the
connection between the English revolution of the 1640s and the crisis in Europe is uncovincing.
John Elliot and A.D .Lublinskaya completely reject the notion of general crisis as provided bt
Hobsbawn, Treveor-Roper and Mousnier. But the debate remains inconclusive.
Impact of the crisis
The 17th century crisis brought about significant changes in Europe but its impact was far from
uniform. On the one hand it created conditions for a new phase of expansion by removing
tensions within the productive sectors and restoring balance between population and food
supplies, and on the other hand it fastened feudal grip over a sizeable population of Europe.
Demographic Terms
When considering the impact in demographic terms, the crisis resulted in high mortality in
several parts of the continent. The impact was greater in urban centers. The demographic losses
caused extensive dislocation of trade and industry. Prolonged wars accompanied by natural
calamities like plague epidemics and famines, caused extensive dislocation of social life. Most of
the battles in the thirty years war were fought in central Europe. the population loses varied from
25% to 40%. It took another half century for Europe to recover from the demographic loses.
Economic Terms
Military operations, economic disruptions and population loses caused a severe strain on
government resources. It placed heavy strain on already burdened economy of Europe by
increasing the burden of taxation on the lower classes. Except for England the crisis led to the
extension of power of the rulers over their subjects to extract the maximum from all possible
sources.
One of the most important developments in the post-crisis period was the shift away from the
continental countries towards the sea powers of the north-west. The gap between the eastern and
western regions was further widened during the 17th century.
Another important consequence of the crisis was the displacement of industry to the countryside
and the spread of proto-industrialization in some parts of western and central Europe. This
marked the first phase of industrialization. Many of the manufacturers and the entrepreneurs
moved to the countryside because of the rising labor costs in the urban centers and began to
depend on cheaper rural labor. The declining prices further turned them towards mass production
to reduce the unit costs by higher output, thereby increasing profits by means of large turnovers.
This resulted in the manufacture of inexpensive draperies instead of more expensive cloth. The
third means of increasing their profits was to expand the volume of trade with the colonial world
to compensate the reduced demand in the domestic markets.
This trend resulted in profound transformation in urban industrial organizations which now faced
competition from rural industries and in 18th century the guilds began losing their economic
significance.
Scholars suggest that it was the improved technology of England, the Netherlands and the
northern France that enabled them to overcome the problem of low prices and make substantial
economic progress. Robert Brenner and Pierre Vilar emphasize the role of a strong feudal
structure in preventing the progress of capitalism.as labor in lands remained tied up in petty
production, heavy feudal exaction and the exploitative role of feudal monarchies played a vital
role in prolonging such conditions. This situation led to stagnation of technology and kept the
market structure extremely limited.
For capitalism to develop, it was necessary for peasants to turn into landless laborers. This
situation developed in England where peasant unity had given way to social differentiation
consisting of different layers of peasantry but in other places, the absolute monarchs protected
small peasants in order to remain in power.
Social Terms
The long and continuous war had created a serious shortage of labor, which was needed to work
on demesne lands. The demographic loses had made labor very costly. In such situations, the
lords instead of hiring fresh labor to work in their private lands opted to utilize the existing serfs
by placing additional responsibilities on them.
Thus, whereas in Western Europe the extension of the demesne was carried out through impetus
towards capitalism, in Eastern Europe, because of chronic shortage of manpower, it led to
strengthening and consolidation of serfdom. Hence the gap between eastern and western Europe
was greatly widened after the 17th century crisis.
Conclusion - At the end, we could say that the various empirical and theoretical aspects of the
seventeenth-century crisis remain subject to debate. Neither Hobsbawm's Marxist teleological
stage theory of economic development nor Trevor-Roper's court-country distinction command
much assent today. But the concept has been widely if selectively appropriated and continues to
stimulate new research and new explanations of existing data.