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Ruan 2021
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: Multi-airport systems are growing in number and size globally, despite being afflicted by known inefficiencies
Air traffic management due to the interferences between the flows of neighbouring airports. A macroscopic empirical approach is pro
Airport capacity posed in this paper to estimate the capacity penalties and demonstrated by a numerical case study for Beijing,
Capacity modelling
which is projected to become one of the busiest metroplexes in Asia. The Pareto envelopes of the theoretical and
Demand-capacity balance
Metroplex
observed peak hour capacities are statistically analysed to quantify the penalties in a comparable metroplex and
Multi-airport systems are subsequently modulated by a sigmoid correlation function. The analysis predicts the practical capacity of
Pareto analysis Daxing, the penalty incurred by the pre-existing Capital airport and by the total multi-airport system. Various
Terminal area findings are drawn and discussed, highlighting the needs for further research.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.102013
Received 21 May 2019; Received in revised form 6 October 2020; Accepted 28 December 2020
Available online 16 February 2021
0969-6997/© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
Daxing international airport achieves operational capability, without (Postorino and Praticò, 2012). A worldwide perspective on the evolution
resorting to full-scale modelling and simulation activities. Empirical of multi-airport systems was given in (Bonnefoy et al., 2010), which
models already available in the literature and which demonstrated analysed the factors that drive the development of multi-airport systems
adequate accuracy are adopted to estimate theoretical capacities and by performing systemic case studies of 59 multi-airport systems around
traffic interdependencies. To capture local specificities and to extrapo the world. Fig. 1 shows the geographical distribution of multi-airport
late some essential parameters for the analysis, the study exploits the systems around the world. Since 2000, research started to address the
similarity and local specificities of another large multi-airport TMA operational efficiency of major airports in the U.S., notably including
system in mainland China, Shanghai, which also consists of two major multi-airport systems (Sarkis, 2000). However, initial studies mainly
international airports in proximity of each other. An empirical analysis covered overall multi-airport system characteristics without specific
of Pareto capacity envelopes is carried out to estimate arrival and de focus on Air Traffic Management (ATM). In this respect, a number of
parture capacity penalties through observation at aggregate and disag studies also targeted non-strictly operational dimensions of
gregate level of the two airports. Through a correlation analysis, the multi-airport systems (Postorino and Praticò, 2012; Fasone et al., 2012).
empirical relationships are then applied to the Beijing multi-airport More recently, Martin and Voltes-Dorta explored the problems of ca
system. A direct comparison of the Beijing multi-airport system capac pacity expansions in five European multi-airport systems from a finan
ity with and without metroplex penalties allows to quantify the impact cial perspective and identified some important inefficiencies associated
in absolute terms. with multi-airport systems, resulting in suboptimal economies of scale
The article is structured as follows: the rest of this section reviews the (Martín and Voltes-Dorta, 2011).
most important and recent works relevant to this study and introduces With the growth of multi-airport systems around the world, re
the essential concepts. Section 2 presents the theoretical capacity searchers started focussing on operational TMA traffic management
models, whereas Section 3 introduces the empirical analysis methodol specificities. The modelling and quantification of terminal airspace ca
ogy used to extrapolate the actual capacities. Section 4 applies the pacity restrictions is one of the most complex problems especially in
models introduced in sections 2 and 3 to Beijing and presents the results multi-airport systems, which have become the bottleneck of the air
of the analysis. Conclusions and recommendations are then provided in transport network as these multiple airports cannot express their
Section 5. maximum theoretical capacity and do not have the full flexibility to cope
up with unforeseen circumstances. Notably, the New York metroplex
suffered heavy delays and congestion during the summer of 2007 (Wang
1.1. Multi-airport systems
et al., 2008). Donaldson et al. found the New York airspace suffered high
congestion levels because of coupled operations between airports in
When a single airport can no longer meet the air transport demand of
close proximity (Donaldson, 2010; Donaldson and Hansman, 2010). Ren
its catchment area either due to urban planning or physical limitations,
et al. analysed four different metroplexes in the USA and identified a set
the construction of additional airports in its proximity is frequently
of issues and constrains of metroplex operations that led to airspace
pursued to distribute the unmet demand. While these additional airports
capacity restrictions (Ren et al., 2009). Beyond these studies targeting
are in a competitive relationship with the original airport, the resulting
existing metroplexes, some researchers also focused on future
decongestion, enhanced ground/air connectivity, easier accessibility
multi-airport systems. Notably, Li and Ryerson proposed a data-driven
and some important synergies emerge, and this catalyses additional
approach to model terminal airspace designs and possible conflicts in
demand. This phenomenon is peculiar of multi-airport systems, which
the future Beijing multi-airport system (Li and Ryerson, 2017).
historically consisted in a set of two or more airports serving commercial
traffic in the same metropolitan region (De Neufville et al., 2013),
though this definition was later extended to include also
non-metropolitan areas where multiple airports share the demand
Fig. 1. Geographic distribution of multi-airport systems around the world (Bonnefoy et al., 2010).
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L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
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L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
Table 1 (continued ) multi-airport system, which resulted in tangible benefits in the Shanghai
# Issue Description Scope Frequency Severity multi-airport system (Wang et al., 2009). Dell’Olmo and Lulli proposed a
dynamic programming approach to study airport capacity allocation
procedure severely
interferences constrained due to
problem (Dell’Olmo and Lull, 2003). Diana used hierarchical linear
the existence of a models to analyse the performance of metroplexes and his analysis
proximate airport highlighted the important role played by airborne delays and surface
12 Insufficient General metroplex Low Low High operations efficiency on block delays (Diana, 2014).
airport capacity capacity is
Various optimal routing methods were also proposed. In this field,
insufficient to
serve spikes in our research group demonstrated the feasibility of computing optimal 4-
traffic demand dimensional trajectories in the TMA in real time considering multiple
objectives and constraints (Gardi et al., 2019). Wei et al. briefly dis
cussed the potential benefits offered by the flexible flight concept,
Table 2 noting that it enables many optimization strategies to increase metro
Physical/constructive metroplex dependency metrics. Empirical equations plex efficiency and reduce the delay (Wei et al., 2013). Among these
adapted or derived from the original definitions in (DeLaurentis and Ayyalaso optimization strategies, the metroplex routing algorithms were dis
mayajula, 2010). cussed in more detail. An optimization approach was proposed by Zhou
Metric Definition
et al. to redesign Standard Terminal Arrival Routes (STAR) and Standard
Instrument Departures (SID) routes also considering their 3-dimensional
Runway length dependency (DL,i ) 0.7
DL,i = 0.3 +
1 + e12(li /lRR − 0.82) envelopes (Zhou et al., 2017). Sidiropoulos et al. developed a framework
Runway orientation dependency (DO,i ) DO,i = sin(Θi − ΘRR ) for the classification and prioritization of arrival and departure routes in
Runway proximity dependency (DP,i )
DP,i =
di,RR
∀j
metroplex which consists of clustering, Analytic Hierarchy Processing
max(di,j ) (AHP) and a priority-based selection algorithm to identify the optimal
Runway Dependency Metric (RDMi ) RDMi = DL,i ⋅DO,i ⋅DP,i
∑ terminal waypoints (fixes), based on which they proposed a framework
Total Airport RDM (RDMA ) Mi ⋅RDMi
RDMA = for optimizing operations by designing dynamic arrival and departure
∑MTOT,A
Total Metroplex RDM (RDMM ) Mi ⋅RDMi routes in multi-airport TMAs (Sidiropoulos et al., 2015, 2018). To sup
RDMM =
MTOT,M
port the optimization algorithm, they also proposed a method for robust
identification of air traffic flow patterns using an approach called Dis
tributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) to address demand uncertainty
(Sidiropoulos et al., 2017). The effects of the Point Merge System (PMS)
were studied by Sahin et al. with particular emphasis on flight efficiency,
fuel consumption and CO2 emissions (Sahin et al., 2018).
In summary, a full implementation of Performance-Based Operations
(PBO) concepts as PBN, 4D-TBO and others mentioned above are ex
pected to greatly improve the capacity and efficiency of metroplex TMAs
as they will support a substantially improved traffic synchronization,
thus relieving the constraints and penalties associated to tactical and
largely manual ATC deconfliction in the TMA sequencing and spacing
duties. Yet, they will not completely remove all the inefficiencies and
capacity penalties in metroplex TMAs because certain in
terdependencies and interferences between arrival and departure paths
of multiple airports, flown by very diverse aircraft, will remain.
Fig. 2. Interdependency factor as a function of the distance between two The Daxing International Airport (DAX) is the new major airport
proximate airports (Clarke et al., 2011). serving Beijing, which commenced operations in September 2019. It is
located approximately 30 nautical miles south of Beijing Capital Inter
TBO) paradigm, in which higher levels of automation and information national Airport (PEK) and it is designed to accommodate 72 million
sharing will support a more strategic management of traffic and passengers, 2 million tons of cargo throughput, and 620,000 aircraft
decreased congestion and disruptions. An evaluation of the potential movements by 2025. In the long term, its capacity is planned to reach
benefits offered by some NextGen concepts was carried out by Ren et al. 100 million passengers per year. The total investment for its construc
(Ren and Clarke, 2008). Zelinski and Lai compared different design so tion is about 80 billion yuan (about 12 billion US dollars). Daxing airport
lutions for dynamic airspace as well as the benefits they brought is meant to serve both domestic and international flights similarly to
(Zelinski and Lai, 2011). As part of their study on the metroplex oper PEK. The new airport is intended to share the traffic with Beijing capital
ational efficiency, Clarke et al. also assessed the benefits of some Next international airport, the capacity of which is already largely saturated.
Gen concepts (Clarke et al., 2011, 2012). More in detail, Ahmadbeygi Upon DAX’s opening, Beijing becomes the second city in mainland
assessed the benefits of introducing Performance-Based Navigation China with two major civil airports.
(PBN) to rationalise traffic flows in the New York metroplex and looked Similarly to Shanghai, which is another notable multi-airport system
at whether they would enhance TFM initiatives but noted that the mixed serving a major city in mainland China, the Beijing multi-airport system
equipage existing until the full fleet is equipped will neglect a significant is designed to handle a large amount of domestic and international
portion of the benefits and make coordination complex, so that other flights in its two major airports, which are both hub to at least one major
Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) enhancements may result more domestic airline, member of a major alliance. In peak hours, the
beneficial. Shanghai system suffers from high traffic densities and congestion,
Key works on demand/capacity optimization can also provide useful causing flight delays and frequent interferences. Although every met
insights on metroplex operational capacity modelling. Wang et al. pro roplex is unique and no one is identical to another, the Shanghai multi-
posed a mathematical algorithm to schedule the departure routes in a airport system can be assumed as a relatively good reference for
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L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
operations. Gilbo, on the other hand, developed a statistical methods by where a buffer b (typically of 10 s) is added to ensure that small varia
using arrival and departure counts within 15 min to estimate the prac tions in relative velocity do not lead to violation of separation re
tical capacity envelope of a single airport (Gilbo, 1993). quirements. Successively, the arrival capacity of the runway is simply
For the purpose of this study, as Beijing’s new Daxing international the inverse of the expected value, as in:
airport does not have unique specificities, a commonly adopted queuing
model is sufficiently accurate to predict theoretical capacity. The 1
μ = [ ] ∀ i, j (3)
queuing model to calculate the arrival and departure capacity was firstly E ti,j
developed by Blumstein and was extended by De Neufville et al. (De
Neufville et al., 2013). The model was used under the ideal conditions of 2.2. Departure capacity
VFR, dispersed departure headings and non-interfering runways.
For departing aircraft, the separation is defined as a minimum time
2.1. Arrival capacity interval between successive take-offs. This time must meet the minimum
requirement that the preceding aircraft is clear of the runway and that
The runway capacity model is based on the minimum lateral and subsequent departures maintain at least 2.5 NM lateral separation when
longitudinal separation requirements between successive arrivals. For airborne, i.e., the approach-grade radar separation recommended by
major airports, these are respectively defined according to radar sepa ICAO. A value of 70 s is typically adopted for departures trailing a lighter
ration standards and wake turbulence separation standards. Fig. 3 il aircraft to account for lower velocity during the climb. The assumed
lustrates the arrival spacing metrics used in the analysis and a full departure separation table is shown in Table 5. This inter-departure time
nomenclature is provided in Table 3. While some differences exist in the is used in the same way as the inter-arrival time to calculate the expected
Table 4
Assumed spacing between successive arrivals as a function of the wake turbu
lence category. Values in nautical miles (NM).
Trailing
Leading A380 H L
A380 8 6 6
H 12 8 6
L 13 10 6
Fig. 3. Arrival spacing definitions.
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L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
6
L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
7
L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
Table 6 between 35R/17L and 01L/19R is 2380m. Runways 35L/17R and 01L/
Actual and theoretical capacities of Shanghai airports. 19R are meant for landings while runways 35R/17L and 011L/29R are
Actual balanced capacity (ops/ Theoretical balanced capacity meant for taking off, as shown in Fig. 9.
hr) (ops/hr) The theoretical capacities of BCIA and Daxing are respectively 105
ZSPD 84 96 and 126.2 ops/hr. These values have been calculated using the estima
ZSSS 48 54 tion model presented in section 2.1. On the other hand, according to the
Metroplex 132 150 2017 Civil Aviation Transport Efficiency Report, the actual capacity of
BCIA is reported as 88 ops/hr. The practical capacity of Daxing cannot
yet be quantified statistically as the historical data for peak hour
movement is still insufficient to apply Gilbo’s methodology. However,
assuming scalability, a practical capacity value for Daxing airport upon
opening can be estimated at approximately 105.7 ops/hr. This is a
conservative estimate and it shall be noted that this value does not affect
the relative magnitude of the metroplex penalties that are the subject of
this study.
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L. Ruan et al. Journal of Air Transport Management 92 (2021) 102013
Table 7
Comparison of airport capacity with metroplex dependencies and without metroplex dependencies.
The value highlighted in red represents the Beijing’s airport system actual total capacity before
Daxing’s opening, whereas the value highlighted in light blue represents the total capacity of Beij
ing’s airport system after the opening of Daxing.
4.2. Discussion key advantages of the proposed method lies in its aggregate/macro
scopic nature, hence not requiring to model and simulate complex in
The classical methodology presented in Section 2 proved to be suf dividual traffic interactions. The findings of this case study are relevant
ficiently accurate while still simple to calculate the theoretical capacity for planners to estimate the operational efficiency of future multi-airport
of an airport without metroplex dependencies. On the other hand, systems. The current body of knowledge hints at great margins for im
reconstructing Pareto capacity envelopes based on airport historical provements in metroplex efficiency and in capacity modelling. While
peak operations following Gilbo’s method proved to be a simple but runway and airport capacity estimation models are quite mature and
sufficiently accurate methodology to assess the airport practical capacity now also capable to accurately capture the effects of unforeseen cir
and most importantly to disaggregate the effect of metroplex-related cumstances and disruption, the capacity modelling of multi-airport
penalties. This allowed to determine the net metroplex-related penalty systems requires further developments to accurately capture the com
of 12% in the case of Shanghai. plex interdependencies without undertaking lengthy and costly
The metroplex-related capacity penalty of Beijing multi-airport sys full-scale modelling and simulation studies. The method presented in
tem is estimated to be about 7% and the actual capacity of Beijing this article is an initial step and has some notable limitations. Several
Daxing International airport in its planned opening configuration is directions for further research are identified. Firstly, the identification
estimated to be about 98.3 ops/hr. Consequently, the net capacity in and characterisation of the most suitable factors affecting the actual
crease offered by Daxing’s construction is approximately 92 ops/hr, operational efficiency of metroplex airspace is essential to build accurate
hence approximately 87% of the practical capacity estimated for Daxing disaggregate empirical models. On the other hand, the macro
alone and 73% of its theoretical capacity. These values highlight some of scopic/aggregate Pareto capacity envelope analysis adopted in this
the diminishing financial returns on investments associated with con article should be extended to metroplexes involving more than two
structing additional airports to serve the same metropolitan region, airports. Finally, further work is required to empirically account highly
though the significant distance between the two airports in the case of off-nominal weather and traffic conditions.
Beijing has a limited effect.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
5. Conclusions and recommendations for future work
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.
Multi-airport systems play an important role in the air transport org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.102013.
network and are growing in number around the world, therefore the
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