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STATE OF

BLENDED
FINANCE
2023 CLIMATE EDITION

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TABLE OF CONTENTS
4 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 50 Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) /
Development Finance Institutions (DFIs)
5 LET TER FROM CEO
52 Development Agencies & Multi-Donor Funds
6 GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS
52 Philanthropic Organizations
9 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
54 VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
13 INTRODUCTION
Interview with Stefanie Fairholme, Managing
15 About Blended Finance Director, Head of Investments, GEAPP

16 Report Methodology & Overview 55 Impact Investors

17 PART I : MARKET 56 PART IV: MITIGATION


OVERVIEW & ADAPTATION
18 Overall Blended Finance Market 57 Mitigation Blended Finance

19 Sources of Financing to Climate 59 VOICES FROM THE FIELD:


Blended Finance Interview with Cecilia Tam, Acting Head
of Energy Investment Unit at the IEA
20 A Look at Last Year’s Report
61 Mitigation Blended Finance Investors
21 The Macroeconomic Environment
63 Adaptation Blended Finance

24 PART II : DEAL TRENDS 67 VOICES FROM THE FIELD:


Interview with Jay Koh, Managing Director
25 Climate Mitigation v. Climate Adaptation and Co-Founder, The LightSmith Group
v. Hybrid
68 Nature-Based Solutions
27 Vehicles
71 Adaptation Blended Finance Investors
31 Regions & Countries

34 Income Levels
72 PART V : COUNTRY-
35 Recipients

37 SDG Alignment
LEVEL PLATFORMS
38 Archetypes & Instruments
IN CLIMATE BLENDED
FINANCE
UNPACKING JETPs
41 PART III: INVESTOR
73

74 How similar is the JETP model to


TRENDS Blended Finance
42 Overall Landscape 74 What Challenges has the JETP Model Faced
44 Private Sector Investors 75 How can the JETP Model be Improved
47 VOICES FROM THE FIELD: 75 KEY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR JE TPs
Interview with Alexander Kennedy,
Head, Sustainable Finance Solutions,
Standard Chartered

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76 PART VI: WHERE CAN 2. Optimize Structures to Navigate Non-
Financial Risks
BLENDED FINANCE
CONTRIBUTE 87 VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with MAS on How Governments
77 1. Establishing a Common Taxonomy for
& Regulators Can Support the
Adaptation Finance
Net Zero Transition
78 2. Mitigating Currency Risk
88 3. Incorporate & Integrate
79 3. Framing Country-Level Platforms & Philanthropic Capital
Partnerships
89 4. Empower LDCs & Championing
80 4. Optimizing the Use of Technical Assistance Bottom-up Approaches

81 5. Reducing Financing Costs Through


National Green Banks 91 APPENDIX
81 6. Managing Transition Finance for Coal 92 A DEEP DIVE ON THE JE TPS
Decommissioning
92 How Similar is the JETP Model to
Blended Finance?
83 PART VII: 93 What Challenges has the JETP Model Faced?
RECOMMENDATIONS 94 Are Donors Learning from the Experience
84 1. MDBs & DFIs Should Integrate Climate & of Prior JETPs?
Private Sector Mobilization KPIs into their
95 How can the JETP Model be Improved?
Operating Models & Prioritize Data &
Analytics 96 Are there any Signs that the JETP Model
is Evolving?

97 Are JETPs Scalable?

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Convergence Blended Finance (2023). The State of Blended Finance 2023: Climate Edition. Convergence Report.

© CONVERGENCE 2023. DISCLAIMER:


All rights reserved. You may reproduce and distribute the This document is provided for information
material in this document for non-commercial purposes, purposes only. It does not constitute an offer
subject to following credit: (i) Source: Convergence © to sell or a solicitation to any person in any
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Unless you have received prior written consent from
set out herein may be subject to updating,
Convergence, you may not reproduce or distribute this
completion, revision, verification and amendment
document on a standalone basis or use this document for
and such information may change materially.
commercial purposes.

We would like to thank the following organizations for their thought


leadership and contributions to this year’s report:

Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES) International Union Conservation of Nature (IUCN)


Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS)
E3G (Third Generation Environmentalism) Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning of Rwanda
Global Infrastructure Hub (GI Hub) Nicholas Institute for Energy, Environment &
Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) Sustainability at Duke University

Impact Investing Institute (III) Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI)

International Energy Agency (IEA) Standard Chartered

International Monetary Fund (IMF) The Lightsmith Group

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LET TER FROM CEO
As we introduce the 7th edition of Convergence’s State of Blended
Finance, political and business leaders are increasingly recognizing
climate change as the defining crisis of our time. Yet with the climate
crisis squarely upon us, the growth rate for public financing for
climate is in decline, private climate financing volumes have
lagged, and blended finance flows for climate have regressed.
Concrete action is urgently needed, and blended finance –
a structured form of financial collaboration between public, private
and philanthropic actors – must be utilized more ambitiously to
mobilize private investment at scale into climate solutions tailored
to the unique realities of developing economies.
That is why we again focus this report on climate blended
finance. Our 2023 edition highlights country-level challenges
and opportunities, spotlighting regions with potential for positive
developments and identifying areas where blended finance can
immediately and materially contribute.
At Convergence, we recognize climate’s centrality to the investment
world, including the blended finance market. But we also acknowledge
the need for data and trends analysis on other sectors, themes,
and aspects of the blended finance space. Convergence is pleased
to announce that, beginning in 2024, we will publish two “State of
Blended Finance” reports per year. The first, to be issued in the
spring, will encompass the entire blended finance market and
the second, to be released in the fall, will serve as our climate-
focused edition.
We hope this 2023 report’s data, trends, insights, and
recommendations serve as an impetus for donors and investors
alike, to increase the flow of capital into the places that need
it most as part of an urgent, comprehensive response to confront
the greatest collective challenge of our lifetimes.

JOAN M. LARREA
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, CONVERGENCE

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GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS
A/B LOANS AND BONDS – Financial instruments a threshold of additionality – that is, the GHG
used by a selection of multilateral investors, emission reduction would otherwise have not
specifically multilateral development banks occurred if the project was not implemented.
(MDBs). In an A/B loan structure, the MDB
CARBON MARKET – The primary and secondary
or multilateral acts as the lender of record,
financial markets where carbon credits are traded.
providing a portion of the loan for its own account
Carbon credits represent one metric tonne of GHG
(A loan), with the loan balance funded by the B
emission reduction. In the primary carbon market,
loan participation (typically a commercial bank
companies buy and sell carbon credits based on
or institutional investor). Principal and interest
their emissions allowances determined by relevant
on the loan are paid to the lender, which is then
domestic and supranational regulations. In the
distributed on a pro rata basis. An A/B bond
secondary market, companies, banks and other
functions similarly. The MDB originates an A/B
market actors engage in trading of carbon credits
loan with the borrower. The A loan is funded by
to provide liquidity to the market and hedge
the MDB, while the B loan is funded by a special
exposure to future price increases in
purpose vehicle via issuance of a B bond to
carbon credits.
institutional investors in the capital market.
CARBON OFFSET – Carbon offsets are used by
ADAPTATION BLENDED FINANCE – The use of
net emitters of GHG to “balance-out” an equal
blended finance structures to deliver private sector
share of their emissions output. Offsets come in
investment to climate adaptation transactions in
the form of carbon credits which are bought and
developing countries.
sold in the carbon market, with each carbon credit
BLENDED FINANCE – The use of catalytic capital representing one metric tonne of atmospheric
from public or philanthropic sources to increase carbon reduction. The exchange facilitates “carbon
private sector investment in developing countries neutrality” equal to the carbon credit value. Carbon
to realize the Sustainable Development Goals credits are generated by companies (in a cap-and-
(SDGs). Blended finance is a structuring trade system) or projects that are funded with
approach, not an investment approach. carbon credit proceeds. Offsets are often used by
entities in an effort to achieve net zero emissions.
BLUE ECONOMY – The sustainable use of
ocean resources for economic growth, improved CATALYTIC CAPITAL/FUNDING – Financial
livelihoods and jobs, and ocean ecosystem health. instruments allocated to transactions with the
intent to mobilize private sector investment. The
CARBON CREDIT – A carbon credit represents
definition of catalytic capital can vary widely. In
a volume of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission
this report, catalytic capital only refers to financial
reduction, typically about one metric tonne,
instruments priced below-market (concessional),
created by a specific project or activity, such as
with evidence of the intent to mitigate investment
reforestation. Carbon credits are verified/certified
risks and/or enhance the expected returns for
by specialist agencies such as Gold Standard.
private sector investors and deployed through
Credits are sold by credit generating projects,
one of Convergence’s four blending archetypes:
on a “carbon market” to buyers who are seeking
(i) concessional debt/equity, (ii) concessionally
to “offset” their own GHG emission production
priced guarantees/insurance, (iii) project
with the carbon reduction represented by the
preparation or design-stage grant funding,
credit. The exchange facilitates carbon neutrality.
and (iv) technical assistance grant funding.
Part of the credit verification process ensures

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CARBON CAPTURE, UTILIZATION AND (if in a first-loss position). Concessional capital
STORAGE (CCUS) – CCUS involves the capture can be provided through a diversity of financial
of CO2, generally from large point sources like instruments, including debt, equity, grant funding,
power generation or industrial facilities that use and mezzanine capital.
either fossil fuels or biomass as fuel. If not being
CONSERVATION FINANCE – Investment
used on-site, the captured CO2 is compressed
targeting the support and management of
and transported by pipeline, ship, rail or truck to
natural systems, including land, water, air, and
be used in a range of applications, or injected into
natural resources. Conservation finance is
deep geological formations such as depleted oil
distinct from climate adaptation finance in that
and gas reservoirs or saline aquifers.
it can also produce climate mitigation outcomes
CLIMATE ADAPTATION FINANCE – Climate and exclusively targets natural capital. Climate
adaptation involves channeling investment adaptation finance includes the targeting of
to efforts focused on adjusting to the already human systems impacted by climate change.
apparent and expected effects of climate change.
CURRENCY SWAP – Two parties agree to
Such climate change effects include, but are not
exchange principal/interest payments of a loan
limited to, rising ocean levels, the increasing
in one currency for an equivalent loan in another
temperature of the oceans, increased frequency
currency. Investors/borrowers use currency swaps
and intensity of extreme weather events
to hedge (at least partially) their exposure to
(hurricanes, droughts, monsoons), and irregular
currency risk.
seasonality. Climate adaptation interventions
are often linked to the concept of the improved GREENHOUSE GASSES (GHGS) – Gases,
“resiliency” of humankind to the changing biological, produced both as a result of human activity
ecological and geological systems of the planet. and natural occurrences, that are trapped in
The term resiliency encompasses, but is not limited the atmosphere and increase the temperature of
to, resilient food systems, resilient livelihoods and the planet. The main GHGs are carbon dioxide,
resilient natural systems, like biodiversity. methane, nitrous oxide, water vapor and
fluorinated gasses (synthetic).
CLIMATE BLENDED FINANCE – The use of
blended finance structures to deliver private JUST ENERGY TRANSITION PARTNERSHIP
sector investment to transactions that explicitly (JETP) – A financing mechanism designed to
aim to produce outcomes that combat and/or deliver large scale financing to emerging markets
respond to the effects of climate change for the decarbonization of the energy sector
in developing countries. that is also inclusive of domestic development
priorities. Funding for JETPs are led by public
CLIMATE MITIGATION FINANCE – Climate
resources from the International Partners Group
mitigation finance consists of channeling investment
(IPG), a group of donor governments (primarily
towards interventions explicitly aimed at limiting the
advanced economies) as well as the mobilization
current level of GHG emission output produced by
of private sector capital. To date, JETPs have been
human activity to reduce the future consequences
announced for South Africa, India, Indonesia,
of climate change. It also involves investing in
Senegal and Vietnam.
efforts dealing with the removal of GHG from the
atmosphere through carbon sequestration methods. JUST TRANSITION – Climate mitigation and
adaptation efforts in emerging markets and
CONCESSIONAL CAPITAL – Funds provided on
developing economies that are conscious of
below-market terms within the capital structure of
other development goals to ensure equitable
a financial transaction to reduce the overall cost-of-
transitions to greener economies.
capital for the borrower and/or provide additional
downside protection to more senior investors

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LEVERAGE RATE – The ratio of concessional NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS – Efforts to protect,
capital (below market-price) to all commercial manage and/or rehabilitate ecosystems that can
capital (market priced) in a financial transaction. assist in addressing societal challenges, such as
Commercial capital includes capital from private, food insecurity, climate change vulnerability, and
public, and philanthropic sources. human health. Nature-based solutions are rooted
in the concept that healthy natural capital assets
MITIGATION BLENDED FINANCE – The use of
are both critical to functioning natural ecosystems
blended finance structures to deliver private sector
and sustainable economic development by yielding
investment to climate mitigation transactions in
shared benefits to modified or human-built systems.
developing countries.
NET ZERO – A state whereby the amount of
MOBILIZATION RATE – The ratio of concessional
greenhouse gasses emitted into the atmosphere
capital (below-market-price) to commercial capital
is equal to the amount of greenhouse gasses
from only private sector sources.
being removed from the atmosphere. Reaching
NATIONAL ENERGY MATRIX – A country’s global carbon net zero effectively stops the
composition of all primary energy sources from process of the progressive warming of the planet.
which secondary energy sources, like electricity, Net zero commitments are made at different
is produced. This includes both renewable energy levels of economic granularity, for example, at
sources and non-renewable energy sources. The the supranational level, sovereign level, industry
energy matrix is distinct from the power generation level, or company level. Net zero is different than
matrix which is only concerned with the sources Absolute Zero Emissions, in that the latter refers
that are used in electricity production. to the complete cessation of greenhouse gas
emittance. The net zero Emission (NZE) Scenario
NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS is a model proposed by the International Energy
(NDCS) – The country-specific commitments to Agency outlining the investment requirements in
cut GHG emissions and/or adapt to the effects of low-emission and emission reduction technologies
climate change required by all parties to the Paris to reach net zero CO2 by 2050. Under the
Agreement and the collective commitment to limit framework, developed economies reach net
global warming to 1.5oC. NDCs must define how zero by 2045, China by 2050 and emerging
targets will be met, outline how progress towards economies after 2050.
the goals will be monitored and verified, and be
updated by the country on a five-year cycle. SMALL ISLAND DEVELOPING STATES (SIDS) –
A distinct group of 58 developing countries that
NATURAL CAPITAL – The planet’s stocks of water, face unique social, economic, and environmental
air, land, and renewable (wind, solar energy, trees) vulnerabilities. They are particularly vulnerable to
and non-renewable resources (mineral deposits). natural disasters and the impacts of climate change.
The term links the economic concept of capital
(resources, goods or services which are used for
the creation of other resources, goods or services)
to the natural environment. Certain natural assets
provide free flowing benefits to foster and/or enable
human activity. These particular types of natural
capital are called ecosystem services.

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This year’s edition of the State of Blended Finance such as deficient and unstable regulatory systems,
once again focuses on climate. Climate change inefficient policies and laws that will support the
continues to be central to the blended finance transition, and ineffective government planning
market and to sustainable development more to create pathways for multi-stakeholder financing
broadly. Official flows to lower- and middle-income partnerships. These are some of the root causes
countries, including official development assistance of country risk for which reforms are ongoing.
(ODA), increasingly target climate objectives. In 2020, Recognizing the aforementioned challenges and
a third of bilateral ODA from the Organization for in view of the above trends, it is apparent that
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
1 mobilization of private investment must be
Development Assistance Committee (DAC) countries
prioritized as an explicit goal of development
went to climate finance; for Multilateral Development
finance, and must be championed by the MDBs
Banks (MDBs), the share was almost a quarter.
and Development Finance Institutions (DFIs)
Yet in 2021, only 27.6% of allocable bilateral ODA
within their operating models, and
pursued climate objectives, dropping back to the
trends observed between 2015-2019. Although the 2 scarce concessional capital must be deployed
aggregate ODA numbers have increased by 59% as efficiently and judiciously in order to maximize
providers report over $83 billion in annual climate its leverage.
finance towards the $100 billion target since 2013, Furthermore, beyond prioritization, a deeper
private investment mobilized by official development understanding of how climate blended financing
finance for climate is, on average, lower today than mechanisms and solutions can be applied and
before the 2015 Paris Agreement. The decline mirrors designed at local, national, and regional scales
challenges in the overall blended finance market in can also contribute to increasing resilience to
2022, which saw a 45% drop in deal volume and a climate extremes and uncertainties.
55% decrease in climate blended finance.
As emerging markets and developing economies
A 2021 report from the International Energy Agency (EMDEs) grapple with the dual challenges of pursuing
(IEA) projects that over $1 trillion per year will need rapid development and transitioning to low-carbon
to be invested in emerging markets through 2030 economies, innovative financing mechanisms like
to get them tracking towards net zero emissions by blended finance have become increasingly relevant.
2050. And when accounting for adaptation costs, The report therefore spotlights blended finance
the number is likely much higher. Alone, emerging transactions that seek climate mitigation and
markets cannot meet investment needs, particularly adaptation outcomes in EMDEs by examining
amidst the complex and changing macroeconomic practical applications and impacts.
landscape. Yet the current flow of public and private
In PART I of the report, blended finance data and
funds remains inadequate.
insights provide a market overview with a look back
Scaling and achieving climate finance is the chief to last year’s report and an assessment of the current
imperative. However, discussions on increasing climate challenges, macroeconomic impacts, and exogenous
finance quantities must be matched with ambitions shocks that have equally shaped the broader climate
to improve quality, particularly in emerging markets. finance market and the climate-related blended
There must be increased focus and accountability on finance market. This section also reviews recent
how climate finance is programmed and disbursed in downturns in sustainable investment and points
developing countries. Otherwise, quantity discussions at specific opportunities where blended finance
alone may prove fruitless. Indeed, there are many can serve as an active mechanism to respond to the
institutional impediments in developing regions, global challenges that adversely impact funding flows.

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In PARTS II & III, climate data, deal trends, and solutions, opportunities, and viable business cases for
investor trends are presented. Climate blended scaling. Nature-based Solutions are highlighted along
finance trends are analyzed through three lenses: with associated funding challenges and opportunities.
1 mitigation blended finance; The disparity between mitigation and adaptation
blended finance is further explored through key
2 adaptation blended finance; and
stakeholder interviews with experts in the field.
3 hybrid blended finance.
PART V explores country-level platforms in
They are further broken down across vehicle type, climate blended finance and evaluates Just Energy
geographic region and country, country income Transition Partnerships (JETPs), as a partnership
level, recipients, SDG alignment, and archetype model for mobilizing climate blended finance. JETPs
and instruments. Investor trends focus on investor are analyzed and compared through stakeholder
activity and investor type and incorporate stakeholder interviews that identify strengths, challenges,
perspectives of key market participants engaging in opportunities, and recommendations.
climate blended finance. PARTS VI & VII highlight key areas where
PART IV provides a comparative breakdown of blended finance can contribute and offer specific
mitigation blended finance and adaptation blended recommendations on the role climate blended
finance transactions by analyzing and contrasting deal finance can play in driving private investments
and investor types, addressing fundamental challenges at scale while identifying the appropriate blended
and barriers to catalyzing private capital, and revealing finance architectures in developing regions.

AUSTRIA

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KEY FINDINGS FROM THIS YEAR’S REPORT INCLUDE:
• Despite capturing a similar deal count in 2022 2022 have come from public sector investors.
compared to 2021 in the overall blended finance Development agencies comprised a growing
market, Convergence found that total deal share of public sector activity, accounting for
volume decreased by approximately 45% in 49% of commitments in 2020-2022 and are
2022 and about 55% in climate blended finance, increasingly the primary suppliers of
reaching a ten-year low in total financing. These concessional capital.
trends are symptomatic of larger macroeconomic • Since 2017, Convergence has captured
challenges impacting financing flows to EMDEs, $12.9 billion of investment committed to
characterized by inflationary pressures, mounting climate blended finance transactions by
debt burdens, and geopolitical instabilities. commercial investors. However, financing
• Climate blended finance transactions accounted flows from the private sector are declining —
for under 40% of all blended finance deals in from $7.13 billion between 2017-2019
2022, down 10% when compared to each of to $5.87 billion between 2020-2022.
the previous five years where climate-focused • Adaptation blended finance continues to be
transactions accounted for 50% or more of the under-represented, with only 15% of deals
annual deal count. since 2013 having a pure adaptation focus.
• Climate blended finance transactions have been This equates to $7.5 billion in total financing,
concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) (48% compared to $64.2 billion for pure mitigation
of transactions between 2020-2022), followed and $18.5 billion for hybrid transactions.
by Latin America and the Caribbean (24%). The • Hybrid transactions, which address both climate
proportion of transactions that are focused in mitigation and adaptation goals, represent
SSA grew 14 percentage points between 2017- an area of opportunity for the private sector
2019 and 2020-2022, representing an absolute to invest using an adaptation lens; 45% of
increase of nearly 90%. institutional investments into climate finance
• Just over half of the commitments to climate are in hybrid solutions, compared to 35%
blended finance transactions between 2020- in mitigation and 20% in adaptation.

WHERE CAN BLENDED FINANCE CONTRIBUTE?


Given the trends outlined above, blended finance 2 Currency Risk: Blended finance can directly
levels will need to exponentially increase if they address currency risks in volatile and high-interest
are to contribute meaningfully to meeting the markets by strategically combining public and
SDG financing gap by 2030. To this end, this private capital. Such de-risking can effectively
report identifies several key areas where blended open the door for substantially greater
finance can directly and immediately contribute to engagement from risk-averse private institutional
mobilizing private sector investments for climate. investors in emerging market climate projects.
1 Adaptation Finance: If the broader climate 3 Country-Level Partnerships: As a structuring
finance community begins to effectively outline approach, blended finance places parties into
a more expansive taxonomy for adaptation, specific roles that align with their mandates.
concessional players could pay for adaptation Conceptually, blended finance can frame country-
benefits that are otherwise not monetizable, level partnership design through its existing
thereby mobilizing private investment. language for identifying each stakeholder’s
roles, requirements, and motivations.

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4 Technical Assistance: The provision of
technical assistance (TA) through blended finance
structuring can offer targeted support to various
aspects of climate projects, including boosting
capacity, facilitating monitoring and reporting,
and supporting the enabling environment for
climate investments.
5 Reduce Financing Costs for Private Investors:
By creating National Green Banks, for example,
blended finance can help lower the cost of
capital through credit enhancements or loan
guarantees and concessional loans for climate
project financing.
6 Coal Decommissioning: Blended finance is a
critical tool in facilitating transition financing and
decommissioning initiatives, which often require
a nuanced financial approach given their cost and
complexities. In particular, using public finance to
manage phase-out programs and incorporating
carbon credits in renewable transactions as a
complementary financing instrument in a blended
structure is a workable approach.

RECOMMENDATIONS
This report identifies key recommendations
for increasing blended climate transactions and
mobilizing private sector capital for climate projects
in EMDEs.
1 MDBs and DFIs should integrate climate
and private sector mobilization KPIs into
their operating models and prioritize data
and analytics.
2 Navigating non-financial risks and political
dependencies will be crucial to optimize the
potential of blended finance.
3 Philanthropic capital must be incorporated
and integrated in blended finance as a viable
source of catalytic funds.
4 Lower- and middle-income countries must be
empowered to lead bottom-up approaches to
country-level financing platforms.

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INTRODUCTION
Climate finance stands at a critical juncture. Although financing from DFIs and MDBs for climate mitigation
global climate finance flows have grown consistently and adaptation. This troubling trajectory underscores
over the past decade, they still lag far behind what is the urgency for increased concessional capital from
needed to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement1. donors and philanthropic sources to attract the
One recent study estimates that delivering net zero trillions in commercial investment required to steer
will require over $6 trillion of climate finance annually the globe towards net zero emissions.
between now and 2030 and over $7 trillion by 2050 – The stark reality is that climate blended finance
a total of almost $200 trillion. Yet, current global currently operates well below the threshold demanded
climate finance is only expected to surpass by global climate goals. In theory, abundant private
$1 trillion for the first time in 2022. capital stands ready to be mobilized for the climate
Despite the pressing need for ambitious climate transition. However, challenging investment climates
action, recent trends indicate public financing for in many emerging markets reveal a harsh truth –
climate, while increasing, has seen the overall growth without enhanced risk-sharing and greater public
rate decline, private climate financing volumes dwindle, sector willingness to shoulder potential losses,
and climate blended finance, more specifically, regress. substantial private flows into these regions remain
In particular, aggregate climate blended finance flows arduous. Current incentives to attract private capital
from private sector investors have declined, as has are proving sluggish and disproportionate to the scale

1 At COP15 in 2009, developed countries committed to a collective goal of mobilizing $100 billion per year by 2020 to support climate action in
developing countries

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and urgency of the crisis. Climate change will not finance deals have stagnated since 2017, showing
idle as developing countries undertake institutional little sign of an upward trajectory. This stagnation
reforms or attain coveted investment-grade status. poses a severe threat to both mitigation and
While such systemic reforms have merit, the pressing adaptation efforts in emerging markets. Mitigation
goal of halving emissions within a decade necessitates projects face increasing pressure as rising interest
immediate, decisive action within existing developing rates tighten the grip on commercial bank lending.
country frameworks. As the window for action Meanwhile, inherently burdened by perceived risks
narrows, the onus lies on public funders to urgently and diminished returns, adaptation deals struggle
catalyze blended finance structures that absorb risks to attract commercial capital.
impeding private sector participation. To this end, in In the climate finance equation, the private sector
a recent report on financing the net zero transition remains a critical player. It is now imperative for
in emerging markets, BlackRock states public grants commercial banks, institutional investors, corporations,
and grant equivalent financing have been too targeted and other private sector investors to urgently commit
on funding for individual projects rather than being and align their investments with the growing global
used to mitigate risks more broadly to crowd in private climate finance needs. In leveraging instruments
investment. To effectively mobilize substantial private such as guarantees and TA to de-risk transactions,
capital, significant volumes of public resources must blended finance can serve as the mechanism to attract
be deployed strategically and provide substantial private investment. However, the chronic shortfall of
de-risking support at the facility level rather than concessional capital remains a formidable obstacle.
project-specific capital allocation.
Further, the importance of country-level financing
Convergence estimates that to mobilize sufficient cannot be overstated when charting the course
private investment for developing countries to toward sustainable development and climate
reach net zero, over $500 billion in concessional resilience. EMDEs often bear the brunt of climate
capital is needed through 2035 in the energy sector change impacts, yet their access to the vast pools of
alone. Yet, concessional flows to climate blended private sector capital remains limited. Here, in these
regions, the need for uncovering the appropriate
blended finance architecture becomes paramount.

“The path forward Blending public and private capital, strategically


tailored to local contexts and risk profiles, can act
involves fostering as a powerful catalyst for driving the necessary
investments at scale. However, to harness this
partnerships potential, it is critical to structure tailored financial
instruments and risk mitigation strategies that align
among governments, with the unique challenges and opportunities that
characterize these developing economies.
international financial The path forward involves fostering partnerships

institutions, philanthropic among governments, international financial


institutions, philanthropic entities, and private sector
entities, and private players to establish a resilient financial ecosystem
that can effectively channel resources toward the
sector players...” most pressing development and climate objectives.

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ABOUT BLENDED FINANCE
Blended finance uses catalytic capital from public Blended finance is a structuring approach. It is not
or philanthropic sources to increase private sector an investment approach, instrument, or end solution.
investment in developing countries to realize the Figure 1 highlights four common blended finance
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and climate structures:
goals. Blended finance allows organizations with 1 Public or philanthropic investors provide
different objectives to invest alongside each other funds on below-market terms within the capital
while achieving their own objectives (whether structure to lower the overall cost of capital
financial return, social/environmental impact, or to provide an additional layer of protection
or a blend of both). to private investors
The main investment barriers for private 2 Public or philanthropic investors provide credit
investors addressed by blended finance are: enhancement through guarantees or insurance
1 high perceived and real risk and on below-market terms
2 poor returns for the risk relative 3 The transaction is associated with a grant
to comparable investments. funded TA facility that can be utilized pre- or post-
Blended finance creates investable opportunities investment to strengthen commercial viability and
in developing countries as means to deliver more developmental impact
development impact. 4 Transaction design or preparation is grant funded
(including project preparation/design stage grants)

Figure 1:Typical Blended Finance Mechanics and Structures


EXAMPLE STRUCTURES
Private equity or debt funds with concessional STRUCTURE
public or philanthropic funding attracting Senior Debt Or Equity
Market-rate institutional investment First-Loss Capital
Private
Capital STRUCTURE
Bond or note issuances with concessionally
Debt
Blended priced guarantees or insurance from public
or philanthropic funders
Guarantee
Equity
Mobilizing Finance
Structure Grant funding from public or philanthropic
funders to build capacity of investments to
STRUCTURE
Debt TA
facility
Development achieve expected financial and social return Equity
Funding
(Public & Grant funding from public or philanthropic STRUCTURE
philanthropic Concessional Debt
funders to design or structure projects to
funders)
attract institutional investment Grant Equity

Concessional capital and guarantees or risk insurance stage grants are not direct investments in the capital
are used by the public or philanthropic sector to structure, but improve a transaction’s probability of
create an investment opportunity with acceptable achieving bankability and financial close; similarly,
risk-return profiles for the private sector by TA funds operate outside the capital structure to
1 de-risking the investment or enhance the viability of the endeavor and improve
impact measurement.
2 improving the risk-return profile to bring
it in line with the market for capital. It is important to note that blended finance can
address a subset of SDG targets that are investable
Concessional funding includes scenarios where the
or on a pathway to investability. According to an
public or philanthropic funder takes a higher risk
analysis conducted by the Sustainable Development
profile for the same or lower rate of return. Design-
Solutions Network (SDSN, a global initiative of the

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UN), approximately half the funding required to as Goal 16 (Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions).
achieve the SDGs in developing countries can be In addition, emerging trends suggest blended
in the form of investment. For example, blended finance is key to creating a pathway to investability
finance is highly aligned with goals such as Goal 8 for Nature-Based Solutions (Nbs) business models,
(Decent Work and Economic Growth) and Goal 13 addressing the undercapitalized climate SDGs (Goal
(Climate Action) while less aligned with SDGs such 14 (Life Below Water) and Goal 15 (Life on Land)).

Figure 2: Alignment between blended finance transactions and the SDGs

17: Partnerships for the Goals 100%


8: Decent Work & Economic Growth 70%
9: Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure 52%

1: No Poverty 42%

7: Affordable & Clean Energy 31%


10: Reduced Inequalities 27%
5: Gender Equality 25%
2: Zero Hunger 24%
13: Climate Action 15%
3: Good Health & Well-Being 11%

REPORT METHODOLOGY & OVERVIEW


The State of Blended Finance is Convergence’s annual public sources such as press releases, ii) information
report on blended finance trends, opportunities, and sharing agreements with key data aggregators like
challenges. The 2023 edition provides an updated the OECD, and iii) data validation exercises with
analysis of the blended finance market and follows Convergence members and partners.
the 2022 edition with a continued thematic focus To be included in Convergence’s database,
on climate. The report is based on Convergence’s a deal must meet three main criteria:
continuous data and intelligence collection efforts,
1 The transaction attracts financial participation
as well as input from Convergence’s 165 member
from one or more private sector investor(s)
institutions and other stakeholders.
2 The transaction uses catalytic funds in one
Convergence curates and maintains the largest
or more of the following ways:
and most detailed database of historical blended
finance transactions to help build the evidence • Public or philanthropic investors provide
base for blended finance. Given the current state of concessional capital, bearing risk at
information reporting and sharing, it is not possible below market returns to mobilize private
for this database to be fully comprehensive. Still, it is investment, or provide guarantees or
the best repository globally to understand blended other risk mitigation instruments
finance’s scale and trends. Convergence continues to • Transaction design or preparation
build out this database to draw better insights about is grant funded
the market and disseminates this information to the
• Transaction is associated with a TA
development and finance communities to improve
facility (e.g., for pre- or post investment
the efficiency and effectiveness of blended finance
capacity building)
to achieve the SDGs. All data in this report reflects
Convergence’s data collection efforts as of December 3 The transaction aims to create development impact
31, 2022. Information is collected from i) credible related to the SDGs in developing countries.

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PART I:
MARKET
OV E R V I E W
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PART I :
MARKET OVERVIEW
OVERALL BLENDED FINANCE MARKET
In 2022, Convergence launched its inaugural climate- finance deals stands at $7.69 billion. A closer look
focused State of Blended Finance. This year’s edition at the broader market of blended finance across
once again zeroes in on the core component of the a range of data dimensions can be found on
blended finance market known as climate blended Convergence’s website.
finance2 — blended finance transactions that seek Overall, Convergence has captured more than 6800
to generate positive outcomes in the fight against financial commitments to blended finance transactions,
climate change in EMDEs. disbursed by 1800 unique investors. About 1000,
This report draws on Convergence’s Historical Deal or 55% of investors made at least one commitment
Database (HDD), the most comprehensive database to a climate blended finance transaction, for more
of financially closed blended finance transactions than 3200 total commitments. The overall average
in the market. Our HDD comprises over 1000 investment size for blended finance deals currently
transactions, 485 of which are climate-focused. stands at $22 million and $30 million when isolating
Aggregate transaction value totals $198 billion, climate blended finance transactions.
with climate blended finance deals accounting for Figure 4: Aggregate annual deal volume, total blended
55% or $109 billion of the total market size. Over finance market vs climate blended finance market,
the last decade, the blended finance market has 2014 – October 2023
comprised 77 deals per year on average, with 41 Climate financing 2023 Climate financing to date
Total financing 2023 Total financing to date
deals per year targeting climate outcomes. In the
last ten years, the median annual financing volume 19
$18.5B
for the overall market totaled $14 billion, while the 18
17
median financing volume for climate blended
16
Figure 3: Transaction count, total blended finance market 15
$13.7B $14.3B
vs climate blended finance market, 2014 – October 2023 14
$13.6B
13 $12.6B $13.2B
Total Size (USD Billions)

All blended finance deals All 2023 deals to date


12 $11.7B
Climate blended finance deals 2023 Climate blended finance $11.4B
11 $10.5B
deals to date
140 10 $10.1B
129
9 $8.4B
120 117
$8.6B $8.0B
8 $7.7B
100 7 $7.7B
87
Deal Count

79 6
80
69 69
64 5 $5.3B
59 $5.4B $5.0B
60 54
4
$2.4B
40 3
65
20 2 $2.1B
20 40 42 46 45
34 33 39
26 1
0 11
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

2 Transactions were considered climate-focused first based on their alignment to select SDGs: SDG 2 (Zero Hunger), SDG 7 (Clean Energy), SDG 11
(Sustainable Cities), SDG 13 (Climate Action), SDG 14 (Life Below Water) and SDG 15 (Life on Land) and second, manually verified by Convergence to verify
evidence of explicit climate outcomes. SDG 2 was added as a filter to this year’s report. SDG alignment is verified and assigned to transactions in the
Historical Deals Database by Convergence while conducting deal sourcing activities. This process includes both evaluating self-assignment of SDGs to
transactions by deal sponsors and investors, as well as further research performed by Convergence.

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Despite capturing a similar deal count in 2022 focused transactions accounted for 50% or more
compared to 2021, Convergence found that total of the annual deal count.
deal volume decreased by approximately 45% in Convergence continues to research deal flow for the
2022 and about 55% in climate blended finance, current year. The preliminary totals for 2023 stand at
reaching a ten-year low in total financing. Moreover, 20 blended transactions, 11 of which incorporate a
climate blended finance transactions accounted climate focus, and aggregate financing of $2.4 billion
for under 40% of all blended finance deals in 2022, overall, with 96% or $2.3 billion directed towards
while in each of the previous five years, climate- climate blended finance.

SOURCES OF FINANCING TO CLIMATE BLENDED FINANCE


Figure 5: Sources of financing to climate blended finance deals, 2017-2022

Concessional (Non-ODA) DFI / MDB (Market Rate) ODA Private Sector Financing (Market Rate) Other Public Sector Financing
(Market Rate)
10

9 $1,381M

8 $796M $790M

$2,051M
7
USD Billions

$2,670M
6 $3,432M

$1,635M
5 $446M
$714M $486M
$108M
4
$2,032M
$1,303M $1,088M
$2,038M
3 $2,774M
$3,375M $838M
2 $553M $1,115M

$2,687M
$1,679M
1 $1,653M $1,766M $1,458M
$758M
$76M $151M $308M
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Based on investment amounts captured by in 2020-2022 from totals registered between


Convergence from 2017 to 2022, private sector 2017-2019.
investors are the main source of capital to climate Additionally, Convergence observed that financing
blended finance transactions by volume. The from the DFIs and MDBs dropped by 3% over the
private sector invested an average of $2.3 billion in two periods. An important consideration is not just
commercial capital to climate blended finance deals. the increase of financing lows but the rate of increase
This is expected given that, by definition, blended as well. Climate Policy Initiative (CPI), a donor-funded
finance transactions must include the participation advisory organization addressing global capital flows
of at least one private sector investor on market to climate finance (speaking to both emerging and
terms. However, private sector climate financing developed markets), finds that while climate financing
totals have plateaued. Aggregate financing flows has increased, the growth of private finance has
from private sector investors decreased by 45% slowed over the past couple of years.

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As shared with Convergence: In terms of concessional investment deployed to
“Private and public investment flows have mobilize commercial investment into the climate
increased. Annual climate finance flows are blended finance market, ODA3 allocated by OECD
crossing the $1 trillion mark for the first time in DAC members averaged about $1.3 billion per year
2021. But growth can no longer be incremental. from 2017-2022, while concessional investment
CPI found that climate finance increased at an from non-ODA sources (e.g., concessional
average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% per instruments from philanthropic sources and impact
year between 2011-2020, but climate finance investors) averaged $675 million per year.
must increase 20% every year to stay within Critically, the supply of concessional capital to
range of the 1.5C goal and avoid the worst climate blended finance deals has been stagnating
impacts of global warming scenario.” since 2017 (only a minor increase from $967 million
According to a recent CPI report, private finance per year between 2017-2019 to $1.08 billion 2020-
is expected to continue to grow as the 30 largest 2022) and is nowhere near the levels required to
global commercial banks have cumulatively reach key mobilization targets, such as the United
committed annual climate financing of $870 billion in Nations Conference on Trade and Development’s
2023, up from the $600 billion committed in 2021. (UNCTAD) recent estimate that $6 trillion in climate
Conversely, the recent growth seen in public finance to developing economies by 2030 is needed
financing may be moving in the opposite direction, to reach just half of their Nationally Determined
as only six of the 27 largest national and bilateral Contributions (NDCs). The OECD has noted similar
DFIs have set specific climate investment targets. trends, finding little change in the proportion of ODA
disbursement to climate-related investment since
DFIs and MDBs are also key suppliers of capital to
2017, and research by the DFI Working Group on
climate blended finance, with the vast majority of
Blended Concessional Finance notes that DFI market
investment deployed on market terms – from 2017 to
rate and concessional allocations to climate finance
2022, DFIs/MDBs supplied $2.2 billion of commercial
deals have not exhibited any real growth since 2019.
capital per year to climate blended finance deals.

A LOOK BACK AT LAST YEAR ’S REPORT


The State of Blended Finance Report for 2022
extensively explored the blended finance landscape,
with a particular thematic focus on climate-related
“...the report highlighted
investments. Notably, the report highlighted that climate-oriented
that climate-oriented investments constituted a
substantial share of blended finance commitments investments constituted
in recent years, accounting for two-thirds of such
commitments. Moreover, the report underscored a substantial share
the increasing significance private investors attribute
to climate finance, as evidenced by their growing
of blended finance
commitment to environmental, social and corporate commitments in
governance (ESG) strategies and alignment with net
zero transition objectives. Despite this mounting recent years...”
interest in climate-aligned development goals, the

3 ODA-eligible investments include: DFI / MDB concessional investments derived from donor government shareholder paid-in capital; wholly donor funded
capital pools (facilities, funds) administered by DFIs / MDBs on a concessional basis; donor government funded multilateral organizations (GuarantCo) or
investment funds / facilities investing on a concessional basis (Green Climate Fund); and direct concessional investments from donor governments to
blended finance transactions.

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report highlighted a critical challenge – the declining it highlighted increases in climate adaptation
flow of blended finance toward climate initiatives. investments, including positive growth from specific
While the private sector exhibited a heightened institutional private equity and venture capital investors.
appetite for climate-related investments, particularly While the 2022 report provided invaluable insights
those aligned with purpose, ESG, and sustainable into the overall blended finance landscape, the 2023
finance, it generally displayed a reluctance to invest report will, in addition, narrow its focus to explore
in developing countries and emerging markets. how to empower nations to navigate their unique
This is where blended finance’s role becomes developmental and climate challenges effectively.
increasingly vital as a tool to mobilize private capital In placing greater emphasis on the intricacies of
for climate opportunities in these regions. The country-level challenges and opportunities concerning
report underscored the need to increase the supply the development of country-led climate blended
of concessional capital and expand knowledge finance architectures, the 2023 edition aims to
in climate blended finance to meet the surging cast light on areas and regions ripe for growth and
demand for climate-aligned investments. Additionally, positive developments in climate blended finance.

THE MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT


Climate investment and blended finance initiatives countries. The spillover effects of interest rate hikes
navigate a complex web of challenges in the triggered significant capital outflows and currency
ever-evolving global macroeconomic landscape. depreciations across low and middle-income
These challenges, characterized by inflationary countries. As a result, balance of payment pressures
pressures, mounting debt burdens, and geopolitical and debt vulnerabilities intensified, with nearly 60
instabilities, profoundly influence the flow of percent of low-income countries already in or at
climate blended finance funds. The world, having high risk of debt distress, a stark contrast to the 22
weathered the intertwined crises of the COVID-19 countries in a similar predicament in 2015. These
pandemic, escalating geopolitical conflict, and realities, coupled with a fragile global growth outlook
natural disasters, now grapples with a stark and persistent inflation, have alarmed investors as
reversal of decades of development progress. emerging economies’ risk profiles continue to increase.
With global inflation reaching a twenty year high of The invasion of Ukraine by Russia has further
nearly nine percent in 2022, central banks initiated exacerbated conditions for investing in emerging
aggressive monetary tightening measures to curb markets. Supply chain disruptions have amplified
demand-side inflationary pressures. However, this inflationary pressures and decreased the purchasing
swift tightening has cast a shadow over developing power of investments. Short-term cost volatilities
due to the war in Ukraine have resulted in increased
energy costs, slowing down the energy transition
“The world, having weathered across Asia. This, coupled with Southeast Asia’s
the intertwined crises of abundance of coal, has contributed to continued
coal power generation. Additionally, ODA has had to
the COVID-19 pandemic, pivot toward addressing urgent humanitarian needs,
escalating geopolitical such as food security, further diverting funds away
from climate interventions. To compound these
conflict, and natural disasters, challenges, many EMDEs face the stark reality of
now grapples with a stark being highly vulnerable to climate change, enduring
threats like extreme weather events and rising sea
reversal of decades of levels that necessitate significant investments in
development progress.” climate resilience.

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Interest Rates, Currency Risk, repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, they
& Debt Servicing: find themselves compelled to allocate significant
resources to relief efforts. The result has been
Amidst these challenges, interest rate hikes in
a mounting debt burden that has increasingly
advanced economies have played a pivotal role
strained their ability to invest in climate adaptation
in directing the currents of climate blended finance.
and mitigation. This fiscal position has left
Designed to combat rising inflation, these hikes
developing economies at a crossroads as many
have rerouted cross-border capital as investors
must prioritize internal recovery or longer-term
seek more stable environments with comparable
climate change adaptation investments.
returns, diverting resources away from riskier
markets in developing economies. This shift Macroeconomic Concerns for Emerging
threatens to create liquidity crises in these Market & Developing Economies
nations, potentially endangering funding for
EMDEs are currently caught in a fiscal quagmire,
climate-related projects. This scenario exposes
forced to address multiple crises while wrestling
the vulnerability of climate finance to external
with long-term climate commitments. Achieving
monetary policy decisions, illustrating how
their climate goals, particularly those enshrined
macroeconomic developments can ripple
in the Paris Agreement, necessitates a substantial
across borders, making it more challenging
increase in capital spending. Climate mitigation
for climate finance to scale.
and adaptation efforts, which demand significant
Forex (FX) volatility is an additional hurdle financial resources, require transitioning to
that climate financiers must navigate. This low-carbon economies, fortifying climate-
phenomenon is acutely felt as the US dollar resilient infrastructure, and disseminating
appreciates relative to currencies in developing sustainable practices across sectors. Balancing
economies. Not only does borrowing in hard immediate fiscal vulnerabilities, fulfilling climate
currency become more costly, but repayment commitments, and securing funds for climate
profiles, expressed in local currency equivalents, action becomes an intricate challenge. EMDEs
become unpredictable. This, in turn, augments must secure the necessary financial resources
credit risk for climate blended finance initiatives as and manage their debt sustainably, lest they fall
the elevated risk potentially erodes project viability into a vicious cycle of weak growth, unsustainable
and increases overall investment risk. debt, and austerity.
The issue of rising debt in developing economies Although global financial conditions have eased in
has also emerged as a macroeconomic the second half of 2023, global financial stability
impediment to climate blended finance. As risks remain. The macroeconomic challenges and
these countries grapple with the economic exogenous shocks facing climate blended finance
are diverse and multifaceted and underscore
“The issue of rising debt the imperative to adopt robust risk mitigation
strategies and blended financing mechanisms
in developing economies that can respond to the realities of the current

has also emerged as macroeconomic landscape.


Blended finance has always been a tool to solve
a macroeconomic large-scale global problems. In the specific context

impediment to climate of the current macroeconomic setting, blended


finance is exceptionally apt in mitigating country
blended finance.” risk and currency risk concerns.

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Country Risk:
By employing credit enhancement instruments “...by mitigating country
like guarantees, blended finance effectively
addresses the concerns that often deter private
risk and elevating credit
investors from entering high-risk or developing ratings, blended finance
countries. Guarantees act as a protective shield
against potential losses due to factors such as enables projects in
political instability and currency devaluation. The riskier countries to align
backing of reputable DFIs or MDBs enhances
a project’s creditworthiness, attracting private with the investment
investors who may have strict investment grade
mandates. According to World Bank estimates,
grade mandates of
every $1 invested in improving creditworthiness institutional investors.”
leverages $100 of additional private sector
financing. Therefore, creditworthiness and credit Currency Risk:
enhancement should be major priorities for
Blended finance can also be a viable instrument for
stakeholders seeking to reduce borrowing costs
tackling currency risk in sustainable development
and tap into more financial resources.
and climate initiatives. Currently, the lack of a
This sort of credit enhancement approach has robust market for foreign exchange swaps makes
proven successful in several instances. For them mostly an illiquid instrument. Concessional
example, GuarantCo offers credit enhancement resources supplied by donors or development
for infrastructure projects to an acceptable level to banks could be more heavily used to buy down
enable local currency credit investors (e.g., banks the cost of illiquid exotic currencies.
and institutional investors) to extend longer-term
For example, TCX (Currency Exchange Fund) has
debt. Using this type of guarantee also allows for
become a vital source for international funders
efficient leverage of capital whereby GuarantCo
in providing cross-currency swap solutions for
can leverage 3x for each $1 of donor capital in
currency mismatches on loans to protect against
the form of guarantees. Such guarantees enhance
exchange rate fluctuations. In Myanmar, TCX uses
the credit quality of these projects, making them
blended donor funding to subsidize the interest rate
more enticing to private sector participants.
levels of local currency loans to meet the central
Relatedly, the Multilateral Investment Guarantee
bank rate regulation. TCX created a local currency
Agency (MIGA), a member of the World Bank
funding option at below-cap rates for international
Group, extends political risk insurance and credit
investors by converting a $10 million subsidy to
enhancement to global private sector investors,
catalyze $80 million of funds in local currency.
assisting them in navigating country-specific risks.
Blended finance mechanisms can effectively
Ultimately, by mitigating country risk and
lower FX volatility risks by facilitating swaps for
elevating credit ratings, blended finance enables
local currency financing.This is especially crucial
projects in riskier countries to align with the
in regions like Myanmar, where rapid currency
investment grade mandates of institutional
depreciation can erode the value of returns
investors. This influx of private capital is essential
for investors.
for accelerating climate and development
initiatives in emerging markets where financing In this tumultuous macroeconomic environment,
gaps persist. Blended finance mechanisms blended finance emerges as a highly apt tool
incorporating credit enhancements continue for mitigating country risk and currency risk
to prove their mettle in fostering sustainable concerns, thus serving as a critical instrument
development and mobilizing private sector in the pursuit of climate change mitigation and
funds to address pressing global challenges. adaptation goals.

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PART II:
DEAL
TRENDS

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PART II :
DEAL TRENDS
CLIMATE MITIGATION V. CLIMATE ADAP TATION V. HYBRID
target, this can also mean it is easier for investors
This report will explore climate blended finance to understand the impacts of their commitments.
through three lenses: Additionally, mitigation deals can be more readily
1 mitigation blended finance; linked to revenue-generating activities, making
returns on investment more apparent.
2 adaptation blended finance;
3 hybrid mitigation-adaptation blended finance.
Adaptation Blended Finance
Adaptation transactions target adjustments to the
Mitigation Blended Finance already apparent or expected consequences of
climate change, including the intensity and frequency
The goal of mitigation blended finance is to limit the
of extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and less
impacts of climate change by reducing carbon dioxide
predictable and changing crop-growing seasons.
(CO2) and other greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from
human-made sources into the atmosphere. Mitigation Adaptation blended deals have historically struggled
transactions may additionally seek to remove GHGs to attract investors, yielding only $7.5 billion in
from the atmosphere through carbon “sinks”4. aggregate financing since 2013. On average, only
approximately six adaptation deals per year have
Overall, most climate blended finance, by both
been recorded. Investors may hesitate to fund
transaction count and aggregate financing volume,
adaptation blended finance transactions because
is focused on mitigation. Since 2013, approximately
there is an ongoing perception that adaptation
58% of the annual climate deal count within the
deals are riskier and present lower financial returns.
Convergence database is exclusively focused on
Moreover, the size of the deals may be too small to
mitigation, representing more than $64.2 billion in
meet investor criteria, and timelines for investment
total mitigation finance. Blended mitigation deals
may be too long. Lastly, the lack of standardized
also tend to be the largest type, with the median
criteria could lead to difficulties in measuring the
deal size over this period being $90.9 million,
outcomes of adaptation initiatives.
versus $43.0 million for hybrid and $34.5 million
for adaptation. Moreover, blended mitigation deals Due to the hesitancy of private investors, public
have a higher leverage ratio of 6.1, compared to investors have been the primary funders of adaptation
3.9 for hybrid and 2.7 for adaptation. transactions. Within the past decade, public sector
investors have increased their commitments to focus
Mitigation transactions tend to be more attractive
specifically on adaptation financing. In 2015, for the
to investors than adaptation deals for several
first time, the Paris Agreement established a global
reasons. Generally, mitigation activities are easier
goal on adaptation, and in 2019, nine MDBs made
to define because they are linked to a reduction in
a joint commitment to double the total level of
GHG emissions. Since GHG reduction is a familiar
adaptation finance provided to clients to

4 Carbon sinks are anything that remove more carbon from the atmosphere than they release. The process by which carbon sinks remove carbon
from the atmosphere is called “carbon sequestration”. Biological carbon sinks include oceans, mangrove forests, and soil. Artificial carbon
sinks are human created sites such as landfills, or technological processes such as direct air capture of CO2 .

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$18 billion annually by 2025. Two years later, in 2021, difficult to find commercial projects in other sectors,
MDB flows of finance for adaptation surpassed where the revenue streams aren’t necessarily
their pledge to increase finance for adaptation there yet. A better understanding of adaptation
and reached $19.2 billion. investments in the energy sector can help to spur
investments in adaptation investments.”
Hybrid Mitigation-Adaptation
Hybrid, or cross-cutting blended finance
Blended Finance transactions, comprise approximately ten
Hybrid climate transactions contain elements of transactions annually since 2013. Overall, the total
both mitigation and adaptation finance. Sectors can value of hybrid transactions is $18.5 billion. Hybrid
also be considered hybrid if they seek to address transactions can occur in various sectors, including
mitigation and adaptation outcomes, such as the infrastructure, financial services, housing, and real
sustainable agriculture sector. Sustainable agriculture estate. The largest portion of hybrid deals (27%),
can benefit climate mitigation by improving soil health however, are transactions that focus on agricultural
and increasing carbon sequestration through organic inputs and farm productivity, since the characteristics
material, and climate adaptation by increasing food of this sector tend to be well-positioned to produce
security in vulnerable populations. dual mitigation-adaptation benefits.
Hybrid opportunities represent a particular opportunity For example, the Planting Climate Resilience Project
for investors to recognize the investment potential of is a $217 million project situated in the Northeast
adaptive and resilient solutions. Convergence found region of Brazil with the goal of improving smallholder
that 45% of institutional investments into climate farmer productivity on degraded agroecosystems,
finance are in hybrid solutions, compared to 35% particularly those suffering from water scarcity and
in mitigation and 20% in adaptation. As shared by drought. It aims to introduce technologies for water
Cecilia Tam, Acting Head of the Energy Investment harvesting, storage and recycling, and diversification
Unit at the IEA: strategies to strengthen rural populations’ resilience.
“There is a need to start looking at the adaptation / The project contains mitigation elements by
energy nexus, because we need to find projects that introducing low-emission technologies to increase
are commercial and near commercial. It may be farmer productivity and adaptation by focusing on
producing climate-resilient agriculture.

Figure 6: Aggregate annual financing flows to mitigation blended finance, adaptation blended finance, and hybrid blended
finance deals, 2013-October 2023

Mitigation deals Hybrid deals Adaptation deals

14 $0.2B

$1.5B
12 $2.0B

$0.4B
10
$0.2B $1.4B
8
$0.3B $1.2B $0.5B
USD Billions

$4.7B
$12.0B
6 $0.2B $0.5B $1.6B
$1.3B $0.2B
$0.9B $4.2B
4 $1.8B $8.0B $1.1B
$0.3B $8.1B
$4.9B $4.9B $0.9B
2 $3.7B $4.3B
$3.0B $3.6B
$3.0B
$0.6B
$0.6B
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

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VEHICLES
Figure 7: Number of climate blended finance transactions by vehicle type per year, 2017-2022

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

27

22 22

19 19
18
17 17

14

11 11
10 10
8
7
6
5 5 5 5
3 3 3 3
2 2
1 1

Bond / Note Company Facility Fund Project

Convergence’s database categorizes blended Project structures also account for the largest
transactions across five primary financial share of total financing volume to climate blended
vehicle types; finance, both on an absolute and proportional basis.
1 Bonds / notes (including both privately placed From 2020-2022, projects mobilized an average
issuances and listed instruments on public of approximately $4.4 billion of climate finance
exchanges) annually (funds were the second most effective
mobilizers of climate finance at about $2.1 billion).
2 Companies (i.e., direct private equity and debt
financing of businesses on both market rate Proportionally, projects received an average of
and below market rate terms) 55% of total annual climate blended finance flows
between 2020-2022, down slightly from 59%
3 Facilities5
between 2017-2019. However, it is notable that
4 Funds (i.e., limited partnership private equity projects are the only blended transaction type to
and debt funds, as well as funds-of-funds)
experience a progressive decline in their share of
5 Projects (i.e., greenfield and brownfield projects, total annual climate blended finance flows in recent
project finance and programs funded through a years, while flows to blended bonds, companies,
combination of market rate and below market and particularly funds, have remained constant. This
rate capital) is partly a product of the growing proliferation of
smaller project transactions integrating mitigation
Projects (emissions reduction) components into brownfield
Since 2017, climate blended finance has typically been projects otherwise targeting separate development
structured as greenfield and brownfield projects. Apart objectives (job creation, food security).
from 2020, project transactions have been the most Of the 123 climate blended finance projects captured
common transaction type on an annual basis over the by Convergence between 2017-2022, 94 or 77%
past six years, on average comprising 40% of climate were projects targeting purely mitigation outcomes,
blended finance deals per year. while only 7% were exclusively focused on adaptation

5 Convergence defines a blended facility as an earmarked allocation of public development resources with private capital at the vehicle level, for
deployment towards a specific recipient or intervention. This also includes risk-sharing facilities, or bilateral transactions, typically between donor or
public entities and financial intermediaries, where the concessional capital helps mitigate potential losses on underlying loans originated by the
financial institution.

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 27
Figure 8: Annual climate deal volume by vehicle type, 2017-2022 (USD Billions)

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022


$8.8

$7.5

$5.9
$5.1

$3.2
$2.6 $2.6
$2.3 $2.2
$1.8 $1.9 $2.0
$1.5 $1.6
$1.4
$0.9 $1.0 $1.0
$0.7 $0.7
$0.4 $0.4
$0.2 $0.3 $0.2
$0.1 $0.1 $0.2

Bond / Note Company Facility Fund Project

outcomes. Convergence has observed little year-on- a graduation effect. Blended structures for larger,
year change in this composition. In fact, the share of utility-scale renewable energy projects are being
adaptation blended finance projects drops to less replaced by wholly commercial financing as perceived
than 1% (2020-2022) when considering the entire and real investment risks converge. Conversely,
blended finance market. smaller projects present additional risks, like high
counterparty risk, that still necessitate blended

“Climate blended finance finance risk mitigation mechanisms. The current


macroeconomic landscape is also fuelling the decline.
projects continue to be In the rising interest rate environment, international
commercial banks, a critical provider of project
heavily oriented towards finance to blended renewable energy projects, have
renewable energy...” restricted lending operations due to their inability to
offload existing exposures without significant loss.
Climate blended finance projects continue to Finally, there has been a growing frequency of
be heavily oriented towards renewable energy, renewable energy projects in least developed
particularly, the creation of new renewable energy countries (LDCs) – 40% of energy projects in 2020-
assets. Nearly 75% of projects between 2017-2022 2022 took place in an LDC, up from 33% in 2017-
were in the renewable energy sector. While activity 2019. While these projects tend to be smaller
has remained buoyant, the size of renewable ($44.1 million median LDC transaction size vs.
energy projects has declined in recent years. Of $124.5 million median transaction size in non-
the approximately $13.1 billion channeled into LDCs), they require greater shares of concessional
climate blended finance projects between 2020- capital and capital from public investors and attract
2022, $6.9 billion (53%) went to renewable energy comparatively lower levels of investment from the
projects. This is a reduction from $13.6 billion or private sector, their need for scaled climate finance
73% of total climate blended financing between investment is arguably most urgent. The inclusion
2017-2019. Additionally, the average size of of blended finance instruments that focus on key
renewable energy projects dropped from $347 risk factors, specifically credit and political risk, such
million (2017-2019) to $171 million (2020-2022). as those offered by MIGA under the International
A confluence of factors is responsible for shrinking Development Association Private Sector Window
blended capital flows to the renewable energy sector. (IDA PSW), is vitally important to enable participation
Firstly, some segments of the sector are experiencing from private sector investors.

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 28
Funds
Blended funds for climate have declined noticeably in
recent years, comprising just 11% of climate blended
“...technical assistance
finance deals in 2022, down from 26% in 2017. The (TA) funding can
total annual aggregate value of funds has also fallen,
dropping to $1.8 billion per year between 2020-2022 enhance fund managers’
from $2.4 billion in 2017-2019. This downtrend in
activity has been experienced equally across the capacity to improve due
climate sub-themes, with mitigation, adaptation and
hybrid classified funds comprising 36%, 24% and
diligence approaches...”
40% of all climate funds from 2017-2022.
The downturn is symptomatic of the macroeconomic can enhance fund managers’ capacity to improve
factors challenging the wider investment industry. due diligence approaches for better pipeline
Preqin noted that globally, private equity, venture management. Relatedly, Clarmondial leveraged TA
capital, and, to an extent, private debt fund activity funding from the Global Environment Facility (GEF) to
reduced significantly in 2022, resulting from establish its impact monitoring and reporting system
lower company valuations and as restricted risk for its Food Securities Fund ($67.5 million). Following
appetites fuel capital flight from emerging markets. key proof-of-concept support from Convergence to
Fundraising challenges are particularly acute for stand up the fund, TA grants enhanced the fund’s
new fund managers as risk aversion among private operational viability, creating a more attractive
sector investors is concentrating capital in the hands investment for investors.
of fewer, more established fund managers. This Private equity funds have comprised a greater
trend is evident in Convergence’s historical data, share of climate blended fund activity in recent
with the median size of funds increasing to $112 years, accounting for about 55% of all climate
million in 2020-2022 from $96 million in 2017-2019, blended funds launched since 2020 (vs. 34%
despite only five funds closing in 2022. Moreover, of climate blended funds between 2017-2019).
our fundraising dataset illustrates the capital raising Conversely, the proportion of private debt funds for
challenges of the past year – only 8% of funds climate has gradually declined since 2020, making
actively looking for capital tracked since last year’s up 23% of climate blended funds on average per
report achieved a financial close. year (2020-2022) vs. 36% of climate blended funds
The role and importance of concessional capital per year between 2017-2019. Aggregate deal volume
availability are magnified in this environment, especially of private debt climate blended funds plummeted
for new fund managers. For example, TA funding even more steeply, dropping by 82% in 2020-2022

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 29
from 2017-2019 totals. On the other hand, total a progressively greater proportion of annual
investment into private equity climate blended funds blended climate financing volume since 2017 (2%
grew by 42%. It is clear that in the context of the of total climate blended finance in 2017 to 9% in
current fundraising difficulties, funds are in a state 2022), climate-focused bonds have only accounted
of transition in the climate blended finance market. for 11% of climate blended transactions per year
The spread between required returns on private on average between 2020-2022. Additionally,
equity and private debt has narrowed due to rising Convergence has not observed a secondary
interest rates and equity devaluations. However, market for blended climate bonds. All bond
as debt costs rise, private debt climate blended transactions captured in our database were
funds are exposed to increasing levels of credit risk privately placed and held to maturity for their
as default concerns grow. Together, these trends impact attribution.
may push private sector investors towards equity The past year has been turbulent for fixed-income
markets, where they can capture greater upside with instruments, especially in emerging markets.
comparable levels of risk. Company devaluations According to the World Bank Global Economic
and FX risks will also likely limit investment pipelines Prospects Report, one in four emerging market
for General Partners (GPs) in emerging markets. sovereigns has effectively been cut off from the
This volatile macroeconomic landscape underscores international bond market due to a high debt
the need for a more robust supply of concessional accumulation, high interest rates and reduced access
capital into fund structures to to credit. Likewise, Amundi and the International
1 help GPs reach financial close and Finance Corporation (IFC) noted in their Emerging
2 reduce capital costs for ultimate borrowers, Market Green Bonds report, that sovereign issuances
effectively expanding the universe of potential of Green, Social, Sustainable, and Sustainability-
investees. linked (GSSS) bonds fell by over 45% in 2022, while
corporate issuances of GSSS bonds grew by just
Figure 9: Breakdown of climate blended funds by
investment strategy, 2017-2022 6%, driven mainly by financial institutions.

Equity Debt Mixed Despite these recent downward trends, sovereign


and corporate blended bonds have significant
2017 7% 48% 46% mobilization potential for climate blended finance.
Amundi found GSSS bonds, particularly green bonds,
2018 14% 46% 41% to be more resilient than the overall fixed-income
market and expects emerging market issuances to
2019 77% 15% 8% rebound in 2023 and 2024. Blended bonds also
present an efficient channel for institutional investors
2020 32% 34% 34% to allocate risk capital to assets that match long-term
liabilities, and according to a Bank of America study,
2021 45% 28% 27% investment-grade corporate issuances in emerging
markets yield about 60 basis points (bps) above US
2022 84% 16% corporates. When comparing corporate green bonds
to otherwise identical conventional instruments,
green bonds yielded over seven bps more in 2022
Bonds (what is referred to as a “greenium”). Institutional
As discussed in a recent report published by investors and asset managers are poised to play a
Convergence, blended bonds (sovereign and larger role in climate blended finance as restricted
corporate) have yet to gain significant traction or commercial bank balance sheets limit traditional
scale, including in the climate blended finance project finance sources and structures. Bonds are an
space. Despite blended bonds accounting for attractive vehicle to grow their participation and have

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 30
already been deployed in the blended finance market who are facing reduced growth prospects amid
for energy asset refinancing, green infrastructure mounting debt pressures (only 33% of all green
and sector-agnostic green financing. However, bonds (sovereign and corporate) issued in emerging
bonds need to scale6 to tap into this investor class. markets in 2022 were investment grade). A few
Convergence has observed that the size of climate markets in Latin America, specifically Brazil, Colombia
blended bonds is trending in the right direction – and Mexico, are showing noticeable promise for the
the median size of bonds grew to $70 million in scaled use of blended climate bonds, including local
2020-2022 from $46.5 million in 2017-2019. currency bonds. Early efforts to control inflation
Secondly, climate blended bonds can provide the are now paying off as select markets offer yields
requisite credit risk mitigation to speculative rated exceeding many developed markets, backed by
bonds to secure institutional investor investment high rates and stable currencies. Emerging Asia
while also delivering cost of capital relief for (excl. China) is also a leader in GSSS issuance,
borrowers7. This is particularly important for accounting for over $330 billion in cumulative
lower-income countries (CCC rating and lower), outstanding issuances in mid-2022.

REGIONS & COUNTRIES


Climate blended finance transactions have been former three years and 75 in the latter. Additionally,
concentrated in SSA (48% of transactions between there was a decrease in the proportion of deals
2020-2022), followed by Latin America and the targeting East Asia and the Pacific, from 20% in 2017-
Caribbean, which accounts for 24% of climate blended 2019 to 13% in 2020-2022.
finance deals. According to the Convergence database, Convergence data further suggests the volume of
the geographic spread of climate finance transactions climate blended finance flows across regions does
in the blended finance market has changed slightly in not perfectly mirror transaction distribution, with the
the three preceding years (2017-2019). In particular, largest volume of financing from 2020-2022 flowing to
the proportion of transactions that were focused in Latin America and the Caribbean. Two large deals
SSA grew 14 percentage points between 2017-2019 drive this. One is PUMA II, a $2.1 billion project led by
and 2020-2022. This represents an absolute increase Klabin S.A. to grow its existing pulp and paper
of nearly 90%, with 40 deals targeting the region in the

Figure 10: Proportion of climate blended finance deals by regional breakdown, 2017-2022
48%
2017-2019 2020-2022

34%

23% 24%
20%
13% 14% 14%
11%
6% 4% 5%
4% 4%

East Asia & Europe & Global Latin America & Middle East & South Asia Sub-Saharan
the Pacific Central Asia the Caribbean North Africa Africa

6 Many large-scale private sector investors are governed by liquidity requirements that prevent investment in publicly listed securities below a
$250 million threshold.

7 Prior to 2013, bond guarantees could “uplift” the issuance credit rating, even above the sovereign rating ceiling. Following regulatory changes in 2013,
credit uplifts are only tenable through full (100%) bond guarantees. However, blended finance tools including concessional partial guarantees,
concessionally funded debt service reserve accounts or subordinated concessional notes can in effect improve the credit outlook of an issuance and
aligned it with investment grade characteristics.

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 31
manufacturing facility using equipment to reduce the Figure 11: Volume of climate blended finance by region,
company’s environmental impact. The second is a 2020-2022

$1.2 billion project, sponsored by Lenzing AG, that 12 East Asia & the Pacific
$0.4B Europe & Central Asia
involves the construction of LD Celulose, a greenfield 11 $1.3B Global
dissolving wood pulp plant located in Minas Gerais, Latin America
10 $1.3B & the Caribbean
Brazil. Middle East &
9 North Africa
$0.7B
Meanwhile, transactions in SSA tend to be more $0.2B $2.8B South Asia
8 Sub-Saharan Africa
frequent but smaller, with the largest transaction
7

USD Billions
captured between 2020-2022 being the $750 million
Bumbuna II hydropower project, sponsored by 6 $2.3B
$5.0B
Blue International and located on the Seli River in 5
$0.6B
northern Sierra Leone. 4 $1.8B
$0.4B

Over the past three years, aggregate blended 3 $0.9B


$0.7B
finance flows toward climate peaked in 2021 before 2
$0.1B

declining in 2022. In 2022, only East Asia and the $1.9B


1 $2.4B $3.8B
Pacific, and South Asia saw an increase in the
0 $0.5B
volume of climate blended finance. Despite this 2020 2021 2022
increase in South Asia, overall, it was one of the
regions with the lowest volumes of financing flow ETMs, as envisioned, will be country-level blended
towards transactions ($2.9 billion from 2020-2022), finance facilities used to acquire coal power assets
along with Europe and Central Asia ($2 billion) and and retire them earlier than the plant’s previously
Middle East and North Africa ($700 million). expected lifetime, while providing enough time to
build up renewables that support a transition. Sellers

“Southeast Asia & South of coal-fired assets use funds from their sales to
invest in the transition, while a complementary clean

Asia will be increasingly energy facility supports renewable energy deployment.


Blended finance can be used to help structure asset
important regions in the transfers and provide financial incentives to asset
owners to phase out the plant early. In this way,
fight against climate blended finance is needed to ensure that the asset
owner has the revenue stream that will allow them to
change, given their offset the losses that come from bringing down a coal

dependence on coal…” plant early. This is particularly important in countries


such as Indonesia, where the devaluation of public
assets is illegal. While still in its early days, ADB is
currently piloting ETMs in Indonesia, the Philippines,
Southeast Asia and South Asia will be increasingly
Vietnam, Pakistan, and Kazakhstan.
important regions in the fight against climate
change, given their dependence on coal; coal plants When looking at the volume of climate financing
in Asia and the Pacific account for one-fifth of global overall, CPI shared their most recent estimates
emissions and the dependency on the commodity is indicating the majority of climate finance is
expected to continue. The challenge is acute, given concentrated in North America, Western Europe, and
that coal plants are relatively young and heavily East Asia and the Pacific, primarily China. In 2021 and
owned by state-owned enterprises. Here blended 2022, most of this (more than 80%) was spent
finance has a potentially significant application in the domestically, highlighting the importance of
early retirement of coal using Energy Transmission a domestic enabling environment where investors
Mechanisms (ETMs), as championed by the Asian perceive higher certainty. The differences in findings
Development Bank (ADB). from the HDD can be partially attributed to the focus

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 32
of each data set. CPI attempts to capture all forms Figure 12: Number of climate blended finance transactions
of climate finance transactions, including those by country recipient, 2020-2022

without a concessional element, unlike the HDD, 14 13 12


which requires transactions to contain concessional Kenya Nigeria India

finance. Many of these non-concessional


transactions are found within China, especially
those that are led by state-owned enterprises.
The most frequently targeted countries by climate
blended finance transactions over the past three
10 6 6
years have been Kenya (14 transactions), Nigeria Brazil Cote d’Ivoire Rwanda
(13), India (12), Brazil (10) and Colombia (9). From
an aggregate financing lens, the largest financing 9
Colombia
flows between 2020-2022 have targeted Brazil
($4.7 billion), followed by India ($2.2 billion). Brazil 6
Vietnam
been home to several large-scale transactions 7
Ghana
launched since 2020, including the previously 5
Indonesia
mentioned LD Cellulose facility ($1.2 billion) and
the PUMA II project ($2.1 billion). Likewise, India
has benefited from the Green Growth Equity the UK, are relying on tools such as guarantees
Fund ($741 million), a fund that allocates capital to to mobilize funding from MDBs into Ukraine.
environmentally conscious enterprises in India with Increasing the use of climate blended finance could
a focus on renewable energy, resource efficiency, continue to mobilize part of this necessary funding.
e-mobility, and energy services; and Axis Bank
Across all regions from 2020-2022, apart from
($400 million), a financial institution that secured
transactions that are multi-region in nature, climate
funding to help grow its lending exposure to the
mitigation is the primary focus of climate blended
e-mobility sector in India.
finance transactions. Multi-region transactions
There are three recorded climate blended focus on mitigation transactions (43%) and hybrid
finance transactions in Ukraine. The country has transactions (43%). Besides multi-region transactions,
recently emerged as a potential hub for green-led the regions where there has been a stronger
reconstruction efforts, with government officials adaptation focus include Europe and Central Asia
campaigning for financing to become a world leader (30%), East Asia and the Pacific (14%) and South Asia
in low-carbon steel and renewable energy. It is (14%). The Middle East and North Africa had six
estimated that Ukraine would need $200 billion of recorded deals from 2020-2022, all of which were
investment to achieve this goal. Countries, including mitigation transactions.

Figure 13: Proportion of climate blended finance transactions across regions by climate sub-theme, 2020-2022

Mitigation Hybrid Adaptation

East Asia & the Pacific 48% 38% 14%


Europe & Central Asia 50% 20% 30%
Global 43% 14% 43%
Latin America & the Caribbean 62% 30% 8%
Middle East & North Africa 100%
South Asia 50% 36% 14%
Sub-Saharan Africa 48% 39% 13%

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 33
INCOME LEVELS
Figure 14: Proportion of climate blended finance decade and experienced an absolute decline in total
transactions by country income level, 2020-2022 investment in 2022.
High Income Low Income
Lower-Middle Income Upper-Middle Income
Overall, low-income countries have experienced a
59% low level of investor support, accounting for just 3%
53% of total climate blended financing ($137 million) in
2022 while representing 21% of the deal count in
36% the same year. CPI found that regions where the
30% 30%
25% majority of low- and middle-income countries are
22% 20%
18% located received less than 25% of climate finance
flows. This is despite LDCs having experienced the
4%
0% 2% worst impacts of the climate crisis. Over the last 50
2020 2021 2022 years, 69% of worldwide deaths caused by climate-
related disasters occurred in LDCs.
In each of the past three years, the largest portion
One initiative launched in 2021 that grapples with
of climate blended finance transactions have
the financing gap in LDCs and developing countries
targeted middle-income countries. Lower-middle-
is JETPs. The JETP approach is to create a financing
income countries tend to appear in our data
cooperation mechanism to support a selection of
with the greatest frequency, representing 59%
heavily coal-dependent economies as they move
of transactions in 2022 vs. 18% of transactions
away from coal production and consumption, while
in upper-middle-income countries. Aggregate
addressing the social consequences involved. Later
financing volumes in 2022 are relatively outsized
in this report, we will provide a more detailed analysis
for both; the former represents approximately
of country platform financing for JETPs. The Green
73% of total financing volume, while the latter
Climate Fund (GCF) has created a Global Sub-national
accounts for approximately 22%. Transactions
Climate Fund (SnCF), which aims to catalyze long-
in upper-middle-income countries tend to be
term public and private investment for mitigation
larger, averaging a total size of $203 million from
and adaptation projects at a sub-national level in
2020-2022, compared to $123 million in lower-
developing countries, of which approximately one-
middle-income countries. The Global Infrastructure
third are LDCs and SIDS. The SnCF consortium
Hub (GI Hub), a G20 organization delivering data
consists of private, public, and philanthropic
and intelligence on global infrastructure investing
organizations, including Pegasus Capital Advisors,
flows, capture infrastructure investments across
L.P., International Union for the Conservation of
all markets, including high-income countries, and
find different trends when it comes to infrastructure
Figure 15: 9
development. Preliminary data from GI Hub’s Climate blended
8 $2.4B
forthcoming Infrastructure Monitor Report 2023 finance volume
shows that the majority of private investment into breakdown by 7
$0.2B
recipient country
infrastructure is allocated to projects in high-income 6 $0.5B
income-level,
markets. While investment flows to middle income 2020-2022 5 $1.8B
$0.1B
$4.1B $0.1B
countries grew in the past year, investment into High Income 4
these markets has remained volatile over the past Low Income
Lower-Middle Income 3 $3.6B
decade, with the aggregate annual financing gap
Upper-Middle Income
between middle income and high income countries 2 $4.0B
$2.6B
expanding since 2020. Meanwhile, low-income 1
countries have accounted for a small fraction of $1.1B
0
total private infrastructure investment over the past 2020 2021 2022

C O N V E R G E N C E S TAT E O F B L E N D E D F I N A N C E 2 0 2 3 PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 34


Nature (IUCN), R20: Regions of Climate Action, Gold include high transportation and energy costs and
Standard, and BNP Paribas. The Fund will commit limited capacity to raise domestic resources. The
$150 million in concessional equity investments, Climate Funds Update found that overall, the majority
agreeing to a first-loss position, with the aim of of funding for SIDS from multilateral climate funds
mobilizing additional equity contributions of has been grant-based (87%), with concessional loans
$600-$750 million from private investors. and guarantees being a much smaller proportion
LDCs are also active actors in closing this financing of total funding (13%). In response to the unique
gap. For example, 48 developing countries have challenges facing SIDS, the majority of climate
submitted National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) to blended finance has focused on adaptation deals:
date. NAPs are country-level strategies intended to a total of $1.3 billion, or 57% of climate finance
reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change in SIDS relates to adaptation transactions, while
and facilitate the integration of climate change 20% relates to mitigation.
adaptation. Another way LDCs are active participants
is by creating national and local green banks to Figure 16:
LDC climate $0.1B
further crowd in private capital. One example of this blended finance
is in Rwanda. The Rwanda Green Fund (FONERWA) is volume, 2020-2022 $0.6B
working with the Rwanda Development Bank (BRD) to Adaptation
set up a facility called the Rwanda Green Investment Hybrid
Mitigation
Facility (RGIF). The purpose of the RGIF is to support
the country in meeting its climate goals by using
blended finance to leverage private investment.
$2.5B
SIDS are a particularly vulnerable group of countries $0.2B
to climate change impacts. Of the 38 countries $0.1B
classified as SIDS, most are middle-income.
$1.1B
However their economies are often small and gross $0.8B
national income varies widely. Nine of the SIDS are
categorized as LDCs. Challenges related to SIDS 2020 2021 2022

RECIPIENTS
The bulk of climate blended finance capital is In addition, impact-first investors are drawn in by
directed toward corporations and project developers. these businesses’ capacity to affect meaningful
The feasibility and scalability of renewable energy change on a larger scale.
projects in developing countries have historically There has been an increase in investments
driven this trend. In recent years, Convergence has directed towards microfinance and financial
found project developer and corporation recipients institutions. These investments typically aim
encompass a large diversity of sectors, including to improve an institution’s capacity to offer
agriculture, conservation finance, and infrastructure. affordable climate-focused credit, savings,
Another notable trend has been the increased insurance, and other financial services to a
allocation of blended finance towards the “missing broader client base. Often bound by robust
middle” 8, and a corresponding decline in support for regulations, financial institutions are perceived
entrepreneurs and small enterprises. This growing as credible, lower-risk borrowers, making them
preference for financing the “missing middle” is likely attractive investment partners, especially for new
driven by investors’ preference for established entrants into the climate blended finance space.
business models and reliable revenue streams.

8 “Missing Middle” or Small and Growing Businesses (SGBs) are commercially viable firms with growth potential. Yet, they typically encounter fundraising
challenges because they are too big for microfinance, too small or high-risk for traditional banks, and could be unsuitable for venture capitalists.

PA R T I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 35
Figure 17: Direct recipients of climate finance blended finance transactions, 2017-2022 2017-2019 2020-2022

81%
73%

18% 19%
6% 13% 13%
7% 7%
3%
Corporates / Project The “Missing Middle” Entrepreneurs / Small Microfinance Financial
Developers Enterprises Institutions Institutions

Climate blended finance deals often produce witness rural and smallholder farmers consistently
wide-reaching benefits that impact the population. being the end beneficiary of around 30% of
Naturally, the central development benefits of climate-focused blended finance transactions.
increasing the installed capacity of renewable energy Moreover, women generally bear a disproportionate
include both improved access to reliable sources of burden of the impacts of climate change because
electricity for connected households and a reduction of deeply entrenched gender norms, roles, and
in GHG emissions compared to conventional thermal vulnerabilities. From 2020 to 2022, the proportion
power plants. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize of climate blended finance deals explicitly targeting
that the distribution and magnitude of climate women doubled to 19% from 2017-2019. These deals
impacts vary based on geographic and demographic are primarily focused on enhancing women’s access
factors. Climate finance is particularly significant to financial services, restructuring value chains to be
for rural and smallholder farmers, considering more inclusive, and setting employment targets for
these groups are often at the forefront of climate women. This trend indicates increasing involvement
change’s adverse effects due to their dependence of women not merely as beneficiaries but as active
on agriculture and natural resources for their participants and leaders in climate finance initiatives.
livelihoods. In this context, it is encouraging to

Figure 18: End recipients of climate blended finance transactions, 2017-2022 2017-2019 2020-2022

71%
65%

46%

31% 29%
26%
19%
9% 8% 10%

General Population Low-Income / Rural & Smallholder Women Entrepreneurs /


Base of the Pyramid Farmers Small Enterprises

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SDG ALIGNMENT
According to the SDG Progress Report, only 12% climate deals since 2020 have targeted SDG 8
of the SDG targets are making the desired progress. (Decent Work and Economic Growth), and over a
In comparison more than 30% of the SDGs have quarter (27%) have focused on SDG 9 (Industry,
either hit a standstill or experienced regression. In Innovation & Infrastructure). Additionally, the data
this context, realizing the 2030 Agenda and the Paris indicates significant progress with respect to SDG
Agreement requires integrated approaches between 5 (Gender Equality), with 21% of deals addressing
the SDGs. Convergence’s data shows that between this goal - up from 16% in the previous year’s report.
2020-2022 investment into climate-focused projects More specifically, Convergence found that 19% of
not only bolsters environmental initiatives but can climate blended finance deals launched since 2020
also address multiple development challenges incorporated a gender lens in some form. However,
concurrently. On average, each transaction has transactions exclusively focused on the gender-
consistently targeted four distinct SDGs during climate nexus remain rare – only 5% of climate
this time period. The majority of transactions (56%) blended finance deals launched since 2020 were
are focused on SDG 7 (Affordable & Clean Energy), considered to have a comprehensive focus on gender
while 32% of deals target SDG 13 (Climate Action), and the empowerment of women or girls.
which encompasses initiatives with adaptation The proportion of deals supporting SDG 1 (No
components. This is evidence of increased Poverty), SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities), and SDG
private sector investment in climate adaptation 3 (Good Health and Well-being) has remained
via blended finance structures, relatively low. This finding is concerning, given that
In addition to driving climate focused SDGs, climate inclusive climate finance is essential for safeguarding
blended finance transactions can contribute vulnerable populations against the impacts of
towards realizing economic and social SDGs. climate change. The underfunding of these SDGs
Convergence finds that over half (54%) of blended signals a misalignment between financial flows and

Figure 19: SDG alignment, proportion of climate blended Figure 20: Total financing mobilized towards the SDGs by
finance transactions by SDG, 2020-2022 climate blended finance transactions, 2020-2022

Climate focused SDG

1: No Poverty 17% $3.1B


2: Zero Hunger 26% $3.6B
3: Good Health & Well Being 1% $0.8B
4: Quality Education 2% $0.0B
5: Gender Equality 21% $3.5B
6: Clean Water & Sanitation 3% $1.8B
7: Affordable & Clean Energy 56% $15.0B
8: Decent Work & Economic Growth 54% $12.4B
9: Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure 27% $10.9B
10: Reduced Inequalities 9% $1.4B
11: Sustainable Cities 17% $4.0B
12: Responsible Consumption 13% $5.3B
13: Climate Action 32% $11.2B
14: Life Below Water 4% $1.7B
15: Life on Land 7% $2.6B
16: Peace, Justice & Strong Institutions 0% $0B
17: Partnerships for the Goals 100% $24.2B

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the principles of a just transition, which emphasizes is also crucial in accelerating the entry of institutional
equitable and inclusive approaches to climate action. investors and galvanizing investor action, which can
However, blended finance offers a pathway to address propel progress toward a just transition. The Impact
this problem. The participation of donor parties in Investing Institute (III) has developed criteria to help
blended finance deals can be a gateway to emphasize ensure that fund managers align their investments
the additional development impacts that these deals with the just transition.
can provide beyond climate outcomes. This approach

ARCHET YPES & INSTRUMENTS


Convergence categorizes blended finance transactions into four commonly used archetypes:
1 Public and/or philanthropic investors providing 3 Project design, preparation, and structuring
capital on below-market terms into a transaction’s activities being grant-funded to ensure and
capital stack, thereby enhancing its credit profile accelerate transaction launch (i.e., “design-
or adding loss protection to the benefit of more stage grants”).
senior investors (typically called “concessional 4 A transaction being linked with a grant-funded
debt or equity”, or grant funding). TA facility used to finance pre-investment
2 Public and/ or philanthropic investors extending (business design), post-investment (personnel
partial or full guarantees or insurance instruments training), and cost-of-investment (legal
on below-market terms to enhance the credit structuring fees)
profile of a transaction and/or mitigate specific
risks (i.e., currency risk, political risk).

Figure 21: Proportion of Climate blended finance transactions by blending archetype, 2017-2022
93% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
82%
75% 77%
70% 71%

37% 35% 37% 37%


25% 21% 25% 24% 21%
16%
10% 11% 11% 13% 17% 15%
5% 2%

Concessional Capital Design-Stage Grant Guarantee / Risk Insurance Technical Assistance Funds

The predominant archetype of blended climate that prioritize sustainable practices, successfully
finance continues to be concessional debt/ achieved a total size of $120 million with the
equity, evident in 77% of climate blended finance concessional support of the Packard Foundation
transactions in 2022. Senior debt is the most and the Australian Climate Finance Partnership.
commonly used concessional instrument at 42%, Convergence has long advocated for this kind of
followed by subordinate debt at 30% - as shown in simplification, as it helps enhance the accessibility
Figure 19. Blended climate finance has traditionally of blended finance for private investors.
leveraged concessional capital alongside various As previously mentioned, increased use of currency
financial instruments. However, recent deals are swaps can help address the credit concerns
simplifying, using fewer concessional tools to attract presented by FX volatility common in emerging
private investment. For example, the Tropical Asia markets. For example, the TCX - The Currency
Forest Fund 2 (TAFF2), a private equity fund focused Exchange Fund hedges exchange rate risk in order
on investing in forestry and related companies

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Figure 22: Proportion of climate blended finance transactions by concessional instrument, 2017-2022

Senior Debt 42%


Subordinate Debt 30%
Partial Guarantee 14%
First-loss Equity 14%
First-loss Debt 7%
Junior Equity 7%
Senior Equity 4%
Mezzanine 1%
Full Guarantee 1%

to protect international lenders and their local risk factors that exceed private sector investor
borrowers from exchange rate volatility. According risk thresholds and which would otherwise
to TCX’s 2022 Impact Report, the fund mitigated prevent investment. For instance, Kube Energy, a
risks for $1.38 billion of new development finance renewable energy service provider that primarily
loans to emerging and frontier markets across operates in Africa, received a $5.67 million
428 transactions and 43 currencies last year. concessional guarantee from MIGA to cover its
Nevertheless, few currency swap providers are debt and equity investment in a hybrid solar
on the market despite significant demand for power plant being established in Baidoa, Somalia.
concessional resources that could be used to This guarantee offered protection against the
subsidize the cost of swaps of illiquid or risks of expropriation, war, and civil disturbance.
high-risk currencies. Moreover, as highlighted in the Action Plan for
TA funds are another prominent instrument used Climate and SDG Investment Mobilization, these
in blended finance transactions. These funds measures help mobilize capital, given that the
can be deployed pre-investment (e.g., to develop political risk index of a country is a fundamental
pipeline), during investment (e.g., reforms), or consideration for many private investors.
post-investment (e.g., operational support). Figure 23: Proportion of climate blended finance transactions
The aforementioned (TAFF2) and Forestry and by blending archetype and climate sub-theme, 2017-2022.
Climate Change Fund (FCCF) reports recently Hybrid Adaptation Mitigation
published by Convergence with support from
the Good Energies Foundation highlight the 74%
role that pre-investment TA funds can play in Concessional
Capital
72%
building a climate-focused fund’s pipeline prior to
79%
dispersing capital. Figure 20 demonstrates that
TA has been particularly common in adaptation 9%
deals (40% feature TA). This trend is likely driven Design-Stage
Grant
17%
by the perception that adaptation deals are more 13%
risky because their track records are unproven,
24%
revenue streams are untraditional, and ideas Guarantee /
are innovative. Therefore, TA is useful because it Risk 16%
Insurance
helps build investees capacity to enhance their 29%
attractiveness and stability.
35%
Technical
Concessional guarantees and risk insurance Assistance 40%
Funds
featured in 21% of deals in 2022. Guarantees 23%
typically target specific political or commercial

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A recent evaluation of the Swedish International credit guarantee for foreign debt could likely
Development Agency’s (Sida) portfolio by Convergence reduce the delivered cost of capital by about 4-9%
found that the agency’s guarantee instrument in many developing economies. Such a reduction
advances development through four distinct avenues: could significantly expand the countries of
1 producing development impact through potential interest to private investors, particularly
an identifiable theory of change aimed at in Africa. For maximizing leverage, such a facility
poverty alleviation; could be capitalized using a “hybrid” structure
where expected losses (at about 7%) are fully
2 mobilizing private capital while avoiding negative
market distortion; funded and unexpected losses (low probability
tail risk) rely on callable capital. Such funds could,
3 creating value through policy and regulatory
but need not, utilize the callable capital already
changes to improve the capacity of domestic
available with some MDBs.”
markets and local institutions; and
4 innovating mechanisms to use guarantees Design-stage grants have historically been
to promote clean energy production and instrumental in structuring blended finance
climate solutions. transactions, as they establish a pipeline of
thoroughly assessed and bankable projects in
Despite concessional guarantees’ catalytic and
developing countries. Convergence has hosted
developmental potential, few providers are in
various climate-related design-funding grant
the market. Since 2017, the primary providers
windows, including the Catalytic Climate Finance
of concessional guarantees for climate-related
Facility (CCFF, in partnership with CPI), the Asia
transactions have been GuarantCo, IFC, World Bank,
Climate Solutions Design Grant, the Gender-
and the United States Agency for International
Responsive Climate Finance Window, and the now-
Development (USAID). Apart from GuarantCo,
closed Indo-Pacific Design Funding and Asia Natural
guarantees only make up a small fraction of the
Capital Design Funding Windows. Nevertheless,
instruments these institutions deploy and are
design-stage grants are used less frequently in
typically only extended on an ad-hoc basis.
climate blended finance transactions than other
CPI recently highlighted the need for a Global Credit instruments. In 2022, climate blended finance deals
Guarantee Facility (GCGF) to help lower credit risk with design-stage grant support accounted for just
in EMDEs and scale renewable energy investment. 2% of climate deals, falling from 10.5% recognized
Kushagra Gautam, Manager for US-India Clean between 2018 and 2020. This is partly related to
Energy Finance (USICEF) at CPI, shares the the time lag between the issuance of grants at the
rationale for a GCGF below: design stage and the actual launch of transactions
“The idea of a Global Credit Guarantee Fund evolved supported by those grants (Convergence only counts
from CPI’s work with the International Solar Alliance the latter as blended finance transactions).
to better understand investment risk and the Moreover, this time lag has likely been exacerbated by
delivered cost of capital for solar energy development the recent reduction in venture capital activity. Venture
– which is a proxy for all renewables in this context. capital is pivotal in the financial ecosystem, especially for
CPI is increasingly investigating how guarantees startups and innovative projects that might be deemed
could be used to mobilize private capital. too risky for other investors. With fewer venture capital
In line with this comes the question of how much firms actively investing due to risky macroeconomic
and what type of public finance is needed to conditions, projects that have received design funding
mobilize private capital. Building on some of CPI’s grants may face additional hurdles in securing necessary
work on MDB reform, we believe that a partial follow-on private investment.

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PART III:
INVESTOR
TRENDS
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PART III :
INVESTOR TRENDS
To date, Convergence has captured 3324 unique Figure 24: Frequency of investment into climate blended
finance transactions (all investor types) by proportion of
commitments to climate blended finance, disbursed
total investors
from over 1000 distinct investors. More than half
(52%) of these investments occurred since 2017,
signaling an increased appetite among investors in 10%
blended finance transactions for investments that 4 - 10
Investments
are climate sensitive.
Convergence has observed little variation in the
frequency in which individual investors participate
64%
1 Investment 7%
in climate blended finance from last year’s report. 3 Investments
Participation in climate blended finance remains ad
hoc, especially among private sector investors, with
more than 75% of investors making two or fewer
commitments to transactions. Programmatic or 14%
carved-out mandates for climate blended finance 2 Investments
5%
investment continue to be confined to the public Over 10
Investments
investor class, and primarily DFIs and MDBs.

OVERALL LANDSCAPE
Figure 25: Breakdown investors. We have witnessed marginal shifts in the
of commitments to sources of these investments, with development
climate blended finance 33% 36% agencies comprising a growing share of public
transactions by investor
class, proportion of total sector commitments in recent years (49% of public
commitments, 2017-2022 sector commitments in 2020-2022 vs. 44% in 2017-
Commercial Investor
23% 2019). The proportion of DFI/MDB investment has
25%
Development Agency decreased correspondingly (56% of public sector
DFI/MDB
commitments 2017-2019 vs. 51% 2020-2022).
Foundation / NGO
29%
Impact Investor 26% In terms of financing volume, public-sector
investors have far outpaced private-sector
6% 5% investors in recent years. Since 2017, public sector
9% 7%
investors have provided an annual average of $2.35
2017-2019 2020-2022
billion more than the private sector9. Public sector
financing volume is driven by the DFIs/MDBs, with
Just over half of the commitments to climate blended
median investment size growing from $10 million
finance transactions captured by Convergence
in 2020 to $19.1 million in 2022. Convergence
between 2020-2022 have come from public sector

9 These totals are affected by Convergence’s ability to ascertain investment amounts from public and confidential sources. Private sector investors tend to
disclose fewer investment details than public sector counterparts. However, while this may impact the accuracy of Convergence’s database investment
totals, we believe the relative distribution of capital sources to be accurate.

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Figure 26: Aggregate annual financing by investor sector. 2023 totals are forecasted estimates.
$6,825
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

$5,366 $5,411

$4,809

$3,774
$3,272
$2894 $2,911
$2,651
$2,367
$2,101
$1,568 $1,594
$1,290

$17 $52 $30 $64 $41 $60 $41

Philanthropic Private Public

forecasts both private and public sector financing provided 73% of concessional investments to
flows to climate blended finance to grow in 2023 adaptation transactions, a significant increase
to $2.1 billion and $4.8 billion, respectively. from 2017-2019 (47%). Comparatively, DFIs/MDBs
To achieve a net zero scenario, it is critical that only provided 9% of concessional commitments to
private sector financing grows both in relative adaptation deals in 2020-2022, down markedly from
and absolute terms compared to public sources. 22% in 2017-2019.
Similar findings to Convergence are echoed by CPI, Finally, philanthropic investors have focused much of
who shared: their concessional investment into deals with some
“We are seeing the growth rate of public climate degree of intentionality for adaptation outcomes
finance is faster (9.6%) than the private sector (15% of all concessional investments in 2020-
(4.8%), but we should be seeing more growth 2022 into adaptation and hybrid deals vs. 6% into
from the private sector. The IEA estimates that by mitigation deals).
2030 private financing should account for 65% of All investor classes have been primarily focused on
finance needed in clean energy to achieve a net mitigation blended finance transactions in recent
zero scenario, and 35% from the public sector. years. Nearly two-thirds of DFI/MDB commitments
Currently, public climate finance makes up 50% of have gone towards mitigation blended finance,
climate finance. We need to use public finance more making them the investor class most heavily
strategically to mobilize significantly more sums of
Figure 27: Breakdown of 3% 3%
private finance, both domestic and international.”
concessional commitments
by investor class,proportion
Development agencies are increasingly the primary of total concessional
suppliers of concessional capital to climate commitments, 2017-2022 56%
67%
blended finance deals (56% in 2017-2019 to 67% Commercial Investor
in 2020-2022), while DFIs/MDBs more frequently Development Agency
participate on a commercial basis (proportion of DFI/MDB

all concessional investments fell to 18% in 2020- Foundation / NGO


26%
Impact Investor
2022 from 26% in 2017-2019). When isolating for 18%
adaptation blended finance deals, development 11% 10%
agencies are even more relied upon for risk-bearing 4% 2%
capital. From 2020-2022, development agencies 2017-2019 2020-2022

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skewed towards mitigation outcomes and least are the only investor class with more than 50% of
engaged in adaptation blended finance (9% of investments directed towards transactions that have
commitments). There is evidence of DFIs / MDBs integrated at least some degree of an adaptation
adopting market proving strategies, which could be focus (adaptation + hybrid deals).
particularly developed than traditional mitigation-
Figure 28: Proportion of commitments by climate
focused transactions. As explained by IDB Invest,
sub-theme, 2020-2022
social and climate externalities can and should be
Mitigation Hybrid Adaptation
prioritized in blended finance alongside building
scaled investment. This includes having MDBs
Commercial Investor 56% 33% 11%
participate in smaller, riskier transactions to
instigate knowledge “spillover” to other investors. Development Agency 58% 25% 17%
While this is a critical concept, we are yet to
see substantial uptake in the climate blended DFI / MDB 64% 28% 9%

finance space.
Foundation / NGO 43% 34% 23%
As alluded to earlier, foundations are taking on a
central role in adaptation blended finance. They Impact Investor 56% 23% 21%

PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTORS


Figure 29: Annual captured financing totals, by commercial investor sub-type, 2017-2022
$857
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

$722
$690

$409
$362 $370 $370
$356 $354
$326

$236 $234
$206
$181

$130
$86
$73
$55
$25 $20 $30
$1 $3 $2 $7 $1 $10 $9

Asset Manager Corporate Financial Institutional Private Equity /


Institution Investor Venture Capital Firm

Since 2017, Convergence has captured $12.9 billion global investment activity during the early stages
of investment committed to climate blended finance of the COVID-19 pandemic – apart from financial
transactions by commercial (private sector) investors. institutions, all commercial investor classes registered
Financing flows from commercial investors have drops in the number of commitments to and total
declined in recent years, from $7.13 billion between capital invested in climate blended finance deals in
2017-2019 to $5.87 billion in 2020-2022. The drop 2020. For example, investment totals from corporates
can be partially attributed to the contraction in plummeted over 90% in 2020 from 2018 amounts.

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Likewise, committed capital from institutional investments from corporates was shareholder equity
investors dropped nearly 40%. While Convergence from project sponsors into greenfield renewable
has observed a rebound in climate blended finance energy projects and greenfield green infrastructure
engagement among most investor types in 2021, projects. A new trend emerged from 2020-2022
emergent macroeconomic challenges in the second Buoyed by strong private equity and venture
half of 2022 have once again restricted investment capital markets in SSA and India, steep rises in
activity among commercial investors. equity valuations, and reduced cost of capital from
About two-thirds of private sector investments expansionary monetary policy, 2021 saw a spike in
captured by Convergence between 2017-2022 were equity investment from corporates across a greater
provided by commercial investors based in developed diversity of deal types, including companies (26% of
countries in Europe and North America. About 14% equity investment from corporates) and funds (23%).
came from developing Asia, 14% from SSA and 7%
from Latin America. Financial Institutions
Institutional investors continue to favor larger climate Financial institutions (primarily commercial banks)
blended finance transactions; the median deal size have been the second most active private sector
featuring institutional investor participation was investor type in climate blended finance since
$136 million between 2020-2022. They are followed 2017. Alongside DFIs/MDBs, commercial banks
by corporates ($110 million) and commercial banks have long been an essential supplier of loans to
($90 million). The median deal size featuring private climate blended finance; from 2017-2019, 83%
equity or venture capital firm investment significantly of commitments came in the form of senior debt.
dropped in 2020-2022, falling to $20 million from That proportion has since fallen to 66% between
$97 million in 2017-2019. 2020-2022. As Convergence recently noted, rising
interest rates to curb inflation in most developed
Corporates and developing economies meant banks were facing
a liquidity crunch. Unable to offload existing loans
Figure 30: Breakdown 5% 6% without risk of significant loss, many institutions
of private sector substantially restricted lending activities. Various
commitments by private
sector investor sub-type,
developments in the climate blended finance market
36%
proportion of total private 37% are symptomatic of this trend. Firstly, while project
sector commitments, finance debt remains the primary investment
2017-2022
structure for commercial banks in climate deals
Asset Manager (70% of loans were project finance from 2020-2022,
Corporate 33% down from 80% in 2017-2019), project financing
35%
Financial Institution volume decreased by 47%. These findings are
Institutional Investor
aligned with UNCTAD’s World Investment Report,
Private Equity /
Venture Capital Firm
15%
12% which saw the value of project finance in renewable
energy fall by 40% and green agribusiness fall by
11% 10%
46%. Secondly, Convergence did not register any
2017-2019 2020-2022 debt investment from financial institutions into
climate focused funds in 2022. This illuminates the
In recent years, corporates have been the most
fundraising struggles among private debt fund
active commercial investor class in climate blended
managers in emerging markets as commercial
finance, disbursing 89 investments or just over one-
investors scale back risk appetites. Looking
third of all private sector commitments from 2020-
forward, as rates stabilize, we expect a rebound in
2022. Corporate participation is primarily through
loan allocations to climate blended finance from
equity; 96% of corporate investments between
commercial banks, and a greater concentration
2020-2022 are equity stakes, up from 65% from
of capital in the hands of fewer, more established
2017-2019. From 2017-2019, about 60% of equity

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project developers, fund managers and companies. working together to identify where concessional
Initiatives such as the Glasgow Financial Alliance for donor funding will be most catalytic, and instances
net zero (GFANZ), which represents over 450 major where concessional funding may risk crowding
financial institutions from 45 countries who have out the private sector. For example, renewables
committed to align their balance sheets in line with a generation often does not require any concessional
1.5 degree net zero transition, are supporting country- support and are most likely to present a role for
led financing platforms (e.g., JETPs) through the use private sector investors.
of blended finance (Note: Convergence discusses As 2030 nears and financial institutions face increasing
the use of blended finance for JETPs in-depth in the pressure to meet their interim net zero goals, one
challenges section of this report). At COP27, GFANZ issue that will increasingly come to head is clarifying
committed to providing $10 billion from private the definition of transition finance and appropriate
financial institutions towards the Indonesian JETP, treatment of transition projects on the balance sheets
following the commitment of $10 billion in public of financial institutions with net zero commitments.
finance from a coalition of donor countries, including Speaking to some of the challenges, John Murton at
the US, Japan, Canada, Denmark, the EU, Germany, Standard Chartered shares:
France, Norway, Italy and the UK (referred to as Transition financing for coal decommissioning
the International Partners Group or IPG). Similarly, presents a number of challenges. Standard
GFANZ has committed to providing $7.75 billion Chartered won’t finance new coal power plants and
in private finance in support of the Vietnam JETP. is rapidly reducing our coal exposure. But early coal
GFANZ has established a Working Group to support retirement will likely involve refinancing a coal-fired
in-country JETP partners in identifying opportunities power plant in order to make the economics of early
for private investment and reforms needed to closure work. This may give the appearance of the
address investment barriers. Importantly, GFANZ has Bank increasing its exposure to coal whilst in fact it
recognized that blended finance and public sector would be enabling accelerated coal phaseout.”
support should only be deployed in specific instances
where necessary in JETP countries. GFANZ’s Country
Platform Statement stresses the importance of
country platform participants and the private sector

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VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with Alexander Kennedy, Head, Sustainable Finance Solutions,
Standard Chartered

How do concessional facilities fit free. Since we were applying the same concessional
within Standard Chartered’s strategic rate across the board, it had a disproportionate
effect for our smaller clients, which was intentional.
approach to tackling climate change?
We also wanted to be able to disperse as many
Concessional capital provision isn’t normally loans as possible to as many clients, and prioritized
provided by banks, so it doesn’t have a place providing smaller loans to smaller clients where
within our strategic approach to tackling climate the impact would be the greatest. At a time when
change. However, in the context of the economic credit markets were drying up, being able to access
impact of the pandemic on our footprint markets financing basically for free was very impactful.
in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East, we considered
We were keen to provide capital as quickly as we
what we as a bank could do to help and saw that
could. And, while there was a stipulation in our
the provision of cheap capital was what was most
financing that clients would provide us with up-to-
needed. We pledged that we would provide $1
date impact reports every year, the methodology
billion of financing at not-for-profit rates to clients
for obtaining that data needed improvement.
within our footprint. That is like putting blended
When it came to year end, we were receiving
finance on its head, as normally banks have the
impact reports in different shapes, formats, and
commercial capital and are looking for concessional
sizes that weren’t comparable across clients.
capital to enter challenging markets at rates
That said, given the impact of the program in
attractive to borrowers. Instead, the Bank ended
responding to the pandemic, we would look to
up being the concessional capital provider. We
establish a similar approach if there was need
completed bilateral loans with small corporates
for it in the future.
and larger financings with organizations like
Afreximbank, who were providing vaccines under
What are the priorities of the
the African Vaccine Acquisition Trust (AVAT). We
Bank’s Climate Adaptation Finance
played the concessional role and looked to crowd
in private sector actors. It’s a good way to respond
Innovation Hub?
to disaster, but equally in less developed areas and Adaptation isn’t new to Standard Chartered; the
impact themes like biodiversity or adaptation, it’s Bank has been financing adaptation for a long
a useful way to prime the market to get that initial time, it just hasn’t been calling it adaptation
flow of capital. finance. One priority of the Bank’s Adaptation
Finance Innovation Hub is to identify pockets
What lessons can be drawn from of activity that are adaptation focused within
this experience? our current portfolio, or that show co-benefits,
The rate we provided was concessional and and try to baseline it. Another is to identify
constant across our credit grades in markets. What future opportunities. We conduct a climate risk
that meant was that while our clients with higher assessment for our clients, which helps us to
credit ratings may have been able to access similar produce transition and adaptation readiness
rates elsewhere, our clients with lower credit scores. These in turn allow us to see hotspots
ratings in markets like Kenya, who were used to and areas of high or low adaptation readiness in
borrowing at LIBOR plus 250, would have seen our which clients are either doing good or where they
concessional rate loans at LIBOR plus 10 as almost otherwise might need more support.

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3 PA R T I I I | RETURN TO CONTENTS | 47
Another priority is simply to do more deals, but towards adaptation. Adaptation finance lacks a
to do so we need to figure out what adaptation comprehensive reference guide; that is, a set of
is. To this end, we’re looking to produce an rules and guidelines like there is with the green
adaptation finance reference guide, like IFC’s bond principles or the social bond principles for
Biodiversity Finance Reference Guide, which will adaptation. Investors really like it when things are
bring to life what an adaptation investment is structured in a way that they can understand and
in practice, since there’s still a lot of confusion that’s acceptable to them and their end investors.
and a lack of clarity on this in the market, which Finally, we’re also looking to train people internally
is a blocker in terms of driving investment on what adaptation is.

Institutional Investors
Convergence observed a slight decrease in environment has left institutional investors
institutional investor activity in recent years. over allocated to equity, opening the door to
Institutional investors have typically been equity increased debt allocation as the macroeconomic
holders in climate blended finance deals – 80% environment stabilizes.
of commitments came via equity in 2017-2019. Liquidity and credit risk requirements are critical
However, most recently, the trend has been towards considerations for mobilizing institutional investors
debt – 50% of commitments in 2022 were through into climate blended finance transactions. For
debt instruments. Convergence sees a promising example, most institutional investors will not
opportunity for institutional investors to become a invest in non-investment grade (lower than BBB-)
more relied-upon source of debt capital to climate jurisdictions or securities. According to a CPI
blended finance, particularly as financial institutions, report examining the capital costs associated with
such as banks, face unique challenges that limit developing solar capacity, required rates of return
their ability to lend. UNCTAD notes that bringing on equity in countries with speculative ratings (BB+
institutional investors into project finance can lower to B-) increase by 15-20% and upwards of 30%
debt spreads by about 8%, almost as much as for highly speculative rated countries (CCC+ and
securing a DFI/MDB (10%). Additionally, credit risk lower). Likewise, the cost of debt can increase up
fueled by a high interest rate and inflationary

Figure 31: Breakdown of private sector investor commitments by instrument type, proportion of sub-type commitments, 2017-2022

Debt Equity Grant Guarantee Mezzanine

Asset Manager 54% 46%

Corporate 17% 82% 1%

Financial Institution 9% 28% 1%

2%
Institutional Investor 23% 70% 3%
2%
Private Equity/
2% 86% 7% 5%
Venture Capital Firm

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to 20% for speculative ratings and 35% for highly
speculative ratings. Blended finance instruments
“The top, most
like concessional guarantees, concessionally priced consistently engaged
loans and grants can provide the risk-mitigation
benefits necessary to bring the perceived risks of private sector investors
these investment environments more in line with
higher rated opportunities and enable institutional
are composed primarily
investor investment. Moreover, they can reduce
capital costs for borrowers, effectively growing the
of commercial banks.”
pipeline of bankable opportunities for investors. drove fund activity. More concessional capital, such
Amongst institutional investors, pension funds and as first loss equity must be made available to de-risk
insurance companies are well-positioned to invest in direct investment in early-stage companies and fund
climate finance, given their longer-term investment structures to overcome the downturn in company
horizons and liabilities. Climate projects often require valuations and increased perceived risk caused by
longer investment terms in order to realize impact the rate and inflationary environment.
– consider sub-sectors such as forestry, which often
require 15+ year investment horizons to realize Private Sector Investor League Table
full value. While the longer timeline can serve as The top, most consistently engaged private sector
a deterrent for private investors, pension funds investors are composed primarily of commercial
and insurance companies are better positioned to banks, who make up seven of the top ten private
navigate this trade-off in pursuit of both financial sector investors by number of commitments. We
returns and impact. do not however, observe any significant uptake
in climate blended finance engagement among
Private Equity & Venture Capital Firms these banks over the past year – five of the
Finally, private equity and venture capital firm activity seven commercial banks featured on last year’s
has noticeably tapered off in absolute terms since league table with only Sumitomo Mitsui Banking
2019. Total number of commitments fell by nearly Corporation making more than 2 investments
70% in 2022 from a peak in 2019, when private equity in 2022 (4 investments). This underscores the
markets in SSA and Latin America offered attractive absence of mandated blended finance strategies
risk-adjusted returns to cross-border investors and within this critical investor class.

Figure 32: Most frequent private sector investors in climate blended finance by number of commitments, 2017-2022

Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation 9

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group 9

BNP Paribas 8

Société Générale 7

Standard Chartered Bank 6

Rabobank Group 6

AXA Investment Managers 6

Nuveen Investments Inc. 4

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China 4

Enel 4

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MULTILATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS (MDBs) / DEVELOPMENT
FINANCE INSTITUTIONS (DFIs)
The most active MDBs and DFIs in climate blended finance platform to help drive climate-focused
finance to date (2017-2022) have been IFC, FMO, investment into developing countries.
IDB Invest, the ADB, and the European Bank for MDBs may choose to deploy concessional capital
Reconstruction and Development (EBRD). Under to derisk their own investments, which can lead
the World Bank Group’s commitment to increase MDBs to be a source of both concessional and
the delivery of climate financing, both IFC and MIGA commercial finance within the same transaction.
have pledged to align 100% of their Board-approved For example, the AC Energy Wind Power project
real sector operations with the Paris Agreement by involves the design, construction, and operation
July 1, 2025. of an 88MW wind farm in Ninh Thuan province,
As previously mentioned, ADB is currently playing Vietnam. ADB extended a $35 million senior A
a leadership role in piloting Energy Transition loan, as well as a $5 million grant on behalf of the
Mechanisms (ETMs), which draw on blended finance Climate Innovation Development Fund (an ADB-
to support the transition of fossil fuel plants to led concessional financing fund) to improve the
renewables. In June 2023, FinDev Canada and MUFG economic feasibility of the project.
announced the launch of GAIA, a $1.5 billion blended Convergence has previously advocated for
MDBs and DFIs to more ambitiously target private
“Beyond MDBs and DFIs, sector mobilization for climate finance within their

there is an important but operational model, including establishing a set of


Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) that increase their
untapped opportunity for mobilization amounts per annum. Beyond MDBs and
DFIs, there is an important but untapped opportunity
national development for national development banks to play in financing
banks to play in climate goals. National development banks are
uniquely situated to ensure the integration of NDCs
financing climate goals.” and Paris Agreement goals compared to larger,

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more global MDBs, given their knowledge of national own TA facilities (TAFs). For example FMO oversees
priorities and local financing needs. Yet, Convergence’s the Ventures Program, and the Canadian FinDev
HDD captures minimal climate commitments TAF launched in 2020. TA in blended finance
to blended finance transactions from national transactions can be essential to capacity-building
development banks. Similarly, CPI finds that only nine and de-risking potential investments in new or
of 37 national and subnational development banks uncertain markets. It can be used for advisory,
tracked in their 2022 dataset have announced climate assistance, or training programs.
finance goals, with only one making commitments One example of a DFI participating in TA programs
specific to climate adaptation finance. As shared by is through the Acumen Resilient Agriculture Fund,
Nicole Pinko at CPI: which provides equity and grant funding to support
“We’re finding that the role of national development pioneering and early-growth stage innovative
banks is very different based on that country’s agribusinesses that enhance the climate resilience
NDC ambition and capacity. For example, in some of smallholder farmers in East and West Africa. FMO
countries NDB climate strategies are closely aligned contributed $500 thousand to support TA initiatives,
to their country’s NDCs, whereas in other countries such as climate adaptation interventions, including
the bank’s climate strategies and disclosures are gender specific initiatives; business development
more varied. There are some national banks that services and management/employee training
are very focused on climate finance, renewable projects; and lean data projects.
energy, or adaptation, while other national banks
do not have climate finance as a priority.”

DFIs/MDBs mostly deploy debt (56% of transactions “DFIs are uniquely


from 2017-2022) and equity (23%) in blended finance
transactions. A study by UNFCCC found that MDBs positioned within the
contribute 15% of their adaptation financing through
pure grants. There are opportunities for DFIs to use
market to provide
TA at a greater level, especially regarding adaptation concessionary
transactions. DFIs are uniquely positioned within
the market to provide concessionary TA grants TA grants with
with catalytic aims. Some are already providing TA
within blended finance transactions through their catalytic aims.”
Figure 33: Most frequent DFI/MDB participants in climate blended finance deals by number of commitments, 2017-2022

International Finance Corporation 78

Netherlands Development Finance Company 56

IDB Invest 42

Asian Development Bank 28

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development 26

US International Development Finance Corporation 24

African Development Bank 20

European Investment Bank 19

Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency 19

Promotion et Participation pour la Coopération économique 12

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DEVELOPMENT AGENCIES & MULTI-DONOR FUNDS
Development agencies and multi-donor funds are regions. Convergence awarded a proof-of-concept
important sources of concessional capital in blended grant to Mirova SunFunder for the design and launch
finance transactions. Half of the top 10 institutions of the Fund. Gigaton was structured as a 3-tiered
in the table below are multi-donor funds, including: blended vehicle comprising catalytic junior debt and
Private Infrastructure Development Group (PIDG), first-loss capital (15%), senior debt (35%) and super
GCF, Clean Technology Fund, GEF, and the Canadian senior debt (50%). Development agencies were
Climate Fund for the Private Sector in the Americas. critical to creating appropriate conditions for private
While donor countries are continuing to make direct investors to enter in several ways. First, Global Affairs
contributions through development agencies, with Canada, along with several partners, contributed
multi-donor funds representing 50% of the top to the catalytic tranche. Second, Sida backed a $50
10 investors, there is a clear movement for these million guarantee. This concessional capital was
countries to finance climate outcomes through crucial in decreasing risks and unlocking support
indirect and collaborative means. from the United States International Development
An example of a recent climate blended finance Finance Corporation (US DFC),
transaction with participation from multiple Natixis and SwedFund.
development agencies is the Gigaton Empowerment Development agencies most commonly deploy TA
Fund. This private debt fund that lends to projects in climate blended finance transactions, as well
and businesses in the mini-grid, commercial and as senior debt. More recently, our data shows an
industrial, household and innovative energy spaces, increase in the use of investment-stage grants,
primarily focused on Africa (60%), with a lesser from 4 transactions per year from 2017 to 2019,
focus on Latin American & the Caribbean and Asian to 16 per year from 2020 to 2021.

Figure 34: Most frequent development agencies and multi-donor funds in climate blended finance deals by number of
commitments, 2017-2022

Private Infrastructure Development Group 68


United States Agency for International Development 39
Green Climate Fund 32
Clean Technology Fund 21
Global Environment Facility 19
Japan International Cooperation Agency 16
Canadian Climate Fund for the Private Sector in the Americas (C2F I & II) 14
United Kingdom Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office 10
European Development Finance Institutions 9
Federal Ministry of Economic Co-operation and Development Germany 8

PHILANTHROPIC INVESTORS
As mentioned, philanthropic investors comprise a For example, the Rockefeller Foundation recently
comparatively small share of the climate blended announced a $1 billion commitment to fund
finance market. While most active philanthropic climate solutions, including further support for
organizations apart from the Shell Foundation, Global Energy Alliance for People and Planet
have not historically possessed a climate-exclusive (GEAPP) interventions (highlighted below). Likewise,
mandate, some are taking significant strides to in advance of COP28, Bloomberg Philanthropies and
incorporate climate into their charitable mandates. the International Renewable Energy Agency formed

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a partnership to accelerate the renewable energy What makes climate blended finance opportunities
project pipeline in emerging economies worldwide. attractive to these foundations is that concessional
The initiative aims to build domestic capacity PRI participation satisfies both requirements.
through technical support and regulatory reform, Climate blended finance deals are impact-centric,
increase the supply of project preparation funding, and concessional participation meets the PRI
and ramp up private sector capital mobilization in criteria. Not only that, but PRI investment into
collaboration with GFANZ members. climate blended finance deals can be applied
To date, we are yet to see a widespread commitment against the 5% charitable programing threshold,
from foundations to take catalytic positions in climate while traditional investment instruments cannot.
blended finance deals – concessional investment from The opportunity presented by the philanthropic
foundations to adaptation deals dropped from 15% community to contribute towards climate blended
to 13% of the field from 2017-2019 to 2020-2022 finance has also become a focus of central banks
and from 8% to 5% in mitigation blended finance. such as the Monetary Authority of Singapore
Convergence believes there is real potential for (MAS). Only $800 billion or less than 2% of
foundations to increase the supply of concessional philanthropic giving per year goes to climate
capital available to climate blended finance mitigation. Philanthropic capital is versatile and
transactions through the deployment of PRIs10. can potentially be flexible, risk tolerant, and
As Convergence investigated in a recent case study, patient. It can make an outsized contribution
foundations, specifically US-based foundations, face towards closing the financing gap. As shared
a unique set of factors that must be considered when by MAS,
participating in risk-bearing positions in financial “We have enhanced and expanded our tax
structures. US foundations are required by tax law to: incentive schemes for single family offices in July
1 ensure that at least 5% of endowment assets are this year and this should raise their interest in
directed towards charitable purposes; giving and in making grants to or investing in
climate-related investments and blended
2 when deploying PRIs, tax code criteria are met
finance structures.”
to ensure the prudency of investment.

Figure 35: Most frequent philanthropic investors in climate blended finance deals by number of commitments, 2017-2022

Shell Foundation 14

The Rockefeller Foundation 7

Omidyar Network 3

David and Lucille Packard 3

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation 2

IKEA Foundation 2

Grantham Foundation 2

Global Partnerships 2

Engineers Without Borders 2

Autodesk Foundation 2

10 Program-related investments (PRIs) are a type of financial instrument specific to US-based private foundations that are explicitly invested to further
the impact mandate of the entity, with all potential financial returns or value appreciation considered ancillary. Under the Internal Revenue Code)
of the US Tax Code, private charities and foundations are subject to excise taxes if underlying investments jeopardize the carrying out of any of its core
mandates. Such investments are termed imprudent investments. PRIs enable foundations to circumvent the prudency standards and deploy investments
that may be considered imprudent (invested at a below-market rate, invested in high-risk opportunities).

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VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with Stefanie Fairholme, Managing Director, Head of
Investments, GEAPP

How are you funded and how is the direct and intermediated equity. We are not typically
mandate of GEAPP different from a direct guarantor but believe that guarantees
can be highly effective in our markets so seek to
your founding organizations?
support guarantee platforms. Our capital allocation
We were established by three philanthropic is organized around countries and technologies and
founders: IKEA Foundation, The Rockefeller sectors, rather than financial instruments.
Foundation, and the Bezos Earth Fund, which
together committed up to $1.5 billion in grant capital What does your portfolio look like?
to advance a shared mission of expanding clean
GEAPP was set up to drive transformational change
energy access for a billion people, averting 4 billion
across energy systems in emerging economies
gigatons of future CO2 emissions, and enabling
and we only pursue projects consistent with our
150 million sustainable jobs and livelihoods. This
charitable mission. The quantum and urgency of
is philanthropy coming together at scale. What
this change require systemic overhauls, commercial
sets us apart is our focus on implementation. We
turnarounds and new mindsets translated to
provide country-level support to seven foundation
practical solutions that can be scaled to make a
countries, focus scalable solutions on an additional
meaningful and lasting difference on the ground.
13 countries and reach 80+ countries through our
wider Alliance. The seven foundation countries – We focus on three areas:
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Ethiopia, India, 1 distributed renewable energy (DRE)
Indonesia, Nigeria, South Africa and Vietnam – have 2 green grids, and
been prioritized based on the scale of potential 3 the green economy.
impact and existing government commitments to
clean energy. So our operation model is different, Projects in these areas are delivered by GEAPP teams
we work closely with local governments, regulators, across Africa, Asia and Latin America, underpinned
and policy-makers, to support the enabling by a robust monitoring, evaluation and learning
environment to unlock big capital flows, in addition framework that allows smart, fast action.
to making investments through blended finance. Beyond the enabling work we support in our
What we’ve learned is that the work on the enabling portfolio, we have a set of direct investments, in line
side is essential. This aspect of our work is highly with our global strategy. This could be, for example,
bespoke, country specific, and resource intensive. testing innovative business models in battery storage
or making equity investments in emerging DRE
What types of blended finance support developers, such as Nuru in the DRC.
does GEAPP offer?
When addressing the question of scale, we think
Firstly, we provide grants to support the enabling about how we best use platform approaches; this
environment. We also provide grants for viability enables us to back credible in-market teams at
gap financing, for example, grants that go into the a larger scale, which unlocks significantly more
capital stack and are used to make a tariff affordable, capital and is particularly important to crowd in
sometimes these are recoverable and sometimes not. the private sector.
We have concessional financial instruments including

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IMPACT INVESTORS
Compared to other investor groups, impact investors is dedicated to investing for a better world launched,
constitute a relatively minor portion of investments in partnership with Convergence, the Asia Natural
in climate blended finance deals. These investors Capital Design Funding Window in 2019. At the time
fulfill a dual role as fund managers and providers of launch, the window was the first of its kind focusing
of both concessional and commercial capital for on NbS in Asia and over its lifespan it has been able to
blended finance transactions. The leading investors in develop a robust and diverse pipeline of solutions
the impact investment sphere include Ceniarth LLC, protecting some of the most important natural assets
responsAbility Investments AG, Calvert Impact capital in the region. As pointed out in a recent PwC report,
and the Land Degradation Neutrality Fund. We are investing for a positive impact resonates with the
also witnessing the emergence of family offices as culture and mission of family offices. It is clear that
ecosystem building and early-stage funders of climate getting involved in blended finance is a crucial avenue
blended finance deals. For instance, RS Group Asia, for family offices to align their investments with values,
a mid-sized family office based in Hong Kong which amplify impact, and achieve sustainable returns.

Figure 36: Most frequent impact investors in climate blended finance deals by number of commitments, 2017-2022

Ceniarth LLC 12

responsAbility Investments AG 7

Calvert Impact Capital 6

Land Degradation Neutrality Fund 6

Builders VIsion 5

AHL Venture Partners 4

Global Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Fund 4

Acumen 3

AlphaMundi Group Ltd 3

Mirova Sunfunder Inc. 3

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PART IV:
MITIGATION &
ADAPTATION
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PART IV :
MITIGATION & ADAPTATION
MITIGATION BLENDED FINANCE
Figure 37: Mitigation sub-sectors; proportion of annual in Kenya are primarily direct company financing
mitigation blended finance deals, 2020-202211
deals or smaller fund structures, such as multiple
Carbon Credits Energy Efficiency / Emissions Reduction funding rounds secured by energy-tech company
Off-grid Energy Renewable Energy Transportation
& Transmission
Bboxx or CrossBoundary’s pioneering off-grid
$2.4B energy fund CrossBoundary Energy 1. In fact, this
4%
is a trend widely observed across SSA. Conversely,
42%
transactions in Colombia, Brazil and Vietnam are
primarily projects (6, 6 and 7 deals respectively).
3% 38%
Renewable energy asset development is the core
37%
46% sector of mitigation blended finance. Since 2017,
25%
renewable energy transactions have accounted for
20%
82% of mitigation blended finance deal count on
average per year. Since 2020, blended finance has
75% delivered $9.9 billion to renewable energy asset
92% 77% development, with a median transaction size of $66
million. Nearly all the mitigation blended financing
21%
to Colombia from 2017-2022 was directed towards
6%
renewable energy asset development ($5.4 billion
2020 2021 2022
of $5.6 billion), with similar patterns found in India,
Vietnam and Brazil.
Since 2017, nearly half (48%, 99 transactions)
of mitigation blended finance transactions have Figure 38: Aggregate renewable energy transaction volume
targeted SSA, followed by emerging Asia (East Asia by country (top 8), 2017-2022
and the Pacific and South Asia, 50 transactions), $5.5B $2.2B $1.6B $1.6B
Latin American and the Caribbean (42), Middle East Colombia India Brazil South
Africa
and North Africa (10) and Eastern Europe (7). Kenya
(15 transactions), India (14), Vietnam (10), Brazil (9)
and Nigeria (9) are the most frequently targeted
countries over that timespan. Notably, looking at
total financing volume by country, from 2017-2022
Colombia (8 transactions) received the largest
$1.4B $1.3B
sum of mitigation blended finance, totalling $5.6 Lao PDR Egypt

billion, followed by India ($4.4) billion and Brazil $2.2B


($3 billion). By comparison, Kenya’s 15 transactions Vietnam $1.4B
Cameroon
amounted to $1.3 billion in total deal value.
Convergence observed that mitigation transactions

11 Bars sum to more than 100% given transactions can target multiple sub-sectors.

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Convergence observes significant growth in activity in biomass, geothermal and hydroelectric projects
the off-grid renewable energy sector, specifically off- over that timespan. The use of blended finance
grid solar photovoltaic (PV) systems in recent years is increasingly infrequent for hydroelectric asset
– 30% of mitigation blended finance deals between development for a number of reasons;
2020-2022 targeted the sector vs. 14% between the negative consequences for biodiversity
2017-2019. This is in part a result of the continued 1 due to altered river patterns and flooding
decline in component costs for solar PV alongside are becoming mainstream considerations
economies of scale in production as demand rises. for investors;
This has unlocked financial feasibility to launch off- climate change is destabilizing water sources,
grid projects in high-risk jurisdictions. For example, 2 leading to prolonged droughts or flooding that
the GCF backed a $45 million, 6.3 MW solar microgrid can greatly impact the viability of utility scale
project in Haiti, installing 22 solar PV systems with hydro plants;
battery storage. The project received concessional growing pressures on fresh water supplies due
support from GCF and the World Bank (via the Scaling to population expansion, urbanization and
3
Up Renewable Energy Program, SREP) to mobilize climate change is elevating the economic and
commercial investment from US DFC, foundations political risk of constructing new hydroelectric
and corporates. dams; and
the macroeconomic environment has
Figure 39: Aggregate financing to mitigation blended presented significant fundraising challenges to
4
finance sub-sectors, 2020-2022
project developers, especially in the last year –
$9.88B total blended capital delivered to hydroelectric
Renewable Energy
power projects fell by over 60% in 2022 from
2021 totals.

Figure 40: Breakdown of renewable energy technologies


financed through blended finance; proportion of all
renewable energy deals, 2017-202212

2017-2019 2020-2022 75%

$7.10B
Energy Efficiency / Emissions Reduction

$1.47B $1.02B $0.33B


Transportation & Transmission Off-Grid Energy Carbon
Credits

Among renewable energy technologies, the bulk of


19%
blended finance activity is centered around building 16%
solar PV capacity – from 2017-2019 to 2020-2022 12%
7% 7% 77%
the share of solar PV projects as a proportion of all
renewable energy deals only slightly declined from 4% 4% 13% 7% 72% 19%
75% to 72%. Comparatively, Convergence observes Biomass Geo- Hydro- Other Solar Wind
thermal electric
a decline in the frequency of blended finance for

12 “Other” encompasses transactions targeting clean energy transitioning (i.e., fossil fuel to lower emission liquid petroleum gas to hybrid gas-renewable
energy) but which are yet to incorporate a renewable energy source, and other technologies (hydrogen, carbon capture, tidal).

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VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with Cecilia Tam, Acting Head of Energy Investment Unit
at the IEA
In the Scaling Up Private Financing For Clean Energy In Emerging And Developing Economies, the IEA and IFC ran
an analysis estimating the amount of concessional financing required to support the $1.2-1.6 trillion of annual
investment necessary in EMDEs to reach net zero emissions by 2050 (NZE) Scenario goals. Tam shared their
analysis with us below:

Can you walk us through the What were your findings?


underlying assumptions for your Based on these assumptions, we found that
exercise? $83 billion of concessional finance would be
The starting point for our analysis was the IEA’s net needed annually to mobilize private sources of
zero emissions (NZE) Scenario and the investment finance in the NZE Scenario until 2030, increasing
needs for that scenario across 7 regions (India, the to $101 billion per year in 2031-2035. We need
Middle East, Europe and Eurasia, Latin America, to do a more detailed follow-up analysis, to work
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with other DFIs, and to build up this analysis at the
Africa, and other Asia) and 4 sub-sectors (low- regional and sub-sectoral levels. What’s missing
emission power generation, grids and storage, energy from this analysis is the amount of blended
efficiency and end uses, and low-emission fuels and finance needed to support public state-owned
carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS)). We enterprises, that cannot access commercial
also provided IFC with our estimates on sources of finance and are significant investors in clean
private finance for the different sectors and regions. energy in emerging and developing economies.
IFC then estimated the share of blended finance The $80-100 billion in concessional funding does
needed to mobilize this level of private capital, not represent the total support required for the
based on historical IFC experience and expected clean energy transition and we plan to undertake
technological and market developments. additional analysis to estimate this remaining gap.

To do this, we made assumptions of how much How should concessional capital most
financing was already being provided by the efficiently be deployed to achieve the
market, to help us estimate how much money
NZE Scenario?
would be needed to get to the amount required
for the 2030 and 2035 timeframe. We assumed There are a lot of differences in leverage ratios
that in earlier periods and in technologies that reported by multilaterals and those reported by
were not very mature, for example like green the private sector. Unfortunately, achieved leverage
hydrogen and CCUS, much more support would ratios need to be more consistent and much higher.
be required. But as technologies mature, we There’s not that much public money out there, so we
would need less concessional debt or equity, need it to work more effectively at leveraging higher
and move more towards guarantees. Similarly, multiples of private capital. I don’t see a situation
in many middle-income countries such as India, where we are going to get 15 times more public
commercial scale renewable energy projects money, so the focus needs to be on how to realize
are viable without support. We also took into higher leverage ratios. Our analysis needs to help
consideration how much financing was available guide donor funds, so that the funds and facilities
from local banks, and what their capital spending they’re setting up are targeting the right priorities
limits were. and reaching the right countries.

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When determining levels of concessionality, it is or international money. In a rising interest rate
important to understand what the biggest market environment, emerging and developing economies
gaps are, and what would allow you to access more risk losing out, so we need to find a way to make
capital for the energy transition. For example, is it returns more attractive than in less risky markets.
longer tenders, supporting developers to structure There is a lot of domestic capital, and we’re not
better projects, or improving off-taker risk? The accessing nearly enough of this capital for the
best use of concessional capital also depends on climate transition.
whether you’re trying to attract local private money

BOX 1
Forecasted blended finance totals for the NZE Scenario (2026-2035)

Convergence performed an adapted analysis $5.4 in commercial capital. Additionally,


of the IEA’s investigation into the levels of every concessional dollar provided to energy
concessional financing required to mobilize efficiency transactions mobilizes, on average,
adequate commercial investment into clean $5.9 in commercial capital. Comparatively, this
energy in emerging markets to achieve the NZE translates into greater totals of concessional
Scenario. The exercise applied Convergence’s capital to mobilize the necessary commercial
own leverage ratios to the IEA and IFC’s estimated investment under the Convergence scenario.
requisite investment totals for the renewable Convergence’s historical data suggests that to
energy and energy efficiency sub-sectors13. meet the NZE Scenario targets in the energy
According to Convergence’s database, every sector by 2035, a total of $529 billion in
dollar of concessional capital invested into the concessional financing will be needed to mobilize
renewable energy sector mobilizes, on average $2,414 billion in commercial investment (Table 1).

Table 1: Concessional capital requirements for the partial NZE Scenario according to Convergence data. Derived from IEA -
IFC analysis. 2026-2035.

USD billions | Totals denote time periods: (2026-2030 and 2031-2035) | Includes all emerging markets (excl. China)

Concessional capital
Total annual clean energy Total commercial
Energy sub-sector required to mobilize
investment required investment required
commercial investment
IEA - IFC 14: IEA - IFC:
IEA - IFC / Convergence: 697 , 957 73 , 89
Totals
1255 , 1688 Convergence: Convergence:
1029 , 1385 226 , 303
IEA - IFC: IEA - IFC:
Renewable energy 360 , 464 44 , 53
836 , 1079
(incl. transmission, storage) Convergence: Convergence:
681 , 879 155 , 200
IEA - IFC: IEA - IFC:
337 , 493 29 , 36
Energy Efficiency & end uses 416 , 609
Convergence: Convergence:
348 , 506 71 , 103

13 Convergence defines leverage ratios as the amount of commercial capital mobilized by each dollar of concessional capital, where commercial capital
includes capital deployed by private, public, and philanthropic investors.

14 IEA / IFC figures for “commercial investment required” only includes commercial capital from private sector sources and excludes public sector
commitments on commercial terms.

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Mainstream mitigation finance is synonymous with
reducing and ultimately phasing out fossil fuel-based “...blended finance can
power generation, replacing thermal sources with
renewable alternatives. While the decarbonization
be utilized to address
transition is being applied across sectors, impacting remaining economic
different aspects of the industry, commercial systems
and, even day-to-day household activities, the vast risks to attract the
majority of capital, both in developed and emerging
economies, is allocated to one sector; utility scale
private sector capital
power generation. However, Convergence is
seeing growing applications of blended finance for
necessary to build out
emissions reduction in other key sectors, including domestic industries.“
transmission and transportation (electric vehicles,
EVs.), shipping and trade. For example, VinFast, adoption, including incentive plans to make EVs.
Vietnam’s first domestic car manufacturer, secured competitive in the short term and robust public
blended capital to develop the country’s first fully- commitments to constructing the necessary charging
electric public bus fleet and construct Vietnam’s first infrastructure, are undoubtedly critical first steps to
national EV charging network. The transportation enable industry feasibility. Some emerging markets
sector accounts for almost 20% of Vietnam’s annual have already made significant strides here, with
GHG emissions output. Led by ADB, the company Cabo Verde, Costa Rica and Sri Lanka committing to
secured $135 million in debt, including participation completely phasing out combustion engines over the
from Export Finance Australia and responsAbility and next 10-30 years. In conjunction with enabling policy
concessional capital from the Clean Technology Fund and regulatory environments, blended finance can
and the Australia Climate Finance Partnership to be utilized to address remaining economic risks to
improve the financial feasibility of the project. Strong attract the private sector capital necessary to build
domestic policy and regulatory frameworks for EV out domestic industries.

MITIGATION BLENDED FINANCE INVESTORS


All investor classes allocate the bulk of their in part linked to the rise in private sector investor
investments to mitigation blended finance participation in recent years.
transactions – since 2017, 55% of all climate Breaking down the commercial investor class reveals
blended finance commitments are destined for pure that corporates and financial institutions jointly
mitigation transactions. In recent years, commercial provide the lion’s share of investment to mitigation
investors and DFIs / MDBs accounted for about transactions, accounting for 44% and 33%,
two-thirds of all commitments to mitigation blended
finance, with commercial investors increasing their Figure 41: Proportion
of commitments to
share to 34% from 28% in 2017-2019. We also
mitigation blended 7%
4%
observe greater participation from development finance transactions
agencies (22% in 2017-2019 to 26% in 2020- by investor type,
35%
2022), signaling greater availability of concessional 2020-2022

resources in the market (the number of concessional Commercial Investor 29%

investments from development agencies increased by Development Agency

15%, and their share all of concessional investment to DFI / MDB


25%
Foundation / NGO
mitigation increased from 59% to 68% from 2017-
Impact Investor
2019 to 2020-2022). This positive trend could be

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Figure 42: Proportion Figure 43: Breakdown 2%
of commitments from 4% of financial instrument 1%
private sector investors 11% types to mitigation 5%
to mitigation blended blended finance deals;
9% 13%
finance transactions, proportion of all
2020-2022 investments,
44% 2017-2022 49%
Asset Manager
Corporate Debt
32% Equity 31%
Financial Institution
Institutional Investor Grant
Private Equity / Guarantee
Venture Capital Firm Insurance
Mezzanine

respectively (2017-2022). This is tied to the recent mitigation financing, including the La Jacinta and
expansion in the number of greenfield projects and Natelu Yarnel A / B bonds structured by IDB Invest
project finance transactions in the last year, with to refinance two solar PV projects in Uruguay.
commercial banks acting as an important source of Since 2017, mitigation blended finance interventions
project finance debt (construction and refinancing) have been mainly financed through debt; 49% of
and the corporate class comprised mainly of project investments into mitigation transactions vs. 31%
developers providing shareholder equity and / or equity. This is closely tied to the prominence of
loans. Nearly all (95%) of the commitments from project finance transactions for renewable energy
private sector investors to mitigation blended asset development. Moreover, Convergence has
finance projects since 2017 have been provided by noted a marked drop-off in activity among private
commercial banks or project developers. equity funds operating in the mitigation space. In
Institutional investor exposure to mitigation blended 2022, Convergence only captured a single mitigation-
finance remains comparatively low, remaining focused private equity fund closure. In contrast,
around 9% of all mitigation commitments between over the five years prior, an average of 11 mitigation
2017-2022. Greater use of blended bonds / note private equity funds were closing annually. As
structures can help entice this critical investor mentioned earlier, inflationary pressures and an
class. Emerging market debt outperformed most over allocation to equity for most private investor
developed fixed income markets towards the end classes due to interest rate increases have presented
of 2022 and into 2023, given the rapid response to significant challenges to fund managers and slowed
inflationary pressures made by emerging market private equity and venture capital expansion in
governments. Stabilized credit risk combined places like SSA and Latin America. Convergence has
with high yields on corporate issuances will drive previously highlighted the importance of increased
investor appetite and blended finance can provide equity participation in emerging markets, particularly
additional risk mitigation protection to improve from the DFIs and MDBs, given mounting sovereign
underlying project feasibility. Convergence’s HDD debt pressures for many developing economies and
highlights some key successes in using fixed income currency instability. Together with a greater supply
instruments to entice institutional investors to of risk-bearing capital from development agencies,
specifically through the capitalization of first-loss

“Greater use of tranches in private equity funds, DFIs / MDBs must


increasingly take on more risk when investing
blended bonds / through intermediaries, more often participating in
junior and mezzanine tranches. Doing so will plug
note structures can key financing gaps for fund managers and bring

help entice this critical risk-adjusted returns in line with the requirements
of private (senior) investors, ultimately bringing more
investor class.” mitigation funds to market.

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Figure 44: Most frequent investors in mitigation blended finance transactions by number of investments, 2017-2022

PIDG Group 57

International Finance Corporation 45

IDB Invest 34

Netherlands Development Finance Company (FMO) 31

Asian Development Bank 26

Green Climate Fund 22

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development 20

Clean Technology Fund 20

African Development Bank 19

Canadian Climate Fund for the Private Sector in the Americas (C2F I & II) 17

As observed in last year’s report, the most frequent incorporated energy efficiency outcomes into
investors in mitigation blended finance are DFIs / interventions focused on other development
MDBs and multilateral donor funds / organizations outcomes, such as job creation or industry expansion.
(PIDG, GCF). While these investors have catalytic and To do so, EBRD administered concessional funding
mobilization mandates to some degree, the majority from the Finance and Technology Transfer Centre
of their commitments are disbursed on commercial for Climate Change (FINTECC). This EU-funded grant
terms (exceptions being CTF and some PIDG pool provides Eastern European investees with TA,
subsidiary companies) and primarily through senior and policy and investment support to improve energy
debt. Nearly all are also heavily oriented towards the efficiency. Despite the persistence of war, Ukraine has
renewable energy sector and are able to operate begun looking toward reconstruction efforts. Facilities
substantial loan portfolios due to balance sheet like FINTECC are critical to incorporating mitigation
headroom underpinned by AAA credit ratings15. considerations into reconstruction plans and ensuring
Some of these large-scale investors have begun these opportunities are adequately prepared to
to allocate pooled donor funds alongside their receive commercial funding. Likewise, such donor
own account financing to niche areas of mitigation funded pools also demonstrate how DFIs and MDBs
blended finance. For example, EBRD’s operations in can be involved in project pipeline development, even
Ukraine prior to the invasion by Russia increasingly in high-risk, fragile or low-income scenarios.

ADAP TATION BLENDED FINANCE


Adaptation blended finance continues to be under- for hybrid transactions. Most of the financing for
represented when looking at overall climate blended adaptation transactions came from the public sector
finance deal count and volume. Since 2013, only (58%), while private investors committed a total
15% of deals have had a pure adaptation focus. This of $2.9 billion.
equates to $7.5 billion in total financing, compared A trend seen globally in climate finance has been
to $64.2 billion for pure mitigation and $18.5 billion an increase in the amount of adaptation finance

15 The PIDG group’s two primary subsidiary organizations, the Emerging Africa Infrastructure Fund and GuarantCo, are both rated AA-. The Green
Climate Fund is not rated.

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“One of the challenges The Global Center for Adaptation reports only ten
countries in Africa receive more than half of the
related to increasing continent’s adaptation finance while the bottom
ten countries receive less than 1%. Furthermore,
adaptation financing is the report shows that of 160 updated NDCs, just
62 mention adaptation finance needs. This implies
the lack of bankable actual adaptation funding requirements may exceed

adaptation projects.”
current estimates.
The UNEP Adaptation Gap Report for 2022 estimates
adaptation costs for developing countries will increase
committed by investors annually. From 2017-2018 to
to $160–340 billion annually by 2030 and $315–565
2019-2020, UNFCCC found that adaptation finance
billion by 2050. Further, a recent analysis by the IPCC
increased by 65%, from an annual average of $30
suggests similar ranges for adaptation costs between
billion to $49 billion, driven mainly by financing from
$127 billion and $295 billion per year for developing
bilateral and multilateral DFIs. CPI, however, notes
countries by 2030 and 2050, respectively. This means
that national and subnational development banks are
projected costs are 5–7 times higher than the $49
falling behind in their commitments to adaptation-
billion of global adaptation flows in 2019-2020.
focused strategies. While these banks make up 37
of the 70 entities in CPI’s dataset (53%), only one One of the challenges related to increasing adaptation
national development bank, the National Bank for financing is the lack of bankable adaptation projects.
Agriculture and Rural Development of India, has According to Jay Koh of Lightsmith Group, a
made commitments specific to climate adaptation prerequisite to building a portfolio of bankable
finance. Meanwhile the commitment from commercial projects is ensuring adequate data to make informed
investors to adaptation financing continues to lag; decisions regarding investment opportunities. There is
there is a need for an increase in the participation of an existing data gap that impacts the ability of
the private sector in adaptation investment. This is investors to measure the risks associated with a
particularly evident in Africa, where the private sector certain transaction. For example, the Lima Adaptation
contributes less than 3% of adaptation finance. Knowledge Initiative

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(LIMA) found that there is a lack of available data on coordination that allows for knowledge sharing and
water-related hazards (e.g. drought, landslide, debris efficiency gains. As Morgan Richmond, Senior Analyst
flow, flooding, glacier lake outburst flood) and a lack of at CPI noted,
information on climate change impacts on the water “One of the greatest challenges in understanding
resources. Not only is data lacking, but there are also the scale of adaptation investment needs comes
few standardized metrics with which to measure from the disparity in National Adaptation Plans.
adaptation outcomes. During the 2023 San Giorgio Different countries consider different sectors and
CPI meetings, it was suggested that creating these capture different levels of cost and need. One
metrics may aid in risk management and opportunity component that is often missing is regional-level
assessment for investors. adaptation needs. For example, if each country
Challenges with data collection impact more than around Lake Victoria has a different national
the availability of bankable projects. Since COP16, adaptation plan and the plans don’t speak to
developing countries have begun to develop and each other, there is a risk of approaching the
implement NAPs. NAPs are intended to identify same resource in different ways. We need more
medium- and long-term adaptation needs and develop regional level coordination.”
strategies to address them. While many LDCs have Despite these challenges and others, the use of
developed their plans over the past decade, there is blended finance in adaptation transactions is
an ongoing challenge with their ability to finance them. becoming more mainstream, with large global
One of the main barriers to their implementation is funds such as the Adaptation Fund setting goals
the lack of data collection capabilities. to support projects that leverage concessional
financing. In 2021, the Adaptation Fund and its

“Technical partners issued a joint statement with an explicit


goal of using its capacity to scale up and blend

assistance can finance. The Fund had previous experience


investing in projects with a core objective of

play a key role in using blended finance. This includes a project in


Mozambique that invests in ecological infrastructure

addressing data networks. A key intended impact of the project is


to increase blended finance and women/youth

knowledge gaps.” entrepreneurship opportunities in climate-resilient


water supply, fisheries, and coastal protection.
Boosting strategic planning, adaptation priority
TA can play a key role in addressing data knowledge programs, and institutions is now vital for most
gaps. Regarding NAPs, the Least Developed Countries African countries. One joint effort to scale adaptation
Expert Group (LEG) is currently providing TA to across the continent is the Africa Adaptation
support their development. Concessional investors Acceleration Program (AAAP), an initiative of the
could supplement this by investing in TA solutions. For African Development Bank and Global Center on
example, the International Institute for Environment Adaptation aiming to mobilize $25 billion over
and Development suggests increasing investments five years to accelerate climate adaptation action
in data collection and management infrastructure, in Africa. Through country compacts, it provides
such as meteorological stations and training for local country-led roadmaps outlining adaptation priorities,
experts in data collection, analysis and interpretation. financing needs, and strategies to mobilize finance
A second challenge to the development and for implementing climate adaptation and translating
implementation of NAPs is the lack of regional NDCs into executable projects.

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Overall, there are other methods, complementary climate financing. Currently, adaptation and hybrid
to blended finance structures, to increase the transactions are largely focused on agriculture. Figure
attractiveness of adaptation financing to investors. 45 shows how the main sub-sectors in adaptation
The Global Adaptation & Resilience Investment financing include: agricultural inputs and farm
Working Group (GARI) suggests five ways to increase productivity (30% in 2020-2022); agro-processing
private investment into adaptation blended finance (22%); agroforestry (14%); and climate resilient /
transactions. Beyond developing metrics and sustainable agriculture (14%).
standards, GARI also suggests pricing climate risk There are opportunities to consider adaptation
into investments; creating a practical framework, in other investment cross-sections, such as non-
potentially through a macro view looking at a long- energy related infrastructure projects. Part of
term vision by key sectors; incorporating resilience considering adaptation financing within other
into net zero initiatives and goals; and focusing on investments is having a broader definition of the term
social impact, environmental justice and inclusive “adaptation”. Historically, a lack of clear definitions and
equity in investments. methodologies delineating what climate adaptation is
Part of incorporating adaptation in a wider range of has resulted in the adaptation market being viewed as
investment themes is broadening the perception a siloed sector. Later in this report, we will review the
of what adaptation financing means. In all climate changes to adaptation taxonomy that are beginning to
investments captured by the Convergence database, address some practical challenges that arise when the
hybrid investments represent under one-third of total definition is not standardized.

Figure 45: Proportion of adaptation & hybrid blended finance transactions by sub-sector, Agriculture Inputs /
Farm Productivity
2017-2019 vs. 2020-202216
Agriculture Finance

2020-2022 Climate Resilient/


Sustainable Agriculture
Agro-Forestry
6% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 12% 12% 14% 14% 22% 30% Agro-Processing
Housing Finance
Water Infrastructure
2017 - 2019 Green Finance
Renewable Energy
Waste Management
2% 8% 10% 10% 12% 12% 12% 14% 18% 22% 29% Infrastructure
4%
Fisheries & Aquaculture
Microfinance /
Retail Banking

16 Bars do not sum to 100% given that blended finance transactions can target multiple sub-sectors.

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VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with Jay Koh, Managing Director and Co-Founder,
The LightSmith Group

What was the motivation for starting and senior layer of the fund and a parallel
an adaptation focused private equity investor that does not participate in the junior
and senior structure. There’s also a second junior
fund?
investor for certain geographies, which is the UN’s
Back in 2015-16, we started developing a theory on Green Climate Fund itself. CRAFT is a global fund,
how to invest for commercial returns in adaptation. so it invests half its capital in companies domiciled
The strategy is referred to as CRAFT - the Climate in developing countries, and half its capital in
Resilience and Adaptation Finance and Technology companies domiciled in developed countries.
Transfer Facility, and that’s how the fund was CRAFT also has transfer mechanisms between
incubated initially. CRAFT is considered to be the developed countries into developing countries
first dedicated private equity fund anywhere focused within the fund on a commercial basis. Separate
on adaptation and climate resilience, and it is from the CRAFT fund, there is an aligned TA grant
designed to catalyze all three sides of that equation facility. The TA facility is designed to accelerate
to drive adaptation finance: sources of capital, uses deployment of technologies from the fund into the
of capital and the development of the ecosystem. poorest countries.

What are the goals of the fund? CRAFT is also the first commercial fund to have an
impact measurement system that measures for the
The first goal is to mobilize capital. There is
first time the impact of investments on adaptation.
perceived risk of first-time strategies, there is
substantial perceived risk in developing countries, What are some methods of increasing
and there is perceived first-time investment manager
bankable projects in adaptation
risk. To address the potential or perceived risk of the
financing?
strategy, we set up a blended finance structure that
crowds in capital by providing a risk-mitigating junior CRAFT invests in two types of adaptation
equity layer. technologies and solutions. One is climate
resilience intelligence, and the other is climate
Second, CRAFT demonstrates that you can find
resilience solutions. You have to solve two
companies that are in the market that support
problems to create bankable projects: a data
adaptation and climate resilience today. To do this,
and analytics problem, and a products and
we first set out to define and then execute a strategy
services problem. You need analytics to see how
of investing in companies that help to either analyze
climate change risk may affect water, agriculture,
how climate risk plays out over the economy, or help
transportation, buildings, and healthcare. And
to manage physically or financially those risks and
you need products and services that address and
impacts increased by climate change.
manage those climate-enhanced risks at scale. If
How does CRAFT leverage blended you have both climate resilience intelligence and
solutions, then you can start to make large scale
finance?
climate resilience projects happen. That’s the
The CRAFT fund is a $185 million global growth intuition behind the CRAFT fund’s strategy; you
equity fund. It was designed to be a blended finance need to build massive capacity in climate resilience.
instrument with four-compartments. There’s a junior

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How do you see the fund evolving blending you need to mobilize capital will continue
over time? to be a question of what the perceived risk of the
strategy is to investors and what the perceived risk
On the uses of capital, we’re going to clearly prove
of those markets are right now.
you can generate commercial returns, and then
increasingly prove that at scale. The target is exactly Lastly the TA facility has proven to be extremely
what you should get from commercially-oriented important and useful because it dramatically
growth equity and private equity funds. The demand accelerates the deployment of these technologies
for these technologies and solutions is just exploding; and pilots them in these developing countries.
these solutions are no longer a nice-to-have, they’re I see no way that’s not going to continue to be an
an absolute must. important feature going forward. You really want
to create a mechanism to rapidly deploy climate
Secondly on the sources of capital, to mobilize the
resilience technology into the most vulnerable
first fund for climate resilience adaptation required
countries, and blending is absolutely important
overcoming a lot of perceived risk. How much
for those kinds of strategies.

NATURE-BASED SOLUTIONS
Nature-based solutions (NbS) harness the power A growing source of funding for NbS is the voluntary
of nature to boost natural ecosystems, biodiversity, carbon market. The value of the global voluntary
and human well-being to address major societal carbon market reached over $1 billion for the first
issues, including climate change. NbS examples time in 2021. By 2030, that market could be worth
include restoring ecosystems, such as drained between $5-$30 billion, with an estimated two-thirds
peatlands, improving agricultural management of this channeled into NbS. While there remain
practices, and protecting landscapes to limit challenges associated with the use of voluntary carbon
deforestation. NbS can contain elements of credits, if investments are made with due diligence,
mitigation, such as how restoring drained peatlands high quality NbS credits can support reducing and
increases CO2 absorption from the atmosphere by removing CO2 emissions, protecting and restoring
creating a carbon sink. nature, and ensuring communities both benefit from
As with other climate change solutions, NbS are and are active participants in the projects.
chronically underfunded. The UNEP State of Finance In recent years, the World Resources Institute has
for Nature report found that while finance flows refined its guidance on the use of voluntary NbS
to NbS are currently worth $154 billion annually, carbon credits. The guiding principles behind their
flows would need to more than double by 2025 to use include: credits must ensure environmental
$384 billion and more than triple to $484 billion by integrity and represent NbS that respect the
2030 to keep climate change below a 1.5 degree rights and livelihoods of Indigenous and local
C increase, halt biodiversity loss and achieve land communities while safeguarding biodiversity; an
degradation neutrality. Moreover, private sector organization should be on a mitigation pathway
investment in NbS must increase by several orders aligned with limiting warming to 1.5 degrees C; and
of magnitude in the coming years from the current its use of NbS credits must supplement, not reduce,
$26 billion per year, which represents only 17 per the pace of emissions reductions in its
cent of total NbS investment. own operations and value chain.

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BNDES is already considering the importance of
using carbon credits for Brazil’s forested land, and
how the carbon credit structure can be partnered
with other blended finance archetypes to further
de-risk a transaction. As one respondent noted:
“We need some kind of guarantee fund for forestry
in Brazil. The land has limited value, so the value
will be in the carbon credits that will be created if
the forests are recovered and maintained. Most of
the companies active in this space are also relatively
new. It’ll be very important to have a fund that can
provide guarantees for these kinds of projects, to
help boost investment in forests in Brazil and Brazil
comply with its NDCs.”
While the voluntary carbon market represents
one potential growing source of funding, NbS
continue to face other challenges. For example,
while data collection and measurement strategies
are challenges faced in climate finance overall,
especially adaptation financing, as previously noted,
the GCF found that the conceptual framework for
measuring and understanding biodiversity-related
financial risks is even less advanced compared with
progress made in climate finance. UNEP notes
not only are the benefits often difficult to quantify
and value, but also NbS are often implemented in
combination with other interventions, leading to
further complications in distinguishing its impacts.
Other challenges that hinder investment into NbS
include the limited awareness, understanding and
agreement around NbS; difficulties regarding the
coordination and cooperation across administrative
levels, governmental structures, and jurisdictional
boundaries; disincentives motivated by a tragedy
of the commons, whereby investors are not
compensated for externalities brought about from
the NbS; and time lags and spatial variability in
outcomes that can mean the success of any given
transaction is difficult to agree upon.
NbS can span several sectors, including forestry
and agriculture. As Charles Karangwa, Global Head
of Nature-based Solutions at IUCN, noted:
“We see huge opportunities in regenerative
and sustainable agriculture. When you look
at where the supply chain for food is going, in
the coming years the market will change such
that food produced with high impact on the

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environment will be criticized in the market Debt-for-nature swaps, however, will continue to
system. The private sector needs to align to require de-risking to get higher credit ratings, lower
that change in market demand and start interest rates, and optimize the savings realizable
investing in regenerative farming and food by sovereigns. One commercial investor noted,
production systems. Supporting sustainable “Guarantees and political risk insurance have
food supply chains touches all the productive been the two main de-risking tools we’ve seen
sectors, from water systems to how our most often, but the challenge we have now is a
electricity is produced.” shortage in the number of providers; the market
There is a growing need to focus NbS funding on is very dependent on the NGO community to
marine solutions. According to UNEP, investment bear the balance of guarantee provision, over
in marine ecosystems accounts for only 9% of and above what MDBs are providing. We need
total investment in NbS, which is low given the to dramatically increase the facilities and the
importance of oceans in climate mitigation and solutions that are available to us.”
supporting adaptation. Current annual investment Commercial banks have been the primary debt
in marine protected areas is $980 million, whereas provider for NbS, leaving opportunities for an
terrestrial protected areas receive almost $23 billion. increase in the use of equity. The commercial
UNEP further found that the annual finance gap to investor, however, has not seen this occur in
increase marine protected areas to 30% by 2030 is the market:
$8–$11 billion.
“That kind of patient equity capital role is critical;
Innovative financing solutions for the blue and even before that, a real challenge for us
economy, however, are becoming more in financing NbS is that everything is at the
mainstream. For example, the Belize blue bond feasibility stage, and the quantum in terms of
is part of the Nature Conservancy’s (TNC) Blue the funding required at that stage is too small
Bonds for Conservation program, an initiative for us to be looking at it. There’s a real gap in
designed to help developing countries protect the market where a number of these projects
their marine resources by assisting them in buying are falling into a valley of death. Whether that’s
back and restructuring sovereign debt. Proceeds solved through grant capital or more angel VC
from a TNC-issued blue bond enabled Belize to funding is yet to be seen. But ultimately, for us
repurchase its outstanding Eurobond debt at a looking to deploy debt finance into NbS projects,
discount. Savings from the restructuring will be we’re surprised by the lack of projects that are
earmarked for coastal conservation activities. available to us.”
Finally, water infrastructure transactions, which
“Only 13% of increase the climate resilience of water systems
through new, replaced, retrofitted, or upgraded
investors’ financial infrastructure, while another key climate adaptation

commitments to
sub-sector, has been decreasing in transaction
count. Accounting for 12% of blended adaptation

climate blended finance and hybrid transactions in 2017-2019 and just 6%


from 2020-2022, water infrastructure transactions

transactions went range from built infrastructure assets to NbS,


like restoring wetlands and other ecosystems to

to deals with a pure recharge groundwater levels and mitigate flood risk.
An innovative example of blended finance in water

adaptation focus.” infrastructure is the Global Fund for Coral Reefs

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(GFCR), an equity investment vehicle exclusively 2 proof of concept grants; and a $500 million
targeting SDG14 (Life Below Water) and improved blended investment window which will deploy
adaptive resilience of coral reefs. GFCR comprises long-term equity financing.
two sub-funds: The Fund targets 20-30 control positions in companies,
1 a $125 million grant window aimed at developing projects and platforms, with eligible investees
the fund’s pipeline through TA, project operating in sustainable ocean production, ecotourism,
development funding and or sustainable blue economy infrastructure sectors.

ADAP TATION BLENDED FINANCE INVESTORS


Between 2020-2022, only 13% of investors’ of commercially priced commitments by deal count
financial commitments to climate blended finance to blended adaptation and mitigation-adaptation
transactions went to deals with a pure adaptation transactions from 2020-2022. There is a greater
focus, while 29% of commitments went to deals with need, however, for private sector investors to fund
a hybrid mitigation-adaptation focus. Development adaptation transactions.
agencies and multi-donor funds were the main
Figure 45: Proportion 1%
providers of concessional financing to adaptation
of commitments to
and mitigation-adaptation transactions, accounting adaptation blended
for 64% of concessional commitments by deal finance & hybrid
count in 2020-2022. MDBs and DFIs will also have blended finance
transactions, 57%
an important role to play in financing adaptation 64%
2020-2022
finance. While the number of MDBs with publicly
Commercial Investor
announced targets for adaptation remain limited,
Development Agency
there are signs of progress. For example, the World DFI / MDB
Bank Group recently announced that it will make Foundation / NGO 4%
adaptation and resilience a key priority of its 2025 Impact Investor

climate change targets, and will elevate it to equal 27% 15%

footing with climate mitigation.


15%
With each blended transaction mobilizing financing 3%
from at least one private sector investor, commercial 9% 5%
investors have provided financing to the bulk (57%) Commercial Concessional
Commitments Commitments

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PART V:
COUNTRY-
LEVEL
PLATFORMS
IN CLIMATE
BLENDED
FINANCE
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PART V :
COUNTRY-LEVEL
PLATFORMS IN CLIMATE
BLENDED FINANCE
The world is facing a crucial moment in its pursuit of specific needs. By empowering individual countries
sustainable development and a fair transition to clean to take charge of their journey toward a sustainable,
energy. The looming challenges of climate change and low-carbon economy while effectively securing the
environmental issues have shown how interconnected necessary financial resources, country-level platforms
nations are, highlighting the urgent need for global become significant for climate blended finance.
cooperation. However, this path towards sustainability With the increasing urgency of scaling climate
is full of obstacles, especially for developing countries. financing to enable developing markets to achieve
Despite progress in financing climate-related projects their net zero commitments, radical changes to the
in wealthier nations, ensuring that the world’s most international finance architecture have recently been
vulnerable countries equally receive vital financial proposed. The creation of country-level mechanisms
resources remains a distant goal. that can foster collaboration and a shared focus
A reconfiguration of how money flows for climate- between governments, leverage and connect private
related projects is needed to ensure fairness finance with NDC-aligned projects, and coordinate
and justice in the energy transition. This is where and channel TA, has been identified as critical to
country-led national financing plans become crucial. mobilizing climate blended finance at scale. The
These strategies act as central platforms, bringing JETPs are one example of country-level platforms in
together various sources of funding for development climate blended finance.
and climate-related goals, all tailored to a nation’s

UNPACKING JETPs
JETPs are financing mechanisms that aim to help capital needed to de-risk investment in the energy
coal-dependent emerging economies transition transition. The first JETP launched at COP26, focusing
towards renewable energy sources while supporting on South Africa. JETPs have since been launched in
communities affected by the move away from coal Indonesia and Vietnam, while a Senegalese JETP was
production and consumption by investing in social also announced in 2023.
initiatives such as alternative job creation and training. Convergence interviewed a selection of stakeholders
JETPs are multilateral funding agreements supported on the challenges and opportunities facing JETPs.
by donor countries within the International Partners Insights from these conversations are summarized
Group (IPG) composed of the European Union, the below. The full interviews are available in the Appendix
UK, the US, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, Canada, of this report.
Denmark, and Norway, who provide the concessional

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HOW SIMILAR IS THE JETP MODEL TO BLENDED FINANCE?
Jonathan Phillips, Director of the James E. Rogers John Murton, Senior Sustainability Advisor at
Energy Access Project at Duke University, notes that Standard Chartered Bank, notes that we should
JETPs with a bottom-up, social safety net component distinguish between blended finance at the project
(e.g., job training for coal workers) can be seen as a level and the program-level. Within a blended
more purposeful form of blended finance. Blended finance program (like a JETP), many projects can
transactions aren’t typically tied to a government’s be funded on a completely commercial basis
reform agenda but are driven instead by individual but still fall within the JETP umbrella. Within such
fund managers, who often have more accountability frameworks, donors agree to leave the funding of
than a JETP’s secretariat, given that they have commercially viable projects (e.g., renewables) to
monitorable track records that can help inspire the private sector, so that concessional capital can
confidence and raise capital. While investors also be directed to projects that will be hard to finance
generally look to avoid politics, JETPs are inherently purely commercially e.g., coal phase-outs; retraining
political, offering concessional finance to help distill of workers; expanding the grid to cope with the
political priorities to sectors and populations most variability of renewables, etc.
in need of support. Blended finance and JETPs
both lack easy models of efficiency and replicability,
however, with steep learning curves for both.

WHAT CHALLENGES HAS THE JETP MODEL FACED?


Jackson Ewing, Director of Energy and Climate Policy One JETP stakeholder notes that the headline
at the Nicholas Institute of Energy, Environment & monetary figures pledged to JETPs are not collective,
Sustainability, Duke University, observes that the fungible, or flexible pools of capital. With each
JETPs suffer from increasing incoherence between pledge representing different mixes of finance,
the different sources of public finance. The varied JETP countries must work out what finance is being
agendas, approaches, and conditions different provided from what sources, and the terms and
donors place on their financing has led to a difficult conditions of accessing it, which isn’t optimal.
set of conditions to be met by the JETP country’s Murton notes that a key constraint with the JETPs
government, affecting its ability to effectively is the project pipeline, which in some cases is too
galvanize private sector financing as desired. narrow to deliver the goals of the JETP: there’s only
Phillips observes that while tracking how donors’ a trickle of projects coming through the pipeline
concessional dollars are ultimately allocated can be because of the historical regulatory environment.
difficult in a typical blended transaction, particularly at In order to deliver the goals of the JETP, the MDBs
the fund level, it’s even harder to do with JETPs since and concessional finance may need to support the
you’re essentially dealing with less accountable fund development of a larger pipeline of projects, with the
managers. Therefore, there are practical challenges private sector financing what’s coming out the other
in terms of where the money deployed to a JETP end. Delivering at scale will be the challenge: the
sits and how it gets allocated, which is at odds with temptation of putting too much concessional capital
donors’ need for clear deliverables and transparency. into individual projects that could be funded by
JETPs are also more open-ended and dependent on private capital must be avoided.
regulatory reform than typical blended transactions,
so there’s more uncertainty and deploying capital
can take longer, which also makes it harder for
participants in the agreement.

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HOW CAN THE JETP MODEL BE IMPROVED?
Ewing suggests that the model could be Rizky Fauzianto, Manager for Southeast Asia, Global
inverted. Investment plans more explicitly South Program, Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI),
designed to attract energy transition finance notes that with greater transparency over how much
could be developed from the ground up in of what types of financing will be provided and how
collaboration with potential financing countries it will be provided to recipient countries, the latter
beyond the G7 and private sector operators. can better estimate emissions targets and provide
Rather than high-level agreements on capital more detailed, ambition-aligned investment plans.
deployment preceding the creation of Also, an early stated goal of the JETP process was
investment plans, the latter are created first and to create a single consortium or point of contact
integrated within the recipient country’s broader from the donor side to support effective discussions
energy-mix goals. This can be supported by and planning with recipient countries. At present,
TA from a range of actors, modeling different however, recipient governments must discuss
energy systems and build outs and their price potential priority projects with each donor. Finally,
and emissions implications, with adequate a common set of data, models, and corresponding
training on climate finance being provided by technical analysis with full transparency on
governments, civil society organizations, and assumptions and inputs is critical to setting targets
academic institutions. and aligning on just transition pathways.

KEY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR JETPs


With renewable energy generation and decarbonization being central to the climate transition, climate
blended finance practitioners should look to support JETPs. However, JETPs face a multitude of challenges,
as explored above. Convergence proposes the following action items to address these challenges:

1 JETP DONORS SHOULD SPEAK WITH A SINGLE VOICE.

The time and resource-intensiveness of JETP stated exactly how much financing they can provide
governments navigating competing donor agendas and in what forms from the outset. Donors should also
should be addressed by donors forming a single point consider committing to collective investment vehicles
of contact with which JETP governments can interact. that can reflect and balance different donor priorities
JETPs’ efficiency would also be enhanced if donors and commit financing coherently.

2 JETP DONORS & COUNTRIES SHOULD BET TER DELINEATE PRIORIT Y AREAS
FOR CONCESSIONAL AND PRIVATE SECTOR FINANCE.

Donors and JETP countries should identify what is funding needs, and reform proposals as a first step,
and isn’t financeable by the private sector as early as which can then be marketed to potential financing
possible, direct concessional resources solely to areas partners. Donors and philanthropic organizations
currently unfinanceable by the private sector alone, should also support JETP countries with TA to help
and develop pipelines of bankable projects for the develop their investment plans and to help produce
private sector to invest in. Donors and JETP countries the technical modeling that should precede the
should also consider developing energy transition creation of JETP targets.
investment plans outlining different funding options,

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PART VI:
WHERE CAN
BLENDED
FINANCE
CONTRIBUTE?
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PART VI :
WHERE CAN BLENDED
FINANCE CONTRIBUTE?
The State of Blended Finance 2022 identified participation from investors domiciled in developing
several key challenges to achieving scale within markets. While these challenges and others persist,
climate blended finance, such as coordinating and this year’s report focuses on where blended finance
implementing high-level capital mobilization plans, can directly contribute.
managing development trade-offs, and low levels of

1 Establishing a common taxonomy for adaptation


finance
At its core, blended finance is a tool that solves Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
for market failures. With respect to climate (TCFD). As shared by Kennedy of Standard
finance flows, one failure is the generation of Chartered,
positive and negative externalities in investment “Adaptation finance lacks a comprehensive
activity. For example, blended finance can price reference guide; that is, a set of rules and
externalities such as biodiversity and resilience. guidelines like there is with the green bond
To that end, adaptation becomes an immediate principles or the social bond principles. Investors
area where blended finance can contribute. really like when things are structured in a way
Adaptation finance remains underrepresented that they can understand and that’s acceptable
in the blended finance market, in line with to them and their end investors.”
overarching market findings. The investment
Moreover, with these risks being undervalued
barriers facing adaptation have been well-
within investment opportunities, adaptation will
documented. One fundamental issue underlying
continue to be seen as a “cost additive”.
many of these barriers is the lack of a clear
As shared by Koh:
taxonomy stating the parameters of what
climate adaptation constitutes. “There are very clear situations where resilience
is not cost-additive, such as water efficiency
As shared by Koh of The Lightsmith Group,
– just like energy efficiency, water efficiency
“Adaptation needs to be seen as a broad and saves money and increases resilience. The
expansive category. The conceptualization assumption that everything that’s adaptation
of climate adaptation must be changed first; or climate resilience has no business model
this in turn will be reflected in the pipeline of or costs more money is an illusion.”
solutions that address the issue.”
To this end, GARI and others are working to
At present, adaptation and physical risk develop metrics and standards that provide
disclosures have not been widely integrated a path forward on how physical climate risks
within robust regulatory bodies such as the Task should be priced into investments. Meanwhile,

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initiatives such as ASAP (Adaptation SME “There is a need to start looking at the adaptation
Accelerator Project) have developed a / energy nexus, because we need to find projects
taxonomy to better identify and qualify adaptive that are commercial and near commercial. It may
technologies and companies, recognizing that be difficult to find commercial projects in other
climate adaptive solutions span many vehicles. sectors, where the revenue streams aren’t necessarily
For example, the Joint Methodology for there yet. A better understanding of adaptation
Tracking Climate Adaptation Finance is investments in the energy sector can help to spur
conservative in that only the “project element” investments in adaptation investments.”
of adaptation activities within the overall In addition to adaptation, there is a need for
transaction is reported as adaptation finance. more taxonomies that apply to other key themes
This is to ensure that adaptation finance is not in climate, such as nature-based solutions and
overreported within projects. To properly track transition finance. IFC’s Biodiversity Reference
adaptation finance, more harmonized guidelines Guide provides a structured approach to
on accounting methodologies are needed. demystifying what biodiversity finance means
Additionally, a more expansive definition of to investors. GFANZ is refining its definition
adaptation comports with what our data reveals. of transition finance to guide institutional
Convergence data shows that one-third of total investors on eligible investments that promote
climate financing is invested in hybrid solutions. decarbonization. Ultimately, if the broader
Most strikingly, 45% of institutional investments climate finance community begins to effectively
into climate finance are in hybrid solutions, outline a taxonomy for adaptation, concessional
compared to 35% in mitigation and 20% in players could pay for adaptation benefits that
adaptation. are otherwise not monetizable. Furthermore,
MDBs could also disclose and generate more
Similar sentiments were echoed by Tam at the
data to support measuring benefits which will
IEA, who shares:
help scale blended finance.

2 Mitigating Currency Risk


In developing and emerging economies, currency drastically impact viability, given the need for
volatility has often deterred consistent and major upfront investments and long-term
substantive investment in climate initiatives. returns. Introducing first-loss capital tranches,
This volatility is accentuated by high-interest where public funds absorb currency shocks
environments, contributing to an even greater over the life of the investment, can safeguard
currency risk. private investor capital. Local currency swap
Blended finance can directly address and facilities, also supported by public capital,
mitigate these issues in climate and the broader shield investments from exchange rate swings.
development landscape. By combining public For example, an MDB could offer hedging
and private capital strategically, blended finance products and credit enhancements to a solar
can create a more resilient and risk-mitigated project facing local currency devaluation and
environment for climate adaptation and extended payback - reducing perceived risk
mitigation transactions in developing economies. and ensuring continuity.

For mitigation projects, like large-scale Adaptation transactions are oriented towards
renewable energy, currency fluctuations can equipping economies and communities for the
realities of a changing climate. These projects

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inherently demand more flexible financing facilities combined with risk-sharing mechanisms
models. Public investors can mitigate risk by that evenly distribute exposure.
offering local currency-denominated debt, The ability of blended finance to address
shielding projects from foreign exchange currency risks opens the door for substantially
volatility. For instance, a coastal defense initiative greater engagement from risk-averse
combating rising sea levels could benefit from private institutional investors in emerging
debt financing in local currency, allowing funding market climate projects. With tailored de-
consistency amid external shocks. Grants that risking structures enabled by public capital
fortify local financial institutions’ ability to gauge participation, perceived threats of currency
and manage currency risks also breed confidence. fluctuations can be minimized to levels that
Hybrid mitigation-adaptation transactions need no longer impede investment. This crowds in
multi-pronged currency risk strategies, given private finance at a greater scale to fund sizable
their dual objectives. An agroforestry project adaptation infrastructure, renewable energy
blending carbon sequestration with agricultural assets, nature-based solutions, and more.
resilience could thrive with revolving credit

3 Framing country-level platforms & partnerships


Blended finance can also directly contribute to
the framing of large initiatives like JETPs, which
promises that a model that works in one
country can be easily replicated in another.
represent a massive interlinked set of actions by a JETPs tend to have higher transaction costs
multitude of parties. Blended finance is effectively as you’re usually doing one for the first time
a structuring approach that places parties into or without having a lot of prior experience.
specific roles that line up with their mandates. This kind of learning curve aligns with the
In thinking of a JETP as a meta-blended finance experience of blended finance in general.”
transaction, those leading their design may find Relatedly, Pinko at CPI has a similar application of
a ready language for identifying the requirements blended finance to country-level financing platforms
and motivations of each of the players and a in terms of standardizing and categorizing.
smoother pathway toward separating actions
“Each country’s situation is unique, but there
and expenditures out into those best taken on
are common principles starting to emerge that
by national governments, community leaders,
can be leveraged to improve these country
regulated and unregulated investors, and
platforms. There can be some standardization
international bodies.
in terms of how the risk sharing approaches
A blended finance partnership framing with and instruments needed in JETP countries are
respect to stakeholder roles and responsibilities identified, as well as the relevant partners.
can also help mitigate non-financial risks related Early involvement of key stakeholders like labor
to political actors, institutions, governance, and groups, community groups, and the private
regulatory models. With respect to incorporating sector is widely applicable.”
the conceptual characteristics of blended finance
Country-level financing platforms, underpinned
to country-level platforms like JETPs, Phillips of
by blended finance risk sharing frameworks,
Duke University explains,
can foster the specific alignment of national
“I like the comparison [with blended finance] development priorities, climate policy initiatives,
because it emphasizes how hard this is. There’s and global financing ambitions as well as
not an easy handbook explaining how to the broader outcome of methodizing and
do JETPs effectively and efficiently, or which categorizing for replication.

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4 Optimizing the use of technical assistance
Blended finance plays a pivotal role in advancing
climate financing goals through its provision of
may collaborate with the government to design
tax incentives for clean energy projects. These
TA, offering targeted support to various aspects policy adjustments help create a favorable
of climate projects. Firstly, it helps mitigate risks investment climate, making it more appealing
inherent in climate initiatives by bolstering the for private investors to engage.
capacity of local stakeholders to identify, assess, TA additionally facilitates the establishment of
and manage risks effectively. For example, in a robust monitoring and reporting systems. These
renewable energy project in a developing country, systems ensure that climate projects adhere
blended finance partners may provide TA to local to sustainability standards and transparency
authorities, equipping them with the skills and requirements. Finally, TA can help address the
knowledge needed to evaluate environmental data gaps that currently exist in climate risk
risks and ensure compliance with sustainability mitigation models, as well as fund the creation
standards. of accessible knowledge products on best
TA further extends to building local capacity practices in structuring climate blended finance
through targeted training and skills development transactions. Developing programs and creating
programs. This investment in human capital information databases that incorporate broad
ensures the long-term success and sustainability knowledge that can be easily accessed could in
of blended climate initiatives. For instance, in turn create a stronger ecosystem for investment.
a climate-resilient infrastructure project, TA Convergence found that TA mainly provides
may enhance the local construction company support for renewable energy and agriculture
capacities in eco-friendly building practices and transactions, meaning its usefulness in climate
disaster preparedness. blended finance is already being recognized by
TA also contributes to creating an enabling investors and concessional grant providers.
environment for climate investments by Overall, optimizing the use of TA in these ways
assisting governments in formulating climate- allows blended finance to better leverage
friendly policies and regulatory frameworks. In concessional capital to strengthen climate
a developing country aiming to attract private financing efforts in a comprehensive manner.
investment in renewable energy, TA partners

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5 Reducing financing costs for firms investing in the
climate transition through national green banks
The creation of national green banks (public- “Some local companies in Rwanda providing
purpose finance institutions dedicated to domestic decarbonized solutions were looking for more
green investment) can help to address the concessional financing opportunities. This
different challenges raising the cost of climate was one of the inspirations for the creation
project financing for private investors, offering a of Rwanda’s Green Investment Facility, Ireme
degree of latitude in designing and implementing Invest, which was launched at COP27 by
interventions and a focus on cost-effectiveness H.E. President Paul Kagame. It provides
and performance. National green banks may not only guarantees, which used to be the
be created as standalone institutions, or where global orthodox way of financing the private
possible, integrated within DFIs in order to sector, but looks to further lower the cost of
leverage existing infrastructure. For example, the financing by a very unique blended finance
Climate Financing Facility (CFF) is a specialized approach. The feedback from our private
lending facility and green bank housed within sector was that guarantees were necessary
the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA) but not sufficient to effectively reduce the
designed to increase private investment in climate- cost of financing; the Development Bank of
related infrastructure projects in the Southern Rwanda has also recently launched local
African Development Community. National green currency sustainability-linked bonds, which
banks leverage their local expertise by developing positions Rwanda as an ideal investment
innovative finance and market development destination for sustainable investments.”
solutions, from providing credit enhancements Ireme Invest consists of a project preparation
via loan-loss reserves or loan guarantees, facility at Rwanda Green Fund, which offers
to providing TA, to underwriting and then grants to advance projects towards bankability,
aggregating small-scale loans that can then be and a credit facility at the Development Bank
sold to the private sector. As noted by Thierry of Rwanda, which offers credit guarantees and
Watrin, Green Economy Advisor to the Minister concessional loans.
of Finance, Rwanda:

6 Managing transition finance for coal decommissioning


Blended finance is a key tool in facilitating
transition financing and coal decommissioning
approach for market adjustments. Innovative
finance mechanisms that can help support the
imperatives within the EMDEs. These regions phase-out process, as well as clarity on what
often grapple with the dual challenge of rapid constitutes transition finance, are needed.
industrialization and the need for sustainable, GFANZ has provided guidelines on managing
low-carbon development. As the world pivots the phaseout of coal-fired power plants and the
away from coal and other high-emission energy role of blended finance in this process. In June
sources, the phasing out of coal operations 2023, GFANZ’s APAC Network launched a public
in these economies is both an environmental consultation on its proposed set of voluntary
and developmental imperative. However, the guidance for financing the early retirement of
prohibitive costs and complexities involved in coal-fired power plants in Asia-Pacific as part of
such a transition necessitate a nuanced financial a just net zero transition. The consultation was

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targeted at financial institutions with the goal of
understanding what incentives are needed in
order to increase their participation in managed
phase-out transactions. Given that power stations
in Asia are relatively young, a rapid phaseout
risks stranding assets and will create investment
losses for plant owners. As such, blended finance
will have an important role to play in re-aligning
financial incentives. GFANZ’s Consultation names
blended finance as a central financial level in
enabling coal phaseouts, through the provision of
concessional capital from MDBs and DFIs that can
be used to refinance assets and reduce the cost
of capital.
Finally, the use of carbon credits is one avenue
being explored to support the coal transition.
For example, MAS and McKinsey have recently
launched a working paper that sets out the
incorporation of high-integrity carbon credits as a
complementary financing instrument to accelerate
and scale the early retirement of coal fired power
plants (CFPPs). This involves a few key elements:
1 quantifying the economic gap as well as
the financing needed for the transaction
to be viable;
2 leveraging revenue from the sale of high-
integrity transition credits generated from
retiring a CFPP early;
3 having a combination of different
undertakings as mitigants against key
transaction risks; and
4 assessing and implementing measures
to ensure a just transition.

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PART VII:
RECOMMENDATIONS

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PART VII :
RECOMMENDATIONS
How can the donor and investor community address at scale? Convergence’s recommendations as an
the challenges facing climate blended finance to both independent field builder in blended finance are as
identify the appropriate blended finance architectures follows.
in developing regions and drive private investments

1 MDBs & DFIs should integrate climate and private


sector mobilization KPIs into their operating
models and prioritize data and analytics
As the largest source of public funds into 3 Originate and arrange financial assets in
blended finance and the most active investor low demand by investors, but having high
set, MDBs and DFIs have a critical role to financial and developmental additionality,
play in scaling blended finance for climate. and hold those assets on their balance
Convergence has previously outlined how sheets when they cannot be distributed to
MDBs and DFIs can increase their private blended finance vehicles and investors.
sector mobilization targets for blended finance. Moreover, additionally instituting measurable
Namely, Convergence recommends that MDB KPIs such as the reduction of GHG emissions
and DFI shareholders establish a set of strategic or the number of communities made resilient
KPIs that would guide MDB/DFI management to climate induced changes will improve
to prioritize deeper integration with the private accountability and better align with global
capital required to achieve the SDGs and fully climate objectives in allowing these institutions
embrace a de-risking partnership with donor to track contributions to climate financing
governments and philanthropic foundations effectively.
consistent with their existing risk mandates.
There is a need to rethink data and analytics
MDB/DFI financial contributions to this more
paradigms and MDBs and DFIs are ideally
integrated approach would be through three
positioned to spearhead a move towards more
types of financial commitments:
forward-looking analytics. These institutions
1 Originate and arrange higher amounts are mandated to ensure that their endorsed
of financial assets in strong demand by projects and initiatives are informed by
investors, and distribute them to blended predictive data that accurately captures the
finance vehicles and investors. nature of climate risks. To truly drive solutions,
2 Invest in mezzanine positions in blended these institutions need insights into the
finance vehicles aligned with existing MDB/ interplay between adaptation sub-sectors,
DFI risk mandates, thereby creating more such as agriculture, and structural factors like
investment assets that meet the fiduciary transportation and healthcare. Transitioning
obligations of private sector investors. from a limited, infrastructure-centric perspective

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to a comprehensive approach encompassing banks to align on local climate plans. By working
entire economies and societies is vital to ensure closely with national banks, MDBs and DFIs can
projects holistically address the dynamic and ensure that their strategies are in harmony
changing nature of our environment. with local climate needs, leveraging their global
As noted by Koh, creating bankable projects in perspective and resources to magnify the impact
climate adaptation will require two problems of localized efforts. The IMF underscores the
being solved: data and analytics on the one pivotal role of MDBs in green infrastructure
hand, and products and services on the other. projects in less developed economies and
Analytics is required to establish the intersection highlights that by taking on a larger share of
between adaptation sub-sectors like agriculture equity finance, adopting a more sizeable risk
and structural factors like transportation, appetite, and mobilizing additional resources,
buildings, and healthcare. That information these institutions can meaningfully advance
must then be applied to products and services climate objectives.
addressing those challenges at scale. The issue The IMF shares the below suggestions on
at hand, Koh observes, is the backwards looking the role of MDBs and DFIs in scaling climate
nature of existing data: blended finance:
“We’ve had weather data for a long time, “MDBs and DFIs are crucial to help set up
and we have data on supply chains, how climate projects in low-income countries.
they’re affected by weather as well as data They can also help design and implement
on agriculture stress and water scarcity, innovative financial instruments to leverage
and so on. The problem is that the data is private investment and provide risk absorption
mostly backward-looking. The complexity of capacity. A larger share of equity finance by
the environment and the risks it presents are these institutions, combined with greater risk
going to become increasingly challenging. appetite and additional resources, would help
Thinking about adaptation solely in terms achieve these objectives.”
of infrastructure is counterproductive and For less developed economies, green
limiting. Instead, you need to think about infrastructure projects will remain a key
the whole economy and all of society and instrument, and MDBs will naturally play a
adapt all of that forever to a new set of key and long-standing role in developing such
conditions that will forever be changing. You projects. More climate financing resources
have to assume the world’s going to change could be channeled through MDBs to support
and keep changing forever.” such projects by increasing their capital base
In that context, development banks need to and reconsidering their approaches to risk
adjust their data and analytics for the reality of appetite via partnerships with the private sector
future climate change, Koh observes; creating, supported by governance and management
for example, hydropower forecast data that oversight. Ensuring internationally interoperable
adjusts for future drought conditions, and then sustainable finance taxonomies and climate
requiring that this kind of data and analytics is disclosures is essential to avoid fragmentation.
present in the projects that they fund. Together with other international bodies, the
In fostering climate projects in low-income IMF can play an important coordination and
nations, collaboration is key. MDBs and DFIs facilitation role, especially for countries that
must deepen their partnerships with national got Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF)
financing arrangements.”

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2 Optimize structures to navigate non-financial risks
Climate blended finance transactions in By deepening collaboration, such initiatives can
EMDEs continue to face myriad non-financial address challenges around the intricacies of
risks from political volatility, the influence of individual markets, the rule of law, and other
geopolitical actors, regulatory challenges, policy country-specific nuances. Creating platforms that
inconsistencies, and varying degrees of rule allow for transparent dialogue and risk-sharing
of law. While addressing the root causes of among stakeholders will enhance the efficacy of
country risk would require long term institutional blended finance transactions.
and structural reforms, many of which are Regulatory impediments and policy issues often
underway, that method alone will not deliver remain and stifle climate finance objectives.
the needed level of de-risking quickly enough. IMF explains that to better mobilize private
Therefore addressing such correlated risks capital, the market will need to tilt away from the
is crucial to harness the potential of blended fossil fuel sector, which is hampered by price
finance. A strategic approach that interlinks volatility and supply disruptions. The market will
country-led partnership platforms, enhanced also need to embrace certain policy objectives
policy frameworks, and central bank guidance including more effective carbon pricing, closing
can transform some of these obstacles into the climate-related data gaps and establishing
opportunities, leading to improved climate a more developed climate information
finance outcomes. architecture, improving data disclosures, and
One of the prominent non-financial risks faced incentivizing R&D. Further, certain EMDEs can
in emerging markets is political risk, including benefit from the IMF Resilience and Sustainability
the potential for abrupt policy shifts, regulatory Trust (RST) financing. This is a financing facility
instability, or the expropriation of assets. that could play a catalytic role by helping develop
Geopolitical actors, particularly in regions with a conducive investment climate through reforms
ongoing disputes or strategic competitions, can that improve the regulatory environment.
further compound this risk, potentially deterring Finally, the role of central banks in climate
private sector involvement further. It’s crucial blended finance cannot be understated. They
for blended finance structures to continue to are strategically positioned to amplify the reach
incorporate mechanisms that safeguard against and impact of blended finance in emerging
these political and geopolitical dynamics. For markets by identifying and mitigating regulatory
example MIGA provides political risk insurance and policy impediments. MAS clarifies,
and credit enhancement to investors and lenders
“Central banks can play a role in identifying
and has used the IDA Private Sector Window to
potential regulatory, market or policy barriers
do so on concessional terms. The presence of
that hamper the scaling up of climate
such guarantees also serves to fortify country-
transactions as well as foster increased public-
led partnership platforms, ensuring that all
private collaboration to meet the mid-century
stakeholders have confidence in the stability
net zero targets.”
and sustainability of their investments. Country-
led partnership models can themselves prove
transformative in mitigating non-financial risks.

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VOICES FROM THE FIELD:
Interview with MAS on How Governments and Regulators
Can Support the Net Zero Transition

First, carbon pricing needs to be Third, having a reliable and


adopted more widely globally, and interoperable taxonomy
it needs to be higher and applied can help allay concerns surrounding potential
more broadly. greenwashing and reputational risks, and in turn
In ASEAN, only 4 out of 10 countries have implemented improve the credibility of cross-border transition
either a carbon tax or Emission Trading Scheme. financing flows. The Singapore-Asia and ASEAN
However, the right price on carbon sends a powerful taxonomies, which MAS has been involved in the
signal and is arguably the single most important development of, cover not only the green but also
measure to help decarbonise the economy. the amber categories to cater for the need for
significant transition in this part of the world. In
Second, globally recognised, credible addition, MAS will continue to be actively involved
and science-based sectoral transition in international forums to promote and achieve
interoperability across national taxonomies.
pathways are key in guiding transition
plans by financial institutions and Lastly, financial regulators should set
their clients, to enable the flow of clear supervisory expectations for
transition finance. financial institutions to have in place
Although credible science-based sectoral a sound transition planning process
pathways aligned with a 1.5C world are already and to develop and implement
in place for some sectors e.g., the IEA’s NZE
credible transition plans.
2050 scenario, many sectoral pathways do not
adequately consider the regional context. This is For Singapore, MAS has just published draft
important for the pathways to be implementable, supervisory guidance on transition planning for
as different regions face different socio-economic financial institutions for public consultation.
circumstances. MAS is engaging international
sectoral bodies, such as the IEA, to support the
development of credible decarbonization
pathways for Asia.

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3 Incorporate & integrate philanthropic capital
The landscape of climate finance has seen an
increasing shift towards utilizing various forms
A testament to the transformative role of
philanthropic capital can be observed in
of capital to address the monumental challenges initiatives supported by various foundations.
of climate change. While traditional donors For instance, the Good Energies Foundation’s
have always been at the forefront, integrating early-stage backing of grantees through the SDG
philanthropic capital offers a fresh, flexible, and Impact Finance Initiative’s Innovation Design
innovation-driven approach to financing climate Funding Window showcases how philanthropic
solutions. Philanthropic institutions, with their capital can unlock avenues for market
capacity for risk-taking and their commitment to acceleration and shape enabling environments.
creating social impact, have the potential to act as This funding window, backed in part by the
true catalysts, bridging gaps that other forms of UBS Optimus Foundation and the Credit Suisse
capital can’t. Between 2017-2022, philanthropic Foundation, acts as a market signal, spotlighting
organizations provided 10% of all concessional the innovative finance solutions that can
capital commitments to climate blended mobilize private capital for sustainable ventures
finance, indicating there is a large but unrealized in emerging markets.
opportunity to expand their participation in Furthermore, the emphasis by recognized
blended finance. As stated in Convergence’s philanthropies like the John D. and Catherine T.
Action Plan for Climate and SDG Investment MacArthur Foundation on climate solutions, or
Mobilization, co-authored with USAID, it is the ground-breaking work in the climate sector
essential that the supply of catalytic capital be by the Wallace Global Fund, exemplify the width
increased to achieve sufficient levels of private and depth of possibilities that philanthropic
sector mobilization, of which philanthropic capital capital can unearth. These institutions are not
represents a critical but underused source. only laying the demonstration trail for others,
Convergence finds that if deployed strategically, but also embedding climate solutions as a vital
catalytic capital could mobilize $286 billion in part of their philanthropic mandate.
private capital, seven times current levels of
Incorporating mechanisms such as PRIs can
mobilization by the entire development and
also be instrumental in deepening impact.
climate finance systems in a typical year, and
PRIs serve as a bridge, combining the intent of
14 times the average private direct mobilization
charitable giving with the mechanisms of below-
reported annually by the MDBs & DFIs.

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market investment, thus de-risking ventures and and other governmental and financial partners,
attracting more traditional forms of capital. When underscores the collective commitment of varied
combined with incentive-laden tax schemes, like stakeholders. By pooling resources, expertise,
that promoted by MAS to encourage single-family and outreach capabilities, GEAPP can significantly
offices to use Singapore as a base to conduct impact the climate finance landscape.
philanthropic activity, the benefits of philanthropic As the world grapples with the urgency of climate
capital become even stronger, offering both social change, the nimble, experimental, and impactful
impact and financial returns. Similar localized nature of philanthropic capital emerges as
efforts, like those in Brazil, where philanthropists an example of optimism and opportunity. By
and impact investors are pushing for tax code aligning with global and local mechanisms, and
amendments, are laying the groundwork for forging strong collaborations, philanthropic
innovative finance strategies. entities can lead the charge, setting new
Lastly, the inception of coalitions like GEAPP, frameworks for mobilizing the private sector
a robust alliance steered by three philanthropies, through climate blended finance.

4 Empower LDCs & champion bottom-up


approaches
The prevailing top-down approach to country tailors sustainability goals to national priorities,
finance platforms often prioritizes global leveraging local knowledge to address
climate transition aspirations and overlooks challenges. Similarly, the Africa Climate
the unique perspectives and expertise present Adaptation Country Compacts is a country-
within LDCs themselves. Redirecting the focus led tool and part of the African Adaptation
towards a more grounded, LDC-centric model Acceleration Program that delineates key
can yield robust, sustainable, and community- investment priorities, financing requirements,
aligned outcomes that better reflect on-the- and strategies to mobilize finance for
ground realities and priorities. Phillips, of Duke adaptation. These investment solutions will
University speaks to this directly noting, take a coordinated country-driven approach
“Developing countries must have a similar that connects the priorities of National
sense of what a just transition looks like; this Adaptation Plans and other national climate
must be locally determined through a bottom- strategies with financing from development
up consultative process to get something partners and the private sector. Ultimately.
durable that the private sector feels confident in robust climate blended finance adaptation
putting their money into. It can’t be some top- and mitigation initiatives require nuanced
down feasibility study pre-determining which understanding of ground-level challenges.
countries and which projects will be funded.” Proactive efforts by LDCs to engage the
LDCs possess intimate knowledge of their investment community can also boost pipeline
sectors and communities most vulnerable development and attract commercial capital.
to climate change impacts. By prioritizing Showcasing successful initiatives, presenting
interventions based on this local-based insight, clear data on returns, and demonstrating
LDCs can develop customized platforms that government support can serve as potent
resonate with local needs. For instance, SDG signals to the broader commercial investment
Indonesia One provides a roadmap that community. For example, Ethiopia has taken

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a significant proactive step in onboarding a and bottom-up realities. Partnerships across
dedicated blended finance advisor within its countries, sub-regions, and regions can create
Ministry of Finance. This not only indicates the a cascade of knowledge sharing and simplify
nation’s commitment but also serves as a best the investment process. For example, as noted
practice for other LDCs. By having dedicated by Ewing, greater South-South cooperation can
personnel or teams, LDCs can better prepare, help to improve the functioning of
develop, and launch projects, ensuring they future JETPs:
are aligned with investor expectations and “Internationally minded stakeholders could
local needs. help to bring actors in different developing
While each LDC faces unique circumstances, countries together in the development of their
universal priority sectors like agriculture, investment plans and roadmaps, facilitating
renewable energy, and infrastructure typically the sharing of learnings.”
require attention. Pinpointing these areas, Such collaborations can assist in fine-tuning
identifying opportunities in other urgent transaction designs, understanding best
sectors like sustainable food and clean water, practices, and launching projects with a higher
and demonstrating supportive policies and probability of success. Recognizing LDCs as
success stories, can position LDCs to best partners with insider insights, rather than just
engage with cross-border capital partners. as recipients, can empower them to spearhead
Bundling country-specific complexities into more inclusive climate finance country
digestible “packages” can further bridge the frameworks rooted in reality, sustainability,
gap between top-down conceptual approaches and inclusivity.

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APPENDIX

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A DEEP DIVE ON THE JETPs
Convergence interviewed a selection of stakeholders in scalable, and what measures the development
the JETP ecosystem. We explored their perspectives on community can take to better support the energy
challenges that the JETPs have faced, the opportunities transition in developing markets17.
that exist, the extent to which JETP models are

HOW SIMILAR IS THE JETP MODEL TO BLENDED FINANCE?


Phillips, Duke University: However, I like the comparison because it
emphasizes how hard this is. There’s not an easy
There are some slight differences. JETPs that can build
handbook explaining how to do JETPs effectively
local legitimacy by having a grant or social safety net
and efficiently, or which promises that a model
component (e.g., job training for coal workers) that
that works in one country can be easily replicated
is bottom-up and driven by the host country can be
in another. JETPs tend to have higher transaction
thought of as being a more purposeful and impact-
costs as you’re usually doing one for the first time or
oriented form of blended finance. Blended finance
without having a lot of prior experience. This kind of
transactions are not typically coupled to broader
learning curve aligns with the experience of blended
changes in government policy or a reform agenda,
finance in general.
but rather are shaped and driven by individual fund
managers, who in some ways have more accountability
Murton, Standard Chartered:
than the secretariat of a JETP. Fund managers have
track records that can be monitored, which can inspire We should distinguish between blended finance at
confidence and help in raising different types of capital. the project level - where you’re putting together a
A JETP’s secretariat, however, may lack the track record capital stack that meets the required rates of return
and accountability required to gain the trust of the for commercial lenders by including concessional
different investors needed for the JETP to work. finance from donors or philanthropy - and blended
finance at a program-level. Within a blended finance
The political component is also a key differentiator
program – like a JETP – many projects e.g., solar farms
between a typical blended finance approach and a
may be funded on a completely commercial basis.
JETP. In the investing world, we’re generally careful
Nevertheless, they fall beneath the JETP umbrella
about politics and want to avoid it. The whole benefit
and their bankability might have been improved
of a JETP, however, is that it is inherently political;
by reforms associated with the JETP. Within such
you’re dangling some concessional money out there
frameworks, donors agree to leave funding of
with the hope of it being a driver of a domestic
commercially viable projects (e.g., renewables) to
conversation that distills political priorities to the
the private sector, so that concessional capital can
sectors and populations that are in most need of
be directed to projects that will be hard to finance
support. You’re trying to use this process to build
purely commercially e.g., coal phase-outs; retraining
consensus around a set of finite projects identified as
of workers; expanding the grid to cope with the
being most important to the climate transition.
variability of renewables, etc.

17 Convergence interviewed the following individuals for this deep dive on JETPs: Jackson Ewing, Director of Energy and Climate Policy at the Nicholas
Institute of Energy, Environment & Sustainability, Duke University; Rizky Fauzianto, Manager for Southeast Asia, Global South Program, RMI; Claire
Healy, Senior Associate, E3G; John Murton, Senior Sustainability Advisor, Standard Chartered Bank; Nicole Pinko, Manager, CPI; and Jonathan
Phillips, Director of the James E. Rogers Energy Access Project, Duke University.

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WHAT CHALLENGES HAS THE JETP MODEL FACED?
Ewing, Duke University: deliverables and transparency in how the money
is spent at odds with how the committed financing
There is an increasing incoherence between the
has been allocated historically. A typical blended
different sources of public finance at the foundation
facility can also easily commit to deploying funds,
of the JETPs. This is the primary complaint of the
which aligns with how GPs and donors normally
recipient countries, even at an early stage in a
operate. JETPs, however, are a little more open-
country like Indonesia, where the varied agendas,
ended and are dependent on regulatory reform
approaches, and conditionalities placed on the
and other factors, so there’s more uncertainty
finance provided by different donors have led to
and deploying capital can take longer, which
a difficult set of conditions that have to be met by
makes it harder for participants in the
the Indonesian authorities. These conditions then
agreement as well.
must trickle down into their own commercial spaces.
In the absence of greater coherence, it might be
JETP Stakeholder:
difficult to see the sort of galvanized funding that
they seek to elicit. Of course, that doesn’t mean While the IPG donor countries pledged headline
there won’t be private sector or philanthropic monetary figures for the Indonesian and Vietnamese
funding. However, the evidence that JETPs, because JETPs, these were not collective pools of capital;
of their structures or approaches or goals, will they’re not as fungible and flexible as one would
necessarily be more successful at galvanizing true ideally like. Each IPG country pledged some money,
blended finance between the public and private with each pledge representing a different mix of
sector hasn’t been clear. finance; that is, some was TA, some was grants,
some was even guarantees rather than actual
Phillips, Duke University: lending. What the JETP countries end up having
to do is work out what the finance is that’s being
Tracking how each concessional dollar deployed is
provided, where it sits (e.g., an MDB, a DFI, or a
ultimately allocated can be difficult for donors in a
fund), and the terms and conditions of accessing it.
typical blended transaction, particularly at the fund
It’s not optimal. I don’t think there’s a world where
level, but it’s even harder at the JETP level because
donor countries suddenly stump up large sums
you’re essentially dealing with a less accountable
of high-quality, perfectly usable, fungible finance.
fund manager. MDBs have greater latitude to deploy
That’s not to say at some point in the future donors
concessional funds in a way that the fund manager
might not pool financing into a fund that can then
enjoys some flexibility over how the money is spent
be deployed more systematically, it’s just not where
while maintaining some kind of accountability, but
we’ve started from. However, one advantage to this
development agencies generally can’t do this in the
is that if a JETP country does have priorities that it
same way. They can’t deploy concessional funding to
doesn’t have the right kind of financing for, other
a JETP secretariat without more stringent
donors and financing partners can be solicited to fill
accountability metrics being in place.
the gap. Also, the JETPs do at least bring together
Consequently, there are real practical challenges governments, project developers, and private
in terms of where the money deployed to a finance, and you can problem solve on
JETP sits and how it gets doled out and who’s what can and cannot be financed.
responsible for which ribbon cuttings, and so
on. In the broader multilateral context, everyone Ewing, Duke University:
typically gets invited to the ribbon cutting so
I do recognize the value in bespoke finance
to speak, but that hasn’t been the JETP model
packages that are catered to the needs of specific
to date. Instead, each JETP has had a different
sectors and contexts and that raise the potential
configuration of individual donors committing
for governance reform in recipient countries.
concessional financing, with donors’ need for clear

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There is real value in putting forward these Murton, Standard Chartered:
country-level portfolio packages of finance as a A key constraint with the JETPs is the project pipeline,
target for recipient countries to chase, as inputs which in some cases is too narrow to deliver the
into a system that creates action that wouldn’t goals of the JETP: there’s only a trickle of projects
otherwise exist. That’s certainly been the case in coming through the pipeline because of the
South Africa and Indonesia, but the extent to which historical regulatory environment. In order to deliver
these approaches will crowd in more private capital the goals of the JETP we may need the MDBs and
than other approaches that have been taken, I’m concessional finance to support the development of
not sure I see why that would be the case. a larger pipeline of projects, with the private sector
financing what’s coming out the other end. Vietnam,
JETP Stakeholder: for example, has taken on the net zero 2050 target,
A lot of the blending we see is public on public which is incredibly bold and ambitious for an emerging
blending. If a project is bankable, it’s not clear what economy in Southeast Asia. The implication of that is
the benefit of blending public money with other they’re going to need a lot more solar and wind than
public money is. Our aim is to get the private sector was previously anticipated. The market, however,
financing things that are commercially bankable. hasn’t currently got those projects coming through
Going forward, public on private blending won’t be the pipeline, and so that’s why concessional finance
needed in vanilla renewables, but instead in more is needed. Delivering at scale will be the challenge:
complicated dispatchable renewables and in grid. we must avoid the temptation of putting too much
However, it’ll take time to generate the project concessional capital into individual projects if they
pipeline for this. could be funded by private capital.

ARE DONORS LEARNING FROM THE EXPERIENCE OF PRIOR JETPs?


Murton, Standard Chartered: in embedded generation. The JETP’s concessional
finance is now focusing on the areas where the
South Africa’s JETP began as a government-to-
private sector would find it difficult to finance
government affair, but it was realized early on that
projects on its own e.g., supporting new industrial
there was a need to involve the private sector at scale.
development in mining areas.
Donors committed $8.5 billion of concessional finance,
but the investment plan unveiled a year later called for
Ewing, Duke University:
$97.5 billion of overall investment; a ratio of one-to-ten
of concessional to private sector capital. Consequently, I’m not sure that we saw some of the big structural
when preparing the Indonesia and Vietnam JETPs, roadblocks in the South African case and
host governments worked very closely with GFANZ to meaningfully addressed them in the Indonesian
ensure that the banks were serious about supporting case. Take the key characteristics of this approach;
the financing of their energy transitions. that is, there’s a large announcement of a nice
round number of capital deployment announced
With the South African JETP, partners quickly
in a very public manner at a major international
identified the need to focus the concessional finance
convening, which will be followed by much of the
that was available in the places it was most needed.
work to undergird that agreement in the form of
So, rather than use concessional finance to deliver
building out investment plans, and trying to do
new generation capacity, reforms were made so
the sorts of government reforms that are called
that investments in new wind and solar could be
for explicitly in the Indonesian JETP, and so on.
financed purely commercially. For example, the
This follows many of the same patterns that
South African government has been lifting limits on
were established in the South Africa case. As for
embedded generation, which has led to companies
whether the financing countries are hearing the
that are consumers of power borrowing to invest

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complaints from the recipient countries and are However, donors have no appetite and potentially no
heeding them, I think they’re absolutely hearing governance flexibility to create what these recipient
those complaints. We’ve heard from South Africa countries really want. They’re not going to pool the
and Indonesia quite explicitly that the transaction money within a single facility and have it be truly
costs are very high, and that it is quite difficult for collective in that way because they don’t see eye to
them to have any kind of investment certainty when eye exactly on how it should be spent. They view their
they’re dealing with multiple pots of money without own constituencies as having some say over how their
a clear hierarchy in terms of risk mitigation, and outbound investment is operated, and that goes from
with different conditionalities and with different large questions about whether this should this be
financing structures from those different pots of about coal station retirements, to much more tedious
money. In other words, the JETPs are packaged like questions about what forms must be filled in terms of
pools of collective capital, but they’re not operating impact assessments, what procedural arrangements
like that. should be in place to ensure there’s no graft, and so on.

HOW CAN THE JETP MODEL BE IMPROVED?


Ewing, Duke University: swooping in and solving all these problems, but
instead bringing some capital to galvanize the
The model should be inverted. Country-level
effort to build those investment plans. There’s a
portfolio investments supporting the energy
role for philanthropy here, too: working with local
transition could come from places other than G7
consultancies, universities, and think tanks, helping
countries. You could have investment plans more
to gain government buy-in for the pursuit of
explicitly designed to attract energy transition
building those roadmaps from an early stage, and
finance being developed from the ground up by
doing this in a range of countries with high energy
potential financing countries and potential private
transition potential.
sector operators interested in entering markets
previously untouched due to risk concerns or
Fauzianto, RMI:
other market barriers. So, rather than the high-
level political agreement with a nice round number ​​
Transparency is key. While timing in negotiations is tricky
preceding the creation of an investment plan, the and good intent isn’t in question, one key challenge to
investment plan is created first and is integrated the JETP model is a lack of clarity and transparency over
within the recipient country’s broader energy-mix how much of what types of financing will be provided
goals. The goal is to give discrete, specific, country- and how it will be provided to recipient countries and
level attention to building out a roadmap for an institutions. With greater transparency, the recipient
energy transition, with the explicit intention of countries can better estimate emissions targets and
attracting public and private blended finance. If we provide more detailed, ambition-aligned investment
bring the countries and companies that can provide plans. The current lack of transparency results in a
that finance along in that process, rather than lack of confidence or significant adjustments late in
just dropping the roadmap on their desk when it’s the investment planning process. Expectations of what
done, then you’re getting into the realm of more would be offered have not yet lived up to reality. For
effective dealmaking or at least matchmaking. example, recipient governments have found it difficult
to know the exact amount and forms of financing that
This is something that should be supported by TA
will be provided by each funding source and must
from a range of actors, working to model different
discuss potential priority projects with each donor. An
energy systems and build-outs, and their price and
early stated goal of the JETP process was to create a
emissions implications, with adequate training on
single consortium or point of contact from the donor
climate finance being provided by governments,
side to support effective discussions and planning with
organizations, academic institutions, and so on.
recipient countries.
This wouldn’t be people from the Global North

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There is also an opportunity to improve transparency because coal retirements aren’t necessarily the
on the technical analysis and modeling that underpins key transition issue in those markets. JETPs would
the creation of JETP targets. A common set of data, have to respond to those countries’ specific needs.
models, and corresponding technical analysis with full The donor community has conceived JETPs as a
transparency on assumptions and inputs is critical mitigation-only framework, but there are countries
to setting targets and aligning on just transition who need serious investment in agriculture or
pathways. We have seen the power that a common, transport, or there might be sizable opportunities
impartial fact base can have on supporting greater in forestry or places where carbon markets can
collaboration. It has been a critical component to the be quickly scaled. Countries without coal issues
JETPs and greater transparency will serve to support need to be able to access the JETP model. Are
deeper collaboration. there ways of bringing in different tools or different
types of investors who can access different types
Phillips, Duke University: of projects beyond a purely power-sector or coal
JETPs thus far have been mitigation-focused, displacement play? If so, this opens a new set of
centering on large emitters. However, these are not knowledge, capacity, and planning questions that
necessarily the countries that will see huge growth governments and TA providers need to address.
in emissions over the next twenty years. So, the Rather than focusing on simply rolling out more
question is whether we can use the JETP construct JETPs, we should explore how we can open the
to get at more than just those top, already high- playbook from a sector perspective and incentivize
emitting emerging markets? And if we can, we countries whose investment needs are different
must start thinking about things besides coal, but significant.

ARE THERE ANY SIGNS THAT THE JETP MODEL IS EVOLVING?


Ewing, Duke University: how the money’s going to come, or if it’s going to
materialize in the way that it was intended and how
Consider Colombia, which has built a roadmap for
the blended characteristics will play out, if at all, it still
its energy transition that presents different options,
makes a public financial commitment to supporting
conditionalities, funding needs, avenues of profitability
the energy transition in a particular country, which has
for commercial actors, and ways in which ministries
a galvanizing effect of making something real. The risk
could be reorganized and given different levels of
of what I’m advocating is that it never becomes real.
autonomy or mandates to advance. Once this kind of
It’s just an exercise in planning and coordinating and
compressive roadmap has been built and integrated
thinking through new ideas, but it’s not guaranteed
within your energy transition plans, you can market
that it will follow from that that you get the kind of
it to public and private sector actors around the
country-level investments that’s at the core of JETPs’
world, rather than G7 nations just leading with an
existence. That’s the big risk, that there’s not much
announcement that they’re going to commit $10 billion
to it unless it does mirror the JETP model and attract
in public capital and will look to raise an extra $10
sovereign investment commitments to crowd in
billion in private capital. While this approach would
private sector capital.
crowd in capital at a country level, it’s still quite bespoke
and oriented towards a sector-wide energy transition.
Healy, E3G:
In that way, it could still have the outputs we look for
from a JETP, but with the model slightly inverted. The question is if you remove the IPG from that lead
role, who provides that high-level political impetus and
One could argue, however, that the kind of model
leadership? You still need someone reputable outside
I’m advocating is just business as usual. Building out
the system to organize the pieces together, to bring
plans for an energy transition and thinking about
together different donors and the host government
how you finance them is not a new idea, and part of
and to move the process along.
the beauty of the JETP is that, while you don’t know

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ARE JETPs SCALABLE?
JETP Stakeholder: process. If the JETP model is going to be rolled out
across different countries at scale, a useful exercise
We need to be nimbler across countries to see
would be engaging governments in non-JETP
what’s bankable and then, where it isn’t, to problem
countries like Kenya or Uganda to help determine
solve specifically for what the issues are, which
early-on the key constituencies that need to be
can be quite labor intensive, with lots of complex
supported, how concessional capital would be
stakeholder relationships to manage. We’re trying
deployed to support the energy transition if it was
to reach an agreement on how to proceed, which
made available, what the potential projects would
would allow us to then start to scale the solutions,
look like, and so on. These are the questions that
but we’re not quite there yet.
we really need answers to if the JETP model is to be
rolled out at scale.
Pinko, CPI:
The JETPs I’m most familiar with aren’t easily
Each country’s situation is unique, but there are
replicable in other countries. The way that
common principles starting to emerge that can be
Indonesia, for example, has so much Chinese
leveraged to improve these country platforms. There
capital wrapped up in relatively young coal-fired
can be some standardization in terms of how the
power plants is similar perhaps to a country like
risk-sharing approaches and instruments needed in
Pakistan, but you can’t take that sort of model and
JETP countries are identified, as well as the relevant
the same people that worked on that and just
partners. Early involvement of key stakeholders like
take them to another country. There’s not a clearly
labor groups, community groups, and the private
replicable form of agreement amongst the current
sector is widely applicable. Early formal analysis of
JETPs. However, once you look beyond the middle-
where the space is for the private sector versus
income countries towards the next tier of countries,
the public sector to maximize additionality is also
the more they start to be in similar positions with
universally relevant. For example, in South Africa
their populations, existing energy profiles, existing
upgrades to the distribution grid are publicly funded,
age of assets, fuel mixes, renewable resource
so we need to examine what project types will be
endowments, and so on. You could see something
most attractive to the private sector, like financing
working similarly in one country to another, where
replacement renewables. It’s challenging to discuss
commercial actors that have been mobilized by
standardization because there have only been three
concessional capital in one country may enter a
JETPs so far, but as each progresses, we can identify
market with similar characteristics.
similarities and lessons that can be applied elsewhere.
However, we’re not really working on those countries
Phillips, Duke University: yet, but if we’re looking to scale the JETP model to
25-30 countries we need to figure out which set of
Rolling out more JETPs will take a while. They
countries are broadly comparable and see what’s
consume a lot of donor bandwidth and some
scalable. However, these countries must have a
donors have limited appetite to enter a new set
similar sense of what a just transition looks like; this
of JETPs. I don’t think we’re close to having high
must be locally determined through a bottom-up
amounts of capital flowing; we need to be patient.
consultative process to get something durable that
For JETPs to really be effective, they need to be
the private sector feels confident in putting their
coupled with policy change and regulatory reform.
money into. It can’t be some top-down feasibility
However, even in well-functioning governments and
study pre-determining which countries and which
legislative bodies, that is not an easy lift and takes
projects will be funded. While we’ve put a lot of
time. The extent to which JETPs sufficiently consider
money into TA around the NDCs, we’re not where we
all vulnerable industries and populations in their
should be yet in terms of being able to define what
investment plans is also unclear and ultimately
a just transition means locally. We don’t have energy
must be addressed through the domestic political

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systems modeling or emissions projections for most allocations is unclear, but there may be some
developing countries, or the basic data baselines potential there. However, the appetite amongst
that would support the analysis and forecasting some funder countries to finance more JETPs is also
needed to set priorities and make decisions. uncertain, given the amount of work involved and
At this stage, it makes me uncomfortable talking the fact that they’re not paying the desired dividends
about replicability, knowing every country in SSA, for the energy transition yet.
for example, is so different, and the idea that we A more inverted approach to building out
need to find some way to deliver scale on the investment plans and then seeking the funding at
back of the similarities that exist feels somewhat a portfolio country level could help solve for this
awkward. There may also be a negative in-country by having a simplifying effect, avoiding the long
reaction to being compared to a neighbor that you negotiations and uncertainties about what the JETP
don’t feel connected with. This is all very fraught will be and how it will operate after the commitment
and we’re still in the early days of it. There’s a lot we has been made by presenting a roadmap and a set
still must learn about what worked and what didn’t, of opportunities that you can opt into at varying
about where expectations were out of line and levels, but which still has some coherence, so it isn’t
where new things need to be tried. just a collection of projects that would take us back
to the more pre-JETP approach altogether.
Ewing, Duke University: However, overall, I support the ideas of lowering
I share the goal of having more JETPs that are better transaction costs, proving out effective approaches,
capitalized and that enjoy lower transaction costs as and using those as models to learn lessons. More
we learn and as we standardize. To use the language South-South cooperation could also be possible here.
that we’re hearing out of Indonesia specifically, Internationally minded stakeholders could help to
they’re calling for syndicated finance among the bring actors in different developing countries together
financing countries; whether we could get a limited in the development of their investment plans and
pool of syndicated finance that’s a part of JETPs’ roadmaps, facilitating the sharing of learnings.

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