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Seasonal Seasonal
Ngày Thứ Giá trị Factor moving average Effects
16-Oct T2 96.8 96.7750607
17-Oct T3 93.1 93.5062045
18-Oct T4 93 92.3135026
19-Oct T5 92 91.8579673
20-Oct T6 92.9 93.3571106
23-Oct T2 91 90.976555 93.561969151079 93.5860803974092
24-Oct T3 92 92.4014051 92.402268010115 92.0008591957281
25-Oct T4 90.9 90.2290042 92.181308128436 92.8668224030726
26-Oct T5 86.8 86.6659952 91.764408439052 91.9062964909772
27-Oct T6 87 87.4280799 90.72601402626 90.2817862213238
30-Oct T2 85 84.9781008 89.540207884936 89.5632827093366
31-Oct T3 83 83.3621372 88.340517049456 87.9567530686053
1-Nov T4 85.4 84.7696035 86.532663472085 87.1761711119388
2-Nov T5 89 88.8625988 85.440783333221 85.5728936634495
3-Nov T6 87 87.4280799 85.880104046325 85.4596035920985
6-Nov T2 88.5 88.4771991 85.880104046325 85.9022356491793
7-Nov T3 88.3 88.6852616 86.579923700355 86.2038079916104
8-Nov T4 92.6 91.9164553 87.644548584807 88.2963248545172
9-Nov T5 92.5 92.3571954 89.07391894841 89.2116469090861
10-Nov T6 91.5 91.950222 89.772838264713 89.3332775575298
13-Nov T2 91.4 91.376452 90.677266677587 90.7006345260112
14-Nov T3 92.6 93.0040229 91.257117248069 90.8606831341912
15-Nov T4 92.4 91.7179317 92.120869512813 92.8059343304545
16-Nov T5 93 92.8564235 92.081164780491 92.2235426077111
17-Nov T6 91 91.4477617 92.181010397106 91.7296583968547
20-Nov T2 90.7 90.6766323 92.080518351231 92.1042478225135
21-Nov T3 91.9 92.3009688 91.940554420425 91.5411513566389
22-Nov T4 93 92.3135026 91.799943586629 92.4826218108494
23-Nov T5 90.8 90.6598199 91.919057783596 92.0611849575794
24-Nov T6 91.2 91.6487458 91.479737070492 91.031818761381
91.519933888842
91.730759282289
91.540689457793
91.154282862004
91.648745837958
Forecasting
Error

Meaning Absolute Deviation

MAD 2.068753
2.586080397
0.000859196
1.966822403 Meaning Square Error
5.106296491 MSE 6.561593
3.281786221
4.563282709
4.956753069
1.776171112
3.427106337
1.540396408 Seasonal Factor
2.597764351 T2 1.000258
2.096192008 T3 0.995656
4.303675145 T4 1.007437
3.288353091 T5 1.001546
2.166722442 T6 0.995104
0.699365474
1.739316866
0.40593433
0.776457392
0.729658397
1.404247823
0.358848643
0.517378189
1.261184958
0.168181239