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Advances in Electric Power and Energy Static State Estimation Mohamed E El Hawary Full Chapter PDF
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ADVANCES IN ELECTRIC
POWER AND ENERGY
IEEE Press
445 Hoes Lane
Piscataway, NJ 08854
EDITED BY
MOHAMED E. EL-HAWARY
Dalhousie University
© 2021 by The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. All rights reserved.
Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.
Published simultaneously in Canada.
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Names: El-Hawary, M. E., editor. | John Wiley & Sons, Inc., publisher.
Title: Advances in electric power and energy : static state estimation /
edited by Mohamed E El-Hawary, Dalhousie University.
Description: Hoboken, New Jersey : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., [2021] |
Series: IEEE Press | Includes bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2020028681 (print) | LCCN 2020028682 (ebook) | ISBN
9781119480464 (hardback) | ISBN 9781119584506 (hardback) | ISBN
9781119480365 (adobe pdf) | ISBN 9781119480440 (epub)
Subjects: LCSH: Electric power systems–State estimation.
Classification: LCC TK1005 .A35 2020 (print) | LCC TK1005 (ebook) | DDC
621.319/1–dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020028681
LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020028682
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
TO FRED C. SCHWEPPE, 1933–1988
1.1 Prelude 1
1.2 Defining SSE 2
1.3 The Need for State Estimation 3
1.4 Static State Estimation in Practice 4
1.5 Applications That Use SE Solution 10
1.6 Overview of Chapters 13
2.1 Introduction 23
2.2 Formulation 24
2.3 Classical State Estimation Procedure 26
2.4 Mathematical Programming Solution 31
2.5 Alternative State Estimators 32
3.1 Introduction 61
3.2 Cascading Blackouts and Previous Work 62
3.3 Problem Statement and Approach 66
3.4 DFAXes, Vulnerability, and Criticality Metrics 70
3.5 Validity of Metrics 78
3.6 Studies with Metrics 82
3.7 Summary 93
3.8 Application of Stress Metrics 94
3.9 Conclusions 94
vii
viii CONTENTS
4.1 Introduction 99
4.2 Cyberattacks on State Estimation 100
4.3 ATTACK-RESILIENT State Estimation 103
4.4 Model-Based Anomaly Detection 106
4.5 Conclusions 117
INDEX 475
ABOUT THE EDITOR
xi
xii ABOUT THE EDITOR
He was Associate Editor for the three major Electric Machines and Power Systems’
Journals and Editor of Electrical Power Engineering, McGraw-Hill Encyclopedia
of Science and Technology. He was a Fellow of IEEE, Canadian Academy of Engi-
neering, Engineers Canada, and the Engineering Institute of Canada. He was a Dis-
tinguished Lecturer of the IEEE Power and Energy Society.
He served as a member of the Board of Directors and Secretary of IEEE and
as President of IEEE Canada. He served on the IEEE Publication Services and Pro-
ducts Board, Fellows Committee, IEEE Press Board Chairman, Power Engineering
Society (PES): System Operations Committee Chair and, member of HKN Board,
and Vice President, Development, IEEE Canada Foundation. He has been recipient
of IEEE Canada, W. S. Read Service Award, 2010. In 1999 IEEE awarded him the
EAB Meritorious Achievement, Power Engineering Educator of the Year, and
IEEE Canada General A.G.L. McNaughton Gold Medal.
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
xiii
xiv ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
George J. Cokkinides was born in Athens, Greece, in 1955. He received the BS,
MS, and PhD degrees from the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA,
USA, in 1978, 1980, and 1985, respectively. From 1983 to 1985, he was a
Research Engineer at the Georgia Tech Research Institute. Since 1985, he has been
with the University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA, where he is currently
an Associate Professor of Electrical Engineering. His research interests include
power system modeling and simulation, power electronics applications, power
system harmonics, and measurement instrumentation. Professor Cokkinides is a
member of the IEEE Power and Energy Society.
Venkata Dinavahi received the BEng. degree in electrical engineering from the
Visveswaraya National Institute of Technology (VNIT), Nagpur, India, in 1993,
the MTech. degree in Electrical Engineering from the Indian Institute of Technol-
ogy (IIT) Kanpur, India, in 1996, and the PhD degree in Electrical and Computer
engineering from the University of Toronto, Ontario, Canada, in 2000. Presently he
is a Professor with the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering,
University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. His research interests include
real-time simulation of power systems and power electronic systems, electromag-
netic transients, device-level modeling, large-scale systems, and parallel and
distributed computing. He is a Fellow of IEEE.
James W. Feltes received his BS degree with honors in Electrical Engineering
from Iowa State University and his MS degree in Electrical Engineering from
Union College.
He joined Power Technologies, Inc. (PTI), now part of Siemens Power Trans-
mission and Distribution Inc., in 1979 and is currently a senior manager. At PTI, he
has participated in many studies involving planning, analysis, and design of trans-
mission and distribution systems. He has also been involved in many projects invol-
ving the development of models for studies of power system dynamics, testing to
record equipment response, and model parameter derivation.
He is a registered professional engineer in the state of New York and a Fellow
of the IEEE. He is a member of the IEEE Power Engineering Society and Industry
Applications Society and is active on several IEEE committees and task forces.
Georgios B. Giannakis (Fellow’97) received his Diploma in Electrical Engineering
from the National Technical University of Athens, Greece, 1981. From 1982 to 1986
he was with the University of Southern California (USC), where he received his
MSc in Electrical Engineering, 1983, MSc in Mathematics, 1986, and PhD in
Electrical Engineering, 1986. He was a faculty member with the University of
Virginia from 1987 to 1998, and since 1999 he has been a professor with the
University of Minnesota, where he holds an ADC Endowed Chair, a University
of Minnesota McKnight Presidential Chair in ECE, and serves as director of the
Digital Technology Center.
His general interests span the areas of statistical learning, communications,
and networking – subjects on which he has published more than 470 journal
papers, 770 conference papers, 25 book chapters, two edited books, and two
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS xv
research monographs. His current research focuses on Data Science, and Network
Science with applications to the Internet of Things, and power networks with
renewables. He is the (co-) inventor of 34 issued patents, and the (co-) recipient
of 9 best journal paper awards from the IEEE Signal Processing (SP) and Commu-
nications Societies, including the G. Marconi Prize Paper Award in Wireless
Communications. He also received the IEEE-SPS Norbert Wiener Society Award
(2019); EURASIP’s A. Papoulis Society Award (2020); Technical Achievement
Awards from the IEEE-SPS (2000) and from EURASIP (2005); the IEEE ComSoc
Education Award (2019); the G. W. Taylor Award for Distinguished Research
from the University of Minnesota, and the IEEE Fourier Technical Field Award
(2015). He is a foreign member of the Academia Europaea, and Fellow of the
National Academy of Inventors, the European Academy of Sciences, IEEE and
EURASIP. He has served the IEEE in a number of posts, including that of a
Distinguished Lecturer for the IEEE-SPS.
Manimaran Govindarasu currently holds the Mehl Professor of Computer
Engineering at Iowa State University. His area of expertise includes CPS for the
smart grid, cyber security, and real-time systems and networks. He is a Fellow
of the IEEE.
Ye Guo is an Assistant Professor at Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute,
Tsinghua University. He received his bachelor degree in 2008 and doctoral degree
in 2013, both from the Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University.
He was a Postdoctoral Associate at Cornell University between 2014 and 2018. His
research interests include distributed optimization, game and market theory, state
estimation, and their applications in power and energy systems. He has received
the Best-of-the-Best paper award and another Best Paper Award at IEEE PES Gen-
eral Meeting, 2019, and another Best Paper Award at IEEE PES General Meeting
2020. He also received the Best Poster Award at PSERC IAB Meeting 2018.
Ibrahim Omar Habiballah is an Associate Professor of EE Department at King
Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Saudi Arabia. In his area he taught
several undergraduate and graduate courses in electrical, power systems, power
transmission, and electrical machines. His research interests include power systems
in general, power system state estimation, power system optimization, HV insula-
tors, and energy conservation.
Araceli Hernández received the PhD degree in Electrical Engineering from the
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (UPM), Madrid, Spain, in 2000. Currently,
she works at the Department of Control, Electrical and Electronic Engineering
and Computing at UPM, where she is an Associate Professor. Her fields of interest
include power system analysis and power quality estimation and measurement.
Hadis Karimipour received the PhD degree from the University of Alberta in
2016. She is currently a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Department of Electrical and
Computer Engineering at the University of Calgary. Her research interests include
large-scale power system state estimation, cyber-physical modeling, cybersecurity
of the smart grids, and parallel and distributed computing.
xvi ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
the Montefiore Institute, Belgium. He is the Chairman of the Georgia Tech Protec-
tive Relaying Conference and a member of Sigma Xi.
Hyde M. Merrill received the BA degree in Mathematics and MS degree in Elec-
trical Engineering from the University of Utah and the PhD degree in Electrical
Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He is a registered
professional engineer in New York and a Fellow of the IEEE.
He has worked for the American Electric Power Service Corp, the MIT
Energy Lab, Power Technologies, Inc., the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and
Merrill Energy LLC. In 2015, he joined the University of Utah as Adjunct Profes-
sor. He teaches power systems and leads research on blackouts.
Lamine Mili is a Professor of Electrical and Computer Engineering at Virginia
Tech. He is an IEEE Fellow and a member of Institute of Mathematical Statistics
and the American Statistical Association. His research interests include power sys-
tem analysis and control, power system dynamics and stability, and robust statistics
as applied to engineering problems.
Michael Negnevitsky received his BE (Hons.) and PhD degrees from the Byelo-
russian University of Technology, Belarus, in 1978 and 1983, respectively. Cur-
rently, he is a Professor in Power Engineering and Computational Intelligence
and Director of the Centre for Renewable Energy and Power Systems, University
of Tasmania, Australia. He is a Chartered Professional Engineer, Fellow of Engi-
neers Australia, and Member of the National ITEE College Board. His research
interests include power system security, renewable energy, and state estimation.
Marco Pau received the MS degree (cum laude) in Electrical Engineering and the
PhD degree in Electronic Engineering and Computer Science from the University of
Cagliari, Italy, in 2011 and 2015, respectively. Currently, he is research associate at
the Institute for Automation of Complex Power Systems at the E.ON Energy
Research Center, RWTH Aachen University, Germany, where he leads the team
for Distribution Grid Monitoring and Automation. His research activities mainly
concern the design of solutions for the monitoring and automation of distribution
systems as well as techniques for the smart management of active distribution grids.
Paolo Attilio Pegoraro received the MS (summa cum laude) degree in Telecom-
munications engineering and the PhD degree in Electronic and Telecommunication
Engineering from the University of Padova, Padua, Italy, in 2001 and 2005,
respectively. From 2015 to 2018 he was an Assistant Professor with the Depart-
ment of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Cagliari, Cagliari,
Italy, where he is currently Associate Professor. He has authored or coauthored
over 110 scientific papers. His current research interests include the development
of new measurement techniques for modern power networks, with attention to syn-
chronized measurements and state estimation.
Dr. Pegoraro is a Senior Member of IEEE Instrumentation and Measurement
Society, member of TC 39 (Measurements in Power Systems) and of IEC TC
38/WG 47. He is an Associate Editor of the IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation
and Measurement.
xviii ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
Ferdinanda Ponci graduated with PhD in Electrical Engineering from the Politec-
nico di Milano, in 2002. She joined the Department of Electrical Engineering, Uni-
versity of South Carolina, as an Assistant Professor in 2003 and became Associate
Professor in 2008. In 2009, she joined the Institute for Automation of Complex
Power Systems, RWTH Aachen University, where she is currently Professor for
“Monitoring and distributed control for power systems.”
She is Senior Member of IEEE and of the AdCom of the IEEE Instrumen-
tation and Measurement Society.
Md. Ashfaqur Rahman is a PhD candidate in the Department of Electrical and
Computer Engineering in Clemson University, Clemson, SC, USA. He received
his BS from Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology in 2009
and MS from Texas Tech University in 2012. He has a total of 7 technical papers
with 98 citations with h-index and i-index be 3. His current research interests
include the development of a distributed dynamic state estimator. He also worked
on false data injection attack, parallel and distributed computation, state prediction,
contingency analysis, optimal power flow, etc. He has served as a reviewer of IEEE
journals and conference papers.
Sara Sulis received the MS degree in Electrical Engineering and the PhD degree in
Industrial Engineering from the University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy, in 2002 and
2006, respectively. She is currently Associate Professor of Instrumentation and Mea-
surements with the University of Cagliari. Dr. Sulis is a Senior Member of the IEEE,
member of the Instrumentation and Measurement Society, of the IEEE TC 39
“Measurements in Power Systems,” and of the CENELEC TC 38 “Instrument Trans-
formers.” She has authored or coauthored more than 100 scientific papers. Her
current research interests include distributed measurement systems designed to per-
form state estimation and harmonic sources estimation of distribution networks.
Hongbin Sun is a Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua
University, Beijing, China, the Changjiang Chair Professor of Education Ministry
of China, and an IEEE Fellow. He received double BS degrees in 1992 and PhD in
1997, respectively, both from Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University. His
research interests include automatic voltage control (AVC), smart grid, renewable
energy and electrical vehicle integration, and power system operation and control.
Lang Tong is the Irwin and Joan Jacobs Professor of Engineering at Cornell Uni-
versity and the Cornell site Director of Power Systems Engineering Research Cen-
ter (PSERC). He received a BE degree from Tsinghua University and a PhD degree
in Electrical Engineering from the University of Notre Dame. He held visiting posi-
tions at Stanford University, the University of California at Berkeley, the Delft
University of Technology, and the Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden.
Lang Tong’s current research focuses on data analytics, optimization, and
economic problems in energy and power systems. A Fellow of IEEE and the
2018 Fulbright Distinguished Chair in Alternative Energy, he received paper
awards from the IEEE Circuit and Systems, Signal Processing, Communications,
and Power and Energy Systems societies.
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS xix
KFUPM, Saudi Arabia, in electrical and power system in 2014. He is familiar with
international and domestic codes/standards, AutoCAD drawing, master excel skills
with VB programming, and other programming language such as Matlab, python,
and Linux shell.
Boming Zhang is a Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsin-
ghua University, Beijing, China. He received MEng. from Harbin Institute of
Technology in 1982 and PhD from Tsinghua University in 1985, both in Electrical
Engineering. He has been serving for Tsinghua University since 1985. His research
area includes power system analysis, computer application in power system control
center, etc. He won IEEE PES/CSEE Yu-Hsiu Ku Electrical Engineering Award
in 2015.
Junbo Zhao (SM’19) received the PhD degree from the Bradley Department of
Electrical and Computer Engineering, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA, in
2018. He was an Assistant Professor (Research) with Virginia Tech from May
2018 to August 2019. He did the summer internship at the Pacific Northwest
National Laboratory from May 2017 to August 2017. He is currently an Assistant
Professor with Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS, USA. He has written
three book chapters and published more than 70 peer-reviewed journal and confer-
ence papers, among which there are three ESI papers. His research interests are
power system modeling, state estimation, dynamics and cybersecurity, synchro-
phasor applications, renewable energy integration and control, and robust statisti-
cal signal processing and machine learning.
Dr. Zhao is a co-recipient of the best paper award of 2019 IEEE PES ISGT
Asia, and the best reviewer of the IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYS-
TEMS 2018 and the IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID 2019. He is cur-
rently the Chair of the IEEE Task Force on Power System Dynamic State and
Parameter Estimation, and the Secretary of the IEEE Working Group on State Esti-
mation Algorithms and the IEEE Task Force on Synchrophasor Applications in
Power System Operation and Control. He serves as the Associate Editor of the
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, the IEEE TRANSACTIONS
ON SMART GRID, and International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy
Systems, and the Subject Editor of IET Generation, Transmission and Distribution.
Hao Zhu is an Assistant Professor of ECE at University of Texas at Austin. She
received a BE degree from Tsinghua University in 2006 and MSc and PhD degrees
from the University of Minnesota in 2009 and 2012, all in Electrical Engineering.
Her current research interests include power grid monitoring, distribution system
operations and control, and energy data analytics. She received the NSF CAREER
Award in 2017, the Siebel Energy Institute Seed Grant Award and the US AFRL
Summer Faculty Fellowship in 2016.
CHAPTER 1
GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS
Mohamed E. El-Hawary
Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
1.1 PRELUDE
At the IEEE Power Industry Computer Applications (PICA) conference held on
18–21 May 1969 in Denver, Colorado, Professor Fred C. Schweppe and his associates
presented a three-part paper on static state estimation and related detection and iden-
tification problems in electric power systems. The papers were subsequently pub-
lished in the IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems [1–3]. The first
paper [1] introduced the overall problem statement, mathematical modeling, and gen-
eral algorithms for state estimation, detection, and identification (SEDI) using
weighted least squares (WLS) approximations. The second paper [2] discussed an
approximate mathematical model and the resulting simplifications in SEDI. The third
paper [3] dealt with implementation problems, considerations of dimensionality, exe-
cution speed and storage, and the time-varying nature of actual power systems.
A year later, Merrill and Schweppe [4] introduced a bad data suppression
(BDS) estimator, which is computationally very similar to WLS approximation.
Advances in Electric Power and Energy: Static State Estimation, First Edition.
Edited by Mohamed E. El-Hawary.
© 2021 by The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.
Published 2021 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1
2 CHAPTER 1 GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS
The concept is no more complex, and bad data detection and identification can be
performed “for free,” since BDS requires no more computer time or complexity
than does WLS, and in the absence of bad data, BDS reduces to WLS.
While [21] referred to RTUs as the eyes and ears and hands of the master
station, the phrase came to be commonly used to refer to the state estimator as
the eyes and ears of the real-time operator. Indeed, in current practice the state esti-
mator prevails as an “essential” tool for power system operators’ “situational
awareness.” Existing NERC reliability standards assume the use of state estimators
to aid RCs and TOPs in maintaining situational awareness for the bulk electric
system. The state estimator must be available and able to produce an accurate solu-
tion because many applications rely on the state estimator solution as base case.
State estimators are commercially available allowing SCADA/EMS vendors
to provide viable state estimators off the shelf with some customization and fully
integrated with users’ production SCADA/EMS systems. State estimators are used
as input to monitor MVA/ampere loadings and low and high bus voltages, voltage
drop, voltage node angle separation, SCADA, and visualization. Therefore, it is
important that it be available and produce an accurate solution.
Single-pass methods execute one estimation that simultaneously includes
internal and external networks, observable/internal network, and nonobservable/
1.4 STATIC STATE ESTIMATION IN PRACTICE 5
external network solved together. The two-pass method deals with two state
estimates, one for the internal system and another for the external system or for
the entire system (observable/internal network and nonobservable/external net-
work solved separately). Many in the power industry prefer using a single-pass
over a two-pass solution.
According to [22], the single-pass method suffers from numerical instability.
An enhancement to the one-pass method uses a set of critical external pseudo-
measurements. Some alternative two-pass state estimators require a load flow
study for the external system. Both two-pass methods reduce the effects of
boundary errors in the internal system solution by properly weighing the external
pseudo-measurements, but they may result in very high or negative loads and
generations in the external system. Zero-injection buses are more commonly trea-
ted as high-confidence bus injection measurements than as hard constraints.
For an overwhelming majority of users, the state estimator solution is used as
a base case for reliability-analysis applications such as contingency analysis (CA),
power flow (PF), and as input to system analysis tools such as:
1. Online/operator PF
2. Offline PF
3. Locational marginal pricing (LMP)
4. Voltage stability analysis
5. Security-constrained economic dispatch
In some cases, the state estimator is used primarily as the basis for informa-
tion communicated to operators regarding power system status; e.g. the state esti-
mator drives the alarm application that alerts operators to impending power system
events.
• Periodically review all stations to correct high residuals and minimize all
residuals as much as reasonably possible.
• Compare CA results to actual system.
• Compare power flow results with actual system.
• Compare state estimator actual violations to see if they closely match actual
SCADA violations.
• Compare state estimator total company load/generation/interchange inte-
grated over time to see if it closely matches billing metering.
Online load flow programs are a standard part of all energy management system
specification [28].
Online PF is widely used to assess system conditions or perform look-ahead
analysis. It is also used in “n − 1” CA and to identify potential future voltage col-
lapse or reliability problems.
Real-time reliability tools can only provide results that accurately represent
current and potential reliability problems if these tools have real-time PF and volt-
age values and status data for other elements included in their models. The accu-
racy of the information that real-time reliability tools provide depends on the
accuracy of the data supplied to the tools.
based on a recent snapshot of the real-time system. VSA may derive minimum vol-
tages at key buses below which voltage collapse might occur if the system experi-
ences additional stresses. It may also provide information on minimum dynamic
reactive reserves required in local areas.
VSA is different from offline voltage stability analysis tools used by planners
for medium-term or long-term studies. But if such tools are used for studying near
real-time snapshots to answer operator’s voltage stability questions, they would be
included in the VSA real-time tool suite.
expected, the authors report that their computational experiments reported in this
chapter suggest that alternative estimators are potential substitutes for traditional
WLS method. The state of the art of current nonlinear optimization solvers and
recent advances in computational equipment allows using robust estimators in real
electric energy systems.
Chapter 3 draws on two bodies of knowledge – electric power engineering and
network (graph) theory – to develop and apply a new failure network, an application
of line outage distribution factors. Here Hyde M. Merrill and James W. Feltes present
an approach to measure how susceptible is an electric power system to cascading
outages (stress) that lead to blackouts. The problem is defined in the context of a
new perspective of the electric power system. A failure network is defined, based
on well-known line outage distribution factors. Following the practice of network
(graph) theory, the structure and properties of this network are analyzed with metrics
that measure stress (susceptibility to cascading outages). The metrics can be applied
in real-time operations or in planning to identify vulnerability to cascading. Three
studies are described, two on very large North American systems, the other on
the smaller national system of Peru. New insights are presented, and a new class
of power system options is identified, to reduce susceptibility to cascading rather
than to increase transfer capability.
The ideas have application in planning as well as in real time. For operations,
it depends, as Schweppe expected, on data from a state estimator. But the addi-
tional computations go far beyond simply calculating flows and injections using
Ohm’s and Kirchhoff’s laws.
The authors of Chapter 4, “Model-Based Anomaly Detection for Power System
State Estimation”, Aditya Ashok, Manimaran Govindarasu, and Venkataramana
Ajjarapu, recognize that state estimators depend on SCADA measurements from
the various remote substations, which introduces several vulnerabilities due to mali-
cious cyberattacks. The security and resiliency of the power system state estimator are
important since its output is used by several other network applications in the EMS
such as real-time CA, power markets, etc. While SE is designed to detect and recover
from some degree of bad data injected due to measurement errors, or even measure-
ment loss due to telemetry issues, they could be impacted by malicious cyberattacks
causing loss of observability, operational, and market impacts. A holistic approach to
attack-resilient SE should involve a combination of attack-resilient planning
approaches to improve attack prevention capabilities in conjunction with attack-
resilient anomaly detection and robust SE formulations to improve attack detection
and mitigation resulting in a defense-in-depth architecture.
This chapter starts with a broad survey of relevant state-of-the-art literature
that addresses the vulnerability of SE to stealthy false data injection attacks and
topology-based attacks. This is followed by a review of some offline attack pre-
vention approaches to enhance the redundancy of SE against those stealthy cyber-
attacks and online techniques for attack detection and mitigation that address
anomaly detection, bad data detection, and other formulations of SE. A model-
based anomaly detection approach uses short-term load forecasts, generation
1.6 OVERVIEW OF CHAPTERS 15
schedules, and available secure PMU data to detect anomalies due to stealthy
cyberattacks. This approach is complementary to traditional bad data detection
methods in SE to detect stealthy cyberattacks. This chapter offers some insights
into the performance of the proposed anomaly detection approach using a case
study on the IEEE 14-bus system. Finally, this chapter provides a summary of
the contributions and promising directions for emerging research topics that show
promise for the future including PMU-based linear state estimator, integrated
hybrid SE formulations with PMU data and SCADA, robust and dynamic SE for-
mulations, and MTD-based approaches for SE that leverage redundancy and ran-
domization of measurements.
A. P. Sakis Meliopoulos, Yu Liu, Sungyun Choi, and George J. Cokkinides
propose in Chapter 5 a scheme for real-time operation and protection of microgrids
based on distributed dynamic state estimation (DDSE). First, the DDSE can be
used for setting-less component protection that applies dynamic state estimation
on a component under protection with real-time measurements and dynamic mod-
els of the component. Based on the results, the well-known χ 2 test yields the con-
fidence level that quantifies the goodness of fit of models to measurements,
indicating the health status of the component. With this approach, renewable DERs
in microgrids can be protected on an autonomous and adaptive basis. Meanwhile,
the estimated state variables of each component are converted to phasor data with
time tags and then collected to the DERMS of microgrids. These aggregated phasor
data that are once filtered by the DDSE are input to the static state estimator in the
DERMS along with unfiltered data sent from conventional meters, relays, and dig-
ital fault recorders, ultimately generating real-time operating conditions of micro-
grids. This chapter also provides numerical simulations to compare the DDSE-
based approach with conventional centralized state estimation in terms of data
accuracy and computational speeds.
Any component in microgrids can be protected by the proposed setting-less
protection method, capable of tracking full dynamic characteristics of a device
under protection. This method can provide adaptive protection in microgrids,
where unpredictable fault conditions or abnormal states may arise. It is important
to point out that the setting-less protection is fundamentally based on the physical
characteristics, thus requiring no additional settings for grid conditions. The
authors suggest that the approach also facilitates real-time operation by reducing
the state estimation computation time as well as by enhancing the accuracy of esti-
mation results. In this sense, the DDSE can be of great importance to the real-time
operation and management of microgrids in which the penetration of renewable
DERs has recently increased.
In Chapter 6, “Distributed Robust Power System State Estimation” by Vas-
silis Kekatos, H. Zhu, G. Wang, and Georgios B. Giannakis discuss some of the
recent advances in power system state estimation (PSSE). The Cramer–Rao lower
bound (CRLB) on the covariance of any unbiased estimator is first derived for the
PSSE setup. Following a review of conventual Gauss–Newton iterations, contem-
porary PSSE solvers leveraging relaxations to convex programs and successive
convex approximations are explored. To overcome the high complexity involved,
16 CHAPTER 1 GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS
distribution. This effectively allows combining it with the buffered PMU measure-
ments for final state estimation. Robust Mahalanobis distances are proposed to
detect outliers and assign appropriate weights to each buffered PMU measurement.
Those weights are further utilized by the SHGM estimator to filter out non-
Gaussian PMU measurement noise and help suppress outliers. Extensive simula-
tion results carried out on the IEEE-30 bus test system demonstrate the effective-
ness and robustness of the proposed method.
Chapter 9 by Ibrahim Omar Habiballah and Yuanhai Xia: “Least-Trimmed-
Absolute-Value State Estimator” is intended to improve the accuracy of estimation
results considering complex situations induced by multiple types of bad data. In
addition to conventional state estimators such as WLS and LAV, other robust esti-
mators are used to detect and filter out bad data. This includes, among many, least
median squares and least-trimmed square estimators. The authors introduce an effi-
cient robust estimator known as least-trimmed-absolute-value estimator. The algo-
rithm arises from the two estimators: LAV and LTS and benefits the merits of both.
It can detect and eliminate both single and multiple bad data more efficiently. DC
estimation is conducted on 6-bus system and IEEE 14-bus system first; then these
two systems and the IEEE 30-bus system are used to conduct AC estimation
experiments. Various types of bad data are simulated to evaluate the performance
of the proposed robust estimator.
A new probabilistic approach to state estimation in distribution networks
based on confidence levels is introduced in Chapter 10. Here, Bernd Brinkmann
and Michael Negnevitsky state that their proposal uses the confidence that the
estimated parameters are within their constraints as a primary output of the estima-
tor. By using the confidence value, it is possible to combine information about the
estimated value as well as the accuracy of the estimate into a single number. Their
motivation is that the traditional approach to state estimation only provides the esti-
mated values to the network operator without any information about the accuracy
of the estimates. This works well in transmission networks where a large number of
redundant measurements are generally available. However, due to economic
constraints, the number of available real-time measurements in distribution
networks is usually low. This can lead to a significant amount of uncertainty in
the state estimation result. This makes it difficult to adapt the traditional state
estimation approach to distribution networks.
A probabilistic observability assessment is also presented in this chapter
using a similar probabilistic approach. The traditional approach to observability
in distribution networks is limited because even if a network is classified as observ-
able, the state estimation result could be completely decoupled from reality. The
presented method on the other hand determines if the state of a distribution network
can be estimated with a degree of accuracy that is sufficient to evaluate if the true
value of the estimated parameters is within their respective constraints.
This approach has been demonstrated in case studies using real 13-bus and
145-bus feeders. The results show that even if a large amount of uncertainty is pres-
ent in the state estimation result, the proposed approach can provide practical infor-
mation about the network state in a form that is easy to interpret.
18 CHAPTER 1 GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS
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CHAPTER 2
STATE ESTIMATION IN POWER
SYSTEMS BASED ON A
MATHEMATICAL
PROGRAMMING APPROACH
Eduardo Caro and Araceli Hernández
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
2.1 INTRODUCTION
This chapter revisits the state estimation problem in power system and develops a
direct approach of a mathematical programming solution for the most relevant esti-
mators. Traditionally, power system state estimation is tackled by solving the sys-
tem of nonlinear equations corresponding to the first-order necessary optimality
conditions of the estimation problem.
Besides the traditional approach, the estimation problem can be solved
directly, which has a number or advantages such as (i) including inequality con-
straints representing physical hard limits, (ii) taking advantage of currently avail-
able state-of-the-art nonlinear programming solvers, (iii) treating sparsity in an
efficient and implicit manner, etc.
For the interested reader, pioneering state estimation works include [1–6].
A detailed description of state estimation in power system is provided in [7], which
includes an appropriate literature review.
Advances in Electric Power and Energy: Static State Estimation, First Edition.
Edited by Mohamed E. El-Hawary.
© 2021 by The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc.
Published 2021 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
23
24 CHAPTER 2 STATE ESTIMATION IN POWER SYSTEMS
2.2 FORMULATION
The traditional weighted least of squares (WLS) state estimation problem has
the form
m
2
minimize
x
J x = w i h i x − zi (2.1)
i=1
subject to
f x =0 (2.2)
g x ≤0 (2.3)
where x is the n × 1 state variable vector, J(x) the objective function (weighted
quadratic error), h (x) a m × 1 functional vector expressing the measurements as
a function of the state variables, w a m × 1 weighting factor vector, z the m × 1
measurement vector, f ( x ) the p × 1 equality constraint vector mainly enforcing
conditions at transit buses (no generation and no demand), and g (x ) the q × 1
inequality constraint vector enforcing physical limits of the system.
Among the components of vector h (x ), note that active and reactive and
power injections at bus i are computed as
Pi = vi v j Gij cos θi − θ j + Bij sin θi − θ j (2.4)
j Ξ
where Pi and Qi are the active and reactive power injection at bus i, respectively; vi
and θi are the voltage magnitude and angle at bus i, respectively; Gij and Bij are the
real and imaginary part of the bus admittance matrix, respectively; and Ξ is the set
of all buses. Gii and Bii can be computed as indicated in [7].
The active and reactive power flow ij are computed as
Pij = vi v j Gij cos θi − θ j + Bij sin θi − θ j − Gij v2i (2.6)
where Pij and Qij are the active and reactive power flow from bus i to bus j, respec-
tively, and bSij the shunt susceptance of line ij.
As it is customary, measurements are considered to be independent Gaus-
sian-distributed random variables.
Bus 1 Bus 3
Bus 2
P1m, z1 Q1m, z8 v2m, z7 P2m, z2 Q3m, z9
v1m, z6 m, z
P34 5 m, z
Q34
m, z 10
m, z
P14 P32 4
3
Bus 4
1 2 10
1 4 10
2 3 10
3 4 10
bus. Considering bus 4 as the reference bus, the state variable vector x has
the form
T
x = θ1 , θ2 , θ3 , v1 , v2 , v3 , v4
Ten measurements are considered as shown in Figure 2.1: two voltage measure-
ments at bus 1 and 2; two active/reactive power injection measurements at bus
1 and 3; three active power flow measurements at lines 1–4, 3–2, and 3–4; and
one reactive power flow measurement at line 3–4. The standard deviation of
any measurement other than voltage is 0.02, while the standard deviation of voltage
measurements is 0.01. The considered measurement configuration provides a
redundancy ratio of (10 + 2)/7 = 1.71. Note that the measurement set includes
10 actual measurements plus two exact measurements corresponding to active
and reactive power injections at the transit bus.
The state estimation problem for this example has the form
26 CHAPTER 2 STATE ESTIMATION IN POWER SYSTEMS
minimizex
2
J x = w1 v1 v2 B12 sin θ1 − θ2 + v4 B14 sin θ1 − 0 − z1
2
+ w2 v3 v2 B32 sin θ3 − θ2 + v4 B34 sin θ3 − 0 − z2
2
+ w3 v1 v4 B14 sin θ1 − 0 − z3
2
+ w4 v3 v2 B32 sin θ3 − θ2 − z4
2
+ w5 v3 v4 B34 sin θ3 − 0 − z5
2
+ w6 v1 − z6
2
+ w7 v2 − z7
2
+ w8 v1 − v1 B11 − v2 B12 cos θ1 − θ2 − v4 B14 cos θ1 − 0 − z8
2
+ w9 v3 − v3 B33 − v2 B32 cos θ3 − θ2 − v4 B34 cos θ3 − 0 − z9
2
+ w10 − v3 v4 B34 cos θ3 − 0 + v23 B34 − z10
subject to 2 equality constraints for the transit bus and 7 inequality constraints
enforcing physical limits:
v2 v1 B21 sin θ2 − θ1 + v3 B23 sin θ2 − θ3 = 0
v2 − v1 B21 cos θ2 − θ1 − v2 B22 − v3 B23 cos θ2 − θ3 =0
Pmin
1 ≤ v1 v2 B12 sin θ1 − θ2 + v4 B14 sin θ1 − 0 ≤ Pmax
1
Qmin
1 ≤ v1 − v1 B11 − v2 B12 cos θ1 − θ2 − v4 B14 cos θ1 − 0 ≤ Qmax
1
− π ≤ θi ≤ π, i = 1, …, 3
fi x = 0 i = 1, …, p (2.9)
or
H T W z − h x + FT λ = 0 (2.10)
f x =0 (2.11)
where W is a m × m diagonal matrix of the measurement weights wi, F = ∇xf (x) is
the p × n equality constraint Jacobian, and λ is the p × 1 Lagrangian multiplier
vector associated with equality constraints (2.2).
2.3 CLASSICAL STATE ESTIMATION PROCEDURE 27
HT WH FT Δx ν + 1 HT WΔz ν
= (2.12)
F 0 −λ ν+1 −f x ν
∂h1 x ∂h1 x
∂x1 ∂x7
H x =
∂h10 x ∂h10 x
∂x1 ∂x7
∂f1 x ∂f1 x
∂x1 ∂x7
Fx =
∂f2 x ∂f2 x
∂x1 ∂x7
W = Diag 2500, 2500, 2500, 2500, 2500, 10 000, 10 000, 2500, 2500, 2500
The minimum and maximum active/reactive power injections in puMW/puMVar
are Pmax
1 = 3, Pmin
1 = 0 8, Qmax
1 = 3 5, and Qmin
1 = − 3 5. Measurements are gener-
ated by solving the power flow with a height accuracy and then adding independent
Gaussian-distributed errors to the exact values of the measurements. These mea-
surements and the exact values are provided in Tables 2.2–2.4. In these tables,
superscript “true” indicates true value, superscript “m” measurement, and a “ ”
estimated value.
The initial solution considered for state variables is the flat voltage level, and
a convergence tolerance of 10−5 on the largest Δxi is considered. The convergence,
illustrated in Table 2.5, is obtained after four iterations.
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Manila. Many became ill from too free indulgence in the fruits
and manufactured drinks of the country, and indifference to
that care and attention of person which a tropical climate
makes necessary. Homesickness alone produced illness in
numerous cases, so that early in September the hospitals began
to be rapidly filled. This led to the adoption of judicious
precautionary measures. … In November improvement was
noticeable, and in January the health of this army would
compare favorably with those of any concentrated army of like
proportions in existence. To be sure the men had become by
this time fairly acclimatized, and new troops arriving here
will be obliged to pass through this period of acclimatization
before they become properly efficient for prolonged service in
the field.
{372}
First.
A broad-minded and sympathetic representative of America,
fully authorized to treat, and a lover of peace.
Second.
A strict discipline amongst the American forces.
Third,
The principal aim and object of the Tagal insurrection must be
secured.
F. H. Sawyer,
The Inhabitants of the Philippines,
page 113-114 (New York: Charles Scribner's Sons).
{374}
Admiral Dewey,
Letter, August 29, 1898,
Replying to inquiry of War Department.
General Merritt,
statement before United States Peace Commission at Paris,
October 4, 1898.
General F. V. Greene,
Memorandum concerning the Philippine Islands,
made August 27, 1898.
Major J. F. Bell
[of Engineers, on "secret service"]
Letter to General Merritt, Manila, August 29, 1898.
{375}
John Foreman,
Testimony before United States Peace Commission at Paris.
"The excuse that they [the Filipinos] are not ripe for
independence is not founded on facts. The Filipinos number
more educated people than the kingdom of Servia and the
principalities of Bulgaria and Montenegro. They have fewer
illiterates than the states of the Balkan peninsula, Russia,
many provinces of Spain and Portugal, and the Latin republics
of America. There are provinces in which few people can be
found who do not at least read. They pay more attention to
education than Spain or the Balkan states do. There is no lack
of trained men fit to govern their own country, and indeed in
every branch, because under the Spanish rule the official
business was entirely transacted by the native subalterns. The
whole history of the Katipunan revolt and of the war against
Spain and America serves to place in the best light the
capability of the Filipinos for self-government."
F. Blumentritt,
The Philippine Islands,
page 61.
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS: A. D. 1898-1899 (December-January).
Instructions by the President of the United States to
General Otis, Military Governor and Commander in
the Philippines.
Their proclamation to the people of the Islands as
modified by General Otis.
The effect.
{376}
WILLIAM McKINLEY."