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Lecours QuestionFederalismNepal 2014
Lecours QuestionFederalismNepal 2014
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Publius
In 2012, a Nepali Constituent Assembly tasked with drafting a federal constitution was dissolved
after four years of wrangling over federalism issues. This article develops three explanations for
why federal structures have yet to take shape in Nepal. It argues that consensus on federalism
hides a reluctance by key actors to build a federal system; that while some political forces want
federal structures based on ethnic identities, two of the three main political parties have little
appetite for "identity-based federalism"; and that political actors hold antagonistic ideas about
federalism and what it should achieve. More broadly, the article speaks to cases of "holding
together" federalism stemming from previously unitary states.
As the clock was striking midnight on May 28, 2012, Nepali Prime Minister
Baburam Bhattarai announced in a television address that the Constituent
Assembly (CA) tasked with drafting a federal constitution for the country was
dissolved. Four years after it was formed through historical elections that signaled
the beginning of a new era for the country, and with great hope that it would
provide the constitutional foundations necessary to secure civil peace and
democratic stability in Nepal, the CA had failed, despite four extensions given to
the original two-year mandate, to produce a constitution. In announcing that
elections for a new CA would be held,1 Prime Minister Bhattarai stated: "People
will again decide who is for federalism and change" (Himalayan Times 2012).
Indeed, federalism proved the most contentious question surrounding the adoption
of a new constitution despite the fact that all major political parties have been on
the record supporting a federal model for Nepal. More specifically, Nepali political
parties could not agree on a "federal map," that is, they could not forge a
consensus on the number of constituent units a federal Nepal would have. The fact
that federalism was the most controversial issue in constitution-making in Nepal
is particularly meaningful considering the scope and importance of choices faced
by the CA, whose members had to decide, among other things, on a system of
government, a rights regime, and a judicial system.
Why is the basic design of the federal system proving so problematic in Nepal?
In the literature, the origins of federal systems are typically located in elite pacts
seeking to create common markets and security arrangements, or looking to
Second, while some political forces, namely Madheshi parties and leaders of the
country's "indigenous nationalities,"2 want federal structures based on ethnic
identities, two of the three main political parties (Nepali Congress, NC and
Communist Party of Nepal-Unified Marxist-Leninist, CPN-UML) have no history
of opposing the state through ethnic identity politics and little appetite for
"identity-based federalism." The other important party, Unified Communist Party
of Nepal-Maoist (UCPN-M), publicly supports federalism because of its connection
with the indigenous nationalities but is internally divided over the wisdom of
institutionalizing ethnicity through federalism. Hence, disagreement over the extent
to which the identities of historically marginalized groups should be represented in
its federal structures has made it difficult to come to an agreement on federalism.
Third, the article shows that distinct, and sometimes antagonistic, ideas have
been featured in the debate over federalism. More specifically, the idea of self
determination, readily associated with federalism by Madheshi parties and leaders
of indigenous communities, coexists uneasily with political ideas such as "national
unity," "sovereignty," and "development" that suggest a different federal
structuring. Federalism is given different meanings by the various political actors
struggling for power in Nepal, which means that translating the concept into
concrete structures, even a basic federal map, falls victim to underlying tensions.
This article is divided into five sections. The first explains how federalism came
to be part of the constitution-making process in Nepal and how the various parties
support different federal maps of the country, with the key issue being the extent to
which the constituent units will represent the identities of historically marginalized
groups. The next section queries the literature for insight into the question of the
origins of federalism. Facing serious limitations as to the usefulness of this
literature in explaining the difficulty in agreeing on a federal map in Nepal, I
discuss how historical institutionalism presents great potential for effectively
tackling this question. In the third section, I explain how the federal specification
brought to the interim constitution in 2007 was the contingent product of timely
pressures from the Madhesh. As a result, the apparent consensus on federalism is
superficial. In the fourth section, I argue that there is, among Nepal's main political
parties, much opposition to the notion of "identity-based federalism," that is, to
any federal structuring that would have constituent units become political
communities for the country's historically marginalized groups. In the next section,
I explain how tensions between different political ideas surrounding federalism,
which often mask claims for power, further complicated agreement on federal
structures. In the conclusion, I attempt to draw some implications of Nepal's
experience for theorizing the origins of federalism.
state always featured unitary structures, although it sometimes proved too weak to
effectively take control of all groups and had to strike deals with some (e.g., the
Limbus), who thereafter retained some form of autonomy through a system o
land tenure known as Kipat (Forbes 1996, 42).4 Even the seemingly decentralist
Panchayat, a "system of bottom-up representation on the basis of what were
argued to be genuinely Nepali village-level councils" (Gellner 2008, 10) established
by king Mahendra in 1960 largely in an attempt to legitimize his absolutist rule,
served to re-enforce centralization by allowing a better state control of rural areas
Although the Panchayat lasted until 1990, its village representation was always
meant to operate within a strongly centralized unitary state. The Panchayat era als
yielded fourteen Zones carved out of five Development Regions as well as seventy
five District Development Committees, but all these structures were about
administrative management and political manipulation rather than political
decentralization (Baral 2008).
Finally, Nepal's history of political exclusion and state control by a group that
represents a minority of the population puts it at odds with federalism's notion of
reconciling unity and diversity. There are many different cleavages in Nepal. They
involve, most importantly, ethnicity, language, territory, caste, and religion (Lawoti
2005). The crucial political implication of socio-cultural cleavages is that "high
caste" Hindus from the hills (a group composed of Brahmans and Chetris) form
approximately "31 per cent of the population, but overwhelmingly dominate the
state, politics, economy and society" (Lawoti 2007, 23). Moreover, in the post-Rana
period, this group's stranglehold on the state translated into various policies of
"nepalization," underscored by the imposition of a majority culture, that ar
anathema to federalism such as declaring Hindu the official state religion and
promoting the Nepali language at the expense of others.
Despite all these features of the Nepali state that go against the spirit of
federalism, the first amendment to Nepal's 2007 interim constitution specified tha
the country would be federal (UNDP 2008, 5). Indeed, after ten years of Maoist
insurgency aiming at broad socio-economic, political, and institutional change
culminated in the second jana andolan in 2006, elections to a CA in 2008 produced
a body tasked with "restructuring the state." In this context, federalism appeared as
a necessary approach and system to govern democratically and peacefully a very
complex society (Elazar 1994; Burgess 2006). Interestingly, questions such as the
fate of the monarchy and the relationship between religion and state did not prove
the most controversial in a country where the Crown and Hinduism were pillars of
the state and of national identity (the monarchy was abolished at the CA's firs
meeting on May 28, 2008 and the 2007 interim constitution declared Nepal a
secular state). Federalism did.
The major stumbling block in reaching an agreement on the country's federal
map has been the number of constituent units Nepali federalism should have.
Literally dozens of federal maps have been circulated and promoted by political
parties, civil society organizations as well as experts, academics and consultants.
Maps have ranged from a federal Nepal made up of three to twenty-five constituent
units with names of constituent units representing the identity of core ethnic
groups to varying degrees (Dhungel et al. 2009; Bhattachan 2010). At the most
basic level, these maps differ on how ethnicity and territory would be articulated in
Nepali federalism. In early 2010, the Committee for Restructuring of the State and
Distribution of State Powers of the CA produced a federal map composed of
fourteen units where the names of the units are based primarily on ethnicity.
(Figure 1 in the appendix available as supplementary data at Publius online
provides a map showing the units proposed by the CA.)
Although extensive consultation all over Nepal was conducted in the preparation
of this map (UNDP 2010) and even if there was very strong support in the CA as
whole for it, there was never an agreement among the leaders of the three main
parties that it would serve as the foundation for the construction of federalism in
the country. For NC and CPN-UML leadership, this map was too strongly based
on identity. The leadership of the main parties then formed, in November 2011, a
State Restructuring Commission (SRC), composed of nine experts (with known
political affiliations) and tasked with making a recommendation on federal
structuring. Illustrative of the deeply divisive nature of the federal map issue, the
SRC was unable to produce a unanimous report. Instead, the SRC submitted, in
February 2012, two reports to the government: first, supported by six members,
dividing the country in eleven provinces (including a non-territorial Dalit unit),
largely on the basis of ethnic identity, and second, backed by the other three
members, recommending six provinces based primarily on economic viability.
(Figure 2 in the appendix available as supplementary data at Publius online shows
the six province and eleven province maps.)
structures are viewed within the country as providing better insulation from
external (primarily Indian influences) and the country already has a common
market. Neither do more recent arguments about how the level of pre-existing
institutional capacity at the regional level determines if a state will be created as
federal or not (Ziblatt 2006) since Nepal has no regional political structures
whatsoever. Even the relatively small literature on federalism in Asia has limitations
when it comes to shedding light on the federalization of Nepal since the origins
and development of federalism in states such as India, Pakistan, and Malaysia are
typically linked to colonialism and the de-colonization process (Bhattachan 2010).
Still, we can extrapolate from the literature two explanations for the current
impasse on the federal map in Nepal. The first is that a federalization process is
typically driven by a group, often identifying as a nation, looking for territorial
autonomy. Taking their cues from specialists of Canada and Switzerland (Linder
1994; Gagnon and Iacovino 2006), scholars who have looked at the contemporary
transformation of unitary states into federal systems in Spain and Belgium have
convincingly argued that federalism there was triggered by the autonomous pursuit
of specific communities (Catalonia and the Basque Country in Spain, and Flanders
in Belgium) (Moreno 2001; Deprez and Vos 1998). In both cases there was
opposition to federalism, but in Belgium it came from the minority (French
speakers) who in the end could not stop federalization while in Spain the use of
terms other than federalism (Estado de las Autonomias, State of the Autonomies)
dampened the controversy.
The argument that societal dynamics, and more specifically ethno-cultural and
national cleavages (Erk 2007), explain the origins of federalism and frictions over
its basic design sits somewhat uneasily with the case of Nepal. It is true that much
of the support for federalism has come from the Madhesh (the South of the
country, alongside the Indian border) (Hachhethu, Yadav, and Gurung 2010)
where the priority, guided by claims for the recognition of a right to self
determination, is to have one constituent unit for the region ('One Madhesh, One
Province'). This being said, the struggle over federalism in Nepal can not be
understood in terms of a confrontation between Madheshis and the rest of the
country. Not only is the Madhesh far from being politically united on federalism,
but there is also support elsewhere in the country, particularly among Nepal's
indigenous nationalities, for federal structures.5 In short, Nepal's diversity is
certainly part of the story for explaining the dilemmas posed by federalism, but the
connection between diversity and federalism is complex and mediated by other
forces.
A second possible explanation for the difficulty in finding agreement over basic
federal structures in Nepal can be drawn from the literature. Since Riker (1964),
federalism has often been portrayed as a "bargain" (Duchacek 1975; Volden 2004)
involving powerful elites. From this perspective, the "players" in the federalism
"game" are looking to secure some benefits (for Riker, mostly of a security nature),
and federations are created when federalism can deliver those benefits for key
players. We can surmise from this proposition that when key actors do not find
that a federal model will be to their advantage, they will oppose it. This is most
certainly true, but it tells us very little about what has gone on in Nepal short of
the truism that some actors do not find specific federal maps to their advantage
and therefore will not accept them. The rationalist perspective on federal bargains
tends to reify groups, assumes that masses follow leaders, and fails to problematize
preferences and interests. In the context of Nepal, many different actors have
taken part in the negotiations on the federal bargain (most importantly the CA
and political parties), but they are internally divided and do not consistently
command loyalty from their followers. Perhaps more importantly, the preferences
and interests of every actor have been far from evident, which undermines a
straightforward rationalist explanation for the stalemate over federalism. Of course,
power and politics are central to the story, but they need to be integrated into
a broader theoretical framework sensitive to timing and sequences, institutional
legacies, and ideas.
This framework is provided by historical institutionalism (Steinmo, Thelen, and
Longstreth 1992; Lecours 2005; Peters 2005). Two features of historical
institutionalism make it the most appropriate theoretical school for tackling the
question of why crafting the basic structures of federalism in Nepal is so difficult.
The first is its sensitivity to time and sequencing (Pierson 2000a, b). A fundamental
assertion of historical institutionalism is that causality is deeply embedded in the
sequencing of institutional development and socio-political processes. Politics,
therefore, should be studied in time (Pierson 2004). Institutional development
sometimes arrives at critical junctures where divergent socio-political processes put
pressure on an existing institutional setting and allow actors to make choices that
can alter that setting (Thelen 2004). Path-departing change therefore results from
tensions between institutional and socio-political orders (Lieberman 2002). The
federalization of Nepal clearly represents a path-departing change since Nepal's
institutional history has consisted of centralized unitary structures. Historical
institutionalism draws our attention to the political dynamics of the critical
juncture represented by Nepal's democratic transition and to how these dynamics
led to the path of federalism. In turn, as I will show, the process that led to Nepal
toward that path is crucial for explaining the difficulty in finding agreement on the
federal map.
The second feature of historical institutionalism that makes it the most
came out of the circumstantial political dynamics of the transition rather than from
a political agreement on federalism. Indeed, the apparent consensus behind
federalism in Nepal hides lukewarm support on the part of key actors for a federal
model. From this perspective, the failure to agree on a federal map becomes less
surprising. Second, state legacies of centralization and rule by a privileged group, as
well as legacies of opposition to the state, have produced contemporary political
actors who have quite different positions on the articulation of territory and
ethnicity. In concrete terms, some want the federal map to reflect the country's
ethnic diversity and some do not. Third, the debate around federalism in Nepal has
been framed around several different ideas that suggest a different logic for the
territorial structuring of federalism in the country.
Time-Contingent Federalism
The historical institutionalist literature has stressed the importance of temporality
when looking to explain socio-political outcomes. From this angle, the search for
causality involves not only identifying the nature of a trigger for a specific outcome
but also being sensitive to its timing (Pierson 2000b). In other words, causality is
embedded in sequencing, and outcomes are often the contingent results of specific
sequences. This historical institutionalist insight gives a different perspective to the
insertion in Nepal's interim constitution of the stipulation that the country would
be federal than the intuitive one, which is that there is strong and deep support for
federalism. In fact, there is not this type of support for federalism in Nepal, and the
constitutional requirement of federalism was the contingent product of the timing
of the Madheshi rebellion.
Virtually all theories suggest that behind the origins of federal systems lies a
concerted agreement on the necessity of federalism. Whether this is expressed as a
bargain (Riker 1964), a moral compact (LaSelva 1996), or a sine qua non condition
for democracy (Moreno 2001) or for the survival of a country (Deschouwer 2010),
the literature suggests that federalism begins with strong support from key actors.
It is reasonable to think that negotiations over the specific design of federal
structures are facilitated by a core agreement on the principle of federalism itself
(Watts 2008, 68).
There is no such core agreement in Nepal. On the surface, every party supports
federalism, except for Rastriya Prajatantra Party, Nepal (RPPN), a marginal party
(it won four seats out of 601 in the 2008 CA election) supportive of the old
monarchist regime and the small communist party Rastriya Janamorcha (that also
won four seats in these same elections). In reality, however, the 2007 decision to
specify in the interim constitution that Nepal would be federal was the consequence
of the particular dynamics of a democratic transition process rather than the
reflection of a consensus on the desirability of federalism.
the hills. These people, along with some Muslims and some members of the plains'
indigenous groups, call themselves Madheshis, and are bound by a history of
exclusion from the state. Indeed, Madheshis have long been considered quasi
foreigners by Hindus from the hills; citizenship certificates have been difficult to
acquire for this population (Hachhethu, Yadav, and Gurung 2010, 80). A Madheshi
movement became visible in the fifties as the Nepali Terai Congress, formed in
1951, called for an autonomous Madhesh, the recognition of Hindi as an official
language, and a Madheshi presence in the civil service. By the eighties, federalism
entered the Madheshi discourse more clearly (Hachhethu, Yadav, and Gurung
2010, 80).
When the Maoist insurgency stepped up its action in the Terai after 2000, the
Madheshi movement started to make more forceful claims about federalism,
connecting it to the notion of self-determination, and its new organization,
Madhesh National Liberation Front (MNLF), was established with close links to
CPN-M. In this context, the absence of any reference to federalism in the interim
constitution was a shock for Madheshi leaders, especially since the seemingly
federalism-friendly CPN-M was dictating much of the terms of the transition. The
Madheshi Jana Adhikar Forum (MJF) immediately called for a general strike. MJF
activists burned the constitution and there were abductions of Maoist politicians as
well as violent clashes between Madheshi nationalists and Maoists that left more
various parties and movements. It was simply the consequence of the timing of a
violent uprising by a group who wanted federalism. Thus, Nepal was launched into
the federal pathway because the Kathmandu-centered leadership of the main parties
wanted to escape the dramatic consequences of the Madheshi general strike
(including shortage of essential goods such food and petrol). The fact that most key
political actors in Nepal's constitution-making process initially did not make
federalism a priority, or simply did not want it at all, has made it complicated
fleshing out the structures of the federal arrangement. Once the interim
constitution was amended and discussions over federal structuring began, the
legacy of different patterns of opposition to the monarchist regime and different
views of the state, especially with respect to the relationship between ethnic identity
and territory, rendered an agreement even more difficult.
of the Ranas in 1951 and thereafter had episodic access to political power whenever
the monarchy opted to open up the political process. As such, NC never had
designs for fundamentally restructuring the Nepali state; NC leaders. For example
G. P. Koirala, were typically adamantly against federalism (International Crisis
Group 2011, 12). Rather, NC pushed for multipartite democracy, initially of a
social-democratic bent (Brown 1996, 14—34) and later toward liberalism. Both
struggling against and cooperating with the monarchy, NC was a party dominated
by "high-caste" Hindus from the hills who showed little specific concern for the
country's excluded and disadvantaged minorities.
This history is reflected in the party's contemporary stance on federalism. Much
of the NC still opposed federalism by 2006, but the party's formal position
switched to pro-federalism that year in large part because not doing so involved
significant electoral risks (International Crisis Group 2011, 13). NC leadership,
however, is still not overly supportive of federalism and has wanted to avoid any
maps structured around the identities of historically marginalized groups. In its
first proposals, NC suggested using the already existing Development Regions
whose bases are purely geographical (Eastern, Central Western, Mid-Western, and
Far-Western). Both members of the State Restructuring Commission associated
with NC supported a six constituent unit model (essentially the four Development
Regions plus two provinces in the Terai) quite detached from explicit ethnic
references and where the units are numbered rather than named. NC has lost many
indigenous and Madheshi members who left to the party over its opposition to
identity-based federalism and formed the Social Democratic Party.
The CPN-UML is more divided over federalism than the NC. At its birth in
1949, the Communist Party of Nepal had shown sympathy to ethnic demands for
self-determination, but the class perspective eventually won out within the party as
it shaped its opposition to the state. CPN-UML eventually came out strongly
against ethnic activism, which it considered, beginning in the nineties, reactionary
(International Crisis Group 2011, 11). Much like NC, CPN-UML formally adopted
a pro-federalism position after 2006 despite divisions within the party. In the wake
of Maoist positioning on federalism, CPN-UML has made some room for ethnicity
in its federal design but remains divided on the notion of identity-based federalism.
One of its proposed maps features fifteen constituent units, many of which would
be "homelands" for some of the country's most important indigenous groups (e.g.,
the Tharus, Limbus, Magars, and Rais). In the context of the State Restructuring
Commission, the two members linked to CPN-UML were split on what type of
map to recommend, with Bhogendrajha endorsing the eleven province "ethnic"
model and SarbarajKhadka siding with the six province proposal. Similarly to what
happened to NC, many important indigenous and Madheshi members left CPN
UML as a result of its stand on federalism and created a new party, the Federal
Socialist Party.
based on these groups' identity. Hence, in those circles, federalism has meant
self-determination. Among indigenous nationalities, the stress on the idea of
self-determination that appeared in the nineties coincided with the use of the
indigeneity label (Hangen 2010, 50-51). From that perspective, Nepal's caste
Hindus were late comers to the country (from India, it is argued). That notion of
indigeneity came with powerful connections to self-determination framed by
international law. For example, contemporary claims for self-determination
articulated among indigenous groups typically come with references to the 1989
International Labour Organization's Indigenous and Tribal Peoples Convention
(No. 169) and the United Nations Declaration on Indigenous Peoples' Rights,
adopted by Nepal on September 13, 2007, that recognize a right to self
determination to Indigenous peoples (my interviews, 2011).
The idea of self-determination is of great concern to "high-caste" Hindus from
the hills who dominate the leadership ranks of the three main parties. When
Madheshi parties and indigenous activists speak of self-determination in the
context of debates over federal structuring, other political actors, especially NC and
CPN-UML, bring up the idea of national unity (my interviews 2011). From the
perspective of "high-caste" Hindus from the hills, the strength of Nepali unity in
the context of tremendous diversity is a considerable achievement that should serve
as a source of pride to all Nepalis. Self-determination, and any type of federal
structuring informed by that idea, therefore represents a threat to the unity of the
country. The Maoists are more comfortable with the idea of self-determination, but
they also argue that, in Nepal, the actualization of self-determination (through, e.g.,
federalism) would make secession redundant. When put forth by Madheshi parties,
self-determination, and thus a federal structure that would have one province for
the whole of the Madhesh, appears particularly threatening since it sets up a
political community large enough and most likely economically strong enough to
consider independence. The idea of national unity, therefore, suggests a different
type of federal map than the idea of self-determination.
For some key actors, most notably CPN-M, self-determination, when invoked by
Madheshi parties, comes into conflict with the idea of sovereignty. Nepal is
sandwiched between two giants, India and China. India has had a long history of
strategic interest for, and influence in, Nepal, a fact heavily condemned by Nepal's
Maoists. At the beginning of its insurgency, CPN-M stated that "the enemies [sic]
of Nepalese people are not only within the country but also present outside of it in
the form of imperialists, specially [sic] Indian expansionists" (Subedi 2006, 135).
The Maoist suspicion of India fuels worries that a federal map featuring a single
Madheshi province will compromise Nepal's sovereignty, that is, render the country
Conclusion
The case of the ongoing federalization of Nepal is crucial for deepening our
understanding of how states become federal, or, more specifically, of the problems
and obstacles facing unitary states entering processes of federalization. While
federalism scholarship is successful at explaining why previously independent
entities have chosen to form federal states, it is less illuminating on transitions from
unitary to federal structures. Differently put, the birth of "coming together
federalism" is better understood than the birth of "holding together federalism"
(Stepan 1999) that began with the restructuring of a unitary state. Studies of cases
where such restructuring has led to a federal state (most notably, Belgium and
Spain12) focus (rightly) on the importance of nationalist movements (Flemish in
the former, and Basque and Catalan in the latter) (Deschouwer 2010; Lecours
2007). Yet, transitioning from unitary to federal structures can be a very difficult
process, driven and shaped by many other forces than one or two nationalist
movements. This is particularly the case in developing countries where the
sometimes extreme ethno-cultural diversity of society, underdevelopment, a history
of political violence, a fragile democracy, and vulnerability to outside influence are
all likely to structure the federalization process and condition the resulting
territorial political institutions.
This case study of Nepal has shown that historical institutionalism helps
explain the difficulties and obstacles of "holding together" federalization processes.
It suggests that three components important for understanding why negotiations
over federal design can be long and difficult.
First, strong and broad support for federalism can not be assumed. Federalism can
be the contingent outcome of a democratic transition process in a muthiethnic
country. In the case of Nepal, the fear of political violence endangering a nascent
democracy led the country's three main political parties to accept, with various
degrees of reluctance, the Madheshi claim for federalism. The weak support for the
very notion of federalism made more difficult any compromise on its actual design. In
this context, the case of Nepal speaks to the necessity to interpret actors' support for
federalism, perhaps especially when it comes from Marxist movements that have
looked to trigger political and institutional change through armed rebellion. Indeed,
support for federalism within these movements can be primarily of a strategic nature
as was the case for Bolsheviks and Chinese Communists who spoke in favor of federal
accommodation for minorities when looking to take over the state (Connor 1984).
Second, the question of how to articulate state, territory, and ethnic identity in a
complex multiethnic society can render the drawing of the federal map quite
arduous, especially if historical opposition to the state was informed by plans for
political and institutional restructuring that treated ethnic identity differently. In
Nepal, while Madheshi groups had a significant history of opposing the state on the
Supplementary Data
Supplementary data can be found at www.publius.oxfordjournals.org.
Notes
This work was supported by a grant from the Secrétariat aux affaires inter
gouvernementales canadiennes du Québec (SAIC), 2010-11. The author thanks Susan
Henders and Publius' three anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments.
1. The initial announcement was for elections on November 22, 2012, but they were then
further postponed.
2. The government of Nepal recognizes the existence of "indigenous nationalities," which
are populations who do not belong to Hindu caste groups and often speak Tibeto
Burman languages. The most important of these groups, population-wise, are the
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