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(Download PDF) Analysing Planning and Valuing Private Firms New Approaches To Corporate Finance Federico Beltrame Full Chapter PDF
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Federico Beltrame and Alex Sclip
Alex Sclip
Department of Management, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
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Reference
Gupta, A., & Van Nieuwerburgh, S. (2021). Valuing private equity
investments strip by strip. The Journal of Finance, 76(6), 3255–3307.
Contents
1 Corporate Financial Analysis
1.1 Introduction
1.2 The Reclassificationof the Balance Sheet
1.2.1 The Reorganization of the Balance Sheet According to
Asset Liquidity and Liability Maturity
1.2.2 The Reorganization of the Balance Sheet by-Function
1.2.3 In-Depth Analysis of NOWC Monitoring and
Management
1.3 The Income Statement Reorganization
1.3.1 The Reorganization of the Income Statement as Value-
Added
1.3.2 The Reorganization of the Income Statement by the
Contribution Margin
1.4 Ratio Analysis
1.5 Cash Flow Statement Analysis
Appendix—A Comprehensive Financial Analysis Method
References
2 The Financial and Economic Forecast
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Qualitative Analysis
2.3 The Traditional Economic and Financial Forecast:From
Assumptions to Estimation Procedures
2.3.1 Assumptions
2.3.2 The Estimation Process to Obtain a Forecast Budget
2.4 A Different Method to Estimate Forecast Operating
Revenues
2.5 Conclusions
Appendix—Drafting a Forecast Budget:Combining New and
Classic Approaches
Step 1:Determining the Break-Even Revenues
Economic Assumptions
Trade Assumptions
Investment Assumptions
Financing Assumptions
Step 2:Forecasting the Budget Balance (“Classic” Method)
Reference
3 The Cost of Capital for Private Businesses
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Private Business Evaluation:General Points
3.3 The Critical Issues in Calculating the Cost of Capital for
Private-Owned Companies
3.3.1 First Issue:“No Market Reference for Equity and Debt”
3.3.2 Second Issue:“Considering Specific Risks in the
Evaluation Process”
3.4 An Alternative Model to Estimate the Cost of Capital of
Private Corporations
3.4.1 The Model Basics
3.4.2 Estimating the Unlevered Cost of Capital Through a
Risk-Neutral Approach
3.4.3 The Default Probabilities for the Model
3.4.4 The Loss Given Default (LGD) to Be Used in the Model
3.5 Conclusions
Appendix 1—Steady-State and Steady-Growth Evaluations
Appendix 2—Evaluation of an Investment Project
References
4 Business Valuation Through Market Multiples
4.1 Introduction
4.2 The Key Multiples
4.3 The Evaluation Process
4.4 The Critical Issues with Comparability in the Use of
Multiples
4.4.1 A Conceptual Outline
4.4.2 Adjustments by Growth Profile
4.4.3 Adjustments by Debt Level
4.4.4 Adjustments by Growth Rate and Debt Level
4.5 The Issues Relating to the Calculation of the Single Multiple
4.6 Specific Features of Stock-Market Multiples
4.7 Using the Multiples Approach:Final Considerations
Appendix:The Unlevered Value Maps:An Empirical Evaluation
References
5 Conclusions—Putting All Together for Valuing a Start-Up
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Start-Up Capital Structure, Expected Cash Flows, and Cost of
Capital
5.3 Start-Up Valuation Process
5.4 Focusing of the Venture Capital Method
5.5 Conclusions
References
References
Index
List of Figures
Fig. 2.1 Qualitative analysis chart (Source Data processed by the
authors)
Alex Sclip
Email: alex.sclip@univr.it
Abstract
This chapter is devoted to financial analysis through financial ratios and
cash flows. The first part of the chapter reports the reorganization of
the balance sheet and the income statement, which represents key
preparatory steps to perform a proper financial ratio and cash flow
analysis. In the second part of the chapter, we propose a novel
methodology for monitoring the monetary cycle and an organized
assessment of financial ratio analysis. Finally, in the last part of the
chapter, we focus on how to calculate cash flow and how to interpret
them for different purposes: valuation and debt sustainability analysis.
1.1 Introduction
Aim of financial statement analysis. Financial statements—the
income statement, balance sheet, and statement of cash flows—do not
promote easy insights into firm operating performance and value. The
balance sheet mixes together operating and nonoperating assets and
different sources of financing. In a similar way, the income statement
combines operating profits, nonoperating profits, amortization and
depreciation of fixed assets, and interest expenses. The first step for
analyzing the economic and financial dynamics of a corporate business
is to reorganize financial data properly. In this chapter, we present
financial statements organizing techniques and financial ratios useful
for company analysis from different perspectives: credit rating, self-
assessment tools, and company valuation.
Chapter aims and analyses. This chapter illustrates the two main
balance sheet reorganizing techniques (asset liquidity/liability
maturity and by-function balance sheet) and income statement
schemes (value-added and contribution margin methods)—Then the
chapter moves on to the analysis of the economic-financial dynamics
through the main financial statement ratios and cash flows. Alongside
the traditional analyses using main ratios—such as ROE or leverage—
the chapter emphasizes the existing link between the working capital
and the monetary cycle. The monetary cycle is calculated in a different
way, considering not only the commercial component but also the other
operating debts within the debt-payment deadlines. In this way, the
analyst can carry out a more complete examination of corporate debt
and overcome the critical issues that come from reading the
commercial monetary cycle. The chapter ends with the analysis of
financial flows, placing emphasis not only on the preparation of the
financial statement but also on how cash was generated and used.
Assets Liabilities
Short-Term (ST) assets Short-Term (ST) liabilities
Cash and cash equivalents • ST financial debt to banks
• Cash
• Cash equivalents: financial assets • ST marketable securities
Current non-cash assets • ST payables owed to financing
partners
• Trade receivables expiring within the FY • Trade payables
• Tax receivables expiring within the FY • ST deposits
• Financial receivables expiring within the • Tax liabilities expiring within the
FY FY
• Other receivables (remaining items) • Other liabilities expiring within the
expiring within the FY FY
• Accruals and prepayments • Accrued expenses and deferred
income
• Inventory • ST payables owed to parent
companies
• ST payables owed to social security
institutions
Fixed assets
Assets Liabilities
• Tangible fixed assets Medium/Long-Term (M/LT)
liabilities
• Intangible fixed assets • M/LT payables owed to banks
• Equity investments • M/LT marketable securities
• Financial receivables expiring beyond the • M/LT payables owed to financing
FY partners
• Trade receivables expiring beyond the FY • M/LT payables owed to parent
companies
• Tax receivables expiring beyond the FY • Trade payables expiring beyond the
FY
• Other receivables (remaining items) • Deposits beyond the FY
expiring beyond the FY
• Pension accumulated benefits
obligation
• Other M/LT payables
• Provisions for future risks and
charges
Equity capital
• Shareholders capital
• Reserves
• Retained earnings and earnings for
the FY
Total assets Total liabilities
Table 1.2 Balance sheet outline, reorganized according to the by-function method
Assets Liabilities
Fixed capital Equity capital
• Tangible assets • Shareholder’s equity Capital
• Intangible assets • Reserves
Assets Liabilities
• Financial assets • Retained earnings
M/LT financial debt:
• Marketable securities beyond the FY
Inventory • Financial debt owed to financing partners for
financing beyond the FY
• Financial debt owed to banks beyond the FY
• Financial debt represented by debt securities
beyond the FY
• Financial debt owed to financing partners
beyond the FY
Receivables ST Financial debt:
• Trade receivables • ST financial debt owed to banks
• Tax receivables • Financial debt owed to financing partners
within the FY
• Other receivables (remaining • Financial debt owed to financing partners
items) within the FY
• Accruals and prepayments • (Cash and cash equivalents)
Payables
• Provisions for future risks and charges
• Pension accumulated benefits obligation
• Advances from clients
• Trade payables
• Tax payables
• Other payables
• Accrued expenses and deferred income
• Payables owed to parent companies and
subsidiaries
TOTAL ASSETS LESS CASH AND TOTAL LIABILITIES LESS CASH AND
EQUIVALENTS EQUIVALENTS
Source Data processed by the authors
The configuration of total investments. By reclassifying the
balance sheet according to the by-function model, it is possible to
identify three configurations of total investments. The first is equivalent
to the sum of all assets. The second—Net Capital Employed—is the
capital spent to cover the company’s needs, which result from the
company’s assets net of working payables. This second configuration is
formed by surplus asset investments, investments in fixed capital, net
operating work capital and cash and equivalents. The third—Net
Operating Capital Employed (NOCE) or Invested capital (IC)—is the
capital spent to finance the company’s core operations. This third
configuration is formed by the sum of all investments in fixed capital
and the net operating work capital.
+ Operating revenues
+ Other current operating revenues
= Revenues total
+ Costs of raw materials and consumables
+ Changes in raw-material inventory
− (Changes in work-in-progress inventory)
− (Capitalized costs)
= Cost of goods sold
+ Costs of services
+ Lease payments
+ Risk provisioning
= Cost of services
Value added (Revenues total – Cost of goods sold – Cost of services)
= Cost of labor
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization: EBITDA
(Value added – Cost of labor)
+ Depreciation/amortization of tangible fixed assets
+ Depreciation/amortization of intangible fixed assets
= Depreciation and amortization
Earnings before interest and taxes EBIT (EBITDA −
Depreciation/amortization)
+ Interest income
− Interest expense
= Net financial charges
Operating profit (EBIT − Net financial charges)
+ Other non-recurring revenues
− Impairment of fixed assets
− Impairment of receivables
− Balance of value adjustments of financial assets and liabilities
± Other extra-ordinary revenues/charges
= Extra-ordinary items
Gross income (Operating profit + Extra-ordinary items)
− Income taxes
Net income (Gross total – Income taxes)
+ Operating revenues
+ Other current operating revenues
= Revenues total
− Cost of goods sold
− Variable costs for services
− Variable labor costs
= Contribution margin
− Fixed service costs
− Fixed labor costs
EBITDA
+ Depreciation/amortization of tangible fixed assets
+ Depreciation/amortization of intangible fixed assets
= Depreciation/amortization
EBIT (EBITDA − Depreciation/amortization)
− Operating taxes
NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Taxes)
+ Financial revenues
− Financial charges
+ Tax shields on financial charges
= Net financial charges
Gross earnings before extra-ordinary items
+ Other non-recurring revenues
− Impairment of fixed assets
− Impairment of receivables
− Balance of value adjustments of financial assets and liabilities
± Other extra-ordinary revenues/charges
= Extra-ordinary items
Net income
(1.3)
(1.7)
(1.9)
(1.10)
(1.11)
(1.12)
(1.13)
(1.15)
(1.16)
(1.19)
ROIC determinants. Just like the ROE, also the ROIC can be broken
down into its determinants. The variables that affect the ROIC can be
summarized as follows:
a. The size and structure of the company business, i.e., the
size/structure combination of economic operations;
In formula:
(1.20)
The ROS is a structural ratio. Resulting from the relation between
EBIT and total revenues, it expresses the EBIT per unit of net revenue
(margin for each euro of revenue). In other words, it indicates the
portion of income that is still available after covering all operating
costs. ROS > 0 claims the portion of net revenue that is still available
following the costs of the company’s ordinary operations; whereas a
negative ratio signals the inability of operating income to cover all costs
related to the company’s ordinary operations (as well as remaining
costs and charges).
This ratio is clearly influenced by the company sector and by the
cost structure. For example, manufacturing companies usually have
higher ROS ratios than companies in the trade sector. Therefore,
analysts should consider comparing the company ROS with that of
other companies in the same (or similar) sector.
As for the cost structure—for companies in the same sector—an
increase in the turnover of companies with greater operating leverage
results in a more than proportional increase in the indicator. The
turnover, as described above, measures the efficiency in the
management of capital employed. All this is to say that it is not enough
to compare the cost/revenue ratio, but it is also necessary to consider
the factors that were employed to achieve the volume of business.
Therefore, the company’s cost-effectiveness results from a profitability
ratio and a turnover ratio that jointly express the conditions of the
company’s internal, external, and operating efficiency. Finally, it seems
necessary to specify that the relevance of the two ratios is closely
related to the type of business that is carried out by the company. In
this sense, companies in the trade sector have high turnover rates given
by their high sales volume and low sales margins (ROS). Conversely, in
some manufacturing sectors, companies have high sales margins and
low sales turnover rates.
b. Investments;
c. Extra-management;
d. Financing.
− Taxes9
Net Current Operating Cash Flow (OCF)
Financing cash flow. The cash flow of the financing area is positive
when there is an injection of resources from investors and negative
when there is a repayment of financing sources. According to this
interpretation, an increase in equity capital causes an incoming flow of
resources and, conversely, the payment of a dividend causes a cash
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