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Belief Inference and The Self Conscious Mind Eric Marcus Full Chapter PDF
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Contents
Acknowledgments ix
Introduction 1
viii
Bibliography 153
Index 159
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Acknowledgments
This book would have been far worse and might never have been at all without
the help of many friends and colleagues. For fruitful conversations, email
exchanges, and/or comments on drafts, thanks to Dorit Bar-On, Matt Boyle,
Jason Bridges, Jim Conant, Keren Gorodeisky, Matthias Haase, Adrian
Haddock, Arata Hamawaki, Jonas Held, Ulf Hlobil, David Horst, David
Hunter, Andrea Kern, Christian Kietzmann, Irad Kimhi, Nicholas Koziolek,
Ram Neta, Alexandra Newton, Gilly Nir, John Phillips, Sebastian Rödl, Guy
Rohrbaugh, John Schwenkler, James Shaw, Will Small, Chris Blake-Turner,
and Markos Valaris. Peter Momtchiloff and two anonymous referees at
Oxford University Press also provided valuable feedback and advice. I am
grateful to Ryan Simonelli for compiling the index. And thanks to Wiley for
permission to use bits and pieces of “To Believe is to Know You Believe,”
dialectica 70 (3): 375–405, and “Inference as Consciousness of Necessity,”
Analytic Philosophy 61 (4): 304-322.
My greatest debt is to Lydia Marcus, without whom I would never have
found the happiness and peace of mind that enables me to write philosophy.
She has my deepest gratitude and love for this, as for everything else.
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Introduction
Belief, Inference, and the Self-Conscious Mind. Eric Marcus, Oxford University Press. © Eric Marcus 2021.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780192845634.003.0001
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beliefs belong to a single mind, but what makes for a single mind? I contend
that what makes a pair of beliefs mine is precisely that I have a distinctive first-
personal knowledge of their being mine. Surprisingly, this is not knowledge of
a preexisting unity supplied in some other fashion, but the very source of that
unity. An examination of the nature of belief and inference, in light of the
phenomenon of rational necessity, reveals how the unity of the rational mind
is a function of our knowledge of ourselves as bound to believe the true.
Rational self-consciousness is the form of mental togetherness.
I now sketch this line of thought.
It is often said that belief aims at truth. This saying means at least this much:
Beliefs are assessable according to whether or not they are true. What accounts
for this fact about belief? It is not enough to point to the internal structure of
belief—that it consists in a subject’s representing a proposition as true. That
would be too easy, for this is precisely what those who ask the question are
trying to understand. It is often assumed that a satisfactory answer will take
something like the following form: The cognitive system of a believer regulates
certain internal states so as to introduce, maintain and revise appropriately
those that represent what is the case while weeding out those that represent
what isn’t the case; it is in virtue of being so treated by the system that those
states are beliefs. More generally, a belief is thought to be what it is—a state
whose aim is truth—in virtue of ‘acting’ like one.
A core idea of this book is that insofar as belief aims at truth, it is not
because of the relations into which beliefs enter, but simply because of how the
thinker represents the believed proposition. What’s required, in other words,
is not a switch from the first-person point of view (how do I, in being a
believer, represent the proposition?) to the third-person point of view (how
does a belief as such interact with other states?) but a deeper understanding of
the former: What exactly is it to represent a proposition as true, in the relevant
sense? My answer: It is to represent it as what should be represented as true or
(as I put it) as to be believed. This, and not the relations into which a state
enters, makes it belief. Its aim is internal to the attitude itself. More precisely,
what makes it the case that I believe p is that I take myself to be bound (in a
specified sense) to represent p as true. The correct account of the nature of
belief entails that belief is essentially known to the believer. Because, in
believing, one represents the believed proposition as to-be-believed, I also
know in believing that I am open to criticism if the belief is false. The source
of the truth-assessability of belief, I argue, renders this normativity metaphys-
ically inseparable from doxastic self-consciousness.
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something that happens to the thinker when the possession of certain beliefs
triggers a conveniently situated mechanism. Inference, as we ordinarily pre-
sume it to transpire, can thus seem impossible.
The theory of belief outlined in the first half of the book helps us escape
Carroll’s Paradox. Just as the (rationally grounded metaphysical) necessity of
rejecting a belief (say, ~p) can be due merely to the fact that someone will not
surrender their belief that p, the (rationally grounded metaphysical) necessity
of accepting a belief (say, q) can be due merely to the fact that someone will not
surrender their beliefs that p and that p entails q. Nothing more is required,
psychologically or rationally, to reject ~p than the belief that p. Similarly,
nothing more is required, psychologically or rationally, to accept the belief that
q than the beliefs that p and that p entails q. I believe q because I must—where,
again, this is rationally grounded metaphysical necessity—believe it, given
what else I believe.
Inference is consciousness of necessity. It is at once consciousness of the
necessity of the truth of a conclusion, given the premises, and consciousness of
that conclusion as what I must believe, given that I believe the premises.
Whereas to believe is to represent a proposition as to-be-believed, to infer is
to represent the to-be-believed-ness of the conclusion as to-be-inferred from
the to-be-believed-ness of the premises. Because, in inferring, I represent the
inference itself as good, I also know in inferring that I am open to criticism if
the conclusion does not in fact follow from the premises. The source of the
validity-assessability of inference, I argue, renders this normativity inseparable
from inferential self-consciousness.
That a person’s beliefs constrain one another—not just normatively and
causally, but metaphysically—helps to drive home an important lesson about
the nature of belief. Belief is a term we use to divide, with potentially mislead-
ing artificiality, our overall view of the world into proposition-sized pieces.
The risk is that we come to view beliefs as possessing a kind of particularity—a
constitutive independence from other beliefs—that they lack. And in so doing,
we are unable to recapture in our philosophy of mind the true character of the
mind’s unity.
My answer to the question of the source of the mind’s unity runs roughly as
follows: My beliefs, unlike the beliefs of others, affect what else I do or do not
believe simply in my understanding their implications for what else I should or
should not believe. In paradigmatic cases, the mere fact that one understands a
proposition to follow from (or to be inconsistent with) others that one
believes, and which one will not surrender, thereby makes that proposition
metaphysically necessary (or impossible) to believe. The unity of the rational
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8
1
Belief and Judgment
The term ‘belief ’ lives a messy life outside philosophy, and the precision of a
philosophical account can create the impression that something important is
being left out. The risk of misunderstanding here will be reduced, I hope, by
declaring from the start that my goal is not to give an account that captures
every acceptable, literal, and true occurrence of the term. I aim to understand
what we are generally saying in ordinary contexts about the cognitively typical,
adult humans to whom we apply it.
Here, presented in the order to be discussed, are seven interrelated truths
about belief, so understood, that will orient my discussion in this and later
chapters:
While these statements have the syntax of universal generalizations, they are
not intended to make substantive general claims about an independently
specifiable kind of state. Rather, they are topic-fixing. These principles are
meant to focus the reader on what I will discuss. To be sure, each needs to be
clarified, refined, and/or qualified. In the course of doing so, I develop a theory
of belief that best explains their joint truth. (The complementary theory of
inference defended in the second half of the book will extend the explanatory
gains of its first half by articulating how certain mental acts meet ‘the taking
condition,’ and do so without engendering regress.)
It will be important in what follows not to lose sight of the fact that my
account of what I call belief—that is, those entities described by the theory
that explains (i)–(vii)—is compatible with the existence of distinct yet
Belief, Inference, and the Self-Conscious Mind. Eric Marcus, Oxford University Press. © Eric Marcus 2021.
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780192845634.003.0002
OUP CORRECTED AUTOPAGE PROOFS – FINAL, 24/7/2021, SPi
sub-personally in a certain manner that accounts for its aiming at truth and,
therefore, for its being subject to the truth-norm. It is because of how belief
‘behaves’ (i.e., its external relations) and not because of how the believer
represents the proposition (its internal structure), that belief is assessable
according to the truth-norm.
The gist of the theory I will defend in what follows is that to believe is to
represent a proposition as what one should represent as true. It is precisely in
recognizing this doxastic obligation that one conforms to it. Thus, insofar as
belief aims at truth, it is not because of how the state is regulated, but because
of how the thinker represents the believed proposition.
does not single out belief. Supposing p, assuming p, and imagining p also
could be described as involving representing p as true.² This shows not so
much that there is more to believing p than representing it as true, but that the
relevant sense of ‘representing-as-true’ needs to be further specified. To that
end, note that supposing, assuming, and imagining are all action-types, in the
sense that it is possible to suppose, assume, or imagine at will. The sense in
which believing that p is representing p as true is one in which the relevant sort
of ‘representing’ is not something that can be done at will.³
But this clarification will still not enable us to identify the relevant attitude,
as there are other non-voluntary attitudes toward p that might be described as
forms of representing p as true. If, for example, I have a visceral fear of
cockroaches, one might describe me as feeling and acting as if it were true
that cockroaches were dangerous, and in doing so as representing the prop-
osition ‘cockroaches are dangerous’ as true. Nonetheless, it might be that I do
not believe that cockroaches are dangerous—not even a little bit. Perhaps we
can rule out these non-voluntary representings-as-true by following through
on the observation that belief is the sort of attitude that one holds on the basis
of reasons, i.e., there are reasons for believing and not just reasons why people
We are still not done with the first objection, however. One might, it seems,
represent a proposition as to-be-believed (even with the foregoing clarifica-
tion) without believing it. For example, there might be a certain proposition
that one simply can’t take seriously—say, that one’s spouse is an undercover
Russian spy. The CIA has, suppose, requested a meeting on the subject and for
prudential reasons, one has decided to take it. The evidence is overwhelming.
At the end of the session, one may genuinely still not believe that she is a spy,
but one is in a state expressible by saying such things as “I ought to believe that
my wife is a spy, but I still can’t quite bring myself to believe it.” Such a case
appears to show that representing a proposition as being sufficiently well
supported to warrant belief is one thing, actually believing it is another.
(Note that this counterexample does not rely on a pragmatic ‘should.’)
One gets a different impression from the following example. Suppose a
woman is playing poker, trying to figure out whether her opponent is bluffing.
She considers his behavior on prior rounds of betting, which she finds
inconclusive. Hoping to get a read on him, she asks him whether he’ll show
her his hand if she folds. He enthusiastically says he will, thereby revealing that
he wants her to fold, a sign that his hand is weak. This evidence settles the
matter for her—he’s bluffing. Here there is no temptation to break down the
transition between deliberation and belief into two steps: first, a step in which
she recognizes that she ought to believe he’s bluffing; and second, a step in
which she actually comes to believe that he’s bluffing. She simply recognizes
what the evidence shows and therein believes it.
Furthermore, the counterintuitive idea that there is necessarily a gap
between a normative judgment of belief-worthiness and a belief has an
unacceptable consequence. One would then have to say that a rational expla-
nation of why a person believes p explains directly only why she judges that
she ought to believe p. An explanation of why she actually believes it would
also have to mention that the ought-judgment led to the belief. You ask why
she believes he’s bluffing and she says “because he said he’d show me his
hand.” You reply “that’s why you think you ought to believe he’s bluffing, but
why do you actually believe it?” The poker pro would be utterly confused. Her
original answer seems to leave nothing of this sort to explain. On the two-step
view, there would be questions about how precisely the ought-judgment gives
rise to the belief, whether it is an automatic process or whether more activity
from the thinker is required. If it is automatic, one might ask how long it takes
believing that p requires conceiving of your attitude towards the proposition that p as governed by the
norm of truth. For Shah, this is only a requirement for deliberation about p.
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and whether the process can be sped up or slowed down, whether it might still
be accomplished while the subject was asleep or drunk. And would reasoning
on the basis of p subsequent to the recognition that the evidence decisively
favors p but prior to the belief ‘taking root’ somehow have to be qualified
(unbeknownst to the reasoner) as merely conditional reasoning? If more
activity from the thinker is required, then we must ask what sort of activity
this might be—if not more deliberation, then what? Absent fealty to the two-
step picture, these questions would be dismissed as absurd.
Here’s a different angle on the same worry. Belief, one would think, is the
conclusion of theoretical reasoning: the final step in the deliberation of a
rational creature. The practical analogue of this thesis—that action is the
conclusion of practical reasoning—is controversial because an action, such
as my walking to the store, seems like the wrong sort of thing to be an element
of reasoning.⁶ But according to the two-step picture, rational activity ends with
the judgment that one ought to believe p, one step short of actually believing
that p. But how does one go from believing that p is to be believed to believing
p itself, supposing that these are distinct? Not on the basis of more evidence.
After all, the evidence in favor of believing p is precisely the evidence that one
ought to believe p. So the transition from the latter to the former (if there must
be such a transition) cannot be understood as the direct expression of the
subject’s rational activity. It would have to be a process of ‘sinking in’ that one
hopes takes place subsequent to one’s recognition that p deserves to be
believed. One could label this process ‘rational’ or not, but it would amount to
viewing the making up of one’s mind as outsourced, at the final stage, to
unconscious or subpersonal mechanisms that one could at best cheer on as
they did or didn’t churn out the belief at which one hoped to arrive. Better to
reject the gap: representing p as what one ought to believe just is believing that p.
Note that the difficulty that the gap poses for the two-step picture has
nothing to do with the immediacy of the alleged transition between believing
that p ought to be believed and simply believing that p. And so it is no use
responding that, in some cases, the latter might be the immediate effect of the
former. (And why, one might wonder, is the former a less problematic
stopping point for theoretical reasoning than the latter?) The point is that
no matter how immediate the transition, the belief that p on the two-step view
is something external to the agent’s doxastic reasoning about p, for such
⁶ I would and have argued, however, that in fact action is (as Aristotle held) the conclusion of
practical reasoning. To x just is to represent x-ing as to be done. See Marcus (2012), ch. 2 and Marcus
(2018).
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reasoning cannot take you beyond judging that p ought to be believed. (It
would also follow that the Taking Condition, to be discussed below, is never
satisfied.)
But it might seem that the two-step view is irresistible. It clearly does, after
all, fit the case of the Russian spy. The husband judges that he ought to believe
that his wife is a spy but can’t quite bring himself to do so. If he does later come
around to believing it, it may not be in virtue of having acquired any new
evidence, but rather only in virtue of taking more seriously the evidence that
he already has. In this case, a doxastic ought-judgment and a belief are
separate matters. The question is whether this shows that there is no doxastic
ought-judgment to which a belief is identical. It doesn’t. For there remains the
option of denying that the husband expresses the same sort of normative
judgment as the poker pro expresses, were she to say: “I ought to believe he’s
bluffing.”
Would such a denial be unacceptably ad hoc? No.
First, as we have seen, the two-step view requires us to give up on something
central to our understanding of the rationality of belief. If there is a way of
preserving what seems to be the right thing to say about both the exceptional
case and the ordinary case, we should pursue it.
Second, the proposed distinction fits one we find in the phenomenology of
deliberation. Consider that we can take up the question of whether p is true in
a spirit of doxastic openness; one can give oneself over to the results of one’s
deliberation come what may. When one deliberates in this engaged manner,
one’s beliefs are on the line. This is the typical case. If I am considering
whether q then, upon encountering what I take to be decisive evidence—p—
in favor of q, I thereby believe q. There is no extra step necessary, in which
I decide to adopt the belief supported by the evidence. Nor is there some kind
of waiting period, only after which the belief takes root. On the other hand,
one can take up these sorts of questions in a more academic spirit, in a
disengaged manner. One might be unable seriously to entertain the idea that
one’s spouse is a Russian spy, and yet one might nonetheless examine the
evidence. Whether or not one will go along with the results of this inquiry may
then not be settled simply by the power of the evidence; one’s affection or
loyalty may block what one acknowledges are decisive epistemic reasons for
belief. This example opens up space in the mind of the deliberator between ‘I
ought to believe’ and ‘I do believe’ exactly because he is not engaged in
deliberation in the normal way.
Representing a proposition as to be believed is the characteristic product of
theoretical deliberation. More specifically, it is the characteristic (though not
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of the form “p,” “I ought to believe that p,” and “I think that p” speaks to the
belief-attitude being a normative, self-conscious one. Yet it’s hard to see
exactly how these two faces of belief are connected and to resist the temptation
to treat the unusual cases (doxastic akrasia and belief-alienation) as revelatory
of the core phenomenon (argument-from-illusion-style), leaving belief ’s nor-
mativity and self-consciousness as extraneous.
So far we have considered the first objection to the idea that to believe just is
to represent a proposition as what one should represent as true: that it is open
to obvious counterexamples. But these cases have not undermined the thesis,
only shown us how to refine it so as to reveal its best articulation. The second
objection, recall, concerns whether my proposal entails that believing that p
gives rise to a regress of belief. If believing that p is, in effect, a matter of
believing that one should believe that p, then believing that one should believe
that p is also believing that one should believe that one should believe that p.⁷
But my point is this: ‘to-be-believed’ in ‘representing p as to-be-believed’ is a
specification not of the content of a belief, but rather of the attitude constitu-
tive of belief. So, if propositional attitudes in general can be characterized as
ways of representing a proposition, belief in particular can be further specified
as representing a proposition as what ought to be believed. If you think of
‘representing-as-to-be-believed’ not as the attitude constitutive of belief, but
instead merely as part of the content of a distinct belief, then we are again left
with a question about how the gap between this normative belief about p and
the belief that p itself is traversed.⁸ Against the objection, then, that represent-
ing p as-to-be-believed must, in the end, be understood as a belief with
a content distinct from p, I have argued that in fact, it is simply the belief
that p itself.
But one might wonder what this amounts to. In what sense can an attitude
toward p be a ‘representing-as-what-ought-to-be-believed’ if not by somehow
involving a distinct belief, explicit or implicit, with the content ‘p ought to be
believed’?
I begin my answer to this question where my reply to the previous objection
left off: There is no difference between considering whether to believe p and
considering (in an engaged manner) whether p is to be believed. There are not
two separate questions, (i) whether to believe the content ‘p’ and (ii) whether
to believe the content ‘p ought to be believed.’ This is what the artificiality of
the two-step picture establishes: We do not treat the former question as
bearing on a content distinct from the latter question. The question of whether
⁷ This sort of worry is discussed in Railton (2004). ⁸ Cf., Raz (2011), 38.
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to believe p is, necessarily, already the question of whether one ought to believe
p (in the relevant sense). The latter merely makes explicit the normative
character of the belief-attitude. One does not alter the content under consid-
eration by adding to it ‘ought to be believed.’ (The analogous claim about
adding ‘is true’ is widely accepted.)
Let’s try a different formulation of the regress worry. I said above that
whereas an ordinary believer expresses an attitude toward p by saying, “I
should believe that p,” the akratic believer uses the same sentence to expresses
an attitude of belief toward the proposition “I should believe that p.” But
doesn’t the ordinary believer also have an attitude of belief toward the prop-
osition “I should believe that p”? And if that’s right, then mustn’t she also have
the attitude of belief toward the proposition “I should believe that I should
believe that p’?
I take the answer to these questions to be ‘yes.’ But no vicious regress ensues.
Suppose one held the view simply that believing p just is taking p to be true.
Here’s a question one might ask about such a view: Is there yet another
description of that same attitude available, as the attitude of ‘taking it to be
true that p is true,’ and so forth? Suppose one said ‘yes,’ as I think is plausible.
Why should it be a problem that it is possible to generate infinitely many (and
infinitely long) descriptions of one and the same attitude? It’s not as if holding
the attitude would depend on the capacity, let alone the actuality, of reciting to
oneself all of these possible descriptions. Similarly, I would say that represent-
ing p as to be believed might also be described as representing p as what
one should represent as to be believed, and so forth, and that there is no
vicious regress.
It should be clear enough how
incorporates
believer in believing that p. (As I will emphasize below, this claim does not
entail that one who believes is therein ready to articulate the normative aspect
of the concept in a manner that would pass muster in a philosophical essay.)
To think of oneself as believing that p is to think of oneself as responsible to
the truth on the question of p, as wrong if p is false. Thus no one who honestly
avows the belief that p can intelligibly dismiss (what they recognize as)
compelling evidence that p is false. Thus, we should in fact go farther than (ii):
What distinguishes actions which are intentional from those which are not?
The answer that I shall suggest is that they are the actions to which a certain
sense of the question ‘Why?’ is given application; the sense is of course that
in which the answer, if positive, gives a reason for acting.⁹
Here is how I would make the analogous point in the case of belief. There are
various sources of behavior beyond belief that one might describe as ‘behaving
as if p were true’—p-ish behavior, for short.¹⁰ I alluded above to one such
source: irrational fears. I may step away from a floor-to-ceiling window in a
skyscraper out of an irrational fear of falling. Nonetheless, I do not believe that
I would otherwise fall. There are many other sorts of examples. Adolescents
behave as if they believe that they are immortal, but they do not really believe
this. People operate with implicit biases that they are neither aware of nor
endorse. The general idea here is familiar from Tamar Gendler’s distinction
between beliefs and ‘aliefs,’¹¹ though we must be careful to keep mind that the
latter category, unlike the former, has no internal unity: It is just a term for the
motley set of sources of p-ish behavior outside belief.
Recall
(iv) may seem like a retread of (ii). After all, if beliefs are assessable according
to the standard of truth, then something is amiss if someone violates a logical
law—by, say, believing both p and not-p. Thus, if governed by the law of non-
contradiction just means that someone whose beliefs violate it is thereby
believing deficiently, it would not be worth additional discussion. But beliefs
are not merely governed by the law in a normative sense.¹³ To see this,
consider that someone who utters a statement of the form ‘p and not-p’ is
unintelligible insofar as we attempt to interpret it as an ordinary conjunction.
The problem is not that we find the expressed attitude rationally deficient.
Rather, we have no idea what attitude toward p to ascribe the speaker.
¹² Raz (2011).
¹³ My thoughts on this topic are deeply indebted to Kimhi (2018), although we agree about almost
nothing.
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(Perhaps there are some highly unusual exceptions, e.g., where p is related to
one of the paradoxes of self-reference. I put these to one side here.)
Why should we have no idea what state of mind the asserter of ‘p and ~p’
purports to express? Here is a simple if initially unpromising answer: It is
impossible and not merely rationally deficient to believe a contradiction. The
answer seems to be unpromising for at least this reason: The assertion of a
complex proposition that contains a contradiction in some well-disguised
form is intelligible. For someone might mistakenly take it to be true and assert
it. This suggests that what is genuinely impossible is that someone believes a
contradiction and also believes that it is a contradiction. Believing it to be a
contradiction, and hence false, one disbelieves it. But then the impossibility
would be: believing what one takes to be false and not: believing a contradiction.
Yet: If a thinker fully understands a contradiction, then she knows that it is
necessarily false and so cannot believe it. That is, to credit someone with the
conceptual wherewithal to grasp fully the meaning of a contradictory state-
ment is at the same time to attribute to her knowledge that the statement
cannot be true. Consider a proposition that has the form ‘p & ~p,’ say: “it’s
raining and it’s not raining.” Someone who fails to understand that this is a
contradiction does not qualify as understanding it sufficiently well to genu-
inely believe it. I don’t have a general test for when someone understands a
proposition sufficiently well to qualify as believing it, but I will assume here
both that there is such a thing as what I will call a qualifying understanding for
believing a proposition, and that this case involves someone who lacks it. To
have the cognitive wherewithal to hold a doxastic attitude toward a statement
of the form ‘p & ~p’ is to know that it must be false. In considering it, one
thereby rejects it. And it is not a contingent fact about our psychology that we
cannot do this. There are no superbeings who manage to understand a
statement of that form and affirm it; it is not the sort of inability that might
be overcome with, say, greater biological resources for cognitive processing.
We cannot do it because there is no understanding a proposition of this form
without seeing that it is false. Believing a contradiction, while understanding it
to be a contradiction, is thus a metaphysical and not merely psychological
impossibility. Given what belief is and the understanding that it requires, there
is nothing that could count as a belief in a contradiction.
It is, however, a familiar point that there is a difference between believing
a contradiction and holding a pair of contradictory beliefs. Even if simple
logical falsehoods are impossible to believe, it does not follow that the law of
non-contradiction governs the relation between beliefs in a stronger than
normative sense.
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Not only does it not follow, but it can seem simply wrong. People may not
believe simple contradictions, but they do hold contradictory beliefs. Consider
the absent-minded professor, who is preparing a sack lunch for her children,
placing folders and books in their bags, when she receives a text message
announcing that school has been canceled for the day due to classrooms having
been flooded by the recent rains. She is briefly overwhelmed by frustration over
being deprived of another day of writing and broods over how frequently the
school seems to shut down for one reason or another—all the while continuing to
ready her children’s things for a day at school. To make sense of the latter, we
need to understand her as believing that her children are going to school; to make
sense of the former, we need to understand her as believing that her children are
not going to school. She holds contradictory beliefs.
Cases like this one might seem to be a slam-dunk in the case against
understanding the law of non-contradiction as governing the relation between
beliefs in a metaphysical sense. But it is not. To see this, we need to discuss (v).
idea that beliefs occur is, as some authors have pointed out, a metaphysical
abomination since beliefs are not events.¹⁶ Furthermore, the entrenchment of
the distinction has obscured the fact that the very idea that beliefs are dispositions
is itself a piece of philosophy, and a bad one at that.
What is uncontroversial is that we do sometimes speak of having/not having
or keeping/not keeping it in mind that p. No doubt we use such phrases in a
variety of ways. One way surely is to refer to something’s being on one’s mind
in the sense of answering to the query: “Penny for your thoughts?”¹⁷ One’s
belief is on one’s mind in that one is attending to the fact (or purported fact)
that p (which is not the same as attending to the phenomenology of one’s
belief). But there is a more interesting distinction in the vicinity, one that will
be important in what follows.
Consider my belief that my name is Eric. This is not a fact to which I attend
very often; rarely, if ever, would I reply to “Penny for your thoughts?” with “I
was just thinking about the fact that my name is Eric.” Nonetheless, I have it in
mind in the following sense: It would be, under current doxastic conditions,
impossible—and not merely deficient—for me to believe that my name is not
Eric. Were I to come to believe that my name is not Eric, this would require
that I forget or change my mind. It couldn’t simply be added to the beliefs
I already have. There are countless beliefs that we have in mind in this sense,
beliefs corresponding to facts (or purported facts) of which we have a standing
awareness, one that excludes metaphysically—and not just normatively—
awareness (or purported awareness) of incompatible facts.
Consider, by contrast, my belief that an electric eel is not an eel. Prior to my
choosing this example, this was not a belief that I had in mind in the sense I’m
now attempting to elucidate. If asked yesterday by a devious aquarium guide to
count the number of eels in a certain tank, I would perhaps have counted the
electric eels as eels (even while recognizing them as electric eels). Perhaps it is
true to say that as I comply with the guide’s request, I hold contradictory
beliefs on the question of whether electric eels are eels. But this is possible
because my belief that electric eels are not eels does not correspond to a
standing awareness of the corresponding fact. Thus, I can thoughtlessly
acquire a contradictory belief without forgetting or changing my mind.
Beliefs that one has in mind are paradigmatic beliefs. This is indicated by
the following explanatory asymmetry. Upon learning someone holds separate
beliefs of the form p and that not-p, we find it puzzling and take it to require
explanation. We would wonder how it is possible. And there are a variety of
answers that we would accept. She was confused, distracted, did not ‘put it
together,’ lost track of, or was suppressing her belief in one of them. But no
explanation is needed to explain why someone who believes that p cannot
believe that not p.
The phenomenon has come to be obscured in an environment in which
phrases like ‘inconsistent belief-set’ are thrown around without any regard for
how strange the phenomenon actually is. Normally, if we were told of some-
one who used to believe p that they now believe not-p, we would assume that
they changed their mind, not that they had retained their original belief but
also acquired a new, contradictory belief. Normally, it seems plausible to say,
such a thing would not be possible. Something unusual must explain it. We
would lose our grasp on what was being said of the person if it were stipulated
there was no such explanation, if in reply to a demand for an explanation the
attributer simply said: “She just does hold those beliefs and that’s all there is to
it.” This state of affairs, in which someone holds a pair of contradictory beliefs
but there is no explanation of what has gone wrong, is inconceivable. This
supports the notion that there is a mode of believing—the paradigmatic
mode—such that it is impossible to hold contradictory beliefs in this mode.
I will refer to beliefs that one has in mind in the relevant sense as judgments.
The thought, then, is that in paradigmatic cases (i.e., where the beliefs are in
mind) one cannot both believe that p is true and also believe that it is false, i.e.,
one cannot judge that p and also judge that not-p.
Why should it be impossible to make contradictory judgments? One strat-
egy for answering this question connects the concept of a judgment (as just
defined) with the earlier argument against the possibility of believing a simple
contradiction. If there are conditions under which it is possible to have
separate, (simply) contradictory beliefs despite the impossibility of believing
a (simple) contradiction, then evidently those conditions must be such that to
hold those beliefs is not sufficient for believing the conjunction of their
contents. Perhaps, then, the conditions under which it is not possible to
have separate contradictory beliefs are precisely those in which having sepa-
rate beliefs is sufficient for believing the corresponding conjunction:
(iv)# If one judges p and at the same time judges that q, then one judges that
p and q.
To put it differently, one cannot have it in mind that p and that q, and yet fail
to believe p & q. So the impossibility of judging that p and at the same time
judging that not-p just is the impossibility of believing (p & not-p).
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According to the approach I develop over the course of this book, every
rational act is informed by the law of non-contradiction. To put p forward is
already to knowingly reject its negation. Still, people do sometimes inadvert-
ently fall into self-contradiction. And when they do so, we hold that they are
failing qua believers, since one of a pair of contradictory beliefs must be false. It
is precisely this normative understanding that makes it impossible to know-
ingly embrace a contradiction. Hence, the metaphysical necessity articulated
by (iv)* is grounded in our rational nature.
The thesis that there is a mode of belief such that beliefs in this mode are
governed by the law of non-contradiction is singularly anachronistic. Many
measure the progress in the study of mind over the last several centuries in
terms of how thoroughly we’ve rejected ideas of this sort. But as instructive as
the exploration of the depths and varieties of our irrationality has been, it has
also obscured elements of our rationality that do not admit of adulteration.
Although there may be various kinds of inconsistency that crop up behind the
scenes, the evaluation of propositions that happens on stage is necessarily free
of it in its self-evident forms. The rational mind is marked by the necessary
absence of unobscured contradiction. And the distinctive rationality of human
beings is not a matter of their mental states exhibiting less irrationality than
other animals, but rather of their possession of sorts of mental states whose
nature is essentially rational in the sense that they are constituted the subject’s
normative judgments. This, in turn, is what gives rise to the possibility of
irrationality. In that sense, humans are both distinctively rational and (conse-
quently) distinctively liable to irrationality.
My pushback against the general trend of rationality-minimization began
just above with what I take to be a fairly uncontroversial thesis: that one
cannot believe a statement of the form ‘p & ~p.’ If one accepts this, one already
takes there to be some truth to (iv)*. Contradictory beliefs are so bad qua
beliefs, that they are literally unbelievable. The question is whether this
phenomenon extends from individual beliefs to the relation between beliefs.
Resistance will become fierce at this step. This is in part due to the general
climate of skepticism regarding the thought that certain forms of irrationality
might be impossible, that a normative feature of a proposed object of belief
could make belief in it impossible. Many view belief as a representation in a
biological information-processing machine. Even if a properly functioning
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mind prevents the co-presence of contradictory beliefs, the thought will go,
minds, like every other machine, break down. And even putting such break-
downs aside, the strongest form of necessity that could separate such a pair
would be natural, not metaphysical.
I am under no illusions that the considerations so far marshaled in favor of
(iv)* are sufficient to dislodge the network of mutually supportive assump-
tions, principles, and distinctions that constrain current conceptions of the
available options for understanding belief and the mind more generally. To do
that would require a simultaneous attack on many different fronts. Much of
this is yet to come. But I have here at least tried to cast some doubt on the
notion that beliefs come in two varieties, dispositional and occurrent—an idea
that is now so well entrenched that it is represented in introductory texts
as a first step to understanding belief.¹⁸ In fact, it’s a prophylactic against
philosophical wisdom. Yet many are unable to see the taxonomy as a piece of
philosophy at all.
This is in part because the distinction is sold as the philosophical articula-
tion of a familiar set of phenomena. A belief might be such that one cannot
lose sight of the corresponding fact. These are beliefs that are in mind, in my
sense. But a belief that is out of mind is not a disposition, it is a deficient
categorical state. Someone who believes that p (whether in mind or not) has, if
not a standing awareness, then at least a standing attitude toward a proposi-
tion. Distraction, repression, and the like make it possible for a subject to
possess such a standing attitude toward contradictory propositions. These
beliefs are not in mind. But belief, whether in mind or not in mind, is
categorical: A person-level attitude toward a proposition that, in ideal cases,
is partly constitutive of knowledge of a fact. Belief is the (person-level)
categorical basis of a variety of dispositions.
It is worth spending a moment airing a crucial defect of the view of belief as
disposition. (There are also fatal problems, to be aired in chapter six, with the
way the proponent of dispositional belief conceives its non-dispositional
partner, ‘occurrent belief.’) Dispositionalism distorts the explanatory connec-
tion between believing and the behavior to which believing characteristically
gives rise. (This problem is analogous to one that dogs dispositionalist
accounts of color.)¹⁹ If, for example, a disposition to assert that p is identified
as constitutive (or partly constitutive) of believing that p, then the explanatory
connection between someone’s believing that p and their asserting that p is
minimal, comparable to the explanatory connection between a glass’s being
fragile and its breaking after being dropped. In reply to the question of what it
is about a glass’s being fragile that explains its breaking after being dropped,
one could do no better than say that to be fragile just is to break in such
circumstances. In order to get a better explanation, one would have to drop
down from the level of fragility to the level of its categorical grounds. Similarly,
in reply to the question of what it is about S’s believing that p that explains S’s
asserting that p, one could do no better than say that to believe that p just is to
assert that p under the right conditions. But there ought to be something more
to say here without dropping down to the level of beliefs’ (putative) categorical
grounds. For, intuitively, S is disposed to behave p-ishly (and so to assert that
p) because S believes that p. That p is what someone believes can be a perfectly
good explanation of why she asserted p. Belief, in other words, is not identical
(or partly identical) to but rather explains the relevant dispositions. (This is
among the lessons of the failure of logical behaviorism.)
We can make this complaint less abstract by considering briefly a disposi-
tional approach to the question of why a subject cannot both believe that p and
also believe that not-p. Eric Schwitzgebel argues against the possibility of ever
having contradictory beliefs as follows:
No person can have this profile because, roughly, the two dispositions yield
incompatible manifestations in the same contexts. I can’t believe both because
I can’t both be disposed to explicitly judge that P and also to explicitly judge
that not-P when the question of P’s truth arises. So the fact that I can’t believe
both is not explained by my seeing for myself, in conscious reflection, that one
of the propositions must be false. Rather this ‘occurrent judgment’ is itself the
manifestation of an underlying disposition. But a more appealing view—and
one, I would suggest, that would seem obvious absent a commitment to
dispositionalism—is that, e.g., were I to write ‘false’ next to the statement ‘it
is raining and it is also not raining,’ this is simply because I can see that it must
be false. The dispositionalist must say instead, implausibly, that the
III. Objections
First, many readers will worry about the exclusion of non-human animals and
very young children from the ranks of the believers. To believe requires the
possession of the concepts of truth, belief, and the relevant sense of ‘should,’ in
addition to whatever concepts are required for grasping the believed proposi-
tions. Only someone who possesses these concepts can represent a proposition
as what should be represented as true. It follows that neither non-rational
animals nor pre-rational humans can hold beliefs. Many will consider this a
reductio of the account. That would be a mistake.
There is surely some truth to the contention that non-rational animals
(hereafter, animals) believe, despite their lacking the conceptual wherewithal
even to grasp propositions, let alone to represent them as to be believed. But to
find that truth we must answer the objection, which can take several forms. It
is worth disentangling them in order to isolate the deepest version.
The first version is methodological. By declaring my topic at the start to be
our beliefs, I might be accused of banishing non-rational animals from the
realm of believers by a kind of methodological fiat. But this is wrong. It is not
because of how I’ve elected to use the word ‘belief ’ in this book that cats, mice,
and owls cannot represent a proposition as to-be-believed. And it is because
they can’t do this that I conclude that we do not ascribe to non-rational
creatures what we ascribe to rational ones using the term ‘belief.’ Thus,
I have not simply defined animal belief out of existence.
The second version is semantic. Someone might say that, according to my
view, anyone who uses the term ‘belief ’ to describe a non-human animal is
speaking falsely. Hence animal psychologists and zoologists who explain
animal behavior in terms of belief are mistaken. And we should be very
reluctant to attribute this sort of widespread error to the experts. However,
my thesis is not about the words ‘belief,’ ‘think,’ et al., but about what they
normally designate when applied to adult humans. And what they designate,
I argue, has distinctive features that are in turn explained by aspects of its
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31
nature that also explain why non-rational creatures can’t be in such a state. It is
perfectly consistent with this thesis that the term ‘belief ’ can be correctly used
to refer to the states of non-rational creatures.
This brings us to the most worrisome version of the objection. It can seem
as if my claim that non-rational animals lack beliefs ultimately commits me to
the idea that animals are no more capable of thought than rocks and plants.
But plainly, animals learn about their environment on the basis of perception
and act on the basis of knowledge so acquired. Furthermore, they display, to
varying degrees, intelligence and ingenuity in deploying their perceptual
knowledge. We thus see in animals the same nexus of perception, thought,
and action that we find in humans, a nexus that is, as I have put it previously,
“subserved by significant anatomical and genetic overlap and ultimately
explained by a shared evolutionary history.”²¹ And it can seem as if the only
way of accommodating these facts is by holding that the nature of rational and
non-rational thought is precisely the same.
Yet there are excellent reasons for thinking that the specific cognitive
characteristics in virtue of which a statement attributing a belief to a non-
human is true are different from the truth-makers of the corresponding
attribution to a human. It is part of the truth-conditions of “S believes that
p,” where S is a person, that S has the conceptual wherewithal to understand
p. Even beliefs about which someone is in denial or beliefs that are repressed in
the Freudian sense are such that the believer is capable of grasping the relevant
propositions. Belief is thus linked to understanding. It could not be otherwise
given that believing that p puts one on the hook for answering questions such
as “what are your reasons for believing p?.” The requirement that beliefs be
eligible to be held on grounds thus goes hand-in-hand with the requirement
that the objects of belief be understood by the believer. And it is surely no
coincidence that animal thought does not meet either of these requirements
and that animals are not thought to possess distinctive first-personal knowl-
edge of their own thoughts. Given these interconnected dissimilarities, an
account of non-rational thought should differ sharply from an account of
rational thought. With our account in hand, many otherwise mysterious
aspects of belief become explicable: (1) why a fully adequate answer to the
question of why I believe p can be a statement of why one ought to believe p, (2)
why, in order to count as believing that p, I must have the ability to grasp the
proposition that p, (3) why merely holding a belief explains my ability to avow
²¹ Marcus (2012), 117. I also defend there (albeit differently) the view that non-rational animals are
not believers.
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it, and (4) why I cannot intelligibly assert that p and at the same time disavow
the belief that p. These points will be discussed at length in the ensuing
chapters.
The key question is whether one can affirm an account of the sort I advocate
without denying the obvious continuities between the minds of non-rational
and rational animals. I contend that one can, although I will here sketch the
way forward only in broad strokes. The core idea is that human thought and
non-human thought should be understood as distinct species of a single genus.
This is the truth underlying the objection. That both are species of a single
genus—and so we are not simply equivocating in speaking of thought in both
cases—is a function of the common role thought plays at the nexus of
perception and action in the lives of both kinds of creatures. That there are
distinct species of thought is a function of the fact that what one is saying about
an adult to whom one ascribes thought is different from what one is saying of a
non-rational animal to whom one ascribes thought. On this conception, the
acquisition by a species (or an individual) of rationality does not merely add to
existing perceptual, cognitive, and practical capacities, leaving them as they were
(though supplemented by additional capacities). Rather, rationality transforms
the original capacities themselves. Thought of any form puts thinkers in cogni-
tive contact with the world, but the form that this contact takes is different in the
case of rational and non-rational creatures.²² The task for a defender of this
transformative conception of rationality, as Matthew Boyle has called it, is to say,
in a detailed and plausible way, what it means to speak of distinct forms of
thought as opposed to simply of distinct thought-contents.²³
Much of what I’ve just said about animal minds can be said about the minds
of very young humans. But special difficulties for my argument might be
thought to arise about those who are becoming rational. One might suppose
that, at a certain stage of development, children possess concepts, but not the
concepts that make self-reflection possible, and hence that they believe before
they possess mental state concepts. However, this is neither intuitively obvious
nor empirically sound.
²² A full, historical account of human beings would, of course, explain how rational animals evolved
from non-rational animals. Such an account is well beyond the scope of this essay. However, it is worth
emphasizing that my view does not pose any sort of threat to the possibility of such an account. It does
follow from my view that human beings are, with respect of the properties that constitute their rational
nature, qualitatively dissimilar from our ancestors as well as from extant species on our phylogenetic
tree. But there is nothing odd from the point of view of evolutionary theory about the emergence of
qualitative differences.
²³ This understanding of rationality is defended in McDowell (1994). Boyle has gone farther than
anyone else in carrying out the project. See Boyle (2012).
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33
It should be noted, first, that children start to use mental state words (such
as ‘think,’ ‘remember,’ and ‘know’) to refer to mental states at around age two
and a half,²⁴ and that three-year-olds are beginning to acquire the concept of
belief—false-belief test evidence notwithstanding.²⁵ So the question comes
down to whether children between 18 and 36 months are able to make
assertions without the possession of the concepts of ‘belief ’ and ‘reason.’ An
affirmative answer is far from assured by the observation that children at this
age are beginning to string words together into sentences. For the question is
whether they are doing what we are doing when we string words together into
sentences. We are (often) putting forward a sentence as true. And because this
‘putting forward’ is intentional, it is (as argued in the next chapter) a putting
forward as what one believes.²⁶ There is no reason whatsoever to believe that
18-to-36-month-old children do this. Any child who possesses the conceptual
sophistication necessary to do this would also possess the conceptual sophis-
tication necessary to self-ascribe. Of course, this sophistication does not come
all at once. As a child slowly masters the network of interrelated concepts that
provide the necessary background, her grasp of the concept of ‘belief ’ is
incomplete and tentative, and so is her ability to assert.
Second, it might seem that I am simply assuming without argument that
people can never believe things because they want or intend to or have decided
or chosen to, and that a person cannot hold a belief for pragmatic reasons. But
I have no objection to the idea that we can get ourselves into a state that
manifests itself in p-ish behavior via desires, intentions, choice, and therefore
on the basis of pragmatic reasons. I also have no objection to calling those
states ‘belief ’: as I said above, I’m happy to grant anyone the right to use
‘belief ’ as they please. My point is just that such states are not the kinds of
states of which (i)–(vii) must all be true, and so such states are not the states
that I seek to understand. There is no compelling reason to think that every
state that manifests in p-ish behavior is a belief that p. (Again, this is a familiar
point from the ‘alief ’ literature.) Furthermore, nothing I have said about belief
even in my sense rules out the possibility that one might somehow cause
oneself to believe that p—that is, to represent p as to-be-believed—as the
result of desire, intentions, and choice and so on the basis of pragmatic
reasons. I simply deny that it is part of what it is to be in the relevant state
that one represents belief in the corresponding proposition as the object of
one’s desire, intention, or choice.
²⁷ Leite (2019). The reply to follow also answers his argument concerning supposedly conscious but
unavowable beliefs.
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172. General Rules.
1. If the front is very extended, or if it runs through close or broken
country, it may be broken up into sections of defence.
2. When acting independently the officer commanding will himself
give the signal for the decisive counter-attack. This attack will, as a
rule, be commanded by the officer specially detailed to command the
general reserve.