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page i
page ii
ELEMENTARY STATISTICS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LWI 27 26 25 24 23 22
ISBN 978-1-265-24812-3
MHID 1-265-24812-5
mheducation.com/highered
ABOUT THE AUTHOR page iii
McGraw Hill
Allan G. Bluman
Allan G. Bluman is a professor emeritus at the Community College of
Allegheny County, South Campus, near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He
has taught mathematics and statistics for over 35 years. He received
an Apple for the Teacher award in recognition of his bringing
excellence to the learning environment at South Campus. He has
also taught statistics for Penn State University at the Greater
Allegheny (McKeesport) Campus and at the Monroeville Center. He
received his master’s and doctor’s degrees from the University of
Pittsburgh.
CHAPTER 1
The Nature of Probability and Statistics 1
Introduction 2
1–1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics 3
1–2 Variables and Types of Data 6
1–3 Data Collection and Sampling Techniques 11
Random Sampling 12
Systematic Sampling 12
Stratified Sampling 13
Cluster Sampling 14
Other Sampling Methods 14
1–4 Experimental Design 18
Observational and Experimental Studies 18
Uses and Misuses of Statistics 21
1–5 Computers and Calculators 26
Summary 33
CHAPTER 2
Frequency Distributions and Graphs 41
Introduction 42
2–1 Organizing Data 42
Categorical Frequency Distributions 43
Grouped Frequency Distributions 44
2–2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Ogives 58
The Histogram 59
The Frequency Polygon 59
The Ogive 60
Relative Frequency Graphs 62
Distribution Shapes 64
2–3 Other Types of Graphs 76
Bar Graphs 76
Pareto Charts 79
The Time Series Graph 80
The Pie Graph 81
Dotplots 84
Stem and Leaf Plots 85
Misleading Graphs 88
Summary 102
CHAPTER 3
Data Description 111
Introduction 112
3–1 Measures of Central Tendency 113
The Mean 113
The Median 116
The Mode 118
The Midrange 120
The Weighted Mean 121
Distribution Shapes 123
3–2 Measures of Variation 129
Range 131
Population Variance and Standard Deviation 131
Sample Variance and Standard Deviation 134
Variance and Standard Deviation for Grouped Data 137
Coefficient of Variation 139
Range Rule of Thumb 140
Chebyshev’s Theorem 141
The Empirical (Normal) Rule 143
Linear Transformation of Data 144
3–3 Measures of Position 150
Standard Scores 150
CHAPTER 4
Probability and Counting Rules 187
Introduction 188
4–1 Sample Spaces and Probability 188
Basic Concepts 188
Classical Probability 191
Complementary Events 194
Empirical Probability 196
Law of Large Numbers 198
Subjective Probability 198
Probability and Risk Taking 198
4–2 The Addition Rules for Probability 203
4–3 The Multiplication Rules and Conditional Probability 214
The Multiplication Rules 214
Conditional Probability 219
Probabilities for “At Least” 222
4–4 Counting Rules 228
The Fundamental Counting Rule 228
Factorial Notation 231
Permutations 231
Combinations 233
4–5 Probability and Counting Rules 243
Summary 247
CHAPTER 5
Discrete Probability Distributions 257
Suwit Rattiwan/Shutterstock
Introduction 258
5–1 Probability Distributions 258
5–2 Mean, Variance, Standard Deviation, and Expectation 265
Mean 265
Variance and Standard Deviation 267
Expectation 269
5–3 The Binomial Distribution 275
5–4 Other Types of Distributions 289
The Multinomial Distribution 289
The Poisson Distribution 291
The Hypergeometric Distribution 293
The Geometric Distribution 295
Summary 302
CHAPTER 6
The Normal Distribution 309
Fuse/Getty Images
Introduction 310
6–1 Normal Distributions 310
The Standard Normal Distribution 313
Finding Areas Under the Standard Normal Distribution Curve
314
A Normal Distribution Curve as a Probability Distribution
Curve 316
6–2 Applications of the Normal Distribution 326
Finding Data Values Given Specific Probabilities 330
Determining Normality 333
6–3 The Central Limit Theorem 343
Distribution of Sample Means 343
Finite Population Correction Factor (Optional) 349
6–4 The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution 353
Summary 360
CHAPTER 7
Confidence Intervals and Sample Size 369
Fuse/Getty Images
Introduction 370
7–1 Confidence Intervals 370
7–2 Confidence Intervals for the Mean When σ Is Known 373
Sample Size 377
CHAPTER 8
Hypothesis Testing 413
Photosindia.Com, LLC
Introduction 414
8–1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Method 414
P-Value Method for Hypothesis Testing 425
8–2 z Test for a Mean 428
8–3 t Test for a Mean 442
8–4 z Test for a Proportion 453
8–5 χ2 Test for a Variance or Standard Deviation 462
8–6 Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Testing 475
Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing 475
Type II Error and the Power of a Test 477
Summary 480
CHAPTER 9
Testing the Difference Between Two Means,
Two Proportions, and Two Variances 489
Fuse/Corbis/Getty Images
Introduction 490
9–1 Testing the Difference Between Two Parameters 490
9–2 Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Using the z
Test 493
9–3 Testing the Difference Between Two Means of Independent
Samples: Using the t Test 503
9–4 Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Dependent
Samples 511
9–5 Testing the Difference Between Proportions 523
9–6 Testing the Difference Between Two Variances 532
Summary 544
CHAPTER 10
Correlation and Regression 551
Introduction 552
10–1 Scatter Plots and Correlation 552
Correlation 556
10–2 Regression 568
Line of Best Fit 568
Determination of the Regression Line Equation 568
10–3 Coefficient of Determination and Standard Error of the
Estimate 586
Types of Variation for the Regression Model 586
Residual Plots 589
Coefficient of Determination 590
Standard Error of the Estimate 591
Prediction Interval 594
10–4 Multiple Regression (Optional) 597
The Multiple Regression Equation 598
Testing the Significance of R 600
Adjusted R2 601
Summary 606
CHAPTER 11
Other Chi-Square Tests 613
Introduction 614
11–1 Test for Goodness of Fit 614
Test of Normality (Optional) 620
11–2 Tests Using Contingency Tables 628
Test for Independence 628
Test for Homogeneity of Proportions 634
Summary 645
12
page viii
CHAPTER
Caiaimage/Glow Images
Introduction 652
12–1 One-Way Analysis of Variance 652
12–2 The Scheffé Test, Tukey Test, and Bonferroni Test 666
Scheffé Test 666
Tukey Test 667
Bonferroni Test 668
12–3 Two-Way Analysis of Variance 672
Summary 687
CHAPTER 13
Nonparametric Statistics 697
Introduction 698
13–1 Advantages and Disadvantages of Nonparametric Methods
698
Advantages 698
Disadvantages 698
Ranking 699
13–2 The Sign Test 701
Single-Sample Sign Test 701
Paired-Sample Sign Test 704
13–3 The Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 710
13–4 The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test 717
13–5 The Kruskal-Wallis Test 722
13–6 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient and the Runs
Test 730
Rank Correlation Coefficient 730
The Runs Test 733
Summary 745
CHAPTER 14
Sampling and Simulation 753
Introduction 754
14–1 Common Sampling Techniques 754
Random Sampling 755
Systematic Sampling 757
Stratified Sampling 759
Cluster Sampling 761
Other Types of Sampling Techniques 761
14–2 Surveys and Questionnaire Design 768
14–3 Simulation Techniques and the Monte Carlo Method 771
The Monte Carlo Method 771
14–4 Big Data 778
Summary 780
APPENDICES
A Tables 787
C Glossary 820
D Selected Answers SA–1
Annotated Instructor’s Edition replaces Appendix D with all
answers and additional material for instructors.
Index I–1
ADDTIONAL TOPICS
(Available online in ALEKS 360)
Algebra Review
Writing the Research Report
Bayes’ Theorem
Alternate Approach to the Standard Normal Distribution
Bibliography
All examples and exercises in this textbook (unless cited) are hypothetical and are
presented to enable students to achieve a basic understanding of the statistical
concepts explained. These examples and exercises should not be used in lieu of
medical, psychological, or other professional advice. Neither the author nor the
publisher shall be held responsible for any misuse of the information presented in
this textbook.
PREFACE page ix
Approach
Elementary Statistics: A Step by Step Approach was written as an aid
in the beginning statistics course to students whose mathematical
background is limited to basic algebra. The book follows a
nontheoretical approach without formal proofs, explaining concepts
intuitively and supporting them with abundant examples. The
applications span a broad range of topics certain to appeal to the
interests of students of diverse backgrounds, and they include
problems in business, sports, health, architecture, education,
entertainment, political science, psychology, history, criminal justice,
the environment, transportation, physical sciences, demographics,
and travel and leisure.
Global Changes
• Replaced over 100 examples with new or updated ones and
over 550 new or updated exercises.
• Updated the Technology Tips sections.
• Renumbered statistical tables in the Appendix A.
• Most exercises include the TI answers along with the answers
that use the tables in the book.
Chapter Changes
Chapter 1
• New Statistics Today example.
• New statistical examples to introduce how statistics are used
today.
Chapter 2
• Updated Statistics Today example.
Chapter 5
• Section 5–3 now includes solving problems using the
combination formula in addition to the binomial formula.
Chapters 7, 8, and 9
• These chapters have been revised to allow professors who want
to teach proportions before means to do so. They should cover
the first sections of these chapters and then skip to the
proportions sections, and then do the means sections. For those
who prefer to teach means before proportions, just follow the
sequence of the book.
Chapter 14
• New section on Big Data.
Acknowledgments page xi
—Allan G. Bluman
Special thanks for their advice and recommendations for the Eleventh
Edition go to:
page xii
page xiii
SUPPLEMENTS page xiv
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MINITAB Manual
This manual provides the student with how-to information on data
and file management, conducting various statistical analyses, and
creating presentation-style graphics while following examples from
the text.
page xv
TI-84 Plus Graphing Calculator Manual
This friendly, practical manual teaches students to learn about
statistics and solve problems by using these calculators while
following examples from the text.
Excel Manual
This resource, specially designed to accompany the text, provides
additional practice in applying the chapter concepts while using
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Corequisite Workbook
A comprehensive corequisite workbook accompanying this text is
available to download in the McGraw Hill resources area of ALEKS.
CHAPTER 1
The Nature of Probability and Statistics
Education and Testing
Attendance and Grades, 5
Piano Lessons Improve Math Ability, 37
Student Debt, 1, 35
Medicine, Clinical Studies, and Experiments
Beneficial Bacteria, 25
Caffeine and Health, 25
The Worst Day for Weight Loss, 13
Public Health and Nutrition
Today’s Cigarettes, 23
Sports, Exercise, and Fitness
ACL Tears in Collegiate Soccer Players, 37
Surveys and Culture
American Culture and Drug Abuse, 17
Smoking and Criminal Behavior, 37
Transportation
Fatal Transportation Injuries, 10
World’s Busiest Airports, 37
CHAPTER 2
Frequency Distributions and Graphs
Animal Facts
Ages of Dogs, 52
Bear Kills, 67
Household Pets, 51
Rabies Virus Cases, 52
Buildings and Structures
Selling Real Estate, 66, 110
Stories in Tall Buildings, 52, 87
Suspension Bridge Spans, 67
Business, Management, and Work
Children’s Living Arrangements, 93
Credit Scores, 94
Elderly in the U.S. Labor Force, 81
Family Size, 103
Hours Worked by Students, 49
Net Worth of Small Businesses, 63
Trip Reimbursements, 95
Demographics and Population Characteristics
Debts of Millennials, 68
Housing Arrangements, 107
World Population, 92
Education and Testing
College Spending for First-Year Students, 76
Completed 4 or More Years of College, 53
Making the Grade, 68
Math and Reading Achievement Scores, 69, 94
Number of College Faculty, 67
Pupils Per Teacher, 67
School Districts in States, 52
Student Summer Development Program, 67
Teacher Strikes, 93
Entertainment
Broadway Stage Engagements, 104
Casino Payoffs, 105
Songs on Albums, 104
Environmental Sciences, Earth, and Space
Coal Consumption, 107
Federal Waste Sites, 84
The Great Lakes, 108
Length of Major Rivers, 94
Ranges of Tides, 53
Record High Temperatures, 47, 59, 60, 61
Recycled Trash, 107
Water Usage, 80, 101, 108
Waterfall Heights, 103
Wind Speed, 52, 53, 103
Food and Dining
Alcohol Consumption, 103
Breakfast Beverages, 43
Cost of Milk, 94
Eating at Fast-Food Restaurants, 52
Non-Alcoholic Beverages, 103
Snack Food, 81, 92, 95
Takeout Food, 103
What’s Cooking, 93
Government, Taxes, Politics, Public Policy, and Voting
Controlled Substances Prescription Guidelines, 92
FEMA Help for Hurricane Victims, 93
How Much Paper Money is in Circulation Today?, 87
Presidential Vetoes, 163
History
Ages of Presidents at Inauguration, 51, 109
Ages of the Vice Presidents at the Time of Their Death, 103
JFK Assassination, 53
Law and Order: Criminal Justice
Car Thefts in a Large City, 86
Causes of Accidental Deaths in the United States, 91, 110
Chicago Homicides, 95
Federal Crime Sentence Lengths, 68
Identity Theft, 41, 107
Murders in the United States, 82
Police Calls, 83
Prior Prison Sentences, 93
Terrorist Attacks, 93
Types of Crimes, 104
Marketing, Sales, and Consumer Behavior
Items Purchased at a Convenience Store, 107
Lottery Winners, 93
Online Ad Spending, 92
Paying Off a College Debt, 92
Medicine, Clinical Studies, and Experiments
Blood Glucose Levels, 44
Blood Type and Donations, 107, 109
Blood Urea Nitrogen Count, 103
Days Worked by Medical Doctors, 52
Medical Prescriptions, 92
Out Patient Cardiograms, 85
Pain Relief, 105
Psychology and Human Behavior
Places Visited During a Day, 68
Road Rage, 109
Public Health and Nutrition
Alcohol Poisoning, 94
Hours of Sleep, 104
Needless Deaths of Children, 108
Organic Foods, 79
Protein Grams in Fast-Food, 69
Sports, Exercise, and Fitness
50 Home Run Club, 93
Home Runs, 68
NFL Salaries, 67
Peyton Manning’s Colts Career, 104
Sports-Related Surgery, 52
Weights of Football Players, 104
Years of Experience in Football, 93
Technology
Internet Users, 92, 104
Smartphone Insurance, 104
Trust in Internet Information, 52
Websites, 94
The Sciences
The Value of Pi, 53
Transportation
Automobile Sales, 93
Commuting Times, 93
Parking Meter Revenues, 108
Railroad Crossing Accidents, 67
Time Spent Looking for a Parking Space, 68
Travel and Leisure
Museum Visitors, 108
Public Libraries, 104
CHAPTER 3
Data Description
Animal Facts
Elephants’ Speeds, 125
Shark Attacks, 180
Buildings and Structures
Prices of Homes, 142
Suspension Bridges, 147
Business, Management, and Work
Average Earnings of Workers, 182
Average Weekly Earnings, 163
Bank Failures, 120, 180
Bonuses, 148
Costs to Train Employees, 182
Driving to Work, 147, 181
Employee Years of Service, 184
Hourly Compensation for Production Workers, 125
Hours of Employment, 148
Hours Worked, 182
Labor Charges, 182
Miles Traveled to Work, 147
Missing Work, 147
The Noisy Workplace, 174, 186
Salaries of CEOs, 115, 119
Salaries of Personnel, 120
Time It Takes to Find a Job, 147
Travel Allowances, 143
Demographics and Population Characteristics
Ages of Accountants, 147
Ages of Consumers, 148
Ages of the Top 50 Wealthiest People, 116
Ages of U.S. Astronaut Candidates, 146
Ages of U.S. Residents, 185
City Populations, 163
Marriage Ages, 151
Months Served by Military Personnel, 126
Percentage of College-Educated Population over 25, 126
Population in South Carolina Cities, 162
Weight Gain of Freshmen, 147
Education and Testing
College and University Debt, 161
Enrollments for Selected Independent Religiously Controlled 4-Year
Colleges, 126
Errors on a Typing Test, 184
Exam Completion Time, 182
Exam Grades, 182, 184
Final Grade, 127
Grade Point Average, 121
SAT Scores, 146, 148, 175, 181, 184
School District Enrollments, 175
CHAPTER 4
Probability and Counting Rules
Buildings and Structures
Building a New Home, 211
Construction Site Inspections, 239
Business, Management, and Work
Business Location, 231
Claims Adjuster, 236
Debt Free, 224
Distribution of CEO Ages, 202
Employee Health Care Plans, 251
Job Applications, 246
Manufacturing Tests, 237
Personnel Classification, 251
Promotions, 224
Reasons for Being Fired, 226
Reasons for Quitting a Job, 226
Research and Development Employees, 205
Returning Workers, 209
Starting Salaries, 253
Types of Copy Paper, 250
Unemployed Workers, 217
Work and Weather, 253
Demographics and Population Characteristics
Age and Smoking, 218
Blood Types and Rh Factors, 201, 226
Children’s Obesity, 200
Distribution of Blood Types, 196, 229
Doctorate Degrees and Counselors, 224
Education of Factory Employees, 253
Education Level and Smoking, 250
Eye Color, 253
Family Size, 197
Gender of Children, 190, 192, 201
Living Arrangements for Children, 202
Male Color Blindness, 216
Marital Status of Women, 227
Names for Boys, 251
Population of Midwestern States, 210
Selecting a State, 201
War Veterans, 250
Education and Testing
College Courses, 202, 226
College Debt, 201
College Degrees Awarded, 208
College Enrollment, 228, 229, 251
Computers in Elementary Schools, 201
Doctoral Assistantships, 227
High School Library, 236
Online Course Selection, 249
Prison Education, 210
Reading to Children, 227
Scholarships, 246, 253
Student Financial Aid, 225
Term Paper Selection, 244
Entertainment
Casino Games, 203, 249
Child’s Board Game, 228
de Mere Dice Game, 191, 254
Dominoes, 238
Drawing Cards, 189, 192, 218, 222, 225, 227, 249, 299, 305
Movies, 235, 236, 237, 239, 249, 251
Odds, 203
Poker Hands, 239, 245, 247
Radio Show Guests, 232
Radio Station Call Letters, 236
Rolling Dice, 189, 192, 211, 225, 237, 247, 252
School Musical Plays, 232
Selecting Colored Balls or Chips, 215, 218, 225, 291
State Lottery Number, 244
Tossing a Coin, 199, 202, 215, 228, 255
Video Games, 227
Wheel Spinner, 202
Winning a Door Prize, 225
Winning Tickets, 246
Yahtzee, 251
Environmental Sciences, Earth, and Space
Air Pollution, 238
Apple Production, 211
Bad Weather, 250
Endangered Species, 205, 209, 237
Nuclear Power Plants, 238
Oil Spill Locations, 201
Plant Selection, 247
Sources of Energy Uses in the United States, 201
Food and Dining
Banquet Meal Choices, 253
Breakfast Drink, 249
Buffet Desserts, 238
Inspecting Restaurants, 237
Pizzas and Salads, 226
Purchasing a Pizza, 211
Snack Foods, 209
Government, Taxes, Politics, Public Policy, and Voting
Committee Selection, 235, 238
Federal Government Revenue, 202
Mail Delivery, 210
Municipality Partisanship, 246
Selecting Council Members, 239
Terms of Office, 226
Territorial Selection, 251
Wild Fires, 224
Law and Order: Criminal Justice
Crimes Committed, 201
Guilty or Innocent?, 223
People Who Did Not Show Up for Their Trials, 210 page xviii
Prison Populations, 224, 225
Manufacturing and Product Development
Automobile and Truck Repairs, 237
Automobiles Sold, 247
Defective Items, 225, 244, 246, 250
Factory Output, 250
Flashlight Batteries, 225
Garage Door Openers, 236
Shirt Package Inspection, 238
Marketing, Sales, and Consumer Behavior
Appliance Ownership, 253
Background Color, 237
Commercials, 228
Customer Purchases, 226
Free-Sample Requests, 237
Gift Baskets, 226
Lawnmower and Weed Wacker Ownership, 249
Neckties, 223
New-Car Warranty, 253
On-Time Arrivals, 227
Purchasing Sweaters, 249
Sales, 225
Test Marketing Products, 238
Medicine, Clinical Studies, and Experiments
Autism, 227
Chronic Sinusitis, 250
Contracting a Disease, 254
Doctor Specialties, 226
Effectiveness of a Vaccine, 250
Emergency Room and Medical Tests, 210
Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
Natural History of aquatic Insects, 1895, p. 376.
[88]
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Op. cit. v. 1881, p. 91; cf. Sharp, Tr. ent. Soc. London, 1882, p. 61.
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Arch. Mus. Paris (2), viii. and ix. 1887.
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Westwood, Tr. ent. Soc. London (N.S.) iii. 1855, p. 90; Wasmann,
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It is probable that we do not know more than the fiftieth part of the
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Bull. ent. ital. 1886, p. 406, and Ent. Zeit. Stettin, xliii. 1887, pp.
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Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xxxvii. 1882, p. 354; also Emery, op. cit. xl.
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Les Insectes Vésicants, Paris 1890, 554 pp. Parts of this work
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Not a growing tree, but the instrument used for stretching boots.
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In the males of the genus Cedeocera the tips of the elytra are
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C.R. Ac. Sci. Paris, cxviii. 1894, p. 360; and his Thesis, Bordeaux,
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Haase first proposed the name Netrocera (Deutsche ent. Zeit. Lep.
iv. 1891, p. 1) for Hesperiidae, as a division distinct from all other
butterflies; Karsch replaced the name in the following year by
Grypocera, because Netrocera is the name of a genus.
[212]
[213]
[214]
[215]
Finn, J. Asiat. Soc. Bengal, lxvi. 1896, p. 528; lxvii. 1897, p. 213.
[217]
[218]
[219]
[220]
[221]
[222]
[223]
[224]
[225]
[226]
Ann. Soc. ent. France (4), vii. 1867, p. 665, Pl. xiii.
[227]
[228]
[229]
Ann. Nat. Hist. (6), iv. 1889, p. 213. We trust there will not be many
more Künstlers, as this beautiful butterfly must certainly become
extinct, if the female be really as rare as is supposed.
[230]
[231]
Tr. ent. Soc. London, 1893, p. 97, with Suppl. op. cit. 1896, pp. 129
and 567.
[232]
Amer. Natural. xxix. 1895, p. 1066. See also Ann. N. York Ac. viii.
1895, p. 194, and Ent. Record, 1897, pp. 136 and 196.
[233]
[234]
[235]
[236]
For explanatory diagram of the wings, see Fig. 161, I. When the
nervuration is obscured by the wing-scales, it may be rendered
temporarily visible by the application, with a camel's-hair brush, of
a little benzine. The wings may be permanently denuded of their
scales by being placed for a short time in Eau de Javelle
(hypochlorite of potash).
[237]
The genus Cyphanta (one species from India) has nervule 5 of the
fore wing proceeding from the lower angle of the cell.
[238]
[239]
See Westwood, Tr. Linn. Soc. London (2), i. 1877, p. 165, etc.
[240]
For habits of some Brazilian Castnia see Seitz, Ent. Zeit. Stettin, li.
1890, p. 258.
[241]
For pupa see Chapman, Ent. Rec. vi. 1895, pp. 286, 288.
[242]
[243]
[244]
Cotes, "Wild Silk Insects of India," Ind. Mus. Notes, ii. No. 2, 1891,
15 plates.
[245]
See on this subject Pérez, Act. Soc. Bordeaux, xlvii. 1894, p. 236,
etc.
[246]
[247]
[248]
[249]
Bar and Laboulbène, Ann. Soc. ent. France, (v.) iii. 1873, p. 300.
[250]
Op cit. (5), vii. 1877, p. 181; and Ent. Zeit. Stettin, xxxix. 1878, p.
221; and xliv. 1883, p. 402.
[251]
[252]
[253]
[254]
[255]
[256]
[257]
[258]
[259]
[260]
[261]
[262]
[263]