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Explaining Foreign
Policy in Post-Colonial
Africa
Stephen M. Magu
Explaining Foreign Policy in Post-Colonial Africa
Stephen M. Magu
Explaining Foreign
Policy
in Post-Colonial Africa
Stephen M. Magu
Political Science & History
Norfolk State University
Norfolk, VA, USA
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer
Nature Switzerland AG 2021
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the
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Re-dedicated to the brightest star in the constellation, Mary Wanjiku
Macharia-Magu, all her children all their/her/my children, for anchoring
these turbulent times and sharing the joys of life and work. And to
Dr. Akomolafe & departmental colleagues, for taking a chance on future
possibilities;
To other really special people Tina Thomas (and Andros), Jade Nicquole,
the Bellos and Rose.
To Ashia Danielle and zeitgeist conversations about the world and
spirituality before pandemics.
To Lessie, for excellence in everything. To Joy. For friendship, mentoring
and ‘my siblings’.
To the next generation of leaders and activists I had the pleasure of
teaching:
to my many students who needed stuff to read Alesha, Alexis, Alicia,
Aniyah, Breauna, Deja and thousands more.
And to a continent figuring out its future in a most convoluted,
post-colonial, post-Cold War, post-pandemic world.
Preface
vii
viii PREFACE
service of peace and diplomacy and alliances, much as Europe did. Some
of these were directed at the world-famous Maasai, Akamba, Meru, etc.;
diplomacy was alive and well. Back to St. Augustine: who else in Africa
fought (mostly everybody), how did they fight (variably: some killed all
enemy warriors, women, kids, boys, men; some killed everyone except
marriage-age women, some saved all women, children and the elderly).
Together, these constituted (just) war conduct.
Proceeding thence, it was useful to consider what we knew, didn’t
know, and didn’t know we didn’t know. There is much we don’t know
about pre-colonial African societies; yet we know that these units were not
mere ‘tribes,’ incapable of ‘government.’ Contrariwise, ‘tribes’ collected
taxes, enumerated citizenry, recruited and trained armies, had judicial
systems with appropriate punishments and judges (elders) selected for
wisdom and knowledge of precedent. They had executive organs (council
of elders), built infrastructure (roads, earthen works, cities, drainage
systems, outposts, irrigation systems, defense positions, grain storage),
traded (barter trade, long distance—i.e., exports and imports), maintained
social systems, and issued currency, e.g., cowrie shells, gold, bronze and
salt. They made known their practices to others and used reciprocity
(Maasai and Kikuyus would cease fighting when one side dropped their
spears). In short, diplomacy in the contemporary African nation is not a
post-colonial reality.
Today, many African countries do not scream, “I am not a regular,
modern, Westphalian, bureaucratic state.” Instead, Africa is more…dif-
ferent. Bits and bytes have been expended trying to figure out how,
and why. Perhaps some explanations might stem from the fact that
African states experienced their first instance of centralized, bureau-
cratic, Westphalian statehood during a decidedly violent colonial occu-
pation. It was solely predicated on a preponderance of violence (no
rights, no privileges or immunities, just violence, murder, arson and
taxes). Further, random lines drawn on a map, disregarding the pre-
colonial experience, purported to concoct a modern, European version
of the Westphalian state—producing Somalia’s irredentism and an oddly
shaped DRC map (southern tip). The residents—not yet citizens—were
now supposed to get along and bury their perceived differences. The
Maasai of Kenya/Tanzania, their nomadic lifestyle and habitat shared with
wildlife, show little regard for borders or passports. Whatever utility such
states served, they magnified division and conflict, fostering the need for
diplomacy all around.
PREFACE ix
Granted, this is quite the quantum leap, to imply that since pre-colonial
African societies utilized diplomacy, modern African nations have foreign
policy positions and further, that there is an African foreign policy posi-
tion. These probabilities lend themselves to other avenues of analysis.
The question of what common foreign positions were adopted by African
nations either in Pan-African solidarity or as individual nations are worthy
scholarly endeavors. More specifically, African colonial nations, adminis-
tered either as part of the French Empire or as no-status territories by
other European powers, would soon become free, join a universe of bi-
and multilateral diplomacy, former colonizers casting shadows over their
future, but also fighting to liberate especially the southern African colonies
and territories still under apartheid. It was inevitable, that the joint prefer-
ences for Africa’s complete liberation intersected but that collective action
had a better chance of forcing a greater reckoning with colonialism. This
was the beginning of elements of a common African foreign policy, the
subject of this treatise.
xi
Contents
xiii
xiv CONTENTS
Index 339
Abbreviations
xv
xvi ABBREVIATIONS
This chapter sets the scene for the formation of states in Africa, as
a result of independence, beginning late in the 1950s, particularly in
the sub-Saharan region. As World War II concluded and a new world
order emerged, pitting the US-led, democratic capitalist western world
against the USSR-led communist-socialist world, European countries, war
ravaged and desperately holding onto increasingly assertive and soon-to-
be independent colonies in Asia and Africa, found themselves increasingly
on the periphery of global order debates, but also provided ammuni-
tion to the USSR and its allies, given continuing colonialism. Pressure
also came from within the colonies in the form of independence move-
ments, from the more receptive Soviet orbit, from the US itself given
the pointed contradictions, from regional organizations, such as the Arab
League and afield, Asian countries and their collective action (e.g., the
Bandung Conference and the Non-Aligned Movement), and the liber-
ated African countries such as Ghana and former French West Africa. The
chapter outlines the most important issues addressed in the monograph—
read foreign policy—that would confront the countries, individually, and
together, as they struggled to rid the continent of the yoke of colonialism
especially in the southern African region.
A book—any book—that purports to articulate an African foreign
policy evokes intellectual disquiet, even suspicion. Africa is territorially
massive, covering 11.7 million mi2 , 20% of Earth’s land area and has
1 Valerie M. Hudson, “The History and Evolution of Foreign Policy Analysis.” In Steve
Smith, Amelia Hadfield and Timothy Dunne, Eds., Foreign Policy: Theories, Actors, Cases
(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2016), 14.
1 THE BEGINNING OF A POST-COLONIAL FOREIGN … 3
3 The Crisis Group, “Seven Priorities for the African Union in 2018.” Briefing No.
135/Africa, 17 January 2018.
6 S. M. MAGU
The AU has sought to address the most critical issues, yet, despite the
OAU having existed for almost 40 years, it had remained largely ineffec-
tive. Part of the reason is the inclusive, rather than exclusive nature of
membership. Could African states and the OAU have found more success
by predicating membership on the European Union (EU)-like Acquis
Communautaire? The AU has in some instances shown grit, including
deploying troops to Somalia, later transforming into an UN-supported
peacekeeping mission, AMISOM. There are issues where the AU collab-
orates on much better as a continental body (on decisions binding to
the members states)—e.g., broadly supporting boycotts and embargoes
directed at the apartheid South African government. Thus, this is a more
profitable route to take, in assessing how African countries have made
their decisions on the most important issues, especially those affecting
member states.
Most issues affecting African countries can generally be classified as
domestic policy, or foreign policy issues. A robust IR debate addresses
the influence domestic politics has on foreign policy and vice versa. This
link is the subject of Putnam’s 1988 Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The
Logic of Two-Level Games. In analyzing the 1978 Bonn summit outcomes,
Putnam postulates that “neither a purely domestic nor a purely interna-
tional analysis could account for this episode. Interpretations cast in terms
either of domestic causes and international effects (‘Second Image’) or
of international causes and domestic effects (‘Second Image Reversed’)
would represent merely a ‘partial equilibrium.’”4 Putnam argues for a
more ‘general equilibrium,’ linkage and simultaneity in the influence of
domestic issues and preferences on global politics and vice versa. Africa
is special—or not: it is not immune to this logic of two-level games a la
Putnam. Diplomacy does not guarantee that consensus will be reached,5
although per de Senarelens, “the conventional divide between domestic
politics and international relations has become obsolete as the former,
while largely determined by the latter, can in turn affect regional and
world security and wellbeing.”6
During the earliest independence years, Africa faced the urgent ques-
tion of what to do with newly-inherited national borders. Should nations
keep them, or should the OAU consider new boundaries? Leading
pan-Africanist leaders such as Nyerere, Kenyatta, Nkrumah and Banda
and others acknowledged the urgency of the issue, in conference, they
kept the borders. Not even a year later, the borders led to regional
conflicts: Kenya and Somalia, 1964–67, Ethiopia and Somalia, Ethiopia
and Eritrea (Eritrea becoming independent in 1993) and Nigeria and
Cameroon, over the Bakassi Peninsula. States’ borders, crafted without
regard for ethnic composition, resulted in splitting of territories occupied
by Somalis (between Ethiopia, Somalia and Kenya), the Maasai (Kenya
and Tanzania), among others. In large part, this division and subse-
quent decisions assured that Rwanda, Kenya/Somalia, Ethiopia/Somalia,
Somalia/Djibouti would persist long after.
Suffice to say, these three lenses cannot cover the entirety or complexity
of Africa’s past, present and future issues. Africa did not have or
stake common positions out of the gate, but their experiences and
unwavering determination to end minority rule in South Africa and
Rhodesia and other residual colonialism created shared interests and
thus natural alli(anc)es. OAU’s founding was vital, and its constituent
nations launched efforts to untangle the complex mess of future states
the Europeans left. Africa’s institutes found themselves trying to undo
the damage done by the colonial administrators, including balkanization
and splitting homogenous groups, and divide-and-rule that sowed seeds
of an inevitable future conflict. African states held diametrically incon-
sistent positions: if colonial governments were not legitimate and did
not represent Africans’ aspirations, were they obligated to honor treaties
and agreements colonists acceded to? Conversely, they kept the colo-
nial borders, thus recognizing decisions by authorities they considered
illegitimate. The desire for self-governance was so strong that African
nations upheld these agreements that were often detrimental to their own
historical practices and interests.
One such example, thorny then and now, was agreements governing
the Nile waters; it heavily favored Egypt, and prohibited upstream coun-
tries from damming the river. The Nile’s origin is Lake Victoria, fed
by rivers in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda. Three pre-independence
agreements were the culprits: a 1902 treaty between Great Britain and
Ethiopia; H. E. “Menilik II, King of Kings of Ethiopia, engages himself
towards the Government of His Britannic Majesty not to construct or
allow to be constructed any work across the Blue Nile, Lake Tana, or the
Sobat.”7 The 1929 Anglo-Egyptian treaty (often referred to as ‘exchange
of notes’) stated that: “save with the previous agreement of the Egyp-
tian Government, no irrigation or power works or measures are to be
constructed or taken on the River Nile and its branches, or on the lakes
from which it flows […] which would in such a manner as to entail any
prejudice to the interests of Egypt, either reduce the quantity of water
arriving in Egypt, or modify the date of its arrival, or lower its level.”8
7 Joseph Awange and Obiero Ong’ang’a, Lake Victoria: Ecology, Resources, Environment
(Berlin: Springer, 2006), 287.
8 Mwangi Kimenyi and John Mukum Mbaku, Governing the Nile River Basin: The
Search for a New Legal Regime (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2015),
37.
10 S. M. MAGU
The third was the 1959 bilateral agreement between Egypt and Sudan;
it reinforced the 1929 Anglo-Egyptian treaty’s provisions, and increased
water usage allocations for both Sudan and Egypt.9
The April 1955 Bandung Conference brought together nations newly
independent and proposed to form an alternative to the east/west blocs.
It was the first Afro-Asian conference that articulated countries’ desire to
pursue a non-alignment policy.10 Six African countries—Egypt, Ethiopia,
(then) Gold Coast, Liberia, Libya and Sudan—sent delegations. Coun-
tries attending the conference represented a “combined population [that]
made up approximately two-thirds of the world’s people.”11 During the
conference, Nehru’s support for African countries’ independence was
a notable rallying point. Eventually, the Non-Aligned Movement was
founded at the Belgrade Conference in 1961, with the agreement that
the members “had to pursue an independent foreign policy, peaceful
coexistence, and abstain from joining cold war military alliances.”12
African countries’ non-alignment policy was severely tested, yet they
had little trouble reconciling sovereignty with active support of anti-
colonial movements and ultimate independence of other African ‘coun-
tries’ and territories still subjected to foreign control.13 The actual
practice of non-alignment was mostly unsuccessful: newly independent
countries remained beholden to former colonial powers. Frequently, bilat-
eral relations with former colonial powers overshadowed those established
with neighbors. Still, the principle of non-alignment became a central
pillar of African countries’ relations with the rest of the world.
(e.g., Kenya vs. Somalia, Ethiopia vs. Somalia, Libya vs. Egypt, Algeria
vs. Western Sahara, Djibouti vs. Eritrea (a border conflict), Uganda vs.
Tanzania’s vita vya Kagera, among others. Intrastate wars (civil wars),
low-intensity conflicts and coups d’états account for the near 40% of
global conflicts attributed to Africa. Interspersed with these are interna-
tional, and African-led peace overtures, peacekeeping missions, military
interventions the world is happy happen (e.g., Tanzania-Ugandan war,
or the ECOWAS near-intervention in The Gambia after Yahya Jammeh’s
refusal to concede defeat in elections), and ongoing attempts to activate
a Peace and Security Council of the African Union.
Some conflicts have attracted international dispute resolution mecha-
nisms and UN-sponsored prosecution of war criminals. They include the
International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR),17 the UN Special
Court for Sierra Leone (and Residual Special Court for Sierra Leone).18
The adoption of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court
(ICC, or, International Criminal Court Statute) in July 1998, and its
entry into force in July 2002 ushered in a new era for Africa and the
world. War crimes would be more systematically addressed. Notwith-
standing, majority of its prosecutions and arrest warrants issued have
led to the ICC being accused of bias, a “court for Africans” even as its
mechanism addresses conduct during conflict.
Another major issue touching on Africa’s foreign policy is human
rights. Africa’s record here is less than stellar, perhaps predictably so,
given that their first instance of statehood of diverse previously conflictual
groups was the colonial state. The very nature of the independent state
born out of colonialism with its egregious treatment of African subjects,
and the broader global geopolitical realities of the Cold War meant that
states could get away with human rights violations with impunity. After
all, the colonial state was built on a foundation of oppression and in
the US, civil rights were only now producing positive outcomes, denying
the major powers any standing to advocate for human rights. Push-back
17 The full title of the court is: The International Criminal Tribunal for the Prosecu-
tion of Persons Responsible for Genocide and Other Serious Violations of International
Humanitarian Law Committed in the Territory of Rwanda and Rwandan Citizens
Responsible for Genocide and Other Such Violations Committed in the Territory of
Neighbouring States between 1 January and 31 December 1994.
18 United Nations Dag Hammarskjöld Library. “UN Documentation: International
Law.” UN Documentation: International Law. https://research.un.org/en/docs/law/
courts.
1 THE BEGINNING OF A POST-COLONIAL FOREIGN … 13
might drive countries into the Sino-soviet camp, and that was decidedly
the least optimum outcome.
An unintended consequence of this reality was that African leaders
had little impetus to level the playing field or address the grievances
informed by ethnic schisms exacerbated by colonialism. Most quickly
abandoned any pretense of multiparty democracy. But the extent to which
governments could run amok was changing: The Rome Statute recast
sovereignty as states’ responsibility to protect, with the implied possi-
bility of external intervention. Cold War realities that enabled countries’
bad behavior could lead to intervention. Intriguingly, 30 African coun-
tries have ratified the Rome Statute, none have unsigned. As distasteful as
the now-diluted concept of sovereignty is, governments have reluctantly
conceded that their new raison d’être is protecting their citizens, and if
they don’t, international collective responsibility to intervene may occur.
Responsibility to Protect (R2P) has been applied successfully in Africa,
including during Kenya’s post-2007 election. R2P was used to address
Libyan government’s response to the 2011 Arab Spring protests. Even
in Darfur, former Sudanese president al-Bashir found himself scram-
bling out of countries that might arrest him and hand him over to the
ICC on the basis of suspected war crimes in Darfur. Africa has also
increasingly sought to pursue pacific settlement of disputes. It has also
responded with moves to encourage greater accountability for leaders
using NEPAD’s Africa Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) that evalu-
ates governance, and the fiscally-attractive Mo Ibrahim Foundation’s
Ibrahim Prize for Achievement in African Leadership with a US$5 million
award. Other mechanisms include data and reports issuing from the
World Bank Group’s Worldwide Governance Indicators and Transparency
International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) indicators.
Economic development has been, predictably, most salient to African
countries. As they became independent, it was clear that colonial neglect,
despite arguments to the contrary, rapid development and elimination of
poverty, disease and illiteracy were urgent. For almost three-quarters of
a century, colonial powers bestowed upon Africa the worst HDI indica-
tors. Tanzania had few paved roads, DRC had one doctor for the whole
country and 16 doctoral students. Despite escaping colonization, half of
Ethiopia’s high school teachers in 1962 were Peace Corps Volunteers.
Funding human and economic development for countries dependent on,
and net exporters to the west was challenging, in addition to colonial obli-
gations they inherited. Despite strong advocacy for independent financial
14 S. M. MAGU
19 UNICEF, “Levels & Trends in Child Mortality Report, 2018.” New York, 2018.
1 THE BEGINNING OF A POST-COLONIAL FOREIGN … 15
and manpower. BRICs and the UE are partners with the AU, and have
supported African solutions to the continent’s challenges. Its institutions
have repurposed their role and expanded its structures and issues. It is
leading in mitigating conflict, viz. the AMISOM mission. Outside of
effects and implications of Sars-Cov-2 (COVID-19), institutions, e.g.,
Africa’s CDC and newly-fangled AfCFTA with a 1.4 billion market,
hold promise, compliment RECs, AEC and a future political federation,
perhaps fulfilling Agenda 2063, a century past colonialism.
20 Other scholars have studied Africa’s foreign policy, from antiquity to present (Nanjira
2010), individual countries (Mandela 1993: South Africa’s future foreign policy); and
foreign policy of the Congo and South Africa (Jackson 1984), but the number of such
studies is woefully small.
16 S. M. MAGU
financing basis was now leveraged against them, and there was great
nostalgia in such institutions as the UN’s Special Fund (SUNFED).
Despite glaring inequalities and dependency of African nations, free trade
and market liberalization was a thing. Would African nations adapt to the
new boss’ whims or meet a most Jurassic Park end?
Besides identifying the major events that have occurred in Africa since
the 1950s, the book addresses theoretical explanations of Africa’s foreign
policy-making processes and whether they comport to processes else-
where; the politics of geography, new statehood, residual impacts and
implications of colonization as well as territorial integrity, the complexity
and impact of the Cold War on Africa’s most important issues (libera-
tion for all) and responses to apartheid. It considers nationalism, national
unity, dispersal of homogeneous populations across state borders and the
challenges it procures, such as separatism, secession, rebellion and state
contestation. It highlights the parallels of Regional Economic Communi-
ties (RECs) and a repurposed AU, BRICs, their foreign policy preferences
and the new ‘race’ for engagement with Africa, seeking to frame new
directions and relationships away from a capitalist-democratic world order.
Lastly, an inflection, a blueprint of Africa’s future foreign policy is
considered.
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CHAPTER 2
Introduction
This chapter addresses the pertinent question of approaches to under-
standing foreign policy-making. Scholars have long debated whether the
theories that explain foreign policy, overwhelmingly developed in western
countries, are likely to explain the same phenomena elsewhere, especially
in the Global South. Theories and approaches such as Almond’s Mood
theory, domestic audience costs, bureaucratic politics, Groupthink, poli-
heuristic theory or foreign policy approaches that explain foreign policy
in democracies have limited explanatory power over African countries,
OAU and AU’s institutional foreign policy. This chapter examines the
existence, absence, role and the sources of foreign policy in Africa—elites,
bureaucracies, citizens, domestic audiences and the external stakeholders
in the making of foreign policy. Foreign policy is a more recent area
of growth in scholarship in global politics, and theory-testing around
who the key actors, ideas and approaches continue to evolve. Though
Africa’s post-colonial foreign policy was partly informed by colonial
experiences and residual colonization, limited educational and political
participation during colonialism impacted the ability of citizens to direct
foreign policy and gave elites much latitude in crafting foreign policy. Still,
once-consensus national, regional and pan-African goals were swept up
in personality disagreements and regional vendettas. Still, understanding
foreign policy from a theoretical perspective is invaluable; this chapter
examines approaches that are more, or less likely, to explain foreign policy
in Africa.
What informs countries’ interests, preferences, choices and foreign
policy decisions? Realist theory argues that states are functionally similar
and their interests and interactions are informed by pursuit of, among
others, security and power. Other theories herald cooperation: norms,
rules and institutions promote cooperation (neoliberalism). Still others
suggest shared values, interests and ideologies such as democratization,
cooperation and peace can reduce conflict and increase cooperation
(constructivism), even as the exploitative nature of powerful (core)
states against weaker (dependent) states explains international interac-
tions (Marxist theories). The ‘national interest’ is historically a perceived
source of states’ interests articulated through foreign policy actions. The
‘national interest’ stems from the preferences of domestic audiences,
interest groups, bureaucracies and elites. But try as one might, some
countries evidently show little interest in gaining power, and whether
all states are functionally equal is a fair question, as is the level of citi-
zenry involvement in foreign policy-making. This extends to the theories
explaining foreign policy-making and processes, including, for example,
Almond’s Mood theory. African countries have tended to approach
foreign policy as a ‘bloc’—at the UN and other IGOs, and the prolif-
eration of RECs suggests that Africa might be functionally different from
other regions.
Theories of foreign policy-making are still relatively new, and primarily
based on the experiences of western nations. Granted, states are func-
tionally similar, but just as development of states and economies cannot
be explained by the same theories, one imagines the same to be true for
foreign policy-making. There are many possible explanans and conceptu-
alization of foreign policy-making, examined in detail in this chapter. Of
great import is the question of whether they also explain African coun-
tries’ foreign policy individually and institutionally. Pending the analysis,
it helps to reflect on why they may not be universally applicable. The
impact of democracy and domestic audiences is expected to have a signif-
icant impact; so too, is the reality that most western countries have, at
some point, been great powers with different considerations than those
of African countries.
The sources and impacts of domestic sources of foreign policy have
been especially infused with Euro-Atlantic, but predominantly American
perspectives and explanations. For the hegemon, the maxim that ‘politics
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 21
stops at the water’s edge’ is a truism. The unitary nature of the state in
its interactions with others is aptly captured: “when it comes to foreign
policy, American political leaders should speak with one voice-a distinc-
tion from the cacophony that marks domestic policy making.”1 A clear
distinction between domestic and foreign policy-making exists; even as
states are considered unitary actors, obvious ideological divisions within
states manifest and globally. There are often stakes and levels of support
for factions within the US, partly based on expected future relations. But
since there is rare ability to constrain actions, e.g., pulling the US out
of the JCPOA, Paris Climate Accords or TPP, the illusion of states as a
unitary actor persists.
The preponderance of American power and influence on global poli-
tics especially post-Cold War makes sense, but is inherently risky as a
source of explanation for other global phenomena. The US is unlike
many other countries, even among its peers. It derives its character
from unique historical, social, cultural and political basis that set it from
almost every other country even liberal democracies. Its political system
is peculiar, with robustly (almost) co-equal branches of government,
domestic audiences, the Dahl-ian, key components of a democracy, a
“harmonious system of mutual frustration.”2 Where US policy-makers
might be concerned about domestic audiences, other countries, e.g.,
Chad’s leaders might face fewer constraints and opposition. Govern-
ments, internal political mechanisms and checks and balances often confer
foreign policy-making to the whims, sometimes expertise, of a pliant elite
cabal, driven by concerns such as history, regime survival and their own
well-being.
This brings us back to the important question: Do foreign policy-
making structures especially in Africa mirror the US and developed
countries? Can African countries’ foreign policy-making be explained by
theories derived out of the Euro-Atlantic Westphalian state? Africa epito-
mizes the world of difference in social, economic and political processes
1 Helen V. Milner and Dustin Tingley, Sailing the Water’s Edge: The Domestic Politics
of American Foreign Policy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2015), 1.
2 Larry N. Gerston, American Federalism: A Concise Introduction (Armonk: M. E.
Sharpe, 2007), 35.
22 S. M. MAGU
and conditions from the west, and the use of western theoretical frame-
works to understand African issues has led to little progress.3 A cursory
survey of the civilization missions of Europe, pseudo-scientific ideas
of superiority that gave us slavery, the misadventures of colonialism,
traditional theories of economic development, Washington Consensus,
Structural Adjustment Programs, multiparty democracy and other issues
illustrate their incompatibility with African realities. Explanans of Africa’s
foreign policy stem from the western world; they rarely apply to Africa.
3 Some scholars, e.g., Acharya and Buzan (2001) the preponderance and overwhelming
source of western and absence of Global South IR theories, even though the major powers
have inordinate influence on world affairs.
4 Janet Johnson and H. T. Reynolds, Political Science Research Methods (Thousand Oaks:
CQ Press, 2015).
5 Yaqing Qin, “Why Is There No Chinese International Relations Theory?” In Amitav
Acharya and Barry Buzan, Eds., Non-Western International Relations Theory: Perspectives
on and Beyond Asia (London: Routledge, 2010), 26.
6 Cynthia Weber, International Relations Theory: A Critical Introduction (London:
Routledge, 2001), 2.
7 Colin Elman and Miriam Elman, “Introduction: Appraising Progress in International
Relations Theory.” In Colin Elman and Miriam Elman, Eds., Progress in International
Relations Theory: Appraising the Field (Cambridge: BCSIA, 2003), 1
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 23
14 Gunther Hellmann and Ursula Stark Urrestarazu, Theories of Foreign Policy (Oxford
Bibliographies, 2013), n.p.
15 Glenn Palmer and Clifton Morgan, A Theory of Foreign Policy (Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 2006), 2.
16 Derek Beach, Analyzing Foreign Policy (New York: Palgrave Macmillan 2012), 6.
17 Steve Smith, “Theories of Foreign Policy: An Historical Overview.” Review of
International Studies, Vol. 12 (1986): 13–29.
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 25
Rational actor X X X X X
model
Organizational X X X X ?
processes
Bureaucratic X X X X X
politics model
Groupthink X ? ? ? X
approach
Prospect /loss X ? ? X ?
aversion
Poliheuristic X ? ? X ?
model
22 Alex Mintz and Amnon Sofrin, “Decision Making Theories in Foreign Policy Anal-
ysis,” Oxford Research Encyclopedias (World Politics), (October 2017). https://doi.org/
10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.405.
23 Steve Yetiv, Explaining Foreign Policy: U.S. Decision-Making and the Persian Gulf
War (Baltimore: JHU Press, 2004).
24 Evoked set defines situations in which “actors are prone to think that the matters
that worry them and/or they are focused on, are the main focus of attention of other
actors” (de Castro 2009: 34).
25 See Jervis’ 1976 work titled Perception and Misperception in International Politics.
Jackson and Sørensen also address components, processes and outcomes of perception,
including, e.g. cognitive consistency and interactions, assimilation of information, and
common misperceptions, etc.; see also Tang (2013).
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 27
31 Mintz and Sofrin, “Decision Making Theories in Foreign Policy Analysis,” (2017).
32 Mintz and Sofrin, “Decision Making Theories in Foreign Policy Analysis,” (2017),
n.p.
33 Mary Zey, Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory: A Critique (Thousand
Oaks: Sage, 1997), 1
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 29
34 Donald Green and Ian Shapiro, Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory: A Critique of
Applications in Political Science (New Haven: Yale, 1994).
35 Marijke Breuning, Foreign Policy Analysis: A Comparative Introduction (New York:
Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), 3.
36 Elinor Ostrom, “A Behavioral Approach to the Rational Choice Theory of Collective
Action: Presidential Address, APSA, 1997.” The American Political Science Review, Vol.
92, No. 1 (March, 1998): 1–22. https://doi.org/10.2307/2585925.
37 Joe Oppenheimer, Principles of Politics: A Rational Choice Theory Guide to Politics
and Social Justice (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012), 15.
30 S. M. MAGU
38 Lina Eriksson, Rational Choice Theory: Potential and Limits (New York: Palgrave
Macmillan, 2011), 17, and Oppenheimer, Principles of Politics, 14–19.
39 Zey, Rational Choice Theory and Organizational Theory, 3.
40 Mintz and Sofrin, “Decision Making Theories in Foreign Policy Analysis,” 2017.
41 Ostrom, “A Behavioral Approach to the Rational Choice Theory of Collective
Action,” 1998.
42 Stephen D. Krasner, Defending the National Interest: Raw Materials Investments
and U.S. Foreign Policy (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1978), and Steve Yetiv,
Explaining Foreign Policy: U.S. Decision-Making in the Gulf Wars (Baltimore: John
Hopkins, 2011).
2 CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO FOREIGN POLICY … 31
43 W. David Clinton, The Two Faces of National Interest (Baton Rouge: LSU Press,
1994), 52.
44 Steven Kendall Holloway, Canadian Foreign Policy: Defining the National Interest
(Peterborough: Broadview Press, 2006), 52, and Joseph Frankel, National Interest
(London: Palgrave Macmillan, 1970), n.p.
45 Krasner, Defending the National Interest, 44.
46 Krasner, Defending the National Interest, 44.
47 Krasner, Defending the National Interest, 45.
48 Krasner, Defending the National Interest, 43.
49 Holloway, Canadian Foreign Policy, 12.
50 Ole R. Holsti, “Theories of International Relations.” In Michael J. Hogan and
Thomas G. Paterson, Eds., Explaining the History of American Foreign Relations, 2nd
Ed. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004), 54.
51 Holloway, Canadian Foreign Policy, 12.
32 S. M. MAGU
of (i) objectives related to general societal goals; (ii) persistence over time;
and (iii) a consistent ranking of importance.52
African countries do have some overall national goal, often insuffi-
ciently articulated. Some interests are historical, circumstantial and others
are formulated in reaction to system stimuli. For example, a web search of
‘Kenya’s national interest’ is uninspiring. According to a Maina Chege’s
blog entry on Quora, it boils down to ‘trade.’ Goldman’s list of ‘the
most vital of these national interests’ include “preservation of territorial
integrity, establishment of peace and security within the nation, main-
tenance of law and order, consolidation of a developed, mature and
versatile political system and assurance of national development.”53 On
the National Interest (Kenya) page which features three articles last
updated in 2013, the Al-Shabaab menace, militancy in the East African
region, and the ICC’s post-election violence cases account for Kenya’s
national interest. Wario articulates it as bilateral and multilateral rela-
tionships, trade and security actions that enhance Kenya’s capacity to
improve its citizens’ lives.54 The first official written 34-page foreign
policy document was issued in 2014, 51 years after independence.
Although focusing Iraq, Breuning’s discussion on the logic of
Saddam’s incursion into Kuwait shows how irrational preferences can
be pursued. Saddam had other avenues of intimidation or coercion,
including “amassing troops on the border to underscore a threat. […] He
could have gone to the Arab League or the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) to address his grievances. He could have
called for a summit meeting with the leaders of Kuwait […] He could
even have decided to do nothing at all.”55 The premise of foreign policy-
making suggests a deliberative process, but decisions are often made by an
individual or small group of elites in groupthink conditions. Some foreign
policy decisions (e.g., Saddam’s 1990 invasion of Kuwait or Idi Amin’s
invasion of Tanzania in 1978) are questionable and irrational. Breuning
holds that with some decisions, “it can be quite difficult to figure out
whether a foreign policy decision was based on sound analysis and careful
Title: Taikapeili
Nelinäytöksinen satunäytelmä
Author: Larin-Kyösti
Language: Finnish
Nelinäytöksinen satunäytelmä
Kirj.
LARIN-KYÖSTI
Linnan etuhuone.
HOVIROUVA. Kuulitteko?
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
Tekin..? Hän ei huoli kenestäkään. Kääntää kosijoille selkänsä tai
tekee heistä pilkkaa.
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
Mi, minä, armollinen rouva, olen aina ollut vain teidän nöyrin
palvelijanne. Mutta nyt prinsessa tulee, vetäytykäämme syrjään.
INKERI
IMANDRA
Ei, ei! Minä osaan jo sen taidon. Minä olen kyllästynyt koreihin
pukuihin ja koreihin puheihin.
INKERI
IMANDRA
INKERI
IMANDRA
Niin, hovirouva sanoo minua häijyksi ja minä tahdon olla häijy, niin
häijy, että ne ajavat minut linnasta.
INKERI
IMANDRA
Minä en tahdo olla kaunis, katsos kuinka minä olen ruma! Sano,
enkö minä ole ruma! —(vetää kasvonsa ryppyihin.)
INKERI (leikillä)
IMANDRA
INKERI
IMANDRA
Jos hän tulee minua kosimaan, niin minä nokean naamani, kynsin
kuin kissa tai juoksen linnankaivoon.
INKERI
IMANDRA
No, teehän niin. Mutta lue samalla sitä hauskaa kirjaa paimenesta
ja metsätytöstä!
IMANDRA
INKERI
IMANDRA
INKERI
IMANDRA
INKERI
IMANDRA
Ei, ei, kruunu painaa ja kengät puristavat.
INKERI
IMANDRA
INKERI
Mutta prinsessa!
IMANDRA
PAIMENTYTTÖ
IMANDRA
IMANDRA
(Tytöt tanssivat.)
HOVIROUVA (tulee)
IMANDRA
IMANDRA
Ei, ei, minä tahdon mukaan. Minä tahdon tanssia heidän
kanssaan.
HOVIROUVA
IMANDRA
HOVIHERRA
IMANDRA
HOVIHERRA
Vaan harakka!
HOVIROUVA
Hirveätä, harakka!
IMANDRA
Armollinen rouva! Hyppikää minun kanssani harakkaa!
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
Hahhaa!
HOVIROUVA
IMANDRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
HOVIROUVA (keimaillen)
HOVIHERRA
HOVIROUVA
PRINSSI
OTRO
OTRO
PRINSSI
OTRO
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
Vaan?
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
IMANDRA
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
PRINSSI
IMANDRA
PRINSSI