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TỔNG HỢP kiến thức môn TCDN 1
TỔNG HỢP kiến thức môn TCDN 1
3 financial decisions:
+ Investment decisions (capital budgeting decisions) -> what assets invest in
+ Financing decisions (capital – structure decisions) -> how to raise capital
liabilities equity
(quan tâm tới debt rate= total assets equity rate=
total assets
total assets=total capital)
{pay dividend
(quan tâm tới net income=net profit reinvestment )
Forms of business
Form of business Sole proprietorship Partnership Corporation LLC
Owner of the business Manager Manager Shareholders Owners
Separation of ownership and
NO NO YES YES / NO
management
The owner’s liability Unlimited Unlimited Limited Limited
Financing choices Mainly owner’s Contribution of Issue securities and Owner’s money,
money partners, borrowing borrowing possible corporate
bonds and borrowing
Separation of personal and
NO NO YES YES / NO
corporate tax liability
1
Goals of financial management: maximize the current market value per share not profit maximization
n
CF t
V =∑ trong đó: V: value r: required rate of return (tỷ suất sinh lời đòi hỏi)
t =0 (1+r )t
(tại sao lại là maximize value chứ ko phải profit do profit maximization bỏ qua mất 2 yếu tố: risk và timing)
Agency problem (vấn đề đại diện): Conflict of interest between managers – owners
+ Dealing with agency problems:
{
cho các managers mua cổ phiếucủa cty → họ trở thành cổ đông và khi đó lợiích của họ gắn liền với shareholders
đưara ngay từ đầu các quy định , chuẩn mực ( nhất là cụ thể về mặt lợi ích) để managers phải tuân theo
2
CHAPTER 2
PV: initial value r: interest rate in 1 period n: number of the periods
The discounting process tính PV
compounding interest) ( 1+r )n : future value interest factor value of 1 VND after n
periods at the interest rate r
Present value (PV) FV −n
PV = n
=FV ×(1+r )
(1+r )
−n
(1+r ) : discount factor how much you have to invest to get
1 VND after n periods
n
Cash flow FV (if cash flow denote
FV n=∑ CF t ×(1+ r)n −t
stream at the end of the period) t =1
n
FV (if cash flow denote
FV n=∑ CF t ×(1+ r)n −t +1
at the beginning of the t =1
period)
3
n
PV (if cash flow denote CF t
PV n=∑
at the end of the period) t =1 (1+ r)t
n
PV (if cash flow denote CF t
PV n=∑
at the beginning of the t =1 (1+ r)t −1
period)
∞
PV of In general CF t
PV =∑
perpetuity t =1 (1+ r t )t
When CFt = A and r is A
PV =
r
kept constant
t −1
PV of In general ∞
CF t (1+ g)
PV =∑ t
growing t =1 (1+r )
[ ]
n n
(1+r ) −(1+ g)
FV = A ×
r −g
4
m
Quoted interval can EAR=(1+
NIR m
) −1= ( 1+ r k ) −1
m
count
m: số kì tính lãi trong năm
càng nhiều kỳ tính lãi trong 1 năm thì EAR càng cao nhưng NIR ko
đổi
r
Effective EAR=e −1
model PV: present value of the expected cash flows in the future
r: discounted rate of the model
5
(DCF) Model can be used for: capital budgeting decisions or securities valuing
+ NPV > 0: PV (cash inflows) > PV (cash outflows) -> should invest
+ NPV < 0: PV (cash inflows) < PV (cash outflows) -> shouldn’t invest
CHAPTER 3
{ dollar terms (absolute terms)
Total return can be expressed percentage terms (relative terms)
6
of possible n: the number of possible outcome
outcome A portfolio (r p) n
r p =∑ f i ×r i=¿ f 1 ×r 1 + f 2 × r 2 +…+ f n ×r n ¿
i=1
Deviation ¿ r i−r
n
An investment
σ 2=∑ pi ×(r i−r )2
i=1
2 2 2 2
A portfolio 2 khoản đầu tư =f σ A + f B σ B +2 f A f B COV ( A , B)
A
Variance n n
n khoản đầu tư =∑ f 2j σ 2j + ∑ f j f k COV ( j ; k )
j=1 j=1
7
The coefficient of σ
CV =
r
variation (CV)
Compare the risk between 2 investments:
+ Using SD: 2 investments have the SAME expected return (r )
+ Using CV: 2 investments have the DIFFERENT expected return (r ) -> CV higher risk
higher
n
Covariance
COV ( A , B )=∑ pi ( r iA−r A ) (r i B−r B )=ρ AB × σ A σ B
i=1
Correlation COV (A , B)
ρ AB =
σ A σB
coefficient
If −1< ρ AB <1 -> combining stock into a portfolio reduces risk but does not eliminate it completely
{
ρ AB=± 1 : perfect positive /negative correlation ρ AB → ±1 : strong correlation
If ρ AB=0 :not related , have no correlation
ρ AB > ¿<0 : positive/negative correlation
Of a security COV (i , m)
β i=
σ 2m
β i: beta coefficient of the security
COV (i , m): covariance between return of security and portfolio return
2
σ m: variance of the market portfolio return
Beta (measure
systematic risk)
β >1: security MORE sensitive, riskier than market
β=1: security’s change similar to market’s change
β <1: security LESS sensitive, less risky than market
n
Of a portfolio
β p= ∑ w i × β i
i=1
8
CAPM Security Market Line E ( R M ) −Rf E ( R M ) −R f
SML Slope ¿ =
βM 1
Required Ri=R f + β i ( RM −Rf )
(expected) rate of R f : risk-free rate
return of β i: beta of security i
security/portfolio β i ( R M −R f ) : security risk premium -> ( R M −R f ): market risk premium
( Ri ) + beta = 0: risk-free security
+ beta = 1: expected return on security equal to expected return on the market
Higher beta ( β i) -> higher expected return
9
(1) Security market is perfectly competitive and efficient
(2) Portfolios are perfectly diversified
(3) No tax, No inflation and No change in interest rate
(4) Investors have the same holding period
(5) Investors can borrow or lend at an unchanged risk-free rate
(6) All investors are risk averse (e ngại rủi ro)
(7) All investors have same estimation about expected return and variance
CHAPTER 4
Nguyên tắc lập bảng ptich diễn biến nguồn tiền (sources of cash) và sử dụng tiền (uses of cash)
B1: So sánh số liệu CUỐI KÌ với ĐẦU KÌ để tìm ra sự thay đổi của mỗi khoản mục trên BALANCE SHEET
B2: Mỗi sự thay đổi của từng khoản mục sẽ được phản ánh vào 1 trong 2 cột: sources of cash và uses of cash
theo nguyên tắc:
+ diễn biến sources of cash = ↑ nguồn vốn; ↓ asset
+ diễn biến uses of cash = ↓ nguồn vốn; ↑ asset
(chỉ tính cho các khoản mục CHI TIẾT, KHÔNG tính cho các khoản mục TỔNG HỢP)
+ Riêng đối với khoản HAO MÒN LŨY KẾ và TRÍCH LẬP DỰ PHÒNG:
↑ ghi sources of cash; ↓ ghi uses of cash
10
money money
(↑↓ ở từng loại tk chi tiết)…. (↑↓ ở từng loại tk chi tiết)….
Total sources 100 Total uses 100
Comparison Analysis:
+ Common – size statements: sử dụng percentage so sánh với tổng thể
+ Common – base – year FSs: chọn 1 năm gốc so sánh để tìm trend
+ Cross – sectional analysis: head-to-head analysis with its biggest compe
approach from an industry-wide lens -> identify companies with a particular strength
FINANCIAL RATIOS
Ratios
Ratios Formula Note
group
Current assets
Current ratio Current ratio=
Current liabilities
Quick (Acid – test) Current assets−Inventory
Quick ratio=
ratio Current liabilities
11
Days’ sales in 360 days 360 days × Average Inventory 360 (hoặc 365) days là dựa
DSI = =
inventory (DSI) Inventory turnover COGS vào yêu cầu đề bài
Receivables Annual credit sales
Receivables turnover =
turnover Average AR
Cash conversion
CCC=DSO + DSI−DPO
cycle (CCC)
Working capital Net sales
Working capital turnover =
turnover Average working capital Net sales (= Net revenue) =
Net sales Net sales - COGS
Total asset turnover Total asset turnover=
Average Total assets
Current assets Current ratio ×Current liabilities
Current asset ratio Current asset ratio= =
Total assets Total assets
Non – current asset Non−current assets ¿ 1−Current asset ratio
Non−current asset ratio=
ratio Total assets
Assets and
capital Total debts
Debt ratio Debt ratio=
Total assets
structure
Equity
Equity ratio Equity ratio= =1−Debt ratio
Total assets
Debt Assets 1
Debt-to-equity ratio Debt −¿−equity ratio= = −1= −1=Equity multiplier−1
Equity Equity Equity ratio
12
Profit margin / Sales = Quantity x Unit price
Net profit
Return on sales ROS=
Net sales (¿ sales)
(ROS)
Basis earning power EBIT
Profitability BEP=
(BEP) Average Total assets
measures
Return on assets Net profit
ROA=
(ROA) Average Total assets
Dividend payout
ratio
Earnings before EBIT =Gross profit −selling expenses−administrative expenses=∑ revenue−∑ cost
interest and tax
13
(EBIT)
Earnings/Profit Interest: lãi vay
EBT = EBIT−Interest =EBIT −Debt ×interest rate
before tax (EBT)
Net income (Net Tax: thuế TNDN
profit; Profit after Net income=EBT −Tax=EBT ×(1−tax rate)
tax)
Variable cost Variable cost=Quantity × Variable cost per unit
Gross profit Gross profit =Net revenue−COGS
TH1: NWC > 0 (CA>CL)
=>all current liabilities and
non-current capital financing
current assets
-> less risky
=>current ratio > 1
Net working capital
NWC=Current assets−Current liabilities TH2: NWC < 0 (CA<CL)
(NWC)
=> a part of current liabilities
is used to finance non-current
assets
-> more risky
=> current ratio < 1
TH3: NWC = 0 (CA = CL)
The Du Pont Return on assets Net profit Net sales
ROA=ROS × Assets turnover= ×
Net sales( ¿ sales) Total assets
Indentity (ROA)
14
Return on equity Net profit Total assets Sales Total assets
ROE= =ROA × =ROS × × =ROS × Assets turnover × Equity multipli
(ROE) Equity Equity Total assets Equity
CHAPTER 5
1. Working capital management
- Có 2 loại: Gross working capital = current assets và Net working capital = current assets – current liabilities
- Objectives:
+ Improve profitability
+ Ensure sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations
- Working capital management bao gồm:
+ Payables management
+ Cash management
+ Receivables management
+ Inventory management
- 4 motives of holding cash:
+ Transactional motive
+ Precautionary motive
+ Speculative motive
+ Trade-off
15
Cash Management: Optimal cash levels (Mức dự trữ tiền mặt tối ưu) -> using the Miller-Orr model or the Baumol
model
The Baumol model
- The optimal cash balance where opportunity costs = trading costs
Opportunity costs = Trading costs
C T
× R= × F
2 C
Trong đó: F: fixed cost of selling securities to raise cash
T: total amount of new cash needed
R: opportunity cost of holding cash, i.e., the interest rate,…
√
2
C 2 T ×F 2TF
+
2
× R=T × F -> C =2× R -> C ¿=
R
-> C ¿: optimal cash balance (mà tại đó total cost of holding cash thấp nhất)
C T
Total cost = 2 × R+ C × F =>The model concerned only transaction balances, not precautionary balances
4R
+L
¿
4 C −L
Trong đó: σ 2 là variance of net daily cash flows
16
+ Cash balance reach upper limit (U)
-> cash is invested elsewhere to get to target
cash balance (C)
C + Cash balance reach lower limit (L)
-> investments are sold to raise cash to get
L up to target cash balance (C)
Inventory Management
The Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) -> calculate the optimal inventory level at which carrying costs and ordering
costs are minimized
(calculate for only one product; do not risk of late delivery, lead time: ordering -> receiving an order)
Note
Total annual Total annual demand
¿ Number of order per period × Cost of each order=
D
ordering cost Order ¿ ×Cost of each order= ×F ¿
Q
C 1 :carrying costs per unit
Q+ 0
Total carrying cost ¿ Carrying costs per unit per period × Average inventory level ( ¿ units )=c 1 × Q + 0: 0 chính là khi cuối kỳ kho hết
2
hàng
17
Q
C 1= ×c 1
2
với C 1: total carrying cost; c 1: carrying
D Q cost per unit (C = c 1)
The total cost (TC) ¿ c2 × +c 1 × =C 2 +C 1
Q 2 D
C 2= ×c 2
Q
với C 2: total fixed cost of reordering; c 2:
cost of each order (F = c 2)
√ √
Economic order 2 DF 2 D c2 Q: size of inventory
EOQ=Q¿ = =
quantity C c1 D: total annual demand
Qn Qn=D : annual demand
Reorder point Q đh=n ×
360 n: số ngày chờ đặt hàng
Working capital
¿ Estimated ( AR+ Inventory− AP ) + Desired level of cash balance
requirements
Operating cycle
Receivables management
Payables management
Annual rate of
¿ Residual value of FA × Depreciation rate accelerated
depreciation of FA
Accelerated
depreciation rate ¿ Rate of depreciation by straight line method × Adjustment coefficient
(%)
Rate of
Adjusted reducing balance method
depreciation by 1
¿
straight line số năm khấu hao
method
t ≤ 4 years => 1,5
Adjustment
4 years<t ≤ 6 years => 2,0
coefficient (time)
t >6 years => 2,5
Annual rate of Method of depreciation based on
¿ Amount of products yearly made × Averagerate of depreciation for aunit of product
depreciation of FA volume
Average rate of ¿ Primary price of ¿ assets ¿ Output by design capacity: sản lượng
Output by designcapacity
depreciation for a theo công suất thiết kế dự tính
19
unit of product
20