Population Projection for 2031 Proposed Residential Planning Areas

From Primary Survey From Voter List

The zone is divided into several
Growth Rate of Population = 9.7% Growth Rate of Population = 10.13%
residential planning areas to
Future Population (2031) = 22774 + Future Population (2031) = 22774 +
facilitate better distribution of
9.7% Growth rate 10.13% Growth rate facilities and services. These
= 66955 = 68914 residential planning areas are
divided on the basis of population,
Using the mean population from both data sets, we can project the population for the year 2031
ward boundaries and road
i.e 68000, which is based on the current growth trends in the zone.
network.
To propose the population there are two scenarios, which are: From the existing gross residential densities and the considering the direction of growth of the city, RPAs 1, 2, 3,
1. Based on the Population Estimated (Around 68000) 4, 7 and 8 have been considered as priority areas and the proposals will also be focused in these areas.
2. Based on the Master Plan 2031 (83000)
The failure to progress with the proposed projects outlined in the master plan could result in the
Proposed Densities Projected Projected
Existing Densities RPA Population Density Population Density
population falling short of the projected figures specified in the master plan for the year 2031.
1 4850 15.07 10400 30 -40
2 8825 30.17 10800 35 - 45
3 9510 77.46 10700 85 - 95
4 9920 140.55 10200 140-150
5 1050 6.97 1000 5 - 10
6 2300 7.64 2700 5 - 15
7 6151 32.03 9500 45 - 55
Proposed Densities 8 4847 19.18 9700 35 -45
9 2120 4.68 2700 5 - 10
Allocated Residential
Transport Nagar land lying vacant High Density (>60 ppH)
project in initial stage Medium Density (30 - 60 ppH)
Hence, it is proposed that the projected population for Zone A in the year 2031 will be 68,000. Low Density (<30 ppH)
With a growth rate of 4.55% per year.
In the upcoming years, with the current growth rate, the population of the zone is projected to Keeping in priority the Residential Planning Areas 1, 2, 3, 4, 7 and 8; densities of these areas will
reach 100,000 by the year 2040. Looking ahead to the next master plan in 2051, the estimated increase, these are decided based on the demand of development.
population is anticipated to be 160,000.
Employment Sector Distribution
Income Group Distribution The existing employment distribution differs significantly from the envisaged distribution outlined in the
At zonal level, only the distribution of income groups can be estimated, with the proposal at Master Plan 2031. Without any substantial changes in the area, the employment distribution is
master plan level. But because of lack of provision for zonal level in the master plan, at zonal anticipated to remain relatively consistent between the current state and the proposed distribution.
level we proposed that the income group distribution would remain the same for the year 2031. Current Proposed in Master plan 2031 Proposed
Employment Sector
Income Groups Income per month (As per PMAY) Primary 12.50 5 10

EWS <25,000 Secondary 10.42 23 12.92

LIG 25,000 to 50,000 Tertiary 77.08 72 77.08

-
MIG and Above 50,000 to 1,00,000 for MIG I The proposed increase in the number of industries in RIICO Area, and new household industries would
>1,00,000 for MIG II be the reason for the change in the secondary sector. With reduction in agricultural land leading to
change in primary sector.
III YEAR SHEET NO.
ZONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2031 Manas Sehgal
Zone A - Dausa, Rajasthan, Proposal
Demography DEMOGRAPHIC PROPOSALS Puli Jeevan Bhaskar
V SEMESTER
B. PLANNING 21-25 9.1.1