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Quaternary International, Vol. 43144, pp. 25-3 1, 1997.

Copyright 0 1997 INQUA/ Elsevier Science Ltd


- -P&ted in Great Britain. All rights reserved.
PII: S1040-6182(97)00017-7 1040-6182/97 $32.00

THE CLIMATE OF MEXICO SINCE THE AZTEC PERIOD

Sarah L. O’Hara* and Sarah E. Metcalfet


*Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, SlO 2TN, U.K.
tDepartment of Geography, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH8 9XP, U.K.

Fluctuations in the climate of Mexico since the Aztec period (1345-1994) are established using a variety of primary and secondary
historical sources. Drought conditions prevailed when the Aztecs entered the Basin of Mexico, but the climate became wetter shortly after
this time and the period 1345-1640 appears to have been relatively wet. From 1640 to 1915 the country experienced a s,eries of prolonged
and devastating droughts which were extremely severe in the mid to late 1700s and the late 1800s. This interval coincides with periods of
adverse weather conditions elsewhere in the world and may represent the period of the Little Ice Age. Since the early 1900s there has been a
shift towards somewhat wetter conditions in Mexico. Variations in precipitation over this period can be explained by changes in the strength
of the summer monsoon. 0 1997 INQUA/ Elsevier Science Ltd

INTRODUCTION CONTEMPORARY MEXIC4N CLIMATE

During the past few decades much attention has Mexico lies in the tropics and sub-tropics. between
focused on climatic change with a dramatic volume of 32” and 19” N (Fig. 1). It is considered to be
literature devoted to this issue. Traditionally, investiga- climatically sensitive (Kutzbach and Street-Perrott,
tions have concentrated at two very different time scales: 1985; Liverman, 1993) and has experienced changes in
studies of long-term climatic fluctuations inferred from the climate on both long (Bradbury, 1989; Metcalfe
geological, geomorphological and palaeolimnological et al., 1991; Lozano-Garcia et ~i!t., 1993) and short
investigations, and short-term, recent climatic change as (Garcia, 1974; Jauregui and Klaus, 1976; Jauregui,
inferred from instrumental records. While such investiga- 1979) time scales. At the present time the country
tions have added substantially to our understanding of comes under the influence of two major features of
climate change there is growing recognition that if we are the atmospheric circulation: the Trade winds and the
to understand more fully the complexities of climate sub-tropical high pressure belt. ,4 third feature, the
change there is a need to reconstruct long term, yet Westerlies, affects the north western part of the country
temporally detailed climate histories. One method of during the northern hemisphere winter. The present
achieving this is to use historical records as a form of day distribution of precipitation throughout the year is
proxy climate data. The potential of historical records for primarily influenced by seasonalshifts in the latitudes
reconstructing past climates has been known for some of these major circulation features. During the northern
time (Le Roy Ladurie, 1972; Lamb, 1982), but it is only hemispheresummer the Intertropical Convergence Zone
recently that their importance has become more widely (ITCZ) moves north accompanied by the semi perma-
recognised (Bradley and Jones, 1992; Diaz and Markgraf, nent Bermuda Azores and the East Pacific highs
1992). To date climatic reconstructions based on (Fig. la). The flow brings the main rains to the country
historical information have tended to be geographically between April and October in a monsoon-type circula-
specific, so whereas there is a considerable amount of tion. A drier period called the canicula, often interrupts
information pertaining to North America and Northern the rainy seasonduring August becauseof the tempor-
Europe, relatively little information is available for the ary disruption of the easterly flows across the country.
tropics, interior Asia and the southern continents (Bradley The length of the can&da is very important in
and Jones, 1992). determining whether rainfall is above or below average
In this paper evidence is drawn from a number of for any particular year (Toledo, 1980).
primary and secondary sources to provide a reconstruc- In the northern hemisphere winter, the ITCZ is
tion of changes in the climate of Mexico over the last 600 displaced equatorwards and the country comes under
years. While the period of direct meteorological observa- the influence of the sub-tropical high pressurebelt with
tions in Mexico is short, there are abundant proxy data westerly flows aloft (Fig. lb). This results in stable dry
which provide an opportunity for reconstructing climatic conditions over much of the country. In the late winter
conditions in the central part of the country over the last and early spring depressionscalled equipatas can cause
few centuries (Florescano, 1980; Swan, 1981; Metcalfe, precipitation primarily in the north western part of the
1987; Butzer and Butzer, 1993; O’Hara, 1993). country, and outbreaks of cold polar air, nortes, which
25
Sarah L. O’Hara and Sarah E. Metcalfe

tions applying only to periods of abnormal rainfall levels.


In 1826 regular reports of temperature and precipitation
appearedin the Mexico City newspaperEl Sol (Metcalfe,
1987), but the longest single record for Mexico comes
from the Tacubaya Observatory which started collecting
data in 1884. The establishmentof the Central Meteor-
ological Observatory in 1877 saw the more widespread
introduction of meteorological stations throughout the
country (Jauregui, 1979), but data collection at many of
these sites was interrupted by civil unrest during the
revolution (1917). In 1921 the Servicio Meteorologico de
Mexico was established with 600 monitoring sites
throughout the country. Despite the subsequentexpansion
of this network, meteorological stations are still sparsein
some areas particularly in the arid north and remote
mountain areas.

HISTORICAL SOURCES OF CLIMATE


INFORMATION IN MEXICO

There are a variety of historical sourceswhich can be


- Warm front Line of wave at
ztrnmx I.T.C.Z. usedto reconstruct climate conditions of Mexico over the
- Cold front - - 500 mb
- Flow at 500 mb A Anticyclonic flow C Gyclonic flow recent past. Some of the oldest source materials are the
few remaining codices and relaciones which provide
FIG. 1. (a} Schematic map of the major features of the atmospheric
circulation during summer. (b) Schematic map of the major features of information on Mexico from the period immediately prior
the atmospheric circulation during winter. to and after the Conquest. The relaciones, written after
the Spanish Conquest, were generally compiled by
members of incoming religious orders, with the help of
occur during the winter months, can bring rains as far
local informants, and provide an insight into the
south as the Yucatan.
historical, economic, political and geographical aspects
Variations in the zonality of the atmospheric circula-
of different parts of Mexico. The reliability of these
tion are of major importance for the climate of Mexico.
diverse sources differs considerably and there is a
With highly zonal flows in the upper westerlies, and the
tendency for events to be described in very biblical
ITCZ well to the north during the summer months, strong
terms. Fr. Diego Duran (1570), for example, noted that
trade winds flow across all of Mexico resulting in above
during the floods of 1499 Mexico City was inundated for
average rainfall (Wallen, 1955). When the area is
40 days. When events are referred to in two or more
characterised by meridional flow blocking the penetration
documents, the evidence would appear to be more
of moist tropical air associated with the summer
credible. However, the propensity of many early biogra-
monsoon, dry conditions prevail. In winter, meridional
phers to plagiarise should not be underestimatedand data
flow results in more frequent incursions of nortes from
from these sourcesshould be used with extreme caution.
North America with unusually low temperatures, and late
Although details of climatic conditions after the
and early frosts. Meridional conditions also block the
Conquest are more readily available than for the earlier
westerlies resulting in dry conditions in the North of
period, they generally refer to years when abnormal
Mexico. Thus, changes in the strength of these different
conditions prevailed. Gibson (1964), for example, noted
atmospheric features have important consequences for the
that within any one year there was a cycle in prices for
prevailing climate.
maize reflecting seasonalavailability. The normal cycle
was repeatedly upset by adverse weather conditions,
INSTRUMENTAL CLIMATE RECORDS IN particularly with respect to temperature and precipitation.
MEXICO In years of above normal rainfall, the harvest was
generally bountiful and prices remained low. When
The earliest description of the climate of Mexico was drought conditions prevailed the maize harvest was often
that of Francisco Hernandez written in the 167Os, significantly reduced, the effects of drought being more
although the first systematic records were not made until pronounced in those years when frost occurred early in
the 1760s when Felipe de Zufiiga y Ontiveros and the growing season.
Antonio Alzate compiled tables of climatic conditions The close relationship between climate and crop
(Zufiiga y Ontiveros, unpublished data; Alzate, 1831). In production is highlighted by a number of factors, such
general people did not tend to measure temperature and as images associatedwith rainfall which have played a
the records that remain of rainfall from the time of the very important role in both pre- and post-Hispanic
Conquest until the late 1800s occur as casual observa- societies. Like the Aztecs, who made offerings to the
The climateof Mexico sincethe Aztec period 27

god Tlaloc for plentiful rain in the growing season,the details of the position of the shore which allow the level
Spanishresorted to making appealsto religious images,A of the lake at specific times to be determined.
particularly important figure was the Virgin of 10s Additional information on shoreline location is avail-
Remedios whose statue was moved to the Metropolitan able for those places where the Spanish crown required
Cathedral in the centre of Mexico City during periods of that detailed records be made of land associated with
crisis. The decision to move the statue was not taken indigenous villages. In the 1780s for example, it was
lightly and involved discussionsbetween secular and decreed that villagers were to have sole use of the land
ecclesiastical authorities and the reasonfor transferral of 600 varas (505 m) in all directions from their local
the image stated. When the rains failed, appeals were church. These measures were taken to protect the
made to the statueand on occasionswhen the drought was indigenous people from hacienda o’wnerswho often took
severe,the statue was taken to the cathedral and remained land from villagers for their own purposes. In those
there until the rains arrived. instanceswhere there was a natural barrier, such asa lake,
A number of investigations have usedthe link between the distance from the church to the. lake shore would be
climate and agriculture as a meansof inferring climate stated, allowing the position of the shore to be
conditions over the colonial period. Information on crop determined.
yields and prices have been used by Florescano (1969,
1980) to determine periods of below average rainfall.
Adopting a slightly different approach, Swan (1981) used THE CLIMATE OF MEXICO SINCE THE AZTEC
the correspondencebetween hacienda administrators and PERIOD
owners to highlight the severity of climatic conditions in
central Mexico between 1784 and 1812. Unfortunately While there are considerable and varied sources of
such investigations in Mexico are rare. evidence for reconstructing recent climatic change in
Another potential source of proxy climate data is Mexico, the majority of information that is readily
the evidence of lake level fluctuations. Lakes in central accessible relates to the Basin of Mexico and its
Mexico are known to fluctuate in responseto climatic immediate environs. The basin hlas a long history of
change over the long term (Metcalfe ef al., 1994). Over human occupation and has been an important focus for
the historical period lake level changes are indicated human settlement at various times over the last 6000-
by a variety of sources;relative changescan be inferred 7000 years (Sanderset al., 1979). The Aztecs or Mexica,
from maps and paintings as well as contemporary amongst the best known of the Mesoamerican cultures,
descriptions and, as O’Hara (1993) has demonstrated,it settled in the Basin around 1345, apparently entering the
is also possible to reconstruct quite detailed lake level basin as part of a southwards migration of nomadic
curves using historical evidence. Such data are available Chichimeca escaping drought conditions in the north of
because lake basins throughout Mexico have provided the country. Reference to adverse weather conditions are
important foci for settlement during both the pre- made in a number of documents concerning the Aztec
and post-Conquest periods (Sanders et al., 1979; period. Wet conditions appearto have set in shortly after
Metcalfe, 1987). The shallow nature of many of these the arrival of the Aztecs. In the Anales de Tlatelolco, for
lakes results in considerable changes in the shoreline example, it is stated that after year four of the reign of
when lake levels change. Whenever prolonged rains Acamapichtli (ca. 1382), the city was inundated for 4
occur, lake levels rise and low lying areas are inun- years as a result of heavy rains. Moriarty (1968)
dated. Flooding within the Basin of Mexico, for concluded that a seriesof extreme wet seasonsoccurred
example, was often so severe that the city would remain between 1440 and 1450 leading to the partial destruction
inundated for years. In the 17th century it was of Tenochtitlan (now Mexico City). Following devastat-
suggestedby a Spaniard that founding the city in such a ing floods in 1449, the Aztecs began constructing a
flood prone area had been a mistake (Cepeda de number dykes (including the dyke of Netzahualcoyolt ca.
Carrillo, 1637 in Niederberger, 1987). During both the 1450) which were primarily designed to limit flood
pre- and post-Conquest period efforts were made to damagein the area. The wet years of the 1440sappearto
reduce the effects of flooding in the Basin of Mexico. have been followed by a number of years of acute food
These efforts took the form of the construction of flood shortages. According to the Codice Ramirez, a severe
protection schemes and the diversion of water away drought began in the year Uno-Conejo (ca. 1451) which
from the basin. The controversy surrounding such works lasted three years, during which time “not a drop of rain
is well documented and numerousreferences to hydrau- fell” and the rivers and springsdried up (cited in Musset,
lic works affecting Mexico City are available (for 1992). This drought also coincided with other anomalous
example, see Musset, 1992). Although information weather conditions, such as severe snow stormsand frost,
about hydraulic works on other basins is not so readily resulting in total destruction of the maize crop and
available, reference to such work can be found in widespreadfamine.
regional archives. While rising lake levels result in 10s~ Evidence of fluctuations in the levels of the lakes
of land, at other times large areas of land bordering occupying the Basin of Mexico in the period immediately
a lake would be uncovered as lake levels fell. Legal prior to the Conquest is provided by Linne (1948) who
disputes often followed the exposure of new land and concluded that lake levels rose in the late 1400sbefore
the documents relating to these frequently give accurate declining in the early 1500sand rising again from 1517
28 Sarah L. O’Hara and Sarah E. Metcalfe

onwards. At the time of the Conquest (1521) the level of A return to wetter conditions occurred in the first
the lake in the Basin of Mexico had risen to such a level decade of the 17th century during which time Mexico
that Cortez had to construct boats for his assault on City experienced severe flooding on two occasions: 1604
Tenochtitlan (Diaz de1 Castillo, 1908-1916). Evidence and 1607 (Rojas et al., 1974). The flooding of 1607 was
from elsewherein Mexico also indicates that this period SO severethat a canal was excavated through the northern
was characterised by wetter conditions, O’Hara (1993) part of the basin; the first step in the general drainage
reports that Lake Patzcuaro, in the state of Michoacan, (Desague) of the Basin of Mexico. Starting in 1616,
stood at a very high level in 1522, a level that has not however, drought conditions once again prevailed
been reached at any other time following the Conquest. culminating in one of the most severe droughts of the
The wet conditions at the rime of the Conquest were post Conquestperiod in 1624. Appeals were made to the
followed by a series of drier years, with indigenous Virgin of Los Remedioson four occasions (1618, 1621,
people reporting that precipitation regimes had changed 1623 and 1624), although her image was not removed to
considerably within the first generation of the Spanish the city, but in 1629 following a period of above average
from 60-80 days a year to 30-40 days (Gibson, 1964). rains, Mexico City experienced what is considered to be
Drier conditions at this time are also indicated by falling the worst flooding since the Conquestresulting in the city
lake levels in the Basin of Mexico which occurred from being under water for almost five years (Musset, 1992).
1524 onwards. The 1540s also appear to have been Apart for minor flooding in 1674 and 1707, and heavy
characterisedby dry conditions, Butzer and Butzer (1993) rains in 1691, the period from 1640 to 1720 was generally
noting that Lake Cuitzeo, Guanajuato actually dried up in characterised by drought, with extremely severe condi-
1543, while Gibson (1964) reports that the mid- 1540swas tions in 1641, 1661, 1663 and 1692 (Gibson, 1964;
a period characterisedby food shortages. Florescano, 1969). The severity of drought during this
By the early 155Os, the climate of central Mexico period is indicated by the fact that the image of the Virgin
appearsto have been somewhat wetter with the intense of Los Remedios was taken to the cathedral in Mexico
rains of 1555 resulting in widespread devastation in City in 1641, 1642, 1653, 1663, 1667, and 1668. In 1692
Mexico City. By the end of the decade, however, dry the image was brought to the cathedral and remained
conditions once again prevailed with drought associated there until 1695. Crop yields in 1695 were disastrouswith
with locust plagues in 1557, 1558 and 1559 (Gibson, severe food shortagesin Mexico City. This problem was
1964). Evidence from the Basin of Patzcuaro during this compounded by frosts in September (early in the maize
period is also indicative of a dry period with referencesto growing season)causing food shortagesto continue into
declining lake levels. In the ‘Proceso contra Don Pedro, 1696 (Gibson, 1964).
Gobemador de Cirostro 1560-1564’ (The case against The gradual decline in the level of Lake Patzcuaro over
Don Pedro, Governor of Cirostro, 1560-1564), for the late 17th-early 18th century is a further indication that
example, it is stated that: “...the said iands were lake, dry conditions characterisedcentral Mexico over this time
and that when it dried he ploughed them up...” (Lydia interval (O’Hara, 1993). In the 176Os,however, the lake
Espinoza, pers. commun., 1989). In another document registered a rapid increasein level which appearsto have
referring to a land dispute between the people of the been associatedwith a period of above normal rainfall
island of La Pacanda and the heirs of Juan Paruata and which also causedchaos in Mexico City with extensive
Beatriz de Castilleja dating to the period 1609-1612 it is flooding in the area (Gibson, 1964).
stated that the level of the lake (Patzcuaro) had dropped A return of drought conditions in 1768 was heraldedby
following the death of Antonio Huitzimengari in 1562. high prices and shortagesof maize, which continued to
A seriesof mapsthat date from the period 1576-1594 affect the area for the next 45 years. During this period
have been used by Butzer and Butzer (1993) to infer one of the most severe famines in the history of Mexico
changes in the climate in west-central Mexico over the occurred. The year of great hunger, as it is known,
latter part of the 16th century. Thesemapsall depict Lake covered the period 1785-6, when frost early in the
Cuitzeo and clearly indicate that the lake fluctuated growing season was followed by prolonged drought
considerably over this period. The lake was high between resulting in the almost complete loss of the harvest.
1576 and 1587, but by 1590 had shrunk markedly, drying According to Swan (1981) the correspondencebetween
out completely in 1591 and recovering somewhat by the administrator and owner of the Haciendaof Molino de
1595. This suggeststhat conditions were relatively wet in Flores, located near Lake Texcoco in the Basin of
the late 157Os-early 158Os,becoming drier in the latter Mexico, suggeststhat there was a marked change in
part of the 158Os+&y 1590s.The 1590sappear to have precipitation regimes between the 1770s and 1780s.
been a period of very severe drought conditions Whereas rains occurred from July to November in the
throughout Mexico. Gibson (1964) reports that drought mid-late 1770sthey only came from August to October
associatedwith frost occurred in 1594, 1597and 1599 and by the 1780s.
that central Mexico experienced plagues of locusts in Maize prices at the turn of the 19th century indicate
1592. This period of severe drought appearsto have been that adverse weather conditions still prevailed in the area
widespread as tree ring records from northern Mexico and that times were difficult. Drought continued in the
also suggest that this region was subject to very dry first decadeof the 19th century, intensifying significantly
conditions during the last decade of the 1500s (O’Hara in the years 1808-181 I, causing acute agricultural
and Metcalfe, 1995). hardship for both crops and livestock. Considering the
The climate of Mexico since the Aztec period 29

conditions of extreme deprivation experienced by the Mexico, the country as a whole appears to have been
largeiy impoverished Mexican population it is hardly affected by severe drought conditions resulting in the
surprising that they chose this time to revolt against their southwards migration of different cultural groups from
colonial oppressors and respond to Hidalgo’s call for the more arid northern parts of Mexico. While there is
independence. evidence that periods of severe drought occurred during
Periods of prolonged drought over the 17th and 18th the Aztec period (1345-1522), it seems that this time
centuries had a considerable impact on the levels of the interval was relatively wet. A number of documents refer
lakes in the Basin of Mexico. Whereas at the time of the to flooding and heavy rains and there are various
Conquest the lakes are said to have covered 60% of the references to the implementation of flood protection
Basin, when Humboldt visited the area in the early 19th schemes. Certainly the decades immediately prior to the
century he concluded that this had decreased to a mere Spanish Conquest were very wet, with reference to
10% (Humboldt, 18 11). Although this decline may in part prolonged rains and high lake levels in both the Basins of
have reflected engineering works in the basin, climate Mexico and Patzcuaro. The generally wetter conditions
will undoubtedly have been an important control. The over the Aztec period may be indicative of increased
diminished lake area had considerable effects on the precipitation associated with a strengthening of the
distribution of population within the Basin. The wide- summer monsoon.
spread desiccation resulted in the depopulation of the A shift to slightly drier conditions occurred after the
northern drier part of the basin, with the most populous Conquest, with the period 1521-1640 characterised by
barrios (settlements) situated near the remaining vestiges short episodes of severe drought interspersed with series
of the lakes. of wetter years. The occurrence of drought with frost
Following the War of Independence (1821), Mexico suggests that the country was under the influence of a
experienced prolonged periods of civil unrest, and records more meridional circulation with increased incursions of
for this period are not readily available. Although Mexico nortes and suppression of the monsoon. The climate,
City was flooded in 1819, 1855 and 1875 as a result of however, appears to have been relatively variable at this
severe rains, Florescano (1980) concluded that the 19th time and while the drought was at times severe, such
century was relatively dry. In 1823-24 and again in 1834- episodes were relatively short lived. This situation
35, the severity of the drought was such that the Yucatan changed by the 1640s and the period 1640-1915 was
was declared a disaster zone. By the mid-1850s, Lake dominated by conditions of drought which intensified
Patzcuaro dropped to the lowest level recorded in the 600 during the mid- to late-1700s and the late- 1800s. During
years from 1380 (O’Hara, 1993), indicating that condi- this entire time interval the country was plagued by
tions were very dry during this period. successive crop failures and famines leading to extreme
From 1884 onwards, instrumental records of precipita- hardship for the population of the country as a whole.
tion are available. Following several years of above This period of adverse weather conditions in Mexico
average rainfall after 1878, the area experienced severe coincides with the Little Ice Age which in Mexico
drought conditions in the early 1890s. According to appears to have been dominated by the prolonged
Jauregui (1979) intense drought affected central and blocking of the monsoon and an increase in the incidence
northern Mexico between 1892 and 1896. This period of of nortes.
summer drought was accompanied by very cold winters. Since 1915 Mexico has experienced a shift to slightly
The area continued to receive below average rainfall until wetter conditions, although during this time interval there
1915. The extremity of the drought resulted in widespread have been periods when rainfall totals have been below
food shortages and was a contributing factor to the normal (Jauregui, 1979). A general trend of a series of
Mexican Civil War. After 1915 the climate ameliorated a wetter years, followed by a slightly drier episode, appears
little, with a peak of wetter conditions in the 1920s. The to be very similar to conditions experienced in the country
1940s and early 1950s were again dry, particularly 1944- in the immediate post-Conquest period. Such conditions
46. Wetter conditions returned at the end of the 1950s and are indicative of a strengthening of the monsoon
rainfall totals for the period 1966-70 were amongst the especially during the 1920s and late-1960s.
highest ever recorded in Mexico City (Metcalfe, 1987). Fluctuations in the climate of Mexico over the last 600
The 1970s and 1980s saw a general decline in rainfall years can be explained in terms of changes in the strength
amount with a number of successive years of drought. of the monsoon; with drier episodes being associated with
During the early part of the 1990s this trend appears to the suppression of the monsoon, the Bermuda High lying
have been reversed with rainfall levels once again above well to the east and the southwards displacement of the
normal. ITCZ (Douglas, 1982). It is evident, however, that the
climate of Mexico is extremely complex, with factors
such as the seasonality of precipitation, the incidence of
DISCUSSION tropical storms and the occurrence of ENS0 events
dictating the spatial and temporal distribution of pre-
Drawing together the information from different cipitation (Cavaroz and Hastenrath, 1990). Significant
historical sources it is possible to reconstruct climatic differences in the climate between north and central
conditions of central Mexico since the Aztec period Mexico, for example, have been noted. This was
(Fig. 2). When the Aztecs first entered the Basin of particularly true of the late 1600s and the 1940s when
30 Sarah L. O’Hara and Sarah E. Metcalfe

J.
I
I

I
I
I
The climate of Mexico since the Aztec period 31

central Mexico suffered extreme drought, but it would Florescano, E. (1980). Una historia olvidada: La sequia en Mexico.
Nexos, 32, 9-18.
appear that northern Mexico was relatively wet (O’Hara Garcia, E. (1974). Situaciones climaticas durante el auge y la caida de la
and Metcalfe, 1995). One possible explanation for this cultura teotihuacana. Boletin de1 Znstituto de Geograjia, UNAM, 5,
lies in the effects of El Nifio which can result in extra late 35-69.
Gibson, C. (1964). The Aztecs under Spanish Rule. Stanford University
autumn precipitation in northern Mexico (Diaz and Press, 657 pp.
Kiladis, 1992) and high mean annual precipitation in this Humboldt, A. Von (1811). Essai politique sur le Royaume de la
area. In contrast, central Mexico, which rarely receives Nouvelle Espagne, avec un atlas physique et ge’ographique fond6 sur
les observations astronomiques, des Mesures trigonom&riques et des
significant amounts of winter rain, experiences drought Nivellements barome’triques. 4 Vols., Paris.
(O’Hara and Metcalfe, in preparation). Jauregui, E. and Klaus, D. (1976). Some aspects of climate fluctuations
Historical records clearly provide a valuable insight in Mexico in relation to drought. Geofisica Zntemacional, 16, 45-6 1.
Jauregui, O.E. (1979). Algunos aspectos de las fluctuaciones pluviome-
into variations in the climate of Mexico over the recent tricas en Mexico en 10s hltimos cien silos. Boletin de1 Znstituto de
past. The record presented here provides a framework, Geograjia, UNAM, 9, 3944.
albeit incomplete, of such changes since the Aztec period. Kutzbach, J.E. and Street-Perrott, F.A. (1985). Milankovitch forcing of
fluctuations in the level of tropical lakes from 18 to 0 kyr BP. Nature,
In highlighting the importance of such information
317, 13c134.
sources it is evident that regional availability and Lamb, H.H. (1982). Climate, History and the Modem World. Methuen,
reliability of these data may prove problematic and that London, 387 pp.
Le Roy Ladurie, E. (1972). Times of Feast, Times of Famine - a History
the complexities of the Mexican climate must be taken
of the Climates Since the Year 1000. George Allen and Unwin,
into account when attempting to compare climate records London, 426 pp.
from diverse sources over the historical period. In Linne, S. (1948). El valle y !a ciudad de Mexico en 1550. Stockholm,
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Liverman, D. (1993). The regional impact of global warming in Mexico:
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Urrutia-Fuccauchi, J. (1993). Late Pleistocene and Holocene
have on the palaeolimnological record, it will be possible palaeoenvironments of Lake Chalco, central Mexico. Quaternary
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