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Elementary Statistics A Step Step

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Elementary Statistics A Brief 6th Edition Bluman


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Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

Note to instructors: Graphs are not to scale 6.


and are intended to convey a general idea. Gaussian distribution and bell curve
Answers are generated using Table E.
Answers generated using the TI calculator
7.
will vary slightly. Some TI calculator
The area is found by looking up D œ 1Þ!( in
answers are shown.
Table E and subtracting 0.5.
Area œ 0.)577  0.5 œ 0.3577
EXERCISE SET 6-1

1.
The characteristics of the normal
distribution are:
0 1.07
a. It is bell-shaped.
b. It is symmetric about the mean.
8.
c. The mean, median, and mode are equal.
The area is found by looking up D œ 1.77 in
d. It is continuous. Table E and subtracting 0.5.
e. It never touches the X-axis. Area œ 0.9616  0.5 œ 0.4616
f. The area under the curve is equal to 1.
g. It is unimodal.
h. About 68% of the area lies within 1
standard deviation of the mean, about 95%
within 2 standard deviations, and about 0 1.77
99.7% within 3 standard deviations of the
mean. 9.
The area is found by looking up D œ "Þ*$ in
2. Table E and subtracting 0.5.
Many variables are normally distributed, Area œ 0.9732  0.5 œ !Þ%($#
and the distribution can be used to
describe these variables.

3.
1 or 100%. 0 "Þ*$

4. 10.
50% of the area lies below the mean, and The area is found by looking up D œ  0.32
50% lies above the mean. in Table E and subtracting from 0.5.
Area œ 0.5  0.3745 œ 0.1255
5.
68%, 95%, 99.7%

 0.32 0

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109
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

11. 15.
The area is found by looking up D œ 0.$7 The area is found by looking up the values
in Table E and subtracting from 1. 1.09 and 1.83 in Table E and subtracting the
Area œ 1  0.6%%$ œ 0.3&&( areas.
Area œ 0.9664  0.8621 œ 0.1043

0 0.$(
1.09 1.83
12.
The area is found by looking up D œ 2.01 16.
in Table E and subtracting from 1. The area is found by looking up the values
Area œ 1  0.9778 œ 0.0222 1.23 and 1.90 in Table E and subtracting the
areas.
Area œ 0.9713  0.8907 œ 0.0806

0 2.01

13. 0 1.23 1.90


The area is found by looking up D œ  1.87
in Table E.
17.
Area œ 0.0$!(
The area is found by looking up the
values  "Þ%' and  "Þ(( in Table E and
subtracting the areas.
Area œ !Þ!(#"  !Þ!$)% œ !Þ!$$(

 1.)( 0

14.
The area is found by looking up D œ  0.75  1.((  1.%6 0
in Table E.
Area œ 0.2266
18.
The area is found by looking up the values
 0.96 and  0.36 in Table E and
subtracting the areas.
Area œ 0.3594  0.1685 œ 0.1909
 0.75 0

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110
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

18. continued 22.


The area is found by looking up 1.31 in
Table E. Area œ 0.9049

 0.96  0.36 0

0 1.31
19.
The area is found by looking up the values
 1.46 and  1.98 in Table E and 23.
subtracting the areas. The area is found by looking up  0.1)
Area œ 0.0721  0.0239 œ 0.0482 in Table E and subtracting it from 1.
1  0.%#)' œ !Þ&("%

 1.98  1.46 0
 0.") 0

20.
The area is found by looking up the values 24.
 1.12 and 0.24 and subtracting the areas. The area is found by looking up 1.92
Area œ 0.5948  0.1314 œ 0.4634 in Table E and subtracting the area from
1. Area œ 1  0.0274 œ 0.9726

 1.12 0 0.24
 1.92 0

21.
The area is found by looking up "Þ"# in 25.
Table E. Area œ !Þ)')' For z œ  0.44, the area is 0.3300. For
z œ 1.92, the area is 1  0.9726 œ
0.0274 Area œ 0.3300  0.0274 œ
0.3574

0 "Þ"#

 0.44 0 1.92

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111
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

26. 31.
For z œ  2.15, the area is 0.0158. For Area œ 1  !Þ**!" œ !Þ!!**
z œ 1.62, the area is 1  0.9474 œ
0.0526 Area œ 0.0158  0.0526 œ
0.0684

0 #Þ$$

32.
 2.15 0 1.62 Area œ 1  0.7939 œ 0.2061

27.
Area œ !Þ)#)*  !Þ& œ !Þ$#)*

0 0.82

33.
0 0.9& Area œ !Þ!'&&

28.
Area œ 0.9750  0.5 œ 0.4750

 "Þ&" 0

34.
0 1.69 Area œ 0.0384

29.
Area œ 0.5  !Þ!)$) œ !Þ%"'#

 1.77 0

35.
 "Þ$) 0
Area œ 0.9699  0.0192 œ 0.9507

30.
Area œ 0.5  0.1093 œ 0.3907

 2.07 0 1.88

 1.23 0

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112
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

36. 41.
Area œ 0.9406  0.4207 œ 0.5199 Since the D score is on the left side of 0, use
the negative D table. Areas in the negative
D table are in the tail, so we will use
0.5  0.4175 œ 0.0825 as the area. The
closest D score corresponding to an area of
 0.20 0 1.56 0.0825 is D œ  1.39.
(TI answer œ  1.3885)

37.
Area œ 0.9845  0.9947 œ 0.0428 42.
Since the D score is on the right side of 0,
use the positive D score table. Areas for
positive D scores include the left side of the
curve, which has an area of 0.5. Hence, we
must use 0.5  0.4066 œ 0.9066 as the
0 1.56 2.13
area. The D score corresponding to an area
of 0.9066 is z œ 1.32.
38. (TI answer œ 1.3201)
Area œ 0.9236  0.8686 œ 0.055

43.
D œ  2.08, found by using the negative D
table.
(TI answer œ  2.0792)
0 1.12 1.43

44.
39.
Using the positive D table,
Area œ 0.9222
1  0.0239 œ 0.9761, thus D œ  1.98.
(TI answer œ 1.9791)

45.
Use the negative D table and
0 1.42
1  0.8962 œ 0.1038 for the area. The D
score is D œ  1.26.
40. (TI answer œ  1.2602)
Area œ 1  0.0764 œ 0.9236

46.
D œ  1.84, found by using the positive D
table.
(TI answer œ 1.8398)
 1.43 0

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113
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

47. 50.
a. Using the negative D table, For a middle area of 48%, 24% lies on
area œ 1  0.9887 œ 0.0113. Hence each side of 0. To find the D score on the
D œ  2.28. left side, use area œ0.5 0.24 œ 0.26.
(TI answer œ  2.2801) The D score closest to an area of 0.26 is 
0.64. Since the curve is symmetrical
b. Using the negative D table, about the mean (or center line), the D
area œ 1  0.8212 œ 0.1788. Hence score on the right side is 0.64.
D œ  0.92. (TI answer œ „ 0.6433)
(TI answer œ  0.91995)
51.
c. Using the negative D table, PÐ  "  D  "Ñ œ 0.8413  0.1587
area œ 1  0.6064 œ 0.3936. Hence œ 0.6826
D œ  0.27.
(TI answer œ  0.26995) PÐ  #  D  #Ñ œ 0.9772  0.0228
œ 0.9544 (TI answer œ 0.9545)
48.
a. D œ 0.12 for area œ 0.5478 PÐ  $  D  $Ñ œ 0.9987  0.0013
(TI answer œ 0.1201) œ 0.9974 (TI answer œ 0.9973)

b. D œ 0.52 for area œ 0.6985 They are very close.


(TI answer œ 0.5201)
52.
c. D œ 1.18 for area œ 0.8810 For the 75th percentile D œ 0.67
(TI answer œ 0.6745)
49.
a. For total area œ 0.05, there will be For the 80th percentile D œ 0.84
area œ 0.025 in each tail. The D scores are (TI answer œ 0.8416)
„ 1.96.
(TI answer œ „ 1.95996) For the 92th percentile D œ 1.41
(TI answer œ 1.40507)
b. For total area œ 0.10, there will be
area œ 0.05 in each tail. The D scores are 53.
D œ „ 1.645. For D œ  1.2, area œ 0.1151
(TI answer œ „ 1.64485) Area (left side) œ 0.5  0.1151 œ 0.3849
0.8671  0.3849 œ 0.4822
c. For total area œ 0.01, there will be Area (right side) œ 0.4822  0.5 œ
area œ 0.005 in each tail. The D scores are 0.9822
D œ „ 2.58. For area œ 0.9822, D œ 2.10 Thus,
(TI answer œ „ 2.57583) P(  1.2 D  2.10Ñ œ 0.8671

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114
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

54. 58. continued


For D œ 2.5, area œ 0.9938 (2)#
e e 2
Area (right side) œ 0.9938  0.5 œ 0.4938 For B œ  2, C œ
2
œ
É 21 É6.28
0.7672  0.4938 œ 0.2734
0.1353
Area (left side) œ 0.5  0.2734 œ 0.2266 œ œ 0.05
É6.28
For area œ 0.2266, D œ  0.75
Thus, PÐ  0.75  D  2.5Ñ œ 0.7672 B C
-2.0 0.05
55. -1.5 0.13
For D œ  0.5, area œ 0.3085 -1.0 0.24
0.3085  0.2345 œ 0.074
-0.5 0.35
For area œ 0.074, D œ  1.45
0 0.40
Thus, PÐ  1.45  z   0.5Ñ œ 0.2345
0.5 0.35
For D œ  0.5, area œ 0.3085 1.0 0.24
0.5  0.3085 œ 0.1915 1.5 0.13
0.2345  0.1915 œ 0.043 2.0 0.05
0.5  0.043 œ 0.543
For area œ 0.543, D œ 0.11 0.4

Thus, PÐ  0.5  D  0.11Ñ œ 0.2345 0.3

0.2

0.1
56. 0
0.76 ƒ 2 œ 0.38 on each side. -2 -1 0 1 2

Area (right side) œ 0.5  0.38 œ 0.88


D œ 1.175
59.
Area (left side) œ 0.5  0.38 œ 0.12 Since the area under the curve to the left of
D œ  1.175 D œ #Þ$ and the area under the curve to the
Thus, PÐ  1.175  D  1.175Ñ œ 0.76 right of D œ  "Þ# are overlapping areas,
(TI answer œ „ 1.17499) this covers the entire area under the curve.
Thus, the total area is 1.00.
57.
ÐX0)# X#
/
2(1)#
e
2 60.
yœ œ
1 É 21 É 21 Since the area under the curve to the right
of D œ #Þ$ does not overlap the area to the
58. left of D œ  "Þ#, the area is 0.
Each B value (  2,  1.5, etc.) is
#
e B
2 EXERCISE SET 6-2
substituted in the formula C œ to get
É 21

the corresponding C value. The pairs are 1.


then plotted as shown below. %!  %$Þ(
Dœ "Þ' œ  #Þ$"

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115
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

1. continued 3.
750,000  706,242
P(D <  #Þ$") œ !Þ!"!% or 1.04% a. D œ œ 0.84
52,145

P(D > 0.84) œ 1  0.7995 œ 0.2005 or


20.05% (TI answer œ 0.2007)

 #Þ$" 0

2.
0 0.84
35,000  47,750
a. D œ œ  2.24
5680
600,000  706,242
b. D œ œ  2.04
52,145
45,000  47,750
Dœ œ  0.48
5680 700,000  706,242
Dœ œ  0.12
52,145
P(  2.24 < D <  0.62)
œ 0.3156  0.0125 P(  2.04 < D <0.12) œ 0.4522 
0.0207
P œ 0.3031 or 30.31% (TI answer P œ 0.4315 or 43.15% (TI answer
œ 0.3017) œ 0.4316)

 2.46  0.48  2.04  0.12

40,000  47,750
b. D œ œ  1.36 4.
5680
For the 90th percentile, area œ 0.4 and
P(D >  1.36) œ 1  0.0869 œ 0.9131
D œ 1.28
(TI answer œ 0.91378)
B œ 1.28(92)  1028
B œ 1145.8 or 1146
12001028
For a score of 1200, D œ œ 1.87
92

P(D > 1.87) œ 1  0.9693 œ 0.0307 or


 1.36 3.07%

c. Not too happy! It's really at the bottom


of the heap! 5.
200225
31,000  47,750
a. D œ œ  2.5
10
Dœ œ  2.95
5680
220225
Dœ œ  0.5
10
P(D Ÿ 2.95) œ 0.0016

Only 0.16% of salaries are below $31,000. P(  2.5 < D <  0.5 ) œ
0.3085  0.0062 œ 0.3023 or 30.23%

Copyright © 2018 McGraw-Hill Education.


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116
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

5. continued 6. continued

 2.5  0.5  1.01 0.93

b. D œ  2.5 7.
P(D   2.5) œ 0.0062 or 0.62% a. D œ ")"&
#Þ" œ "Þ%$

P(D > "Þ%$) œ 1  !Þ*#$' œ !Þ!('%


or (.'%% (TI answer œ 0.!('%)

 2.5

6.
a. D œ
1000982
œ 0.1 0 "Þ%$
180

P(D  0.1) œ 1  0.5398 œ 0.4602 or


b. D œ "$"&
#Þ" œ  !Þ*&
46.02%
P(D   !Þ*&) œ !Þ"("" or "(.""%
(TI answer œ 0."("")

0.1

1475982  !.*&
b. D œ œ 2.74
180

P(D  2.74) œ 1  0.9969 8.


œ 0.0031 or 0.31% a. D œ
15,00012,837
œ 1.44
1500

P( D > 1.44) œ 1  0.9251 œ 0.0749 or


7.49%

2.74

800982
c. D œ œ  1.01
180
0 1.44
1150982
Dœ œ 0.93
180
13,00012,837
P(  1.01  D  0.93) œ b. D œ œ 0.11
1500
0.8238  0.1562 œ 0.6676 or 66.76% 14,00012,837
Dœ œ 0.78
1500

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117
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

8. continued 10.
3025
P( 0.11 < D < 0.78) œ 0.7823  0.5438 Dœ œ 0.82
6.1
œ 0.2385 or 23.85%
P(D  0.82) œ 1  0.7939 œ 0.2061 or
20.61%

1825
Dœ œ  1.15
6.1

0.11 0.78 P(D   1.15) œ 0.1251 or 12.51%

9. 11.
For B € 15,000 miles:
10003262
15,00012,494
a. D œ œ  2.06
1100
Dœ œ 1.94
1290
P( D €  2.06) œ 1  0.0197 œ 0.9803 or
P(D  1.94) œ 1  0.9738 œ 0.0262 98.03% (TI answer œ 0.9801)
(TI answer œ 0.02603)

 2.06
0 1.94
40003262
For B  8000 miles: b. D œ œ 0.67
1100

800012,494
Dœ œ  3.48 P( D > 0.67) œ 1  0.7486 œ 0.2514 or
1290
25.14% (TI answer œ 0.2511)
P(D   3.48) œ 0.0003
(TI answer œ 0.00025)

0 0.67

30003262
 3.48 0 c. D œ œ  0.24
1100

For B  6000 miles: P(  0.24 < z < 0.67) œ 0.7486 


0.4052 œ 0.3434 or 34.34%
600012,494
Dœ œ  5.03 (TI answer œ 0.3430)
1290

P(D   5.03) œ 0.0001

Maybe it would be good to know why it


had only been driven less than 6000
miles.  0.24 0.67

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118
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

12. 14.
P(B  $$.00) œ P(D  ?) Dœ
384  225
œ 3.53
45
For area œ 0.15, D œ  1.04
Using D œ P(D  3.53) œ 1  0.9999 œ 0.0001
= :
\\

The probability is less than 0.0001.


$Þ!!  $Þ%#
 1.04 œ
s

 1.04= œ $Þ!!  $Þ%#


 1.04= œ  !Þ%#
= œ !Þ%!$) or ¸ %!.$) cents
0 3.53

13.
15.
a. D œ "%#"$!
& œ #Þ%
7472
a. D œ œ 0.67
3
P(D > 2.4) œ 1  !Þ**") œ !Þ!!)#
6872
(TI answer œ 0.!!)#) Dœ œ  1.33
3

P(  1.33 < D < 0.67) œ


!Þ7486  !Þ0918 œ !Þ6568
(TI answer œ !Þ6568)

0 #Þ%

b. D œ "#&"$!
& œ "

P(D <  ") œ !Þ"&)(


 1.33 0.67
(TI answer œ !Þ"&)()
b.
7072
Dœ œ  0.67
3

P(D   0.67) œ 1  0.2514 œ 0.7486


1 0

c. D œ "$'"$!
&
œ "Þ#
"#)"$!
Dœ & œ  !Þ%
 0.67
P(  !Þ% < D < "Þ#) œ
!Þ))%*  !Þ$%%' œ !Þ&%!$
7572
(TI answer œ !Þ&%!$) c. D œ œ1
3

P(D  1) œ 0.8413

 !Þ% "Þ#

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119
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

16. 19.
P)! corresponds to D œ 0.84 The middle 80% means that 40% of the
area will be on either side of the mean.
For male professors: The corresponding D scores will be
B œ 0.84(5200)  99,685 „ 1.28.
B œ $104,053 B œ  1.28(92)  1810 œ 1692.24 sq. ft.
B œ 1.28(92)  1810 œ 1927.76 sq. ft.
For female professors:
(TI answers: 1927.90 maximum,
B œ 0.84(5200)  90,330
1692.10 minimum)
B œ $94,698

17.
3836
Dœ œ 0.4
5
1692 1810 1928
3236
Dœ œ  0.8
5
20.
P(  0.8 < D < 0.4) œ
The middle 80% means that 40% of the
!Þ6554  !Þ2119 œ !Þ4435
area will be on either side of the mean.
(TI answer œ !Þ4435)
Thus, D œ „ 1.28
B œ  1.28(15,000)  246,300 œ $227,100
B œ 1.28(15,000)  246,300 œ $265,500

 0.8 0.4

18.
The middle 50% means that 25% of the 227,100 246,300 265,500
area will be on either side of the mean.
Thus, area œ 0.25 and D œ „ 0.67. 21.
B œ 0.67(103)  792 œ 861.01 1200949
Dœ œ 2.51
B œ  0.67(103)  792 œ 722.99 100

P( D  2.51) œ 1  0.9940 œ 0.006 or 0.6%


The contributions are between $723
and $861.

0 2.51

$723 $861 For the least expensive 10%, the area is 0.4
on the left side of the curve. Thus,
D œ  1.28.
B œ  1.28(100)  949 œ $821

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120
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

22. 25. continued


The bottom 5% (area) is in the left tail of
For the shortest 30%, the area is 0.30.
the normal curve. The corresponding z
Thus, D œ  0.52.
score is found using area œ 0.05. Thus,
B œ  0.52(1.449)  4.8
D œ  1.645.
B œ 4.047 days or 4.05 days
B œ  1.645(18)  122.6 œ 92.99 or 93
(TI answer œ 4.040)

26.
a. For the top 3%, the area is 0.97.
Thus, D œ 1.88.
92.99 122.6
B œ 1.88(100)  400
B œ 588 minimum score to receive the
23.
award.
The middle 50% means that 25% of
the area will be on either side of the b. For the bottom 1.5%, the area is
mean. The corresponding D scores 0.015. Thus, D œ  2.17.
will be „ 0.67. B œ  2.17(100)  400
B œ  0.67(4)  120 œ 117.32 B œ 183
B œ 0.67(4)  120 œ 122.68 The minimum score needed to avoid
(TI answer: 117.32  .  122.68) summer school is 184 since a score of
183 would be included in the summer
school group.

27.
117.32 120 122.68 The bottom 18% area is 0.18. Thus,
D œ  0.92.
24. B œ  0.92(6256)  24,596 œ $18,840.48
For the oldest 20%, the area is 0.8. (TI answer œ $18,869.48)
Thus, D œ 0.84.
22.8 œ 0.84=  19.4
28.
= œ 4.048 or 4.05 years
For B > 25 gallons:
25  34
Dœ œ  3.33
25. 2.7

For the longest 10%, the area is 0.90. P(D >  3.33) œ 1  0.0004 œ 0.9996
Thus, D œ 1.28 (TI answer œ 0.9996)
Since 5 œ 2.1, 5 œ È#Þ" œ 1.449
#

B œ 1.28(1.449)  4.8
B œ 6.65 or 6.7 days
(TI answer œ 6.657)
25 34

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121
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

28. continued 32.


No. Any subgroup would not be a
For 28  B  30 gallons:
perfect representation of the seniors;
28  34
Dœ œ  2.22 therefore, the mean and standard
2.7

30  34 deviation would be different.


Dœ œ  1.48
2.7

P(  2.22 Ÿ D Ÿ  1.48) 33.


œ 0.0694  0.0132 œ 0.0562 For temperature of at least 85°, area
(TI answer œ 0.0562) is 1  0.05 œ 0.95. Then D œ 1.645
85 œ 1.645=  73
= œ 7.29°

34.
28 30 34 No. The shape of the distributions
would be the same, since D scores are
29. raw scores scaled by the standard
The 10% to be exchanged would be at deviation.
the left, or bottom, of the curve;
therefore, 35.
area œ 0.10 and the corresponding D score For payments above $1255.94, area is
will be  1.28. 1  0.25 œ 0.75. Then D œ 0.67
B œ  1.28(5)  25 œ 18.6 months. 1255.94 œ 0.67(120)  B
B œ $1175.54

36.
3.75% area in the left tail means that
18.6 25 area œ 0.0375. Thus, D œ  1.78.
85.
 1.78 œ
30. 6

The top 20% means that area œ 0.80. The  1.78(6) œ 85  .


corresponding D score is 0.84. . œ 95.68
B œ 0.84(9)  64 œ 71.56 ¸ 72
37.
Since P(13.1 < B < 23.5) œ 0.95, the area
on each side of the mean is 0.475.
Thus, D œ „ 1.96.
64 71.56 23.518.3
1.96 œ =
= œ 2.653
31. 1518.3
Dœ œ  1.24
a. . œ 120 5 œ 20 2.653
P(D <  1.24) œ 0.1075
b. . œ 15 5 œ 2.5
c. . œ 30 5œ5

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122
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

38. 40.
The cutoff for the A's and F's would be: Histogram:
B œ .  D5 20

B œ 60  1.65(10) 15

Frequency
B œ 76.5 for the A's 10

B œ 60  (  1.65)(10) 5

B œ 43.5 for the F's


0
16.5-87.5 87.5-158.5 158.5- 229.5- 300.5- 371.5-
229.5 300.5 371.5 442.5
Tax

For the B's and D's: The histogram shows a positive skew.
B œ 60  (0.84)(10)
3(147.04138.5)
B œ 68.4 for the B's PI œ œ 0.27
93.55
B œ 60  (  0.84)(10)
IQR œ Q$  Q" œ 200  62 œ 138
B œ 51.6 for the D's
1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(138) œ 207
Q"  207 œ  145
The grading scale would be:
77 and up A Q$  207 œ 407
68  76 B There is one outlier.
52  67 C Conclusion: The distribution is not
44  51 D normal.
0  43 F
41.
39. Histogram:
Histogram: 18
16
14
12
12
Frequency

10 10
8 8
6
6
4
f

4 2
2 0
27.5-102.5 102.5-177.5 177.5-252.5 252.5-327.5 327.5-402.5
0
636.5-926.5 926.5-1216.5 1216.5-1506.5 1506.5-1796.5 1796.5-2086.5 Revenue
Num ber of Movies
The histogram shows a positive skew.
The histogram shows a positive skew.
3(9059)
PI œ œ 1.04
3(970.2853.5) 89.598
PI œ œ 0.93
376.5 IQR œ Q$  Q" œ 111  32 œ 79
1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(79) œ 118.5
IQR œ Q3  Q" œ 910  815 œ 95
Q"  118.5 œ  86.5
1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(95) œ 142.5
Q$  118.5 œ 229.5
Q"  142.5 œ 672.5 There are two outliers.
Q$  142.5 œ 1052.5 Conclusion: The distribution is not normal.
There are several outliers.
Conclusion: The distribution is not
normal.

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123
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

42. 6.
Histogram: Dœ \.
5
8
6
4
7.
f

2 X. 6360
0 Dœ 5 œ 8
œ 2.05
Én
2.5-17.5 17.5-32.5 32.5-47.5 47.5-62.5 62.5-77.5 É30
Runs
5860
Dœ œ  1.37
The histogram shows a negative skew. 8
É30

3(45.252)
PI œ œ  0.99 P(  1.37  D  2.05) œ 0.9798  0.0853
20.58

IQR œ Q$  Q" œ 60.5  29.5 œ 31 œ 0.8945or 89.45%


1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(31) œ 46.5
Q"  46.5 œ  17
Q$  46.5 œ 107
There are no outliers.
Conclusion: The distribution is not normal. 58 60 63

43. Answers will vary. 8.


X. 1717.2
Dœ 5 œ 2.5
œ  0.59
EXERCISE SET 6-3 Én
É55

1817.2
Dœ œ 2.37
1. 2.5
É55
The distribution is called the sampling
P(  0.59  D  2.37) œ 0.9911  0.2776
distribution of sample means.
œ 0.7135 or 71.35%

2.
The sample is not a perfect representation of
the population. The difference is due to
what is called sampling error.
17 17.2 18
3.
The mean of the sample means is equal to 9.
the population mean. X. 10  12
a. D œ 5 œ 3.2
œ  3.75
Én
É36

4.
P(z   3.75) œ 0.00009
The standard deviation of the sample means
(TI answer œ 0.00009)
is called the standard error of the mean.
5X œ 5
Én

5.
The distribution will be approximately
normal when sample size is large. 10 12

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124
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

9. continued 10. continued


X. 10  12
b. D œ 5 œ 3.2
œ  3.75
Én
É36

P(D   3.75) œ 1  0.00009 œ 0.99991


(TI answer œ 0.99991)
$56,000 $57,337

11.
X. 37.536
Dœ 5 œ 3.6
œ 2.47
10 12 Én
É35

X. 3436
c. D œ
X.
œ
12  12
œ0 Dœ 5 œ 3.6
œ  3.29
Én
5 3.2
Én É35
É36


X.
5 œ
11  12
œ  1.88 P(  3.29 < D < 2.47) œ 0.9932  0.0005
3.2
Én
É36 œ 0.9927or 99.27%
(TI answer œ 0.9927)
P(  1.88  D  0) œ 0.50  0.0301
œ 0.4699
(TI answer œ 0.4699)

34 36 37.5

11 12 12.
$45,000  $37,764
a. D œ œ 1.42
$5100
10.
$52,000  $57,337 P(D  1.42) œ 1  0.9222 œ 0.0778 or
a. D œ œ  0.71
$7500 7.78%
P(D <  0.71) œ 0.2389 or 23.89%

0 1.42
 0.71 0
$38,000  $37,764
b. D œ $5100
œ 0.40
$56,000$57,337 É75
b. D œ $7500
œ  1.78
É100 P(D  0.40) œ 1  0.6554 œ 0.3446
P(D <  1.78) œ 0.0375 or 3.75% or 34.46%
(TI answer œ 0.0373)

$37,764 $38,000

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125
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

13. 15. continued


X. 8  8.61
Dœ 5 œ 1.39
œ  3.10
Én
É50

P(D   3.1) œ 1  0.001 œ 0.9990


(TI answer œ 0.9990)
2708 3000

16.
23.824.3
Dœ 2.6
œ  1.10
8 8.61 É33

P(D <  1.10) œ 0.1357 or 13.57%


14.
Since 8 € 30, we can use the normal
distribution.
10501028
Dœ 100
œ 3.11 23.8 24.3
É200

P(D € 3.11) œ 1  0.9991 œ 0.0009 17.


or 0.001 X. 120  123
Dœ 5 œ œ  0.55
(TI answer œ 0.0009) Én
21
É15
Thus, we would be surprised to get a
X. 126123
sample mean of 1050 since the Dœ 5 œ #" œ 0.55
Én É15
probability is very small.
P(  0.55  D  0.55) œ 0.7088  0.2912
œ 0.4176 or 41.76%
15.
(TI answer œ 0.4199)
X. 3000  2708
Dœ œ œ 0.72
5 405

P(z  0.72) œ 1  0.7642 œ 0.2358


(TI answer œ 0.2355)

120 123 126

18.
$3800  $4064
0 0.72 a. D œ œ  2.57
460
É20

X. 3000  2708 P(D   2.57) œ 0.0051 or 0.51%


Dœ 5 œ 405
œ 3.95
Én
É30

P(z  3.95) œ 1  0.9999 œ 0.0001


P(D  3.95)  0.0001
(TI answer œ 0.000039)
$3800 $4064

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126
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

18. continued 20. continued

b. D œ
$4100  $4064
œ 0.35 P(D  4.57) œ 0.0001 or 0.01%
460
É20 (TI answer œ 0.0000024)
P(D  0.35) œ 1  0.6368 œ 0.3632 The probability is less than 0.0001.

$4064 $4100 $48,000 $51,803

19. 21.
X. 1980  2000 X. 8.28.9
Dœ œ œ  0.75 a. D œ œ œ  0.44
5 187.5 5 1.6
Én
É50
P(D   0.44) œ 0.33 or 33%
X. 1990  2000
Dœ 5 œ 187.5
œ  0.38
Én
É50

P(  0.75  D   0.38)
œ 0.3520  0.2266 œ 0.1254
(TI answer œ 0.12769)  0.44 0

8.28.9
b. D œ 1.6
œ  1.38
É10

P(D   1.38) œ 0.0838 or 8.38%


1980 1990 2000

20.
For B  $50,000:
X. $50,000  $51,803 8.2 8.9
Dœ 5 œ $4850
œ  2.17
Én
É34
c. Yes, since the probability is slightly
P(D   2.17) œ 1  0.0150 œ 0.985 or
more than 30%.
98.5%

d. Yes, but not as likely.

22.
121.8  120
$50,000 $51,803 a. D œ œ 0.32
5.6

120  120
For B  $48,000: Dœ œ0
5.6
$48,000  $51,803
Dœ $4850
œ  4.57 P(0  D  0.32) œ 0.6255  0.5 œ 0.1255
É34 or 12.55%

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127
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

24.
36  36.2
a. D1 œ œ  0.05
3.7

37.5  36.2
D2 œ œ 0.35
3.7
0 0.32
P(  0.05  D  0.35) œ 0.6368  0.4801
121.8  120
b. D œ 5.6
œ 1.76 œ 0.1567 or 15.67%
É30

120  120
Dœ 5.6
œ0
É30

P(0  D  1.76) œ 0.9608  0.5


œ 0.4608 or 46.08%  0.05 0 0.35

36  36.2
b. D1 œ 3.7
œ  0.21
É15

37.5  36.2
D2 œ 3.7
œ 1.36
É15
120 121.8
P(  0.21  D  1.36) œ 0.9131  0.4168
c. Sample means are less variable than œ 0.4963 or 49.63%
individual data. (TI answer œ 0.04779)

23.
220  215
a. D œ œ 0.33
15
P(D  0.33) œ 1  0.6293 œ 0.3707 or
36 36.2 37.5
37.07%
(TI answer œ 0.3694)
25.
1  0.0985 œ 0.9015
The D score corresponding to an area of
0.9015 is 1.29.

0 0.33
1.29 œ &#!&!)
(#
È8

220  215 12È8


b. D œ 15
œ 1.67 1.29 œ
72
92.88 œ 12È8
É25

P(D  1.67) œ 1  0.9525 œ 0.0475 or


7.74 œ È8
4.75%
59.9 œ 8
(TI answer œ 0.04779)
The sample size is approximately 60.

215 220

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128
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

26. 29.
Since 50  0.05(500) or 25, the correction 5x œ 5
œ
15
œ 1.5
Én É100
factor must be used.
15
2(1.5) œ
It is Ê
50050
œ 0.950 Én
5001

X. 7072 3 † Én œ 15
Dœ œ œ  2.81
†Ê Én œ 5
Nn 5.3
5 †(0.95)
Én n 1 É50

n œ 25, the sample size necessary to double


P(D   2.81) œ 0.0025
the standard error.

30.
1.5 15
œ
2 Én
70 72
0.75 † Én œ 15
Én œ
15
œ 20
27. 0.75

Since 50  0.05(800) or 40, the correction n œ 400, the sample size necessary to cut the
factor is necessary. standard error in half.
It is Ê
80050
œ 0.969
8001
EXERCISE SET 6-4
X. 83,50082,000
Dœ œ œ 2.19
†Ê
Nn 5000
5 (0.969)
Én n 1 É50 1.
When p is approximately 0.5, and as n
P(D  2.19) œ 1  0.9857 œ 0.0143 or
increases, the shape of the binomial
1.43%
distribution becomes similar to the normal
distribution.

2.
The normal approximation should be used
82,000 83,500
only when n † p and n † q are both greater
than or equal to 5.
28.
The upper 95% is the same as 5% in the left
3.
tail. For area œ 0.05 in the left tail, the
The correction for continuity is necessary
corresponding D score is  1.65.
because the normal distribution is
X2000
 1.65 œ 100
continuous and the binomial is discrete.
É20

100
 1.65( )  2000 œ X 4.
É20
When : is close to 0 or 1 and 8 is small, the
X œ 1963.10
normal distribution should not be used as an
approximation to the binomial distribution.
That is, when 8:  & and 8;  &, the
normal distribution should not be used to
appromate the binomial distribution.
1963.10 2000

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129
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

5. 5. continued
For each problem use the following
P(11.5  X  12.5) œ 0.7967  0.6915
formulas:
œ 0.1052 or 10.52%
5 œ Énpq
X.
. œ np zœ 5
Be sure to correct each X for continuity.

a. . œ 0.5(30) œ 15
5 œ É(0.5)(0.5)(30) œ 2.74
10 11.5 12.5
17.515
Dœ œ 0.91 area œ 0.8186
2.74
6.
18.515
Dœ œ 1.28 area œ 0.8997 a. . œ 10(0.5) œ 5
2.74
5 œ É(0.5)(0.5)(10) œ 1.58
P(17.5  X  18.5) œ 0.8997  0.8186
6.55
œ 0.0811 œ 8.11% Dœ œ 0.95 area œ 0.8289
1.58

P(X € 6.5) œ 1  0.8289 œ 0.1711 or


17.11%

15 17.5 18.5

b. . œ 0.8(50) œ 40
5 6.5
5 œ É(50)(0.8)(0.2) œ 2.83

43.540
b. . œ 20(0.7) œ 14
œ 1.24
5 œ É(20)(0.7)(0.3) œ 2.05

2.83
area œ 0.8925

44.540
Dœ œ 1.59 area œ 0.9441 Dœ
12.514
œ  0.73 area œ 0.2327
2.83
2.05

P(43.5  X  44.5) œ 0.9441  0.8925 P(X Ÿ 12.5) œ 0.2327 or 23.27%


œ 0.0516 or 5.16%

12.5 14
40 43.5 44.5
c. . œ 50(0.6) œ 30
c. . œ 0.1(100) œ 10 5 œ É(50)(0.6)(0.4) œ 3.46
5 œ É(0.1)(0.9)(100) œ 3 40.530
Dœ œ 3.03 area œ 0.9988
3.46
11.510
Dœ œ 0.50 area œ 0.6915
3 P(X Ÿ 40.5) œ 0.9988 or 99.88%
12.510
Dœ œ 0.83 area œ 0.7967
3

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130
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

6. continued 10. continued

P(X  249.5) œ 1  0.0030 œ 0.9970 or


99.7%

30 40.5

7. 249.5 280
a. np œ 20(0.50) œ 10 € 5 Yes
nq œ 20(0.50) œ 10 € 5 11.
b. np œ 10(0.60) œ 6 € 5 No . œ 120(0.659) œ 79.08
nq œ 10(0.40) œ 4  5
5 œ É(120)(0.659)(0.341) œ 5.1929
c. np œ 40(0.90) œ 36 € 5 No
64.5  79.08
nq œ 40(0.10) œ 4  5 Dœ œ  2.81 area œ 0.0025
5.1929

85.5  79.08
Dœ œ 1.24 area œ 0.8925
8. 5.1929

a. np œ 50(0.20) œ 10 € 5 Yes P(64.5  X  85.5) œ 0.8925  0.0025


nq œ 50(0.80) œ 40 € 5 P(64.5 Ÿ X Ÿ 85.5) œ 0.8900
b. np œ 30(0.80) œ 24 € 5 Yes (TI answer œ 0.8893)
nq œ 30(0.20) œ 6 € 5
c. np œ 20(0.85) œ 17 € 5 No
nq œ 20(0.15) œ 3  5

9. 64.5 79.08 85.5


. œ 200(0.22) œ 44
5 œ É(200)(0.22)(0.78) œ 5.8583 12.
30.5  44 . œ 600(0.08) œ 48
Dœ œ  2.30 area œ 0.0107
5 œ É(600)(0.08)(0.92) œ 6.65
5.8583

P(X  30.5) œ 1  0.0107 œ 0.9893


39.548
Dœ œ  1.28
6.65

P(X  39.5) œ 0.1003 or 10.03%

30.5 44

10. 39.5 48
. œ 500(0.56) œ 280
5 œ É(500)(0.56)(0.44) œ 11.1
13.
249.5280 . œ 60(0.76) œ 45.6
Dœ œ  2.75 area œ 0.0030
5 œ É(60)(0.76)(0.24) œ 3.3082
11.1

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131
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

13. continued 16.


48.5 45.6
. œ 150(0.289) œ 43.35
œ 0.88 area œ 0.8106
5 œ É(150)(0.289)(0.711) œ 5.55

3.3082

47.5 45.6
Dœ œ 0.57 area œ 0.7157 50.5  43.35
3.3082 Dœ œ 1.29 area œ 0.9015
5.55
P(47.5  X  48.5) œ 0.8106  0.7157
P(X  50.5) œ 1  0.9015 œ 0.0985
P(47.5  X  48.5) œ 0.0949
(TI answer œ 0.0949)

43.35 50.5
45.6 47.5 48.5
17.
14. . œ 200(0.125) œ 25
. œ 180(0.72) œ 129.6 5 œ É(200)(0.125)(0.875) œ 4.6771
5 œ É(180)(0.72)(0.28) œ 6.024 21.525
Dœ œ  0.75
4.6771
124.5  129.6
Dœ œ  0.85 area œ 0.1977 P(X € 21.5) œ 1  0.2266 œ 0.7734
6.024

115.5  129.6 (TI answer œ 0.7734)


Dœ œ  2.34 area œ 0.0096
6.024 Yes, it is very likely.
P(115.5  X  124.5) œ 0.1977  0.0096
P(115.5  X  124.5) œ 0.1881
(TI answer œ 0.1890)

21.5 25

18.
115.5 124.5 129.6
. œ 250(0.4826) œ 120.65
5 œ É(250)(0.4826)(0.5174) œ 7.9009
15.
109.5  120.65
p œ 0.22 . œ 400(0.22) œ 88 Dœ œ  1.41 area œ 0.0793
7.9009

5 œ É(400)(0.22)(0.78) œ 8.2849
P(X  109.5) œ 0.0793
92.588
Dœ œ 0.54
8.2849
P(X Ÿ 92.5) œ 0.7054 or 70.54%

109.5 120.65

88 92.5

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132
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

19. 22.
. œ 200(0.261) œ 52.2 . œ 350(0.35) œ 122.5
5 œ É(200)(0.261)(0.739) œ 6.21 5 œ É(350)(0.35)(0.65) œ 8.92
50.5  52.2 99.5122.5
Dœ œ  0.27 Dœ œ  2.58 area œ 0.0049
6.21 8.92

P(X Ÿ 50.5) œ 0.3936


P(X  99.5) œ 1  0.0049 œ 0.9951 or
99.51% (TI answer œ 0.9950)
Yes; it is likely that 100 or more people
would favor the parking lot.

50.5 52.2

20.
. œ 200(0.675) œ 135 99.5 122.5
5 œ É200(0.675)(0.325) œ 6.62

124.5  135
23.
Dœ œ  1.59 area œ 0.0559 a. n(0.1) € 5 n € 50
6.62
b. n(0.3) € 5 n € 17
P(X  124.5) œ 0.0559 or 5.59%
c. n(0.5) € 5 n € 10
(TI answer œ 0.0565)
d. n(0.2) € 5 n € 25
e. n(0.1) € 5 n € 50

REVIEW EXERCISES - CHAPTER 6

124.5 135
1.
a. 0.9803  0.5 œ 0.4803
21.
. œ 300(0.803) œ 240.9
5 œ É(300)(0.803)(0.197) œ 6.89
X  $% (300) or X  225
0 2.06
224.5  240.9
Dœ œ  2.38
6.89

P(X  224.5) œ 0.0087 b. 0.7019  0.5 œ 0.2019

224.5 240.9 0 0.53

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133
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

1. continued 2. continued

c. 0.9591  0.8962 œ 0.0629 c. 1  0.0869 œ 0.9131

0 1.26 1.74  1.36 0

d. 0.9484  0.1539 œ 0.7945 d. 0.0183


(TI answer œ 0.7945)

 2.09 0
−1.02 0 1.63
e. 0.9535
e. 0.6879  0.4721 œ 0.2158

0 1.68
 0.07 0 0.49

3.
2. a. 0.9871  0.5 œ 0.4871
a. 0.8643  0.0359 œ 0.8284

0 2.23
 1.80 0 1.10
b. 0.5  0.0401 œ 0.4599
b. 1  0.9767 œ 0.0233

−1.75 0
0 1.99

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134
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

3. continued 4. continued

c. 0.9535  0.0694 œ 0.8841 d. 0.9732

 1.48 0 1.68 0 1.93

d. 0.9616  0.8888 œ 0.0728


e. 1  0.0384 œ 0.9616

0 1.22 1.77  1.77 0

e. 0.6255  0.0104 œ 0.6151


5.
$6000  $5274
Dœ œ 1.21
$600

P(D  1.21) œ 1  0.8869 œ 0.1131

 2.31 0 0.32

4.
a. 1  0.9515 œ 0.0485 0 1.21

For the middle 50%, 25% of the area is on


each side of 0. Thus, D œ „ 0.67

1.66 B œ 0.67(600)  5274 œ $5676


0
B œ  0.67(600)  5274 œ $4872
b. 0.0212 (TI answers: $4869.31 to $5678.69)

6.
68,00063,000
a. D œ œ 1.00 area œ 0.8413
5000

 2.03 0 P(D  1.00) œ 1  0.8413 œ 0.1587

c. 1  0.1170 œ 0.8830

0 1.00

 1.19 0

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135
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

6. continued 8.
For more than $15 per month:
68,00063,000
b. D œ 5000
œ 3.00 area œ 0.9987 $15  $10.15
É9 Dœ œ 1.98
$2.45

P(D  3.00) œ 1  0.9987 œ 0.0013 P(D  1.98) œ 1  0.9761 œ 0.0239

63,000 68,000
0 1.98
For between $12 and $14 per month:
7.
$12  $10.15
a. D œ
476476
œ0 Dœ œ 0.76
$2.45
22
$14  $10.15

500476
œ 1.09 Dœ œ 1.57
$2.45
22

P(0.76  D  1.57) œ 0.9418  0.7764


P(0  D  1.09) œ 0.8621  0.5 œ 0.3621
œ 0.1654
or 36.21%
(TI answer œ 0.16705)

0 1.09
0.76 1.57
450476
b. D œ œ  1.18
22 9.
P(D   1.18) œ 0.1190 or 11.9% For 15% costs, area œ 0.85
D œ 1.04
X œ 1.04(10.50)  120 œ $130.92

10.
 1.18 0 For 15% costs, area œ 0.85
D œ  1.04
510476 X œ  1.04($750)  $8000 œ $7220
c. D œ œ 1.55
22

P(D  1.55) œ 1  0.9394 œ 0.0606 or


11.
6.06%
Histogram:
8
6
4
f

2
0
979.5- 1584.5- 2189.5- 2794.5- 3399.5- 4004.5-
1584.5 2189.5 2794.5 3399.5 4004.5 4609.5
0 1.55 Enrollment

The histogram shows a positive skew.

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136
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

11. continued 13. continued


3(2136.11755) X. $60  $61.50
PI œ œ 0.98 b. D œ 5 œ œ  1.80
1171.7 $5.89
Én
É50
IQR œ Q$  Q"
IQR œ 2827  1320 œ 1507 P(X  60) œ 1  0.0359 œ 0.9641

1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(1507) œ 2260.5


Q"  2260.5 œ  940.5
Q$  2260.5 œ 5087.5
There are no outliers.
Conclusion: The distribution is not $60 $61.50
normal.
14.
12. a. D œ
18  19.32
œ  0.54
2.44
Histogram:
15 P(D   0.54) œ 1  0.2946 œ 0.7054
10
(TI answer œ 0.7057)
f

5
0
2144.5- 4384.5- 6624.5- 8864.5- 11104.5- 13344.5-
4384.5 6624.5 8864.5 11104.5 13344.5 15584.5
Height

The histogram shows a positive skew.

PI œ
3(6972.25931.5)
œ 0.90  0.54 0
3458.85

IQR œ Q$  Q" 18  19.32


b. D œ 2.44
œ  1.21
IQR œ 9348  5135 œ 4213 É5

1.5(IQR) œ 1.5(4213) œ 6319.5


P(D   1.21) œ 1  0.1131 œ 0.8869
Q"  6319.5 œ  1184.5
(TI answer œ 0.8868)
Q$  6319.5 œ 15,667.5
There are no outliers.
Conclusion: The distribution is not
normal.

 1.21 0
13.
X. 27  25.7
a. D œ 5 œ 3.75
œ 2.19 15.
Én
É40
X. 670  660
a. D œ œ œ 0.29
P(X  27) œ 1  0.9857 œ 0.0143 5 35

(TI answer œ 0.0142) P(z  0.29) œ 1  0.6141 œ 0.3859


(TI answer œ 0.3875)

25.7 27
0 0.29

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137
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

15. continued 18.


. œ np œ 500(0.05) œ 25
X. 670  660
5 œ Énpq œ É(500)(0.05)(0.95) œ 4.87
b. D œ 5 œ 35
œ 0.90
Én
É10

30.525
P(z  0.90) œ 1  0.8159 œ 0.1841 Dœ œ 1.13
4.87
(TI answer œ 0.1831) 29.525
Dœ œ 0.92
4.87

P(29.5  X  30.5) œ 0.8708  0.8212


œ 0.0496 or 4.96%

660 670

c. Individual values are more variable


than means.
29.5 30.5

16. 19.
3.43.7
Dœ 0.6
œ  2.83 For fewer than 10 holding multiple jobs:
É32 . œ 150(0.053) œ 7.95
5 œ É(150)(0.053)(0.947) œ 2.744
P(X  3.4) œ 1  0.9977 œ 0.0023 or
0.23%
9.5  7.95
Dœ œ 0.56
2.74

P(X  9.5) œ 0.7123


(TI answer œ 0.7139)

3.4 3.7
Yes, since the probability is less than 1%.

17. 7.95 9.5


. œ 120(0.173) œ 20.76
For more than 50 not holding multiple
5 œ É120(0.173)(0.827) œ 4.14
jobs: . œ 150(0.947) œ 142.05
5 œ É150(0.947)(0.053) œ 2.744
20.5  20.76
Dœ œ  0.06
4.14

34.5  20.76 50.5  142.05


Dœ œ 3.32 Dœ œ  33.37
4.14 2.744

P(20.5  X  34.5) œ 0.9995  0.4761 P(X  50.5) œ 1  0.0001 œ 0.9999


œ 0.5234 (TI answer œ 0.9999)
(TI answer œ 0.52456)

50.5 142.05
20.5 20.76 34.5

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138
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

20. CHAPTER 6 QUIZ


. œ 800(0.30) œ 240
5 œ É(800)(0.3)(0.7) œ 12.96
1. False, the total area is equal to one.

259.5240 2. True
zœ œ 1.50
12.96
3. True
P(X € 259.5) œ 1  0.9332 œ 0.0668
or 6.68% 4. True

5. False, the area is positive.

6. False, it applies to means taken from the


same population.
240 259.5 7. a

8. a
21.
. œ 200(0.37) œ 74 9. b
5 œ É(200)(0.37)(0.63) œ 6.8279
10. b
79.574
zœ œ 0.81 11. c
6.8279

P(X € 79.5) œ 1  0.7910 œ 0.2090 12. 0.5


or 20.90% 13. Sampling error

14. The population mean

15. The standard error of the mean

16. 5
74 79.5
17. 5%

22. 18. The areas are:


. œ 60(0.26) œ 15.6 a. 0.4332 f. 0.8284
5 œ É(60)(0.26)(0.74) œ 3.3976 b. 0.3944 g. 0.0401


19.515.6
œ 1.15 c. 0.0344 h. 0.8997
3.3976
d. 0.1029 i. 0.017
P(X € 19.5) œ 1  0.8749 œ 0.1251
e. 0.2912 j. 0.9131
or 12.51%
19. The probabilities are:
a. 0.4846 f. 0.0384
b. 0.4693 g. 0.0089
c. 0.9334 h. 0.9582
15.6 19.5
d. 0.0188 i. 0.9788
e. 0.7461 j. 0.8461

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139
Chapter 6 - The Normal Distribution

20. The probabilities are:


a. 0.7734
b. 0.0516
c. 0.3837

d. Any rainfall above 65 inches could be


considered an extremely wet year since this
value is two standard deviations above the
mean.

21. The probabilities are:


a. 0.0668 c. 0.4649
b. 0.0228 d. 0.0934

22. The probabilities are:


a. 0.4525 c. 0.3707
b. 0.3707 d. 0.019

23. The probabilities are:


a. 0.0013 c. 0.0081
b. 0.5 d. 0.5511

24. The probabilities are:


a. 0.0037 c. 0.5
b. 0.0228 d. 0.3232

25. 8.804 cm

26. The lowest acceptable score is 121.24.

27. 0.015

28. 0.9738

29. 0.0495; no

30. 0.0455 or 4.55%

31. 0.0614

32. 0.0495

33. The distribution is not normal.

34. The distribution is approximately


normal.

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140
Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
The streets of old Cairo resound with the cries of vendors of sweetmeats and
drinks. Lemonade is dispensed from a great brass bottle on the back of the seller,
while around his waist is a tin tray of glasses or cups.
Over many warehouses, shops, and even stables of old Cairo are homes of the
well-to-do with marble floors covered with fine rugs. The supporting arch is much
used because long timbers are not available.

Here is a lady with a eunuch, who, as black as your hat and as


sombre as the Sphinx, guards the high-born dame lest she should
flirt with that handsome young man from Tunis sitting cross-legged in
the midst of his bottles of attar of roses. He offers a bottle to the lady
while he talks of its merits in the most flowery terms. Here is a
barefooted girl, who, strange to say, has no veil over her face, but
whose comely features might be considered by a jealous lover to
warrant such protection. Her chin is tattooed and the nails of her
fingers and toes are stained deep orange with henna. She has a
great tray on her head and is calling out her wares in the strangest
language: “Buy my oranges! They are sweet as honey, and I know
that God will make my basket light.”
This is in Arabic, and one hears the same extravagant sort of talk
all about him. Here two Turks meet and salute each other. They
almost fight in their struggle each to humble himself first by kissing
the hand of the other. After they have done so a third passes and
they all say: “Naharak sayed”—“May thy day be happy and blessed.”
There are no more polite people on earth than these
Mohammedans, whose everyday talk is poetry.
I can always amuse myself for days in watching the trading in the
bazaars. I saw an Egyptian woman buying some meat to-day. The
butcher’s whole stock consisted of a couple of sheep, one of which
hung from a nail on the wall. The woman drew her finger nail along
the piece she wished to take home, and the butcher sawed it off with
a clasp knife. He weighed it on a pair of rude scales, and the woman
objected, saying that he had given her too much. He then took one
end of the strip of meat in his hand, and putting the other end in his
mouth, severed it by drawing the knife quickly across it. He handed
the piece he had held in his mouth to the woman, who took it and
paid for it, evidently seeing nothing out of the way in his methods.
In the bazaars the merchants sit in little booths no bigger than the
packing-box of a piano. A ledge about two feet high, and of about the
same width, runs along the front of the store, on which the
customers sit. A purchaser is usually offered coffee, and asked to
take a smoke out of the long-stemmed water pipe of the proprietor. It
takes a great time to make a deal, for the Mohammedan always asks
three times what he expects to get, and never comes down without
bargaining. The better merchants all keep book accounts, which they
foot up in Arabic characters, taking the ink out of a brass inkstand
with a handle a foot long which is so made that it will contain the pen
as well as the ink. This inkwell is thrust into the belt of the gown
when the proprietor leaves his shop.
If one is not satisfied at one place he can go to another. In the
Cinnamon Bazaar there are dozens of stores that sell nothing but
spices, and in the Shoemakers’ Bazaar are the gorgeously
embroidered slippers and red-leather shoes, turned up at the toes,
worn by all good Mohammedans. In the Silver Bazaar the jewellers
are at work. They use no tools of modern invention. Their bellows is
a bag of goatskin with a piece of gun-barrel for the mouth and two
sticks like those used for the ordinary fire bellows at the end. One’s
only guarantee of getting a good article is to buy the silver, have it
tested by the government assayer, and let the jeweller make it up
under his own eyes. Poor jewellery is often sold, and I remember
buying a silver bracelet for a friend during a visit to Cairo which
looked very pretty and very barbaric, but six months after its
presentation it began to change colour, and proved to be brass
washed with silver.
I see many watches displayed, for there is now a craze among the
peasants of Egypt to own watches. They want a cheap article, and in
many cases buy a fresh watch every year. As a result the Swiss and
Germans have been flooding the country with poor movements, put
up in fancy German silver, nickel, and gun-metal cases, and are
selling them at two dollars and upward apiece. They are not equal to
our timepieces which sell at one dollar. Some of these watches are
advertised as of American make, and sell the quicker on that
account. I doubt not that a good American watch would sell well and
displace the poor stuff now sent in by the Swiss. In one bazaar only
brass articles are shown, while in another nothing but rugs are sold.
The Persian Bazaar and the Turkish Bazaar are managed by men of
these nations. In fact, wandering through the business parts of Cairo,
one can see types of every oriental people on the globe.
CHAPTER VIII
INTIMATE TALKS WITH TWO KHEDIVES

To-day Egypt is governed by a king. Her last sovereign had the


title of sultan, and for fifty years before that she was ruled by
khedives. There were four khedives in that time, and with two of
them I had face-to-face chats. The first was with Tewfik Pasha,
whom I met in the Abdin Palace during my second visit to Cairo. The
other was with Abbas Hilmi, the son and successor of Tewfik, with
whom I talked sixteen years later. Abbas Hilmi’s pro-German
intrigues finally led to his being deposed by the British and to the
establishment of the Protectorate, which ended in the nationalization
of Egypt under a ruler with the title of king.
I give you here the stories of the two interviews, reproducing the
notes I made at the time.

I have just returned from a long audience with the Khedive of


Egypt. Khedive is a Persian-Arabic word, meaning “king,” and
Mohammed Tewfik occupies much the same position now as the
Pharaohs did in the days of Moses. It is true that he is in a measure
the vassal of the Sultan of Turkey to whom he pays a tribute of about
three and three quarter million dollars a year, and that he has also
several European advisers who keep sharp watch over the revenues
of his kingdom to see that a great part of them go to the interest on
the debts that he and his predecessors have contracted with the
bankers of Europe. But he is, nevertheless, the king of Egypt, and as
kings go to-day, he has more power than many other monarchs. His
residence in Cairo is a grand palace with hundreds of rooms filled
with magnificent furniture. He drives about the city with soldiers
carrying swords, riding prancing horses in front of his carriage, and
with a score of cavalry following behind. He has five hundred
thousand dollars a year for his personal expenses, and he has
several palaces besides the one he occupies in Cairo.
It was at the Abdin Palace that I met His Highness to-day. The
interview had been arranged by the American consul general. We
left his office together in the consular carriage. The dragoman of the
legation, a bright-eyed Syrian in the most gorgeous of Turkish
clothes of brown covered with gold embroidery and with a great
sword shaped like a scimitar clanking at his side, opened the
carriage door for us and took his seat by the coachman. The Arabian
Jehu cracked his whip and away we went through the narrow
streets. We drove by the modern European mansions of the rich
Greeks, past the palaces of Egyptian princes from which came the
sweet smell of orange flowers and over which whispered broad
spreading palms. We then went through a business street amid
droves of donkeys, through a caravan of camels, by veiled women
clad in black, past the palace in which Ismail Pasha had his harem
when he was khedive, and on into a great square of many acres. On
the right of this square were vast barracks filled with Arab troops in
blue uniforms and fezzes. A regiment of Egyptian troops was going
through a gymnastic drill, performing the motions as well to-day as
they did at the time when our American General Stone was their
commander and when General Grant reviewed them and said that
they seemed to be good soldiers for everything except fighting.
The Abdin Palace, built in the form of a great horseshoe, is at the
end of this square. It is a vast building of two stories, of brown
stucco, with many windows and a grand entrance way in the centre.
At the left there is a door leading to the harem, and as our carriage
drove up we were passed by a closed coach drawn by two
magnificent Arabian horses. On the box beside the liveried
coachman sat a scowling eunuch whose black skin and dark clothes
were all the more sombre by contrast with his bright red skullcap. In
front of the carriage ran two fleet syces with wands or staffs held up
in the air in front of them, warning plebeians to get out of the way. I
was told that the carriage was that of a princess who was about to
make a call upon the Khedivieh, or queen. These runners, who are a
part of every nobleman’s turnout, are among the most picturesque
sights of Egypt.
At the door of the palace stood two pompous soldiers with great
swords in their hands. They were in Turkish costumes with
embroidered jackets of blue and gold and full zouave trousers of
blue broadcloth. Upon their heads were turbans, and their faces
made me think of the fierce troops that conquered this land in the
days of the Prophet. Passing up the massive steps we came to the
palace door which was opened by an Arab clad in European clothes
and wearing the red fez, which the Egyptian never takes off in the
house or out of it. We were ushered into a grand entrance hall,
floored with marble mosaic, the walls of which were finished in
cream and gold. In front of us a staircase so wide that two
wagonloads of hay could be drawn up it without touching led by easy
flights to the second floor, while at the right and the left were the
reception rooms for visitors and halls leading to the apartments
reserved for the chamberlains, masters of ceremonies, and other
officers of the royal household. After chatting a moment with one or
two of the cabinet ministers, who were just passing out after a
council with His Highness, we moved on up the stairs. In one of the
drawing rooms on the second floor we were met by another Egyptian
official in black clothes and red fez who conducted us to a reception
room, the door of which stood open, and motioned us to enter.
In the centre of this room, which was not larger than a good-sized
American parlour, there stood all alone a man of about thirty-six
years of age. He was dressed in a black broadcloth coat buttoning
close up at the neck like that of a preacher. Lavender pantaloons
showed below this, fitting well down over a pair of gaiter-like pumps.
On the top of his rather handsome head was a fez of dark red with a
black silk tassel. This man was the Khedive of Egypt. He is, I judge,
about five feet six inches in height and while rather thick-set, does
not weigh more than one hundred and fifty pounds. His frame is well
rounded, his head is large, and his features are clean cut. He has a
nose slightly inclined to the Roman. His forehead is high, and the
dark brown eyes that shine from under it change from the grave to
the smiling during his conversation. The Khedive extended his hand
and said he was glad to see me and that he liked to have Americans
come to Cairo. Seating himself on a divan, with one leg doubled up
under him, he motioned me to join him. There was an absence of
pomp or snobbishness in his manner, and though dignified he did not
put on half the airs of the average backwoods member of our House
of Representatives. As he seated himself, his black coat opened so
that I had a chance to note the contrast between his costume and
that of the gorgeous rajahs whom I have met in India. His only
jewellery consisted of a set of pearl studs the size of the smallest of
peas and a watch chain of thin links of gold. He wore a cheap black
bow tie in his white turnover collar, and his cuffs, though
scrupulously clean, had not the polish of the American laundry.
Besides being a good French scholar, Tewfik Pasha speaks
English, and that was the language used in our conversation. In
speaking of his life as Khedive, he said:
“I am told that many people envy me my position. They say that I
am a young man whose lot must be a pleasant one. They do not
understand the troubles that surround me. Many a time I would have
been glad to lay down all the honours I have for rest and peace. The
ten years of my reign have been equal to forty years of work and of
worry. If life were a matter of pleasure I would be a fool to remain on
the throne. I believe, however, that God put man on the world for a
purpose. Duty, not pleasure, is the chief end of man. I do the best I
can for my country and my people, and I feel happiest when I do the
most work and when my work is the hardest.”
“In the famous Abdin Palace I interviewed Tewfik Pasha, when he was Khedive
of Egypt, and later, in the same audience room, talked with Abbas Hilmi, his son
and successor.”
The gorgeous kavass is essential to the official dignity of the representative of
foreign governments in Cairo. Besides attending on the person of minister or
consul general on state occasions, he also serves as major domo and general
“fixer.”

As the Khedive said these words I thought of the thorns which


have filled the pillow of his reign. I thought of how, upon his entering
manhood, his father Ismail was deposed and he was put upon the
throne. I thought of how he boxed the ears of the messenger who
came to tell him he had succeeded to that uncomfortable seat. I
thought of his trouble under foreign dictation. I thought of the plots
and nearly successful rebellion of Arabi Pasha, of the revolution of
the Mahdi, of the creditors who to-day are grinding Egypt between
their upper and nether millstones, of the danger of assassination,
and of the other perils that are ever present about the throne of an
oriental monarch. Recalling all these things, I could appreciate why
his mouth hardened and his eyes grew sad when he spoke thus to
me.
The talk then turned upon the condition of Egypt and its future, but
as to these matters Tewfik was reticent. He spoke proudly of the
reforms which he had inaugurated in government and of the fact that
now, though the taxes were heavy, every peasant knew just what he
would have to pay and that the taxes were honestly collected. He
spoke of the improvement of the courts and said that the pasha and
the fellah were equal before the law. “When I came to the throne,”
said he, “the people were surprised that I put the prince on the same
footing as other people. Now, there is no difference in justice. The
prince and the peasant are the same in our courts, and the former
may be punished like the latter.”
At this point, coffee and cigarettes were brought in by the servants
of the palace. The coffee was à la Turque. It was served in little china
cups shaped like egg cups, in holders of gold filigree, each holding
about three tablespoonfuls of rich black coffee as thick as chocolate
and as sweet as molasses. There were neither saucers nor spoons.
Trying to follow the Khedive’s example I gulped down half the
contents of the cup at a swallow. It was as hot as liquid fire. I could
feel the top of my mouth rising in a blister, the tears came into my
eyes, and my stomach felt as though it had taken an internal Turkish
bath. Tewfik Pasha took the boiling mixture without winking and went
on talking as though his throat were used to scalding fluids.
Surprised to see him refuse a cigarette, I asked him if he did not
smoke. He replied:
“No! I neither smoke nor drink. I do not drink for two reasons. I
believe a man is better off without it, and, what is of more moment to
me, it is against the laws of life as laid down in the Koran. We do not
believe it right to drink anything intoxicating and good Moslems drink
neither wine nor liquor. I believe that every man should be faithful to
the religion which he professes. My faith is that of Islam and I try to
follow it as well as I can. I am not illiberal in it, however, for I tolerate
all religions and all sects in my kingdom. We have Copts, Jews, and
Christians, and your missionaries are at work in the land. They make
very few converts, if any, among the people of my faith, but they
have schools in Upper Egypt that are doing much in the way of
education.”
The consul general here spoke of the Khedive’s knowledge of the
Koran, mentioning the fact that His Majesty knows the whole book by
heart. There is no doubt that Tewfik has as much faith in his religion
as we have in ours. He spoke with some pride of the Mohammedan
conversions in Africa and the fact that there are more than one
hundred millions of people in the world who believe the same as he
does. We talked of the band of one hundred American Catholics,
who are stopping in Egypt on their way to the Holy Land, and the
Khedive said he was interested in these pilgrims who are following
the footsteps of Joseph and Mary. He spoke of the immense sums
brought into Egypt by tourists and said that it bettered the business
of his country.
Throughout our whole conversation the talk was of the most
cordial and unceremonious character and I left the palace with the
impression that the Khedive of Egypt is a man of great sense and of
more than ordinary ability. He stands well with his people. Indeed,
the leading men in Cairo tell me he would do much for Egypt if he
were not hampered by foreign intervention. He gave up a number of
his palaces a year or so ago and he is, for a king, most economical.
Had other rulers of the past been equally careful, Egypt would be a
rich country to-day instead of being ridden with debts. He is a man of
domestic tastes, and though a Mohammedan and an oriental king,
he is the husband of but one wife to whom he is as true as the most
chaste American. A friend of Tewfik Pasha reported to me a talk he
recently had with him upon this subject in which the Khedive
expressed himself strongly in favour of monogamy: “I saw,” said he,
“in my father’s harem the disadvantages of a plurality of wives and of
having children by different wives, so I decided before I came to
manhood that I would marry but one woman and would be true to
her. I have done so, and I have had no reason to regret it.”
From what I can learn the ruler’s family life is a happy one. He is
much in love with his wife, who is said to be one of the cleverest
women of Egypt. A woman friend of hers, who visits often at the
royal harem, tells me that this queen of Egypt is both beautiful and
accomplished. She keeps up a big establishment separate from that
of the Khedive, and when she sits down to dinner or breakfast it is
not with her husband, but with her own ladies. The Khedive eats with
his officers, according to Mohammedan etiquette, and his
apartments, or the salumlik, are separate from hers. Both she and
her husband have done much to break down the rigidity of
Mohammedan social customs. Tewfik Pasha takes the Khedivieh
with him wherever he goes, though she usually travels in a separate
train or car. She has stuck to the Khedive through the stormiest days
of his reign. During the last war she refused to take refuge on the
English gunboats when invited to do so.
Both the Khedive and the Khedivieh are wrapped up in their four
children. They have two boys and two girls. The boys are Abbas
Hilmi, who will be fifteen years old in July, and Mehemet Ali, who is
two years younger. These boys are now at school in Berlin. They
speak French, English, German, and Arabic, and they are, I am told,
very clever. The girls are rather pretty, cream-complexioned maidens
of eight and ten, who are as much like American girls as they can be
considering their surroundings. They wear European clothes and
may be seen along the sea shore at Alexandria, walking together
and swinging their hats in their hands like other little girls at our
summer resorts. They have European governesses and talk French
quite well.
In Cairo sixteen years later I found on the throne Abbas Hilmi who
was a boy at school when I had my interview with his father. Again
through the courtesy of our consul general an audience with the
Khedive was arranged for me, and together we went to the palace to
pay our respects. Here is the story of my visit:
In the very room where I met Tewfik Pasha I was received in the
same cordial and informal manner by his son, the present Khedive.
He does not look much like his father. He is a trifle taller and seems
to have more dignity, perhaps because in place of his father’s simple
garb Abbas Hilmi wears the more formal frock coat and striped
trousers of modern officialdom.
Though stripped of most of their political powers, the khedives surrounded
themselves with all the trappings of rulership, and made the most of the
magnificence of the Abdin Palace in Cairo, where they granted audiences and
gave grand balls.
One of the most famous hotels in the world is Shepheard’s, at Cairo, through
which for many years leading characters of all nations have passed on their way to
the East or to the West. Its site was once part of the garden of Princess Kiamil,
daughter of Mehemet Ali.

A school among the Moslems is a simple matter, consisting usually of young


men sitting at the feet of a teacher whose sole textbook and equipment are the
Koran, lengthy passages of which are learned by rote.

My conversation with His Highness covered a wide range. It dealt


with the present prosperity of Egypt, and I could see that he
understands both his country and its people. He thinks that the Nile
valley has by no means reached the maximum of its development,
and says that by increasing the dams and drainage facilities Egypt
might yield much greater crops than she does now. I spoke to him
about having met his father, mentioning the great interest that Tewfik
Pasha showed in Egypt and its future. The Khedive expressed a
similar desire to do all he could for the Egyptians, but practically the
only matters in which he has full sway are those regarding his own
estates, his management of which shows great business capacity.
He has an allowance of five hundred thousand dollars a year out of
the public treasury, but in addition he owns thousands of acres of
valuable lands, so his private property must be worth many millions
of dollars. He handles this in such a way that it pays well, his
experiments and improvements being the talk of farmers and
business men throughout the Nile valley.
I have heard a great deal of these khedivial farms since I have
been in Egypt. Abbas Hilmi inherited much land from his father, but
he has other large tracts, which he himself has redeemed from the
desert, and yet others which he has made good by draining. Not far
from Cairo he owns twenty-five hundred acres which a few years
ago were covered with swamps, quagmires, and hillocks. He bought
this cheap and then began to improve it. He cut down the hills,
drained the swamps, and put water on the land. At present that
estate is paying over sixty thousand dollars a year, bringing His
Highness thirty per cent. and upward on his investment.
He has another great farm not far from Alexandria which was all
desert not long ago. The Khedive has irrigated it and thus turned four
thousand waste acres into cultivated fields. Farm villages have
grown up about them and His Highness has so laid out the estate
with trees and flowers that it is said to be like an earthly paradise. In
one place he has a plantation of fifteen thousand mulberry bushes,
the leaves of which furnish food for his silkworms. This estate is at
Montzah, a few miles out of Alexandria, on a beautiful bay of the
Mediterranean Sea. Abbas Hilmi has built a palace there, or rather
two palaces, a little one for himself and a larger one for his family. In
other parts of the estate he is carrying on all sorts of breeding
experiments. He has chicken houses and rabbit hutches as well as a
tower containing thousands of pigeons.
The Khedive is interested in fine stock and is doing much to
improve that of Egypt. On his various farms he has high-bred horses,
cattle, and sheep. He has a large number of Arabian thoroughbred
horses, and some Jersey, Swiss, and other fine breeds of cows. His
water buffaloes, known here as gamoushes, are far better than any
others of the Nile valley. He is also breeding cattle for oxen and
mules for draft animals. He has a school on his estate near Cairo
where two hundred boys are being educated to take places on his
various properties. This school is run at his own expense, the boys
being taught farming and surveying as well as reading, writing, and
arithmetic. The course of study lasts for five years, at the end of
which the graduate is pretty sure of a good position as a steward or
overseer on one of the khedivial farms.
Abbas Hilmi has made a great deal of money within the last three
or four years. He is investing largely in Cairo and is building
apartment houses with elevators, telephones, electric lights,
bathrooms, and all other modern improvements. He has a brick
factory on one of his estates near here, and his profits from cotton
and other crops must be very large.
Abbas Hilmi’s wife is the Princess Ikbal Hanem, whom he married
when he was about twenty. She is said to be both accomplished and
beautiful, but like all Mohammedan ladies, she leads a secluded life,
and does not appear at the great functions at the palace. She is not
seen at the Khedive’s grand ball, given to his officials and the
foreigners about once a year, to which something like fifteen hundred
guests are invited. She is present, all the same, however, for she has
a screened chamber looking down upon the ballroom, with the
curtains so arranged that she can watch the dancing and flirting
while she herself is unseen. Her Majesty has gorgeous apartments
in each of the palaces and a little court of her own of which the noble
ladies of Egypt are a part.
CHAPTER IX
EL-AZHAR AND ITS TEN THOUSAND MOSLEM
STUDENTS

The biggest university of the Mohammedan world is situated in


Cairo. It has, all told, over ten thousand students, and its professors
number more than four hundred. Its students come from every
country where Mohammedanism flourishes. There are hundreds
here from India, and some from Malaya and Java. There are large
numbers from Morocco, as well as from Algeria, Tunisia, and Tripoli.
There are black Nubians, yellow-skinned Syrians and Turks, and
boys from southeastern Europe with faces as fair as our own. There
are long-gowned, turbaned Persians, fierce-eyed Afghans, and
brown-skinned men from the Sudan and from about Kuka, Bornu,
and Timbuktu. The students are of all ages from fifteen to seventy-
five, and some have spent their lives in the college.
This university has been in existence for almost a thousand years.
It was founded A.D. 972, and from that time to this it has been
educating the followers of the Prophet. It is to-day perhaps the
strongest force among these people in Egypt. Ninety-two per cent. of
the inhabitants of the Nile valley are Mohammedans and most of the
native officials have been educated here. There are at least thirty
thousand men in the public service among its graduates, while the
judges of the villages, the teachers in the mosque schools, and the
imams, or priests, who serve throughout Egypt are connected with it.
They hold the university in such high regard that an order from its
professors would be as much respected as one from the
government, if not more.
A fifteen-minutes drive from the hotel quarter through the bazaars of the Mouski
and the narrow “Street of the Booksellers” brings one to the university of El-Azhar,
for 900 years the educational centre of the Moslem world.

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