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W. W. Norton & Company has been independent since
its founding in 1923, when William Warder Norton and
Mary D. Herter Norton fi rst published lectures delivered
at the People’s Institute, the adult education division of
New York City’s Cooper Union. The fi rm soon expanded
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0
Brief Contents
v
Contents
Preface xv
International Development Resources on the Internet xxiii
PART ONE
Development and Growth
1 Patterns of Development 3
Three Vignettes | Malaysia | Ethiopia | Ukraine | Development
and Globalization | Rich and Poor Countries | Growth and
Development | Diversity in Development Achievements | Approaches
to Development | The Study of Development Economics |
Organization | Summary
vii
viii CONTENTS
P ART TW O
Distribution and Human Resources
7 Population 217
A Brief History of World Population | The Demographic Transition | The
Demographic Situation Today | total fertility rates | The Demographic
Future | population momentum | The Causes of Population Growth |
Thomas Malthus, Population Pessimist | Why Birth Rates Decline |
Population Growth and Economic Development | Population and
Accumulation | population growth, age structure, and dependency
ratios | Population and Productivity | Population and Market Failures |
Population Policy | Family Planning | Authoritarian Approaches |
missing girls, missing women | Population Issues for the Twenty-First
Century | Summary
8 Education 257
Trends and Patterns | Stocks and Flows | Boys versus Girls | Schooling
versus Education | Education as an Investment | The Rate of Return
to Schooling | Estimated Rates of Return | First-Generation Estimates |
estimating rates of return from wage equations | Second-Generation
Estimates | Puzzles | returns to schooling and income opportunities |
Making Schooling More Productive | Underinvestment | Misallocation |
Improving Schools | Reducing the Costs of Going to School | mexico’s
progresa | Inefficient Use of Resources | It Is about More than the
Money | combating TEACHER absence | Summary
9 Health 299
What Is Health? | life expectancy | Transitions in Global Health | The
Epidemiologic Transition | The Determinants of Improved Health | Health,
Income, and Growth | Income and Health | how beneficent is the
market? a look at the modern history of mortality | Health and
Productivity | Health and Investment | Three Critical Diseases |
malaria, yellow fever, and the panama canal | HIV/AIDS |
hiv/aids, malaria, and tuberculosis: some basics | Malaria | making
markets for vaccines | Tuberculosis | What Works? Some Successes
in Global Health | Preventing HIV/AIDS in Thailand | Controlling
Tuberculosis in China | Eradicating Smallpox | Eliminating Polio in
Latin America | Preventing Deaths from Diarrheal Disease | Lessons
Learned | Health Challenges | Summary
x CONTENTS
P ART THRE E
Macroeconomic Policies for Development
P ART FOUR
Agriculture, Trade, and Sustainability
Index 803
Preface
I
n 1983, when the first edition of this textbook was published, 50 percent of the
world’s population lived in nations the World Bank classified as low income. By
2010 the number had dropped to 12 percent. Much of that change is the result of
rapid economic growth in China and India. Today, both are middle-income econ-
omies. But economic growth and development has not been limited to these two
Asian giants. “Africa Rising” was the cover story of a 2011 issue of The Economist,
reflecting more than a decade of rapid growth in a region The Economist 10 years ear-
lier referred to as “The Hopeless Continent.” Throughout Africa, East and South Asia,
Latin America, and elsewhere, dramatic improvements have been taking place in the
education, health, and living standards of billions of people.
The study of the economics of development has had to keep pace with these his-
toric changes. We have tried to keep pace as well. In this as in previous editions, we
have incorporated new ideas and new data and provide fresh insights from the expe-
riences of the nations that make up the developing world. While there is much that is
new in this seventh edition, the distinguishing features of this text remain the same:
xv
xvi P R E FA C E
students, including those with significant training in economics, who are taking their
first course in development economics.
Chapter 1 (Patterns of Development) has been condensed. It begins with the three
vignettes—on Malaysia, Ethiopia, and Ukraine—that were introduced in the previ-
ous edition and updated for this one. The chapter includes a new table on the classi-
fication of world economies and populations according to income status. Also added
is a section on how the study of development economics differs from the study of
economics as applied to developed nations.
Chapter 3 (Economic Growth: Concepts and Patterns) has been reorganized and
updated to include the latest data and country examples. This edition features a new
box on the calculation of growth rates, future values, and doubling times. Previous
material on the characteristics of production functions and on growth convergence
has been moved to Chapter 4. The previous discussion of structural change has been
entirely rewritten and relocated to Chapter 16, where it supports the discussion of
economic dualism.
P R E FA C E xvii
Chapter 4 (Theories of Economic Growth) has also been streamlined and consoli-
dated. This edition integrates into its presentation of growth theory the discussions
of production functions and growth convergence previously found in Chapter 3. The
previous discussion of dual-sector growth models has been eliminated from the dis-
cussion of growth theory and relocated to Chapter 16, where its primary purpose is
to illustrate sectoral interactions as a foundation for discussing the role of agriculture
in development. Chapter 4 also provides newly updated data and illustrative figures.
*Chapter 5 (States and Markets) raises the central question, What makes economic
development happen? For this edition, senior author, Dwight Perkins, takes a fresh
look, tracing the evolution of thinking about development from Adam Smith, through
notions of The Big Push advanced in the 1940s by economist Paul Rosenstein-Rodan,
to more recent debates over Structural Adjustment and the Washington Consensus.
Chapter 7 (Population) incorporates the United Nations 2010 Revision to its world
population projections. The chapter now includes more discussion of the demo-
graphic dividend and a new section on population issues for the twenty-first century.
Chapter 8 (Education) benefits from recent revisions to the Barro-Lee data set
on school attainment and from recent results of the Organisation for Economic
Co-Operation and Development’s (OECD) Programme for International Student
Assessment (PISA). Fuller use is made of econometric approaches, including natural
experiments and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in determining rates of return
to schooling and the effectiveness of alternative interventions to improve learning
outcomes. A new box on combating teacher absence has been added.
*Chapter 10 (Investment and Savings) draws on material from two chapters in the
sixth edition. The chapter assumes students have had some background in the prin-
ciples of macroeconomics and focuses on topics central to developing nations. These
include barriers to both public and private investment and alternative sources of
xviii P R E FA C E
Chapter 13 (Foreign Debt and Financial Crises) is updated to provide the most
recent data on foreign debt and provides current examples of financial crises (includ-
ing the 2010–11 Euro Zone crisis, though the focus remains on developing countries).
Chapter 14 (Foreign Aid) has been updated to reflect recent trends in official devel-
opment assistance, which, in part, are the results of events in Afghanistan, Iraq, and
Pakistan. New boxes have been added on the commitment to development index
and on Chinese foreign aid.
*Chapter 16 (Agriculture and Development) is the first of two entirely new chapters
on agriculture. This chapter places agriculture in its broad developmental context,
emphasizing the potential contributions of agriculture to both growth and poverty
alleviation. Specific topics include structural transformation, dual-sector growth
models, agriculture and growth, and agriculture as a pathway out of poverty.
the benefits of trade and its distributional consequences. Special attention is paid to
trade in primary products, including export pessimism and the terms of trade, Dutch
disease and the real exchange rate, and the resource curse and responses to it.
*Chapter 19 (Trade Policy) builds on the broad discussion of trade and develop-
ment in the previous chapter. It reviews import substitution as a trade strategy and
the consequences of trade protection. This is followed by discussion of export orien-
tation, including experience with export processing zones. Evidence is presented on
trade, growth, and poverty alleviation. The chapter concludes with an examination
of key issues on the global trade agenda, such as the impact of China and India on
global trade competition, sweatshops and labor standards, the Doha Round of trade
negotiations, and temporary labor migration as a strategy to alleviate world poverty.
Steven Radelet joined Economics of Development for its fifth edition. At the time he
was a fellow at Harvard’s Institute for International Development and taught in both
Harvard’s economics department and the Kennedy School of Government. He sub-
sequently was deputy assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury for Africa, the Middle
East, and South Asia; a Senior Fellow at the Center for Global Development; and
Senior Advisor on Development for Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. He is an expert
on foreign aid, developing country debt and financial crises, and economic growth
and has extensive experience in West Africa and Southeast Asia. He currently serves
as Chief Economist for the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). In
that capacity he was unable to contribute to this edition but his prior work on the
textbook significantly informs this edition as well.
Acknowledgments
Any textbook that makes it to a seventh edition accumulates many debts to colleagues
who read chapters, provided feedback, or contributed in some way to the success and
longevity of the work. We owe many thanks to many people. In these acknowledg-
ments, we wish to thank those individuals who contributed to this edition.
P R E FA C E xxi
D.H.P. Cambridge
S.R. Washington, D.C.
D.L.L. Wellesley
S.A.B. Tufts
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Language: English
From the
Earliest Period
to the Present
Time
BY
LEO WIENER
ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF SLAVIC
LANGUAGES AT HARVARD
UNIVERSITY
In Two Parts
8o with Photogravure
Frontispieces
G. P. PUTNAM’S SONS
NEW YORK LONDON
Lomonosow
Anthology of Russian Literature
From the Earliest Period to the
Present Time
By
Leo Wiener
Assistant Professor of Slavic Languages at Harvard University
IN TWO PARTS
G. P. Putnam’s Sons
New York and London
The Knickerbocker Press
1902
Copyright, 1902
BY
LEO WIENER