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A-1 Kieso Intermediate 13ce Excel DAP 13.1-Student File
A-1 Kieso Intermediate 13ce Excel DAP 13.1-Student File
A-1 Kieso Intermediate 13ce Excel DAP 13.1-Student File
DAP 13.1
Note: Additional instructions can be found in the respective tabs. Please note that numbers have been rounded for internal co
e been rounded for internal consistency.
Additional information
1) An excel spreadsheet with raw data has been provided representing 100 customers of Compton Canada Corpo
Columns A – H come directly from CCC's Warranty Tracking System, with further information by column below
Column A Customer number (to keep the analysis anonymous, customer name and address information
Column B Customer Survey Rating (CSR) of their satisfaction with the new HSS-12 product in the first ye
indicates completely dissatisfied. 5 indicates a neutral opinion (neither satisfied nor dissatisfi
Column C Average Repair Cost for the first year of ownership (in dollars, before GST, PST and/or HST).
E and I).
Column D Industry Trend Cost (the average increase in cost of repairs for the industry over the past 3 ye
Column E Repair technician projected percentage increase in Repair Cost for year 2 of the warranty, co
Column F Customer Location/Region. CCC has customers across Canada, with information provided by
within the province.
Column G Other information (crime statistics (monthly calls per one thousand residents)).
Column H Other information (climate impact score - ranges from 50 to 100, higher number implies hum
reliability).
Column I Number of repairs to the HSS-12 unit during Year 1 (by customer).
2) Using other information related to the probability of a breakdown - you have determined that:
Column Ref.
B i) Customer Survey Ratings (customer satisfaction) are a lead indicator of the probability of a br
2 , scores of 7 & 8 = 2% chance, 5 & 6 = 3%, and under 5 = 5%).
I ii) The number of repairs in year 1 is a starting point for likely breakdowns in year 2. There is so
chance of a breakdown, 1 = 2%, 2 = 3%, 3 or more = 5%.
G iii) Crime statistics provide a rough estimate of failures of the HSS-12 product. If crimes reporte
increases by 50% (that is, 1% increases to 1.5%, 2% increases to 3%, etc)
H iv) The climate impact score ranges from 50 to 100, with a higher number implying humidity and
breakdown probability, take column H/100 x 3%.
Column Ref.
C v) The average repair cost varies over time, but is quite consistent within each region.
D vi) Because the HSS-12 is more complex than most products in the industry, the repair costs are
E vii) Technicians provide useful estimates of the expected increase in cost of repairs, but they are
rs of Compton Canada Corporation's (CCC's) warranty related information.
nformation by column below:
and residents)).
0, higher number implies humidity and other weather conditions which adversely affect
r).
ermined that:
cator of the probability of a breakdown (scores of 9 & 10 have a 1% chance of breakdown in year
kdowns in year 2. There is some reversion to the mean. Over all, 0 breakdowns implies a 1%
12 product. If crimes reported are greater than 3 per thousand, probability of a breakdown
3%, etc)
umber implying humidity and weather conditions. To convert the climate impact score to a
3.3 88 3
3.3 88 -
3.3 88 1
3.3 88 -
3.3 88 -
3.3 88 1
3.3 88 -
3.3 88 3
3.3 88 -
3.3 88 1
3.1 84 1
3.1 84 1
3.1 84 1
3.1 84 3
3.1 84 2
3.1 84 -
2.2 81 -
2.2 81 -
2.2 81 1
2.2 81 -
2.2 81 1
2.8 75 -
2.8 75 -
2.8 75 1
2.8 75 1
2.9 78 -
2.8 75 1
2.9 78 -
2.8 75 2
2.9 78 1
2.9 78 -
2.8 75 4
2.8 75 -
2.9 78 1
2.8 75 2
2.9 78 1
2.8 75 3
2.8 75 2
2.8 75 2
2.8 75 2
2.6 79 -
2.6 79 -
2.6 79 -
2.6 79 1
2.6 79 1
2.6 79 3
2.6 79 3
2.6 79 -
2.6 79 1
2.6 79 2
2.4 76 -
2.4 76 -
2.4 76 -
2.4 76 1
2.4 76 3
2.4 76 3
2.4 76 -
2.2 84 -
2.2 84 1
2.2 84 1
2.2 84 1
2.5 86 -
2.5 86 1
2.5 86 -
2.5 86 -
2.5 86 -
2.3 85 -
2.3 85 2
2.3 85 -
2.3 85 2
2.3 85 1
2.4 87 1
2.4 87 -
2.4 87 -
2.4 87 1
2.4 87 1
3.6 82 -
3.6 82 1
3.6 82 3
3.6 82 -
3.6 82 2
3.6 82 1
3.6 82 1
3.6 82 2
3.6 82 -
3.4 86 -
3.4 86 1
3.4 86 3
3.4 86 1
3.1 83 1
3.1 83 -
3.1 83 -
3.2 84 -
3.2 84 3
3.2 84 3
3.2 84 1
2.8 85 -
2.8 85 2
2.8 85 1
2.8 85 -
2.83 81.9 0.98
Compton Canada Corporation (CCC) - Data Analytics to estimate warranty costs
*see the WileyPLUS Data Analytics and Accounting module for further background information.
Compton Canada Corporation (CCC) - Data Analytics to estimate warranty costs
Part b(i) Use the information provided to create a warranty cost prediction model - that is, to estima
See the additional information tab and use the information in part 2 to estimate the probability of a claim (that is, the probab
If you assume that the information from the Raw Data tab provides a random sample, you can determine the probability of ea
While no individual estimate is perfect, calculating the average probability of a breakdown based on items i), iii) and iv) above
SOLUTION
To use the raw data to determine the average probability of a claim, first create 2 input data tables for the information given i
These tables will allow you to reference this data to the new columns you will add (columns J, K, L, M) below.
Table 1 - Probability of a claim based on CSR Table 2 - Probability of a claim based on # Repa
Chance of a Breakdown
Chance of a
Breakdown # Repairs in Crime Stats
CSR
Year 1 <= 3 per thsd
Copy the raw data from the Raw Data tab (A4:I103) and paste below starting in cell A65. Complete 4 new columns (columns J
RAW DATA:
f a claim (that is, the probability of the HSS-10 breaking down), by customer.
obability of a breakdown (scores of 9 & 10 have a 1% chance of breakdown in year 2 , scores of 7 & 8 = 2% chance, 5 & 6 = 3%, and under 5
r 2. There is some reversion to the mean. Over all, 0 breakdowns implies a 1% chance of a breakdown, 1 = 2%, 2 = 3%, 3 or more = 5%.
crimes reported are greater than 3 per thousand, probability of a breakdown (per ii above) increases by 50% (that is, 1% increases to 1.5%
g humidity and weather conditions. To convert the climate impact score to a breakdown probability, take column H/100 x 3%.
Chance of a Breakdown
Crime Stats
> 3 per thsd *Note: Table 1 - you do not type a range into column B for the CSR as provided in (i) above. The Vlookup
as ranges (i.e. for a CSR of 6, Excel will assume that a CSR of 5 is actually "5 to 6.9" because the next cell
Therefore, you should be entering the bottom or lowest point of each range into each cell in Table 1.
As a checkpoint for your solution, you should see that a CSR of 6 in row 65 results in a probability of a cla
Probability of a claim
Probability of a Probability of a
Climate Probability of a AVERAGE
Number of claim based on claim based on
Impact claim based on PROBABILITY
Repairs # Repairs and Climate Impact
Score CSR OF A CLAIM
Crime Stats Score
8 = 2% chance, 5 & 6 = 3%, and under 5 = 5%).
wn, 1 = 2%, 2 = 3%, 3 or more = 5%.
s by 50% (that is, 1% increases to 1.5%, 2% increases to 3%, etc)
y, take column H/100 x 3%.
CSR as provided in (i) above. The Vlookup formula in Excel automatically treats single values
is actually "5 to 6.9" because the next cell (CSR 7) is higher than 6.
of each range into each cell in Table 1.
6 in row 65 results in a probability of a claim based on CSR of 3% in column J.
h customer.
Compton Canada Corporation (CCC) - Data Analytics to estimate warranty costs
Part b(ii) Use the information provided to create a warranty cost prediction model - that is, based on
See the additional information tab and, using the information in part 3 of that tab, estimate the average cost of a claim, by cu
The key information from additional information part 3 has been reproduced below:
Column Ref.
C v) The average repair cost varies over time, but is quite consistent within each region.
D vi) Because the HSS-12 is more complex than most products in the industry, the repair costs are expected to i
E vii) Technicians provide useful estimates of the expected increase in cost of repairs, but they are typically 1.5%
If you assume that the information from the Raw Data tab provides a random sample, you can determine the average cost of a
While no individual estimate is perfect, calculating the average cost of a repair based on the information in v), vi) and vii) abov
SOLUTION
Copy the raw data from the Part b(i) tab (A65:M164) and paste value below starting in cell A54. Complete 5 new columns (co
Column Q Adjusted Avg Repair cost based on tech. proj. repair cost
Create a formula noting 8) above.
Copy this formula down for all rows in the raw data table. Format the data to show as accounting, 2 decimal p
Calculate the averages for all columns at the end of your data below.
RAW DATA:
epair costs are expected to increase at the industry 3 year average plus 2%.
s, but they are typically 1.5% too low in their estimates (on average).
Probability of a claim
Probability of a Probability of a
Climate Probability of a AVERAGE
Number of claim based on claim based on
Impact claim based on PROBABILITY
Repairs # Repairs and Climate Impact
Score CSR OF A CLAIM
Crime Stats Score
Estimated Average Cost of a Repair
ADJ OVERALL
ADJ ADJ ADJ
Avg Repair Cost AVERAGE
Industry Cost Avg Repair Cost Tech Proj. Inc.
based on Tech ADJUSTED
Trend (ICT) based on ICT Repair Cost
Proj. Inc. REPAIR COST
Compton Canada Corporation (CCC) - Data Analytics to estimate warranty costs
Part c Using the model you created in Part b, calculate an estimate of the required provision for th
Using the probability of a customer making a claim and the estimated average cost of a claim from Part b(i) and b(ii), you can
This can be done by taking the number of units sold by region (see below) and multiplying this by both the average probability
A Pivot Table is the most efficient way to use the data in part b(ii) to determine the probability of a claim and average cost of
To create a Pivot Table, first ensure you are on the data on the part b(ii) tab. When you are anywhere on this data (no need to
The entire data will be selected for you. Choose where you want the Pivot Table to be placed by choosing Existing Worksheet
on the cell in the student work area below (again refer to the screen shot here for assistance).
(Hint: If you are not familiar with creating Pivot Tables, you may wish to use Excel's help feature to assist you. If you do end up
copy it from that tab and paste it into the student work area below).
When the Pivot Table is created below, place appropriate fields in the 4 quadrants to complete it. A useful allocation for the P
1) Report filter: (not required)
2) ∑ Values: AVERAGE of both columns M and R (average probability of a claim and overall average adjusted
3) Row Labels: Customer Location-Region
4) Column Labels: (not required)
Copy the data from this Pivot Table and paste VALUES to complete columns D and E in the summary table next.
Column F will then multiply units sold x probabilty of a claim x average cost of a claim to determine the overall total estimated
art b(i) and b(ii), you can now calculate the probability of a claim and average cost of a claim for each region (i.e. BC-VCR, Alberta, etc.)
h the average probability of a claim in that region and the average cost per claim in that region (using data from part b(ii)).
aim and average cost of claim by region. The key information required is in columns M and R in part b(ii).
e on this data (no need to highlight it all), from the top menu bar select Insert, Pivot Table.
osing Existing Worksheet (see a screen shot here) and clicking
able next.
he overall total estimated cost by region.
Try to create two charts to graphically display any possible trends between the probability of a claim to the average cost of a c
number of units sold to the probability of a claim. What do you see? (you can position these charts in the spaces provided be
ch doesn't make any sense!
i.e. BC-VCR, Alberta, etc.)
m part b(ii)).
Part d Briefly summarize the limitations of your warranty cost prediction model
*see the WileyPLUS Data Analytics and Accounting module for background information.