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Prob
Prob
Probability 2
2. Probability
(a) [1 point] Describe sample space associated with flipping a coin until either heads
or tails occurs twice. Choose one.
(b) [1 point] Number of four–digit numbers that can be formed from digits 1, 2 and
3, if each four–digit number must be odd is (choose one)
(i) 27
(ii) 35
(iii) 44
(iv) 54
(v) 67
(c) [1 point] In two rolls of a fair die, let event 𝐴 be the event that no fours, fives or
sixes are rolled. Then, 𝑃 (𝐴) = (choose one)
8
(i) 36
9
(ii) 36
(iii) 10
36
11
(iv) 36
(v) 1336
(d) [1 point] Let 𝐸 and 𝐹 be two events of an experiment where 𝑃 (𝐸) = 0.35,
𝑃 (𝐹 ) = 0.15 and 𝑃 (𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 ) = 0.03. Then 𝑃 (𝐸¯ ∪ 𝐹¯ ) =
(i) 0.96
(ii) 0.97
(iii) 0.98
(iv) 0.99
(v) 1.00
Chapter 2. Probability 3
(e) [1 point] A survey was conducted comparing age with number of visits per year
to doctor. One person is chosen at random.
Chance person is a youth, given s/he makes 4–8 visits is (choose closest one):
(i) 0.112
(ii) 0.130
(iii) 0.183
(iv) 0.213
(v) 0.303
(f ) [1 point] Two tickets drawn at random without replacement from following box.
1𝑎 2𝑎 1𝑏 3𝑏 2𝑐 3𝑐
Probability first ticket is a “1” and second card is a “2” is (choose closest one)
(i) 0.1333
(ii) 0.2163
(iii) 0.2566
(iv) 0.3777
(v) 0.4333
(g) [1 point] Urn A has 10 red and 9 blue marbles; urn B has 10 red and 10 blue
marbles. A fair coin is tossed. If coin comes up heads, a marble from urn A is
chosen, otherwise a marble from urn B is chosen. Chance coin is flipped heads
given a red marble is chosen is (choose closest one)
17
(i) 39
(ii) 18
39
(iii) 19
39
20
(iv) 39
(v) 2139
Chapter 3. Discrete Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions 4
𝑦 0 1 2 3 4 5
𝑝(𝑦) 0.10 0.28 0.18 0.11 0.16 0.17
(i) 0.41
(ii) 1.45
(iii) 2.46
(iv) 3.45
(v) 3.76
𝑦 0 1 2 3 4 5
𝑝(𝑦) 0.10 0.28 0.18 0.11 0.16 0.17
(i) 0.37
(ii) 0.40
(iii) 1.66
(iv) 2.75
(v) 3.76
(i) 8
(ii) 16
(iii) 20
(iv) 24
(v) 32
Chapter 3. Discrete Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions 5
(d) [1 point] On a multiple choice exam with 5 possible answers for each of 10 ques-
tions, what is probability a student gets 8 or more correct answers just by
guessing? Choose closest one. [Hint: binomial.]
(i) 5.7926 × 10−5
(ii) 6.7926 × 10−5
(iii) 7.7926 × 10−5
(iv) 8.7926 × 10−5
(v) 9.7926 × 10−5
(e) [1 point] There is a 43% chance of making a basket on a free throw and each
throw is independent of each other throw. What is expected number of throws
to make first basket? Choose one. [Hint: geometric.]
(i) 2.33
(ii) 4.65
(iii) 6.11
(iv) 8.39
(v) 10.42
(f ) [1 point] There is a 95% chance of passing any exam. What is variance in number
of attempts until third exam is passed? Choose closest one. [Hint: negative
binomial.]
(i) 0.146
(ii) 0.156
(iii) 0.166
(iv) 0.176
(v) 0.186
(g) [1 point] Eight journalists randomly picked from a pack of 240 of which 15 are
also photographers. Chance 3 of 8 picked are photographers is (choose one)
( )( ) ( )( ) ( )( )
8 232 15 225 15 225
3 5 3 5 3 5
(i) ( ) (ii) ( ) (iii) ( )
240 225 240
8 8 8
( )( ) ( )( )
15 225 15 5
5 3 3 5
(iv) ( ) (v) ( )
240 15
8 8
Chapter 3. Discrete Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions 6
(h) [1 point] Average of 𝜆 = 7 particles hit a magnetic detection field per microsec-
ond. What is probability at most 5 particles hit in one microsecond? Choose
closest one. [Hint: poisson.]
(i) 0.231
(ii) 0.254
(iii) 0.273
(iv) 0.293
(v) 0.301
(i) binomial, 𝝁 = 4
(ii) binomial, 𝝈 = 4
(iii) geometric, 𝝁 = 4
(iv) geometric, 𝝈 = 4
(v) poisson, 𝝁 = 4
(i) 0.75
(ii) 0.80
(iii) 0.85
(iv) 0.90
(v) 0.95
Chapter 4. Continuous Variables and Their Probability Distributions 7
(i) − 47
50
(ii) − 48
50
(iii) − 49
50
(iv) − 50
50
(v) does not exist
(i) 3
(ii) 9
(iii) 12
(iv) 15
(v) 18
(i) 0.61
(ii) 0.68
(iii) 0.73
(iv) 0.79
(v) 0.81
(i) 3
(ii) 6
(iii) 9
(iv) 15
(v) 18
(i) 23
(ii) 24
(iii) 25
(iv) 26
(v) 27
Chapter 4. Continuous Variables and Their Probability Distributions 9
(i) 1241
(ii) 1341
(iii) 1441
(iv) 1541
(v) 1641
(i) 0.4449
(ii) 0.5449
(iii) 0.6449
(iv) 0.7449
(v) 0.8449
(i) 6
(ii) 24
(iii) 120
(iv) 720
(v) 5040
(l) [1 point] For a Beta random variable, parameters (𝛼, 𝛽) = (4.5, 6.5),
𝜇 = (choose closest one)
(i) 0.409
(ii) 0.419
(iii) 0.429
(iv) 0.439
(v) 0.449
2 𝑡2 /2
(m) [1 point] Moment–generating function for normal random variable 𝑌 is 𝑒𝜇𝑡+𝜎
2
and so, for 𝑚(𝑡) = 𝑒−5𝑡+6𝑡 , 𝑃 (𝑌 ≤ −7) ≈ (choose closest one)
(i) 0.104
(ii) 0.211
(iii) 0.233
(iv) 0.254
(v) 0.282
Chapter 5. Multivariate Probability Distributions 11
𝑦2 ↓ 𝑦1 → 1 2 3
-1 0 0.4 0.1
-2 0.3 0.2 0
𝑦1 -1 -2
(i)
𝑝(𝑦1 ) 0.5 0.5
𝑦1 1 2 3
(ii)
𝑝(𝑦1 ) 0.3 0.6 0.1
𝑦2 -1 -2
(iii)
𝑝(𝑦2 ) 0.5 0.5
𝑦2 1 2 3
(iv)
𝑝(𝑦2 ) 0.3 0.6 0.1
𝑦2 -1 -2
(v)
𝑝(𝑦1 ) 0.5 0.5
𝑦2 ↓ 𝑦1 → 1 2 3
-1 0 0.4 0.1
-2 0.3 0.2 0
(i) 0.1
(ii) 0.2
(iii) 0.3
(iv) 0.4
(v) 0.5
Chapter 5. Multivariate Probability Distributions 12
and {
3
+ 45 𝑦2 0 < 𝑦2 < 1
𝑓2 (𝑦2 ) = 8
0 elsewhere
Then 𝑓 (𝑦1 ∣𝑦2 ) = (choose one)
1
(3𝒚1 +5𝒚2 )
(i) 4
3
+5 𝒚
8 4 1
3
𝒚 +5
4 1
(ii) 1
8
(3𝒚1 +5𝒚2 )
4
1
(3𝒚1 +5𝒚2 )
(iii) 4
3
𝒚 +5
4 1 8
3
+5 𝒚
4 2
(iv) 1
8
(3𝒚1 +5𝒚2 )
4
1
(3𝒚1 +5𝒚2 )
(v) 4
3
+5 𝒚
8 4 2
𝑦2 ↓ 𝑦1 → 1 2 3
-1 0 0.4 0.1
-2 0.3 0.2 0
(i) 0.16
(ii) 0.22
(iii) 0.28
(iv) 0.32
(v) 0.36
(f ) [1 point] Let {
6(1 − 𝑦2 ), 0 ≤ 𝑦1 ≤ 𝑦2 ≤ 1
𝑓 (𝑦1 , 𝑦2 ) =
0, otherwise
Then 𝐸(𝑌1 𝑌2 ) = (circle one)
1
(i) 20
2
(ii) 20
3
(iii) 20
4
(iv) 20
5
(v) 20
Chapter 5. Multivariate Probability Distributions 14
(g) [1 point] If {
6(1 − 𝑦2 ), 0 ≤ 𝑦1 ≤ 𝑦2 ≤ 1
𝑓 (𝑦1 , 𝑦2 ) =
0, otherwise
and two marginal densities are
and
𝑓2 (𝑦2 ) = 6𝑦2 − 6𝑦22
3
and 𝐸(𝑌1 𝑌2 ) = 20
, then Cov(𝑌1 , 𝑌2 ) = (choose one)
1
(i) 40
2
(ii) 40
3
(iii) 40
4
(iv) 40
5
(v) 40
𝑦2 ↓ 𝑦1 → 1 2 3
-1 0 0.4 0.1
-2 0.3 0.2 0
(i) 2.1
(ii) 2.2
(iii) 2.3
(iv) 2.4
(v) 2.5
Chapter 5. Multivariate Probability Distributions 15
(j) [1 point] There are 9 different faculty members and 3 subjects: mathematics,
statistics and physics. There is a 60%, 35% and 15% chance a faculty mem-
ber teaches mathematics, statistics and physics, respectively. Let 𝑌1 , 𝑌2 and
𝑌3 represent number of faculty teaching mathematics, statistics and physics,
respectively. Then 𝑉 (𝑌1 + 3𝑌2 ) = (choose closest one)
(i) 9.0475
(ii) 9.1475
(iii) 9.2475
(iv) 9.3475
(v) 9.4475
Chapter 6. Functions of Random Variables 16
(i) 𝒇𝑼 (𝒖) = 1
2
(3 − 𝒖)2 , 2≤𝒖≤4
(ii) 𝒇𝑼 (𝒖) = 22 (3 − 𝒖)2 , 2≤𝒖≤3
(iii) 𝒇𝑼 (𝒖) = 32 (3 − 𝒖)2 , 2≤𝒖≤4
(iv) 𝒇𝑼 (𝒖) = 42 (3 − 𝒖)2 , 2≤𝒖≤4
(v) 𝒇𝑼 (𝒖) = 52 (3 − 𝒖)2 , 2≤𝒖≤6
𝑑 −1
If 𝑈 = 2𝑌 2 , then 𝑓𝑈 (𝑢) = 𝑓𝑌 (ℎ−1 (𝑢)) 𝑑𝑢
ℎ (𝑢) = (choose one)
[( ) 1 ] ( )− 1 ( )− 1
𝒖 1 𝒖 1 𝒖
(i) 𝒇𝒀 2
2
4 2
3
= 8 2
3
[( ) 1 ] ( )− 1 ( )− 1
𝒖 1 𝒖 1 𝒖
(ii) 𝒇𝒀 2
2
3 2
2
= 6 2
2
[( ) 1 ] ( )− 1 ( )− 1
𝒖 1 𝒖 1 𝒖
(iii) 𝒇𝒀 3
2
4 2
2
= 12 2
3
[( ) 1 ] ( )− 1 ( )− 1
𝒖 1 𝒖 1 𝒖
(iv) 𝒇𝒀 2
2
4 2
2
= 8 2
2
[( ) 1 ] ( )− 1 ( )− 1
𝒖 1 𝒖 1 𝒖
(v) 𝒇𝒀 2
3
4 2
3
= 12 3
3
Chapter 6. Functions of Random Variables 17
(a) [1 point] Assume number of fish caught, 𝑌 , at a lake on any trip, is a random
variable with following distribution.
𝑦 1 2 3
𝑝(𝑦) 0.1 0.8 0.1
2
Two parameters, 𝜇𝑋¯ and 𝜎𝑋 ¯ , for sampling distribution of average number of
fish caught on two trips to lake are given by, respectively, (choose closest pair)
(i) 0.61
(ii) 0.65
(iii) 0.69
(iv) 0.73
(v) 0.77
(c) [1 point] Suppose lake level, 𝑌 , on any given day in Lake Michigan is normally
distributed, variance in lake level, 𝑆12 , is measured over 𝑛1 = 5 random days at
St. Joseph harbor, variance in lake level, 𝑆22 is measured
( 2
over
)
𝑛2 = 7 random
2 2 𝑆1
days at South Haven harbor. If 𝜎1 = 3𝜎2 and 𝑃 𝑆 2 < 𝑏 = 0.95, then 𝑏 =
2
(choose one)
(i) 9.34
(ii) 10.24
(iii) 10.75
(iv) 10.85
(v) 11.03
Chapter 7. Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem 19
(i) 160
(ii) 164
(iii) 170
(iv) 174
(v) 180