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Instant Download PDF GLOBAL 2nd Edition Mike Peng Solutions Manual Full Chapter
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Instant Download PDF GLOBAL 2nd Edition Mike Peng Solutions Manual Full Chapter
Solutions Manual
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© 2013 Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.
Chapter 7
DEALING WITH FOREIGN EXCHANGE
Learning Objectives
After studying this chapter, you should be able to:
1. List the factors that determine foreign exchange rates.
2. Articulate and explain the steps in the evolution of the international monetary
system.
3. Identify strategic responses firms can take to deal with foreign exchange
movements.
4. Identify three things you need to know about currency when doing business
internationally.
Chapter Summary
This chapter begins by considering the factors that determine foreign exchange rates,
including relative price differences, purchasing power parity (PPP), interest rates, money
supply, productivity, balance of payments, exchange rate policies, and investor
psychology. The second section of the chapter looks at the history of the international
monetary system from the gold standard to post–Bretton Woods. Finally, we look at
strategies for financial and non-financial firms.
_______________________________________________________________________
CHAPTER OUTLINE
_______________________________________________________________________
2. Key Terms
• Appreciation is an increase in the value of the currency.
• Balance of payments is a country’s international transaction statement, which
includes merchandise trade, service trade, and capital movement.
• Bandwagon effect refers to the effect of investors moving in the same direction
at the same time, like a herd.
• Capital flight is a phenomenon in which a large number of individuals and
companies exchange domestic currencies for a foreign currency.
• Clean (or free) float is a pure market solution to determine exchange rates.
• Depreciation is a loss in the value of the currency.
• Dirty (or managed) float refers to using selective government intervention to
determine exchange rates.
• Fixed rate policy is setting the exchange rate of a currency relative to other
currencies.
• Foreign exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another.
• Floating (or flexible) exchange rate policy is the willingness of a government to
let demand and supply conditions determine exchange rates.
• Target exchange rates (or crawling bands) refer to specified upper or lower
bounds within which an exchange rate is allowed to fluctuate.
3. Discussion Exercise
While we often attribute movements in exchange rate to purely economic reasons,
investor psychology can produce dramatic swings, as well. To illustrate this point,
lead the students through a game. The game begins with the instructor passing out
amounts of money in various currencies (these can be copied, or even just pieces
of paper with the denomination written). The instructor should then post a table of
the exchange rates between the various currencies, with an explanation that the
rates will change periodically. Then, invite the students to sell the currencies that
they have and buy others, the objective being to end up with the most money. At
random points in the game, the instructor should make changes to the exchange
rate table, sometimes small and others times very dramatic. Given these changes,
some students may choose to trade as much as possible, in order to take advantage
of exchange rate changes, while other students may choose to hang on to what
they have, so as not to be hurt by potential future changes.
LO2: Articulate and explain the steps in the evolution of the international monetary
system.
1. Key Concepts
The international monetary system evolved from the gold standard (1870– 1914),
to the Bretton Woods system (1944–1973), and eventually to the current post-
Bretton Woods system (1973–present). The IMF, an enduring legacy of the
Bretton Woods system, serves as a lender of last resort to help member countries
fight balance of payments problems.
2. Key Terms
• Bretton Woods system was a system in which all currencies were pegged at a
fixed rate to the US dollar.
• Common denominator is a currency or commodity to which the value of all
currencies are pegged.
• Gold standard was a system in which the value of most major currencies was
maintained by fixing their prices in terms of gold.
• International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an international organization that was
established to promote international monetary cooperation, exchange stability,
and orderly exchange arrangements.
• Post–Bretton Woods system is a system of flexible exchange rate regimes with
no official common denominator.
• Quota refers to the weight a member country carries within the IMF, which
determines the amount of its financial contribution (technically known as its
“subscription”), its capacity to borrow from the IMF, and its voting power.
LO3: Identify strategic responses firms can take to deal with foreign exchange
movements.
1. Key Concepts
A primary goal for financial companies is to make profit from the foreign
exchange market, where individuals and firms buy and sell currencies. To do so,
there are three types of transactions they can undertake: (1) spot transactions, (2)
forward transactions, and (3) swaps. Relevant to foreign exchange rates, the
primary concern for non-financial companies is how to deal with the potential
losses that come from fluctuations in rates. The three primary strategies they can
employ are (1) invoicing in their own currencies, (2) currency hedging, and (3)
strategic hedging.
2. Key Terms
• Bid rate is the price at which a bank is willing to buy a currency.
• Currency hedging is a transaction that protects traders and investors from
exposure to the fluctuations of the spot rate.
• Currency risk refers to the potential for loss associated with fluctuations in the
foreign exchange market.
• Currency swap is a foreign exchange transaction between two firms in which
one currency is converted into another at Time 1, with an agreement to revert it
back to the original currency at a specified Time 2 in the future.
• Foreign exchange market is the market where individuals, firms, governments,
and banks buy and sell currencies of other countries.
• Forward discount is a condition under which the forward rate of one currency
relative to another currency is higher than the spot rate.
• Forward premium is a condition under which the forward rate of one currency
relative to another currency is lower than the spot rate.
• Forward transactions are foreign exchange transactions in which participants
buy and sell currencies now for future delivery.
• Offer rate is the price at which a bank is willing to sell a currency.
• Spot transactions are the classic single-shot exchanges of one currency for
another.
• Spread is the difference between the offered price and the bid price.
• Strategic hedging is spreading out activities in a number of countries in different
currency zones to offset any currency losses in one region through gains in other
regions.
3. Discussion Exercise
Non-financial companies that deal with exchange rates have two strategic choices
to safeguard against currency risks: currency hedging and strategic hedging. The
former involves the use of forward transactions, which necessitates some
expectations or forecasts of future rates. Strategic hedging, meanwhile, entails the
spreading out of a firm’s activities in a number of different currency zones in
order to offset losses in any one zone. While currency hedging can largely be
performed by a small group of experts, strategic hedging requires interaction
across many divisions, including production, marketing, sourcing and finance.
Closing Case
• Closing Case Discussion Guide
Some students reading this case may reach the conclusion that international
markets have many risks and that changes in currency values is one of them. They
would be right, of course. However, some may go a step farther and feel that the
risks are too many and too great, thus a firm should focus only on domestic
markets. You need to help them understand the difference between avoiding risk
(not doing anything that contains risk) and risk avoidance via risk management.
2. If you were the CEO of Wal-Mart and were preparing for a meeting with the most
vocal members of the US Congress on China’s currency “manipulation,” what
would you say to them?
It might be tactfully pointed out that those whose votes the members of congress
need to stay in office may include votes from Wal-Mart employees and thus those
employees depend on the firm doing well. The voters might include others whose
employer’s survival (and thus their survival) may be affected by the production
done for Wal-Mart in China. Furthermore, many of those potential voters include
customers whose standard of living would be much lower if they could not obtain
low priced Wal-Mart products.
3. Assuming that the yuan will appreciate further against the dollar, what should
Wal-Mart do?
Contingency planning is essential to any company that wishes to not only survive
but to also expand and prosper. Any source of product or any market could suffer
as a result of an unexpected natural disaster, war, or political upheaval. It
should endeavor to broaden its national and geographic suppliers and to identify
firms around the world that could become suppliers within a short period of time
if needed.
4. If you were an exporter from Argentina, Indonesia, Malaysia, or South Korea and
selling to China, would you accept payment in yuan (instead of dollars)?
Student answers may vary. The important thing is not so much the answer as the
extent to which the student demonstrates thought in providing the answer.
Video Case
Watch “Interpret Numbers with Care” by Sir Peter Middleton of Camelot.
4. Middleton recommended that one ask how a number would look if things were
different. One way to do that is to not simply compare performance in Period B
to Period A but to compare actual performance in Period B to what was forecast
for Period B. For example, suppose your firm’s exports drop by 10%, which
would appear to be bad. How might that be good?
If exports might otherwise have dropped by 50% but a brilliant strategy kept the
drop to only 10%, that would be good.
_______________________________________________________________________
ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
*Review Questions
*Critical Discussion Questions
_______________________________________________________________________
Review Questions
1. What are the five major factors that influence foreign exchange rates?
The basic factor is the supply and demand for a currency as affected by the
following five factors: (1) relative price differences (the impact of purchasing
power parity), (2) interest rates and monetary supply (interest rates in a country
will affect demand for a currency and monetary policy affects supply of the
currency), (3) productivity and balance of payments (productivity affects the cost
of a country’s goods and that cost will impact exports which in turn affects the
balance of payments), (4) exchange rate policies (a currency which can be freely
exchanged will be more desirable than one which cannot), and (5) investor
psychology - positive or negative expectations will affect the extent to which a
currency is desirable.
2. What are the differences between a floating exchange rate policy and a fixed
exchange rate policy?
Floating (or flexible) exchange rate policy: the willingness of a government to let
the demand and supply conditions determine exchange rates. Fixed exchange rate
policy; fixing the exchange rate of a currency relative to other currencies.
5. Why is the strength of the US dollar important to the rest of the world?
The rest of the world holds so many greenbacks that most countries fear the
capital loss they would suffer if the dollar falls too deep. Second, many countries
prefer to keep the value of their currencies down to promote exports.
6. How would you describe the theory of purchasing power parity (PPP)?
Purchasing power parity: a theory that suggests that in the absence of trade
barriers (such as tariffs), the price for identical products sold in different
countries must be the same.
7. What is the relationship between a country’s current account balance and its
currency?
A country experiencing a current account surplus will see its currency
appreciate; conversely, a country experiencing a current account deficit will see
its currency depreciate.
9. Why did the gold standard evolve to the Bretton Woods system? Then why did
the Bretton Woods system evolve to the present post-Bretton Woods system?
The gold standard provided predictability but placed a focus on economic
adjustments and exports which were difficult to maintain during wartime and thus
toward the end of World War II the Bretton Woods system was created in which
currencies were pegged to the dollar but it was difficult to maintain those pegged
rates. As a result, under post-Bretton Woods flexible rates became more common.
10. Name and describe three ways nonfinancial companies can cope with currency
risks.
There are three primary strategies: (1) invoicing in their own currency, (2)
currency hedging and (3) strategic hedging.
• By invoicing in their own currency, firm can find some protection from
unfavorable foreign exchange movements.
• Currency hedging: a transaction that protects traders and investors from
exposure to the fluctuations of the spot rate, it involves the transactions discussed
in question eight in which the intent is to transfer risk from the hedgers to
speculators.
• Strategic hedging: spreading out activities in a number of countries in different
currency zones to offset the currency losses in certain regions through gains in
other regions.
11. Which do you think is a better policy to adopt: a floating exchange rate or a fixed
rate?
The important thing is not so much the answer as the extent to which the student
demonstrates thought in providing the answer.
12. Devise your own example of a way a firm might engage in currency hedging.
Currency hedging involves a transaction that protects traders and investors from
exposure to the fluctuations of the spot rate. In regards to the examples, the
important thing is not so much the answer as the extent to which the student
demonstrates thought in providing the answer.
14. What skills might a manager need to develop to devise strategies for managing
currency risk?
Useful skills include currency hedging, strategic hedging, or both.
2. Should China revalue the yuan against the dollar? If so, what impact may this
have on (1) US balance of payments, (2) Chinese balance of payments, (3)
relative competitiveness of Mexico and Thailand, (4) firms such as Wal-Mart, and
(5) US and Chinese retail consumers?
The US balance of payments would improve and the Chinese balance of payments
would decline. The relative competitiveness of any country with its currency tied
to the dollar would also likely improve. Wal-Mart and U.S. consumers would lose
but Chinese retail consumers would gain.
3. ON ETHICS: You are an IMF official going to a country whose export earnings
are not able to pay for imports. The government has requested a loan from the
IMF. In which areas would you recommend the government to cut: (1) education,
(2) salaries for officials, (3) food subsidies, and/or (4) tax rebates for exporters?
Student answers will vary but it is unlikely that any would pick number four.
I put this belt on quite loose. The bottom side was the tight one,
and the upper side hung in a loop nearly three feet deep. This
exhibited the uniform running of the engine in a striking manner. As
is well known, variations of speed produce waves in such a loop, the
height of which waves indicates the amount of these variations. This
belt hung motionless. The most careful observations on the loop did
not indicate that it was running at all. The engine had no fly-wheel;
the belt drum, 10 feet in diameter, served this purpose also. This
showed the value in this respect of high speed, 150 turns per minute.
This absolute uniformity of motion surprised me, I knew nothing
about the equalizing action of the reciprocating parts of the engine,
to which this remarkable result was largely due. I was then absorbed
in balancing, which was as far as I had advanced, and in this case,
as previously in the governor, I “had builded better than I knew.”
The accompanying diagrams are from a duplicate of the Pooley
engine built at the same time for a Mr. Adams, a paper-maker in the
north of England. This engine was directly connected to the line of
shaft. I was called home from Paris to go to Mr. Adams’ mill and start
that engine. Mr. Adams’ mill was not yet connected, and I was
obliged to return to Paris after taking friction diagrams, of which the
following are examples.
ATMOSPHERE
SCALE, 16 LBS. TO 1 INCH
ATMOSPHERE
SCALE, 16 LBS. TO 1 INCH