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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 211
CHAPTER 6
Normal Probabilities
Common Data
Mean 0
Standard Deviation 1
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 1.57
X Value 1.57 To X Value 1.84
Z Value 1.57 Z Value for 1.57 1.57
P(X<=1.57) 0.9417924 Z Value for 1.84 1.84
P(X<=1.57) 0.9418
Probability for X > P(X<=1.84) 0.9671
X Value 1.84 P(1.57<=X<=1.84) 0.0253
Z Value 1.84
P(X>1.84) 0.0329 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 95.00%
Probability for X<1.57 or X >1.84 Z Value 1.644854
P(X<1.57 or X >1.84) 0.9747 X Value 1.644854
(a) P(Z < 1.57) = 0.9418
(b) P(Z > 1.84) = 1 – 0.9671 = 0.0329
(c) P(1.57 < Z < 1.84) = 0.9671 – 0.9418 = 0.0253
(d) P(Z < 1.57) + P(Z > 1.84) = 0.9418 + (1 – 0.9671) = 0.9747
Common Data
Mean 0
Standard Deviation 1
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 1.57
X Value -1.57 To X Value 1.84
Z Value -1.57 Z Value for 1.57 1.57
P(X<=-1.57) 0.0582076 Z Value for 1.84 1.84
P(X<=1.57) 0.9418
Probability for X > P(X<=1.84) 0.9671
X Value 1.84 P(1.57<=X<=1.84) 0.0253
Z Value 1.84
P(X>1.84) 0.0329 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 84.13%
Probability for X<-1.57 or X >1.84 Z Value 0.999815
P(X<-1.57 or X >1.84) 0.0911 X Value 0.999815
(a) P(– 1.57 < Z < 1.84) = 0.9671 – 0.0582 = 0.9089
6.2 (b) P(Z < – 1.57) + P(Z > 1.84) = 0.0582 + 0.0329 = 0.0911
cont. (c) If P(Z > A) = 0.025, P(Z < A) = 0.975. A = + 1.96.
(d) If P(–A < Z < A) = 0.6826, P(Z < A) = 0.8413. So 68.26% of the area is captured between
–A = – 1.00 and A = + 1.00.
Common Data
Mean 0
Standard Deviation 1
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value 1.57
X Value 1.08 To X Value 1.84
Z Value 1.08 Z Value for 1.57 1.57
P(X<=1.08) 0.8599289 Z Value for 1.84 1.84
P(X<=1.57) 0.9418
Probability for X > P(X<=1.84) 0.9671
X Value -0.21 P(1.57<=X<=1.84) 0.0253
Z Value -0.21
P(X>-0.21) 0.5832 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 84.13%
Probability for X<1.08 or X >-0.21 Z Value 0.999815
P(X<1.08 or X >- 1.4431 X Value 0.999815
0.21)
P(Z < 1.08) = 0.8599
(b) P(Z > – 0.21) = 1.0 – 0.4168 = 0.5832
(c) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X<-0.21 or X >0
P(X<-0.21 or X >0) 0.9168
P(Z < – 0.21) + P(Z > 0) = 0.4168 + 0.5 = 0.9168
(d) Partial PHStat output:
Probability for X<-0.21 or X >1.08
P(X<-0.21 or X >1.08) 0.5569
P(Z < – 0.21) + P(Z > 1.08) = 0.4168 + (1 – 0.8599) = 0.5569
Common Data
Mean 0
Standard Deviation 1
Probability for a Range
Probability for X <= From X Value -1.96
X Value -0.21 To X Value -0.21
Z Value -0.21 Z Value for -1.96 -1.96
P(X<=-0.21) 0.4168338 Z Value for -0.21 -0.21
P(X<=-1.96) 0.0250
Probability for X > P(X<=-0.21) 0.4168
X Value 1.08 P(-1.96<=X<=-0.21) 0.3918
Z Value 1.08
P(X>1.08) 0.1401 Find X and Z Given Cum. Pctage.
Cumulative Percentage 84.13%
Probability for X<-0.21 or X >1.08 Z Value 0.999815
P(X<-0.21 or X >1.08) 0.5569 X Value 0.999815
(a) P(Z > 1.08) = 1 – 0.8599 = 0.1401
(b) P(Z < – 0.21) = 0.4168
(c) P(– 1.96 < Z < – 0.21) = 0.4168 – 0.0250 = 0.3918
(d) P(Z > A) = 0.1587, P(Z < A) = 0.8413. A = + 1.00.
Common Data
Mean 100
Standard Deviation 10
6.14 With 39 values, the smallest of the standard normal quantile values covers an area under the normal
curve of 0.025. The corresponding Z value is -1.96. The middle (20th) value has a cumulative area
of 0.50 and a corresponding Z value of 0.0. The largest of the standard normal quantile values covers
an area under the normal curve of 0.975, and its corresponding Z value is +1.96.
6.15 Area under normal curve covered: 0.1429 0.2857 0.4286 0.5714 0.7143 0.8571
Standardized normal quantile value: – 1.07 – 0.57 – 0.18 + 0.18 + 0.57 + 1.07
25
20
MPG
15
MPG
10
0
-2 -1 0 1 2
Z Value
The normal probability plot indicates departure from normal distribution. The kurtosis is
-0.5423, indicating some departure from a normal distribution.. The skewness of 0.7521
indicates a slightly right-skewed distribution.
600
500
400
Cost($)
300 Cost($)
200
100
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
According to the normal probability plot, the data appear to be right skewed. The kurtosis
is 2.8815 indicating a distribution that is more peaked than a normal distribution, with
more values in the tails. The skewness of 1.5635 indicates a right-skewed distribution.
3000
Property Taxes Per Capita ($)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data appear to be right-skewed. The kurtosis
is 0.5395 indicating a distribution that is slightly more peaked than a normal distribution,
with more values in the tails. A skewness of 0.9183 indicates a right-skewed distribution.
400
350
Market Cap ($billions)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data are skewed to the right.
6.19 (c)
cont.
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
25 75 125 175 225 275 325 375 425
Midpoints
The histogram suggests that the data are skewed to the right.
6.20 (b)
cont.
Normal Probability Plot
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.002
Error
0.001
0
-0.001 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
-0.002
-0.003
-0.004
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data appear to be approximately normally
distributed.
6.21 (b)
cont.
Normal Probability Plot
1.2
0.8
One-Year
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data are left skewed. The kurtosis is
-0.9478 indicating a distribution that is less peaked than a normal distribution, with fewer
values in the tails. The skewness of -0.6884 indicates that the distribution is left-skewed.
Five-Year CD:
(a) The mean is about the same as the median; the range is smaller than 6 times the standard
deviation and the interquartile range is slightly greater than 1.33 times the standard
deviation. The data appear to deviate from the normal distribution.
(b)
Normal Probability Plot
2.5
1.5
Five-Year
0.5
0
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data are somewhat normally distributed.
The kurtosis is -0.2739 indicating a distribution that is slightly less peaked than a normal
distribution, with more values in the tails. The skewness of -0.16452 indicates that the
distribution is slightly left-skewed.
6.22 (a) Five-number summary: 82 127 148.5 168 213 mean = 147.06
range = 131 interquartile range = 41 standard deviation = 31.69
The mean is very close to the median. The five-number summary suggests that the
distribution is quite symmetrical around the median. The interquartile range is very close
to 1.33 times the standard deviation. The range is about $50 below 6 times the standard
deviation. In general, the distribution of the data appears to closely resemble a normal
distribution.
Note: The quartiles are obtained using PHStat without any interpolation.
(b)
Normal Probability Plot of Electricity Cost
250
200
150
Utility Charge
100
50
0
-2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Z Value
The normal probability plot confirms that the data appear to be approximately normally
distributed.
6.23 Using the tables of the normal distribution with knowledge of μ and σ along with the
transformation formula, we can find any probability under the normal curve.
6.24 Using Table E.2, first find the cumulative area up to the larger value, and then subtract the
cumulative area up to the smaller value.
6.25 Find the Z value corresponding to the given percentile and then use the equation X = μ + zσ .
6.26 The normal distribution is bell-shaped; its measures of central tendency are all equal; its middle
50% is within 1.33 standard deviations of its mean; and 99.7% of its values are contained within
three standard deviations of its mean.
6.27 Both the normal distribution and the uniform distribution are symmetric but the uniform
distribution has a bounded range while the normal distribution ranges from negative infinity to
positive infinity. The exponential distribution is right-skewed and ranges from zero to infinity.
6.28 If the distribution is normal, the plot of the Z values on the horizontal axis and the original values
on the vertical axis will be a straight line.
12
10
Alcohol %
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that data are not normally distributed. The kurtosis
is 4.4957 indicating a distribution that is more peaked than a normal distribution, with
more values in the tails. The skewness of 1.4426 suggests that the distribution is right-
skewed.
6.33 Calories:
cont. The mean is approximately equal to the median; the range is slightly greater than 6 times
the standard deviation and the interquartile range is much smaller than 1.33 times the
standard deviation. The data appear to deviate away from the normal distribution.
Normal Probability Plot
350
300
250
200
Calories
150
100
50
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data are somewhat right-skewed. The
kurtosis is 3.0694 indicating a distribution that is more peaked than a normal distribution,
with more values in the tails. The skewness of 1.2171 suggests that the distribution is
right-skewed.
Carbohydrates:
(a) The mean is approximately equal to the median; the range is approximately equal to 6
times the standard deviation and the interquartile range is slightly smaller than 1.33 times
the standard deviation. The data appear to be normally distributed.
(b)
Normal Probability Plot
35
30
25
Carbohydrates
20
15
10
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
The normal probability plot suggests that the data are somewhat right-skewed. The
kurtosis is 1.3304 indicating a distribution that is more peaked than a normal distribution,
with more values in the tails. The skewness of 0.4983 indicates that the distribution is
slightly right-skewed.
6.34 (a) Waiting time will more closely resemble an exponential distribution.
(b) Seating time will more closely resemble a normal distribution.
(c)
Histogram
60 100.00%
50 80.00%
Frequency
40
60.00% Frequency
30
40.00% Cumulative %
20
10 20.00%
0 0.00%
6
14
22
30
38
---
Midpoints
45
40
35
30
Waiting
25
20
15
10
5
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
Both the histogram and normal probability plot suggest that waiting time more closely
resembles an exponential distribution.
(d)
Histogram
30 100.00%
25 80.00%
Frequency
20
60.00% Frequency
15
40.00% Cumulative %
10
5 20.00%
0 0.00%
35
43
51
59
67
---
Midpoints
6.34
cont.
Normal Probability Plot
80
70
60
50
Seating
40
30
20
10
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
Both the histogram and normal probability plot suggest that seating time more closely
resembles a normal distribution.
And next are the tombs of the children of Œdipus, I have not myself
seen the funeral rites performed to their memory, but I have received
trustworthy accounts. The Thebans say that they offer funeral
sacrifices to several heroes as well as to the children of Œdipus, and
that during these sacrifices the flame and smoke divide. I was
induced to credit this from the following thing which I have myself
seen. In Mysia above Caicus is a small city called Pioniæ, whose
founder was they say Pionis one of the descendants of Hercules,
and when they are celebrating his funeral sacrifices the smoke rises
up from the tomb spontaneously. I have myself seen this. The
Thebans also show the tomb of Tiresias, about 15 stades distant
from the tomb of the children of Œdipus: but they admit that Tiresias
died in Haliartia, so that they allow the tomb here to be a cenotaph.
The Thebans also shew the tomb of Hector the son of Priam near
the Well of Œdipus. They say that his remains were brought here
from Ilium in accordance with the following oracle.
“Ye Thebans, who inhabit the city of Cadmus, if ye wish your country
to enjoy abundant wealth, bring to your city from Asia Minor the
bones of Hector the son of Priam, and respect the hero at the
suggestion of Zeus.”
The Well is called Œdipus’ Well, because he washed off in it the
blood of his father’s murder. And near the Well is the tomb of
Asphodicus, who slew in the battle against the Argives
Parthenopæus the son of Talaus, (according to the tradition of the
Thebans, for the verses in the Thebais about the death of
Parthenopæus say that Periclymenus killed him).
[56] xiv. 114.
CHAPTER XIX.
I n that part of the district of Tanagra near the sea is a place called
Delium, in which are statues of Artemis and Leto. And the people
of Tanagra say their founder was Pœmander, the son of
Chæresilaus the son of Iasius the son of Eleuther, who was the son
of Apollo by Æthusa the daughter of Poseidon. And Pœmander they
say married Tanagra the daughter of Æolus, though Corinna in her
verses about her says that she was the daughter of Asopus. As her
life was prolonged to a very advanced age they say that the people
who lived round about called her Graia, and in process of time called
the city so too. And the name remained so long that Homer speaks
of the city by that name in his Catalogue, in the line
But in process of time it got its old name Tanagra back again.
At Tanagra is the tomb of Orion, and the mountain Cerycius, where
they say Hermes was reared. There is also the place called Polus,
where they say Atlas sits and meditates on things under the earth
and things in heaven, of whom Homer writes,
“Daughter of astute Atlas, who knows the depths of every
sea, and who by himself supports the lofty pillars, which
keep apart earth and heaven.”[59]
And in the temple of Dionysus the statue of the god by Calamis in
Parian stone is well worth looking at, but more wonderful still is a
statue of Triton. And a legend about Triton of hoar antiquity says that
the women of Tanagra before the orgies of Dionysus bathed in the
sea to purify themselves, and as they were swimming about Triton
assailed them, and they prayed Dionysus to come to their aid, and
the god hearkened to them and conquered Triton after a fight with
him. Another legend lacks the antiquity of this, but is more plausible.
It relates that, when the herds were driven to the sea, Triton lay in
ambush and carried some of them off. He also plundered small
vessels, till the people of Tanagra filled a bowl full of wine for him.
And he came to it attracted they say by its aroma, and drank of it and
fell asleep and tumbled down the rocks, and a man of Tanagra
smote his head off with an axe. And for this reason his statue has no
head. And because he was captured when drunk they think he was
killed by Dionysus.
[58] Iliad, ii. 498.
[59] Odyssey, i. 52-54.
CHAPTER XXI.
I have also seen another Triton among the Curiosities at Rome, but
not so big as this one at Tanagra. This is the appearance of
Tritons: the hair on their head is like frog-wort in the marshes, and
one hair is not to be distinguished from another, the rest of their body
is rough with thin scales like the shark. Under their ears they have
the gills of a fish, and the nose of a man but a somewhat larger
mouth and the teeth of an animal. Their eyes are I think a greyish
blue, and their hands and fingers and nails are like the claws of
shell-fish. And under the breast and belly they have fins like dolphins
instead of feet. I have also seen the Ethiopian bulls, which they call
rhinoceroses because a horn projects from their nose and a little
horn besides under it, but they have no horns on their head. I have
seen also the Pæonian bulls, which are rough all over their bodies
but especially in the breast and chin. I have seen also the Indian
camels which are like leopards in colour. There is also a wild animal
called the elk, which is something between a stag and a camel, and
is found among the Celts. It is the only animal we know of that men
cannot hunt or see at a distance, but when they are engaged in
hunting other animals sometimes the deity drives the elk into their
hands. But it scents men they say at a great distance, and hides
among the rocks and in the recesses of caves. Hunters therefore,
when they have drawn a large net completely round a large district
or even a mountain, so that nothing in that area can escape, among
other animals that they catch when they draw the net tight capture
occasionally the elk. But if it should not happen to be in this area,
there is no other device by which one could capture the elk. As to the
wild animal which Ctesias speaks of in his account of the Indians,
called by them martiora, but by the Greeks manslayer, I am
convinced this is the tiger. As to the Indian tradition, that it has three
rows of teeth in each of its jaws and stings at the end of its tail, with
which it defends itself and hurls them at a distance like an archer his
arrows, this report I cannot believe, and I think the Indians only
accept it from their excessive terror of this animal. They are also
deceived about its colour, for when it appears in the rays of the Sun
the tiger often looks red and all one colour, either from its speed or if
not running from its incessant motion, especially if it is not seen near.
I think indeed that if anyone were to travel into the remote parts of
Libya or India or Arabia, wishing to find the wild animals that are to
be found in Greece, he would not find them at all, but he would find
others different. For it is not only man that changes his appearance
in different climates and lands, but also everything else is subject to
the same conditions, for the Libyan asps have the same colour as
the Egyptian ones, while in Ethiopia the earth produces them as
black as the men. We ought therefore neither to receive any account
too hastily, nor to discredit the uncommon, for example I myself have
not seen winged serpents yet I believe there are such, for a Phrygian
brought into Ionia a scorpion that had wings like locusts.
CHAPTER XXII.