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SEVENTH EDITION
l tl DI Hl ffil l • III!
Pl ! W!TPI :P0i'! l!'f 11
ACLINICAL APPROACH
THOMAS BODENHEIMER KEVIN GRUMBACH
i~l:. LANGE.
a LANGE medical book
UN DERSTAN DI NG
HEALTH POLICY
A Clinical Approach
SEVENTH ED IT ~O N
Kevin Grumbach, MD
Professor and Ch al r
Departrnent of Family & Community Medicine
lJ niversity of Ca lifom ia, San Francisco
--
New York Chicago San Fm nal sco lisbon lo:nd on Madrrd
Milan New Delhi Singapore Sydney Toronto
Mexico City
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Contents
Preface
THE AUDIENCE
The book is primarily written for health science students—medical, nursing,
nurse practitioner, physician assistant, pharmacy, social work, public health,
and others—who will benefit from understanding the complex environment
in which they will work. Physicians feature prominently in the text, but in the
actual world of clinical medicine, patients’ encounters with other health care
givers are an essential part of their health care experience. Physicians would
be unable to function without the many other members of the health care
team. Patients seldom appreciate the contributions made to their well-being
by public health personnel, research scientists, educators, and many other
health-related professionals. We hope that the many nonphysician members
of the clinical care, public health, and health science education teams as well
as students aspiring to join these teams will find the book useful. Nothing can
be accomplished without the combined efforts of everyone working in the
health care field.
CLINICAL VIGNETTES
In our attempt to unify the overlapping spheres of health policy and health
care encounters by individuals, we use clinical vignettes as a central feature
of the book. These short descriptions of patients, physicians, and other
caregivers interacting with the health care system are based on our own
experiences as physicians, the experiences of colleagues, or cases reported in
the medical literature or popular press. Most of the people and institutions
presented in the vignettes have been given fictitious names to protect privacy.
Some names used are emblematic of the occupations, health problems, or
attitudes portrayed in the vignettes; most do not have special significance.
OUR OPINIONS
In exploring the many controversial issues of health policy, our own opinions
as authors inevitably color and shade the words we use and the conclusions
we reach. We present several of our most fundamental values and
perspectives here.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We could not have written this book by ourselves. The circumstances
encountered by hundreds of our patients and dozens of our colleagues
provided the insights we needed to understand and describe the health care
system. Any inaccuracies in the book are entirely our responsibility. Our
warmest thanks go to our families, who have provided both encouragement
and patience.
Earlier versions of Chapters 2, 4, 5, 8, 9, and 16 were published serially as
articles in the Journal of the American Medical Association (1994;272:634–
639, 1994;272:971–977, 1994;272:1458–1464, 1995;273:160–167,
1995;274:85–90, and 1996;276:1025–1031) and are published here with
permission (copyright, 1994, 1995, and 1996, American Medical
Association).
CONCLUSION
This is a book about health policy. As such, we will cite technical studies and
will make cross-national generalizations. We will take matters of profound
personal meaning—sickness, health, caring for individuals in need—and
discuss them using the detached language of “inputs and outcomes,”
“providers and consumers,” and “cost-effectiveness analysis.” As practicing
physicians, however, we are daily reminded of the human realities of health
policy. Understanding Health Policy: A Clinical Approach is fundamentally
about the people we care for: the underinsured janitor with high-deductible
insurance enduring the pain of a gallbladder attack because surgery might be
unaffordable, or the retired university professor who sustains a stroke and
whose life savings are disappearing in nursing home bills uncovered by her
Medicare or private insurance plans.
Almost every person, whether a mother on public assistance, a working
father, a well-to-do physician, or a millionaire insurance executive, will
someday become ill, and all of us will die. Everyone stands to benefit from a
system in which health care for all people is accessible, affordable,
appropriate in its use of resources, and of high quality.
Thomas Bodenheimer
Kevin Grumbach
San Francisco, California
September 2015
1
•In February
Too Little Care
2015, a year after the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act
was fully implemented, 26 million people in the United States remained
without health insurance, down from 41 million in 2013 (Carman et al.,
2015). In addition, many people with health insurance have inadequate
coverage. In December 2014, 46% of Americans surveyed reported having
trouble affording health care (Rosenthal, 2015).
•According
Too Much Care
to health services expert Robert Brook:
… almost every study that has seriously looked for overuse has
discovered it, and virtually every time at least double-digit overuse has
been found. If one could extrapolate from the available literature, then
perhaps one-fourth of hospital days, one-fourth of procedures, and two-
fifths of medications could be done without. (Brook, 1989)
A 2003 study found that elderly patients in some areas of the country
receive 60% more services—hospital days, specialty consultations, and
medical procedures—than similar patients in other areas; the patients
receiving fewer services had the same mortality rates, quality of care, access
to care, and patient satisfaction as those receiving more services (Fisher et al.,
2003a and 2003b). In 2012, waste in health care was estimated at between
$558 and $910 billion per year—from 21% to 34% of total health care
expenditures (Berwick & Hackbarth, 2012).
REFERENCES
Berwick DM, Hackbarth AD. Eliminating waste in US health care. JAMA. 2012;307:1513–1516.
Brook RH. Practice guidelines and practicing medicine. JAMA. 1989;262:3027–3030.
Carman KG et al. Trends in health insurance enrollment, 2013-15. Health Aff (Millwood).
2015;34:1044–1048.
Commonwealth Fund. 2014 International Profiles of Health Care Systems. January 2015.
Enthoven A, Kronick R. A consumer-choice health plan for the 1990s. N Engl J Med. 1989;320:29–37.
Fisher ES et al. The implications of regional variations in Medicare spending. Part 1: the content,
quality, and accessibility of care. Ann Intern Med. 2003a;138: 273–287.
Fisher ES et al. The implications of regional variations in Medicare spending. Part 2: health outcomes
and satisfaction with care. Ann Intern Med. 2003b;138:288–298.
Rosenthal E. Insured but not covered. New York Times. February 7, 2015.
2
Other 8%
Total 100%
Percentage of
Principal Source ,o f Coverage Populat10n, 2013
Uninsured 13'%
lndiividual1private insurance 70Jo
Employment-ba.sed private insurance 47%
Government fin ancirng 33%
Total 100%
~
:,
-~-
~~--
-~-
~ ...,-
Individual Out=of=pocket Provider
payment
Figure 2–1. Out-of-pocket payment is made directly from patient to
provider.
People in the United States purchase most consumer items and services,
from gourmet restaurant dinners to haircuts, through direct out-of-pocket
payments. This is not the case with health care (Arrow, 1963; Evans, 1984),
and one may ask why health care is not considered a typical consumer item.
Table 2–2. Summary of the Individual Mandate Provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), 2015
U.S. citizens and legal residents are required to have health coverage with
exemptions available for such issues as financial hardship. Those who
choose to go without coverage pay a tax penalty of $325 or 2% of
taxable income in 2015, which gradually increases over the years.
People with employer-based and governmental health insurance are not
required to purchase the insurance required under the individual
mandate.
Tax credits to help pay health insurance premiums increase in size as
family incomes rise from 100% to 400% of the Federal Poverty Level.
In addition subsidies reduce the amount of out-of-pocket costs
individuals and families must pay; the amount of the subsidy varies by
income.
Under the individual mandate, health insurance is purchased though
insurance marketplaces called health insurance exchanges. Seventeen
states have elected to set up their own exchanges; the remainder of
states are covered by the federal exchange, Healthcare.gov.
Insurance companies marketing their plans through the exchanges offer
four benefit categories:
• Bronze plans represent minimum coverage, with the insurer paying for
60% of a person’s health care costs, with high out-of-pocket costs but
low premiums
• Silver plans cover 70% of health care costs, with fewer out-of-pocket
costs and higher premiums
• Gold plans cover 80% of costs, with low out-of-pocket costs and high
premiums
• Platinum plans cover 90% of costs, with very low out-of-pocket costs
and very high premiums
Most people who have obtained insurance through the exchanges have
picked Bronze or Silver plans, and 87% have received a subsidy. A
family of four with income at 150% of the federal poverty level receives
an average subsidy of $11,000. At 300% of the federal poverty level the
subsidy is about $6,000.
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation. Summary of the Affordable Care Act. 2013. http://kff.org/health-
reform/fact-sheet/summary-of-the-affordable-care-act. Accessed March 12, 2015.
• Betty
Employment-Based Private Insurance
Lerner and her schoolteacher colleagues each paid $6 per year to
Prepaid Hospital in 1929. Ms. Lerner suffered a heart attack and was
hospitalized at no cost. The following year Prepaid Hospital built a
new wing and raised the teachers’ prepayment to $12.
Rose Riveter retired in 1961. Her health insurance premium for
hospital and physician care, formerly paid by her employer, had been
$25 per month. When she called the insurance company to obtain
individual coverage, she was told that premiums at age 65 cost $70 per
month. She could not afford the insurance and wondered what would
happen if she became ill.
The development of private health insurance in the United States was
impelled by the increasing effectiveness and rising costs of hospital care.
Hospitals became places not only in which to die, but also in which to get
well. However, many patients were unable to pay for hospital care, and this
meant that hospitals were unable to attract “customers.”
In 1929, Baylor University Hospital agreed to provide up to 21 days of
hospital care to 1,500 Dallas schoolteachers such as Betty Lerner if they paid
the hospital $6 per person per year. As the Great Depression deepened and
private hospital occupancy in 1931 fell to 62%, similar hospital-centered
private insurance plans spread. These plans (anticipating health maintenance
organizations [HMOs]) restricted care to a particular hospital. The American
Hospital Association built on this prepayment movement and established
statewide Blue Cross hospital insurance plans allowing free choice of
hospital. By 1940, 39 Blue Cross plans controlled by the private hospital
industry had enrolled over 6 million people. The Great Depression reduced
the amount patients could pay physicians out of pocket, and in 1939, the
California Medical Association set up the first Blue Shield plan to cover
physician services. These plans, controlled by state medical societies,
followed Blue Cross in spreading across the nation (Starr, 1982; Fein, 1986).
In contrast to the consumer-driven development of health insurance in
European nations, coverage in the United States was initiated by health care
providers seeking a steady source of income. Hospital and physician control
over the “Blues,” a major sector of the health insurance industry, guaranteed
that payment would be generous and that cost control would remain on the
back burner (Law, 1974; Starr, 1982).
The rapid growth of employment-based private insurance was spurred by
an accident of history. During World War II, wage and price controls
prevented companies from granting wage increases, but allowed the growth
of fringe benefits. With a labor shortage, companies competing for workers
began to offer health insurance to employees such as Rose Riveter as a fringe
benefit. After the war, unions picked up on this trend and negotiated for
health benefits. The results were dramatic: Enrollment in group hospital
insurance plans grew from 12 million in 1940 to 142 million in 1988.
With employment-based health insurance, employers usually pay much of
the premium that purchases health insurance for their employees (Fig. 2–3).
However, this flow of money is not as simple as it looks. The federal
government views employer premium payments as a tax-deductible business
expense. The government does not treat the health insurance fringe benefit as
taxable income to the employee, even though the payment of premiums could
be interpreted as a form of employee income. Because each premium dollar
of employer-sponsored health insurance results in a reduction in taxes
collected, the government is in essence subsidizing employer-sponsored
health insurance. This subsidy is enormous, estimated at $250 billion per year
(Ray et al., 2014).
• InGovernment Financing
1984 at age 74 Rose Riveter developed colon cancer. She was now
covered by Medicare, which had been enacted in 1965. Even so, her
Medicare premium, hospital deductible expenses, physician
copayments, short nursing home stay, and uncovered prescriptions cost
her $2,700 the year she became ill with cancer.
Employment-based private health insurance grew rapidly in the 1950s,
helping working people and their families to afford health care. But two
groups in the population received little or no benefit: the poor and the elderly.
The poor were usually unemployed or employed in jobs without the fringe
benefit of health insurance; they could not afford insurance premiums. The
elderly, who needed health care the most and whose premiums had been
partially subsidized by community rating, were hard hit by the trend toward
experience rating. In the late 1950s, less than 15% of the elderly had any
health insurance (Harris, 1966). Only one program could provide affordable
care for the poor and the elderly: tax-financed government health insurance.
Government entered the health care financing arena long before the 1960s
through such public programs as municipal hospitals and dispensaries to care
for the poor and through state-operated mental hospitals. But only with the
1965 enactment of Medicare (for the elderly) and Medicaid (for the poor) did
public insurance payments for privately operated health services become a
major feature of health care in the United States. Medicare Part A (Table 2–3)
is a hospital insurance plan for the elderly financed largely through social
security taxes from employers and employees. Medicare Part B (Table 2–4)
insures the elderly for physician services and is paid for by federal taxes and
monthly premiums from the beneficiaries. Medicare Part D, enacted in 2003,
offers prescription drug coverage and is paid for by federal taxes and monthly
premiums from beneficiaries. Medicaid (Table 2–5) is a program run by the
states that is funded by federal and state taxes, which pays for the care of
millions of low-income people. In 2013, Medicare and Medicaid
expenditures totaled $586 and $450 billion, respectively (Hartman et al.,
2015).
How Is It financed?
financing,~tnrou~~ tne ~odal~ecurtcy s~stem.~m~lo~ers and em~lo1ee~ eacn ~~ lo Medicare 1.4~%of wage~ ana ~alarlet ~elf-emplo~ea ~eople pa~ B% .
ine 2010 Affordaole (are Act incream tne emplo~ee rate for nigner-lncome taxpayers (incomes ~reater tnan ~200,000 for lndMduals or ~250,000 for
cou~le~) rrom 1.4,%to2J~%~tarHn~ In 20B.
Home nealtn care MedicalI~nemsa~ care for nomebound people 100%for SKIiied care as defined by Medicare re~ulations
Hospice care AsIon~ asadoctor certifies person suffers from aterminal 100%formostmvices,copa~sfor out~aUent drugs and
IIInes~ rnlnmance for Inpatient respite we
Umtllled nursln~ nome care (am tnat Ismainly custodial Bnot covered Notnln~
aFor patients In Medicar Advantag plans, rnv red services and pa ient responsibility for paymen changes based on he specifics of each
Medicare Advantage plan.
bPart Ab nefits are provid dby each ben fi period ra her han for each year.Abene period begins wh nab ne clary en ers ahospital and
ends 60 days a~er discharge from the hospital or from askilled nursing facility.
1Beyond 90 days,Medicare pays for 60 additional days only once in alife ime (-life imereserve days').
Table 2–4. Summary of Medicare Part B, 2015
Who is eligible?
People who are eligible for Medicare Part Awho elect to pay the Medicare Part Bpremium of ~104.90 per month.Some low•income persons can receive finan•
cial assistance with the premium. Higher-income beneficiaries (over ~85,000 for individual! mo,000 for couple) have higher premiums related to income.
How is it financed?
Financing is inpart by general federal revenues (personalincome and other federal taxes) and inpart by Part Bmonthly premiums.
What services are coveredr
Medic-al expenses All medically necessary services 80% of approved amount after a~147 annual deductible
Physician services
Physical,occupational,and speech therapy
Medical equipment
Diagnostjc tests (no coinsurance for
laboratory services)
Preventive care Pap smears;mammograms; colorectal/prostate Included in medical expenses,and for some services the
cancer, cardiovascular and diabetes screening; deductible and copayment are waived
pneumococcal and influenza vaccinations;
yearlyphysical examinations
Outpatient medications Partially covered under Medicare Part D All except for premium, deductible, coinsurance, and
'donut hole,"which vary by Part Dplan
For patients in Medicare Advantage plans, covered services and patient responsibility for payment changes based on the specifics of each
0
Table 2–5. Summary of Medicaid Under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), 2015
Enrolllment :·
- ..... -
Taxpayers
CONCLUSION
Neither Fred Farmer nor his great-grandson Ted had health insurance, but the
modern-day Mr. Farmer’s predicament differs drastically from that of his
ancestor. Third-party financing of health care has fueled an expansive health
care system that offers treatments unimaginable a century ago, but at
tremendous expense.
Each of the four modes of financing health care developed historically as a
solution to the inadequacy of the previous modes. Private insurance provided
protection to patients against the unpredictable costs of medical care, as well
as protection to providers of care against the unpredictable ability of patients
to pay. But the private insurance solution created three new, interrelated
problems:
1. The opportunity for health care providers to increase fees to insurers
caused health services to become increasingly unaffordable for those with
inadequate insurance or no insurance.
2. The employment-based nature of group insurance placed people who were
unemployed, retired, or working part-time at a disadvantage for the
purchase of insurance, and partially masked the true costs of insurance for
employees who did receive health benefits at the workplace.
3. Competition inherent in a deregulated private insurance market gave rise
to the practice of experience rating, which made insurance premiums
unaffordable for many elderly people and other medically needy groups.
To solve these problems, government financing was required, but
government financing fueled an even greater inflation in health care costs.
As each “solution” was introduced, health care financing improved for a
time. But rising costs have jeopardized private and public coverage for many
people and made services unaffordable for those without a source of third-
party payment. The problems of each financing mode, and the problems
created by each successive solution, have accumulated into a complex crisis
characterized by inadequate access for some and high costs for everyone.
REFERENCES
Aaron HJ. Serious and Unstable Condition: Financing America’s Health Care. Washington, DC:
Brookings Institution; 1991.
Arrow KJ. Uncertainty and the welfare economics of medical care. Am Econ Rev. 1963;53:941.
Biles B et al. Variations in county-level costs between traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage
have implications for premium support. Health Aff (Millwood). 2015; 34:56–63.
Blumberg LJ et al. Setting a standard of affordability for health insurance coverage. Health Aff
(Millwood). 2007;26: w463–w473.
Blumenthal D, Squires D. Do health care costs fuel economic inequality in the United States? The
Commonwealth Fund Blog, www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/blog/2014/sep/do-health-
costs-fuel-inequality. Published September 9, 2014. Accessed February 15, 2015.
Bodenheimer T, Grumbach K. Financing universal health insurance: taxes, premiums, and the lessons
of social insurance. J Health Polit Policy Law. 1992;17:439–462.
Bodenheimer T, Sullivan K. The logic of tax-based financing for health care. Int J Health Serv.
1997;27:409–425.
Cowan CA et al. Burden of health care costs: businesses, households, and governments, 1987–2000.
Health Care Financ Rev. 2002;23:131–159.
Evans RG. Strained Mercy. Toronto, Ontario, Canada: Butterworths; 1984.
Fein R. Medical Care, Medical Costs. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press; 1986.
Harris R. A Sacred Trust. New York, NY: New American Library; 1966.
Hartman M et al. National health spending in 2013: growth slows, remains in step with the overall
economy. Health Aff (Millwood). 2015;34:150–160.
Kaiser Family Foundation. Summary of the Affordable Care Act. 2013a. http://kff.org/health-
reform/fact-sheet/summary-of-the-affordable-care-act. Accessed March 12, 2015.
Kaiser Family Foundation. Health insurance market reforms: rate restrictions, 2013b.
https://kaiserfamilyfoundation.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/8328.pdf. Accessed March 12, 2015.
Kaiser Family Foundation. Medicare publications, 2015a. http://kff.org/medicare. Accessed February
15, 2015.
Kaiser Family Foundation. The Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit. 2015b.
http://files.kff.org/attachment/medicare-prescription-drug-benefit-fact-sheet. Accessed February 15,
2015.
Law SA. Blue Cross: What Went Wrong? New Haven, CT: Yale University Press; 1974.
Light DW. The practice and ethics of risk-rated health insurance. JAMA. 1992;267:2503–2508.
Martin A et al. Recession contributes to slowest annual rate of increase in health spending in five
decades. Health Affairs. 2011;30:11.
Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Health insurance coverage of the civilian non-institutionalized
population, first half of 2002. Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, June 2003.
www.meps.ahrq.gov. Accessed November 11, 2011.
Obamacare Facts, February 2015. http://obamacarefacts.com/obamacares-medicaid-expansion
Pechman JA. Who Paid the Taxes, 1966-1985. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution; 1985.
Ray M et al. Tax subsidies for private health insurance. Kaiser Family Foundation, 2014.
http://files.kff.org/attachment/tax-subsidies-for-private-health-insurance-issue-brief. Accessed
February 15, 2015.
Rosenbaum S. Medicaid payments and access to care. N Engl J Med. 2014;371:2345–2347.
Starr P. The Social Transformation of American Medicine. New York, NY: Basic Books; 1982.
3
• InLack of Insurance
1990, Ernestine Newsome was born into a low-income working
family living in South Central Los Angeles. As a young child, she rarely
saw a physician or nurse and was behind on her childhood
immunizations. When Ernestine was 7 years old, her mother began
working for the telephone company, and this provided the family with
health insurance. Ernestine went to a neighborhood physician for
regular checkups. When she reached 19 in 2009, she left home and
began work as a part-time secretary. She was no longer eligible for her
family’s health insurance coverage, and her new job did not provide
insurance. She has not seen a physician since starting her job.
Health insurance coverage, whether public or private, is a key factor in
making health care accessible.
Historically, trends in health insurance coverage in the United States in the
modern era can be divided into three phases. The first phase, occurring
between the 1930s and mid-1970s, saw a large increase in the proportion of
Americans with health insurance due to the growth of employment-based
private health insurance and the 1965 passage of Medicare and Medicaid
(Table 3–1). The second phase, starting in the late 1970s, marks a reversal of
this trend; between 1980 and 2010, the number of uninsured people in the
United States grew from 25 to 50 million. The single most important factor
explaining the growing number of uninsured in this period was a decrease in
private insurance coverage. The number of uninsured peaked in 2010—the
year the ACA was signed into law–signifying the onset of the third phase in
this historical trend as the number of uninsured decreased from 50 to 41
million between 2010 and 2013 (Fig. 3–1). Because the major coverage
expansion policies legislated by the ACA did not take effect until 2014, the
decrease in the number of uninsured between 2010 and 2013 was largely
explained by states more actively enrolling individuals and families eligible
for Medicaid under the traditional eligibility criteria. In 2014, upon
implementation of the ACA’s private insurance mandates and voluntary state
Medicaid expansion, the number of uninsured individuals decreased further
from 41 to 26 million (Carman et al., 2015). Even if the ACA is fully
implemented, about 20 million people will remain uninsured due to states not
participating in Medicaid expansion, individuals opting out of the individual
mandate, individuals not enrolling in Medicaid even when eligible, and
undocumented immigrants remaining ineligible for Medicaid and insurance
subsidies.
The whole of to-day has been spent wandering about the cotton
wharves of Alexandria. They extend for a mile or so up and down the
Mahmudiyeh Canal, which joins the city to the Nile, and are flanked
on the other side by railroads filled with cotton trains from every part
of Egypt. These wharves lie under the shadow of Pompey’s Pillar
and line the canal almost to the harbour. Upon them are great
warehouses filled with bales and bags. Near by are cotton presses,
while in the city itself is a great cotton exchange where the people
buy and sell, as they do at Liverpool, from the samples of lint which
show the quality of the bales brought in from the plantations.
Indeed, cotton is as big a factor here as it is in New Orleans, and
the banks of this canal make one think of that city’s great cotton
market. The warehouses are of vast extent, and the road between
them and the waterway is covered with bales of lint and great bags
of cotton seed. Skullcapped blue-gowned Egyptians sit high up on
the bales on long-bedded wagons hauled by mules. Other Egyptians
unload the bales from the cars and the boats and others carry them
to the warehouses. They bear the bales and the bags on their backs,
while now and then a man may be seen carrying upon his head a
bag of loose cotton weighing a couple of hundred pounds. The
cotton seed is taken from the boats in the same way, seed to the
amount of three hundred pounds often making one man’s load.
Late in the afternoon I went down to the harbour to see the cotton
steamers. They were taking on cargoes for Great Britain, Russia,
France, Germany, and the United States. This staple forms three
fourths of the exports of Egypt. Millions of pounds of it are annually
shipped to the United States, notwithstanding the fact that we raise
more than two thirds of all the cotton of the world. Because of its
long fibre, there is always a great demand for Egyptian cotton, which
is worth more on the average than that of any other country.
For hundreds of years before the reign of that wily old tyrant,
Mehemet Ali, whose rule ended with the middle of the nineteenth
century, Egypt had gone along with the vast majority of her people
poor, working for a wage of ten cents or so a day, and barely out of
reach of starvation all the time. Mehemet Ali saw that what she
needed to become truly prosperous and raise the standard of living
was some crop in which she might be the leader. It was he who
introduced long-staple cotton, a product worth three times as much
as the common sort, and showed what it could do for his country.
Since then King Cotton has been the money maker of the Nile valley,
the great White Pharaoh whom the modern Egyptians worship. He
has the majority of the Nile farmers in his employ and pays them
royally. He has rolled up a wave of prosperity that has engulfed the
Nile valley from the Mediterranean to the cataracts and the
prospects are that he will continue to make the country richer from
year to year. The yield is steadily increasing and with the improved
irrigation methods it will soon be greater than ever. From 1895 to
1900 its average annual value was only forty-five million dollars; but
after the Aswan Dam was completed it jumped to double that sum.
Though cotton is the big cash crop of Egypt, small flocks of sheep are kept on
many of the farms and the women spin the wool for the use of the family.
Sugar is Egypt’s crop of second importance. Heavy investments of French and
British capital in the Egyptian industry were first made when political troubles
curtailed Cuba’s production.
The greater part of Upper and Lower Egypt can be made to grow
cotton, and cotton plantations may eventually cover over five million
five hundred thousand acres. If only fifty per cent. of this area is
annually put into cotton it will produce upward of two million bales
per annum, or more than one sixth as much as the present cotton
crop of the world. In addition to this, there might be a further increase
by putting water into some of the oases that lie in the valley of the
Nile outside the river bottom, and also by draining the great lakes
about Alexandria and in other parts of the lower delta.
Egypt has already risen to a high place among the world’s cotton
countries. The United States stands first, British India second, and
Egypt third. Yet Egypt grows more of this staple for its size and the
area planted than any other country on the globe. Its average yield is
around four hundred and fifty pounds per acre, which is far in excess
of ours. Our Department of Agriculture says that our average is only
one hundred and ninety pounds per acre, although we have, of
course, many acres which produce five hundred pounds and more.
It is, however, because of its quality rather than its quantity that
Egyptian cotton holds such a commanding position in the world’s
markets. Cotton-manufacturing countries must depend on Egypt for
their chief supply of long-staple fibre. There are some kinds that sell
for double the amount our product brings. It is, in fact, the best cotton
grown with the exception of the Sea Island raised on the islands off
the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. The Sea Island cotton has
a rather longer fibre than the Egyptian. The latter is usually brown in
colour and is noted for its silkiness, which makes it valuable for
manufacturing mercerized goods. We import an enormous quantity
of it to mix with our cotton, and we have used the Egyptian seed to
develop a species known as American-Egyptian, which possesses
the virtues of both kinds.
There is a great difference in the varieties raised, according to the
part of the Nile valley from which each kind comes. The best cotton
grows in the delta, which produces more than four fifths of the
output.
A trip through the Nile cotton fields is an interesting one. The
scenes there are not in the least like those of our Southern states.
Much of the crop is raised on small farms and every field is marked
out with little canals into which the water is introduced from time to
time. There are no great farm houses in the landscape and no barns.
The people live in mud villages from which they go out to work in the
fields. They use odd animals for ploughing and harrowing and the
crop is handled in a different way from ours.
Let me give you a few of the pictures I have seen while travelling
through the country. Take a look over the delta. It is a wide expanse
of green, spotted here and there with white patches. The green
consists of alfalfa, Indian corn, or beans. The white is cotton,
stretching out before me as far as my eye can follow it.
Here is a field where the lint has been gathered. The earth is
black, with windrows of dry stalks running across it. Every stalk has
been pulled out by the roots and piled up. Farther on we see another
field in which the stalks have been tied into bundles. They will be
sold as fuel and will produce a full ton of dry wood to the acre. There
are no forests in Egypt, where all sorts of fuel are scarce. The stalks
from one acre will sell for two dollars or more. They are used for
cooking, for the farm engines on the larger plantations, and even for
running the machinery of the ginning establishments. In that village
over there one may see great bundles of them stored away on the
flat roofs of the houses. Corn fodder is piled up beside them, the
leaves having been torn off for stock feed. A queer country this,
where the people keep their wood piles on their roofs!
In that field over there they are picking cotton. There are scores of
little Egyptian boys and girls bending their dark brown faces above
the white bolls. The boys for the most part wear blue gowns and dirty
white skullcaps, though some are almost naked. The little girls have
cloths over their heads. All are barefooted. They are picking the fibre
in baskets and are paid so much per hundred pounds. A boy will
gather thirty or forty pounds in a day and does well if he earns as
much as ten cents.
The first picking begins in September. After that the land is
watered, and a second picking takes place in October. There is a
third in November, the soil being irrigated between times. The first
and second pickings, which yield the best fibre, are kept apart from
the third and sold separately.
After the cotton is picked it is put into great bags and loaded upon
camels. They are loading four in that field at the side of the road. The
camels lie flat on the ground, with their long necks stretched out.
Two bags, which together weigh about six hundred pounds, make a
load for each beast. Every bag is as long and wide as the mattress
of a single bed and about four feet thick. Listen to the groans of the
camels as the freight is piled on. There is one actually weeping. We
can see the tears run down his cheeks.
Now watch the awkward beasts get up. Each rises back end first,
the bags swaying to and fro as he does so. How angry he is! He
goes off with his lower lip hanging down, grumbling and groaning like
a spoiled child. The camels make queer figures as they travel. The
bags on each side their backs reach almost to the ground, so that
the lumbering creatures seem to be walking on six legs apiece.
Looking down the road, we see long caravans of camels loaded
with bales, while on the other side of that little canal is a small drove
of donkeys bringing in cotton. Each donkey is hidden by a bag that
completely covers its back and hides all but its little legs.
In these ways the crop is brought to the railroad stations and to the
boats on the canals. The boats go from one little waterway to
another until they come into the Mahmudiyeh Canal, and thence to
Alexandria. During the harvesting season the railroads are filled with
cotton trains. Some of the cotton has been ginned and baled upon
the plantations, and the rest is in the seed to be ginned at
Alexandria. There are ginning establishments also at the larger
cotton markets of the interior. Many of them are run by steam and
have as up-to-date machinery as we have. At these gins the seed is
carefully saved and shipped to Alexandria by rail or by boat.
The Nile bridge swings back to let through the native boats sailing down to
Alexandria with cargoes of cotton and sugar grown on the irrigated lands farther
upstream.
A rainless country, Egypt must dip up most of its water from the Nile, usually by
the crude methods of thousands of years ago. Here an ox is turning the creaking
sakieh, a wheel with jars fastened to its rim.
Egypt is a land that resists change, where even the native ox, despite the
frequent importation of foreign breeds, has the same features as are found in the
picture writings of ancient times. He is a cousin of the zebu.
The Egyptians put more work on their crop than our Southern
farmers do. In the first place, the land has to be ploughed with
camels or buffaloes and prepared for the planting. It must be divided
into basins, each walled around so that it will hold water, and inside
each basin little canals are so arranged that the water will run in and
out through every row. The whole field is cut up into these beds,
ranging in size from twenty-four to seventy-five feet square.
The cotton plants are from fourteen to twenty inches apart and set
in rows thirty-five inches from each other. It takes a little more than a
bushel of seed to the acre. The seeds are soaked in water before
planting, any which rise to the surface being thrown away. The
planting is done by men and boys at a cost of something like a dollar
an acre. The seeds soon sprout and the plants appear in ten or
twelve days. They are thinned by hand and water is let in upon them,
the farmers taking care not to give them too much. The plants are
frequently hoed and have water every week or so, almost to the time
of picking. The planting is usually done in the month of March, and,
as I have said, the first picking begins along in September.
I have been told that cotton, as it is grown here, exhausts the soil
and that the people injure the staple and reduce the yield by
overcropping. It was formerly planted on the same ground only every
third year, the ground being used in the interval for other crops or
allowed to lie fallow. At present some of the cotton fields are worked
every year and others two years out of three. On most of the farms
cotton is planted every other year, whereas the authorities say that in
order to have a good yield not more than forty per cent. of a man’s
farm should be kept to this crop from year to year. Just as in our
Southern states, a year of high cotton prices is likely to lead to
overcropping and reduced profits, and vice versa. Another trouble in
Egypt, and one which it would seem impossible to get around, is the
fact that cotton is practically the only farm crop. This puts the
fellaheen more or less at the mercy of fluctuating prices and
changing business conditions; so that, like our cotton farmers of the
South, they have their lean years and their fat years.
Egypt also has had a lot of trouble with the pink boll weevil. This
pestiferous cotton worm, which is to be found all along the valley of