‫ر‬ ‫ا‬ ‫ا‬ ‫ى‪ :‬ا‬

‫ذ‪:‬‬ ‫ا‬ ‫و‬ ‫ما!‬ ‫ا‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫ا‬ ‫ا‬ ‫•‬ ‫أ د)‬
‫‪/,‬‬ ‫ا ‪+,‬‬
‫‪#‬‬ ‫ا ‪ $‬ا‬
‫) ‪0‬‬ ‫ا! ‪-‬‬
‫ا'داب و‬ ‫‪:‬‬ ‫م ا(‬ ‫ا'داب و ا‬
‫م ا(‬ ‫ا‬
‫ل‪ :‬ا* ‪ 4‬ب ا*‪+2‬دي‬ ‫‪ 1‬ر‬
‫ت‬ ‫ا دة‪ :‬ا ر‬
‫ت‬ ‫درس ا‬ ‫ل‬ ‫ر‬
‫‪ P:‬و ‪F‬‬ ‫و‬ ‫أن‬ ‫‪:1‬‬
‫ة وا ة‬
‫؟‬ ‫ها‬ ‫‪ (1‬د ‪%‬ن ا‪" "# $‬ت‬
‫‪ (2‬د ر‪ + ,‬ا * *‪Ω )%‬‬

‫أ‪: " #‬‬

‫‪ #* (1‬ا ‪%/0‬ل )‪ P : 12‬أو ‪F‬‬
‫أ‪ 5‬ى‬ ‫‪ F‬ھ ا ‪"#‬‬ ‫و‬ ‫‪ P‬ھ ا ‪"#‬‬
‫*‪ )%‬ا‪" "# $‬ت ھ ‪Ω = { P; F } :‬‬ ‫‪ 8 9‬اذن‬ ‫إ ‪"#‬‬ ‫ها‬ ‫اذن‬

‫‪ ;(8 9‬أ ر‪ + ,‬ا * *‪Ω )%‬‬ ‫اذن‪) card ( Ω ) = 2 :‬إ ‪"#‬‬

‫"‬ ‫;‬ ‫‪:2‬‬

‫؟‬ ‫ها‬ ‫‪ (1‬د ‪%‬ن ا‪" "# $‬ت‬
‫‪ (2‬د ر‪ + ,‬ا * *‪Ω )%‬‬

‫أ‪: " #‬‬

‫أ‪ 5‬ى‬ ‫‪ #* (1‬ا ‪%/0‬ل )‪ PP : 12‬أو ‪ FF‬أو ‪ FP‬أو ‪ PF‬اذن‪ PP :‬ھ ا'& " و ‪ FF‬ھ ا ‪"#‬‬
‫‪ 4‬ا ‪" "#‬ت ‪ 8 9‬اذن *‪ )%‬ا‪" "# $‬ت ھ ‪Ω = { PP; FF ; PF ; FP} :‬‬ ‫‪ (2‬اذن ه ا‬

‫و =" ‪ 4) card ( Ω ) = 4 :‬ا ‪" "#‬ت ‪(8 9‬‬

‫> ا‪" "# $‬ت‬ ‫ة ا‪" "# A‬ت ‪) ?0@2‬‬ ‫*‪ "= #‬ا‪"* C‬ل ‪B‬‬
‫ا ‪"E‬‬ ‫ا‪D‬و ‪ 1‬ا‬ ‫ا‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪+,' card ( Ω ) = 2 × 2 = 4‬أ ا* )اء‬

‫"‬ ‫ات‬ ‫‪GH‬ث‬ ‫‪:3‬‬

‫‪(1‬أر‪ B IC‬ة ا‪" "# $‬ت‬
‫‪ (2‬د ‪%‬ن ا‪" "# $‬ت ‪ Ω‬و د ) ‪card ( Ω‬‬
‫ا ‪ #* (1 : " #‬ا ‪%/0‬ل )‪ PPP : 12‬أو ‪ FFF‬أو ‪......‬‬
‫‪ PPP‬ھ ا'& " و ‪ FFF‬ھ ا ‪ "#‬أ‪ 5‬ى و ‪........‬‬
‫‪ 0‬ة ا‪ &'.‬ت‬
‫‪ 8‬ا ‪" "#‬ت اذن ‪"M9‬ء ا‪" "# $‬ت ھ‪: %‬‬ ‫ها‬ ‫‪ (2‬اذن‬

‫ذ‪:‬‬ ‫ا‬ ‫‪1‬‬

 (8 9 ‫" "ت‬# ‫ ا‬8) card ( Ω ) = 8 Ω = {PPP; PPF ; PFP; PFF ; FPP; FPF ; FFP; FFF }
‫و‬
E "E ‫ا‬ ‫ا‬ "E ‫ا‬ ‫ ا‬1 ‫و‬D‫ا‬ ‫ا‬
2 2 2

: N" ‫ ا‬C‫ ا **"ر‬O+ ‫"م‬+ D‫ا‬ ‫أ‬ G; Q ‫ز‬%; @; S@ " ‫ "ط‬U ‫ ا‬:4

‫ةا م‬ ‫ن‬%C‫ *"ر‬A VW ‫ا‬

‫ةا‬ ‫ن‬%C‫ *"ر‬B VW ‫ا‬
2+ ‫ة ا‬ ‫ن‬%C‫ *"ر‬C VW ‫ا‬
I+ ‫ھ ا ا‬ G ‫ " ا ا‬,‫ا‬%X) ‫ "ر‬U
> /W " A ∪ C ‫ و‬A ∩ C ‫ و‬A ∪ B ‫ و‬A ∩ B ‫ و‬C ‫ و‬A ‫ و‬Ω ‫ و‬C ‫ و‬B ‫ و‬A O ‫(أ‬1
P ( C ) ‫ و‬P ( A ) ‫ و‬P ( A ∪ C ) ‫ و‬P ( A ∩ C ) ‫ و‬P ( A ∪ B ) ‫ و‬P ( A ∩ B ) ‫ و‬P ( C ) ‫ و‬P ( B ) ‫ و‬P ( A ) : O+ ‫(أ‬2

( ) ( )
p C ‫ و‬1 − p ( C ) ‫ و "رن‬p A ‫ و‬1 − p ( A ) :‫( "رن‬3
P ( A ∪ B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) − P ( A ∩ B ) : ‫ أن‬Z 0;(4
P ( A ∪ C ) = P ( A) + P ( C ) : ‫ أن‬Z 0;(5
Ω = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; g ; h; i; j; m} C = {i; j ; m} B = {e; f ; g ; h} A = {a; b; c; d ; e; f } (1:‫اب‬ *‫ا‬
A ∩ C = ∅ A ∪ B = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; g; h} A ∩ B = {e; f } C = {a;b;c; d; e; f ; g; h} A = { g ; h; i; j; m}
A ∪ C = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; i; j; m}
Card ( A∪B) Card ( A ∩ B) 2 CardC 3 ‫و‬ CardA 6 (2
p (C ) = p ( A) =
8‫و‬ CardB 4
p( A∪B) = = p ( A ∩ B) = = = p ( B) = = =
CardΩ 11 CardΩ 11 Card Ω 11 Card Ω 11 Card Ω 11
Card ( A ∪ C ) 9 ‫و‬ Card ( A ∩ C ) 0
( )
p C =
CardC 8 ‫و‬
=
Card Ω 11
p A = ( )
Card A 5
=
Card Ω 11
p( A∪C) =
Card Ω
=
11
p(A∩C) =
Card Ω
= =0
11

( )
p C = 1− p (C ) = 1−
3 8
=
11 11
‫و‬ ( )
p A = 1 − p ( A) = 1 −
6 5
= (3
11 11
6 4 2 8
P( A) + P( B) − P( A∩B) = + − = = P( A∪B) (4
11 11 11 11
6 3 9
P ( A ) + P ( C ) = + = = P ( A ∪ C ) (5
11 11 11
:? 0 ,‫ا‬%X ‫ا‬ ‫\ ا‬W= ‫"ن ;@ "ن‬H B ‫ و‬A :5
. p ( A ∩ B ) = 0, 3 ‫ و‬p ( B ) = 0, 4 ‫ و‬p ( A ) = 0, 7
p (A ∪ B ) ‫ و‬p B ‫ و‬p A ( ) ( ) :O+ ‫أ‬

( )
p A = 1 − p ( A) = 1 − 0.7 = 0.3
:‫ا* اب‬
( )
p B = 1 − p ( B ) = 1 − 0.4 = 0.6
p ( A ∪ B ) = p ( A) + p ( B ) − p ( A ∩ B )
= 0.7 + 0.4 − 0.3 = 0.8

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 2
 ‫* او‬ ; ‫داء و‬%C ‫ات‬ 3 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ات‬ 5 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :6
‫ة وا ة‬ ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫د‬ .1

: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫د ا *"ل ا‬ .2

N " ‫داء‬%C ‫ة‬ O0C " ‫ و‬B" ‫"ء‬M ‫ة‬ O0C "
D" ‫داء‬%C ‫ة‬ O0C ‫ و " ) م‬R" ‫ة * اء‬ O0C " ‫و‬
card ( Ω ) = 10 (1:‫اب‬ *‫ا‬
‫= وق‬/ ‫ ا‬9 ‫ ات‬# ‫"ط ) د ا‬+@ %‫وھ‬
CardN 3 CardB 5 1
p(N ) = = p (B) = = = (2
Card Ω 10 Card Ω 10 2

p (R) =
CardR
=
2 1
= ‫و‬
Card Ω 10 5

D = N ‫ أي‬N ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ ھ‬D

( )
p ( D ) = p N = 1 − p ( N ) = 1 − 0.3 = 0.7 9:'‫و‬

: * ‫ أ اص‬12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :7

4 I ‫*> ا‬0; ‫أ اص‬ @C ‫ و‬2 I ‫ن ا‬%2*0 I = ‫ث أ اص‬GH ‫ و‬1 I ‫ن ا‬G*0 I = ‫`"ن‬
‫`" وا ا‬ ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫د‬ .1

: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫د ا *"ل ا‬ .2

C" ‫ زو‬I ‫*> ر‬0 ‫ص‬ O0C " B " 3 I ‫*> ا‬0 ‫ص‬ O0C " A" 1 I ‫*> ا‬0 ‫ص‬ O0C "
D" 2 ‫"وي‬+ ‫أو‬ d`‫ أ‬I ‫ ر‬O0C "
E" 1 I ‫*> ا‬0 $ ‫ص‬ O0C "
card ( Ω ) = 12 (1:‫اب‬ *‫ا‬
‫= وق‬/ ‫ ا‬9 ‫ اص‬D‫"ط ) د ا‬+@ %‫وھ‬
CardD 5 CardC 10 5 CardA 2 1 CardB 0
p (D) = = p (C ) = = = p ( A) = = = p ( B) = = = 0 (2
Card Ω 12 Card Ω 12 6 Card Ω 12 6 Card Ω 12

( )
p ( E ) = p A = 1 − p ( A) = 1 −
1 5
= 9:'‫و‬
6 6
E = A ‫ أي‬A ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ ھ‬E

7! ‫و‬ 5! ‫ و‬4! : O+ ‫ أ‬:8

3 4 2 2
C 12
‫ و‬C 7 ‫ و‬C 5 ‫ و‬C 4 : O+ ‫ أ‬.1
4 3 2
A 7
‫و‬ A 5
‫و‬ A 4
: O+ ‫ أ‬.2
A ×A ‫ و‬10!× 5! : 8+ ‫ و‬O+ ‫ أ‬.3
3 4
6 10
5
6!× 8!
A 10

(1:‫ا* اب‬
5! = 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1 = 120 ‫ و‬4! = 4 × 3 × 2 ×1 = 24
7! = 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 × 3 × 2 ×1 = 5040
5! 5! 5 × 4 × 3! 5 × 4 4! 4! 4 × 3 × 2! 4 × 3
= = = = = 10 = = = = = 6 (2
2 2
C 5
2!( 5 − 2 ) ! 2!3! 2!3! 2! C 4
2!( 4 − 2 ) ! 2!2! 2!2! 2!
12! 12! 12 ×11×10 × 9! 12 ×11×10 7! 7! 7 × 6 × 5 × 4! 7 × 6 × 5
= = = = = 35
4
= = = = = 220
3
C 12
3!(12 − 3) ! 9!3! 9!3! 3!
C 7
4!( 7 − 4 ) ! 4!3! 4!3! 3!
= 7 × 6 × 5 × 4 = 840
4
= 4 × 3 = 12 = 5 × 4 × 3 = 60
2 3
A 7 A 4 A 5 (3

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 3
 A ×A 6 × 5 × 4 ×10 × 9 × 8 × 7 5 × 4 10!× 5! 10 × 9 × 8!× 5! 10 × 9 10 × 3 × 3 10 × 3
3 4
6 10
= = = 20 ‫و‬ = = = = = 15 (4
5
10 × 9 × 8 × 7 × 6 1 6!× 8! 6 × 5!× 8! 6 3× 2 2
A 10

:9
‫* اء‬ ‫ات‬
5 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ ات‬3 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0
‫ آن وا‬9 ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ; " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1
: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫ د ا *"ل ا‬.2
M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C " R" ‫* او‬ ; O0C " B" ‫"و‬M ; O0C "
D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ; O0C "
card ( Ω ) = C82 = 8! = 8! = 8 × 7 × 6! = 8 × 7 = 28 (1:" # ‫ا‬
2!( 8 − 2 ) ! 2!6! 2!6! 2!
5! 5 × 4 × 3! 5 × 4
2 2
5! CardR C 10 CardB C 3
= = = = = 10 p (R) = == = p (B) = == 3 =
2 5
C (2
5
2!( 5 − 2 ) ! 2!3! 2!3! 2! Card Ω 28 28 Card Ω 28 28
CardM C + C5 3 + 10 13
2 2
‫* او‬ ; ‫أو‬ ‫"و‬M ; O0C ‫ن أي‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C
p (M ) = == 3 = =
Card Ω 28 28 28
( )
p ( D) = p M = 1− p ( M ) = 1−
13 15
=
28 28
9:'‫ و‬D = M ‫ أي‬M ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ ھ‬D

‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ 3 ‫* اء و‬ ‫ات‬ 5 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ ات‬4 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :10
‫ آن وا‬9 ‫= وق‬/ ‫ث ات ا‬GH " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1

: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫د ا *"ل ا‬ .2

R" ‫ات * اء‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " N " ‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " B" ‫"ء‬M ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C "
M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C "

C 123 = 12!
=
12! 12 × 11× 10 × 9! 12 × 11× 10 6 × 2 × 11× 10
= = = = 220
S= ‫ و‬card ( Ω ) = C123 (1:‫اب‬ *‫ا‬
3!(12 − 3) ! 3!9! 3!9! 3! 6

3 3
CardR C 10 5 CardN C 1 CardB C3 4 2 1
p (R) = == 5 = = p(N ) = == 3 = p (B) = == 4 = = = (2
Card Ω 28 28 14 Card Ω 28 28 Card Ω 28 28 14 7
5! 5! 5 × 4 × 3! 5 × 4
= = = = = 10
3
C 5
3!( 5 − 3) ! 2!3! 2!3! 2!

‫"ء‬M ‫ة وا ة‬ ‫داء‬%C ‫ة وا ة * اء ووا ة‬ O0C = ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ 3 O0C

CardD C × C4 × C5 3 × 4 × 5 15 3
1 1 1

p ( D) = == 3 = = =
Card Ω 28 220 55 11

( )
p ( M ) = p D = 1− p ( D) = 1−
3
=
8 2
= 9:'‫و‬
11 28 7
M = D ‫ أي‬D ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ ھ‬M

‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ 3 ‫* اء و‬ ‫ات‬ 4 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ات‬ 3 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :11
‫ آن وا‬9 ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫د‬ .1

: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫د ا *"ل ا‬ .2

D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " R" ‫ات * اء‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " B" ‫"ء‬M ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C "
F" 8 9 ‫* او‬ ; O0C " E" 8 9 ‫داء‬%C ‫ة وا ة‬ O0C " M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C "
G" > D‫ ا‬12) ‫"ء‬M ‫ة‬ O0C "
card ( Ω ) = C 103 (1" # ‫ا‬

C 103 = 10! 10! 10 × 9 × 8 × 7! 10 × 9 × 8 5 × 2 × 3 × 3 × 8

= = = = = 120
3!(10 − 3) ! 3!7! 3!7! 6 6

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 4
 =1 C3
n CardB 1
C n : ‫ ن‬I2 "= D p (B) = == 3 = (2
Card Ω 120 120
n −1 3

C =n p (R) =
CardR C
== 4 =
4
=
1
n : ‫ ن‬I2 "= D Card Ω 120 120 30
‫"ء‬M ‫داء وا ة‬%C ‫ة وا ة * اء ورة وا ة‬ O0C = ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ 3 O0C
CardD C ×C 4 ×C 3 3 × 4 × 4 48 2
1 1 1
p ( D) = == 3 = = =
Card Ω 120 120 120 5

( )
p (M ) = p D = 1− p (D ) = 1−
2 3
= 9:'‫ و‬M = D ‫ أي‬D ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ ھ‬M
5 5
‫ ى‬5D‫ان ا‬% D‫ا‬ %0+ = ‫داو‬%C ^ ; ‫داء و‬%C ‫ة وا ة‬ = 8 9 ‫داء‬%C ‫ة وا ة‬ O0C
CardE C ×C 7 3 × C 7
1 2 2
p( E) = == 3 =
CardΩ 120 120
3 × 21 63 21 9:'‫و‬ 7! 7! 7 × 6 × 5! 7 × 6 O+0
p (E ) = = = = = = 21
2
= = C C 72
120 120 40 7
2!( 7 − 2 ) ! 2!5! 2!5! 2!

‫ ى‬5D‫ان ا‬% D‫ا‬ E "H ‫و ة‬ ‫* او‬ ; O0C = 8 9 ‫* او‬ ; O0C

4! 4! 4 × 3 × 2! 4 × 3 :‫ن‬ CardF C ×C 4 6 ×C 4 6 × 6 36
1 2
3 2

C4 = = = = =6 p (F ) = == 6 = = = =
2

2!( 4 − 2 ) ! 2!2! 2!2! 2! Card Ω 120 120 120 120 10

G" > D‫ ا‬12) ‫"ء‬M ‫ة‬ O0C " ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ا‬
@ * ‫ان ا‬% D‫ا‬ ‫ة‬ O0C = G " ‫"ء‬M ‫ة‬ ‫ أي‬O0C ‫ " ) م‬: %‫ھ‬

O+0 ‫ و‬p (G ) = C 7 : ‫اذن‬

3
C 73 G ‫ ث‬0 ‫ ا *"ل ا‬O+0
120

( )
p G =
35
=
120 24
7 : S= ‫و‬
C
3
7
=
7!
=
7! 7 × 6 × 5 × 4! 7 × 6 × 5
3!( 7 − 3) ! 3!4!
=
3!4!
=
3 × 2 ×1
= 35

p (G ) = 1 − p G = 1 −( ) 7 17
=
24 24
: = ( )
p (G ) + p G = 1 : I2 ‫و‬

2‫و‬1 * ‫داو‬%C ; 4 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :12

5‫ و‬4‫ و‬3‫ و‬2 ‫ و‬1 * ‫ اء‬W` ‫ات‬ 5 12) "M ‫ي أ‬% 0 ‫و‬
‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ‫ة وا ة‬ " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+ (1
: " ‫ا‬ H 0 ‫ ا *"ل ا‬O+ ‫أ‬
B " " ‫ د‬9 "* ‫*> ر‬0; ‫ة‬ O0C A" ‫ اء‬W` ‫ة‬ O0C "
‫ آن وا‬9 ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ; " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+ (2
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω2 ? card ( Ω2 ) ‫د‬ .1

: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫د ا *"ل ا‬ .2

E" ‫زو‬ * ‫ ر‬12) ‫ل‬%/0 ‫" ا‬ M " ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C " C" ‫ او‬W` ; O0C "
D" ‫ن‬%2 ‫ا‬ W2 U ; O0C "
card ( Ω ) = 7 (1:" # ‫ا‬
‫= وق‬/ ‫ ا‬9 ‫ ات‬# ‫"ط ) د ا‬+@ %‫وھ‬
CardA 5 CardB 4
p (A ) = = p (B ) = = (1
Card Ω 7 Card Ω 7
2 7! 7! 7 × 6 × 5!
p (C ) =
CardC
==
C 5 10
= 9:'‫ و‬card Ω2 = C 72 = = = = 21 (2
Card Ω2 21 21 2!( 7 − 2 ) ! 2!5! 2!5!

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 5
 5! 5! 5 × 4 × 3! 5 × 4
= = = = = 10
2
C 5
2!( 5 − 2 ) ! 2!3! 2!3! 2! ‫ن‬D

CardE C 32 3 1 CardM C 22 + C 52 1 + 10 11
p (E ) = = = = p (M ) = = = =
Card Ω2 21 21 7 Card Ω2 21 21 21

‫"ء‬M ‫ة وا ة‬ ‫داء‬%C ‫ة وا ة * اء ووا ة‬ O0C = ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ 3 O0C

CardD C × C4 × C5 3 × 4 × 5 15 3
1 1 1
p ( D) = == 3 = = =
Card Ω 28 220 55 11
: ‫اذن‬ ‫"د‬M H "*‫ ھ‬D‫ و‬M
11 21 11 10
p (D ) = 1− p (M ) = 1− = − = 9:'‫ و‬p ( D ) + p ( M ) = 1
21 21 21 21

‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬
4 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ ات‬3 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :13
: ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ; ‫ل‬G ‫ و ون إ‬Q " " " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1
: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫ د ا *"ل ا‬.2
N " ‫داو‬%C ; O0C " B" ‫"و‬M ; O0C "
D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ; O0C " M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C "
card ( Ω ) = A72 = 7 × 6 = 42 (1:‫ا* اب‬
CardN A2 4 × 3 2 × 2 × 3 2 CardB A 3× 2 1
2
p(N ) = == 4 = = = p (B) = == 3 = = (2
Card Ω 42 7 × 6 7×6 7 Card Ω 42 7 × 6 7
CardM A4 + A3 4 × 3 + 3 × 2 3× 6 3
2 2
18
p (M ) = = = = = =
Card Ω 42 7×6 7×6 7×6 7

( )
p ( D) = p M = 1− p (M ) = 1−
3 4
= 9:'‫ و‬D = M ‫ أي‬M ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ھ‬D
7 7
‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH ‫ل‬G ‫ و ون إ‬Q " " " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+ ‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ 5 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ات‬ 4 12) ]B"
^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :14
‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1
: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫ د ا *"ل ا‬.2
N "‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " B" ‫"ء‬M ‫ث ات‬GH O0C "
D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ‫ات‬ ‫ث‬GH O0C " M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ‫ث ات‬GH O0C "
card ( Ω ) = A 9 = 9 × 8 × 7 = 504 (1:‫ا* اب‬
3

CardN A 3 5× 4× 3 5× 4 × 3 5 5 CardB A 4×3×2 4×3×2

3
1 1
p( N) = == 5 = = = = p (B) = == 4 = = = = (2
CardΩ 42 9 × 8 × 7 3 × 3 × 4 × 2 × 7 3 × 2 × 7 42 Card Ω 504 9×8×7 3×3×8×7 3×7 21
CardM A4 + A5 4× 3× 2 + 5× 4× 3 24 + 60 84 1
3 3
p (M ) = = = = = =
Card Ω 504 504 504 504 6

( )
p ( D ) = p M = 1− p (M ) = 1−
1 5
= 9:'‫ و‬D = M ‫ أي‬M ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ھ‬D
6 6
‫ل‬G f ‫ و‬Q " " " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+ ‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ 4 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ات‬ 3 12) ]B"
^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :15
: ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ;
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1
: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫ د ا *"ل ا‬.2
N " ‫داو‬%C ; O0C " B" ‫"و‬M ; O0C "
D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ; O0C " M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C "
(1:‫ا* اب‬
card ( Ω ) = = 7 × 7 = 72 = 49
CardM 3 × 3 + 4 × 4 25 CardN 4 × 4 16 CardB 3× 3 9
p (M ) = = = p(N ) = == = p (B) = == = (2
Card Ω 7×7 49 Card Ω 7 × 7 49 Card Ω 49 49

( )
p ( D) = p M = 1− p ( M ) = 1−
25 24
=
49 49
9:'‫ و‬D = M ‫ أي‬M ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ھ‬D

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 6
 ‫ل‬G f ‫ و‬Q " " " ,‫ا‬%X) O0+ ‫داء‬%C ‫ات‬ 5 ‫"ء و‬M ‫ات‬ 4 12) ]B" ^ ‫ي `= وق‬% 0 :16
: ‫= وق‬/ ‫ا‬ ;
‫" "ت‬# A‫"ء ا‬M9 %‫ ھ‬Ω ? card ( Ω ) ‫ د‬.1
: " ‫ اث ا‬D‫ د ا *"ل ا‬.2
N " ‫داو‬%C ; O0C " B" ‫"و‬M ; O0C "
D" ]2 U ‫ن‬% ; O0C " M" ‫ن‬%2 ‫\ ا‬W ; O0C "
(1:‫ا* اب‬
card ( Ω ) = = 9 × 9 = 92 = 81 (1
CardM 4 × 4 + 5 × 5 16 + 25 41 CardN 5 × 5 25 CardB 4 × 4 16
p (M ) = = = = p (N ) = == = p (B ) = == = (2
Card Ω 81 81 81 Card Ω 81 81 Card Ω 81 81

( )
p ( D ) = p M = 1 − p ( M ) = 1−
41 40 9:'‫ و‬D = M ‫ أي‬M ‫ ث‬02 ‫"د‬M* ‫ ث ا‬0 ‫ ا‬%‫ھ‬D
=
81 81

:‫ذ‬ ‫ا‬ 7