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CHP 10 Ans
CHP 10 Ans
CHP 10 Ans
13 1,074.6
14 1,151.6 77
15 1,227.6 76
16 1,303.6 76
… …
20 1,607.5
21 1,683.5 76
22 1,759.5 76
The 16th unit took the same time as the 15th unit, meaning that the value of n is 15.
6. The correct answer is C.
WORKING
Forecast = Trend × Seasonal = (400 + 10T) x S = (400 + (10 × 7)) × 1.1 = 517 units
7. The correct answer is D.
Tutorial note: If the coefficient of determination is 0.9604, the correlation coefficient is
√0.96 = +0.98 or −0.98. This shows the variables are strongly correlated, but not
whether the correlation is positive or negative.
8. The correct answers is B and D.
Tutorial note: One assumption of simple linear regression is that the dependent
variable is only affected by one independent variable; it cannot deal with multiple
independent variables. Another assumption is that what happened in the past (as
reflected in historical data) will continue in the future.
Simple linear regression is suitable when there is correlation between two variables; this
can be positive or negative correlation. Interpolation (i.e. forecasting within the range of
the original data) is more reliable than extrapolation (i.e. forecasting outside the range of
the original data).
9. The correct answers is A.
Tutorial note: The correlation coefficient (r) must be calculated to decide if statement
(1) is correct.
The formula for this is given on the formula sheet:
r = (nΣxy – ΣxΣy)/√[(nΣx²–(Σx)²)(nΣy²–(Σy)²)]
WORKING
Top line: nΣxy – ΣxΣy = (8 x 12,475) – (89 x 1,063) = 5,193
Bottom line: √[nΣx²–(Σx)²][nΣy²–(Σy)²] = √[(8 x 1,047 – 89²)(8 x 150,251 – 1,063²)] =
√(455 x 72,039) = 5,725
Therefore r = 5,193/5,725 = 0.907 = 0.9 to one decimal place. Statement 1 is correct.
Statement 2 relates to the coefficient of determination (r²).
r² = 0.92 = 0.81 = 81%. This means that 81% of the variation in factory overheads is
explained by the change in the number of labour hours worked and therefore statement
2 is incorrect.
10. The correct answer is C.
WORKING