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Research paper
H I G H L I G H T S G R A P H I C A L A B S T R A C T
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
JEL classification: Access to safe drinking water is a critical concern, particularly in areas affected by arsenic contamination. In
Q510 Bihar, an Indian state, 13 districts are facing groundwater contamination. The report of Ministry of Jal Shakti,
Q530 Government of India (2021), reveals that about 24 habitations from five districts of Bihar are affected by arsenic
Q250
groundwater contamination, impacting about 71,946 population and their health and economic conditions. The
Keywords: objectives of the present study are to determine factors that impact households’ WTP for arsenic-free drinking
Arsenic contamination
water and estimate the mean willingness to pay (WTP) for arsenic-free drinking water. The primary data from
Arsenic exposure
Willingness to pay
300 households was collected following simple random sampling, and villages were selected through a multi-
Contingent valuation method stage sampling method. The study uses a single-bound dichotomous choice method for WTP elicitation and
Single bound dichotomous choice applies a probit model to determine factors affecting households’ WTP for arsenic-free safe drinking water. The
Indirect utility model mean WTP is estimated to be ₹ 216.68 per household/month, and results find that education, income, health
expenditure, awareness level and high-risk exposure to arsenic are the most influential determinants of house
holds’ WTP for arsenic-free drinking water. The influence of education and awareness level is positive, calling for
conducting more awareness programs in the arsenic-contaminated areas in Bihar.
* Corresponding author. Department of Humanities and Social Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Roorke, India.
E-mail addresses: krsushil078@gmail.com (S. Kumar), dipti.nayak@hs.iitr.ac.in (D. Nayak).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2024.101189
Received 13 September 2023; Received in revised form 3 April 2024; Accepted 25 April 2024
Available online 5 May 2024
2352-801X/© 2024 Published by Elsevier B.V.
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
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S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
2. Literature review
3
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
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S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
Fig. 3. Number of affected habitations and Mean Arsenic concentration in districts of Bihar
*Note: Data on Arsenic concentration for Bhojpur and Bhagalpur districts of Bihar were unavailable.
(Source: Public Health Engineering Department, Government of Bihar, 2019*)
4.2. Sampling design and data collection following the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA) panel guidelines (Arrow et al., 1993; Bateman et al., 2006).
This study employed a contingent valuation method to estimate In addition to the primary survey data, relevant secondary data like
household Willingness to pay (WTP) for arsenic-safe drinking water. To population and socio-economic data for the districts were sourced from
ensure a representative sample, a multi-stage sampling technique was the district handbooks (Census, 2011a, 2011b). These secondary data
employed based on the mean arsenic concentration as a primary crite sources provided valuable context and additional insights to comple
rion. The primary data for groundwater quality for all the arsenic- ment the primary survey findings.
affected districts were obtained from the Public Health Engineering
Department (PHED), Government of Bihar, (2019). The study began 4.3. Survey instrument and payment method
with identifying the district with the highest mean arsenic concentration
(Fig. 3). In the second stage, we chose three blocks from a chosen district In this study, survey instrument was based on the contingent valu
with the highest mean arsenic concentration. In the third stage, we ation (CV) method, specifically utilizing the Single-Bounded Dichoto
selected four villages3 from each selected block with the highest mean mous Choice (SBDC) format, to obtain the household willingness to pay
arsenic concentration. The distribution of samples collected from each for contamination-free drinking water (Bishop and Heberlein, 1979).
village can be found in Table 2. Finally, we randomly selected 300 The survey questionnaire featured key sections to gather information on
household to participate in the survey. households’ socio-economic and demographic characteristics, source of
Prior to the interview, verbal consent was obtained from the inter drinking water and perceptions of water quality, and health effects of
cepted participants. Each respondent was presented with a semi- drinking arsenic-contaminated water and the cost of illness. The final
structured questionnaire, which was administered by the interviewer. section focused on capturing households’ WTP for safe drinking water.
Data was collected through a semi-structured questionnaire. The Before presenting the hypothetical scenario, participants were briefed
questions related to CVM were explicitly designed for this purpose about the harmful effects of consuming arsenic-contaminated water on
human health and the benefits of adopting arsenic-safe drinking water
options. Thereafter, the interviewer asks respondents about their will
Table 2 ingness to pay to obtain a change P (status quo) to some alternative, say
Sample area and sample size.
P’.
Block Village Number of households Sample size Prior to the final survey, we conducted a pilot study to identify and
Buxar Belaur 239 33 rectify the survey instrument. Following the pilot survey, the bid amount
Parasiya 150 21 was decided through collaborative discussion with a co-author while
Tiwaripur 149 18 considering the economic condition prevalent in the study area.
Harkisanpur 204 28
Thus, we found four initial bid amounts, i.e., ₹ 100/₹150/₹200/₹250
Simri Niayzipur 620 18
Badka Rajpur 300 26 per household per month. The initial bids4 were randomly assigned to
Chotka Rajpur 203 26 every respondent. The random assignment of bid amounts helped
Tilak Rai ka Hata 263 30 minimize potential biases, allowing for more accurate estimations of
Brahmpur Mahuar 833 27
households’ WTP values (Sajise et al., 2021). It was followed by an
Nimej 896 25
Dhanchhapra 114 21
open-ended question, i.e., their maximum willingness to pay. House
Bairia 557 27 holds were expected to make payments using cash as the preferred
payment method.
Source (Census, 2011a, 2011b)
The close-ended question asked by the interviewer has been detailed
below.
3
In India, a village is the smallest administrative unit within a district,
typically consisting of a group of households and governed by a Gram Pan
4
chayat (village council) elected by the local residents. 1USD = ₹ 74.50 in 2022.
5
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
Hypothecial scenario to measure WTP using contingent valuation method 4.4.2. Specifying probit model
A probit model determines the factors that affect the willingness to
Willingness to pay pay for arsenic-free drinking water. The dependent variable is WTP,
In your village, groundwater is contaminated due to the presence of arsenic above the which takes a value of 1 if the respondent accepts the initial bid amount
permissible limit, which poses a risk to human health. Now, suppose to address this offered to him for the arsenic-free drinking water, and 0 otherwise.
problem the government has proposed a project to provide improved water facilities The equation for the probit model can be written as:
to each household. The new water source would be clean, germ-free, and arsenic-
free, thereby ensuring the health and well-being of the community. However, the P(Y= 1|X) = Φ(β0 + xβ) (7)
intervention to provide arsenic-safe water incurs some costs, i.e., establishment and
maintenance costs of the plant. where Φ is the cumulative distribution function of a standard normal
Now, suppose, in the real market, you have the option to purchase a 20-L water
variable so that 0 < Φ(z) < 1 is used to transform the linear combination
bottle that is free from arsenic concentration @20rs per bottle, which translates to
Rs 1 per litre. Now, let us consider the government’s plan to provide arsenic-free of independent variables into a probability between 0 and 1. x is a vector
water to your village through public standpipes strategically placed on each street. of factor that affect the WTP for arsenic-free drinking water and β is the
The water will be available at fixed times twice a day— in the morning and in the vector of coefficients that shows that effect of changes in x.
evening. However, each household will have a daily limit of 200 L of water. To estimate the model parameters, the log-likelihood function is
1. Would you be willing to pay in principle for arsenic (Yes/No) [if No skip to next
safe drinking water supply? question no 3]
maximised. The log-likelihood function for the probit model is expressed
2. If Yes, suppose it cost you ₹ 100/150/200/200 to (Yes/No) as:
obtain safe arsenic-free drinking water to your nyes
household, would you be willing to pay that
∑ ∑
nno
( )
Loglikehood = y log πyes + (1 − y)log 1 − πyes (8)
amount?
i=1 i=1
2.3 If you are not willing to pay, can you explain why not?
where nyes and nno are number of respondents saying yes or no to the
start-up bid amount and y is dummy variable indicating individual’s
The response to above question forms the qualitative information in
choice 1 for ’yes’ and 0 for ’no’ (Hanemann and Kanninen, 1999). The
the form of a bound on their WTP for the change—a lower bound if they
analysis was done in R studio using the DCchoice package (Aizaki et al.,
answer ’yes’, and an upper bound if they answer ’no’. The initial bids
2022), which is designed for dichotomous choice contingent valuation.
were ₹100, ₹150, ₹200, and ₹250.
4.4.3. Description of variables
To assess the willingness to pay (WTP) for safe drinking water, it is
4.4. Econometric model
essential to identify and understand the factors that potentially influence
households’ decisions. The variables mentioned in Table 3 are expected
The CV survey is widely used approach to elicit individual’s WTP for
to play a significant role in determining individuals’ WTP for accessing
a non-market good or service and based upon hypothetical scenario
safe drinking water. Analyzing the relationship between variables and
(Dasgupta et al., 2022). There are methods like direct payment
WTP will provide valuable insights into the economic valuation of safe
approach, open-ended approach, payment card approach, referendum
drinking water and inform policy decisions related to water quality
approach, dichotomous choice approach and multiple bound approach
improvement.
that can be used to capture the WTP for a good/service. These various
techniques offer flexibility in capturing individuals’ WTP in CVM
4.4.4. Biases and validity in the CVM
studies.
In the contingent valuation (CV) approach, different methods like
open-ended questions, payment cards, bidding game, and dichotomous
4.4.1. Single-bound dichotomous choice method
choice (DC) (both single-bound closed-ended questions and multiple
In the present study Single bound approach is adopted. Single-
bounded questions) have been developed to elicit answers from re
bounded dichotomous Choice (SBDC) is a contingent valuation
spondents on a hypothetical scenario (Chien et al., 2005). DC method is
method used to ask individuals to state their WTP for a good or service
more pronounced in CV surveys over all other methods. However,
by presenting them with a single bid and asking for a binary response
several studies like Hanemann (1984) and Hanemann et al. (1991)
(yes/no). In SBDC format WTP of ith individual (Wi) depends upon
preferred the double-bound dichotomous choice approach (DBDC),
observable factors (xi), including initial bid price and unobserved factors
ensuring statistical efficiency over SBDC. He argued that a follow-up
(εi) as given in the equation below:
question can increase the efficiency of the questionnaire. However, it
Wi = xi (β) + εi (6) may suffer from the anchoring bias5 problem (Flachaire et al., 2007),
which is found when through closed-ended questions, respondents are
Where xi is a non-linear function of k independent variables, β is a col asked to compare their estimate to a value supplied by the surveyor, a
umn vector of length k representing unknown parameters, and εi is the value referred to as the ‘anchor’. Respondents were then asked to esti
error term following a normal distribution with mean zero and variance mate the quantity being valued through an open-ended question. A
(σ2). The interviewer records the respondent’s reply to the bid (bi), i.e., strong correlation may be found between the anchors provided amount
the respondent replies “yes” to the bid offer if Wi > bi and “no” and the estimates proposed by the subjects which is termed as anchoring
otherwise. bias (Flachaire et al., 2007). SBDC can be preferred over DBDC.
The SBDC method provides a straightforward and practical We have checked the validity of study design by testing whether the
approach. Its simplicity makes it easy for people to understand, saving law of demand holds or not. Since, the law of demand says that as the bid
time. Also, it requires less resources. A simple ‘yes’ or ‘No’ is enough to amount increases, the number of respondents willing to pay arsenic safe
understand what people prefer. drinking water tends to decrease (Dasgupta et al., 2022; Walle and
Despite the mentioned strengths, this method has certain limitations Nayak, 2021).
like limited precision and biases that are discussed further. A notable
limitation of this approach is its hypothetical nature (Sajise et al., 2021).
In practice, individuals might make choices distinct from their responses
in the hypothetical setting. Also, this method assumes that there is a
linear relationship between bid amount and probability of acceptance, 5
Anchoring bias occurs when respondents rely heavily on the surveyor or
which might not be true in every case. anchors their answer to second bid based on the first proposed bid.
6
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
5. Results and discussion of significance, thus rejecting the null hypothesis that all the coefficients
are equal to zero (Table 7). This result indicates that our model out
This section provides an overview of the socio-demographic and performs the null model7 (Dasgupta et al., 2022).
economic characteristics of households, including their current source of The coefficient for the start-up bid value is negative and significant
drinking water and the mitigation strategies employed to reduce the (p-value <0.01). Thus, it shows an inverse relation between WTP for
health risks associated with arsenic-contaminated drinking water. arsenic-free water and start bid value (BID), i.e., as the bid amount rises
Furthermore, the section presents the results of the probit model esti likelihood of WTP decreases for arsenic-free water.
mation, which sheds light on the factors influencing households’ will The coefficient of education and income (more than 5 lakh) is posi
ingness to pay (WTP) for arsenic-safe drinking water. Additionally, it tive and significant, implying that households with higher levels of in
reports the mean WTP for arsenic-safe drinking water among come and education are more likely to have higher WTP for arsenic-free
households. drinking water. This relationship is consistent with the previous studies,
such as Thakur et al. (2022), concluding that income of household, and
5.1. Socio-demographic characteristics of households years of education, are positively related to willingness to pay for arsenic
safe drinking water.
This section provides household socio-economic and demographic AWARENESS is also positive and statistically significant at (p-value
characteristics for the sample villages. Most respondents are male <0.05). It indicates that respondents who were previously known about
(83.33%), while 16.6% are female. The average age for respondents is the presence of arsenic in groundwater and its consequences on health
42.87 years. Around 81% of respondents are literate, with an average of are more likely to WTP for arsenic-free drinking water in the region.
9.09 years of schooling. Also, 51.67% of the respondents are head of the The coefficient of health expenditure (HEALTHEXP) is also positive
household. In most cases (97.33%), the head of the family is a male and statistically significant at (p-value <0.01). It indicates that house
member. The average household size is 8.46 members, with 59.67% holds who incur a more considerable portion of their monthly income on
living in a joint or extended6 family while 40.33% living in a nuclear medical bills are more likely to WTP for arsenic-free drinking water.
family. The coefficient for high-risk exposure (ASCONC) is positive and
Agriculture remains the primary source of livelihood. Around significant at (p-value <0.05). Households living in areas with high
45.33% of households depend on agriculture and allied activities like arsenic contamination in groundwater are more likely to Pay. This
animal husbandry, poultry, etc., and 17.67% depend on casual labour. mirrors the findings of Khan et al. (2014), which conclude that house
Also, 14.67% of households are engaged in non-agricultural activities holds living in medium or high-risk zones are willing to contribute
for livelihoods, and the remaining 22.33% are salaried employees. significantly more to arsenic-safe communal water deep tube wells as
compared to households in risk-free zones.
5.2. Present water source of households Moreover, some other variables like age, gender, and education
although have expected signs explaining the relationship between the
Households use hand pumps and tubewells as the primary source of explanatory variables and the dependent variable, but the coefficients of
drinking water. More than 90% of households use groundwater for daily these variables are not found to be significant. The reasons for the
use like drinking, cooking, bathing, etc. The present source of drinking insignificant coefficients may be attributed to the limitations of the bid
water for the household is given in Table 4. values, which is an inherent characteristic of the SBDC model. Likewise,
the mitigation variables are not significant as the percentage of the
5.3. Household mitigating strategies population in the sample adopting the selected mitigation strategies is
very low, i.e., around 26 per cent (For RO-13.33 per cent, PBW 10 per
The sample households adopted various mitigating strategies, cent and ARU 2.67 per cent). The insignificant results can be attributed
including the shift to different water sources (64%), use of electric pu to the following further reasons. Because of similar characteristics of the
rifier RO (14%), purchase of purified water (10%) and arsenic removal respondents (since they belong to a particular geographical area), such
unit like water ATM (3%) (see Fig. 5). as low income, poverty, and dependence on groundwater, it might have
contributed to limited variation in responses within the sample popu
5.4. Household’s WTP for arsenic-free drinking water lation. This lack of diversity in socioeconomic status and water source
reliance could potentially affect the statistical significance of certain
Around 91.67% of respondents agreed that they were willing to pay explanatory variables in the model. Additionally, the prevalence of
to secure arsenic-safe water, while 8.33 % declined to pay, citing the similar preferences and behaviours among respondents due to these
following reasons: Cannot afford (32%), government’s responsibility common characteristics may further influence the outcome of the
(16%), already use RO or deep tubewells. model.
The households’ responses, as shown in Table 5, reflect their will
ingness to pay for arsenic-free water at different initial bid values. It is 5.6. Estimating confidence interval for mean WTP
observed that the WTP of households decreases as the initial bid amount
increases, as illustrated in Fig. 4. The range of WTP varies from ₹3.3 to The confidence interval for Mean Willingness to Pay (MWTP) can be
₹8.3 per day, meaning that households are willing to pay between estimated using the delta method, bootstrap method, and Krinsky-Robb
₹1204.5 and ₹3029.5 annually for access to arsenic-safe drinking water. (KR) method. Hole (2007) compared all three methods for accuracy and
found that all three gave similar results.
5.5. Determinants of WTP for arsenic-free drinking water The study found that the delta method produces the most accurate
results when the data is well-conditioned. It assumes that WTP is nor
In this section, we present descriptive statistics (Table 6) and report mally distributed and symmetric around its mean. However, in cases
the outcomes of the probit model (Table 7). where the sample size is not sufficiently large, these assumptions do not
The LR statistics, i.e., 36.736, is statistically significant at a 1% level hold, and the estimated confidence interval may be inaccurate, as it will
6 7
An extended family is a family structure that consists of two or more adults A null model or reference model assumes that there is no relationship be
that are from different generations of the same family, who maintain a tween dependent and independent variables. The null model for probit
household together. regression is given as: P(Y = 1) = Φ(β0).
7
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
Table 3
Description of the variables used in the model.
Variable Description Expected
sign
8
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
Table 6
Where X represents the row vector of the sample mean, including 1 for
Descriptive statistics of the variables.
constant term, the beta prime is the column vector of estimated co
Variables Mean SD Frequency Percent efficients, and β0 is the coefficient of the bid variable. The estimated
(%)
Mean WTP and Confidence interval is given in Table 8.
BID 167.63 54.26
AGE (in years) 42.56 16.29
6. Conclusion, limitations, and policy implications
Household size (HS) 8.48 4.36
Child (NC) 1.42 1.7
HEALTHEXP (in ₹) 546.25 511.59 Groundwater is one of the major sources of drinking water in the
WTRCONS (in litres) 59.2 28.23 study area, however it contains arsenic commonly known as the “Silent
Gender (GEN) 0 = Female 50 16.67 Killer”.8 The presence of arsenic poses a significant health risk to the
1 = Male 250 83.33
majority of the population. A study by Kumar et al. (2021) magnifies this
Education 0 = illiterate 57 19
(EDU) 1 = literate 243 81 concern, revealing a maximum arsenic concentration of 1908 μg/l from
Income (INC) 1 = ₹0 - ₹74000 40 13.33 Tilak Rai ka hata in Buxar district. In this context, the present study
2 = ₹74001 - 136 45.33 endeavours to determine how households value safe drinking water
₹17400
using a contingent valuation method.
3 = ₹174001 - 109 36.33
₹500000 Our findings shed light on the determinants influencing households’
4 = Above 15 5.0 willingness to pay (WTP) for arsenic-safe drinking water in Bihar. Fac
₹500000 tors such as education, awareness, income level, and perceived risk of
AWARENESS 0 = No 46 15.33 arsenic exposure emerge as key drivers of WTP. Notably, households
1 = Yes 254 84.67
with higher education levels and income are more inclined to invest in
SICK 0 = No 205 68.33
1 = Yes 95 31.67 arsenic-safe water, underscoring the importance of awareness and
ASCONC* 1 = Low risk 78 26 financial capacity in prioritizing safe drinking water. Impressively, 91%
Exposure (<30 of households express a WTP for safe drinking water, with an estimated
μg/l)
mean WTP of ₹216.68 per month per household.
2 = Medium risk 77 26.67
Exposure
In this paper, we employed the SBDC approach within the Contin
(30–60 μg/l) gent Valuation Method. However, it is important to acknowledge the
3 = High Risk 145 48.33 potential limitations and biases associated with contingent valuation
Exposure (>60 methods, as highlighted by Hausman (2012) and elucidated further by
μg/l)
Sajise et al. (2021). One notable limitation is the presence of hypo
Mitigation
RO 0 = No 260 86.67 thetical bias, wherein respondents may provide values in hypothetical
1 = Yes 40 13.33 scenarios that differ from their real-world behaviours. This bias can
ARU 0 = No 292 97.33 impact the accuracy of estimates, as respondents may tend to overstate
1 = Yes 8 2.67
their WTP in survey settings. Additionally, the study recognizes the
PBW 0 = No 270 90
1 = Yes 30 10
insensitivity to scope, where individuals may not consistently adjust
CWS 0 = No 110 36.67 their valuation proportionally when the quantity or quality of the good
1 = Yes 190 63.33 or service changes, potentially leading to biased estimations. Disparities
(* The categorization into low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk exposure was between measures of WTP and WTA pose another challenge, driven by
based on the summary statistics of arsenic levels in the study area. The minimum psychological factors such as loss aversion, resulting in different valu
observed concentration was 22 μg/l, the maximum was 92 μg/l, and the mean ations for the same item or outcome. Information bias is acknowledged,
concentration was 54 μg/l. Based on these values, we categorized arsenic levels considering that incomplete or biased information provided during the
into three ranges: below 30 μg/l, 30–60 μg/l, and above 60 μg/l. This approach valuation process can influence responses. Lastly, payment vehicle bias
allowed us to stratify arsenic concentrations into distinct risk zones, facilitating is recognized, understanding that the form of payment suggested (e.g.,
the assessment of health risks associated with different exposure levels and taxes, direct payments) can introduce biases in stated values.
informing targeted intervention strategies.). Estimating the mean WTP for arsenic-safe drinking water can be
helpful for policymakers to understand the demand for safe drinking
makes it particularly valuable when dealing with scenarios where WTP water can be helpful in designing a pricing mechanism. The study re
is not symmetric or normal. veals potential of raising funds between ₹188.32 to ₹321.89 per month
Bootstrap is similar to the KR method, which is also based on pro from households to provide safe drinking water for households. These
ducing a simulated distribution for a WTP. It repeatedly draws samples findings will further help policymakers in making investments in water
from the original data and re-estimates the model for each time to create infrastructure and treatment technologies. Moreover, the study high
the distribution. Confidence intervals are then calculated to account for lights the need for targeted interventions like awareness programs,
possible variations. Like KR, the bootstrap does not assume a symmetric health camps and piped drinking water to households to mitigate the
WTP distribution but differs in not requiring joint normal distribution of harmful impact of arsenic-contaminated groundwater.
coefficients (Hole, 2007). This makes bootstrap potentially advanta The government has implemented initiatives like the Mukhyamantri
geous for small sample sizes. However, it is more computationally Gramin Peyjal Nischay Yojna (Under this initiative, all households of all
intensive, as it requires model re-estimation for each sample drawn from the wards of the non-quality affected 4291 Gram Panchayats of the state
the original data, which could be resource-intensive for large datasets or are being supplied with tap water through pipes) in response to the
complex models. ongoing challenges in ensuring clean water access. However, despite
Therefore, we have used the Krinsky-Robb method to estimate the these efforts, issues such as restricted availability, low pressure, and
confidence interval for Mean WTP for arsenic-safe drinking water (Sajise inadequate maintenance persist, largely due to constraints in govern
et al., 2021). Krinsky-Robb method uses following formula for the mental funding or infrastructure deficiencies. Therefore, our study
calculation of mean WTP:
( )
Xβ′
Mean WTP = − (9) 8
β0 The presence of arsenic in groundwater takes some time to show its effect
on human health and that is the reason it is also known as ‘silent killer’.
9
S. Kumar and D. Nayak Groundwater for Sustainable Development 26 (2024) 101189
Table 7
Results of the Probit model.
Variables Coefficient Estimate Standard Error z-value Pr(>|z|) Confidence interval [95%]
lower upper
Note: ‘***’, ‘**’ and ‘*’ denotes level of significance at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively.
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