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Econ10004 Lectures Lecture Notes 1 24 - Compress
Econ10004 Lectures Lecture Notes 1 24 - Compress
What about resources that were used before making the decision?
• Do not include in decision – money you already spent
• At the time a decision-maker chooses an action,
resources that were already used should not matter in the decision-making
• Therefore, the value of those resources that were already used should not be
considered opportunity cost
Sunk cost reflect the value of resources that were used before making a decision about
which action to take
Examples
(1) Attending Commerce Student Society Ball
• Ball cost $150, 3 hours
• Part time job: You have schedule to work over those 3 hours at wage $20 an hour
(2) Going to a football match, supposing you already own a season ticket
• Already paid $150 per game for tickets
• Part time job: You have schedule to work over those 3 hours at wage $20 an
hour
(3) Both
• Ball tickets = $150
• You paid $150 for footy tickets you can’t resell
• The game & the ball are at the same time
• You are scheduled to work over those 3 hours at wage of $20 an hour
• You value going to the ball at $240
• Suppose a firm needs to decide whether to open a new branch, then the benefits
that need to be accounted would include expected revenue from having the new
branch
Algebraic:
• Suppose 𝑁𝐵(𝑥) = 𝑇𝐵(𝑥) – 𝑇𝐶(𝑥)
Example
• 𝑇𝐵(𝑥) = 10𝑥
• 𝑇𝐶(𝑥) = 𝑥 2
• 𝑁𝐵(𝑥 ) = 𝑇𝐵(𝑥 ) − 𝑇𝐶(𝑥 ) = 10𝑥 – 𝑥 2
No. of workers Total benefit Marginal benefit Total cost Marginal cost Net benefit
0 - -
1 60 60 20 20 40
2 105 45 40 20 65
3 135 30 60 20 75
4 150 15 80 20 70
What is a market?
• Where buyers & sellers trade a particular good/service
• Buyers on demand side & sellers on supply side of the market
• Both agents decide to transact by considering MB and MC
• Trade occurs when MB ≥ MC for both buyers and sellers
• Buyers: MB – Valuation >/ MC – Price
• Seller: MB – Price >/ MC – Opportunity cost (cost of production)
• Trade: Valuation >/ Price >/ Opportunity cost (cost of production)
Types of markets
Perfectly competitive markets
• Have many buyers & sellers + trading identical goods
• Such markets are competitive because buyers know that there are many sellers to
choose from because there is no product differentiation identical
• Individual sellers have no market power, they are price-takers
Demand
Demand curve
• Maps out no. of units “demanded” by buyers in market given a price
• Demand curve downward sloping
• For example, 𝑄𝐷 = 𝑎 − 𝑏𝑃 + 𝑐𝑋
,
Law of demand
• Price & quantity demanded are inversely related, other things being equal
Other factors
• Consumer tastes
• Opportunity costs
• Price expectations
• No. of buyers
Supply
• Market supply = Sum of all supplies of sellers
• Supply is potentially influenced by many factors (price, technology, etc.)
• For example, 𝑄𝑠 = 𝑎′ + 𝑏′𝑃 + 𝑐′𝑋
Law of supply
• Price & quantity supplied are positively related, other things being equal
Market equilibrium
• Situation in which demand & supply have brought into balance
• Quantity demanded (supplied) represents the willingness and ability of buyers
(sellers) to buy (sell) at each price
• Trade occurs where both sides of market “agree” on a price and quantity
• The market “clears” in the sense that buyers (sellers) have bought (sold) all they
wanted
• Graphically, market clears at intersection of market demand & supply curves
Equilibrium
Algebraically
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝑄𝑠 = 20𝑃
How do we know that the outcome in a perfectly competitive market is the pair {P∗ , Q∗}?
What happens at other prices?
At given
𝐏,
• Quantity traded is @ 𝑸𝑫 (𝑷) because there are no more buyers who are willing to
buy @ that price
• Some sellers are rationed out of the market:
Sellers would like to sell @
𝐏 but there is no more quantity demanded @ 𝐏
• Thus, sellers are willing to lower their asking price in order to sell their products
• (𝑃 < 𝑃 < 𝑃 )
When 1 seller lowers his price to 𝑷
then additional buyers will be willing to trade
< 𝐏∗
Suppose if 𝐏 = 𝐏
• There’s a mismatch between quantity demanded & quantity supplied
𝑄𝐷 (𝑃) > 𝑸 ∗> 𝑄𝑠 (𝑃)
At given
𝐏,
• Quantity traded is @ 𝑸𝒔 (𝑷) because there are no more sellers who are willing to
sell at that price
Comparative statics
• Factors that are exogenous to price/quantity (non-price determinants) shift
demand/supply
• Competition from buyers will push price up to higher equilibrium price 𝐏**
(Conversely, when there is decrease in demand)
Supply shocks
• Excess supply will push price down to lower equilibrium price 𝐏**
(Conversely when there is decrease in supply)
Combinations AMBIGUOUS
𝑑𝑄𝐷 𝑃
𝐸𝐷 = | × |
𝑑𝑃 𝑄𝐷
Point-price elasticity of demand
𝑑𝑄𝐷 𝑃
𝐸𝐷 = | × |
𝑑𝑃 𝑄𝐷
Example Demand curve = 𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
Calculate price elasticity of demand @ 𝑸𝑫 = 𝟐𝟎
When 𝑸𝑫 = 𝟐𝟎
Find price
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝟐𝟎 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝐏=𝟓
𝒅𝑸
Find slope 𝑫
𝒅𝑷
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝑑𝑄𝐷
= −20
𝑑𝑃
𝑑𝑄𝐷 𝐏
𝐸𝐷 = | × |
𝑑𝑃 𝑄𝐷
5
𝐸𝐷 = |−20 × |
20
𝐸𝐷 = 5
Find price
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝟏𝟎𝟎 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝐏=𝟏
𝒅𝑸
Find slope 𝒅𝑷𝑫
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑃
𝑑𝑄𝐷
= −20
𝑑𝑃
𝑑𝑄𝐷 𝐏
𝐸𝐷 = | × |
𝑑𝑃 𝑄𝐷
1
𝐸𝐷 = |−20 × |
100
𝐸𝐷 = 0.2
Perfectly inelastic 𝐸𝐷 = 0
Inelastic 0 < 𝐸𝐷 < 1
Unit elastic 𝐸𝐷 = 1
Elastic 1 < 𝐸𝐷 < ∞
Perfectly elastic 𝐸𝐷 = ∞
• Proposal = Have extension fully funded by additional revenue raised from toll
increment (marginal revenue MR) pay money by increasing toll price
Is proposal likely to work @ price elasticity of demand for toll roads = -0.8 𝐸𝐷 < 1
Is proposal likely to work @ price elasticity of demand for toll roads = -1.8 𝐸𝐷 > 1
TR = P × Q
d(TR) dQ
=𝑃 + 𝑄(1)
dP dP
d(TR) 𝑄 dQ
= 𝑃 +𝑄
dP 𝑄 dP
d(TR) dQ 𝑃
=𝑄( + 1)
dP dP 𝑄
Conclusion:
d(TR) d(TR)
Whether additional tolls on raised money depends on dP
> 0 or <0
dP
Which depends on price elasticity of demand
When does the company make the most money where tolls are raised?
• When the total revenue is maximised when 𝐄𝐃 = 𝟏 unit elastic
𝐝(𝐓𝐑)
When = 𝟎 total revenue maximised
𝐝𝐏
d(TR)
= 𝑄 ( −1 + 1)
Unit dQ P dP
× = −𝟏 Total revenue maximised
elastic dP 𝑄
d(TR)
=0
dP
Perfectly inelastic 𝐸𝑆 = 0
Inelastic 0 < 𝐸𝑆 < 1
Unit elastic 𝐸𝑆 = 1
Elastic 1 < 𝐸𝑆 < ∞
Perfectly elastic 𝐸𝑆 = ∞
Income 𝑬𝒀
• Measures responsiveness of quantity demanded to change in income
∆% Quantity demanded
𝑬𝒀 =
∆% Change in income
• Market demand curve = Marginal benefit = prices @ which buyers are willing to pay
• Market supply curve = marginal cost = Prices @ which sellers are willing to sell
Efficiency
• Market outcome is efficient when total surplus is maximised
At 𝑷 ∗, 𝑸 ∗
Society’s MB (for buyers) = MC (for sellers)
At 𝑸𝟏,
Total surplus is less that Q*
• Dead weight loss = B
• Any deviations away from Q*is inefficient
At 𝑸𝟐
• Negative surplus
• MC > MB
• There is cost to society
• Society bought more units than it should
• Hence a deadweight loss
• Total surplus = A+B minus C
Anti-marijuana lobby
• Marijuana legalization has been a major issue in many countries
• In Arizona, anti-marijuana lobby is composed of a very strange collection of firms:
o Pharmaceutical Companies (Insys): Recreational marijuana legal can make
synthetic marijuana un-favoured
o Liquor Distributors
o Prison Guard Unions
• Using what you know about supply & demand, what self-interested motives do each
of these groups have?
Government intervention
• Price ceiling
Direct control
• Price floor
(Price or quantity)
• Quota
Tax wedge
• Price paid by buyers – price received by sellers
𝑡 = 𝑃𝐷 – 𝑃𝑠
• Difference = Tax revenue for government
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20 𝑃𝐷
𝑄𝑆 = 20𝑃𝑠
𝑄𝐷 = 𝑄𝑠
120 – 20𝑃𝐷 = 20𝑃𝑆
𝑡 = 0 no tax therefore, 𝑷𝑫 = 𝑷𝑺
Tax on sellers
𝑄𝑆 = 20𝑷𝒔
𝑄𝑆 = 20(𝑷𝑫 – 𝒕) REMEMBER
Tax equilibrium
𝑄𝐷 = 𝑄𝑆
120 – 20𝑃𝐷 = 20(𝑷𝑫 – 𝒕)
120 – 20𝑃𝐷 = 20(𝑷𝑫 – 𝟐) 𝑡 = $2
𝑷𝑫 = $4
When 𝑷𝑫 = $4 Q∗∗ = 4 𝑃𝑠 = $2
How does equilibrium change if $2 per unit tax is imposed on buyers?
Tax on buyers
𝑄𝐷 = 120 − 20𝑷𝑫
𝑄𝐷 = 120 – 20(𝑷𝒔 + 𝒕)
Tax equilibrium
𝑄𝑑 = 𝑄𝑠
120 – 20(𝑷𝒔 + 𝒕) = 20𝑃𝑠
120 – 20(𝑷𝒔 + 𝟐) = 20𝑃𝑠 𝑡 = $2
𝑷𝒔 = $2
𝑊ℎ𝑒𝑛 𝑷𝒔 = $2 𝑄 ∗∗ = 40 𝑃𝐷 = 4
Tax incidence
Tax impose on sellers
Before tax Surplus after tax Difference
Consumer surplus A+B+C A -B -C
Producer surplus D+E+F F -D -E
Tax revenue 0 B+D B+D
Deadweight loss -C -E
2. Subsidies
• Payment from government to consumers/producers for each unit of a good
transacted
• To encourage consumption/production
Negative tax
𝒔 = 𝑷𝑺 – 𝑷𝑫
𝑡 = 𝑃𝑑 – 𝑃𝑠 Recall tax!
𝑡 = −𝑠
Subsidy incidence
Comparative advantage
Ability to produce good/service at lower opportunity cost than another producer
292929292929
Absolute advantage
Ability to produce good/service using fewer inputs than another producer
International trade
Imports decrease
• Quantity supplied by domestic sellers increases
But supplying more than at world price opportunity cost > 𝑷𝑾
• Quantity demanded by domestic buyers decreases
Potential consumption benefit gone marginal benefit > 𝑷𝑾
Conclusion: Made gains from international trade small but still better off rather than
without international trade (autarky) aka nothing at all
Market failure
• Market efficient outcome = maximise total surplus
• Market inefficient outcomes = lower well-being for society than efficient level =
market failures
• Arises when a decision-maker’s action causes benefits for others that is not received
by decision-maker
• Externalities can be positive (benefits for others) or negative (costs for others)
Market equilibrium
PMB = PMC, outcome Q ∗ maximises private net benefits
Government intervention
• Pigouvian tax/subsidy
• Direct regulation (quota)
• Coasian bargaining
• Tradeable permits
Negative externality in production
River pollution
2 producers located on river
• Paper mill (upstream) emits pollution into river as part of its production process
Brewery (downstream) uses water from river in production
• Neither producer has ownership of the river
Market outcome Q*
PMB = PMC
PMB = 100 – Q
PMC = Q
100 – Q = Q
Q* = 50
Implement
Government intervention
Example
• Suppose there’s 2 paper mills instead of 1 paper mill
• Both PMC and SMC are as before, so Q ∗∗ = 40
• Set some initial distribution of pollution permits (say, 50/50 split) and allow two mills
to trade
• Because mills have different willingness-to-pay for each level of pollution, there are
gains from trade
• Society is better off since less resources is used to achieve same total reduction in
pollution
• Tradeable permits is effectively a hybrid solution
• Promotes efficient distribution to reduce pollution across 2 mills
2. Public goods (market failure)
Public goods
• Non-excludable Consumer is not prevented from using good/services
• Non-rivalrous One consumer’s use does not diminish another consumer’s use
Free rider A person who receives benefit of good/service but avoids paying for it
Government interventions
Public production:
Suppose the government knows all private valuations (PMB) of the knowledge
It computes SMC and SMB (= ∑PMB) to determine the socially-efficient level of production •
It then acts as a collective agent for society to produce the knowledge, and finances
production via taxation • For example, it imposes Lindahl taxes onto each member of
society (effectively a cost-sharing arrangement whereby each member pays a share that is
equal to PMB SMB )
2. Ownership assignment: Patent
Suppose the government assigns ownership of the knowledge to whoever produces it • If
Abbey produces the knowledge, she then receives a patent/copyright for the vaccine and
can legally exclude other members from using the vaccine • Knowing the private valuations
of the other members, Abbey’s optimal decision is to produce the knowledge
Production function
• Describe what is technically feasible when a firm uses inputs
efficiently
• A production function describes the highest output Q that a firm
can produce for every specified combination of inputs
• While firms use a variety of inputs, we will keep things simple by
thinking about only 2 input: labour (L) and capital (K) machine=1
• We write production function as Q = F (K, L)
Productivity
Total product (TP)
• Total quantity of outputs given the level of inputs
• F(K, L) gives us the total productivity of K units of capital and L units of labour
Profit maximization
• Firm’s profit = Total revenue minus total cost
• Firm’s objective is to maximise profits
• Suppose that firm gets p for each unit of output, it must pay w for each unit of
labour and r for each unit of capital
• To maximize profit: pF(K, L) revenue − wL – rK cost
• Profit maximization problem with multiple inputs is hard to solve
Profits in terms of outputs
Suppose
• Cost of labour = $40,000 for 1 unit
• Rental cost of machine = $50,000
To answer these questions, it will be useful to think about not just SRTC and LRTC, but also a
variety of alternative cost measures that allow the firm to evaluate the firm’s position
Short run marginal cost
𝑨𝑭𝑪(𝑄)
• Since FC is constant, AFC(Q) must decline throughout
AFC(Q) Falling over large spread of quantity
𝑨𝑽𝑪(𝑄)
• AVC(Q) depends on AVC(Q) ≶ SRMC(Q)
• SRATC(Q) shape depend on share of FC & shape of SRMC(Q)
Trade-offs in technology
Profit maximisation
• Recall firm’s objective is to maximise economic profit differentiate, think at margin
π(Q) = TR(Q) − TC(Q)
𝜕𝑻𝑹(𝑄)
𝑀𝑅(𝑄) =
𝜕𝑄
𝜕𝐏 ∗ × 𝐐(𝑄)
𝑀𝑅(𝑄) =
𝜕𝑄
𝐏 ∗ × 𝐐(𝑄)
𝑀𝑅(𝑄) =
𝜕𝑄
𝑀𝑅(𝑄) = 𝐏 ∗
Firm’s profits
Entry and exit: perfectly competitive markets
TR (Q ∗) ≥ TC (Q ∗ )
In a month
• TC = $600 + $2000 (The rent is now part of opp. costs)
• TR = $2500 < TC = $2600
• Thus, the store should shut down in a month
AR (Q ∗) = P ∗ ≥ ATC (Q ∗)
Long run
2. Increasing cost industry
Perfect competitive markets sellers & buyers = price-takers cannot influence prices
Imperfect competitive markets where firms may be able to influence prices
Market power
• Ability of a firm to raise prices above level that would exist in perfect competitive
market
Monopoly
• Firm has downward-sloping demand
curve
To maximise profit, MR = MC
Rearranging this
Trade-off when increasing Q by a small amount
Marginal gain
• I get another customer
• P(Q) − MC(Q) Profit of this customer
Inframarginal loss
• To sell to one more customer,
𝒅𝑷(𝑸)
I need to reduce price by 𝒅𝑸
for all Q units already selling
Where marginal gain and inframarginal loss exactly equal = production level QM that
maximises profits
• Since price & quantity supplied are both set by firm, we do not speak of the “supply
curve” when analyzing monopoly problem
Starting from
Marginal gain = Inframarginal lost
𝑑𝑃(𝑄)
𝑃(𝑄) − 𝑀𝐶(𝑄) = − 𝑄
𝑑𝑄
𝒅𝑷(𝑸)
𝑃(𝑄) − 𝑀𝐶 (𝑄) 𝒅𝑸 𝑸 𝟏
=−
𝑃 𝑷 𝑬𝒅
𝑃(𝑄) − 𝑀𝐶 (𝑄) 1 𝟏
= =
𝑃 𝒅𝑷(𝑸) 𝑬𝒅
𝒅𝑸 𝑸
− 𝑷
Barriers to entry
• Exclusive ownership of resources
o Endowment
o Government-granted
• Large economies of scale
o Natural monopoly
• Monopolist drug manufacturer understands listing the drug on PBS will yield a large
increase in sales (since doctors are more likely to prescribe PBS-listed drugs)
• Of course, if drug is on PBS, it will have to settle for a lower price & regulated
What if firms can sell same product @ different prices to different consumers?
Would price discrimination increase their profits?
Calculating profits
Book price $40 Profit = 10 000 × $40 = $400 000
Book price $30 Profit = (100 000 + 10 000) × $30 = $3 300 000
Book price $5 Profit = (400 000 + 100 000 + 10 000) × $5 = $2 550 000
Readalots optimal decision sell 110 000 copies (100 000 + 10 000) @ $30
This decision creates monopoly deadweight loss of $2 million (400 000 readers willing to
pay at $5, zero marginal cost)
First degree
• Perfect price discrimination
• Each unit of product sold to consumer who values it most @ maximum price
consumer is willing to pay
• Firm will appropriate entire consumer surplus
• Efficient quantity is achieved = no deadweight loss
• Infeasible is it
Pharmaceutical incentives (drugs vs vaccines)
• On the other hand, patents can have large distortionary effects property rights
• Lobbying is rampant
• High investments in direct to consumer and doctor advertisement
• Skewed incentives for pharmaceutical research
In developing countries, vaccines have proven to be far more effective than drugs in
eradicating disease
• 75% of children are given a standard set of cheap, off-patent vaccines
• Vaccines are easier to administer – doctors don’t need to administer them
In this example, future economic profit is same. So, company can choose whichever has
lowest expected R&D cost
Firm does not know who is whom, thus can only set a uniform price
• In the case of the vaccine, everyone is different and the firm is unable to tell the
difference
• Based on this simple concept, drugs can better extract surplus from consumers i.e.
the potential revenue generated by a drug is higher than that by a vaccine
Third-degree price discrimination
• Firm identifies different groups of consumers from observable differences in
demand
• Firm sells same product to different groups @ different prices
• For example, consumers have different willingness-to-pay by age, gender, location
• Firm must be able to prevent arbitrage (resale from low-price to high-price market)
Revelation principle
• Pricing scheme must be designed => consumers self-select quality & price package
designed for them
• Choice of bundle reveals true type of each individual in market
Trade off
To design optimal bundle, seller has to compromise, trading off gains in high WTP
market with losses in low WTP market
Different classes of air travel
Uniform price
If airline offers single class of travel at one price which option is profit-maximising?
Information rents
• Ability of business class flyers pretend to be a different “type” ensures that they
receive positive rents •
• Monopolist needs to “bribe” consumers to induce them to reveal private
information about type
• Info is main weapon consumers have in maintaining consumer surplus
• Firms do many things to try to extract info about type & information rents
o Product and menu design
o Frequent shopper cards
o Browser and Facebook scraping
• Products intended for buyers with low WTP will often be designed to be inferior to
reduce temptation of high-value buyers from purchasing them
• Products intended for buyers with high WTP will have to perfectly match
characteristics these consumers desire
• Buyers with low WTP receive no surplus from trade fully appropriated
In strategic games,
players’ actions have cross-effects on other players given mutual awareness of these cross-
effects, players will respond to actions of others
✅Non-Cooperative Game Theory Assumes each agent tries to do what’s best for them
Some lessons
• Strategic situations involve inter-dependencies among actions taken by decision-
makers
• Strategic interactions can be complex and may involve psychological considerations
Games category
Strategy
• Complete set of actions in response to other players’ decisions in every contingency
• Pure strategies When players choose actions with certainty
• Mixed strategies When players choose actions with some randomness
Equilibrium
• When each player chooses a strategy that is a “best response” to other players’
strategy
Simultaneous games
Prisoners’ dilemma
• 2 prisoners are being asked separately
• 2 prisoners have to confess/not confess to a crime
Game mechanism
• If both confess,
they will be convicted & sentenced to 10 years in
prison
Player A (row)
If Player B (column) chose confess, A picks confess (-10)
If Player B (column) chose not confess, A picks confess (-1)
Best response action = Player A picks confess
Player B (column)
If Player A (row) chose confess, B picks confess (-10)
If Player A (row) chose not confess, B picks confess (-1)
Best response action = Player B picks confess
• If strictly dominant strategy exists, all other strategies must be strictly dominated
• If weakly dominant strategy exists, all other strategies must be weakly dominated
Nash equilibrium
• A set of strategies such that, when all other players use these strategies, no player
can obtain a higher payoff by choosing a different strategy
• If all players have dominant strategies, there is Nash equilibrium
• Dominated strategies can never be part of a Nash equilibrium
• Even when 1 (or more) player does not have a dominant strategy,
Nash equilibrium could still exist
In tennis game,
• No player has a dominant strategy
• We can eliminate server’s dominated strategy “C” but this does not show any
dominant strategy for either player given remaining possibilities
• While {L, C} are not dominant strategies, no player can do better by switching
strategies
• So, {L, C} is a Nash equilibrium, thus predicted equilibrium
Sequential games
We could specify a new Normal Form to find all the NE
• The Normal Form approach has some issues: • The normal form doesn’t give us any
sense of timing. We have a hard time reconstructing the original game. • A bigger
issue is that some of the NE of the game are strange. • If P1 chooses T, P2 using
strategy {V, V} will be getting 0. • She could do better if she changed her strategy
after P1’s initial choice and switched to T,V • Thus, the Nash Equilibrium V, {V, V}
exists in part because P2 is not switching strategies when it is in his interest. • We
can this type of equilibrium “non-credible” because the equilibrium is based on a
strategy profile that the individual would like to change when they arrive at a future
decision.
Subgame
• A game comprising a portion of a longer game, starting from a non-initial node of
the larger game
Backward induction
• Start at final subgames, to find Nash equilibrium for these subgames
• Move up the tree using these choices as predicted actions of later subgames.
• Market supply = QS = QA + QB
• Market demand = QD = 800 – P
• Inverse demand = P = 800 – QD
• Both firms FC = 0
• MC = $100 million same cost structure
𝒅𝑻𝑹 𝒅(800𝑄 − 𝑄2 )
=
2. MR 𝒅𝑸 𝒅𝑸
𝑑𝑻𝑹
= 800 − 2Q
𝑑𝑄
𝐌𝐑 = 𝐌𝐂
800 − 2Q = 100
Set MR = MC
𝑸𝑴 = 𝟑𝟓𝟎
When 𝑸𝑴 = 𝟑𝟓𝟎 => 𝑷𝑴 = 𝟖𝟎𝟎 – (𝟑𝟓𝟎) = $𝟒𝟓𝟎
𝜫𝑴 = (𝑷𝑴 − 𝑨𝑻𝑪) × 𝑸𝑴
𝑽𝑪
Profits 𝑨𝑻𝑪 = 𝑽𝑪 because no FC => 𝑨𝑻𝑪 = = 𝑴𝑪
𝑸
𝜫𝑴 = ($𝟒𝟓𝟎 − 𝟏𝟎𝟎) × 𝟑𝟓𝟎 = 1 225 00
Cartel outcome What quantities would firms choose if they choose to collude?
Keep price at $450 monopoly to maximise profit
𝑸𝑴
𝑸𝑨 = 𝑸𝑩 =
𝟐
𝟑𝟓𝟎
1. Split quantity
𝑸𝑴
= = 𝟏𝟕𝟓
𝟐 𝟐
𝜫𝑴
𝜫 𝑨 = 𝜫𝑩 = 𝟐
2. Shared profits 𝜫𝑴
𝟐
= $61250
Airbus
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = 𝑷 × 𝑸𝑨
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑺 )(𝑸𝑨 ) knowing that 𝑸𝒔 = 𝑸𝑨 + 𝑸𝑩
TR
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − (𝑸𝑨 + 𝑸𝑩 ))(𝑸𝑨 )
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩 )(𝑸𝑨 )
TC 𝑻𝑪𝑨 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝑸𝑨 )
𝜫𝑨 = 𝑻𝑹𝑨 − 𝑻𝑪𝑨
𝜫𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩 )(𝑸𝑨 ) − 𝟏𝟎𝟎(𝑸𝑨 )
= 𝟖𝟎𝟎𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑨 𝟐 − 𝑸𝑩 𝑸𝑨 − 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝑸𝑨
Profits
𝜫𝑨
𝜫𝑨 = 𝟕𝟎𝟎𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑨 𝟐 − 𝑸𝑩 𝑸𝑨
𝒅𝜫𝑨 𝒅(𝟕𝟎𝟎𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑨 𝟐 − 𝑸𝑩 𝑸𝑨 )
=
𝒅𝑸𝑨 𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝒅𝜫𝑨
= 𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝟐𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩
𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝒅𝜫𝑨
= 𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝟐(𝟏𝟕𝟓) − 𝟏𝟕𝟓
𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝒅𝜫𝑨
= 𝟏𝟕𝟓
At cartel quantity 175 𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝒅𝜫𝑨
is positive Marginal gain > Inframarginal loss
𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = 𝑷 × 𝑸𝑨
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑺 )(𝑸𝑨 ) knowing that 𝑸𝒔 = 𝑸𝑨 + 𝑸𝑩
𝐓𝐑𝐀
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − (𝑸𝑨 + 𝑸𝑩 ))(𝑸𝑨 )
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩 )(𝑸𝑨 )
𝒅𝑻𝑹𝑨
= −𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝟐𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩
𝐌𝐑𝐀 𝒅𝑸
𝐌𝐑𝐀 = −𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝟐𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩
𝐌𝐑𝐀 = 𝐌𝐂𝐀
−𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝟐𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎
Set 𝐌𝐑𝐀 = 𝐌𝐂𝐀
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑩
𝑸𝑨 =
𝟐
Boeing
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑩
𝑸𝑨 =
𝟐
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨
𝑸𝑩 =
𝟐
Symmetric game Under symmetry (identical firm) = identical best response strategy
𝑸𝑨 = 𝑸𝑩
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨
𝑸𝑩 =
𝟐
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑩
𝑸𝑩 = 𝒔𝒖𝒃 𝑸𝑩
𝟐
𝟏
𝑸𝑨 = 𝑸𝑩 = 𝟐𝟑𝟑
𝟑
Perfect competition outcome What would outcome be if industry was PC?
Demand = Supply
AR = MC
Inverse demand = AR
800 – QD = 100
QPC = 700
Backward induction
𝟕𝟎𝟎−𝑸𝑨
Boeing’s best response 𝑸𝑩 = 𝟐
1st stage
Airbus TR
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = 𝑷 × 𝑸𝑨 sub inverse demand
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 − 𝑸𝑩 ) × 𝑸𝑨
𝟕𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟖𝟎𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 − )(𝑸𝑨 )
𝟐
𝑸𝑨
𝑻𝑹𝑨 = (𝟒𝟓𝟎 − )𝑸
𝟐 𝑨
𝒅𝑻𝑹𝑨
𝑴𝑹𝑨 =
𝒅𝑸𝑨
𝑴𝑹𝑨 = 𝟒𝟓𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨
𝑴𝑪𝑨 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝑴𝑹𝑨 = 𝑴𝑪𝑨
𝟒𝟓𝟎 − 𝑸𝑨 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟕𝟎𝟎−𝟑𝟓𝟎
Boeing’s best response 𝑸𝑩 = = 𝟏𝟕𝟓
𝟐