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Factor Analysis of Construction Delays in The U.S. Construction Industry
Factor Analysis of Construction Delays in The U.S. Construction Industry
Abstract
INTRODUCTION
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all three aspects of sustainability, i.e., social, environmental, and economic. Figure 1
describes some of these consequences on the triple bottom-line.
Social Effects
•Greater proximity of people near to pollutants potentially can affect their
health.
•Delay causes longer exposure of construction personnel and neighboring
people to construction hazards
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•Delays can cause loss of moral in workers and can effect the quality of work
•Availability of facilities are delayed to the public, with potential
consequences to their health and well-being.
Environmental Effects
•Emissions and air pollution
•Soil and water pollution
•Disturbance of the natural soil due to commuting of construction equipment
•Wildlife in the vicinity of the project are affected
•Higher resource consumption, i.e., water, electricity, and gasoline.
Economic Effects
•Loss of public budgets (in governmental projects) that could be otherwise
spent to improve the economy
•Resulting costs of disputes, lawsuits, litigations
•Loss of labor productivity
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survey with construction managers. The second objective was to identify the group of
causes that are associated with delays in construction projects. Finally, the third was
to provide recommendations to help reduce delays in construction projects.
LITERATURE REVIEW
Various studies have been conducted to investigate why construction delays happen
and how to prevent them. Due to the complexities of construction projects and the
large number of potential causes that could contribute to delays, however, these
studies have not been able to provide effective solutions to control the occurrence of
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delays. One solution to fill this gap, which was the focus of this study, is to find
hidden correlations among the potential causes; by this means, the number of causes
could be narrowed down to concentrate on the main factor(s) that cause the delays.
One common approach of construction delay studies has been based on
attempting to maximize the application of science and engineering in the
construction industry to make it more standardized, repeatable, and predictable. The
challenge in introducing a universal prescription to prevent or handle delays in
construction projects is their uniqueness with regard to size, duration, objectives,
environment, complexity, deadlines, finances, organization structures, personnel,
delivery method and payment method, (Zou et al. 2007, Keung and, Shen 2013).
These variation make it difficult to formulate the process and increase its
controllability.
The construction delay studies can be categorized in three main categories; the
first group are the studies that attempt to find the causes of delay in a certain county
or region. For instance, Al-momeni (2000), investigated eight causes of delays on 130
public projects in Jordan and Kazaz et al. (2012) studied the main causes that effected
project durations in Turkey with regard to seven categories. In another study,
Shrestha et al. (2014) found that most of the delay claims originating in the
construction industry was due to schedule changes in the project.
The second category of delay studies, focuses on developing data collection
tools to prevent delays. An example of such studies is a research by Abu-Dayyeh in
1997 in which an image-processing system that could integrate pictorial and voice
information with project control data to evaluate the performance and delay
management was developed.
The third category of delay studies in the literature, focuses on methods for
analyzing delays’ consequences. An example of these studies is a research by
Bubshait et al. (1998), in which three delay-measurement processes were evaluated to
measure the effects of delays, utilizing computerized critical path method (CPM)
analysis.
STUDY METHOD
The method used in this paper to analyze the causes of construction delay in the U.S.
consists of three main steps
1. Conduct a national survey to assess the criticality of potential causes of delay.
2. Analyze the rating of causes of delays provided by construction experts within
the U.S.
3. Use factor analysis to determine the groups of causes that are critical to
construction delays.
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Investigating the main common causes of construction delay. The events that may
lead to the occurrence of delay in construction projects are too many. Including and
analyzing each and every event that may have a contribution to delay is not practical.
Therefore, to do the analysis, it was first required to identify which potential causes
should be included in the study (table 1).
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In order to select these causes, a comprehensive study was conducted on the existing
literature to find the causes that have been highlighted in previous research. The
causes that have been emphasized by more than one-study were selected. Also, the
causes that could be grouped under a certain title were selected to narrow down the
number of causes.
National survey to assess the criticality of potential causes of delay. Not all the
contributing causes have the same effect in causing delays. In order to investigate the
relative importance of the causes, a nationwide online survey was designed and
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conducted among the experienced experts of the construction industry in the U.S. The
survey respondents list were prepared by gathering data from the LinkedIn network
as well as by personnel connection. About 11,000 experience construction personnel
were identified who had US construction experience. The survey questions were
prepared in the Qualtrics Survey tool, which is the online survey tool used by
University of Nevada Las Vegas. The respondents were asked to assess the effect of
each potential cause (listed in Table 1) when a delay occurred, rating the effect 1 to 5,
for which ‘1’ represents the least effect and ‘5’ represents the most effect and hence
significant criticality.
Analyzing the rating of the causes of delays. A descriptive analysis was conducted
to determine the most critical causes of delays in construction projects. The mean and
standard deviation values were used to determine the most critical causes. This
analysis resulted in average ratings of each cause of delay, and identified some of the
most important causes of delays in construction projects.
Factor analysis to determine critical causes of delays. Factor analysis evaluates the
correlations or relationships among all variables, and tries to narrow down the
number of variables that might explain these correlations. Based on this, at the end of
the analysis, a factor (component) should be found that can effectively explain all the
possible correlations between the causes. This data reduction technique reduces the
number of potential causes to just a few. This study focused on reducing this number
to limited potential causes, and determining the key correlation among the causes of
construction delays. This would help to find a parsimonious solution that could
explain the relationship between the causes.
Factor analysis has many applications in the real world, it is commonly used
in business studies to dissect variables such as target customers. In human resource
management it is used for staffing by screening the collected data about the
employees. In addition, insurance companies rely on this analysis to create and
update their policies.
Factor analysis was selected for delay analysis in this study because it a
proper method when applied to concepts that are hard to measure. In addition, it is
capable of collapsing a large number of variables into a few interpretable underlying
factors (Rahn, 2016). Considering that the causes of construction delays are too many
– making them hard to measure – and the fact that handling each potential cause of
delay requires effort and budget, this method fits for this purpose. Based on the
literature, “factor analysis is helpful when either a few or hundreds of variables are
involved, based on items from questionnaires or a battery of tests” (Rummel, 1970).
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Using factor analysis, the number of variables can be reduced to a smaller set; this
makes it possible to extract the underlying concept between variables and interpret
them.
The following mathematical model explains the factor analysis method. In this
model, p is the number of variables that are the causes of delay, and are labeled as
DC1, DC2, …, DC30; and m is the number of underlying factors, F1, F2,…,Fm. Also,
DCj is the variable represented in these factors. The model assumes that “there are m
underlying factors, whereby each observed variable is a linear function of these
factors together with a residual variate” (Yong et al., 2013).
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= + +…+ (1)
where j = 1, 2, … , 30.
Factor loading is the term used to explain the relationship of each variable to the
underlying factor. In other words, factor loadings explain how much the variable has
contributed to the factor (Yong et al., 2013). Therefore, a larger value for factor
loading indicates that the variable has contributed more to that factor than do others
(Harman, 1976). Referring to Equation (1), the factor loadings are aj1, aj2, …, ajm, and
indicate that aj1 is the factor loading of jth variable on the first factor.
RESULTS
About 11,000 construction experts were invited to complete the survey, of which 219
people participated, yielding response rate of 2%. As this survey email was sent to a
great number of people, clearly, the response rate was low. From the survey data from
those who responded, the average years of respondents’ experience was 27.9 years.
Table 2 shows project types, delivery methods, ownership types, and parties
the respondents worked with on the projects. The results showed that most of the
respondents were involved in the construction of building projects (87.7%). Design-
Bid-Build (DBB) projects was the method most of the respondents worked on,
followed by Design-Build (DB) and Construction Manager-at-Risk (CMAR).
Similarly, the respondents were more involved in private projects (86.9%), followed
by public projects and public-private-partnerships (P3). For these projects, 83% of the
respondents worked within the owner’s organization.
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Cause DC1 DC2 DC3 DC4 DC5 DC6 DC7 DC8 DC9 DC10
Mean 3.298 2.129 3.382 2.596 3.871 3.067 3.444 3.669 2.983 2.601
S.D* 1.181 1.130 1.327 1.281 1.235 1.494 1.365 1.296 1.308 1.375
Cause DC11 DC12 DC13 DC14 DC15 DC16 DC17 DC18 DC19 DC20
Mean 3.281 2.382 2.354 2.528 3.079 3.107 2.770 2.624 2.747 2.270
S.D* 1.253 1.109 1.199 1.289 1.273 1.214 1.433 1.344 1.309 1.359
Cause DC21 DC22 DC23 DC24 DC25 DC26 DC27 DC28 DC29 DC30
Mean 3.433 3.337 3.185 3.017 2.848 2.860 1.916 2.966 2.062 3.331
S.D* 1.296 1.202 1.354 1.329 1.290 1.287 1.035 1.288 1.258 1.494
* Standard Deviation
To determine the number of factors these delay causes belong to, the Eigne values of
these number of factors were determined. The test results showed that these delays
causes could be categorized in six factors, because the Egenvalue was greater than
one up to six factors (Refer Table 4).
Table 4. Results for Factors Having an Eigenvalue Greater than 1 and the
Percentage of Variance
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The goal was to determine the factor that captured most of the variance. Based
on this, the factors with the least amount of variance were discarded. The total
variance was calculated by dividing the magnitude of the eigenvalue for a certain
factor by the sum of eigenvalues. For this study, this approach was useful in
narrowing down the number of variables that are causes of delays in construction
projects. The results of calculating the eigenvalue for each component are shown in
Figure 3.
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Both Table 4 and Figure 3 were used to decide how many factors to retain. To fulfill
the goal of cutting down the number of factors, the common rule used in factor
analysis is to keep the factors that have eigenvalues greater than one. All other
factors, i.e., factors with eigenvalues less than 1, were discarded. Based on this rule,
six factors were retained after doing the calculations. In other words, six factors were
found to explain the relationships among all the causes of delays.
For the next step, in order to select the top factor among the six, which of the
six factors has the largest share in the variance was determined. To do so, the
percentage of variance by factor was compared (Table 4). For example, looking at
Factor 1, it can be seen that the percentage of variance for this factor accounted for
34.31%; this is more than the accumulated percentages of all the other four factors
(8.55 + 6.16 + 4.81 + 3.81 + 3.62 = 26.95%).
The scree plot (Figure 3) represents the results even more clearly. In this
graphical method, proposed by Cattell (1966), the rule of thumb is that the above
factors, which are known as the scree in the scree plot, should be retained. The scree
part of the plot is where the plot tends not to draw much, or the part that forms an
almost flat line. According to this criterion, and using results of the scree plot, only
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one factor was selected. In the next step, this component (factor) was labeled based
on the causes that had a heavy load on it.
In order to determine which variables are highly correlated to this factor,
factor loading was determined by using factor analysis, as shown in Table 5. The
loadings were a Pearson correlation of the causes with the factor. One common
solution by Kline (1994) to interpret the factor loadings is to “choose a significant
loading cut-off in order to make interpretation easier”. “The choice of cut-off may
depend on the ease of interpretation, including how complex variables are being
handled” (Yong et al., 2013). Sixteen causes had correlations of less than 0.60, and
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the rest of the causes had more than 0.60 correlation (highlighted in Table 5).
However, only two causes – DC11 and DC16 – had correlations greater than 0.70.
Looking at these 14 causes, it can be seen that these causes are related to four areas;
communications, delays in decision making, contractors’ inefficiency, and designers’
inefficiency. Four delay causes (DC11, DC16, DC26, and DC28) are related to
communication; three delay causes (DC7, DC10, and DC23) are related to delays in
decision making or providing the required documents; three delay causes (DC17, DC
18, and DC19) are related to inefficiency of contractors; four delay causes (DC20,
DC21, DC 24, and DC25) are related to designers; inefficiency. Therefore these four
categories can be created in this factor to define the delays by reducing number of
delay causes from 30 to just 14 delay causes.
Table 5. Eigenvalues and the Percentage of Each Factor in the Total Variance
Cause DC1 DC2 DC3 DC4 DC5 DC6 DC7 DC8 DC9 DC10
Loading in
0.402 0.359 0.484 0.583 0.449 0.513 0.616 0.560 0.560 0.647
Factor 1
Cause DC11 DC12 DC13 DC14 DC15 DC16 DC17 DC18 DC19 DC20
Loading in
0.723 0.576 0.589 0.570 0.473 0.710 0.623 0.640 0.649 0.604
Factor 1
Cause DC21 DC22 DC23 DC24 DC25 DC26 DC27 DC28 DC29 DC30
Loading in
0.631 0.540 0.647 0.652 0.661 0.658 0.498 0.616 0.571 0.578
Factor 1
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it was found that the change order causes delays and cost growth in the projects.
Therefore, it is necessary for owners to control the change orders and speed up the
decision making process during the construction of the projects. If not there is a
higher possibility that the projects can be subjected to delay.
This paper focused on a new approach for investigating the roots of
construction delay causes by means of the factor analysis method. It was concluded
from the analysis that the four categories of causes related to communication,
decision making, designer’s efficiency, and contractor’s inefficiency can be combined
by reducing number of delay causes from 30 to 14 only. The correlation value shows
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that the communication and coordination between the owner and contractor had the
highest correlation values (more than 0.70) with the principal component. Therefore
the importance of effective, clear, and precise communication between the owner and
the contractor during construction is undeniable. Some of the factors that make
effective communication more challenging are: 1) working with unfamiliar personnel
in every different project, 2) adversarial cultures, 3) the tensions of the job, 4) tough
atmosphere (physical work in noisy, and unfavorable conditions with a high chance
of distractions), 5) involvement of technical language, and 6) the conflicts of interests
(Anumba et al., 1997)
The key to overcome the difficulties caused by poor communication is to
establish effective communication strategies. It is essential to remember that
prescribing a communication paradigm that works in every project is not practical
(Dainty et al. 2007). Instead, project managers should know the principles of effective
communication, and facilitate them by the types of measures that they implement in
their projects. A combination of clear speech, nonverbal signs and writing, active
listening, is essential to maximize the quality of interpersonal, group/ team, and
organizational communication. Also, applying a successful project delivery method –
for example, Kanban, which uses sticky notes to communicate the process with the
project personnel – and other technologies could be helpful. Progress meetings is
another solution highlighted in the literature to facilitate communication among
construction team members for requesting and exchanging the information (Gorse et
al., 2002). In terms of further research, it is recommended that applications of
technology that enhance communications among various personnel throughout the
construction process be investigated.
REFERENCES
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from: www.eotprotocol.com.
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Shrestha, P. P., Shrestha, K. P., and Kandie, T. K. (2017) “The Effects of Change
Orders on the Cost and Schedule of Rural Road Maintenance Projects.”
Construction Institute Summit, Anaheim, CA, March 2-5, 2017.
Tafazzoli, M., Shrestha, P. P., "Investigating Causes of Delay in U.S. Construction
Projects", Proceedings of 53rd International Conference of Associated Schools
of Construction, Seattle, Washington, 2017.
Suhr, D. D. (2006). Exploratory or confirmatory factor analysis (pp. 1-17). Cary: SAS
Institute.
Yong, A. G., & Pearce, S. (2013). A beginner’s guide to factor analysis: Focusing on
exploratory factor analysis. Tutorials in Quantitative Methods for Psychology,
9(2), 79-94.
Zou, P., Zhang, G., and Wang, J. (2007). “Understanding the key risks in construction
projects in China.” Int. J. Proj. Manage. 25(6), 601–614.
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