A47 I National Culture and Individual Trading Behavior

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Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Banking and Finance


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

National culture and individual trading behavior


Gary Tan∗, Chee Seng Cheong, Ralf Zurbruegg
Business School, University of Adelaide, Australia

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: We study the role of national culture in influencing the trading behavior of individuals. We achieve this
Received 24 August 2018 by analyzing the trading patterns of participants trading in a simulated asset market where decision out-
Accepted 8 July 2019
comes are framed in terms of both gains and losses, and under different externally imposed constraints.
Available online 9 July 2019
By analyzing the trading history of participants from 21 countries and territories, we show that an indi-
JEL classification: vidual’s cultural background significantly impacts how often they trade, the size of their trades and how
G12 long they keep their positions open in the market. Our results are robust when controlling for personal
G41 and social characteristics of the traders and for how rewards are offered to traders. Overall, our research
shows how culture relates to trading behavior and has implications for the liquidity and risk profiles of
Keywords:
exchanges around the world.
Culture
© 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Risk-taking
Trading behavior
Simulated trading

1. Introduction this naturally occurs (i.e., through the aggregation of the individual
trading behavior of market participants) is not observable. In fact,
Research has shown that national culture has a significant bear- research examining how culture influences stock markets by focus-
ing on financial decision making. Whether that be in relation to ing on cross-country differences must contend with several con-
corporate strategies (Chen et al., 2015; Chui et al., 2016), portfo- founding effects that can obscure the relationship. These include
lio investment (Anderson et al., 2011; Siegel et al., 2011) or general regulatory, institutional and legal differences (Roll, 1992; La Porta
stock market behavior (Chui et al., 2010; Eun et al., 2015). Despite et al., 1998; Morck et al., 20 0 0), all of which will affect the risk
the breadth of this literature, it is based on macro-level analysis. appetite of investors.
This leads us to question whether it is possible to observe cultural This motivates us to examine how culture affects trading be-
impacts at the micro-level. In particular, if national culture is a sig- havior within an experimental setting. Doing so will provide re-
nificant determining factor in how individuals make financial de- sults that are uncontaminated by the institutional differences that
cisions, then it should also influence their behavior when trading stock exchanges operate under, while allowing us to directly ob-
financial instruments. serve the trading behavior of participants from different cultural
The current lack of evidence at the micro-level is partly due backgrounds. To achieve this, we map the cultural background of
to the difficulty in capturing individual investors’ trading behav- traders that participate in an automated trading simulation to de-
ior in the financial markets and, in particular, in relation to their termine how it affects their trading behavior.
personal traits and cultural background. Research that examines We align our methodology with the experimental works of
the former includes work by Barber and Odean (20 0 0, 20 01) and Deaves et al. (2009) on the influence of overconfidence on trad-
Graham et al. (2009) who use unique datasets to capture individ- ing, and Andrade et al. (2016) on emotions during market bub-
ual investor trading behavior. However, this type of dataset cannot bles, and use an experimental asset market framework to inves-
be applied to capture the impact of culture on trading activity as it tigate the relationship between an individual’s cultural background
first requires the ability to observe a broad cross-section of traders and trading behavior. In doing so we depart from the extant liter-
from different cultures, and then the ability to directly associate ature that tends to use hypothetical lotteries to examine risk mo-
each trader with their cultural heritage. While researchers can tives (Noussair et al., 2013; Rieger et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2017).
observe how aggregate trading behavior varies by culture across Moreover, in setting up our simulated asset market, we draw on
countries (Chui et al., 2010; Eun et al., 2015), the channel by which prospect theory (Tversky and Kahneman, 1981) to account for how
individual risk taking is affected by how a situation is framed.

We investigate the trading behavior of university students who are
Corresponding author.
studying toward a finance major using four games that are framed
E-mail address: Gary.Tan@adelaide.edu.au (G. Tan).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.07.007
0378-4266/© 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
358 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

as either “gains” or “losses” for course credits. These games involve one standard deviation increase in Uncertainty avoidance leading to
trading futures contracts with the goal to maximize trading profit. an approximate 26.0% reduction in Trade Volume, aided by a 29.3%
We then use the trading patterns of participants in these trading fall in Trade Frequency and a 15.6% drop in Trade Size.
games to compare how their trading behavior is associated with Our results hold when we control for a number of personal
their cultural background and with how the games are framed. characteristics that are known to influence risk-taking behav-
Following the lead of Barber and Odean (20 0 0, 20 01) and ior. These include gender (Barber and Odean, 2001), birth
Graham et al. (2009), we construct three primary measures of order (Sulloway and Zweigenhaft, 2010); pre-natal testos-
trading behavior that capture risk-taking that are then used as terone exposure (Coates et al., 2009); trading experience
our dependent variables. Namely Trade Size, Trade Frequency and (Feng and Seasholes, 2005) and major personal loss occurrences
Trade Volume. Following the extant literature, we primarily use (Malmendier and Nagel, 2011). We also include risk measures to
Hofstede’s (1980, 2001) cultural dimensions to categorize a per- capture an individual’s willingness to engage in risk-taking. In
son’s cultural background. The finance literature has previously recognizing that risk attitudes and behaviors can change depend-
utilized Hofstede’s measures of individualism (Chui et al., 2010; ing on the situation, we follow Bapna et al. (2010) and use the
Eun et al., 2015); masculinity (Anderson et al., 2011); power dis- financial risk domain score from Weber et al. (2002) Domain-
tance (Gorodnichenko and Roland, 2011) and uncertainty avoidance Specific-Risk-Taking (DOSPERT) survey. We also include two
(Kwok and Tadesse, 2006) to examine a wide range of behavioral measures developed by Zaleśkiewicz (2001) that capture the
traits in how investors, as well as corporations, behave. For our instrumental (rational decision-making) and stimulatory (thrill-
study, we focus on two national cultural dimensions that should seeking) motivations of individuals to take risk. At the state-level,
be directly related to the level of risk taking in trading. we include GDP per capita to proxy for wealth effects and market
The first dimension we use is Uncertainty avoidance, which re- capitalization over GDP to proxy for the relative importance, and
flects the extent to which societies are comfortable with ambiguity thereby familiarity, individuals from a country will have with the
and uncertainty (Hofstede, 2001). As it is a measure of the ability capital market. We also include dummy variables to capture the
of individuals from a society to cope with uncertainty and taking dominant religion in the state (Noussair et al., 2013) as well as
positions in the market involves a substantial amount of uncer- fixed effects to control for differences between the games and
tainty, we expect that it will be negatively associated with the will- sessions that traders participate in.
ingness to take risk when trading. The second dimension we em- We show our results are robust to framing and endowment ef-
ploy is Masculinity, with a high score indicative of a society driven fects, plus show the impact that culture has on the disposition ef-
by the dominant values of competitiveness, achievement and a fect. In particular, we demonstrate that individuals from societies
drive to win. Anderson et al. (2011) associates masculine-leaning that will be more risk tolerant hold onto open positions for longer,
societies with individuals having a tendency towards being over- and that this varies depending on whether it is a losing or win-
confident and holding greater self-attribution biases, which have ning position. We also show our results hold when we equally
been shown to affect trading behavior (Barber and Odean, 2001). weight our observations by country, and when we consider al-
We therefore posit that with an increased overconfidence and de- ternative proxies to Hofstede’s measures to capture culture. These
sire to win, traders originating from states with high Masculinity include the Assertiveness culture measure from the GLOBE study
will take more risks. (House et al., 2004) and the Cultural Looseness measure of Gelfand
Benefiting from a diverse cohort of students from around the et al. (2011).
world, we capture information on students’ cultural background, Our paper contributes to the growing literature on the impact
plus a number of other personal characteristics that we use as con- that cultural differences have on financial decision making. While
trols in our multivariate analysis, through a voluntary survey that prior research has focused mainly on macro-level analyses (Chui
is conducted prior to the trading games. Our sample consists of in- et al., 2016; Eun et al., 2015; Siegel et al., 2011), we provide, at
dividual trade data from trading games that all final-year under- a granular level, direct evidence of how it impacts trading behav-
graduate and postgraduate student cohorts enrolled in a deriva- ior. In doing so we are the first, as far as we are aware, to specif-
tives course must participate in for an assignment. Students can ically capture how culture can impact an individual’s propensity
take long or short positions in futures contracts, as long as all po- to trade, and the manner in which the person trades. We there-
sitions are closed-out at the end of each game. A total of 1237 fore also contribute to the extant literature that shows how indi-
students participate in these experiments over the course of four vidual traits of investors can affect trading behavior (Barber and
semesters, yielding 192,715 individual trades (both buys and sells). Odean, 20 0 0; 20 01; Graham et al., 20 09).
However, only 228 (18.4%) students responded to the voluntary In addition, our analysis avoids the confounding effects of dif-
survey, reducing the sample size of usable observations to 42,597 ferences in institutional environments across stock exchanges that
individual trades. can substantially impact trading behavior (Roll, 1992; La Porta
We use the above individual trades to generate measures of et al., 1998; Morck et al., 20 0 0), thereby providing us with an un-
trading behavior at the session-level. Our a priori expectations are obstructed picture of how culture impacts the trading activity of
that Trade Size, Trade Frequency and Trade Volume have a negative individuals. Our results show that the impact of an individual’s cul-
(positive) association with Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity). By tural background persistently affects their trading behavior, thus
default, greater Trade Volume, captured through either larger Trade providing direct evidence of how culture can lead to differences
Size and/or higher Trade Frequency, implies increased exposure to in the liquidity and risk appetite of stock exchanges around the
the market. world.
Univariate analyses provide preliminary support for our expec- The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 outlines
tations. When we split our sample between individuals from high our hypotheses while Section 3 describes our data and method-
and low Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity scoring societies, we ology. Empirical results and robustness tests are presented in
find that our three measures of risk taking are all different be- Sections 4 and 5, respectively. Section 6 provides a conclusion.
tween the two cohorts at the 1% significance level. Our baseline
multivariate results also show a persistent impact of Uncertainty 2. Hypotheses development
avoidance and Masculinity on an individual’s risk taking in trading,
with all the relationships continuing to be statistically significant. Hofstede (1980, 2001) defines culture as “the collective pro-
The results are also economically meaningful with, for example, a gramming of the mind that distinguishes the members of one
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370 359

group from another”. Implicit therein is the notion that culture is vestors’ willingness to take risk using the DOSPERT gambling risk
a communal element that arises from individual conduct. Recent propensity scale and find a positive correlation with trading vol-
studies find evidence that culture affects stock price behavior at ume. We therefore positively associate trading volume, trade size
the macro-level. For example, Chui et al. (2010) show how it affects and frequency with the willingness to take risk.
the returns on momentum strategies and Eun et al. (2015) provide The above leads us to postulate that low (high) Uncertainty
evidence it affects stock price synchronicity. Since stock price be- avoidance (Masculinity) leads to traders from cultures with these
havior reflects the aggregate action of all individuals’ trading activi- characteristics to trade more frequently and in larger quantities,
ties, these findings suggest that cultural values will lead individuals leading to total trading volume to also rise. This rationale provides
to have distinct risk-taking preferences when they trade. Therefore, us with three testable hypotheses:
based on the assertion that culture regulates the risk-taking pref-
H1c. Individuals from a cultural background with a lower (higher)
erences of investors, we arrive at our primary hypothesis that:
Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity) are more likely to exhibit greater
H1. Culture directly affects an individual’s trading behavior. trading volume.

The question then is how do we capture culture and precisely H1d. Individuals from a cultural background with a lower (higher)
what type of trading behavior is likely to be affected? To answer Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity) are more likely to trade larger
the first part of the question, we primarily focus on two aspects of allotments.
national culture outlined by Hofstede (1980, 2001) – namely Un-
H1e. Individuals from a cultural background with a lower (higher)
certainty avoidance, and Masculinity. In the case of the first mea-
Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity) are likely to trade more fre-
sure, Uncertainty avoidance captures the level of societal comfort
quently.
with ambiguity and uncertainty. In many cases, the finance liter-
ature finds that this manifests in choosing financial solutions that
3. Data and method
minimize risk. For example, Kwok and Tadesse (2006) find that in
the context of the financial markets, countries with a high Uncer-
To capture the trading behavior of individuals, we create an ex-
tainty avoidance score are more likely to have bank-based financial
perimental asset market where individuals participate in four dif-
systems which are focused on risk reduction and the smoothing
ferent trading games. Individuals trade the futures contracts of a
of inter-temporal risk. Chui and Kwok (2008) show that nations
hypothetical commodity with each other using a custom-made on-
with a high Uncertainty avoidance consume more life insurance and
line trading platform that allows them to interact on a centralized
Anderson et al. (2011) find that institutional investors in countries
and anonymized exchange.1 Each game comprises of five trading
with high Uncertainty avoidance have a greater home bias in their
sessions, where each session lasts for five minutes. A short one-
portfolios and diversify less abroad. In our case, because trading is
minute break separates each session. Each trader starts with a fic-
invariably linked to uncertainty surrounding future value, we hy-
titious $10 0,0 0 0 that they can trade with. The price of one futures
pothesize it will have a negative relationship with the proclivity to
contract is always $10 0 0 at the beginning of a game and moves in
trade:
$10 increments which represent one tick.
H1a. Individuals from a cultural background with a lower Uncertainty As each game progresses, participants are able to observe the
avoidance score are more likely to exhibit risk taking behavior in trad- price charts for both the futures and spot markets. The former
ing. is populated by the trades of the participants while the latter is
driven by an algorithm that occasionally dispenses a news item.
As for Masculinity, Hofstede (2001) associates it with being Specifically, a generalized Wiener process drives the spot price,
“driven to win” in largely “achievement orientated” societies. In- with the drift and volatility rates impacted by the news event that
dividuals in these societies are also more likely to display more is introduced during the game to provide direction to the market.
assertiveness in seeking their goals. This can also lead to over- The purpose of the news event is to provide fundamental informa-
confidence. Based on Barber and Odean’s (2001) observation that tion on the general direction of the spot price that should then
males tend to demonstrate overconfident behavior when trad- assist traders in determining whether to take long or short fu-
ing, Anderson et al. (2011) argues that masculine-based societies tures positions. Participants can place limit orders or trade at the
will also be more prone to demonstrate overconfidence and other best bid or offer. Orders are cleared on a price and time prior-
self-attribution biases. Therefore, the urge to win, combined with ity basis. Market depth is visible showing all bids and offers in
a potential predilection towards being overconfident in decision- the queue, as well as volume traded. A quote board (displaying
making, leads us to hypothesize that higher Masculinity will lead open, high, low and close prices, and open interest) and an account
to greater trading risks: summary (showing account balance, profit/loss, margin utilization,
open and closed positions and working orders) are both updated
H1b. Individuals from a cultural background with a higher Masculin-
in real time.2 To ensure initial liquidity, ‘dumb’ robot traders offer
ity score are more likely to exhibit risk taking behavior in trading.
contracts slightly above (to buy) and below (to sell) the prevailing
Our three primary measures to capture risk-taking in trad- market price. Overall liquidity, however, is not an issue in these
ing behavior are motivated by the literature that relates trad- games due to the number of traders that are participating in the
ing activities to risk-taking (Barber and Odean, 20 0 0, 20 01; Gra- simulated exchange.
ham et al., 2009). These are Trade Size, Trade Frequency, and Trade While we only have personal information for 228 participants, a
Volume. Excessive trading has been consistently attributed to in- total of 1237 traders were active over the four semesters the sim-
vestor overconfidence (Barber and Odean 20 0 0, 20 01), competence ulations were run, leading to 192,715 transactions. This equates to,
(Graham et al., 2009) and familiarity (Chan and Covrig, 2012). on average, 2409 transactions per session (or 7.8 transactions per
Also, Grinblatt and Keloharju (2009) analyze the role of sensation session per trader, based on having an average of 309 traders per
seeking and overconfidence in investors’ tendency to trade and game).
find evidence that both attributes contribute to investors trading
more frequently. Sensation seeking, in turn, is significantly posi- 1
We are grateful for a university grant to support the development of the trading
tively correlated with risky financial behavior (Horvath and Zucker- platform.
man, 1993). Furthermore, Markiewicz and Weber (2013) study in- 2
The Internet Appendix contains a screenshot mid-way through a game.
360 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

The four trading games have different characteristics. sions. Specifically, for each participant, we calculate Trade Size as
The games are designed to simulate different framing ef- the average trade size (in contracts) per session; Trade Frequency
fects in prospect theory, similar to Kirchler et al. (2005) and as the number of orders that are executed per session; and Trade
Agnew et al. (2008). The purpose of doing this is to ensure that Volume as the total trading volume (in contracts) within a session.
our results are not simply an artefact of how we have framed Appendix A1 contains details on how each measure is constructed.
the games, which can lead to changes in risk perceptions. While Eq. (1) provides our general panel regression model, where
in all games traders are required to transact a minimum of four Trading Activity represents one of the three aforementioned mea-
times, with the overall goal being to secure a net trading profit sures, for each trader i in game j of session t.
at the end of each game, their initial position and how rewards
(course credit) are awarded differs across the games. In Games 1
T rading Act ivit yi jt = α + β1Cult ur ei + γ  Xi jt + εi jt (1)
and 3, participants start with a notional one tick profit ($10) and Data for our explanatory variable, Culture, and most of the con-
earn marks if they maintain a trading profit at the conclusion of trol variables (vector X), come from the voluntary survey. The sur-
the game, whereas in Games 2 and 4 players are informed that vey asks a number of questions including “In which country did
they start with a full set of marks but also a notional one tick you spend the majority of your time as a child (up to sixteen years
loss in their accounts. They will lose their marks if they cannot of age)?” We use this question to construct our explanatory vari-
generate a profit in their trading accounts by the end of the game. able Culture, where we assign Hofstede’s Uncertainty avoidance and
The implication of the above schema for awarding marks across Masculinity scores to all individual responses from the question.
the two games is that the first game is framed in terms of the The 228 respondents provide a suitable cross-sectional variation as
ability to gain credit with a notional endowment, versus playing they come from 21 different societies with the Uncertainty avoid-
the second game where credit can be lost. These endowments ance (Masculinity) scores ranging from 8 to 95 (36 to 70).
and framing effects will potentially lead to different risk-seeking Our control variables consist of a number of personal and so-
behavior. Traders playing in the first scenario should initially be cial traits that the literature has associated with risk-taking be-
more risk-averse, as there will be an inclination to try and hold havior. Given that gender has been linked with trading activity
onto the small profit they are already endowed with at the start (Barber and Odean, 2001) we utilize the dummy variable Female,
of the game, whereas we expect less risk aversion at the start of which is equal to one if the respondent is a female, and zero other-
the second scenario as players are sure to lose unless they can wise. Including Female as a control variable also assists in control-
trade away their initial, notional loss. ling for differences in overconfidence and optimism levels, which
We also vary the pressure we place on traders to generate a have been shown to be related to gender (Barber and Odean, 2001;
profit. While in Games 1 and 2 all that is required is for traders Jacobsen et al., 2014). Birth order has also been linked to risk-
to trade a minimum of four times and end up with a net profit at taking behavior, with some evidence suggesting that the eldest
the end of the game, in Games 3 and 4 they are required to gener- child is less likely to take risk (Sulloway and Zweigenhaft, 2010).
ate a profit in at least two of the five trading sessions (of a game), We set the dummy variable Eldest to equal one if the child is the
and also to trade in every session. This, by default, forces partici- oldest in the family, and zero otherwise. We use Digit to capture
pants to trade more and thereby take more risk. In Games 1 and respondents’ exposure to pre-natal testosterone, as that too has
2 participants may avoid trading in all but one session of a game been associated with risk-taking behavior (Coates et al., 2009). If
if they have already secured a profit, as a result of the endowment a respondent’s ring finger is longer than their index finger the
effect (Kahneman et al., 1991), whereas in Games 3 and 4 this is dummy variable Digit is equal to one, and otherwise zero. There
no longer possible. This necessarily translates into traders having is also evidence to suggest that risk aversion is affected by per-
to take greater risks. sonal life experiences (Malmendier and Nagel, 2011). We therefore
All four games are played concurrently in each round. Partici- count the number of times the respondent has experienced a sig-
pants are randomly selected to play a different game in each round nificant financial or personal loss to themselves or their immediate
such that by the end of round four every participant would have family when growing up (Major loss). This latter variable is open to
played each game. Implementing game play in this manner avoids some interpretation by the respondent, but for our purpose we use
any bias arising from, for example, a concentration of participants it to gauge whether their perception of their childhood was more
playing under the same framing effect. Also, having all participants or less ‘trouble-free’. Finally, we record how many years of expe-
playing different games at the same time is a realistic simulation rience the respondent has in trading (Experience) as per Feng and
of real world trading where traders exhibit different framing ef- Seasholes (2005). The internet appendix contains all survey ques-
fects. Likewise, in real markets, traders will trade under different tions used in this study.
degrees of pressure to generate profits. Importantly, we include a measure to capture an individ-
All students complete a two-hour workshop to practice and ual’s domain-specific willingness to engage in financial risk-taking
gain familiarity with the trading simulation prior to the actual and also a measure to capture an individual’s stimulatory (sen-
games. Participation in the trading games is mandatory and relates sation seeking) motivation to take risk. In particular, in not-
to an assignment that carries a 16% weighting towards the course ing that risk attitudes and behaviors can change depending on
grade. Therefore, the incentive to perform in the games is driven the situation, Weber et al. (2002) develop a survey to cap-
by the non-trivial mark that is assigned to it. Despite 1237 stu- ture risk-taking across five different domains. One of these do-
dents participating in these games over a period of four semesters, mains relates to financial risk, which we then use to construct
only 228 completed the voluntary survey that we utilize to capture our first risk measure that captures the financial risk profiles
an individual’s cultural and personal characteristics. Therefore, we of each trader. We follow Bapna et al. (2010) in constructing
can only match 42,597 of the 192,715 trades to individuals that we the risk scores from the financial risk domain questions of the
have additional data for. From this sub-sample, we aggregate each DOSPERT survey. In addition, we use two measures developed by
individual’s trades to the session-level, potentially yielding 20 ob- Zaleśkiewicz (2001) that capture the instrumental and stimulatory
servations (4 games lasting 5 sessions each) for each trader. How- motivations behind taking risks. While the instrumental measure
ever, not all participants trade in every session, thereby leading to captures a person’s inclination towards more cognitive/rationally
a maximum of 4250 session-trader observations. based risk-taking, the stimulatory risk-taking motivation has been
We then proceed to calculate our measures of trading behavior linked to gambling and, in particular, day trading behavior and ex-
that are the dependent variables in our multivariate panel regres- cessive stock trading (Markiewicz and Weber, 2013). Given that
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370 361

Table 1
Descriptive statistics.

Countries and Territories No. Participants Mean Median Std. Dev.

Argentina 5 Dependent Variables


Australia 42 Trade Size 6.9551 5.8456 4.5236
Bangladesh 4 Trade Frequency 6.1184 4.5000 5.4279
Brazil 2 Trade Volume 48.6535 30.0000 54.4333
China 45
Germany 7 Culture Variables
Ghana 3 Uncertainty Avoidance 45.6097 40.0000 16.4713
India 11 Masculinity 57.4956 61.0000 8.9617
Indonesia 8
Italy 3 Control Variables
Malaysia 26 Female 0.3904 0.0000 0.4889
New Zealand 8 Eldest 0.2412 0.0000 0.4288
Pakistan 3 Digit 0.7193 1.0000 0.4503
Philippines 3 Experience 0.6053 0.0000 1.0629
Russia 4 Major Loss 0.8158 1.0000 1.0708
Singapore 2 Profit 3630.4825 775.0000 11,511.5974
South Africa 3 Session Return 0.0399 0.0200 0.0929
South Korea 2 Session Risk 0.0011 0.0011 0.0007
Taiwan 12 Risk Profile 22.7719 22.0000 4.9143
United Kingdom 25 Stimulating Risk 2.9611 3.0000 0.4545
Vietnam 10 Instrumental Risk 3.5263 3.5714 0.5297
Total Participants 228 LogGDPcap 9.5619 9.2048 1.1359
Marketcap 96.6957 92.6000 55.3403

This table presents the country distribution and summary statistics for the variables in the sample. All variables are defined
in Appendix A1.

Grinblatt and Keloharju (2009) show that both overconfidence pants have a longer ring than index finger (Digit) and, on average,
and sensation seeking can increase trading activity, including tend to have slightly over half a year of real trading experience.
Zaleśkiewicz’s (2001) stimulatory risk measure will allow us to In Table 2 we present the univariate results for tests of differ-
control for the latter effect. Moreover, the combination of using all ences in means and medians for all our dependent variables with
of the above three risk measures will better assist in separating respect to Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity. We split our sam-
how much of the risk-taking an individual takes is driven by their ple of respondents into two cohorts based on whether they have
cultural orientation, rather than their personal risk profile. high or low Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity scores relative
In addition to the socio-demographic characteristics of the in- to the median in the sample. Confirming our a priori expecta-
dividual traders, we include Session Returns and Session Risk for tions, these univariate results indicate that Uncertainty avoidance
all traders that participate in a session. Also, we add Profit, which and Masculinity are related to trading activity, with the differences
records the amount of profit or loss the trader has recorded in in means and medians between the two sub-samples significant
their trading account at the start of the session they are playing. at the 1% level in all instances. As an example, low scoring Un-
This allows us to control for the general performance of the trader certainty avoidance traders record a mean Trade Size of 1.75 more
as they head into a new session. At the state-level, we include contracts than high scoring Uncertainty avoidance traders. This rep-
the logarithm of GDP per capita (LogGDPcap), to capture wealth resents a 31.3% increase. The mean Trade Frequency increases by
effects, and also the market capitalization to GDP (Marketcap) to approximately 3 trades (54%) per session as one moves from the
account for the importance the capital market has in a country, low to high risk-taking sub-sample (i.e., a decline in Uncertainty
and thereby the likely exposure the trader will have had to it. To avoidance). Also, average Trade Volume per session increases by ap-
account for the fact that religion can also play a part in explain- proximately 32 contracts (78%). Splitting the sample of traders by
ing risk-taking (Noussair et al., 2013), we include dummy variables Masculinity reveals a similar story.
to capture each state’s dominant religion. Finally, we include game
and session fixed effects to account for any other unobservable 4.2. Baseline multivariate results
traits that have not been captured in the control variable set. It
should be noted that individual fixed effects are subsumed within Table 3 presents multivariate regression estimates of the rela-
the variables capturing trader characteristics, as these are time in- tionship between our culture measures of Uncertainty avoidance
variant. Appendix A1 contains a list of all the variables used and and Masculinity with trading behavior. For each trading measure
their definitions. we show the results from three different types of regressions. The
first is a regression that considers the effect for each of the cul-
4. Empirical results ture measures in isolation, and then when they are both included
in the same regression. All the regressions are conducted at the
4.1. Summary statistics and univariate results session-level.
The results show that both culture measures are always signif-
Table 1 shows the distribution of our participants by country, icant at the 1% level except for the impact that Masculinity has on
with the two largest cohorts originating from China and Australia. Trade Frequency, which is only significant at the 10% level. There is
As for the trading activity, the average Trade Size per session in- a decline, however, in the magnitude of the coefficients when both
volves approximately 7 contracts, with slightly over 6 orders being measures are included within the same regression (i.e. columns
executed (Trade Frequency). Total average Trade Volume per session 3, 6 and 9). This reflects that while both measures are cap-
is around 49 contracts per individual. In terms of the demographics turing different cultural dimensions that influence trader behav-
of our participants, 39% of the respondents are Female, while the ior, as evidenced by each coefficient being statistically significant,
Eldest child makes up 24% of the sample. Moreover, 72% of partici- there is a cross-over in the information content captured by both
362 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

Table 2
Univariate results.

Uncertainty Avoidance Masculinity

Low scoring High scoring Difference Low scoring High scoring Difference
(1) (2) (1) - (2) (3) (4) (3) - (4)

Trade Size Mean 7.3297 5.5811 1.7486∗ ∗ ∗ 5.6414 7.9010 −2.2596∗ ∗ ∗


Median 6.5000 4.4000 2.1000∗ ∗ ∗ 4.8452 7.0000 −2.1548∗ ∗ ∗
Trade Frequency Mean 8.2508 5.3486 2.9022∗ ∗ ∗ 5.8947 8.4628 −2.5681∗ ∗ ∗
Median 5.0000 3.0000 2.0000∗ ∗ ∗ 4.0000 5.5000 −1.5000∗ ∗ ∗
Trade Volume Mean 72.9651 40.9890 31.9761∗ ∗ ∗ 46.5810 76.0017 −29.4208∗ ∗ ∗
Median 40.0000 18.0000 22.0000∗ ∗ ∗ 20.0000 42.5000 −22.5000∗ ∗ ∗

This table examines the univariate relationship between our measures that capture trading behaviour and our culture variables. We
perform t-tests (Wilcoxon/Mann-Whitney tests) to compare the means (medians) of each trading measure between the sub-sample
of low Uncertainty Avoidance (Masculinity) scoring individuals and high Uncertainty Avoidance (Masculinity) scoring individuals, with
the samples split at the median value. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the
1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

Table 3
Uncertainty avoidance, masculinity and trading behaviour.

Dependant Trade Size Trade Size Trade Size Trade Trade Trade Trade Volume Trade Trade
Variable Frequency Frequency Frequency Volume Volume

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)

Uncertainty −0.083 −0.066 −0.116 −0.109 −1.004 −0.768


Avoidance (−16.853)∗ ∗ ∗ (−10.124)∗ ∗ ∗ (−9.579)∗ ∗ ∗ (−9.153)∗ ∗ ∗ (−10.504)∗ ∗ ∗ (−7.032)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity 0.116 0.061 0.117 0.026 1.564 0.739
(10.036)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.581)∗ ∗ ∗ (7.513)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.957)∗ (11.709)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.992)∗ ∗ ∗
Female −0.767 −0.622 −0.770 −0.714 −0.471 −0.716 −14.942 −12.643 −14.888
(−7.735)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.592)∗ ∗ ∗ (−7.562)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.764)∗ ∗ ∗ (−1.838)∗ (−2.776)∗ ∗ ∗ (−6.411)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.470)∗ ∗ ∗ (−6.429)∗ ∗ ∗
Eldest −0.300 −0.341 −0.251 0.239 0.111 0.259 −4.889 −4.943 −4.227
(−1.995)∗ ∗ (−2.098)∗ ∗ (−1.615) (1.154) (0.514) (1.271) (−2.214)∗ ∗ (−2.225)∗ ∗ (−1.929)∗
Digit 0.498 0.586 0.469 0.279 0.461 0.267 0.160 2.098 −0.076
(3.600)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.980)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.288)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.157) (1.904)∗ (1.115) (0.063) (0.811) (−0.030)
Experience 0.250 0.243 0.238 −0.821 −0.818 −0.826 −4.224 −4.478 −4.439
(3.161)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.036)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.003)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.202)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.217)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.279)∗ ∗ ∗ (−3.948)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.222)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.172)∗ ∗ ∗
Major Loss −0.046 0.012 −0.002 0.267 0.309 0.285 1.006 2.194 1.516
(−0.472) (0.111) (−0.024) (2.173)∗ ∗ (2.438)∗ ∗ (2.300)∗ ∗ (0.600) (1.244) (0.894)
Profit 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.097 0.094 0.097
(5.731)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.783)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.743)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.624)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.578)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.616)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.763)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.708)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.755)∗ ∗ ∗
Session −1.262 −1.252 −1.280 −2.374 −2.335 −2.382 −13.188 −13.535 −13.234
Return (−1.961)∗ ∗ (−1.911)∗ (−1.984)∗ ∗ (−2.159)∗ ∗ (−2.088)∗ ∗ (−2.173)∗ ∗ (−1.039) (−1.064) (−1.051)
Session −254.225 −264.485 −257.205 −509.468 −522.830 −510.749 −3953.089 −4065.916 −3938.319
Risk (−1.652)∗ (−1.700)∗ (−1.697)∗ (−1.864)∗ (−1.880)∗ (−1.874)∗ (−1.208) (−1.246) (−1.215)
Risk Profile 0.004 0.006 −0.001 −0.021 −0.013 −0.023 0.098 0.102 0.058
(0.257) (0.408) (−0.041) (−1.106) (−0.670) (−1.206) (0.507) (0.532) (0.299)
Stimulating 0.533 0.591 0.526 1.059 1.162 1.056 9.251 10.582 9.227
Risk (3.619)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.128)∗ ∗ ∗ (3.607)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.153)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.490)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.132)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.591)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.471)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.636)∗ ∗ ∗
Instrumental −0.203 −0.023 −0.086 −0.875 −0.720 −0.825 −7.208 −4.898 −5.900
Risk (−1.226) (−0.144) (−0.538) (−3.559)∗ ∗ ∗ (−3.073)∗ ∗ ∗ (−3.382)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.943)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.089)∗ ∗ (−2.395)∗ ∗
LogGDPcap 1.082 0.164 0.869 1.673 0.412 1.581 8.091 −0.803 6.070
(5.777)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.016) (4.999)∗ ∗ ∗ (11.259)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.722)∗ ∗ ∗ (9.776)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.577)∗ ∗ ∗ (−0.610) (3.837)∗ ∗ ∗
Marketcap −0.018 −0.011 −0.016 −0.002 0.007 −0.001 −0.078 0.003 −0.058
(−10.540)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.799)∗ ∗ ∗ (−9.067)∗ ∗ ∗ (−1.212) (4.324)∗ ∗ ∗ (−0.714) (−4.246)∗ ∗ ∗ (0.166) (−3.116)∗ ∗ ∗
Constant 3.437 −1.014 0.446 −0.217 −3.926 −1.503 31.768 −39.413 −6.997
(2.512)∗ ∗ (−0.586) (0.253) (−0.125) (−2.142)∗ ∗ (−0.805) (2.093)∗ ∗ (−2.432)∗ ∗ (−0.404)
Religion Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Dummies
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250
Adj. R2 0.088 0.078 0.093 0.099 0.083 0.100 0.080 0.072 0.082
F-stats 16.837 14.753 17.085 19.046 15.752 18.402 16.296 14.839 16.177
P-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(F-stat)
This table presents panel least squares regression results of how Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity impact trading behaviour. All variables are defined in
Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10%
levels, respectively.
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370 363

Table 4
The impact of positive and negative framing.

Positive Framing Negative Framing

Dependant Variable Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Volume Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Volume

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Uncertainty −0.074 −0.114 −0.893 −0.057 −0.103 −0.648


Avoidance (−7.140)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.412)∗ ∗ ∗ (−7.539)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.551)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.387)∗ ∗ ∗ (−3.639)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity 0.064 0.046 0.827 0.058 0.007 0.652
(3.591)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.647)∗ ∗ ∗ (4.979)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.883)∗ ∗ ∗ (0.381) (2.785)∗ ∗ ∗
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 2125 2125 2125 2125 2125 2125
Adj. R2 0.118 0.103 0.100 0.070 0.095 0.065
F-stats 12.337 10.706 11.270 7.421 9.934 7.424
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents the panel regression results of the impact that Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity has on trading behaviour
when rewards for trading are framed in terms of gains (Games 1 and 3) and losses (Games 2 and 4). All variables are defined
in Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical
significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

dimensions. Nevertheless, their economic significance is still main- To test for the impact that Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity
tained. For example, a one standard deviation increase in Uncer- have on the above two situations the first three columns of Table 5
tainty avoidance is associated with a 26.0% (approximately 13 con- show regression results when traders enter a session with a posi-
tracts) reduction in total Trade Volume. Trade Size declines by 15.6% tive trading balance, whereas the last three columns show results
and Trade Frequency falls by 29.3%. The impact of Masculinity on for when traders start a session with a negative balance. These re-
trading behavior is also economically significant, albeit smaller. A sults reveal that while there is no tangible difference in the sig-
one standard deviation increase is related to a 13.6% (7 contracts) nificance of Uncertainty avoidance across traders that have either a
incremental rise in total Trade Volume, a 7.9% increase in Trade Size profit or a loss in their trading account going into a new session,
and a 3.8% rise in Trade Frequency. the influence of Masculinity is reduced to only significantly impact-
Taken together, the above results show that the impact of Un- ing Trading Volume, at the 5% level, when traders start with a loss.
certainty avoidance and Masculinity on trading behavior corroborate We consider two primary reasons, which are not necessar-
our initial univariate findings. Both cultural dimensions contribute ily mutually exclusive of one another, for why Masculinity has a
to explaining the trading behavior of individuals and support our weaker effect on trading activity when traders start a new session
hypotheses. with a deficit in their trading account. Both relate to the role that
Masculinity plays in capturing societal inclinations to be overconfi-
dent. First, traders who still take risks when they should be mod-
erating their trading behavior (i.e. they already have a profit go-
4.3. Accounting for framing and endowment effects
ing into a session and therefore have already scored some credit)
are likely to do so because they have a greater self-attribution bias
A person’s willingness to take risk can be influenced by how
than other traders. This bias, however, may not be noticeable when
a situation is framed (Tversky and Kahneman, 1981; Weber et al.,
we sample only those traders who are in a losing position, be-
20 0 0). We therefore proceed to test the role of Uncertainty avoid-
cause everyone will have an incentive to continue trading in the
ance and Masculinity as predictors for risk taking in trading when
hope of finishing with a profit in their trading account. It would be
accounting for framing effects. While we include game effects in
harder to pick the role that Masculinity would have in a situation
our previous regressions, they do not explicitly show how sensitive
such as this given all traders are incentivized to continue trading.
each of the explanatory variables is when marks are to be earned
Second, if a trader finds themselves starting a new trading session
(Games 1 and 3) or lost (Games 2 and 4). We therefore re-run our
not having previously done well (i.e. their trading balance is neg-
panel regression results when we sub-sample the data between
ative) then it is likely that their previous confidence in their own
the positive framing of Games 1 and 3 and the negative framing
skills and ability to perform may be diminished. In other words,
of Games 2 and 4. Table 4 shows the results for Uncertainty avoid-
any overconfidence that a trader may have started with can dissi-
ance and Masculinity when the regressions are run using these two
pate and therefore Masculinity will no longer be significant when
sub-samples and reveals that in both situations the results remain
traders start a new session in a losing position.
qualitatively unchanged. The only notable difference is that Mas-
To examine the validity of the above explanations we further
culinity is no longer significant in explaining Trade Frequency for
sub-sample our data and produce the results from the subsequent
the negatively framed games.
analysis in Table 6. The first sub-sample consists of examining
We next examine the potential impact of an endowment effect.
traders who have nothing to gain from continuing to trade, and the
We sort all trades of a session based on whether the trader goes
second consists of focusing on traders who have nothing to lose.
into the trading session with either a positive or negative balance.
In the first case, we classify a trader as having ‘nothing to gain’ if
No matter which game a trader is playing, their overall trading ac-
they have already obtained full marks for the game that they are
count must show a profit in order to earn marks. Therefore, if a
playing, implying that any further trades that they make will be
trader’s account is in negative territory going into the next session
purely recreational.3 In fact, despite not being able to earn more
of a game, there is added pressure to perform. On the other hand,
traders that are already sitting on a profit from a previous session
will likely be less reluctant to trade. As such, the desire to trade 3
We classify a trader as having ‘nothing to gain’ as someone who is playing
will be different between those traders that have a positive trad- Games 1 or 2 and has executed the minimum 4 trades required in a Game and
ing balance relative to those with a negative balance. holds a profit in their trading account. Likewise, traders that are playing Games 3
364 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

Table 5
The impact of positive and negative trading balances.

Positive Trading Balance Negative Trading Balance

Dependant Variable Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Volume Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Volume

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Uncertainty −0.050 −0.097 −0.494 −0.078 −0.069 −0.705


Avoidance (−4.091)∗ ∗ ∗ (−7.016)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.628)∗ ∗ ∗ (−7.583)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.289)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.019)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity 0.083 0.033 1.237 0.041 0.033 0.445
(4.626)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.081)∗ ∗ (4.724)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.624) (1.259) (2.045)∗ ∗
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 2121 2121 2121 1159 1159 1159
Adj. R2 0.104 0.117 0.110 0.120 0.104 0.084
F-stats 10.460 11.778 11.962 7.061 6.149 5.435
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents the panel regression results of the impact that Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity has on trading behaviour
when traders start a new session with a positive or negative trading balance. Session 1 of each game is excluded from the panel
regressions. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical sig-
nificance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

marks, they expose themselves to potentially losing points if the 4.4. The disposition effect
resulting trades do not go well for them. These traders are there-
fore taking risks for no apparent rewards. The first three columns The disposition effect (Shefrin and Statman, 1985) is a well-
of Table 6 present the results for what we label ‘nothing to gain’ documented trading anomaly relating to investors being more
trades. The results show that both Uncertainty avoidance and Mas- likely to hold onto losing positions than wining positions, thereby
culinity continue to be significant, and hold their predicted signs, delaying the realization of losses and bringing forward realized
in determining who is more likely to continue trading. Importantly, gains. For the purposes of this paper, we call the time it takes
we notice that where cultural inclinations would lead to a person from when a contract is entered into, to when it is closed Time-
being overconfident in their ability, as proxied by Masculinity, they in-Market. Panel A of Table 7 shows a simple univariate analysis
are more likely to continue trading even when there is no tangible of the Time-in-Market for contracts that close at a profit relative
benefit to do so. to those that close at a loss. In keeping with the disposition ef-
‘Nothing to lose’ traders are those who are playing their last fect, both the mean and median Time-in-Market losing contracts
sessions of a game and are sitting on zero points.4 These individ- are kept (10.1 min and 4 min, respectively) are significantly longer
uals have nothing to lose by taking greater risks in order to end than the corresponding times for winning contracts (8.3 min and
up with a potential profit at the end of the session. The results 2.8 min, respectively).
from sub-sampling in this fashion are tabulated in Columns (4) to Panel B shows the regression results for the impact that our
(6) of Table 6 and reveal that Masculinity is no longer significant. culture measures have on Time-in-Market. These regressions are
This reinforces our previous results in Table 5, indicating that prior performed at the game-level, rather than session-level, as contracts
performance has a substantial bearing on whether Masculinity will can extend beyond a single session. Column 1 examines our whole
play a role in determining trading activity. sample, Column 2 subsamples only those contracts that close in
The last six columns of Table 6 reaffirms this proposition. Here a winning position, while Column 3 contains only contracts that
we split traders between those that have won the last session that close out in a losing position. Normally, taking a longer time to
they played against those that lost their last session, regardless of close a position increases the exposure that a trader has to ongo-
whether their total trading balance is positive or negative and re- ing market risks, particularly given that we require that all posi-
gardless of which game they are playing. If Masculinity is capturing tions must be closed-out prior to the end of each game. Therefore,
a societal disposition to be overconfident, then we expect it will our overall expectation is that where Uncertainty avoidance (Mas-
be a significant factor in determining trading activity if the trader culinity) is higher (lower), traders are more likely to close-out po-
previously won a session, as their recent trading experience will sitions earlier, which is what column (1) shows. A one standard de-
reinforce their self-attribution bias. Conversely, we would expect a viation increase in Uncertainty avoidance is associated with a 4.3%
much weaker effect of Masculinity if the trader has lost the previ- reduction in total Time-in-Market.5 However, Columns 2 and 3 re-
ous session, and this is what we find. While Masculinity continues veal that the significance of the culture coefficients is dependent
to be significant for traders that are on a winning streak (columns on whether traders are holding onto a winning or losing posi-
7 to 9), those traders that have just lost a session reveal that Mas- tion. Specifically, we find that only Masculinity influences Time-in-
culinity is no longer significant (columns 10 to 12). Market for winning positions, indicating that individuals prone to
a societal inclination towards being overconfident are more likely
to keep these positions open for longer. In contrast, for losing po-
sitions, similar to the results presented in Table 6, Masculinity is
and 4 and have secured profits in at least two of the previous sessions and are also no longer significant. Rather, it is Uncertainty avoidance that mat-
sitting on an overall profit will have no incentive to continue trading (other than ters. Individuals from societies with high Uncertainty avoidance are
the minimum required trades per session).
4 more likely to close their positions earlier.
These consist of individuals in Games 1 and 2 that are playing the last session
and have a loss in their trading account. The same logic applies for the trades we
include from Games 3 and 4. Here traders must ensure they have a profit in at
least two of the trading sessions and we incorporate all trades from individuals
who are in need to generate a profit for a particular session to ensure they pass
5
this criterion. This is based on the mean for Time-in-Market being 8.448 min.
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370
Table 6
The impact of past performance.

Nothing to Gain Nothing to Lose Won Previous Session Lost Previous Session

Dependant Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade


Variable Trade Size Frequency Volume Trade Size Frequency Volume Trade Size Frequency Volume Trade Size Frequency Volume

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)

Uncertainty −0.055 −0.093 −0.548 −0.087 −0.018 −0.328 −0.062 −0.095 −0.549 −0.079 −0.074 −0.757
Avoidance (−4.854)∗ ∗ ∗ (−6.584)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.980)∗ ∗ ∗ (−6.601)∗ ∗ ∗ (−0.760) (−1.710)∗ (−5.172)∗ ∗ ∗ (−5.658)∗ ∗ ∗ (−2.636)∗ ∗ ∗ (−8.686)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.434)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.732)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity 0.072 0.034 1.015 −0.008 0.024 0.377 0.074 0.042 1.155 0.039 0.017 0.360
(3.741)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.824)∗ (3.873)∗ ∗ ∗ (−0.187) (0.626) (1.542) (4.225)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.802)∗ (4.012)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.567) (0.626) (1.381)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 2099 2099 2099 345 345 345 2005 2005 2005 1080 1080 1080
Adj. R2 0.110 0.101 0.105 0.046 0.070 0.018 0.097 0.111 0.110 0.102 0.089 0.061
F-stats 11.411 10.465 11.686 1.692 2.073 1.284 9.302 10.664 11.268 5.731 5.041 3.936
P-value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.024 0.003 0.179 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(F-stat)
This table presents the panel regression results of the impact that Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity have on trading behavior when traders are experiencing four different scenarios: (1) Nothing to
Gain; (2) Nothing to Lose; (3) Won the Previous Session; and (4) Lost the Previous Session. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in
parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

365
366 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

Table 7
Time-in-Market.

Panel A

Profit Transactions Loss Transactions Difference


(1) (2) (1) - (2)

Time-in-Market Mean 8.2824 10.1208 −1.8384∗ ∗ ∗


Median 2.8000 4.0000 −1.2000∗ ∗ ∗

Panel B

Dependant Variable Full Sample Profit Transactions Loss Transactions


Time-in-Market Time-in-Market Time-in-Market
(1) (2) (3)

Uncertainty Avoidance −0.022 −0.001 −0.064


(−2.050)∗ ∗ (−0.114) (−3.950)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity 0.059 0.096 0.013
(2.261)∗ ∗ (4.249)∗ ∗ ∗ −0.351
Controls Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes
Obs 833 831 796
Adj. R2 0.091 0.174 0.07
F-stats 4.633 8.618 3.602
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents both univariate and panel regression results of the impact that Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity has on the length of time it takes for an
individual to close-out an open position (Time-in-Market). Panel A examines the univariate relationship between Time-in-Market and profit/loss transactions. We
perform t-tests (Wilcoxon/Mann-Whitney tests) to compare the means (medians) of each trading measure between the sub-sample of profitable transactions
and losing transactions. Panel B presents the panel regression results conducted at the game-level. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors
are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

4.5. Market versus limit orders and Distance-from-Market story, with individuals from higher Uncertainty avoidance societies
significantly less likely to utilize market orders.
Our final analysis focuses on a measure we call Distance-from-
Market. It is calculated as the difference, measured in ticks, be- 5. Additional robustness tests
tween a trader’s order price and the prevailing market price at the
time the order is placed for all subsequently executed orders. A 5.1. Equally-weighted country observations
case can be argued for it to have either a positive or negative rela-
tionship with risk-taking. For example, placing orders further away While we capture observations from individuals that come from
from the market can increase the risk of the order not being ex- 21 different countries and territories, the sample is not evenly dis-
ecuted. However, at the same time, it limits the risks of purchas- persed across these societies. While participants from China and
ing/selling the asset at an unfavorable price if the market heads in Australia contribute to a bit under 20% each, countries such as
a different direction. In other words, limit orders that are placed Brazil, Singapore and South Korea count for approximately 1% each.
further away from the market price will curtail the risk of pur- To ensure our results are not solely driven by the disproportionate
chasing the asset at an unfavorable price relative to market or- weightings of the larger countries, Table 9 reports the results from
ders. We take this view as our a priori expectation, implying that weighted least squares regressions where weightings are assigned
the shorter the Distance-from-Market, the greater exposure there is to each observation such that the total weighting of observations
to market risks. For our cultural dimension measures this implies for any one country is identical. The table reveals that, overall, the
that individuals from a cultural background with a lower (higher) results remain consistent with our baseline results presented in
Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity) are more likely to place orders Table 3. The main difference is that Masculinity is no longer sig-
closer to the market price. Likewise, we would expect more limit nificant in influencing Trade Frequency (columns 5 and 6).
orders to be placed, relative to market orders, by individuals from
5.2. Using Hofstede dimensions at the individual level
societies with a higher (lower) Uncertainty avoidance (Masculinity)
score.
While we lack a large enough sample of observations from each
Table 8 shows six regression results. The first three columns
country to construct Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity scores
are panel OLS regressions showing the impact that our two cul-
of our own (see Rieger et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2017), we never-
ture measures have on their own, and then jointly, on Distance-
theless perform a simple test to ensure our results hold when con-
from-Market. The last three columns are panel probit regressions
trolling for how individuals in our sample answer the Hofstede sur-
where the dependent variable is a dummy variable that is equal to
vey questions for Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity. In Table 10
one if the initiated transaction was a market order and zero oth-
we include the raw scores from those students that completed the
erwise. The results show that while individually, both Uncertainty
individual Masculinity and Uncertainty avoidance questions as ad-
avoidance and Masculinity are significant determinants, only Uncer-
ditional control variables. The results show no qualitative change
tainty avoidance remains significant when both measures are em-
from including these additional variables in the regressions. The
ployed within the same regressions. To provide some economic in-
main difference being that Uncertainty avoidance is no longer sig-
terpretation to these results, the coefficient of 0.009 for Uncertainty
nificant in determining Trade Frequency.
avoidance in column (3) implies that, on average, a one standard
deviation change in Uncertainty avoidance leads to a 17.4% increase
5.3. Alternative measures for culture
in ticks in Distance-from-Market.6 Columns (4) to (6) tell a similar
The final test we present is to see if our prior findings hold
6
Based on the mean Distance-from-Market being 0.8509. up when using alternatives to Hofstede’s measures. We employ
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370 367

Table 8
Distance-from-Market.

Regression Method Panel Panel Panel Probit Probit Probit

Dependant Variable Distance-from-Market Distance-from-Market Distance-from-Market Marketorder Marketorder Marketorder


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Uncertainty 0.008 0.009 −0.007 −0.007


Avoidance (5.430)∗ ∗ ∗ (5.479)∗ ∗ ∗ (−4.040)∗ ∗ ∗ (−3.151)∗ ∗ ∗
Masculinity −0.005 0.002 0.008 0.002
(−2.723)∗ ∗ ∗ (1.004) (2.626)∗ ∗ ∗ (0.696)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 3837 3837 3837 3836 3836 3836
Adj. R2 / McFadden R2 0.066 0.055 0.066 0.028 0.026 0.028
F-stats / LR-stats 11.434 9.566 11.042 148.162 138.658 148.646
P-value (F-stat) / P-value (LR-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents both panel and probit regression results of the impact that Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity has on the distance between the order price
and prevailing market price (Distance-from-Market) for all executed orders. Marketorder is a dummy variable that is equal to one when the trader places a market
order and zero otherwise. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗
denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

Table 9
Equal country weighting.

Dependant Variable (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade Trade
Size Size Size Frequency Frequency Frequency Volume Volume Volume

Uncertainty −0.067∗ ∗ ∗ −0.059∗ ∗ ∗ −0.069∗ ∗ ∗ −0.072∗ ∗ ∗ −0.947∗ ∗ ∗ −0.880∗ ∗ ∗


Avoidance (−10.739) (−8.852) (−5.501) (−5.539) (−7.895) (−6.636)
Masculinity 0.102∗ ∗ ∗ 0.068∗ ∗ ∗ 0.018 −0.024 1.025∗ ∗ ∗ 0.517∗ ∗ ∗
(5.924) (3.821) (1.086) (−1.400) (6.046) (2.651)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250 4250
Adj. R2 0.137 0.123 0.144 0.167 0.149 0.167 0.123 0.100 0.124
F-stats 18.758 12.787 18.989 19.696 19.030 19.661 16.192 15.638 17.083
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents weighted least squares regression results of how Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity scores impact their trading behaviour. All countries receive
an equal weight in the regression analysis. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses.
∗∗∗ ∗∗
, and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.

Table 10 movement (Eun et al., 2015). They provide alternative frameworks


Adding individual uncertainty avoidance and individual masculinity.
to using the more popular Hofstede measures. They are also con-
Dependant Variable Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Volume structed differently from Uncertainty avoidance and Masculinity, al-
(1) (2) (3)
lowing us to check that the results we have generated so far are
not specific to the type of measure we use to proxy for culture.
Uncertainty Avoidance −0.130 −0.004 −0.391
The GLOBE study examines culture, as an artefact of practices
(−9.899)∗ ∗ ∗ (−0.207) (−2.527)∗ ∗
Individual Uncertainty −0.015 −0.005 −0.107 and values, across 62 societies, with the main proposition being
Avoidance (−10.286)∗ ∗ ∗ (−1.638) (−4.387)∗ ∗ ∗ that characteristics differentiating one culture from another are
Masculinity 0.043 0.037 0.900 predictive of organizational processes and individual behavior in
(2.063)∗ ∗ (2.334)∗ ∗ (6.163)∗ ∗ ∗ that culture (House et al., 2004). We employ the GLOBE study’s
Individual Masculinity 0.003 0.002 0.081
(0.855) (0.449) (2.050)∗ ∗
Assertiveness dimension, which measures the degree to which in-
Controls Yes Yes Yes dividuals are assertive, confrontational, and aggressive in their re-
Game FE Yes Yes Yes lationship with others, as this interpretation closely matches the
Session FE Yes Yes Yes spirit of the Masculinity dimension of Hofstede (1980). We code
Obs 920 920 920
the Assertiveness score for each individual within our sample such
Adj. R2 0.200 0.142 0.137
F-stats 9.520 6.874 6.387 that higher scores imply more assertive participants. Our results in
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 Table 11 show Assertiveness is associated with higher risk-taking,
evident in higher Trade Size, Trade Frequency, and Trade Volume,
This table presents panel least squares regression results when adding Individual
Uncertainty Avoidance and Individual Masculinity as additional controls. All variables which all are significant at the 1% level. The results are also eco-
are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors are clustered by country. T-statistics nomically significant. For example, a one standard deviation rise in
are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, Assertiveness (σ = 0.829) is estimated to result in a 25.5% increase
5% and 10% levels, respectively. in Trade Volume.
Using data from thirty-three nations, Gelfand et al. (2011) study
the differences between tight and loose culture and theorize that
the GLOBE Assertiveness culture measure (House et al., 2004) and tightness and looseness materialize as a reference-shift cumulative
the Cultural Looseness measure of Gelfand et al. (2011). These mea- build-up where normative attitudes in a given nation are generally
sures have previously been used to examine culture and foreign common among its members. From this study, a tightness scale
direct investments (Tang, 2012), and culture and stock price co-
368 G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370

Table 11
Alternative culture measures.

Dependant Variable Trade Size Trade Size Trade Frequency Trade Frequency Trade Volume Trade Volume

Assertiveness 1.637 1.531 14.955


(16.898)∗ ∗ ∗ (8.874)∗ ∗ ∗ (8.826)∗ ∗ ∗
Cultural 0.112 0.503 4.237
Looseness (1.349) (3.920)∗ ∗ ∗ (2.909)∗ ∗ ∗
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Game FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Session FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Obs 4250 4070 4250 4070 4250 4070
Adj. R2 0.074 0.060 0.080 0.077 0.063 0.055
F-stats 14.044 11.434 15.231 14.513 12.940 10.841
P-value (F-stat) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

This table presents two alternative measures to capture culture in the regressions. The Assertiveness measure is taken from
House et al. (2004) and it measures the degree to which individuals are assertive, confrontational, and aggressive in their re-
lationship with others. The Cultural Looseness measure is taken from Gelfand et al. (2011) and measures the extent to which a
country has strong norms and low tolerance of deviant behaviour. All variables are defined in Appendix A1. Standard errors are
clustered by country. T-statistics are presented in parentheses. ∗ ∗ ∗ , ∗ ∗ and ∗ denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10%
levels, respectively.

is developed for the thirty-three nations. The Cultural Looseness communal element, yet is present in an individual’s conduct. We
score captures the extent to which a country has strong norms and thus expect cultural differences to affect an individual’s trading
is tolerant of deviant behavior. The lower (higher) the score, the decisions in the financial markets, resulting in differences in how
more tight (loose) the society is. Gelfand found that a history of they trade. The extant research shows that personal traits can af-
threats such as natural disasters is associated with greater tight- fect an individual’s trading activity (Barber and Odean, 20 0 0, 20 01;
ness. Meanwhile, exposure to natural disasters has in turn been Graham et al., 2009), but not specifically in relation to the impact
found to be associated with risk-taking (Bernile et al., 2017). We that culture can have. This is despite the wealth of literature that
therefore use Gelfand’s Cultural Looseness as a measure that can shows culture impacts financial decision making. Therefore, our
affect risk-taking in trading. contribution is to provide direct evidence of the impact culture can
The results in Table 11 show that Cultural Looseness is positively have on trading behavior.
related to risk taking in trading, with all coefficients, except for Consistent with expectations, our proxies for measuring the
Trade Size, being positive and significant at the 1% level. As an ex- general level of risk aversion and overconfidence present within a
ample of the economic significance behind the results, a one stan- culture, as captured through Hofstede’s (1980, 2001) cultural mea-
dard deviation rise in Cultural Looseness (σ = 2.753) leads to an es- sures of Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity, are significantly as-
timated 24.0% rise in Trade Volume. sociated with differences in trading behavior linked to risk-taking.
The internet appendix also contains results from using Hofst- Specifically, we find that individuals whose cultural background
ede’s Individualism scores. As a measure that has been previously encourages greater risk-taking are more likely to exhibit greater
utilized in the literature to influence financial market behavior trading activity, as measured through total trading volume, trad-
(Chui et al., 2010; Eun et al., 2015), it captures whether people in ing frequency and trade size. Additionally, the impact of culture on
a particular culture are more likely to view themselves as being an trading behavior is robust to framing effects (Tversky and Kahne-
independent versus interdependent construct. Chui et al. (2010) ar- man, 1981).
gue that the level of Individualism prevalent within a culture also Our study provides a bridge between the macro-level analysis
captures the level of overoptimism / overconfidence individuals that the extant literature covers in examining how culture affects
are likely to display. Our results show that while Individualism, aggregate stock behavior (Chui et al., 2010; Eun et al., 2015), and
on its own, has a significant relationship with two of the trad- how culture affects individual risk-taking, by showing the impact
ing activity measures, it becomes insignificant when we add both it has on the trading behavior of individuals. In doing so, we show
Uncertainty Avoidance and Masculinity as independent variables. the building blocks that can explain how trading activity may dif-
Therefore, for our particular dataset its contribution is limited in fer across countries by affecting the proclivity to trade more or less
the presence of the two culture measures we focus on in this frequently, and by influencing the willingness of traders to place
paper. orders close to market prices as well as how long positions are
kept open, thereby contributing to the differences in liquidity pro-
6. Conclusion vision and volatility across markets.

Hofstede (1991) contends that culture is the “software of the Conflict of interest
mind”, drawing attention to the influence of culture in understand-
ing human conduct. Central to this is the notion that culture is a None.
G. Tan, C.S. Cheong and R. Zurbruegg / Journal of Banking and Finance 106 (2019) 357–370 369

Appendix A1
Variable Definitions.

Variable list Definition

Trading variables
- Distance-from-Market The distance, measured in ticks, of the price orders are placed at relative to the prevailing market price for orders
that are subsequently executed. Measured per individual per session.
- Time-in-Market The length of time it takes for an individual to close-out an open position, expressed in minutes and seconds.
- Trade Size The average size of executed orders of an individual per trading session, expressed in the number of futures
contracts.
- Trade Frequency The number of executed orders per session for the individual.
- Trade Volume The trading volume of an individual per trading session, expressed in the number of futures contracts.
National Culture variables
- Assertiveness The value for each individual is derived from House et al. (2004) and is based on an individual’s country of
residence during their childhood. The country score measures the degree to which individuals are likely to be
assertive, confrontational, and aggressive in their relationship with others.
- Cultural Looseness This measure is taken from Gelfand et al. (2011) and is based on an individual’s country of residence during their
childhood. The country score captures the extent to which that society has strong norms and low tolerance of
deviant behaviour. The higher the score, the greater the tolerance.
- Masculinity The assignment of an individual’s Masculinity versus Femininity cultural dimension (Hofstede, 1980, 2001) is based
on an individual’s country of residence during their childhood. The individual country score expresses the degree
to which people focus on achievement in a largely competitive society.
- Uncertainty Avoidance The assignment of an individual’s Uncertainty Avoidance Index (Hofstede, 1980, 2001) is based on an individual’s
country of residence during their childhood. The individual country score reflects the extent of discomfort
members of the society have towards uncertainty and ambiguity.
Control variables
- Digit A dummy variable equal to one if an individual’s ring finger is longer than their index finger, and zero otherwise.
- Eldest A dummy variable equal to one if an individual is the eldest child in the family, and zero otherwise.
- Experience The number of years of trading experience an individual has.
- Female A dummy variable equal to one if the individual is a female, and zero otherwise.
- Major loss A count of perceived major financial losses (e.g. loss of business) and/or personal loss (e.g. death) events in the
family experienced by an individual during their childhood.
- Session Market Return Closing price of the session minus opening price divided by the opening price x100
- Session Market Risk Calculated from multiplying the root of ten by the standard deviation of 30-second market returns (there are ten
30-seconds in each session).
- Profit The dollar profit/loss of a trader’s trading account at the beginning of the session.
- Religion A set of dummy variables to capture the dominant religion in each country. These include Catholic, Protestant,
Muslim, Buddhist, and Other (baseline).
- Risk Profile The financial risk domain-specific measure of an individual trader following Bapna et al. (2010) using the DOSPERT
survey (Weber et al., 2002).
- Stimulating Risk The average score of ten survey questions designed by Zaleskiewicz (2001).
- Instrumental Risk The average score of seven survey questions designed by Zaleskiewicz (2001).
- LogGDPcap The logarithm of the gross domestic product per capita for each country.
- Marketcap The average market capitalization of equity market divided by gross domestic product.

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