Power Supply Procurement Plan

2023

Oriental Mindoro Electric Cooperative, Inc.

(ORMECO, Inc.)
Historical Consumption Data
MWh
Coincident MWh MWh MWh Load Transm'n System
WESM System Discrepancy
Peak MW Offtake Input Output Factor Loss Loss
Loss
2000 20.40 75,017 0 75,017 65,570 9,447 42% 0.00% 0.00% 12.59%
2001 21.50 87,199 0 87,199 75,274 11,925 46% 0.00% 0.00% 13.68%
2002 26.45 95,524 0 95,524 82,450 13,075 41% 0.00% 0.00% 13.69%
2003 26.45 105,944 0 105,944 91,395 14,549 46% 0.00% 0.00% 13.73%
2004 26.67 113,948 0 113,948 98,513 15,435 49% 0.00% 0.00% 13.55%
2005 25.62 124,879 0 124,879 108,479 16,400 56% 0.00% 0.00% 13.13%
2006 26.75 113,846 0 113,846 99,012 14,834 49% 0.00% 0.00% 13.03%
2007 25.05 125,245 0 125,245 109,619 15,626 57% 0.00% 0.00% 12.48%
2008 24.53 128,306 0 128,306 113,586 14,720 60% 0.00% 0.00% 11.47%
2009 28.32 138,575 0 138,575 123,050 15,525 56% 0.00% 0.00% 11.20%
2010 27.00 153,115 0 153,115 136,783 16,332 65% 0.00% 0.00% 10.67%
2011 28.93 157,191 0 157,191 141,867 15,325 62% 0.00% 0.00% 9.75%
2012 30.30 171,671 0 171,671 155,078 16,593 65% 0.00% 0.00% 9.67%
2013 33.52 187,367 0 187,367 168,896 18,471 64% 0.00% 0.00% 9.86%
2014 39.02 204,740 0 204,740 182,990 21,750 60% 0.00% 0.00% 10.62%
2015 42.70 224,371 0 224,371 199,364 25,007 60% 0.00% 0.00% 11.15%
2016 42.27 243,288 0 243,288 216,050 27,239 66% 0.00% 0.00% 11.20%
2017 45.75 265,477 0 265,477 236,614 28,863 66% 0.00% 0.00% 10.87%
2018 52.10 301,015 0 301,015 265,744 35,271 66% 0.00% 0.00% 11.72%
2019 56.65 326,979 0 326,979 287,675 39,304 66% 0.00% 0.00% 12.02%
2020 57.08 327,690 0 327,690 287,569 40,121 66% 0.00% 0.00% 12.24%
2021 64.78 352,214 0 352,214 305,625 46,590 62% 0.00% 0.00% 13.23%
2022 65.90 385,401 0 385,401 331,276 54,126 67% 0.00% 0.00% 14.04%

Peak Demand increased from 64.78 MW in 2021 to 65.90 MW in 2022 at a rate of 1.73% due to high
demand on summer season. MWh Offtake increased from 352,214 MWh in 2021 to 385,401 MWh in
2022 at a rate of 9.42%. “MWh Offtake increased from 352,214 MWh in 2021 to 385,401 MWh in 2022
at a rate of 9.42%. MWh Offtake, also known as “Sales”, significantly increases due to management
drive of massive collections, implementation of RA7832, etc. and massive new connections activities.
Historical Consumption
450,000 70.0
400,000 60.0
350,000
50.0
300,000
MWh

250,000 40.0
MW

200,000 30.0
150,000
20.0
100,000
50,000 10.0
0 0.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

Year

MWh Output MWh System Loss Coincident Peak MW

MWh Output increased from year 2021 to year 2022 at a rate of 8.36%, while MWh System Loss
increased at an average rate of 16.18% within the same period. Note that transmission loss is included
to the system loss reflected on the table above.

Historical Losses
16.00%
14.00%
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Year

Transm'n Loss System Loss

ORMECO’s loss from 2000 to 2014 acquired highest mark due to overloaded and unsystematic
distribution line. The coop attains the single digit System Loss by 2011 to 2013 due to most of the
major projects under CAPEX 2012 to 2016 were implemented. On the other hand, System loss spikes
increasingly since ORMECO took over System Operation of Oriental Mindoro Grid. This resulted to
shouldering the Transmission Losses within the franchise area. The reason why historically we
exceeded the system loss cap set by the ERC, the transmission loss was included on the computation
above, but on the Distribution System Loss ORMECO is always under the system loss cap set by the
Honorable Commissioner. We can see on the graph increasing system loss, this is due to the delayed
CAPEX projects of ORMECO. Almost all substations are overloaded, we solved these problems by
rectifying the distribution lines and splitting feeders from one substation to another which cause us
higher system loss in return.

Previous Year's Shares of Energy Sales

Industrial
8.00% Others
9.30%

Commercial
23.10% Residential
59.60%

Residential customers account for the bulk of energy sales at 59.6% due to the high number of
connections as the new management implements the massive new connection activities this year. In
contrast, industrial customers accounted for only 8% of energy sales despite of the high number of
connections.

MWh Offtake for Last Historical Year

40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
MWh

20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month

TOP TEAM PINAMALAYAN

TOP TEAM ROXAS
TOP TEAM BANSUD
TOP TEAM CALAPAN
NPC RENTAL
POC INTERIM ROXAS
POC INTERIM CALAPAN
SAN JOSE SUBSTATION (NET METERING WITH OMECO)
POC BANSUD INTERIM
PHESI Wind Energy Power Facility
IMHPP
CHEPP

For PHESI Wind Energy Power Facility, Inabasan Mini Hydro Power Plant (IMHPP), Linao Cawayan
Mini Hydro Power Plant-Lower Cascade (LCMHPP-Lower Cascade), LCMHPP-Upper Cascade,
Catuiran Hydro Electric Power Plant (CHEPP), Ormin Power Incorporated (OPI) and Power One
Corporation (POC) the total energy Offtake for the historical year is lower than the quantity stipulated
in their PSA, except DMCI Power Corporation with higher energy Offtake than the quantity stipulated
in the PSA due to DMCI Power Corporation plays the role of system regulator.

There were months that the Interim Power Supply and EPP did not reach its contracted energy due to
Longer wet season which favors the output of the RE Developers.
Previous Year's Load Profile

Previous Year's Load Duration Curve

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0
MW

30.0

20.0

10.0

0.0
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Percent of the Time

Based on the Load Duration Curve, the minimum load is 0 MW and the maximum load is 64.78 MW for
the last historical year.

Previous Year's Load for Peak MWh and MW Days

90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
MW

40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0

Time

2014-085RC 2011-017RC
2013-164RC 2013-212RC
2014-001RC 2012-131RC
2020-035RC 2014-003RC
TOP TEAM CALAPAN TOP TEAM PINAMALAYAN
TOP TEAM BANSUD TOP TEAM ROXAS
PSI BANSUD Peak MWh Day
Peak MW Day
Peak MW occurred on May 12, 2022 at 1:00 pm due to extreme heat during this season and historically
during summer season we experience peak MW demand. Peak daily MWh occurred on the same date
as peak MWH occurred, at day period ORMECO recorded greater sales than night period due to many
offices, other establishments consumed greater demand of electricity at day period.

Previous Year's Loading Summary

83.82
81.25

65.90

45.84

32.04

MVA Tot NCP CP Ave 5th PCTL

The Non-coincident Peak Demand is 83.82 MW, which is around 139.7% of the total substation capacity
of 75 MVA at a power factor of 0.8. The load factor or the ratio between the Average Load of 45.84 MW
and the Non-coincident Peak Demand is 54.69%.

Substation Substation
Metering Point
MVA Peak MW

Minolo (Puerto Galera) 12.5 6.686

Taurus (Calapan) 20 34.346
Gemini (Naujan) 5 5.572
Leo (Victoria) 6.25 4.435
Virgo (Socorro) 5 4.323
Libra (Pinamalayan) 12.5 8.440
Scorpio (Bansud) 10 5.073
Capricorn (Bongabong) 3.527
Pisces (Roxas) 5 8.382
Mansalay 5 3.036

All substations are loaded above 80% this year 2022. The capacity problems of all the substation are
going to be solve by the 2022-2026 CAPEX projects of ORMECO that are targeted to be implemented
this year upon approval. Bongabong substation is temporarily connected to 10 MVA NPC Bansud
substation while the bank loan for the installation of additional capacity at Bongabong is on going.

The figures illustrate the critical substations that must be uprated in terms of capacity. But we must take
note and must not disregard that most of the power providers are embedded in the distribution line. To
explain further, enumerated below are the temporary solutions to accommodate the demand per
substation:
1. Calapan Substation were embedded by Power One Corporation, DMCI Power Corporation and
Ormin Power Incorporated.
 2. Portions of Naujan Substation were temporarily connected to Calapan Substation and Victoria
Substation while the uprating of power transformer is on going.
3. Victoria Substation power transformer rated 5/6.25 MVA.
4. Portion of Socorro Substation were already connected to 10MVA Pinamalayan Substation.
5. Pinamalayan Substation were rated 10/12.5 MVA and some of its portion were directly
connected on one of the power providers in Pinamalayan.
6. As stated on the previous paragraph, the load from Bongabong Substation is temporarily
connected to 10 MVA Bansud Substation, providing the same a total load of 8.6 MW. 5 MW
embedded generators from Top Team Bansud helps the 10 MVA substation to accommodate
its current demand.
7. Mansalay Substation were energized last May 2022, it reduces the demand of 5 MVA Roxas
Substation since then, but the same cannot accommodate its existing demand even its portion
was transferred to Mansalay Substation, that is why Top Team Roxas is embedded to 5 MVA
Roxas Substation.

The table also shows also the coincident peak per substation. As of this day, the uprating of 5 MVA
to 10 MVA Naujan Substation is on going and targeted to be energized on May 2023.

Forecasted Consumption Data

Retail
Existing Target MW
Coincident Contracted Pending Planned Electricity
Contracting Contracting Surplus /
Peak MW MW MW MW Suppliers
Level Level Deficit
MW
2023 Jan 54.44 23.00 58.60 0.000 42% 150% 27.16
Feb 56.59 23.00 54.90 0.000 41% 138% 21.31
Mar 61.48 23.00 52.20 0.000 37% 122% 13.72
Apr 65.81 23.00 45.70 0.000 35% 104% 2.89
May 67.69 23.00 45.20 0.000 34% 101% 0.51
Jun 66.79 23.00 38.10 10.000 34% 106% 4.31
Jul 65.20 23.00 38.00 10.000 35% 109% 5.80
Aug 65.46 23.00 39.30 30.000 35% 141% 26.84
Sep 66.06 23.00 16.15 30.000 35% 105% 3.09
Oct 65.59 23.00 21.20 27.000 35% 109% 5.61
Nov 62.94 23.00 34.85 27.000 37% 135% 21.91
Dec 62.14 23.00 37.10 27.000 37% 140% 24.96
2024 Jan 57.21 23.00 36.30 27.000 40% 151% 29.09
Feb 59.46 23.00 32.60 27.000 39% 139% 23.14
Mar 64.58 23.00 29.90 30.000 36% 128% 18.32
Apr 69.12 23.00 23.40 30.000 33% 111% 7.28
May 71.08 23.00 22.90 30.000 32% 107% 4.82
Jun 70.12 23.00 15.80 33.000 33% 102% 1.68
Jul 68.43 23.00 15.70 33.000 34% 105% 3.27
Aug 68.70 23.00 17.00 33.000 33% 106% 4.30
Sep 69.31 23.00 16.15 33.000 33% 104% 2.84
Oct 68.81 23.00 21.20 30.000 33% 108% 5.39
Nov 66.01 23.00 34.85 30.000 35% 133% 21.84
Dec 65.16 23.00 37.10 30.000 35% 138% 24.94
2025 Jan 59.98 23.00 36.30 30.000 38% 149% 29.32
 Feb 62.33 23.00 32.60 30.000 37% 137% 23.27
Mar 67.68 23.00 29.90 33.000 34% 127% 18.22
Apr 72.43 23.00 23.40 33.000 32% 110% 6.97
May 74.47 23.00 22.90 33.000 31% 106% 4.43
Jun 73.45 23.00 15.80 36.000 31% 102% 1.35
Jul 71.67 23.00 15.70 36.000 32% 104% 3.03
Aug 71.93 23.00 17.00 36.000 32% 106% 4.07
Sep 72.57 23.00 16.15 36.000 32% 104% 2.58
Oct 72.02 23.00 21.20 33.000 32% 107% 5.18
Nov 69.08 23.00 34.85 33.000 33% 132% 21.77
Dec 68.18 23.00 37.10 33.000 34% 137% 24.92
2026 Jan 62.75 23.00 36.30 33.000 37% 147% 29.55
Feb 65.20 23.00 32.60 33.000 35% 136% 23.40
Mar 70.79 23.00 29.90 38.000 32% 128% 20.11
Apr 75.73 23.00 23.40 38.000 30% 111% 8.67
May 77.85 23.00 22.90 38.000 30% 108% 6.05
Jun 76.77 23.00 15.80 41.000 30% 104% 3.03
Jul 74.90 23.00 15.70 41.000 31% 106% 4.80
Aug 75.17 23.00 17.00 41.000 31% 108% 5.83
Sep 75.82 23.00 16.15 41.000 30% 106% 4.33
Oct 75.24 23.00 21.20 38.000 31% 109% 6.96
Nov 72.16 23.00 34.85 38.000 32% 133% 23.69
Dec 71.20 15.00 37.10 38.000 21% 127% 18.90
2027 Jan 65.52 15.00 36.30 38.000 23% 136% 23.78
Feb 68.06 15.00 32.60 38.000 22% 126% 17.54
Mar 73.89 15.00 29.90 38.000 20% 112% 9.01
Apr 79.04 15.00 23.40 38.000 19% 97% -2.64
May 81.24 15.00 22.90 38.000 18% 93% -5.34
Jun 80.10 15.00 15.80 41.000 19% 90% -8.30
Jul 78.14 15.00 15.70 41.000 19% 92% -6.44
Aug 78.40 15.00 17.00 41.000 19% 93% -5.40
Sep 79.07 15.00 16.15 41.000 19% 91% -6.92
Oct 78.45 15.00 21.20 38.000 19% 95% -4.25
Nov 75.23 15.00 34.85 38.000 20% 117% 12.62
Dec 74.22 15.00 37.10 38.000 20% 121% 15.88
2028 Jan 68.30 15.00 36.30 38.000 22% 131% 21.00
Feb 70.93 15.00 32.60 38.000 21% 121% 14.67
Mar 76.99 15.00 29.90 38.000 19% 108% 5.91
Apr 82.35 15.00 23.40 38.000 18% 93% -5.95
May 84.63 15.00 22.90 38.000 18% 90% -8.73
Jun 83.43 15.00 15.80 41.000 18% 86% -11.63
Jul 81.37 15.00 15.70 41.000 18% 88% -9.67
Aug 81.64 15.00 17.00 41.000 18% 89% -8.64
Sep 82.32 15.00 16.15 41.000 18% 88% -10.17
Oct 81.67 15.00 21.20 38.000 18% 91% -7.47
Nov 78.30 15.00 34.85 38.000 19% 112% 9.55
Dec 77.24 15.00 37.10 38.000 19% 117% 12.86
2029 Jan 71.07 15.00 36.30 38.000 21% 126% 18.23
 Feb 73.80 15.00 32.60 38.000 20% 116% 11.80
Mar 80.09 15.00 29.90 38.000 19% 104% 2.81
Apr 85.66 15.00 23.40 38.000 18% 89% -9.26
May 88.02 15.00 22.90 38.000 17% 86% -12.12
Jun 86.76 15.00 15.80 41.000 17% 83% -14.96
Jul 84.61 15.00 15.70 41.000 18% 85% -12.91
Aug 84.87 15.00 17.00 41.000 18% 86% -11.87
Sep 85.57 15.00 16.15 41.000 18% 84% -13.42
Oct 84.88 15.00 21.20 38.000 18% 87% -10.68
Nov 81.37 15.00 34.85 38.000 18% 108% 6.48
Dec 80.26 15.00 37.10 38.000 19% 112% 9.84
2030 Jan 73.84 15.00 36.30 38.000 20% 121% 15.46
Feb 76.67 15.00 32.60 38.000 20% 112% 8.93
Mar 83.20 15.00 29.90 38.000 18% 100% -0.29
Apr 88.96 15.00 23.40 38.000 17% 86% -12.56
May 91.40 15.00 22.90 38.000 16% 83% -15.50
Jun 90.09 15.00 15.80 41.000 17% 80% -18.29
Jul 87.84 15.00 15.70 41.000 17% 82% -16.14
Aug 88.11 15.00 17.00 41.000 17% 83% -15.11
Sep 88.82 15.00 16.15 41.000 17% 81% -16.67
Oct 88.10 15.00 21.20 38.000 17% 84% -13.90
Nov 84.45 15.00 34.85 0.000 18% 59% -34.60
Dec 83.28 15.00 37.10 0.000 18% 63% -31.18
2031 Jan 76.61 15.00 36.30 0.000 20% 67% -25.31
Feb 79.53 15.00 32.60 0.000 19% 60% -31.93
Mar 86.30 15.00 29.90 0.000 17% 52% -41.40
Apr 92.27 15.00 23.40 0.000 16% 42% -53.87
May 94.79 15.00 22.90 0.000 16% 40% -56.89
Jun 93.41 15.00 15.80 0.000 16% 33% -62.61
Jul 91.08 15.00 15.70 0.000 16% 34% -60.38
Aug 91.34 15.00 17.00 0.000 16% 35% -59.34
Sep 92.07 15.00 16.15 0.000 16% 34% -60.92
Oct 91.31 15.00 21.20 0.000 16% 40% -55.11
Nov 87.52 15.00 34.85 0.000 17% 57% -37.67
Dec 86.30 15.00 37.10 0.000 17% 60% -34.20
2032 Jan 79.38 15.00 36.30 0.000 19% 65% -28.08
Feb 82.40 15.00 32.60 0.000 18% 58% -34.80
Mar 89.40 15.00 29.90 0.000 17% 50% -44.50
Apr 95.58 15.00 23.40 0.000 16% 40% -57.18
May 98.18 15.00 22.90 0.000 15% 39% -60.28
Jun 96.74 15.00 15.80 0.000 16% 32% -65.94
Jul 94.31 15.00 15.70 0.000 16% 33% -63.61
Aug 94.58 15.00 17.00 0.000 16% 34% -62.58
Sep 95.33 15.00 16.15 0.000 16% 33% -64.18
Oct 94.53 15.00 21.20 0.000 16% 38% -58.33
Nov 90.59 15.00 34.85 0.000 17% 55% -40.74
Dec 89.32 15.00 37.10 0.000 17% 58% -37.22
The Peak Demand was forecasted using Regression Analysis and was assumed to occur on the month
of May. Monthly Peak Demand is at its lowest on the month of February due to cold weather during this
month. In general, Peak Demand is expected to grow at an average rate of 4.22% annually. Contracted
MW varies in some months every year, because we reflected the yearly Preventive Maintenance
Schedule.

Some power plant under “Pending MW” does not reach its guaranteed dependable capacity,
specifically the Renewable Power Plants. We all know the variability of this renewable power plant that
it cannot sustain its monthly contracted capacity that should be dispatch on the Grid. The nomination
on the forecast was based on historical data provided and recorded by the System Operator.

For the part of the “FOR CSP under Planned MW” row, ORMECO has ongoing Competitive Selection
Process. The opening of bids conducted last January 10, 2023 and January 23, 2023. Third Party
Bids and Awards Committee has on going post qualification right after the opening of bids. The target
commercial operation of this new power plant were on June 2023.

Forecasted Supply vs Demand

120.0
100.0
80.0
MW

60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
Feb

Feb
Apr

Apr
Sep

Oct

Aug

Sep

Oct

Aug
Nov

Jul
Dec
May

Nov

Jul
Dec
May

Mar
Jan
Jun

Mar

Jan
Jun

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Month

Contracted MW Pending MW
Planned MW Retail Electricity Suppliers MW
Coincident Peak MW

The available supply is generally above the Peak Demand until 2026. On year 2027, ORMECO
assumes that the province of Oriental Mindoro will be connected on the Luzon Grid and the deficit MW
will be from the WESM.
 Forecasted Supply vs Demand
120.0
100.0
80.0
MW

60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0 Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr

Apr
Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct

Oct
Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jan
Jul

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul

Jan

Jul
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Month

2014-085RC 2011-017RC 2013-164RC

2013-212RC 2014-001RC 2012-131RC
2020-035RC 2014-003RC BASE
TOP TEAM CALAPAN TOP TEAM PINAMALAYAN TOP TEAM BANSUD
TOP TEAM ROXAS PSI BANSUD LOAD FOLLOWING
PEAKING Coincident Peak MW

Of the available supply, the largest is 30 MW from Load Following from the Planned MW. This is
followed by 15 MW from DMCI Power Corporation.

Procurement Timing
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
MW

20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Apr

Feb

Apr

Feb
Nov

Sep

Oct

Aug

Sep

Oct

Aug
Dec

Nov

Dec
Mar

Mar
Jan
Jun

Jul

May

Jan
Jun

Jul

May

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Month

BASE LOAD FOLLOWING PEAKING

The first wave of supply procurement will be for 33 MW Load Following and Peaking planned to be
available by the month of July 2023. This will be followed by 8 MW base load to be available by the
month of March 2025 increasing from 3 MW to 8MW until its expiration date.
 Contracting Levels
160%
140%
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Month

Existing Contracting Level Target Contracting Level

The highest target contracting level is 150% which is expected to occur on January 2023. The lowest
target contracting level is 33% which is expected to occur on September 2032. The 33% lowest target
contracting level occurred on this year due to the expiration of the 41 MW power supply on October
2030.

MW Surplus / Deficit
40.00

20.00

0.00
Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May

Jan
May
-20.00
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
-40.00

-60.00

-80.00
Month

The highest deficit is 65.94 MW which is expected to occur on the month of June 2032. The lowest
deficit is 2.64 MW which is expected to occur on the month of April 2027.

MWh System Transm'n

MWh Offtake MWh Output System Loss
Loss Loss

2023 Jan 28,217 24,831 3,386 0.00% 12.00%

Feb 29,984 26,386 3,598 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 30,498 26,838 3,660 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 33,706 29,661 4,045 0.00% 12.00%
May 35,078 30,868 4,209 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 34,814 30,637 4,178 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 33,592 29,561 4,031 0.00% 12.00%
 Aug 33,419 29,408 4,010 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 34,748 30,578 4,170 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 34,301 30,185 4,116 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 33,865 29,802 4,064 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 32,296 28,420 3,875 0.00% 12.00%
2024 Jan 29,923 26,332 3,591 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 31,689 27,886 3,803 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 32,203 28,339 3,864 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 35,411 31,162 4,249 0.00% 12.00%
May 36,783 32,369 4,414 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 36,519 32,137 4,382 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 35,298 31,062 4,236 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 35,124 30,909 4,215 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 36,453 32,079 4,374 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 36,007 31,686 4,321 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 35,571 31,302 4,268 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 34,001 29,921 4,080 0.00% 12.00%
2025 Jan 31,628 27,832 3,795 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 33,394 29,387 4,007 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 33,908 29,839 4,069 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 37,116 32,662 4,454 0.00% 12.00%
May 38,488 33,870 4,619 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 38,225 33,638 4,587 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 37,003 32,562 4,440 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 36,829 32,410 4,419 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 38,158 33,579 4,579 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 37,712 33,186 4,525 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 37,276 32,803 4,473 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 35,706 31,421 4,285 0.00% 12.00%
2026 Jan 33,333 29,333 4,000 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 35,099 30,887 4,212 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 35,613 31,340 4,274 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 38,821 34,163 4,659 0.00% 12.00%
May 40,193 35,370 4,823 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 39,930 35,138 4,792 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 38,708 34,063 4,645 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 38,534 33,910 4,624 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 39,864 35,080 4,784 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 39,417 34,687 4,730 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 38,981 34,303 4,678 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 37,411 32,922 4,489 0.00% 12.00%
2027 Jan 35,038 30,833 4,205 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 36,804 32,388 4,417 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 37,318 32,840 4,478 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 40,527 35,663 4,863 0.00% 12.00%
May 41,898 36,871 5,028 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 41,635 36,639 4,996 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 40,413 35,564 4,850 0.00% 12.00%
 Aug 40,239 35,411 4,829 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 41,569 36,581 4,988 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 41,122 36,187 4,935 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 40,686 35,804 4,882 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 39,116 34,422 4,694 0.00% 12.00%
2028 Jan 36,743 32,334 4,409 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 38,510 33,888 4,621 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 39,024 34,341 4,683 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 42,232 37,164 5,068 0.00% 12.00%
May 43,604 38,371 5,232 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 43,340 38,139 5,201 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 42,118 37,064 5,054 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 41,944 36,911 5,033 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 43,274 38,081 5,193 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 42,827 37,688 5,139 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 42,391 37,304 5,087 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 40,821 35,923 4,899 0.00% 12.00%
2029 Jan 38,448 33,835 4,614 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 40,215 35,389 4,826 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 40,729 35,841 4,887 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 43,937 38,665 5,272 0.00% 12.00%
May 45,309 39,872 5,437 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 45,045 39,640 5,405 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 43,823 38,565 5,259 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 43,650 38,412 5,238 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 44,979 39,582 5,397 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 44,532 39,189 5,344 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 44,096 38,805 5,292 0.00% 12.00%
Dec 42,527 37,423 5,103 0.00% 12.00%
2030 Jan 40,153 35,335 4,818 0.00% 12.00%
Feb 41,920 36,890 5,030 0.00% 12.00%
Mar 42,434 37,342 5,092 0.00% 12.00%
Apr 45,642 40,165 5,477 0.00% 12.00%
May 47,014 41,372 5,642 0.00% 12.00%
Jun 46,750 41,140 5,610 0.00% 12.00%
Jul 45,529 40,065 5,463 0.00% 12.00%
Aug 45,355 39,912 5,443 0.00% 12.00%
Sep 46,684 41,082 5,602 0.00% 12.00%
Oct 46,238 40,689 5,549 0.00% 12.00%
Nov 24,904 40,305 5,496 -83.91% 12.00%
Dec 29,532 38,924 5,308 -49.77% 12.00%
2031 Jan 24,990 36,836 5,023 -67.50% 12.00%
Feb 26,888 38,390 5,235 -62.25% 12.00%
Mar 24,835 38,842 5,297 -77.73% 12.00%
Apr 28,594 41,666 5,682 -65.59% 12.00%
May 23,897 42,873 5,846 -103.87% 12.00%
Jun 19,168 42,641 5,815 -152.79% 12.00%
Jul 19,243 41,566 5,668 -145.45% 12.00%
 Aug 21,235 41,413 5,647 -121.62% 12.00%
Sep 18,551 42,583 5,807 -160.85% 12.00%
Oct 21,292 42,190 5,753 -125.17% 12.00%
Nov 24,904 41,806 5,701 -90.76% 12.00%
Dec 29,532 40,424 5,512 -55.55% 12.00%
2032 Jan 24,990 38,336 5,228 -74.32% 12.00%
Feb 26,888 39,891 5,440 -68.59% 12.00%
Mar 24,835 40,343 5,501 -84.60% 12.00%
Apr 28,594 43,166 5,886 -71.55% 12.00%
May 23,897 44,373 6,051 -111.01% 12.00%
Jun 19,168 44,141 6,019 -161.68% 12.00%
Jul 19,243 43,066 5,873 -154.31% 12.00%
Aug 21,235 42,913 5,852 -129.65% 12.00%
Sep 18,551 44,083 6,011 -170.04% 12.00%
Oct 21,292 43,690 5,958 -133.17% 12.00%
Nov 24,904 43,307 5,905 -97.60% 12.00%
Dec 29,532 41,925 5,717 -61.32% 12.00%

MWh Offtake was forecasted using Regression Analysis. The assumed load factor is 60%.

Based on the same study, the Distribution System can adequately convey electricity to customers.

Forecasted Consumption
60,000 120.0
50,000 100.0
40,000 80.0
MWh

MW
30,000 60.0
20,000 40.0
10,000 20.0
0 0.0
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
Month

MWh Output MWh System Loss Coincident Peak MW

MWh Output was expected to grow at a rate 4.17% of annually.

 Forecasted Losses
50.00%

0.00%

Feb
Apr
Sep
Feb

Apr
Oct

Aug

Sep

Oct

Aug
Nov

Dec
Jan
Jun

Mar

Nov

Dec
Jul

May

Jan
Jun

Jul

May

Mar
-50.00%
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032

-100.00%

-150.00%

-200.00%
Month

Transm'n Loss System Loss

As shown on the graph, from November 2030 to December 2032 the transmission loss was varying
because we are undercontracted in terms of energy and demand on this period due to the expiration
of the 41 MW power supply. We forecasted a constant 12 percent system loss because it is the
allowable system loss capping of the cooperative.

Power Supply
Minimum Minimum
Case No. Type GenCo PSA Start PSA End
MW MWh/yr
2014-085RC Base DMCI Power Corporation 15.00 50,600 2/7/2013 2/6/2035
2011-017RC Base Ormin Power, Inc. 8.00 51,203 11/11/2010 11/11/2026

The PSA with DMCI Power Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-085RC with a rated
capacity of 15.5 MW, contracted capacity of 15 MW and dependable capacity of 15MW as of April 2022
was procured through Competitive Selection process. It was selected to provide for base and regulating
requirements due to inadequate power supply of ORMECO and that it is capable to synchronized
operation in parallel with the power system both at regulation and base loading mode. Historically, the
utilization of the PSA is 120.95% this is due to reliability issue brought by force majeure on year 2015
to 2019, and also it is the regulating power plant in Oriental Mindoro Grid and has to run 24 hours of at
least 2 units online to serve reliable power supply. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the
PSA ranged from 5.6404 P/kWh to 6.3172 P/KWh in the same period under Subsidized Approved
Generation Rate (SAGR). There were discrepancies recorded between the forecasted and the
Minimum MWh/yr because of the erratic load curve of the Oriental Mindoro Province and also due to
the variable renewable resources on our system. Due to this erratic load curve, we have excess in
terms of energy (MWh) and have a shortage in terms of capacity (MW).

The PSA with ORMIN Power, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2011-017RC with a rated capacity of
9.6 MW, contracted capacity of 8 MW and dependable capacity of 6.65MW as of April 2022 was
procured through Competitive Selection process. It was selected to provide for base requirements in
order to steer clear of the looming power supply in the immediate future and as a long-term solution
also in order to assure the continuous, stable and efficient supply of electricity in the Province of Oriental
Mindoro. Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 70.01%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy
of around 5035.1758 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is
5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under Subsidized Approved Generation Rate (SAGR).

Minimum Minimum
Case No. Type GenCo PSA Start PSA End
MW MWh/yr
2013-164RC Base Other 4.40 38,544 11/22/2018 11/21/2043
2013-212RC Base Ormin Power, Inc. 6.00 51,840 1/14/2019 1/13/2044
2014-001RC Base Other 16.00 66,000 12/5/2019 12/4/2044
2012-131RC Base DU-owned 2.10 9,600 1/24/2012 1/24/2044
2020-035RC Base DU-owned 3.00 13,140 2/2/2015 2/2/2045
2014-003RC Base Power One Corporation 9.00 78,840 5/14/2012 5/13/2032
TOP TEAM CALAPAN Intermediate Other 6.00 6,493 8/5/2022 7/5/2023
TOP TEAM PINAMALAYAN Intermediate Other 3.00 3,482 8/5/2022 7/5/2023
TOP TEAM BANSUD Intermediate Other 5.00 6,022 8/5/2022 7/5/2023
TOP TEAM ROXAS Intermediate Other 4.30 7,187 8/5/2022 7/5/2023
PSI BANSUD Intermediate Other 4.00 3,600 8/5/2022 7/5/2023

The PSA with Sta. Clara Power Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-164RC with a rated
capacity of 8.8 MW, contracted capacity of 4.4 MW and dependable capacity of 6.3 MW as of April
2022 was procured through Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with ORMECO. It was selected
to provide for base requirements due to the desires of ORMECO to ensure the adequacy and reliability
of the supply of power to its franchise area with the use of renewable sources of energy and to distribute
the same to the residents, members, and consumers of its service area. Historically, the utilization of
the PSA is 59.9%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 15454.92 MWh in the past
year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.9000 P/kWh in the same period under
Feed-In Tariff Structure. Sta. Clara Power Corporation can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its
intermittent dependable capacity.

The PSA with Ormin Power, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-212RC with a rated capacity of
10 MW, contracted capacity of 6 MW and dependable capacity of 4.7 MW as of April 2022 was procured
through MOU with ORMECO. It was selected to provide for base requirements due to the desires of
ORMECO to ensure the adequacy and reliability of the supply of power to its franchise area with the
use of renewable sources of energy and to distribute the same to the residents, members, and
consumers of its service area. Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 50.69%. Outages of the plant
led to unserved energy of around 24159.218 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly
charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. Inabasan Mini Hydro Power
Plant can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable capacity. Even if it reaches
its full capacity during rainy season, Inabasan generates very low supply of power during dry season.

The PSA with Philippine Hybrid Energy System, Inc. filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-001RC with
a rated capacity of 16 MW, contracted capacity of 6 MW and dependable capacity of 4 MW as of April
2022 was procured through Swiss Challenge. It was selected to provide for base requirements due to
the load requirement of ORMECO to meet during the peak demand for the succeeding years and as a
long term solution in order to avoid looming power supply in the immediate future. Historically, the
utilization of the PSA is 15.36%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 19465.36 MWh
in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same
period under SAGR. PHESI can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its intermittent dependable
capacity. But as soon as its additional equipment, the Battery Energy Storage System, is operational
it will help PHESI to reach its monthly Minimum MWh Offtake.
The PSA with Linao Cawayan Mini Hydro Power Plant-Lower Cascade (LCMHPP-Lower Cascade) filed
with ERC under Case No. 2012-131RC with a rated capacity of 2.2 MW, contracted capacity of 2.1 MW
and dependable capacity of 0.7 MW as of April 2022 was owned by ORMECO. It was selected to
provide for base requirements due to help alleviate the power crisis and the persistent brownouts it
experienced in 2011 due to power shortage caused by the unexpected increase in road demand
brought about by the operation of various commercial establishments and industrial businesses within
its franchise area and the reduced power supply from the National Power Corporation (NPC).
Historically, the utilization of the PSA is 47.55%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around
5035.1758 MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.9000
P/kWh in the same period Feed-In Tariff Structure. Lower Cascade can’t obtain the contracted MWh
due to its intermittent dependable capacity and low generation during dry season.

The PSA with Mindoro Grid Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2013-041RC with a rated
capacity of 7.7 MW, contracted capacity of 5 MW and dependable capacity of 6.3 as of February 2022
was procured through Competitive Selection Process (CSP) for Calapan and Bongabong Power Plants.
It was selected to provide for base requirements due to the load requirement of ORMECO to meet
during the peak demand to its franchise area. Historically, the utilization of the PSA are 72.78% and
76.99% respectively. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 11857.168 MWh and
10023.012 MWh correspondingly in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the
PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same period under SAGR. MGC can’t obtain its contracted capacity is
because this power plant is embedded at the 5MVA power transformer of Roxas substation, that’s why
it cannot maximize its full capacity.

The PSA with Power One Corporation filed with ERC under Case No. 2014-003RC with a rated capacity
of 15.3 MW, contracted capacity of 9 MW and dependable capacity of 7.6 MW as of April 2022 was
procured through Competitive Selection Process (CSP). It was selected to provide for base and peaking
requirements to ensure the adequate provision of power supply the franchise area. Historically, the
utilization of the PSA is 67.63%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 25520.328
MWh in the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the
same period under SAGR. There were discrepancies recorded between the forecasted and the
Minimum MWh/yr because of the erratic load curve of the Oriental Mindoro Province and also due to
the variable renewable resources on our system

The PSA with Linao Cawayan Mini Hydro Power Plant Upper Cascade (LCMHPP-Upper Cascade)
under Case No. 2020-035 with a rated capacity of 3.2 MW contracted capacity of 3 MW and dependable
capacity of 1 MW as of April 2022 and owned by ORMECO. It was selected to provide for base
requirements to ensure the adequate provision of power supply the franchise area. Historically, the
utilization of the PSA is 47.63%. Outages of the plant led to unserved energy of around 6882 MWh in
the past year. The actual billed overall monthly charge under the PSA is 5.6404 P/kWh in the same
period under Feed-In Tariff Structure. Lower Cascade can’t obtain the contracted MWh due to its
intermittent dependable capacity and low generation during dry season.

The EPSA of the 22.3 MW Emergency Power Supply has an on going application with Energy
Regulatory Commission. It was selected under negotiated procurement by the Special Bids and
Awards Committee. It has 4 locations embedded on every substations of their respective area.

LOAD
BASE LOAD PEAKING
FOLLOWING

Type Base Intermediate Peaking

Minimum MW 8.00 30.00 3.00
 Minimum MWh/yr 21,600 56,862 2,160
PSA Start 3/1/2025 7/1/2023 7/1/2023
PSA End 10/8/2030 10/8/2030 10/8/2030
Publication 11/16/2022 12/16/2022 12/16/2022
Pre-bid 12/13/2023 12/13/2023 12/13/2023
Opening 1/10/2023 1/10/2023 1/10/2023
Awarding 1/26/2023 1/26/2023 1/26/2023
PSA Signing 4/8/2023 4/8/2023 4/8/2023
Joint Filing 4/13/2023 4/13/2023 4/13/2023

Procurement Schedule

Joint Filing
PSA Signing
Awarding
Opening
Pre-bid
Publication

10/16/22 12/5/22 1/24/23 3/15/23 5/4/23 6/23/23 8/12/23 10/1/23 11/20/23 1/9/24

BASE LOAD LOAD FOLLOWING PEAKING

For the procurement of 33 MW Load Following and Peaking supply which is planned to be available on
July 2023, the first publication or launch of CSP hold last November 16, 2022 . Joint filing is planned
on April 13, 2023.

For the procurement of 8 MW Base Load supply which is planned to be available on March 2025, the
first publication or launch of CSP hold on the same date. Joint filing is planned on April 13, 2023 also.
Captive Customer Connections

Historical and Forecasted Captive

Connections in Sector
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
Year

Residential Commercial Industrial Others

The number of captive connections is expected to grow at a rate of 1.77% annually. Residential
Customer class is expected to account for 50% of the total consumption.