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Proj Eng CH 3B
Proj Eng CH 3B
Optimistic time (tO) is the shortest possible time in which activity could
possibly be completed, assuming that everything goes well.
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Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
Pessimistic time (tP) is the longest time activity could ever require, assuming that
everything goes poorly. It is due to adverse working conditions.
Most likely time (tM) is the time activity could be completed if it could be repeated more
often than any other time. It is due to medium working conditions.
Expected Time, Standard Deviation, and Variance
• Expected time, t E = (t O + 4 t m + t P) ÷ 6
• Standard deviation, S t = [(t P - t O) ÷ 6];
• Variance, V t = [(t P - t O) ÷ 6] 2
Where,
• t O = Optimistic time.
• t m = Most likely time.
• t P = Pessimistic time.
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
Let us take example of estimated time of completion of two jobs A and B
as below:
tO tm tP tE=(tO+4tm+tP)/6 St=[(tP –
Activity Vt=[(tP–tO)÷6] 2
(days) (days) (days) (days) tO)÷6]
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Program Evaluation and Review Technique
Case 1: t O = 5 weeks, t m = 8 weeks, t P = 17 week
Then, t E = (t O + 4 t m + t P) ÷ 6
= (5 + 4*8 +17) ÷ 6
= 9 weeks.
Case 2: t O = 8, t m = 9, t P = 10
• Then, t E = (t O + 4 t m + t P) ÷ 6
= (8 + 4*9 +10) ÷ 6
= 9 week.
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3.6 Introduction to Planning Software - MS Project