Myanmar’s economy confronts several significant challenges, contributing to its fragile state.
These challenges include:
1. Conflict and Instability:
○ Ongoing domestic conflict disrupts economic activities. Elevated levels of violence and instability hinder production and investment.
○ Persistent logistics disruptions impact trade and movement of goods.
2. Macroeconomic Instability: ○ Sharp increases in prices of imported inputs and consumer goods. ○ Electricity outages affect manufacturing and overall productivity. ○ Financial sector disruptions add to economic uncertainty. 3. Dislocation and Poverty: ○ Poverty rates have risen, with over 32% of the population affected. ○ An additional third of the population faces economic insecurity. ○ Displacement, job losses, and income reductions exacerbate poverty. 4. Stagnant Growth: ○ Myanmar’s GDP is projected to rise by only 1% to March 2025. ○ Economic output remains about 9% below 2019 levels. ○ Other large economies in the region have experienced contrasting growth. 5. Human Capital Challenges: ○ Declining household investments in health and education. ○ Reduced employment opportunities and job quality. ○ Increased outward migration affecting future growth potential.